Polygenic Risk Scores Predicting Estimated GFR Validated With Iohexol Clearance.

Abstract

INTRODUCTION: Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have identified hundreds of single nucleotide variants (SNVs) associated with estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). eGFR has been used as a proxy phenotype because of the complexity and cost of measured GFR (mGFR) in large studies. Because eGFR is influenced by non-GFR factors, these GWAS results may be biased compared with a hypothetical study using mGFR. We aimed to investigate this by comparing aggregate measures of genetic effects on mGFR and eGFR. METHODS: We studied 1492 persons from the Renal Iohexol Clearance Survey (RENIS) cohort, a representative sample of the general population in Northern Norway without preexisting cardiovascular disease, kidney disease, or diabetes. We measured iohexol-clearance, and genotyping was performed with a microarray chip enriched for GFR-related SNVs. We compared the performance of 3 published polygenic risk scores (PGS) developed for creatinine-based eGFR (eGFRcr), narrow-sense heritability (h2) and the mean effect of SNVs on mGFR, eGFRcr, cystatin C-based eGFR (eGFRcys) and eGFRcr-cys. RESULTS: The performance of the PGS differed for mGFR and the 3 eGFRs, with best performance for prediction of eGFRcr (P < 0.05). However, when the beta coefficients of the SNVs in the 3 PGS were estimated in the RENIS-cohort, their magnitude was 11% to 46% greater for mGFR than for the 3 eGFR methods in 8 of 9 comparisons (P < 0.05). mGFR had higher h2 (0.47) than eGFRcr (0.21), eGFRcys (0.37), and eGFRcr-cys (0.42). CONCLUSIONS: SNVs with non-GFR effects on creatinine and cystatin-C influence GWAS results. The results of GWAS using eGFR should be validated using experimental and other more precise methods.