PubMed Health⌕ Search

PubMed · 12540712

A simple statistical method for measuring how life events affect happiness.

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Life events-like illness, marriage, or unemployment-have important effects on people. But there is no accepted way to measure the different sizes of these events upon human happiness and psychological health. By using happiness regression equations, economists have recently developed a method. METHODS: We estimate happiness regressions using large random samples of individuals. The relative coefficients of income and life events on happiness allow us to calculate a monetary 'compensating amount' for each kind of life event. RESULTS: The paper calculates the impact of different life events upon human well-being. Getting married, for instance, is calculated to bring each year the same amount of happiness, on average, as having an extra pound 70 000 of income per annum. The psychological costs of losing a job greatly exceed those from the pure drop in income. Health is hugely important to happiness. Widowhood brings a degree of unhappiness that would take, on average, an extra pound 170 000 per annum to offset. Well-being regressions also allow us to assess one of the oldest conjectures in social science-that well-being depends not just on absolute things but inherently on comparisons with other people. We find evidence for comparison effects. CONCLUSION: We believe that the new statistical method has many applications. In principle, it can be used to value any kind of event in life.

Explore related subjects

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeXRIS

Andrew E Clark, Andrew J Oswald. 2002. A simple statistical method for measuring how life events affect happiness.. https://doi.org/10.1093/ije%2F31.6.1139

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related citations

A comparison of regression trees, logistic regression, generalized additive models, and multivariate adaptive regression splines for predicting AMI mortality.

Clinicians and health service researchers are frequently interested in predicting patient-specific probabilities of adverse events (e.g. death, disease recurrence, post-operative complications, hospital readmission). There is an increasing interest in the use of classification and regression trees (CART) for predicting outcomes in clinical studies. We compared the predictive accuracy of logistic regression with that of regression trees for predicting mortality after hospitalization with an acute myocardial infarction (AMI). We also examined the predictive ability of two other types of data-driven models: generalized additive models (GAMs) and multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS). We used data on 9484 patients admitted to hospital with an AMI in Ontario. We used repeated split-sample validation: the data were randomly divided into derivation and validation samples. Predictive models were estimated using the derivation sample and the predictive accuracy of the resultant model was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve in the validation sample. This process was repeated 1000 times-the initial data set was randomly divided into derivation and validation samples 1000 times, and the predictive accuracy of each method was assessed each time. The mean ROC curve area for the regression tree models in the 1000 derivation samples was 0.762, while the mean ROC curve area of a simple logistic regression model was 0.845. The mean ROC curve areas for the other methods ranged from a low of 0.831 to a high of 0.851. Our study shows that regression trees do not perform as well as logistic regression for predicting mortality following AMI. However, the logistic regression model had performance comparable to that of more flexible, data-driven models such as GAMs and MARS.

Data Interpretation, Statistical↗

Multiple linear regression with some correlated errors: classical and robust methods.

In this paper we consider classical and robust methods of estimation and diagnostics for the multiple linear regression model when some of the errors are correlated. This work was motivated by the analysis of a medical data set, from an observational study aimed at identifying factors affecting the outcome of a surgical method for the correction of scoliosis (abnormal lateral spinal curvature). There are 392 observations but some of them are on the same patient (double curves). It seems adequate to consider a multiple linear regression model but, since it is not desirable to discard the double curves, the assumption of non-correlated errors is clearly violated, and this is indeed confirmed by related diagnostics on the residuals (Durbin-Watson test). A more appropriate model retains the linear structure but allows for non-null correlation between the errors on the same patient. We propose two different procedures for the estimation of the parameters of the linear model and the correlation parameters: maximum likelihood assuming normal errors and a robustified version obtained by plugging-in results from robust linear regression. The latter procedure is designed to be resistant to outlying observations or error distributions with heavy tails and has produced the most satisfactory results for the analysed data set.

Data Interpretation, Statistical↗

Adaptive design method based on sum of p-values.

Bauer and Kohne proposed an adaptive design using Fisher's combination of independent p-values based on subsamples from different stages (Biometrics 1994; 50(4):1029-1041). Their method provides great flexibility in the selection of statistical methods for hypothesis testing of subsamples. However, the choices for the stopping boundaries are not flexible enough to meet practical needs (Biometrics 2001; 57(3): 886-891). In this paper, an adaptive design method is proposed using linear combination of the independent p-values. The method provides great flexibility in the selection of stopping boundaries and no numerical integration is required for the two-stage designs. The stopping boundaries and p-values can be calculated manually. The operating characteristics of the adaptive designs are studied using computer simulations with and without sample size adjustment. Examples are presented for superiority and non-inferiority trials with different endpoints (normal, binary, and survival) under different adaptations. The statistical efficiency of the proposed method is compared with other methods based on conditional power.

Data Interpretation, Statistical↗