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Biomedical subjects

W G Prout

Publications and source records attributed to W G Prout.

17 recordsLinked to original sources

POSSUM and Portsmouth POSSUM for predicting mortality. Physiological and Operative Severity Score for the enUmeration of Mortality and morbidity.

BACKGROUND: There is a need for an accurate measure of surgical outcomes so that hospitals and surgeons can be compared properly regardless of case mix. POSSUM (Physiological and Operative Severity Score for the enUmeration of Mortality and morbidity) uses a physiological score and an operative severity score to calculate risks of mortality and morbidity. In a previous small study it was found that Portsmouth POSSUM (P-POSSUM; a modification of the POSSUM system) provided a more accurate prediction of mortality. METHODS: Some 10000 general surgical interventions (excluding paediatric and day cases) were studied prospectively between August 1993 and November 1995. The POSSUM mortality equation was applied to the full 10000 surgical episodes. The 10000 patients were arranged in chronological order and the first 2500 were used as a training set to produce the modified P-POSSUM predictor equation. This was then applied prospectively to the remaining 7500 patients arranged chronologically in five groups of 1500. RESULTS: The original POSSUM logistic regression equation for mortality overpredicts the overall risk of death by more than twofold and the risk of death for patients at lowest risk (5 per cent or less) by more than sevenfold. The P-POSSUM equation produced a very close fit with the observed in-hospital mortality. CONCLUSION: P-POSSUM provides an accurate method for comparative surgical audit.

England↗

An evaluation of the POSSUM surgical scoring system.

POSSUM (Physiological and Operative Severity Score for the enUmeration of Morbidity and mortality) has been studied as a possible surgical audit system for a 9-month interval using a sample of 28 per cent of the general surgical workload. Mortality or survival was analysed as an endpoint. In this sample the published POSSUM predictor equation for mortality overpredicted deaths by a factor of more than two. The bulk of the overprediction occurred in the group at lowest risk (predicted mortality 10 per cent or less), in which death was overpredicted by a factor of six. This is the most important group for audit purposes since it contains the majority of surgical patients and is composed of fit patients undergoing minor surgery. The published predictor equation for mortality returns a minimum predicted mortality of 1.08 per cent, clearly far higher than that expected for a fit patient having minor surgery. Logistic regression was done on a set of 1485 surgical episodes to generate a local predictor equation for mortality. This process gave a predictor equation that fitted well with the observed mortality rate and gave a minimum predicted risk of mortality of 0.20 per cent. The previously published POSSUM predictor equation for mortality performed badly when tested using a standard test of goodness of fit for logistic regression and must be modified.

England↗

Quality and interpretation of operative cholangiography in a district general hospital.

The quality and interpretation of operative cholangiography were assessed in 128 patients undergoing cholecystectomy. The quality of each cholangiogram was assessed by calculating a cholangiogram score according to the anatomical structure visualized. Out of a maximum possible score of 5, 26% of cholangiograms achieved a score of less than or equal to 3 and were considered as technical failures. The sensitivity, specificity and negative predictive values regarding the surgeon's interpretation of the cholangiograms were high and compared well with the radiologist's assessment. However, the positive predictive value for the surgeon's assessment of the cholangiograms was 74% compared with 95% for the radiologist (P less than 0.02). Improvement in cholangiography can only be achieved by greater attention to detail and perseverance. After an adequate examination, the only criteria for common bile duct exploration should be the presence of filling defect(s).

Adult↗

Significance of Buerger's test in the assessment of lower limb ischaemia.

In claudicants with arteriosclerosis obliterans admitted for vascular surgery, Buerger's test was compared with other indicators of lower limb ischaemia. Rest pain, gangrene, trophic changes, and chronic erythromelia were significantly commoner and more distal pulses were absent in Buerger positive limbs. Doppler and transcutaneous oxygen pressures and indices were significantly lower in Buerger positive legs. Significantly more occlusions were noted on arteriography in arteries distal to the adductor hiatus in the Buerger positive group. Buerger's test is a useful adjunct to routine peripheral vascular assessment and, if positive, suggests more severe ischaemia with distal limb artery involvement.

Aged↗

The establishment of a microcomputer-based diagnosis and operations index in the Department of Surgery of a district general hospital.

The development and running of a microcomputer-based index of diagnoses and operations in the surgical department of a district general hospital is described. Many major problems have occurred, leading to malfunction or failure of the system, but it appears that these difficulties have now been resolved. In one year 4360 records have been fully processed with 4775 diagnoses, and 3968 operation codes have been permanently recorded. A further 560 patient records have been entered and await admission. The day-to-day running of the computer has been achieved by established secretarial staff without increase in number. The advantages and disadvantages of this system are outlined.

Computers↗

The effect of hemodilution upon patients with intermittent claudication.

Seventeen patients with stable intermittent claudication and a PCV of more than 0.45 were venesected until a PCV of 0.35 was achieved. Only patients that were not considered candidates for surgical treatment were entered into the study. Each patient acted as their own control and was studied twice before the venesection at a mean PCV of 0.49 then after achieving a PCV of 0.35 or less (mean PCV of 0.33), and finally one month after the last venesection (mean PCV of 0.37). Angina developed in one patient after the third venesection and was withdrawn from the study. In the remaining sixteen patients, blood flow of the calf muscle during exercise increased significantly after venesection from 5.90 to 8.84 milliliters per 100 grams per minute (p = 0.02). This was measured by xenon 133 clearance and a cadmium telluride detector. There was also a substantial decrease (p less than 0.001) in whole blood viscosity at both low and high shear stresses, but there was no change in plasma viscosity or plasma fibrinogen. Treadmill claudication distance improved in only two patients. Ten patients were tired when the PCV decreased to 0.35 and subjective claudication distance deteriorated in four of these patients. Subsequent isovolemic venesection with dextran 70 volume replacement to a PCV of 0.35 did not improve the response in the six patients restudied. We conclude that venesection did not benefit these patients with intermittent claudication and there was an unacceptable incidence of side effects. Therefore, we suggest that reducing the PCV to 0.35 should be avoided in patients with intermittent claudication who have been refused surgical treatment.

Adult↗

Local recurrence after low anterior resection using the staple gun.

Eleven early anastomotic recurrences have occurred after 34 low anterior resections for carcinoma of the rectum performed during the past 2 years using the EEA staple gun. These recurrences all occurred after resection of locally advanced tumours and caused distressing symptoms, and it is suggested that this technique might be best reserved for more favourable growths.

Aged↗