PubMed HealthSearch

PubMed · 8407021

A note on waiting lists and demand estimation.

Abstract

Much debate has taken place in the public policy arena concerning the issue of treatment on demand. This article provides a brief discussion of the potential uses of waiting list information in estimating the level of capacity required to address "expressed" demand. A model developed for this purpose is amenable to integration with planning and budgeting processes. Limitations of the model are examined, and possible directions for refinement are suggested.

Explore related subjects

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeXRIS

R S Simeone. 1993. A note on waiting lists and demand estimation.. https://doi.org/10.3109/10826089309062181

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related citations

End-stage renal disease among silica-exposed gold miners. A new method for assessing incidence among epidemiologic cohorts.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the association between silica exposure and end-stage renal disease (ESRD). DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. PARTICIPANTS: A cohort of 2412 white male gold miners was studied. Eligible gold miners worked underground for at least 1 year between 1940 and 1965 in a South Dakota gold mine and were alive on January 1,1977. Of primary interest was exposure to silica. METHODS: The ESRD Program Management and Medical Information System (PMMIS) was used to identify members of the gold mine cohort who had treated ESRD and to create a US rate file for treated ESRD. The ESRD incidence among the gold miners was compared with that in the US population. RESULTS: Based on the 11 cohort members identified with treated ESRD, the risk for ESRD in the cohort was elevated (standardized incidence ratio [SIR], 1.37; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.68-2.46). The risk was greatest for nonsystemic ESRD (ESRD caused by glomerulonephritis or interstitial nephritis) for which the SIR was 4.22 (95% CI, 1.54-9.19), increasing to 7.70 (95% CI, 1.59-22.48) among workers with 10 or more years of employment underground. CONCLUSIONS: To our knowledge this is the first epidemiologic study to examine ESRD incidence in an occupational cohort. This study provides evidence that silica exposure is associated with an increased risk for ESRD, especially ESRD caused by glomerulonephritis. This study also demonstrates the usefulness of the ESRD PMMIS to assess ESRD risk among cohorts exposed to potential nephrotoxins.

Cohort Studies

Psychopathology in male and female HIV-positive and negative injecting drug users: longitudinal course over 3 years.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the impact of HIV illness on psychiatric and psychosocial functioning over 3 years in a sample of male and female HIV-positive injecting drug users (IDU), with a comparison group of HIV-negative male and female IDU. DESIGN: As part of a multidisciplinary study, 121 men (69 HIV-positive, 52 HIV-negative) and 66 women (36 HIV-positive, 30 HIV-negative) were evaluated semiannually for seven visits. Attrition, unrelated to sex or serostatus, was 33%. RESULTS: At baseline, rates of major depression and dysthymia ranged from 15% (HIV-negative men) to 33% (HIV-positive men and HIV-negative women). Global impairment was in the range found in psychiatric patients (mean Global Assessment of Functioning scores, 46-51). Higher levels of social support and less social conflict were independently associated with decreased distress and improved global functioning among both men and women. For both HIV-positive groups, degree of improvement over time was related to degree to HIV progression: those who remained healthier in terms of CD4 count and illness stage showed more improvement. HIV-seronegative status was associated with less distress for men but not for women. Overall, women reported higher levels of psychiatric distress than men. CONCLUSIONS: High rates of psychopathology were found in this IDU cohort, independent of HIV status and sex. Although rates of psychopathology, injecting drug use and distress declined slightly during the study, they remained elevated; accordingly, psychiatric services are indicated for this population.

Cohort Studies

Threaded fusion cages for lumbar interbody fusions. An economic comparison with 360 degrees fusions.

STUDY DESIGN: This study compared the surgical and hospitalization costs, operating times, and blood loss attributable to lumbar interbody fusions at one and two lumbar levels by the use of two device systems: 1) the Ray Threaded Fusion Cage, and 2) an anteroposterior interbody technique with pedicle screw and rod stabilization (360 degrees fusion). The clinical efficacy and complication rate of each method were similar. OBJECTIVES: Data were analyzed to compare the newer threaded fusion cage method with the well established 360 degrees technique. SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA: Interbody bone grafts are a proven concept to obtain solid spinal fusions. A variety of mechanical means are used to stabilize the graft material during the fusion growth and have been shown to be important in facilitating both the rate and ultimate quality of the fusion. METHODS: In a cohort of 50 prospectively selected patients having severe, disabling back pain with discal degeneration, 25 received Ray Threaded Fusion Cages and 25 had anteroposterior interbody fusion procedures using pedicle screws (360 degrees technique) over the period 1991 to 1995. All implants were performed by the same surgeon in the same hospital. All fusions were judged solid by established radiologic criteria. Cost comparisons were made from pertinent medical records using inflation-corrected 1995 U.S. dollars. RESULTS: The average combined (surgeon, hospital, anesthesiologist) costs attributed to one-level threaded fusion cage procedures were $25,171, and $41,813 to equivalent 360 degrees procedures, a difference of 40% or $16,642. Costs for two-level cases were $33,113 and $47,320, respectively, differing by 30% or $14,207. The average saving through preferential use of the threaded fusion cage was $14,639 per case, or $365,966 for the 25-patient subgroup. Ten of the 360 degrees fusion cases required later instrumentation removal, adding $8,635 to the costs of each such case, a final difference of $22,889 compared with an equivalent threaded fusion cage case. The actual collections on threaded fusion cage cases were 81% of billed costs and the actual collections on 360 degrees cases were 73% of billed costs. CONCLUSIONS: Assuming that the fusion success, clinical outcome, and complication rates are sufficiently similar between these two techniques, the striking improvement in overall surgical and hospitalization costs, surgical time, and blood losses provided by the threaded fusion cage technique can be major decision points in method selection. Further, no threaded fusion cage case having a normal adjacent level preoperatively developed a fusion transition syndrome over a followup period from 3 to 29 months (averaging 24 months) that required a second fusion procedure, and no cage had to be removed because of instrumentation-associated pain, although each of these problems are known to occur in at lease 10% of pedicle screw implants. Ten of the 25 (40%) 360 degrees fusion cases in this study required subsequent instrumentation removal, although no case has required adjacent level surgery for transition syndrome.

Cohort Studies