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W Michael O'Fallon

Publications and source records attributed to W Michael O'Fallon.

39 records · Page 3Linked to original sources

Trends in the incidence of polymyalgia rheumatica over a 30 year period in Olmsted County, Minnesota, USA.

OBJECTIVE: To determine time trends in the incidence and survival of polymyalgia rheumatica (PMR) over a 30 year period in Olmsted County, Minnesota, USA. METHODS: Using the unified medical record linkage system of the Rochester Epidemiology Project, we identified all incident cases of PMR among residents of Olmsted County, MN, between January 1, 1970, and December 31, 1999. Incidence rates were estimated and age- and sex-adjusted to the 1990 US white population. The annual incidence rates were graphically illustrated using a 3 year centered moving average. A Poisson regression model was used to evaluate predictors of PMR incidence. Survival rates were computed and compared with the expected rates in the population. RESULTS: There were 378 incident cases of PMR during the 30 year study period. Of these 66.6% were female and the mean age at incidence was 72.8 years. The overall age and sex adjusted annual incidence of PMR per 100,000 population aged > or = 50 years was 58.7 (95% CI 52.8,64.7). Incidence rates increased with age in both sexes, but in women, unlike in men, incidence fell after age 80. The incidence rates varied over the period of observation, but no significant trends over time were found. In the multivariable analysis, sex (p = 0.023), age (p < 0.001), and age2 (p < 0.001), but not calendar year (p = 0.24) were significant predictors of incidence. Survival among individuals with PMR was not significantly different from that expected in the population (p = 0.06). CONCLUSION: The incidence of PMR has remained relatively stable over the past 30 years.

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Epidemiology of gout: is the incidence rising?

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether the incidence of gout is higher in 1995-1996 compared to 1977-1978. METHODS: Using the Rochester Epidemiology Project computerized medical record system, all potential cases of acute gout in the city of Rochester, Minnesota during the time intervals of 1977-1978 and 1995-1996 were identified. The complete medical records of all potential cases were screened and all who fulfilled the 1977 American College of Rheumatology proposed criteria for gout were included as incidence cases. Demographic data, body mass index, clinical presentation, and associated comorbid conditions were abstracted. The overall and age-gender adjusted incidence rates from the 2 cohorts were calculated and compared. RESULTS: A total of 39 new cases of acute gout were identified during the 2 year interval 1977-1978 representing an age and sex-adjusted annual incidence rate of 45.0/100,000 (95% CI: 30.7, 59.3). For the interval 1995-1996, 81 cases were diagnosed, representing an annual incidence rate of 62.3/100,000 (95% CI: 48.4, 76.2). There was a greater than 2-fold increase in the rate of primary gout (i.e., no history of diuretic exposure) in the recent compared to the older time periods (p = 0.002). The incidence of secondary, diuretic related gout did not increase over time (p = 0.140). CONCLUSION: Our results indicate that the incidence of primary gout has increased significantly over the past 20 years. While this increase might be a result of improved ascertainment of atypical gout, it may also be related to other, as yet unidentified, risk factors.

Adrenal Cortex Hormones↗

The cost-effectiveness of acetaminophen, NSAIDs, and selective COX-2 inhibitors in the treatment of symptomatic knee osteoarthritis.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to conduct an economic evaluation of rofecoxib and celecoxib compared with high-dose acetaminophen or ibuprofen with and without misoprostol for patients with symptomatic knee osteoarthritis (OA). METHODS: A decision analysis model was designed over 6 months using two measures of effectiveness: 1) number of upper gastrointestinal (GI) adverse events averted; and 2) number of patients who achieved perceptible pain relief. Separate analyses were conducted for all patients and for those who did not respond to acetaminophen. Outcome probabilities were obtained from a comprehensive review of randomized controlled trials and observational studies. Costs were derived from actual resource utilization of OA patients. RESULTS: In terms of averting GI events, acetaminophen dominates the other options for an average risk patient population. For patients who did not respond to acetaminophen, rofecoxib had the lowest incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) per GI event avoided (32,000 US dollars) relative to ibuprofen. In terms of pain control, ibuprofen had an ICER of 610.77 US dollars per additional patient achieving minimal perceptible clinical improvement (MPCI) relative to acetaminophen, while rofecoxib had an ICER of 12,000 US dollars relative to ibuprofen. For patients who did not respond to acetaminophen and who are at high risk of developing an adverse GI event, rofecoxib dominates ibuprofen as the preferred alternative for both measures of effectiveness. One-way, two-way, and probabilistic sensitivity analyses established that these results were generally robust. CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that for average-risk knee OA patients, acetaminophen dominates the other therapies in terms of cost per GI event averted. In terms of pain relief, cost-effectiveness acceptability curves indicate that if one values pain relief below 275 US dollars per patient achieving MPCI, acetaminophen is the therapy most likely to be optimal; between 275 US dollars and 14,150 US dollars, ibuprofen is most likely to be optimal; and above 14,150 US dollars, rofecoxib is most likely to be optimal.

Acetaminophen↗