William E Black | PubMed Health

PubMed2002

Does drinking really decrease in bad times?

This paper investigates the relationship between macroeconomic conditions and drinking using individual-level data from 1987 to 1999 interview years of the "behavioral risk factor surveillance system" (BRFSS). We confirm the procyclical variation in overall drinking identified in previous research using aggregate sales data and show that this largely results from changes in consumption by existing drinkers, rather than movements into or out of drinking. Moreover, the decrease occurring during bad economic times is concentrated among heavy consumers, with light drinking actually rising. We also find no evidence that the decline in overall alcohol use masks a rise for persons becoming unemployed during contractions. These results suggest that any stress-induced increases in drinking during bad economic times are more than offset by declines resulting from changes in economic factors such as lower incomes.

Adaptation, Psychological↗

PubMedDate not supplied

Challenges in improving care for high-risk seniors in Medicare.

Despite strong interest in improving care for high-risk elders, demonstration projects typically show negative results. This paper examines one large foundation-sponsored initiative to gain insight on why success often is so elusive. The findings indicate that specific flaws in concept, design, and implementation each make it more challenging for demonstrations to achieve their intended goals, especially those involving cost and utilization reductions. We speculate that part of the reason for this is that organizational and political processes lead to fundamentally conservative demonstrations that assume that small amounts of resources directed at incremental change can be effective in generating substantial change in organizations and can do so rapidly.

Aged↗