Causal Relationship Between Ischemic Stroke and Vascular Dementia: A Mendelian Randomization Study.

Abstract

Ischemic stroke (IS) is a major cause of disability and mortality worldwide, and vascular dementia (VaD) is a common dementia subtype associated with cerebrovascular injury. Observational studies have suggested a relationship between IS and VaD, but these studies are vulnerable to confounding and reverse causality. This protocol describes a reproducible two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) workflow for evaluating the potential causal association between IS and VaD using publicly available genome-wide association study (GWAS) summary statistics. Genetic instruments associated with IS were extracted from a public GWAS dataset, and outcome associations for VaD were obtained from a public VaD GWAS dataset. The corresponding dataset IDs are provided in the Protocol section. After outcome matching and allele harmonization, 51 single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) were retained for the final MR analysis. The workflow includes instrumental variable selection, linkage disequilibrium clumping, allele harmonization, instrument strength assessment, inverse variance weighted (IVW) analysis, weighted median analysis, MR-Egger analysis, heterogeneity testing, horizontal pleiotropy assessment, and leave-one-out sensitivity analysis. In the representative analysis, the IVW method showed a positive association between genetically predicted IS and VaD risk, and the weighted median method yielded a directionally concordant result. The MR-Egger estimate was directionally consistent but did not reach statistical significance. Therefore, these findings should be interpreted as suggestive evidence of a possible causal effect, rather than definitive proof of causality. This protocol may help researchers apply a transparent and reproducible MR workflow to investigate cerebrovascular disease-related outcomes using public GWAS data.