Variant harmonization critically determines polygenic score transferability for lipid traits in Samoan populations.

Abstract

Dyslipidemia is a significant risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD), the leading cause of death in Samoa. Polygenic scores (PGSs) for lipid traits offer promise for improved CVD risk prediction; however, their performance in Pacific Islander populations-comprising only 0.002% of genome-wide association study (GWAS) participants as of 2024-remains unknown. We evaluated the transferability of multi-ancestry PGS for LDL cholesterol (LDL-C), HDL cholesterol (HDL-C), triglycerides (TGs), and total cholesterol (TC) in 4,342 Samoan adults across five cohorts spanning 1990-2010. PGSs from Graham et al. and Kanoni et al. multi-ancestry meta-analyses were harmonized with genome-wide imputed genotypes using a Samoan-specific reference panel, and performance was assessed via incremental R2 from linear mixed models with bootstrapped confidence intervals. HDL-C showed the highest performance (incremental R2 5.0%-15.0%), followed by TC (5.0%-10.7%), LDL-C (5.7%-8.6%), and TG (3.5%-7.0%). Critically, meaningful LDL-C performance was achieved only with the genome-wide PRS-CS score (99.6%-99.7% variant matching), while a curated pruning-and-thresholding score achieved ∼9% matching and near-zero performance. These findings establish systematic lipid PGS benchmarks in Samoans, demonstrating meaningful transferability when genome-wide variant coverage is ensured, and highlight variant harmonization as a critical precondition for PGS deployment in underrepresented populations.