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Cost-effectiveness of population-wide genomic screening for Lynch Syndrome and polygenic risk scores to inform colorectal cancer screening.

PURPOSE: Genomic screening to identify individuals with Lynch Syndrome (LS) and those with a high polygenic risk score (PRS) promises to personalize colorectal cancer (CRC) screening. Understanding its clinical and economic impact is needed to inform screening guidelines and reimbursement policies. METHODS: We developed a Markov model to simulate individuals over a lifetime. We compared LS+PRS genomic screening with standard of care (SOC) for a cohort of US adults at age 30. The Markov model included health states of no CRC, CRC stages (A-D), and death. We estimated incidence, mortality, and discounted economic outcomes of the population under different interventions. RESULTS: Screening 1000 individuals for LS+PRS resulted in 1.36 fewer CRC cases and 0.65 fewer deaths compared with SOC. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was $124,415 per quality-adjusted life year; screening had a 69% probability of being cost-effective using a willingness-to-pay threshold of $150,000/quality-adjusted life year . Setting the PRS threshold at the 90th percentile of the LS+PRS screening program to define individuals at high risk was most likely to be cost-effective compared with 95th, 85th, and 80th percentiles. CONCLUSION: Population-level LS+PRS screening is marginally cost-effective, and a threshold of 90th percentile is more likely to be cost-effective than other thresholds.

Humans

Evaluating the impact of modeling choices on the performance of integrated genetic and clinical models.

PURPOSE: The value of genetic information for improving the performance of clinical risk prediction models has yielded variable conclusions. Many methodological decisions have the potential to contribute to differential results. We performed multiple modeling experiments integrating clinical and demographic data from electronic health records with genetic data to understand which decisions may affect performance. METHODS: Clinical data in the form of structured diagnostic codes, medications, procedural codes, and demographics were extracted from 2 large independent health systems, and polygenic risk scores (PRS) were generated across all patients of European ancestry with genetic data in the corresponding biobanks. Crohn's disease was studied based on its substantial genetic component, established electronic health records-based definition, and sufficient prevalence for training and testing. We investigated the impact of choices regarding the PRS integration method, training sample, model complexity, and performance metrics. RESULTS: Overall, our results showed that including PRS resulted in higher performance, but this gain was only robust in situations with limited clinical information. We found consistent performance increases from more compute-intensive models, such as random forest, but the impact of other decisions varied by site. CONCLUSION: This work highlights the importance of considering methodological decision points in interpreting the impact of PRS on prediction performance in clinical models.

Humans

Intersectionality in a sociogenomic world: How do race, disability, socioeconomic status, and polygenic prediction interact to affect perceptions of educational trajectories?

PURPOSE: Education is important for lifelong skills and economic growth; however, student placement decisions may be shaped by social biases. As genomic information captured via polygenic scores becomes more available, it may also inform student placement decisions. We assessed the intersectional effects of polygenic scores, race, disability, and socioeconomic status on US adults' views of educational trajectories using an online experimental survey design. METHODS: A total of 1367 US adults were randomized to one of 16 conditions and prompted to read a short vignette about a boy named Michael, also depicted in an image. Each condition varied Michael's race (Black/White), disability (wheelchair user/no), socioeconomic status (high/low), and polygenic score (high/low) for educational attainment (EA-PGS). After reading the vignette, the respondents were asked to answer multichoice questions about Michael's immediate and long-term educational trajectories. RESULTS: Variation in Michael's EA-PGS strongly influenced participants' expectations regarding (1) the most appropriate immediate educational program for Michael (ie, general, special, or gifted education), (2) whether he would graduate high school, and, if so, (3) the highest educational degree he would complete in his lifetime (associate, bachelor, master, or PhD). Across these responses, high EA-PGS was associated with more socially desirable outcomes, whereas the opposite was true for low EA-PGS. Depicting Michael in a wheelchair significantly influenced respondents' expectations that his most appropriate immediate educational trajectory would be special. There were significant interactions between Michael's race, disability, socioeconomic status, and the EA-PGS. CONCLUSION: Information about children's EA-PGS may affect their views about their immediate and long-term educational trajectories. The negative effects of low EA-PGS were comparable to those of high EA-PGS. The EA-PGS may be interpreted in ways that compound the existing stereotypes related to a child's race, disability, and socioeconomic status.

Humans

Psychological and emotional impacts of communicating breast cancer risk using multifactorial assessment with polygenic risk score: Findings from PERSPECTIVE I&I.

PURPOSE: To examine the psychological and emotional outcomes of personalized breast cancer risk communication up to 1 year after disclosure in a risk-stratified breast screening preimplementation study (Personalized Risk Assessment for Prevention and Early Detection of Breast Cancer: Integration and Implementation). METHODS: Among 3753 females aged 40 to 69, unaffected by breast cancer, with a prior mammogram, and who underwent multifactorial risk assessment to estimate their 10-year breast cancer risk, 2734 completed follow-up questionnaires up to 1 year after risk communication: 78.5% were at average risk, 16.5% at higher than average risk, and 5.0% at high risk. The impact of risk communication on breast cancer worry and psychological distress and factors associated with decisional regret were examined. RESULTS: Breast cancer worry and psychological distress scores remained low after risk communication and at 1 year follow-up. Up to 1 year after disclosure, small significant differences in breast cancer worry were observed between risk levels. Decisional regret was very low 1 year after risk communication. Lower levels of decisional regret were significantly associated with some factors, including higher satisfaction with the information received. CONCLUSION: This study suggests that personalized breast cancer risk communication has low negative psychological and emotional effects and highlights the importance of the information received for implementing this approach at population level.

Humans

Eugenics and polygenic embryo screening: Public, clinician, and patient perceptions of conditions versus traits.

PURPOSE: Polygenic embryo screening (PES) estimates an embryo's genetic chances of developing complex conditions (eg, cancer) and traits (eg, height). Stakeholders have raised concerns that PES promotes eugenic practices and ideology. METHODS: We surveyed a nationally representative sample of the US public on approval of screening embryos for 12 conditions and 12 traits and examined the association between disapproval and concern about eugenics. We also conducted semistructured interviews with US-based reproductive endocrinology and infertility specialists and patients undergoing in vitro fertilization on their perspectives toward PES. RESULTS: Among the US public (n = 1423), disapproval of screening embryos for traits has a stronger association with concern that PES promotes eugenics than disapproval of screening embryos for conditions. Interviews with reproductive endocrinology and infertility specialists (n = 27) and patients undergoing in vitro fertilization (n = 26) suggest that perceptions of PES as eugenic were more common when discussing screening and selecting for or against traits versus selecting against conditions. CONCLUSION: Results suggest PES for traits is more frequently associated with eugenics and perceived often as unacceptable, whereas PES for conditions is perceived sometimes as acceptable. Future research should explore whether the distinction between conditions and traits is meaningful in the definition of eugenics and/or approval of genomics-based embryo selection and how that influences clinical practices and policy.

Humans

Polygenic risk scores in the clinic: Health-system leaders and primary care providers weigh in.

PURPOSE: The fourth phase of the Electronic Medical Records and Genome Network is testing the return of 10 polygenic risk scores (PRS) across multiple clinics. Understanding the perspectives of health-system leaders and frontline clinicians can inform plans for implementation of PRS. METHODS: A total of 15 health-system leaders and 20 primary care providers took part in semistructured interviews. A descriptive thematic analysis was performed. RESULTS: Interviewees generally perceived PRS to have limited clinical utility, although they saw value in the potential to identify and act upon risks that are not otherwise detectable. Perceived potential drawbacks included negative psycho-emotional effects on patients, unnecessary follow-up, distracting from population health priorities, opportunity costs, and medicolegal liability. Implementation considerations included increased encounter time and the need for clinical practice guidelines, provider training, care coordination, and point-of-care resources. CONCLUSION: Participants generally expressed favorable views of precision medicine and also identified potential challenges to introducing PRS in clinical care. Implementation will require careful assessment of clinical utility vs usual care; ensuring that the benefit to be realized merits the time and resources required to interpret, return, and act on results and developing guidelines and other decision-making supports for providers and patients.

Humans

Polygenic variants in DNA repair genes are associated with neurodevelopmental disorders, regression and increased burdens of somatic variants and short tandem repeat expansions.

PURPOSE: Developmental regression, characterized by the loss of acquired milestones, occurs in some individuals with neurodevelopmental disorders (NDDs); yet, its molecular basis remains unclear. Studies suggest that DNA damage repair (DDR) genes, such as FAN1, may protect against neurological dysfunction by modulating the somatic stability of short tandem repeats (STRs). This study explores the contribution of DDR gene variants in NDD cases presenting with regression. METHODS: We analyzed 1087 NDD patients, focusing on those carrying variants in DDR genes and presenting regression. We assessed the sensitivity to DNA damage using mitomycin C on lymphoblastoid cells. Somatic variants and STR expansions were evaluated through high-depth short-read genome sequencing. To further investigate the pathogenetic role of STR expansions, we performed long-read genome sequencing on the most severely affected proband. RESULTS: Probands with regression carried multiple DDR gene variants, several within the Fanconi anemia pathway. Their lymphoblastoid cells showed increased sensitivity to mitomycin C-induced cytotoxicity compared with parental and control samples. Probands with severe phenotypes and regression exhibited an accumulation of somatic variants and STR instability, enriched in neurodevelopmental genes. CONCLUSION: Our findings suggest that polygenic DDR gene variants may contribute to developmental regression in NDDs by promoting the accumulation of somatic variants and STR expansions.

Humans

Deep learning and statistical methods identify novel asthma risk variants in Europeans.

BACKGROUND: Asthma is a common heritable respiratory disorder with a complex genetic basis. Although large-scale genome-wide association studies have identified many risk loci, the full spectrum of its polygenic architecture remains to be defined. OBJECTIVE: We refined the genetic landscape of asthma in individuals of European ancestry and improve polygenic risk prediction through statistical and deep learning-based methods. METHODS: We conducted the largest genome-wide association study meta-analysis of asthma in individuals of European ancestry, combining data from the Global Biobank Meta-analysis Initiative (121,940 cases, 1,254,131 controls) and the Million Veteran Program (36,823 cases, 398,278 controls). To enhance discovery, we applied pleiotropy-informed multitrait analysis and conditional false discovery rate approaches, each incorporating eosinophil counts as a secondary trait. In parallel, we used a Transformer-based deep learning framework to further prioritize variants and improve polygenic risk prediction. RESULTS: The meta-analysis identified 69 independent genome-wide significant loci (P&#x2009;<&#x2009;5 &#xd7; 10-8) not previously reported in asthma. Multitrait analysis of genome-wide association studies, conditional false discovery rate, and deep learning approaches uncovered additional candidate loci. Functional annotation and expression quantitative trait locus mapping implicated novel genes in immune regulation, airway remodeling, and metabolic processes. Polygenic risk score models derived from deep learning-prioritized variants outperformed those based on conventional genome-wide association study and standard statistical approaches. CONCLUSIONS: Our study yields a comprehensive map of asthma-associated loci in European ancestry populations, improves genetic risk prediction, and informs future mechanistic studies.

Humans

Context-specific genetic effects inform endotypes and treatment in asthma.

BACKGROUND: Asthma has heterogeneous risk factors, subtypes, and treatments. It is often unclear how to stratify this heterogeneity in scientific studies and clinical care. Genetics could explain root causes of this clinical heterogeneity, called endotypes, but prior studies have used models that are not designed for complex diseases like asthma. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to find genetic effects that partly explain different asthma endotypes. METHODS: We used recent powerful and robust statistical models of context-specific genetic effects in complex traits. We identified genetic subtypes by clustering clinical asthma features in a case-control cohort, GALA II. We replicated the genetic endotypes in the UK Biobank with gene-context interaction tests. RESULTS: Asthma-associated single nucleotide polymorphisms, polygenic scores, and genome-wide heritability revealed subtype-specific genetic endotypes correlated with type 2 inflammation, allergy, and neuroticism. We validated the type 2 associations with molecular data including nasal RNA sequencing. In the UK Biobank, we replicated these endotypes and found they interact with several polygenic scores and drug-relevant genes. CONCLUSION: Our results show how context-specific genetic effects can unravel biomedically meaningful endotypes of complex disease and suggest novel precision treatment strategies.

Humans

Polygenic risk scores in major depressive disorder: A systematic review across diagnostic, treatment, course/severity, and subtype domains.

BACKGROUND: Major depressive disorder (MDD) is heterogeneous across diagnostic, treatment-related, course/severity, and subtype domains. Polygenic risk score (PRS) studies have examined these domains, but differences in PRS sources, samples, methods, and endpoint definitions have fragmented the evidence. We synthesised findings and examined potential contributors to heterogeneity. METHODS: PubMed/MEDLINE, Embase, PsycINFO, and Web of Science were searched for studies published from January 2016 through 25 November 2025. Result records were synthesised using SWiM, and certainty was assessed with an adapted GRADE framework. RESULTS: Sixty studies contributed 493 retained records; 450 were descriptively classified as positive, null, or reverse, although records were not independent. Positive findings accounted for 44/56 diagnostic, 61/273 treatment-related, 64/100 course/severity, and 14/21 subtype records. For MDD/depression-derived PRSs and case-control MDD status, all 10 contributing studies showed higher liability in cases (exploratory exact sign test p&#xa0;=&#xa0;0.002; FDR q&#xa0;=&#xa0;0.004). The same PRS group showed positive findings for overall depressive symptom severity (14/18), although the study-level test was imprecise (5/5 studies; p&#xa0;=&#xa0;0.063). Pharmacological response/remission findings for these PRSs were mostly null or directionally mixed (10 positive, 18 null, and 9 reverse). Treatment-resistant depression (TRD) findings differed by operational definition. Atypical and psychotic subtype signals arose mainly from single-study PRS and endpoint contrasts. CONCLUSIONS: PRS evidence was clearest for MDD diagnostic status and showed a tentative pattern for overall symptom burden. Treatment and subtype findings were less consistent or less replicated. Larger, ancestrally diverse studies with standardised endpoints and transparent PRS methods are needed.

Humans

Alcohol use disorder and childhood adversity in the association between polygenic risk and suicidality.

OBJECTIVE: Suicidal ideation (SI) and suicide attempt (SA) are both influenced by genetic, behavioral, and environmental factors. Alcohol use disorder (AUD) and adverse childhood experiences (ACEs) may mediate or moderate the effects of genetic liability for suicidality. METHODS: Using data from 10,275 participants (43.8% female; 47.2% African-like genetic ancestry [AFR], 52.8% European-like genetic ancestry [EUR]), we tested whether polygenic scores (PGS) for SI and SA predicted lifetime suicidality outcomes. We evaluated whether AUD partially accounted for these associations and ACEs moderated the direct and indirect associations. RESULTS: The SA PGS was significantly associated with SA (AFR: b&#xa0;=&#xa0;0.36, SE&#xa0;=&#xa0;0.01; EUR: b&#xa0;=&#xa0;0.17, SE&#xa0;=&#xa0;0.01; both ps&#xa0;<&#xa0;2e-16), but the SI PGS was not associated with SI (p&#xa0;>&#xa0;0.55). AUD statistically mediated the association between the SA PGS and SA, accounting for approximately 2% of the total association in AFR individuals and 10% in EUR individuals (both ps&#xa0;<&#xa0;2e-16). Notably, the proportion of the association that was accounted for by AUD decreased as ACEs exposure increased, from 4.30% to 0.54% in AFR individuals and from 13.31% to 3.44% in EUR individuals. In contrast, there was only very modest mediation and no moderated mediation for SI. CONCLUSIONS: Particularly among individuals with lower ACEs exposure, AUD accounted for a meaningful proportion of the association between genetic liability to SA and lifetime SA. These findings highlight different correlates across suicidality phenotypes and suggest potential clinical relevance for AUD in the association between genetic liability and SA.

Adult

Polygenic enrichment analysis in multi-omics levels identifies cell/tissue specific associations with schizophrenia based on single-cell RNA sequencing data.

OBJECTIVE: Understanding the specific cellular origin and tissue heterogeneity in schizophrenia is critically important for exploring the disease etiology. This study aims to investigate these aspects by performing multiple analyses based on omics data. METHOD: We performed single-cell disease relevance score (scDRS) algorithm to link brain single-cell RNA sequencing (scRNA-seq) with schizophrenia risk across multi-omics scales at single-cell resolution. This approach identified cell types with overexpression of schizophrenia-related genes implicated by multi-omics panels (ATAC-seq, RNA-seq, TWAS, and GWAS). Schizophrenia-related genes from these multi-omics panels were extracted and combined with scRNA-seq data to calculate scDRS. Subsequently, the cell-type vs. disease association and tissue heterogeneity were assessed using scDRS for each omics panel. RESULTS: We identified two novel cell subpopulations in the brain that differentially express SCUBE3 (59 cells, 7.0&#xa0;%) and FN1 (21 cells, 2.5&#xa0;%). At the individual cell level, schizophrenia-associated cell subpopulations included microglial cell associated with ATAC-seq panel (Passociation&#xa0;=&#xa0;0.002, Pheterogeneity&#xa0;=&#xa0;0.009) and deep layer neuron suggestively associated with GWAS panel (Passociation&#xa0;=&#xa0;0.033, Pheterogeneity&#xa0;=&#xa0;0.017). At the brain tissue level, microglial cell was significantly associated with cortical plate in ATAC-seq panel (Passociation&#xa0;=&#xa0;0.002, Pheterogeneity&#xa0;=&#xa0;0.011). Gene level analysis identified several genes associated with schizophrenia across multi-omics panels. CONCLUSIONS: Our study outlines the signature of cell subpopulations, brain regions, and disease risk genes in schizophrenia at single-cell resolution across multi-omics scales. These findings provide a reference for future precision medicine approaches targeting specific cell types and brain regions in schizophrenia.

Schizophrenia

Polygenic risk scores for rheumatoid arthritis and idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis and associations with RA, interstitial lung abnormalities, and quantitative interstitial abnormalities among smokers.

OBJECTIVE: Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) facilitate construction of polygenic risk scores (PRSs) for rheumatoid arthritis (RA) and idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). We investigated associations of RA and IPF PRSs with RA and high-resolution chest computed tomography (HRCT) parenchymal lung abnormalities. METHODS: Participants in COPDGene, a prospective multicenter cohort of current/former smokers, had chest HRCT at study enrollment. Using genome-wide genotyping, RA and IPF PRSs were constructed using GWAS summary statistics. HRCT imaging underwent visual inspection for interstitial lung abnormalities (ILA) and quantitative CT (QCT) analysis using a machine-learning algorithm that quantified percentage of normal lung, interstitial abnormalities, and emphysema. RA was identified through self-report and DMARD use. We investigated associations of RA and IPF PRSs with RA, ILA, and QCT features using multivariable logistic and linear regression. RESULTS: We analyzed 9,230 COPDGene participants (mean age 59.6 years, 46.4 % female, 67.2 % non-Hispanic White, 32.8 % Black/African American). In non-Hispanic White participants, RA PRS was associated with RA diagnosis (OR 1.32 per unit, 95 %CI 1.18-1.49) but not ILA or QCT features. Among non-Hispanic White participants, IPF PRS was associated with ILA (OR 1.88 per unit, 95 %CI 1.52-2.32) and quantitative interstitial abnormalities (adjusted &#x3b2;=+0.50 % per unit, p = 7.3 &#xd7; 10-8) but not RA. There were no statistically significant associations among Black/African American participants. CONCLUSIONS: RA and IPF PRSs were associated with their intended phenotypes among non-Hispanic White participants but performed poorly among Black/African American participants. PRS may have future application to risk stratify for RA diagnosis among patients with ILD or for ILD among patients with RA.

Humans

Using Large Genomic Biobanks to Generate Insights into Genetic Kidney Disease.

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) affects approximately 9% of the global population, leading to increased risks of end-stage kidney disease (ESKD), cardiovascular disease (CVD), and mortality. Patients with CKD are a huge burden on health care resources globally. CKD is a complex condition influenced by a combination of genetic, environmental, and traditional risk factors. Family studies have suggested heritability rates for CKD ranging from 30% to 75%, and large genomic biobank studies have proven essential in identifying genes with substantial effects on CKD risk and in capturing cumulative genetic risk through polygenic risk scores. These biobanks are crucial for discovering new genes associated with kidney health and disease, and their growing size enhances the power to detect novel genetic associations. Integrating multi-omics technologies such as transcriptomics, metabolomics, and proteomics further enriches our understanding of CKD, while advanced computational tools continue to expand our insights into genetic data. Polygenic risk scores, derived from hundreds of genetic variants with small effect sizes, can help identify individuals at high risk of CKD. Genomic biobanks offer valuable opportunities for early identification and personalized treatment of monogenic kidney disorders, such as autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease and Alport syndrome. These biobanks help fill knowledge gaps, particularly in individuals with milder or asymptomatic presentations who are often underrepresented in traditional studies. Expanding genomic biobank efforts globally, especially in diverse populations, is vital to enhancing our understanding of the genetic underpinnings of kidney disease. This review highlights the significant contributions of genomic biobanks to advancing our comprehension of the genetics of CKD.

Humans

Endogenous fine-mapping and prioritization of functional regulatory elements in complex genetic loci.

Most genetic loci linked to polygenic traits are in non-coding regions, with complex regulation and linkage disequilibrium (LD), complicating causal variant and gene prioritization. We used multiplexed single-cell CRISPR interference and activation perturbations to investigate cis-regulatory element (CRE) and gene expression relationships within tight LD in the endogenous chromatin context. We demonstrated the prevalence of multiple causality in perfect LD (pLD) for independent expression quantitative trait loci (eQTLs) and uncovered fine-grained genetic effects on gene expression within pLD, which are difficult to decipher using traditional eQTL fine-mapping or existing computational methods. We found that over one-third of the causal CREs lack classical epigenetic markers prior to perturbation, and we functionally validated one of these hidden regulatory mechanisms. Leveraging Multiome single-cell epigenetic and sequence perturbations, we highlighted the regulatory plasticity of the human genome. Our study will guide the exploration of missing causal mechanisms underlying molecular trait regulation and disease development.

Humans

Polygenic scores capture genetic modification of the adiposity-cardiometabolic risk factor relationship.

Polygenic scores (PGSs) that can predict response to interventions can facilitate precision medicine and are detectable in observational datasets as PGS-by-exposure (PGS&#xd7;E) interactions. PGSs based on interactions (iPGSs) or variance effects (vPGSs) may be more powerful than standard PGSs for detecting PGS&#xd7;E, but these have yet to be systematically compared. We describe a generalized pipeline for developing and comparing these PGS types and apply it to detect genetic modification of the relationship between adiposity (measured by BMI) and a broad set of cardiometabolic risk factors. Our applied analysis in the UK Biobank identified significant PGS&#xd7;BMI for 16/20 risk factors, most consistently for the iPGS approach. Many interactions replicated in All of Us (AoU); for example, we observed a 72% larger BMI-alanine aminotransferase association in the top iPGS decile in AoU. Our study provides a framework for the comparison of PGS&#xd7;E strategies and informs efforts toward clinically useful response-focused PGSs.

Humans

Low and differential polygenic score generalizability among African populations due largely to genetic diversity.

African populations are vastly underrepresented in genetic studies but have the most genetic variation and face wide-ranging environmental exposures globally. Because systematic evaluations of genetic prediction had not yet been conducted in ancestries that span African diversity, we calculated polygenic risk scores (PRSs) in simulations across Africa and in empirical data from South Africa, Uganda, and the United Kingdom to better understand the generalizability of genetic studies. PRS accuracy improves with ancestry-matched discovery cohorts more than from ancestry-mismatched studies. Within ancestrally and ethnically diverse South African individuals, we find that PRS accuracy is low for all traits but varies across groups. Differences in African ancestries contribute more to variability in PRS accuracy than other large cohort differences considered between individuals in the United Kingdom versus Uganda. We computed PRS in African ancestry populations using existing European-only versus ancestrally diverse genetic studies; the increased diversity produced the largest accuracy gains for hemoglobin concentration and white blood cell count, reflecting large-effect ancestry-enriched variants in genes known to influence sickle cell anemia and the allergic response, respectively. Differences in PRS accuracy across African&#xa0;ancestries originating from diverse regions are as large as across out-of-Africa continental ancestries, requiring commensurate nuance.

Humans

Sex-linked familial reflux.

A family is described in which all 3 brothers and the maternal grandfather had vesicoureteral reflux, whereas the father, mother and 3 daughters were urologically normal. This pedigree strongly suggests and X-linked mode of genetic transmission. Nevertheless, available evidence indicates that familial reflux is usually transmitted by multifactorial polygenic inheritance. Hundreds of additional pedigrees will have to be studied before the methods of inheritance are firmly established.

Adolescent