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Biomedical subjects

William A Grobman

Publications and source records attributed to William A Grobman.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Blood Pressure Genetic Risk and Incident Hypertension at 2 to 7 Years Post Partum.

IMPORTANCE: Hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (HDP; ie, preeclampsia/eclampsia and gestational hypertension) are associated with earlier development of chronic hypertension. Whether genetic risk for high systolic blood pressure (SBP) can stratify risk of new-onset hypertension after pregnancy is unclear. OBJECTIVE: To test the association of genetic risk for high SBP with new-onset hypertension at 2 to 7 years after delivery, independent of clinical characteristics and HDP history. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This was a cohort study of women enrolled during pregnancy between 2010 and 2013 and followed up at 2 to 7 years post partum. Included in the study were genotyped participants without pregestational chronic hypertension in the Nulliparous Pregnancy Outcomes Study: Monitoring Mothers-to-Be (nuMoM2b) Heart Health Study. The setting included 8 US clinical sites. Study data were analyzed from October 2024 to January 2026. EXPOSURES: SBP genetic risk was calculated using a genome-wide SBP polygenic score and categorized as low (bottom quintile), intermediate (quintiles 2-4) or high (top quintile). MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: The primary outcome was stage 1+ hypertension (&#x2265;130/80 mm Hg or use of antihypertensive medication) at 2 to 7 years post partum. Logistic regression tested the association of SBP genetic risk with development of hypertension, adjusted for sociodemographic factors, prepregnancy diabetes, first-trimester BP, HDP history, and postpartum body mass index (BMI). Key secondary analyses were stratified by HDP history and compared population attributable risk for high SBP genetic risk, HDP history, and postpartum BMI. RESULTS: Among 2852 participants (mean [SD] age, 30.8 [5.5] years; 353 [12.4%] with prior HDP), 509 (17.8%) developed hypertension by 2 to 7 years (mean [SD], 3.2 [0.9] years) after delivery. SBP genetic risk was independently associated with incident hypertension (high vs low SBP genetic risk: adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 1.50; 95% CI, 1.09-2.07; P&#x2009;=&#x2009;.01). In stratified analyses, SBP genetic risk was associated with incident hypertension in those without prior HDP (aOR, 1.25; 95% CI, 1.12-1.40 per SD; P&#x2009;<&#x2009;.001) but not in those with prior HDP (aOR, 1.01; 95% CI, 0.79-1.28 per SD; P&#x2009;=&#x2009;.92; P for interaction&#x2009;=&#x2009;.10). High SBP genetic risk, HDP history, and BMI greater than or equal to 25 (calculated as weight in kilograms divided by height in meters squared) accounted for 4.7%, 10.8%, and 41.5%, respectively, of population attributable risk for hypertension. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Results of this cohort study reveal that higher SBP genetic risk was independently associated with higher risk of developing new-onset hypertension 2 to 7 years after delivery. However, HDP history and elevated BMI were more important contributors to hypertension risk.

Humans↗

Factors associated with the length of the latent phase during labor induction.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the factors that are associated with the length of the latent phase during labor induction in nulliparous women. STUDY DESIGN: During a 6-month period, all nulliparous women with a viable fetus of at least 36 weeks gestation who underwent induction of labor were identified. Demographic and intrapartum data were abstracted from the medical record. In an effort to understand the association of different factors with the length of the latent phase, both univariable and multivariable analyses were employed. RESULTS: The median length of the latent phase for the women available for analysis (N=397) was 384 min with an interquartile range of 240-604 min. In univariable analysis, a greater maternal age, a medical indication for induction, and unripe cervical status at admission (assessed by either modified Bishop score or use of cervical ripening agents) were significantly associated with a latent phase of at least 12 h. In multivariable analysis, the only variables that continued to be independently associated with a latent phase of at least 12 h were modified Bishop scores of 0-2 (adjusted odds ratio 42.0, 95% confidence interval 9.7, 183.2) and 3-5 (adjusted odds ratio 9.3, 95% confidence interval 2.1, 40.9). CONCLUSION: A woman's modified Bishop score at admission for labor induction, but not other risk factors typically associated with cesarean, is associated with length of the latent phase.

Adult↗

Methods of clinical prediction.

The ability to predict clinical outcomes is of great importance to physicians and patients alike. Accordingly, multiple different methods have been used in an effort to accurately predict these outcomes. These methods include the development of scoring systems based on univariable and multivariable analysis, as well as models involving the use of neural network, nomograms, and classification and regression trees. The principles of these types of methods, as well as their advantages and disadvantages will be presented.

Forecasting↗

Cost-effectiveness of dilation and evacuation versus the induction of labor for second-trimester pregnancy termination.

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to compare the cost-effectiveness of dilation and evacuation versus misoprostol induction of labor for second-trimester termination. STUDY DESIGN: Using decision analysis, we compared the cost-effectiveness of dilation and evacuation and misoprostol induction of labor for second-trimester termination. Complications for dilation and evacuation and induction of labor included repeat dilation and curettage, cervical laceration repair, hospital admission, laparotomy, hysterectomy, and maternal death. Induction of labor complications also included failed induction of labor. The primary outcome was cost per quality-adjusted life year. Sensitivity analyses were performed for all relevant variables. RESULTS: Dilation and evacuation was less costly and more effective than misoprostol induction of labor for second-trimester termination with baseline estimates. In 1-way sensitivity analysis, the model was robust to all variation in probabilities and costs. In Monte Carlo simulation with 1000 trials and a cost-effectiveness threshold of $50,000/quality-adjusted life year, dilation and evacuation was the preferred approach in 97.9% of trials. CONCLUSION: Dilation and evacuation is less expensive and more effective than misoprostol induction of labor for second-trimester termination.

Abortifacient Agents, Nonsteroidal↗

Are the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality obstetric trauma indicators valid measures of hospital safety?

OBJECTIVE: The objective of the study was to examine whether the United States Agency for Health Care Research and Quality obstetric patient safety indicators are significantly affected by patient-specific and hospital-level characteristics not related to the safety environment. STUDY DESIGN: Administrative data for all nonfederal Illinois hospitals in 2001 were used to analyze the association of a hospital's obstetric trauma rates with patient and hospital-level factors. Multivariable random effects logistic regression analyses was used to account for hospital-level clustering. RESULTS: A total of 175,374 deliveries from 142 Illinois hospitals were available for analysis. The frequency of obstetric trauma was significantly associated with multiple patient-specific and hospital-level factors. Specifically, for any vaginal delivery, premature delivery, multiple gestation, excessive fetal growth, and prolonged pregnancy was associated with obstetric trauma risk. For spontaneous delivery, a prior cesarean was associated with trauma risk as well. Maternal age was associated with trauma risk at cesarean as well as at vaginal delivery. With regard to hospital-level factors, a higher annual delivery volume and a higher cesarean rate were associated with increased risk of trauma with either type of vaginal delivery, whereas in the intensity with which hospitals coded their medical records was associated with trauma risk for all routes of delivery. CONCLUSION: The risk of obstetric trauma is significantly influenced by both patient and hospital characteristics and is not a good indicator of patient safety.

Cesarean Section↗

Cost-effectiveness of thromboprophylaxis with intermittent pneumatic compression at cesarean delivery.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of thromboprophylaxis at cesarean delivery with intermittent pneumatic compression. METHODS: A decision tree model using Markov analysis was developed to compare two approaches to perioperative care at the time of cesarean delivery: 1) no use of perioperative thromboprophylaxis and 2) the use of intermittent pneumatic compression for thromboprophylaxis at the time of cesarean delivery. Postcesarean deep venous thrombosis was estimated to occur in 0.7% of patients (75% of whom were asymptomatic), and result in a 9% chance of postthrombotic syndrome. Mechanical prophylaxis was assumed to decrease the risk of deep venous thrombosis by 70% and to cost 120 dollars. Probability of morbidity and mortality of venous thromboembolism as well as anticoagulation and the costs and utilities for different health state were derived from published studies. Sensitivity analysis was performed over a wide range of variable estimates. RESULTS: Using the assumptions in our base case, routine thromboprophylaxis for cesarean delivery cost 39,545 dollars per quality-adjusted life year. One-way sensitivity analysis revealed that as long as the incidence of postcesarean deep venous thrombosis was at least 0.68%, intermittent pneumatic compression reduced the incidence of deep venous thrombosis by at least 50%, or the cost of intermittent pneumatic compression was less than 180 dollars, the cost-effectiveness of mechanical prophylaxis did not exceed 50,000 dollars per quality-adjusted life year. CONCLUSION: Mechanical thromboprophylaxis is estimated to be a cost-effective strategy under a wide range of circumstances.

Adult↗

Antenatal herpes serologic screening: an appraisal of the evidence.

OBJECTIVE: Calls for universal antenatal type-specific herpes simplex virus (HSV) screening to prevent neonatal herpes have recently increased and would affect the four million pregnant women and their partners annually in the United States. We undertook this review to assess the appropriateness of such screening, making relevant comparisons to established antenatal human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) and hepatitis B virus (HBV) screening programs. DATA SOURCES: We conducted a full PubMed and bibliographic search for relevant literature in English available from 1966 through February 2006, using the terms "genital herpes," "neonatal herpes," "decision analysis" or "cost-effectiveness analysis," and "herpes and pregnancy" or "antenatal herpes screening." Comparison literature was obtained by replacing "herpes" with "HBV" or "HIV". METHODS OF STUDY SELECTION: We appraised antenatal type-specific HSV screening using well-established criteria for a good screening program, which we articulated as questions. Of 455 articles we selected those that addressed at least one of the questions and were pertinent to the U.S. population. TABULATION, INTEGRATION, AND RESULTS: We found that neonatal HSV is rare and its incidence is imprecisely defined. There is a lack of evidence supporting the effectiveness of interventions to prevent maternal acquisition of new infection in late pregnancy, which accounts for 60-80% of neonatal herpes. The consequences of universal screening are incompletely understood but include the potential for unnecessary cesarean deliveries and medical treatment, maternal psychosocial stress, and discord among partners. The available evidence indicates universal screening is not cost-effective. In contrast, antenatal HIV and HBV screening programs better satisfy accepted criteria for screening. CONCLUSION: On the basis of this appraisal, universal antenatal type-specific HSV screening to prevent neonatal herpes does not adequately satisfy criteria of a good screening program, and we recommend against its adoption.

Cost-Benefit Analysis↗

Decision analysis in obstetrics and gynecology.

UNLABELLED: Decision analysis is a type of study design that can help to explicitly compare different medical choices and provide additional perspective to information provided by observational and interventional studies. This review will detail the circumstances under which decision analysis is most appropriate to use and the conceptual approach to the development of a decision model. TARGET AUDIENCE: Obstetricians & Gynecologists, Family Physicians. LEARNING OBJECTIVES: After completion of this article, the reader should be able to summarize that decision analysis will: help to compare different medical choices; supply additional perspectives to information provided by observational and interventional studies; and allow comparison of medical strategies that involve health outcomes, cost, or combined cost-effectiveness measures.

Decision Trees↗

Rupture of the preterm uterus in the nonlaboring woman: a report of 3 cases.

BACKGROUND: Uterine rupture in a laboring patient is a well-known pregnancy complication. There is a paucity of information regarding uterine rupture at a preterm gestational age in a nonlaboring patient. CASE: Three women experienced spontaneous uterine rupture at a preterm gestational age prior to the onset of labor. All women presented with a primary complaint of abdominal pain that was nonfocal and had been noted over hours to days. In no case was a common risk factor for uterine rupture present. On initial evaluation, no woman appeared hemodynamically unstable, and all fetuses had a reassuring status. In all cases, rapid deterioration of maternal and/or fetal status resulted in emergency delivery. CONCLUSION: Uterine rupture at a preterm gestational age in a nonlaboring woman may present with nonspecific findings and be associated with rapid maternal and fetal decompensation. Awareness of this complication is necessary if maternal and fetal outcomes are to be optimized.

Adult↗

The association of echogenic fetal lungs with trisomy 21.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the association between echogenic appearing lungs on ultrasonographic examination of the fetus and aneuploidy. METHODS: Cases in which echogenic lungs were prospectively identified on ultrasonographic examination were collected. Other abnormal ultrasonographic findings were documented, as were patient data pertinent to the risk of aneuploidy, such as maternal age and results of serum screening. The chromosomal complement of each identified case is reported. RESULTS: Five fetuses were identified with diffusely echogenic lungs on ultrasound examination over a two-year period. In three of the five cases, there were other ultrasound abnormalities, although in only one of these was a major congenital abnormality detected. In all three of these cases, the fetal chromosomal complement showed trisomy 21. In 1 of the 2 cases in which the echogenic lungs were an isolated finding, the fetus also was found to have trisomy 21. CONCLUSIONS: Bilateral and diffusely echogenic lungs appear to have an association with fetal trisomy 21.

Adult↗

The cost-effectiveness of routine antenatal screening for maternal herpes simplex virus-1 and -2 antibodies.

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to determine the cost-effectiveness of routine antenatal screening for herpes simplex virus 1 and 2 in women without a known history of genital herpes. STUDY DESIGN: Decision analysis was used to compare 3 treatment strategies to prevent neonatal herpes infection in women without a known history of genital herpes simplex virus: (1) the current standard of care (no herpes simplex virus screening), (2) antepartum herpes simplex virus-1 and -2 antibody screening of the pregnant woman and her male partner with appropriate counseling, and (3) antepartum herpes simplex virus-1 and -2 antibody screening with appropriate counseling and acyclovir prophylaxis at 36 weeks of gestation in seropositive women. RESULTS: Our model predicts that using current guidelines, 1 of 5469 women will have a herpes-infected neonate. Strategy 2 and 3 cost $5,812,819 and $4,130,297, respectively, for every significant neurologic sequela or death prevented. The cost-effectiveness of these strategies, expressed as cost per quality life-year gained, was $219,513 and $155,988 respectively. These results were robust in the sensitivity analysis. CONCLUSION: Routine herpes simplex virus screening in pregnancy is not cost-effective.

Antibodies, Viral↗

Routine hepatitis C virus screening in pregnancy: a cost-effectiveness analysis.

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to determine whether routine hepatitis C virus screening in pregnancy is cost-effective. STUDY DESIGN: A decision tree with Markov analysis was developed to compare 3 approaches to asymptomatic hepatitis C virus infection in low-risk pregnant women: (1) no hepatitis C virus screening, (2) hepatitis C virus screening and subsequent treatment for progressive disease, and (3) hepatitis C virus screening, subsequent treatment for progressive disease, and elective cesarean delivery to avert perinatal transmission. Lifetime costs and quality-adjusted life years were evaluated for mother and child. RESULTS: In our base case, hepatitis C virus screening and subsequent treatment of progressive disease was dominated (more costly and less effective) by no screening, with an incremental cost of 108 US dollars and a decreased incremental effectiveness of 0.00011 quality-adjusted life years. When compared with no screening, the marginal cost and effectiveness of screening, treatment, and cesarean delivery was 117 US dollars and 0.00010 quality-adjusted life years, respectively, which yields a cost-effectiveness ratio of 1,170,000 US dollars per quality-adjusted life year. CONCLUSION: The screening of asymptomatic pregnant women for hepatitis C virus infection is not cost-effective.

Adolescent↗

Suspicion and treatment of the macrosomic fetus: a review.

OBJECTIVE: To review the prevalence of and our ability to identify macrosomic (birthweight >4000 g) fetuses. Additionally, based on the current evidence, propose an algorithm for treatment of suspected macrosomia. STUDY DESIGN: A review. RESULTS: According to the National Vital Statistics, in the United States, the prevalence of newborns weighing at least 4000 g has decreased by 10% in seven years (10.2% in 1996 and 9.2% in 2002) and 19% for newborns with weights >5000 g (0.16% and 0.13%, respectively). Bayesian calculations indicates that the posttest probability of detecting a macrosomic fetus in an uncomplicated pregnancy is variable, ranging from 15% to 79% with sonographic estimates of birth weight, and 40 to 52% with clinical estimates. Among diabetic patients the post-test probability of identifying a newborn weighing >4000 g clinically and sonographically is over 60%. Among uncomplicated pregnancies, there is sufficient evidence that suspected macrosomia is not an indication for induction or for primary cesarean delivery. For pregnancies complicated by diabetes, with a prior cesarean delivery or shoulder dystocia, delivery of a macrosomic fetus increases the rate of complications, but there is insufficient evidence about the threshold of estimated fetal weight that should prompt cesarean delivery. CONCLUSION: Due to the inaccuracies, among uncomplicated pregnancies suspicion of macrosomia is not an indication for induction or for primary cesarean delivery.

Algorithms↗

The effect of short-term indomethacin therapy on amniotic fluid volume.

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to determine the effect of short-term (48 hour) indomethacin therapy on amniotic fluid volume. STUDY DESIGN: Patients who were admitted to Northwestern Memorial Hospital in preterm labor and who received indomethacin tocolysis were eligible for the study. Thirty-five patients with singleton gestations and 26 patients with twin gestations were enrolled. Amniotic fluid volumes were measured at baseline, at 48 hours after the initiation of indomethacin, and then every 24 hours thereafter for a maximum of 7 days. RESULTS: There were no significant changes in mean amniotic fluid volume subsequent to the administration of indomethacin at any of the time points that were measured. Among the 61 patients who received indomethacin, there were 2 cases of oligohydramnios (3.3%; 95% CI, 0.03%, 11.3%). In both cases, the amniotic fluid index returned to normal within 24 hours after the discontinuation of indomethacin. CONCLUSION: Short-term indomethacin therapy, in either singleton or twin gestations, does not cause a clinically significant change in amniotic fluid volume.

Amniotic Fluid↗

The cost effectiveness of empiric intravenous immunoglobulin for the antepartum treatment of fetal and neonatal alloimmune thrombocytopenia.

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to compare the cost effectiveness of empiric intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) with that of fetal blood sampling-indicated treatment for the antepartum care of fetal and neonatal alloimmune thrombocytopenia. STUDY DESIGN: We developed a decision analysis model to compare the cost effectiveness of 2 strategies for treatment of pregnancies in women with a history of fetal and neonatal alloimmune thrombocytopenia and an at-risk fetus: 1) IVIG and corticosteroids as indicated by fetal platelet levels determined by fetal blood sampling (FBS); and 2) empiric IVIG. In the first strategy, FBS is used to measure fetal platelets at 24 weeks of gestation and repeated 6 weeks later to guide pharmacotherapy. In the second strategy, weekly IVIG is empirically administered from 24 weeks' to 37 weeks' gestation. The main outcome measure was the marginal cost per quality-adjusted life years (QALY) gained. RESULTS: For every 1000 women with a fetus at risk for recurrent alloimmune thrombocytopenia, empiric therapy, compared with FBS-indicated treatment, decreases perinatal deaths from 31.7 to 11.8 while increasing the number of infants with long-term neurologic deficits from 6.1 to 9.6. These health outcomes translate to 382 QALYs gained with empiric therapy and a cost effectiveness ratio of dollar 32,747 per QALY favoring empiric therapy. In the sensitivity analysis, empiric therapy was not cost effective when the rate of perinatal ICH exceeded 28%. CONCLUSION: Empiric IVIG therapy is a cost-effective strategy for the treatment of women at risk for fetal and neonatal alloimmune thrombocytopenia when the rate of perinatal ICH is less than 28%.

Cordocentesis↗

The interval between a single course of antenatal steroids and delivery and its association with neonatal outcomes.

OBJECTIVE: This study was undertaken to determine whether the benefits of a single course of antenatal steroid treatment for neonatal respiratory morbidity diminish beyond 7 days. STUDY DESIGN: A retrospective chart review was performed of all deliveries less than 34 weeks' gestation where delivery occurred after completing a single course of antenatal steroids (dexamethasone or betamethasone). Maternal and neonatal charts were reviewed, treatment course was confirmed, and neonatal morbidities were collected. RESULTS: Of 197 neonates whose mothers received a full course of antenatal steroids, 98 delivered within 7 days and 99 delivered more than 7 days after the initial dose. The 2 groups were similar in gestational age at delivery (30 weeks 0 days vs 30 weeks 4 days). The groups were also similar in maternal age, race, payor status, type of steroid given, route of delivery, gender, and birth weight. Overall, infants delivering within 7 days had a lower incidence of receiving respiratory support for more than 24 hours (62% vs 81%, P < .01), but there were no significant differences between the groups in surfactant treatment (39% vs 47%), use of mechanical ventilation (49% vs 59%), necrotizing enterocolitis (6% vs 4%), intraventricular hemorrhage (15% vs 20%), oxygen dependence at 28 days (24% vs 23%) or at 36 weeks estimated gestational age (13% vs 12%), length of stay (34 days vs 38 days), or mortality (2 vs 0). These results were no different when evaluating only infants delivered before 30 weeks. CONCLUSION: Among infants exposed to a single course of antenatal steroids, delivering more than 7 days after initiation of treatment was associated with an increased need for short-term respiratory support, but not other measures of neonatal morbidity. These data challenge the concept of diminishing efficacy of steroids after 7 days, and question the need for considering a rescue course.

Adult↗

In vitro fertilization (IVF) versus gonadotropins followed by IVF as treatment for primary infertility: a cost-based decision analysis.

OBJECTIVE: To compare the economic consequences of proceeding directly to IVF to those of proceeding with gonadotropins followed by IVF in patients <35 years of age with unexplained infertility. DESIGN: A decision-tree model. The model incorporated the cost and success of each infertility regimen as well as the pregnancy-associated costs of singleton or multiple gestations and the risk and cost of cerebral palsy. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE(S): Cost per live birth. RESULT(S): Both treatment arms resulted in a >80% chance of birth. The gonadotropin arm was over four times more likely to result in a high-order multiple pregnancy (HOMP). Despite this, when the base case estimates were utilized, immediate IVF emerged as more costly per live birth. In sensitivity analysis, immediate IVF became less costly per live birth when IVF was more likely to achieve birth (55.1%) or cheaper (11,432 dollars) than our base case assumptions. CONCLUSION(S): After considering the risk and cost of HOMP, immediate IVF is more costly per live birth than a trial of gonadotropins prior to IVF.

Costs and Cost Analysis↗