PubMed · 13100536
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G KATONA. 1953. Rational behavior and economic behavior.. https://doi.org/10.1037/h0060640
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Literature describing environmental influences on human conception and gestation implies that the ratio of male to female live births should vary positively over time with the population's ability to produce and distribute goods and services. No direct test of this hypothesis appears in the literature despite its apparent importance in understanding the biological implications of collective choices. We offer a test based on Swedish data for the years 1862 through 1991. The results support the hypothesis. We argue that the findings have implications for basic science as well as for the debate over the biological effects of social policy.
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The need to assess subtle, potentially exploitable changes in serial structure is paramount in the analysis of financial data. Herein, we demonstrate the utility of approximate entropy (ApEn), a model-independent measure of sequential irregularity, toward this goal, by several distinct applications. We consider both empirical data and models, including composite indices (Standard and Poor's 500 and Hang Seng), individual stock prices, the random-walk hypothesis, and the Black-Scholes and fractional Brownian motion models. Notably, ApEn appears to be a potentially useful marker of system stability, with rapid increases possibly foreshadowing significant changes in a financial variable.