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W A Reinke

Publications and source records attributed to W A Reinke.

14 recordsLinked to original sources

Applicability of industrial sampling techniques to epidemiologic investigations: examination of an underutilized resource.

In carrying out surveys to estimate disease prevalence or health services coverage in a region, investigators are often interested in identifying communities or other subareas in which the problem of interest is especially severe. In view of the large number of subareas to be examined, the investigator seeks rapid methods of assessment that require minimum sampling in each. Lot quality assurance sampling, developed more than 60 years ago to meet industrial quality control needs, has been found to serve public health purposes as well. Curiously, other more recent and more powerful industrial techniques have not received the recognition they deserve. Several of them are discussed in this paper and likely applications are cited. They fall into two categories: 1) lot acceptance methods to depict static conditions in a population and 2) more dynamic process monitoring methods for continuous surveillance. Under the first category, techniques of double sampling and sequential sampling are described. Reduced and tightened scrutiny, control charts, and exponential smoothing are highlighted as especially promising approaches under the process control category.

Decision Trees

Alternative methods for determining resource requirements: the Chile example.

Many more or less attractive techniques have been proposed for statistical analyses involving multiple sources of variation, for example in examing the possible contributors to differential patterns of health services utilization and expenditure. A large scale investigation of such patterns among 10,000 household in Chile provided a useful basis for comparison of alternative analytical approaches. The multiple regression, Automatic Interaction Detection, and Multisort techniques were applied to the survey data deparately and in combination and results were compared. The Multisort technique was found to be the single most useful and convenient approach, but the most meaningful results were obtained from the systematic application of the three approaches combined.

Adolescent

Measurement and projection of the demand for health care: the Chilean experience.

Projection of the probable demand for health services over time is one of the most important-and difficult-aspects of the health planning process. Not only must the planner contend with many variables external to the health sector, but also with the difficult to predict correlations between the supply of health, services and the resultant demand. This article briefly reviews some of the principal demand projection methods in use and then describes in detail the one adopted in the Chilean health manpower study. The demand portion of the study in Chile involved three main elements: 1) a sample survey which measured the met and unmet demand for medical, dental, and hospital services as a function of six population variables (age, sex, location, income, educational level, and medical insurance status); 2) a baseline demand projection which takes into account the probable effects of changes in these six variables over ten and 20 years on the utilization of services; and 3) an alternative projection which postulates the fulfillment of certain targets for the improvement of health care. The approach offers the planner a number of important analytical and programmatic advantages compared with other methods now available and are discussed along with their limitations.

Age Factors