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W Dere

Publications and source records attributed to W Dere.

5 recordsLinked to original sources

Risk of hip fracture derived from relative risks: an analysis applied to the population of Sweden.

Bone mineral density measurements are widely used to estimate the relative risk of hip fracture. In addition, many other risk factors have been identified, some of which are known to add to the risk independently of other risk factors, including bone mineral density measurements. In this paper we develop an algorithm that converts relative risks for hip fracture to absolute (15 years and lifetime) risks, modeled on the population of Sweden. Lifetime risks increased as expected with increments in relative risk. Average lifetime risk in women at the age of 50 years was 22.7%, which increased to 64.9% when the relative risk was 6.0. In men the risk increased from 11.1% to 41.3%. The identification of high-risk groups had little effect on the specificity of assessments but increased the sensitivity over a wide range of assumptions. The increment in lifetime risk was relatively stable across all ages, reducing the complexity of computing lifetime risks from relative risk. The derivation of absolute risk from relative risk permits the optimization of selection of individuals or populations either for further risk assessment or for treatment.

Age Factors↗

Lifetime risk of hip fractures is underestimated.

Estimates of lifetime risk of osteoporotic fracture have assumed that mortality rates do not change. Since mortality in the elderly is decreasing in all regions of the world we assessed the effect of this on lifetime risks for hip fracture using Sweden as a reference country. Lifetime risks of hip fracture at the age of 50 years were 4.6% and 13.9% in men and women respectively, assuming all survive to current average life expectancy. Estimates increased to 8.1% and 19.5% when based on present mortality and to 11.1% and 22.7% respectively based on predicted mortality. We conclude that lifetime risks of hip fracture have been considerably underestimated.

Aged↗

Adrenocortical function in acquired immunodeficiency syndrome.

Clinical features of adrenal steroid deficiency occur in patients with the acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS). To determine the frequency of aberrations in peripheral steroid levels in patients with AIDS and AIDS-related complex (ARC) we measured morning recumbent plasma cortisol, deoxycorticosterone, 18-hydroxydeoxycorticosterone (18-OHDOC), corticosterone, aldosterone, and 18-hydroxycorticosterone concentrations before and after administration of 0.25 mg ACTH (Cosyntropin) in 74 randomly selected hospitalized patients with AIDS and 19 patients with ARC. Basal (0800 h) cortisol levels in the AIDS patients were significantly higher (P less than 0.01) than those in normal subjects, while other ACTH-dependent steroids of the 17-deoxypathway, deoxycorticosterone, corticosterone, and 18-OHDOC, were normal. These latter steroids increased subnormally in response to ACTH in patients with either AIDS (P less than 0.001) or ARC (P less than 0.005), but in ARC patients plasma 18-OHDOC levels were significantly higher than in those with AIDS (P less than 0.001). Supraphysiological doses of ACTH were then administered for 3 consecutive days to 14 patients with AIDS and 9 with ARC, which confirmed and amplified the subnormal responses of these steroids in AIDS. The mean plasma cortisol response was reduced on the third day only in AIDS patients, whereas in the ARC patients the steroid responses were normal. Angiotensin III infusion and postural stimulation increased plasma aldosterone and 18-hydroxycorticosterone levels in AIDS and ARC patients. Defective stimulation of 18-OHDOC alone or in combination with defective stimulation of other 17-deoxysteroids can be a harbinger of subsequent impaired adrenal capacity in AIDS.

AIDS-Related Complex↗