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PubMed · 12267585

Forecasting first births.

W J Primeaux·D E Pursell·C L Bare
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Abstract

This study is concerned with one aspect of the family cycle, namely, the transition from young married to young married with small children. The focus is on developing models to forecast entries into this latter stage for the purpose of marketing research. "Using ordinary least squares, forecasting models were estimated for (1) total number of first births, (2) number of white first births, and (3) number of nonwhite first births." Models are estimated for both the United States and California using data from official sources.

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Black or African AmericanAmericasBirth OrderBirth RateCaliforniaCultureDemographyDeveloped CountriesDeveloping CountriesEthnicityFamilyFamily CharacteristicsFertilityForecastingMarketing of Health ServicesMethodsModels, TheoreticalNorth AmericaPopulationPopulation CharacteristicsPopulation DynamicsReproductive HistoryResearchStatistics as TopicUnited StatesWhite PeopleBlacksCultural BackgroundDemographic FactorsEstimation TechnicsEthnic GroupsFamily And HouseholdFamily Life CycleFamily ResearchFertility MeasurementsFirst BirthMarket ResearchMarketingMathematical ModelMethodological StudiesNorthern AmericaPopulation ForecastPregnancy HistoryResearch MethodologyWhitesJournal Article

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W J Primeaux, D E Pursell, C L Bare. 1984. Forecasting first births.. https://doi.org/10.1016/s0090-5720(84)80004-2

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