Biomedical subjects

W Goggins

Publications and source records attributed to W Goggins.

5 recordsLinked to original sources

PubMed2006

Public health significance of the frailty index.

BACKGROUND: A quantifiable indicator of frailty would be very useful in assessing the health state of older populations, as well as enable the effect of interventions to be evaluated over time. METHODS: A total of 2032 people aged 70 years and over recruited by stratified random sampling, and information obtained regarding physical and functional health, and psychological factors. The frailty index (FI) was constructed from 62 variables. Associations between the FI, and changes in ADL score, mental score, and hospitalization days over a 10-year period were evaluated. RESULTS: For the baseline to 3-year changes, a 0.10 increase in baseline FI is accompanied by a 0.499-point faster drop in ADL score, a 0.223-point faster decline in mental score, and 4.57-day faster increase in hospital days. For 3-10-year changes, frailty was a significant predictor only of changes in mental score, with results indicating that, on average, each increase of 0.10 in the baseline frailty index was associated with 0.613-point drop in mental score during this period. Chronological age and frailty had differential associations with those changes. CONCLUSION: The FI is a valid indicator of morbidity and requirement for health and social services for ageing populations.

Activities of Daily Living↗

PubMed2005

MELPREDICT: a logistic regression model to estimate CDKN2A carrier probability.

BACKGROUND: Heritable alterations in CDKN2A account for a subset of familial melanoma cases although no robust method exists to identify those at risk of being a mutation carrier. METHODS: We set out to construct a model for estimating CDKN2A mutation carrier probability using a cohort of 116 consecutive familial cutaneous melanoma patients evaluated at Massachusetts General Hospital Pigmented Lesion Center between April 2001 and September 2004. Germline CDKN2A and CDK4 status on the familial melanoma cases and clinical features associated with mutational status were then used to build a multiple logistic regression model to predict carrier probability and performance of model on external validation. RESULTS: From the 116 kindreds prone to melanoma in the Boston area, 13 CDKN2A mutation carriers were identified and 12 were subsequently used in the modeling. Proband age at diagnosis, number of proband primaries, and number of additional family primaries were most closely associated with germline mutations. The estimated probability of the proband being a mutation carrier based on the logistic regression model (MELPREDICT) is given by e(L)/(1 + e(L) where L = 1.99+[0.92x(no. of proband primaries)]+[0.74x(no. of additional family primaries)]-[2.11xln(age)]. The mean estimated probabilities for subjects in the Boston dataset were 55.4% and 5.1% for the mutation carriers and non-carriers respectively. In a receiver operator characteristic analysis, the area under the curve was 0.881 (95% confidence interval 0.739 to 1.000) for the Boston model set (n = 116) and 0.803 (0.729 to 0.877) for an external Toronto hereditary melanoma cohort (n = 143). CONCLUSIONS: These results represent the first-iteration logistic regression model to approximate CDKN2A carrier probability. Validation of this model with an external dataset revealed relatively robust performance.

Adolescent↗

PubMed2000

In vivo, thyroid and lens surface exposure with spiral and conventional computed tomography in dental implant radiography.

OBJECTIVE: To compare the surface dose exposure to the lens of the eye and the thyroid gland received by patients undergoing spiral and conventional computed tomography (CT) examinations during dental implant pretreatment evaluation in critical radiosensitive structures of the maxillofacial region. STUDY DESIGN: Two groups of 10 patients each had a dental implant CT examination performed, with 5 patients in each group having maxillary and 5 having mandibular examinations. One group was examined with conventional CT and the other with spiral CT. Seven examination parameters were standardized to both types of examinations. Lithium fluoride thermoluminescent dosimeters were placed over the thyroid gland, lateral orbit, and infraorbital foramen of each patient to measure the surface dose. The Wilcoxon rank sum test was used to compare doses, with statistical significance set at P <.05. RESULTS: For the maxillary examination, there was a 57.4% reduction in the surface dose at the lateral orbit, 47% at the infraorbital foramen, and 60.8% at the thyroid when spiral CT was used instead of conventional CT with the same parameters. Similarly, for the mandibular examination, there was a 57.4% reduction at the lateral orbit, 60% reduction at the infraorbital foramen, and 70.9% at the thyroid. All the dose reductions were statistically significant at P <.05. CONCLUSION: The use of spiral CT for preimplant evaluation reduces the surface absorbed dose in certain critical structures of the maxillofacial region compared with conventional CT.

Adult↗

PubMed2000

Lifetime environmental exposure to tobacco smoke and primary lung cancer of non-smoking Taiwanese women.

BACKGROUND: For a female population with a high lung cancer mortality rate, such as Taiwanese women, who smoke relatively rarely, but live in an environment with high male smoking prevalence, the risk and population burden of lung cancer due to environmental tobacco smoke (ETS) are relatively important. METHODS: An age-matched case-control study was designed to investigate the effects of cumulative environmental exposure to tobacco smoke during childhood and adult life on lung cancer risk among non-smoking women in Taiwan. Information on passive smoking from all possible sources and life periods were obtained from interviews with 268 and 445 lifetime non-smoking cases and controls. Conditional logistic regression and synergism 'S' index were applied to the data to assess the independent and joint effects of passive smoking in different life stages while controlling for possible confounding variables. RESULTS: Risks of contracting lung cancer among women near-distantly exposed to the highest level of ETS in childhood (>20 smoker-years) and in adult life (>40 smoker-years) were 1.8-fold (95% CI: 1.2-2.9) and 2.2-fold (95% CI: 1.4-3.7) higher than that among women being never exposed to ETS, and the two variables accounted for about 37% of tumours in this non-smoking female population. Children were found to be more susceptible to ETS than adults and such early exposure was found to modify the effect of subsequent tobacco smoke exposure in adult life based on an additive interaction model. CONCLUSIONS: Environmental tobacco smoke exposure occurring in childhood potentiates the effect of high doses of exposure in adult life in determining the development of lung cancer. Smoking prohibition would be expected to protect about 37% of non-smoking Taiwanese women against lung cancer.

Adult↗

PubMedDate not supplied

Social determinants of frailty.

BACKGROUND: Frailty represents a body-wide set of a linked deterioration that occurs with ageing, but is susceptible to active intervention and is reversible. The concept of frailty should include broader environmental factors. A quantitative measure of frailty, the frailty index (FI), developed for elderly Canadians and shown to be valid for an elderly Chinese population, was examined for its association with socioeconomic, lifestyle, and social support network factors in an elderly Chinese cohort. OBJECTIVE: 2,032 people aged 70 years and over recruited by stratified random sampling of the population were surveyed in 1990-1991, and information obtained regarding physical and functional health, psychological factors, lifestyle, socioeconomic and social support factors. The FI was constructed from 62 variables covering cognitive, psychological and physical health, and tested for association with socioeconomic, lifestyle and social support factors using ANOVA and t test. RESULTS: The mean FI for women was higher than for men (0.16 +/- 0.08, n = 1,033 vs. 0.13 +/- 0.08, n = 999, p < 0.001, t test). For men, increasing frailty was observed with non-white collar occupations, inadequate expenses, no or little exercise, abstinence from alcohol, few relatives or neighbours and no or infrequent participation in helping others. For women, little contact with relatives (rather than number of relatives), and absence of participation in community/religious activities were additional factors. CONCLUSION: FI is influenced by social and environmental factors in keeping with the concept of frailty being multi-dimensional. Such a quantitative measure may be a useful indicator of the health of elderly populations as well as for public health measures to combat frailty.

Aged↗