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PubMed2026

Lesion viral burden, multidrug-resistant superinfection, and HIV-associated haematological vulnerability in hospitalised clade Ib mpox: a prospective cohort study in Uganda.

BACKGROUND: Mpox has shifted to sustained human-to-human transmission across Africa, yet integrated triage incorporating viral burden, bacterial co-infection, antimicrobial resistance (AMR), HIV status, and routine biomarkers remain scarce. METHODS: At Uganda's national mpox referral hospital, we prospectively enrolled 155 adults at 14 ± 2 days post-symptom onset; mpox was confirmed by lesion-swab qPCR (F3L), with clade assignment by whole-genome sequencing in a prespecified subset (March-April 2025). Lesion viral DNA burden was estimated using qPCR cycle threshold (Ct) values. Purulent lesions underwent EUCAST-standardised culture and susceptibility testing. Routine laboratory assessments included complete blood counts, C-reactive protein, serum chemistries, HIV serostatus, and plasma HIV-1 RNA. FINDINGS: Median age was 30 years, and 73/155 (47%) had HIV infection. Multisite pain, particularly anogenital, was highly prevalent. Among 80 participants with purulent lesions selected for clinically suspected bacterial superinfection, all yielded bacterial growth; 35/80 (43.8%) were polymicrobial and predominantly multidrug-resistant Gram-negative bacilli. Susceptibility to first-line β-lactams and fluoroquinolones was low, whereas meropenem retained activity (51/61, 84%). Lesion viral burden did not differ by HIV serostatus and showed weak correlation with HIV-1 viraemia; higher burden was associated with leucocytosis, neutrophilia with left shift, elevated CRP, and hypoalbuminaemia. Genomes clustered within Clade Ib, without segregation by HIV status or clinical severity. INTERPRETATION: Hospitalised adults with acute Clade Ib mpox in Uganda exhibited high lesion viral burden, frequent multidrug-resistant bacterial co-isolation, and an inflammatory haematological profile accentuated in participants living with HIV-1. These findings support consideration of integrating diagnostic microbiology, HIV viral load assessment, and antimicrobial stewardship into mpox case-management in endemic settings. FUNDING: This study was supported by the Coalition for Epidemic Preparedness Innovations (CEPI; Project ID PRJ-8284).

Adult↗
PubMed2026

Saliva versus lesion swabs for PCR diagnosis of acute-phase clade Ib mpox in Uganda: a prospective matched hospital cohort study.

BACKGROUND: As clade Ib mpox expands through HIV-affected populations in east and central Africa, diagnostic specimen selection should balance accuracy, accessibility, and operational feasibility in outbreak settings. Here, we aimed to compare the diagnostic performance of matched plasma, saliva, genital, anal, and skin specimens during the acute rash phase of clade Ib mpox to identify clinically practical and high-yield sampling approaches for outbreak response and clinical care. METHODS: We conducted a prospective cohort study of 155 adults (median age 30 years, IQR 25-36) hospitalised at Uganda's national mpox referral hospital. The specimens were collected between March 3 and April 10, 2025, during the clade Ib outbreak. All participants were admitted with suspected mpox and were subsequently confirmed by MPXV PCR. We collected 836 clinical specimens (acid citrate dextrose plasma, saliva, genital swabs, anal swabs, and skin swabs) during the acute phase (visit 1; 14 days [SD 2] after systemic symptom onset) and at approximately 3 months (visit 2). A matched acute-phase subset (n=80) provided concurrent plasma, saliva, genital, and skin specimens for within-participant comparisons. MPXV DNA was quantified by F3L real-time quantitative PCR, and cycle threshold (Ct) values were compared using paired Wilcoxon signed-rank tests. Whole-genome sequencing of selected acute specimens confirmed clade assignment. FINDINGS: In the matched subset at visit 1, PCR positivity was high in saliva (78 [98%] of 80), skin swabs (78 [98%] of 80), and genital swabs (77 [96%] of 80). Results for the saliva closely mirrored genital and skin swab results, supporting saliva as a high-yield alternative when lesion sampling is painful, operationally difficult, or unacceptable. Plasma had substantially lower sensitivity (34 [43%] of 80) and showed poor agreement with mucocutaneous compartments. At 3 months, persistent MPXV DNA was rare (ten [9%] of 109) and clustered among people with HIV, including the only two participants with persistent plasma positivity. All sequenced genomes clustered within clade Ib. INTERPRETATION: During the established rash phase (14 days [SD 2] after onset), saliva provides diagnostic yield similar to that provided by lesion swabs for clade Ib mpox in this hospitalised cohort. These findings are restricted to this sampling window; further studies are needed to define performance in prodromal, pre-rash, and asymptomatic infection. FUNDING: CEPI through its Centralised Laboratory Network.

Adult↗
PubMed2004

Human monkeypox.

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Animals↗
PubMed2003

The role of evolution in the emergence of infectious diseases.

It is unclear when, where and how novel pathogens such as human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), monkeypox and severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) will cross the barriers that separate their natural reservoirs from human populations and ignite the epidemic spread of novel infectious diseases. New pathogens are believed to emerge from animal reservoirs when ecological changes increase the pathogen's opportunities to enter the human population and to generate subsequent human-to-human transmission. Effective human-to-human transmission requires that the pathogen's basic reproductive number, R(0), should exceed one, where R(0) is the average number of secondary infections arising from one infected individual in a completely susceptible population. However, an increase in R(0), even when insufficient to generate an epidemic, nonetheless increases the number of subsequently infected individuals. Here we show that, as a consequence of this, the probability of pathogen evolution to R(0) > 1 and subsequent disease emergence can increase markedly.

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