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On future population.

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N Keyfitz. 1972. On future population.. https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.1972.10482386

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A real-life prospective health economic study of elective single embryo transfer versus two-embryo transfer in first IVF/ICSI cycles.

BACKGROUND: We analysed the difference in maternal, neonatal and total costs after single (SET) versus double day 3 embryo transfer (DET). METHODS: We performed a two-centre prospective study of women in their first IVF/ICSI cycle choosing between SET or DET. Infertility treatment data were gathered from a database; maternal and neonatal outcome data from a case report form (CRF); health economic data from medical acts registered in the CRF for the outpatient part and from hospital bills. SET was performed in 206/367 (56.1%) and DET in 161/367 (43.9%) women. RESULTS: In all, 367 transfers yielded 186 positive pregnancy tests, 148 ongoing pregnancies and 136 live deliveries (50.7, 40.3 and 37.1% per embryo transfer) of which 15 (11.0%) were twins. Live birth rate was 37.4% for SET, 36.6% for DET. Intention-to-treat analysis showed differences for: duration of pregnancy (SET: 39.0 +/- 1.4 versus DET: 38.3 +/- 2.2 weeks; P = 0.055), percentage prematurity (8.5 versus 23.8%; P = 0.033), percentage of neonates hospitalized (5.7 versus 17.9%; P = 0.121) and duration of neonatal hospitalization (6.3 +/- 2.2 versus 10.3 +/- 10.1 days; P = 0.01). Total cost after DET was higher (SET: 4700 +/- 3239 versus DET: 8613 +/- 10 105; P = 0.105), due to significantly higher neonatal costs (451 +/- 957 versus 3453 +/- 8154; P < 0.001) and not to differences in maternal costs (4250 +/- 2882 versus 5160 +/- 4106; P = 0.152). CONCLUSIONS: This prospective health economic study shows that transfer of a single top quality embryo is equally effective as, but substantially cheaper than, double embryo transfer in women <38 years of age in their first IVF/ICSI cycle.

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Are reported preterm birth rates reliable? An analysis of interhospital differences in the calculation of the weeks of gestation at delivery and preterm birth rate.

We investigated the possibility of preterm birth misclassification as a determinant of variation in its reported rates. Using a database of 497,105 deliveries from 17 hospitals, the best estimate of gestational age made at delivery and entered into the database at that time was recalculated from the menstrual dates and mid-trimester ultrasound scan. The recalculated completed weeks of gestation at delivery was compared with that made at birth. Calculation of estimated gestational age varied between hospitals due to inconsistencies in 'rounding' and 'truncating' the weeks of gestation at delivery. This resulted in preterm birth misclassification rates of up to 10.1%.

Birth Rate↗