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Polygenic scores capture genetic modification of the adiposity-cardiometabolic risk factor relationship.

Polygenic scores (PGSs) that can predict response to interventions can facilitate precision medicine and are detectable in observational datasets as PGS-by-exposure (PGS×E) interactions. PGSs based on interactions (iPGSs) or variance effects (vPGSs) may be more powerful than standard PGSs for detecting PGS×E, but these have yet to be systematically compared. We describe a generalized pipeline for developing and comparing these PGS types and apply it to detect genetic modification of the relationship between adiposity (measured by BMI) and a broad set of cardiometabolic risk factors. Our applied analysis in the UK Biobank identified significant PGS×BMI for 16/20 risk factors, most consistently for the iPGS approach. Many interactions replicated in All of Us (AoU); for example, we observed a 72% larger BMI-alanine aminotransferase association in the top iPGS decile in AoU. Our study provides a framework for the comparison of PGS×E strategies and informs efforts toward clinically useful response-focused PGSs.

Humans

Low and differential polygenic score generalizability among African populations due largely to genetic diversity.

African populations are vastly underrepresented in genetic studies but have the most genetic variation and face wide-ranging environmental exposures globally. Because systematic evaluations of genetic prediction had not yet been conducted in ancestries that span African diversity, we calculated polygenic risk scores (PRSs) in simulations across Africa and in empirical data from South Africa, Uganda, and the United Kingdom to better understand the generalizability of genetic studies. PRS accuracy improves with ancestry-matched discovery cohorts more than from ancestry-mismatched studies. Within ancestrally and ethnically diverse South African individuals, we find that PRS accuracy is low for all traits but varies across groups. Differences in African ancestries contribute more to variability in PRS accuracy than other large cohort differences considered between individuals in the United Kingdom versus Uganda. We computed PRS in African ancestry populations using existing European-only versus ancestrally diverse genetic studies; the increased diversity produced the largest accuracy gains for hemoglobin concentration and white blood cell count, reflecting large-effect ancestry-enriched variants in genes known to influence sickle cell anemia and the allergic response, respectively. Differences in PRS accuracy across African ancestries originating from diverse regions are as large as across out-of-Africa continental ancestries, requiring commensurate nuance.

Humans

Sex-linked familial reflux.

A family is described in which all 3 brothers and the maternal grandfather had vesicoureteral reflux, whereas the father, mother and 3 daughters were urologically normal. This pedigree strongly suggests and X-linked mode of genetic transmission. Nevertheless, available evidence indicates that familial reflux is usually transmitted by multifactorial polygenic inheritance. Hundreds of additional pedigrees will have to be studied before the methods of inheritance are firmly established.

Adolescent

Polygenic risk factors for comorbid diagnoses in individuals with substance use disorders: A phenome-wide survival analysis.

OBJECTIVE: Persons with substance use disorders (SUD) often suffer from additional comorbidities. Researchers have explored this overlap via phenome-wide association studies (PheWASs). However, PheWASs are largely cross-sectional, limiting our understanding of whether diagnoses predate the development of an SUD. We characterize whether polygenic scores (PGSs) are associated with time to comorbid diagnoses in electronic health records (EHR) after the first documented SUD diagnosis. METHODS: Using data from All of Us (N&#xa0;=&#xa0;393,596), we explored: (1) whether social determinants of health (SDoHs) are associated with lifetime risk of SUD (N cases&#xa0;=&#xa0;42,568) and (2) within a subset those with a diagnosed SUD and available genetic data SUD (N&#xa0;=&#xa0;21,357), whether PGS for alcohol use disorders, cannabis use disorders, depression, externalizing, posttraumatic stress disorder, and schizophrenia were associated with subsequent diagnoses via a phenome-wide survival analysis. RESULTS: Multiple SDoHs were associated with lifetime SUD diagnosis, with annual household income having the largest overall associations (e.g. <$10&#xa0;K annually vs $100&#xa0;K-$150&#xa0;K annually: OR&#xa0;=&#xa0;4.18; 95% CI&#xa0;=&#xa0;3.92, 4.45). There were 86 phenome-wide significant PGS associations with subsequent diagnoses across various bodily systems. PGSs for alcohol use disorders, posttraumatic stress disorder, and schizophrenia were each associated with time to their respective diagnoses. CONCLUSIONS: Social determinants, especially those related to income, have profound associations with lifetime SUD risk. Additionally, PGSs for psychiatric conditions are associated with multiple post-SUD diagnoses within those with a SUD, suggesting PGS may capture information beyond lifetime risk, including timing and severity of comorbidities related to SUD.

Humans

Unravelling sex differences in the genetic architecture of anxiety.

BACKGROUND: Anxiety disorders show striking sex differences in prevalence, symptoms, and clinical characteristics, shaping how they manifest and are experienced. METHODS: Here, we report the first sex-specific meta-analysis of genome-wide association studies (GWAS) of anxiety, leveraging two of the largest biobank datasets, UK Biobank and All of Us, comprising 85,042 female cases with 196,789 controls and 36,732 male cases with 136,924 controls. Functional annotation, sex-specific polygenic scores (PGS), and genetic correlations were performed to assess genetic differences and functional implications. RESULTS: In females, 21 lead SNPs were significantly associated with anxiety, compared to five in males. Although the genetic correlation between sexes was high, it was significantly different from one, indicating partially distinct genetic architectures. In addition, both the SNP-based observed and liability-scale heritabilities (assuming a 2:1 female-to-male prevalence ratio) were significantly higher in females. Gene-based tests and functional prioritization identified different genes associated with anxiety in females and males. Moreover, genetic correlation analyses revealed stronger associations of female anxiety with attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) and body mass index (BMI), whereas male anxiety showed stronger correlations with waist-hip-ratio-adjusted BMI. CONCLUSIONS: While the overall genetic architecture of anxiety is largely shared, our findings reveal distinct sex-specific genetic associations and correlations, highlighting the value of analyzing the sexes separately to uncover genetic signals that may be masked in sex-combined samples.

Female

Longitudinal characterization of impulsivity phenotypes boosts signal for genomic correlates and heritability.

Genomic correlates of impulsivity have been identified in several genome-wide association studies (GWAS) using cross-sectional designs, but no studies have investigated the molecular genetic correlates of impulsivity phenotypes using longitudinally constructed traits. In 3860 unrelated European participants in the Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children (ALSPAC), we constructed longitudinal phenotypes for delay discounting and impulsive personality traits (as measured by the UPPS-P impulsive behavior scales) via assessment at ages 24, 26, and 28. We conducted GWASs of impulsivity using both cross-sectional and longitudinal phenotypes, estimated heritability and their phenotypic and genetic correlations, and evaluated their association with recently-developed polygenic risk scores (PRSs) for the impulsivity indicators themselves and also related psychiatric conditions. Latent growth curve modeling revealed a stable intercept over time for all impulsivity phenotypes. High genetic correlation of cross-sectional measures over time suggested a stable genetic component for delay discounting (rg&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.53-0.99) and sensation seeking (rg&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.99). Heritability estimates of the stable longitudinal phenotypes substantively improved as compared to their cross-sectional counterparts, revealing a significant SNP-heritability for delay discounting (0.22; p&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.03) and sensation seeking (0.35; p&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.0007). Consistent with previous reports, GWAS and gene-based analyses revealed associations between specific longitudinal impulsivity indicators and CADM2 and NCAM1 genes. The PRSs for the impulsivity indicators and disorders related to self-regulation were also significantly associated with longitudinal impulsivity traits. Finally, we validated the associations between longitudinal impulsivity phenotypes and their PRSs in an independent 13-wave longitudinal study (n&#x2009;=&#x2009;1019) and the benefit of longitudinal phenotypes in simulation studies. In this first longitudinal genetic study of impulsivity traits, the results revealed stable genomic correlates of delay discounting and sensation seeking over time and further validated the utility of recently-developed PRSs, both in relation to the observed traits and in connecting them to psychiatric disorders. More generally, these findings support using latent intercepts as novel longitudinal phenotypes to boost signal for heritability and genomic correlates of mechanisms contributing to psychiatric disease liability.

Humans

Obesity: exploring its connection to brain function through genetic and genomic perspectives.

Obesity represents an escalating global health burden with profound medical and economic impacts. The conventional perspective on obesity revolves around its classification as a "pure" metabolic disorder, marked by an imbalance between calorie consumption and energy expenditure. Present knowledge, however, recognizes the intricate interaction of rare or frequent genetic factors that favor the development of obesity, together with the emergence of neurodevelopmental and mental abnormalities, phenotypes that are modulated by environmental factors such as lifestyle. Thirty years of human genetic research has unveiled >20 genes, causing severe early-onset monogenic obesity and ~1000 loci associated with common polygenic obesity, most of those expressed in the brain, depicting obesity as a neurological and mental condition. Therefore, obesity's association with brain function should be better recognized. In this context, this review seeks to broaden the current perspective by elucidating the genetic determinants that contribute to both obesity and neurodevelopmental and mental dysfunctions. We conduct a detailed examination of recent genetic findings, correlating them with clinical and behavioral phenotypes associated with obesity. This includes how polygenic obesity, influenced by a myriad of genetic variants, impacts brain regions associated with addiction and reward, differentiating it from monogenic forms. The continuum between non-syndromic and syndromic monogenic obesity, with evidence from neurodevelopmental and cognitive assessments, is also addressed. Current therapeutic approaches that target these genetic mechanisms, yielding improved clinical outcomes and cognitive advantages, are discussed. To sum up, this review corroborates the genetic underpinnings of obesity, affirming its classification as a neurological disorder that may have broader implications for neurodevelopmental and mental conditions. It highlights the promising intersection of genetics, genomics, and neurobiology as a foundation for developing tailored medical approaches to treat obesity and its related neurological aspects.

Humans

The role of co-occurring conditions and genetics in the associations of eating disorders with attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder and autism spectrum disorder.

Eating disorders (EDs) commonly co-occur with other psychiatric and neurodevelopmental disorders including attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) and autism spectrum disorder (ASD); however, the pattern of family history and genetic overlap among them requires clarification. This study investigated the diagnostic, familial, and genetic associations of EDs with ADHD and ASD. The nationwide population-based cohort study included all individuals born in Denmark, 1981-2008, linked to their siblings and cousins. Cox regression was used to estimate associations between EDs and ADHD or ASD, and mediation analysis was used to assess the effects of intermediate mood or anxiety disorders. Polygenic scores (PGSs) were used to investigate the genetic association between anorexia nervosa (AN) and ADHD or ASD. Significantly increased risk for any ED was observed following an ADHD or ASD diagnosis. Mediation analysis suggested that intermediate mood or anxiety disorders could account for 44%-100% of the association between ADHD or ASD and ED. Individuals with a full sibling or maternal half sibling with ASD had increased risk of AN compared to those with siblings without ASD. A positive association was found between ASD-PGS and AN risk whereas a negative association was found between AN-PGS and ADHD. In this study, positive phenotypic associations between EDs and ADHD or ASD, mediation by mood or anxiety disorder, and genetic associations between ASD-PGS and AN and between AN-PGS and ADHD were observed. These findings could guide future research in the development of new treatments that can mitigate the development of EDs among individuals with ADHD or ASD.

Humans

Genetics of major depressive disorder in a homogeneous population with uniform phenotyping.

Harmonized phenotyping and diverse population-specific studies are crucial for advancing gene discovery in psychiatric genetics. We conducted a genome-wide association (GWAS) mega-analysis of DSM-defined lifetime major depressive disorder (MDD) in 64 941 participants (25.7% cases) from the Dutch BIObanks Netherlands Internet Collaboration (BIONIC) consortium. Liability-scale SNP-based heritability was 12.0% (SE&#x2009;=&#x2009;1.4%) as estimated by LDSC (assuming a lifetime prevalence of 15%) and 26.6% (SE&#x2009;=&#x2009;1.1%) when estimated by LDAK-REML on individual-level genotype data, indicating substantial common-variant signal in this clinically harmonized sample. The genetic correlation with the latest major depression GWAS from the Psychiatric Genomics Consortium (PGC-MD) was high (rG&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.89, SE&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.048). Polygenic scores (PGSs) based on BIONIC predicted depression in UK Biobank, and PGSs derived from PGC-MD predicted MDD in BIONIC, supporting transferability of depression polygenic signal across cohorts and phenotype definitions. Within-family PGS analyses in twins suggested that the observed prediction was not primarily driven by detectable family-level confounding, and twin concordance for MDD increased with polygenic burden. We identified one genome-wide significant locus, indexed by rs3818852 in PALMD, but this finding currently lacks independent replication and should be interpreted cautiously. Finally, genetic correlation and latent causal variable analyses identified multiple traits showing shared or directionally consistent genetic associations with MDD. Together, these findings underscore the value of clinically harmonized phenotyping in regional biobank collaborations for studying the genetic architecture of MDD.

Humans

Distinct contributions of schizophrenia and neurotransmitter pathway genetic liability to neurocognition and antipsychotic efficacy in drug-na&#xef;ve first-episode schizophrenia.

The genetic mechanisms underlying heterogeneity in symptom presentation and antipsychotic response in schizophrenia remain unclear, limiting the development of personalized treatment. We integrated genome-wide schizophrenia polygenic risk scores (SZ-PRS) and pathway-specific PRSs (pPRSs) for four major neurotransmitter systems to examine their associations with clinical phenotypes across the course of illness. Primary analyses were conducted in 394 drug-na&#xef;ve, first-episode patients from the Chinese First-Episode Schizophrenia Trial (CNFEST) to investigate associations with baseline symptom severity, neurocognitive impairment, and longitudinal treatment response. The CNFEST cohort included 52-week longitudinal assessments of symptoms and neurocognition using the Positive and Negative Syndrome Scale and a modified version of the MATRICS Consensus Cognitive Battery. An independent case-control cohort evaluated associations with schizophrenia diagnosis, while a cohort of 514 healthy adults assessed whether PRS-cognition associations are specific to schizophrenia. Higher SZ-PRS predicted schizophrenia diagnosis (OR&#x2009;=&#x2009;2.28, Pfdr&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.003) and poorer baseline executive function (&#x3b2;&#x2009;=&#x2009;-0.44, Pfdr&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.006) and working memory (&#x3b2;&#x2009;=&#x2009;-0.49, Pfdr&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.018), but these associations were absent in healthy adults. In contrast, pPRSs showed weaker associations with diagnosis and baseline cognition but were more informative for treatment outcomes: higher serotonin-pPRS predicted greater improvement in depressive symptoms (Pfdr&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.023-0.032), and higher GABA-pPRS predicted greater improvement in overall symptoms (Pfdr&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.038-0.043) during weeks 4-24. Exploratory drug-specific analyses further suggested that treatment response varied across antipsychotics and was differentially associated with pPRSs. These findings demonstrate that genome-wide and pathway-specific PRSs contribute distinctly to schizophrenia phenotypes, supporting their integration for personalized stratification and treatment.

Humans

Polygenic heterogeneity in antidepressant treatment and placebo response.

The genetic architecture of antidepressant response is poorly understood. Polygenic risk scores (PRS), exploration of placebo response and the use of sub-scales might provide insights. Here, we investigate the association between PRSs for relevant complex traits and response to vortioxetine treatment and placebo using clinical scales, including sub-scales and self-reported assessments. We collected a clinical test sample of Major Depressive Disorder (MDD) patients treated with vortioxetine (N&#x2009;=&#x2009;907) or placebo (N&#x2009;=&#x2009;455) from seven randomized, double-blind, clinical trials. In parallel, we obtained data from an observational web-based study of vortioxetine-treated patients (N&#x2009;=&#x2009;642) with self-reported response. PRSs for antidepressant response, psychiatric disorders, and symptom traits were derived using summary statistics from well-powered genome-wide association studies (GWAS). Association tests were performed between the PRSs and treatment response in each of the two test samples and empirical p-values were evaluated. In the clinical test sample, no PRSs were significantly associated with response to vortioxetine treatment or placebo following Bonferroni correction. However, clinically assessed treatment response PRS was nominally associated with vortioxetine treatment and placebo response given by several secondary outcome scales (improvement on HAM-A, HAM-A Psychic Anxiety sub-scale, CPFQ & PDQ), (P &#x2264; 0.026). Further, higher subjective well-being PRS (P &#x2264; 0.033) and lower depression PRS (P&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.01) were nominally associated with higher placebo response. In the self-reported test sample, higher schizophrenia PRS was significantly associated with poorer self-reported response (P&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.0001). The identified PRSs explain a low proportion of the variance (1.2-5.3%) in placebo and treatment response. Although the results were limited, we believe that PRS associations bear unredeemed potential as a predictor for treatment response, as more well-powered and phenotypically similar GWAS bases become available.

Humans

Integrating biological pathway polygenic scores and trauma in psychosis: findings from the EU-GEI study.

Psychotic disorders are complex, multifactorial conditions influenced by both genetic liability and early environmental adversity. Polygenic risk scores (PRSs) derived from genome-wide association studies have shown utility in capturing genetic predisposition, but their biological interpretability remains limited. In this study, we evaluated whether biologically informed pathway-specific polygenic scores (pPGSs) for psychosis, restricted to neurotransmitter-related pathways, could help clarify gene-environment interplay. Using data from 1 192 individuals in the EU-GEI multi-site case-control study, we constructed pPGSs for dopamine, glutamate, GABA, and serotonin systems. We investigated associations between pPGSs and childhood trauma (rGE), their interactions on psychosis risk (GxE), and the influence of the genome-wide psychosis PRS on these relationships. Serotonin, dopamine, and glutamate pPGSs were positively associated with a composite trauma exposure (i.e., abuse and neglect), suggesting shared genetic factors contributing to both psychosis liability and early adversity. Significant negative GxE effects were observed for both dopamine and serotonin pPGSs, indicating that higher trauma exposure diminished the relative influence of genetic liability on psychosis risk. Adjustment for the genome-wide psychosis PRS attenuated most effects, but serotonergic and dopaminergic associations remained robust, supporting pathway-specific contributions beyond general polygenic risk. These findings provide proof-of-concept for the utility of pPGSs in psychiatric research, suggesting both genetic contributions to trauma exposure and GxE effects on psychosis risk. Further research incorporating epigenetic data and longitudinal designs may enhance mechanistic insight and translational potential.

Adult

Identification of plasma proteomic markers underlying polygenic risk of type 2 diabetes and related comorbidities.

Genomics can provide insight into the etiology of type 2 diabetes and its comorbidities, but assigning functionality to non-coding variants remains challenging. Polygenic scores, which aggregate variant effects, can uncover mechanisms when paired with molecular data. Here, we test polygenic scores for type 2 diabetes and cardiometabolic comorbidities for associations with 2,922 circulating proteins in the UK Biobank. The genome-wide type 2 diabetes polygenic score associates with 617 proteins, of which 75% also associate with another cardiometabolic score. Partitioned type 2 diabetes scores, which capture distinct disease biology, associate with 342 proteins (20% unique). In this work, we identify key pathways (e.g., complement cascade), potential therapeutic targets (e.g., FAM3D in type 2 diabetes), and biomarkers of diabetic comorbidities (e.g., EFEMP1 and IGFBP2) through causal inference, pathway enrichment, and Cox regression of clinical trial outcomes. Our results are available via an interactive portal ( https://public.cgr.astrazeneca.com/t2d-pgs/v1/ ).

Humans

Diabetes mellitus polygenic risk scores: heterogeneity and clinical translation.

Diabetes mellitus encompasses several disorders, each with differing clinical presentation, prognoses and pathophysiology. Distinct polygenic architectures underlie type 1 diabetes mellitus and type 2 diabetes mellitus, and govern numerous pathophysiological pathways that converge on dysglycaemia. Over the previous decade, polygenic risk scores (PRS) derived from large genome-wide association studies have become broadly recognized for their potential in precision medicine. PRS, and now partitioned polygenic scores generated by clustering of risk variants, can quantify individual genetic predisposition to diabetes mellitus and reveal molecular heterogeneity responsible for variation in clinical presentation and prognoses. In this Review, we examine and contrast progress in the development of type 1 diabetes mellitus PRS and type 2 diabetes mellitus PRS, and discuss paths to further methodological advances. We examine how studies in the past 10&#x2009;years have harnessed PRS and novel partitioned polygenic scores to reveal insights into diabetes mellitus aetiology and characterize changes in cellular and tissue-specific disease-modifying molecular pathways. Additionally, we discuss advances and opportunities in areas of clinical translation, including improved classification of diabetes mellitus type, screening of those at risk and personalized interventions informed by PRS. Finally, we emphasize the urgent need to overcome ancestry-related challenges and highlight current progress and gaps in ensuring the equitable translation of PRS for diabetes mellitus precision medicine.

Humans

Polygenic and developmental profiles of autism differ by age at diagnosis.

Although autism has historically been conceptualized as a condition that emerges in early childhood1,2, many autistic people are diagnosed later in life3-5. It is unknown whether earlier- and later-diagnosed autism have different developmental trajectories and genetic profiles. Using longitudinal data from four independent birth cohorts, we demonstrate that two different socioemotional and behavioural trajectories are associated with age at diagnosis. In independent cohorts of autistic individuals, common genetic variants account for approximately 11% of the variance in age at autism diagnosis, similar to the contribution of individual sociodemographic and clinical factors, which typically explain less than 15% of this variance. We further demonstrate that the polygenic architecture of autism can be broken down into two modestly genetically correlated (rg&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.38, s.e.&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.07) autism polygenic factors. One of these factors is associated with earlier autism diagnosis and lower social and communication abilities in early childhood, but is only moderately genetically correlated with attention deficit-hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) and mental-health conditions. Conversely, the second factor is associated with later autism diagnosis and increased socioemotional and behavioural difficulties in adolescence, and has moderate to high positive genetic correlations with ADHD and mental-health conditions. These findings indicate that earlier- and later-diagnosed autism have different developmental trajectories and genetic profiles. Our findings have important implications for how we conceptualize autism and provide a model to explain some of the diversity found in autism.

Humans

Consensus meta-analysis of genome-wide association studies for Alzheimer's disease and related dementias.

To better characterize the genetic architecture underlying Alzheimer's disease (AD) and related dementias (ADRD), we performed a meta-analysis of European-ancestry genome-wide association studies in 128,681 cases or proxy cases of ADRD and 849,833 (proxy) controls. We identified 91 genetic loci associated with ADRD risk, of which 16 are new and 56 are specifically detected in clinically diagnosed AD cases. We also provide a list of 18 loci (15 new) requiring further external validation. A polygenic score combining the effects of ADRD loci other than APOE was primarily associated with AD rather than non-AD pathology. Individuals in the tenth decile of the score exhibited a twofold increased risk of presenting with Braak neurofibrillary tangles stage of >4 and moderate-to-severe neuritic amyloid plaque pathology at death compared to individuals in the median score group. In conclusion, our study validated a large number of loci associated with the risk of clinically diagnosed AD, while further investigations are required to confirm the impact of the other loci on AD clinical diagnosis and of each locus on AD pathology.

Humans

Distinguishing different psychiatric disorders using DDx-PRS.

Despite great progress on case-control polygenic prediction, an unmet need remains for a method that genetically distinguishes clinically related disorders (e.g., schizophrenia (SCZ) versus bipolar disorder (BIP) versus major depressive disorder (MDD) versus controls). We introduce differential diagnosis-polygenic risk score (DDx-PRS), which jointly estimates the posterior probabilities of each diagnostic category (e.g., SCZ&#x2009;=&#x2009;50%, BIP&#x2009;=&#x2009;25%, MDD&#x2009;=&#x2009;15%, control&#x2009;=&#x2009;10%) by modeling variance-covariance structure across disorders, leveraging case-control polygenic risk scores and prior clinical probabilities for each diagnostic category. We applied DDx-PRS to Psychiatric Genomics Consortium SCZ, BIP, MDD and control data, including summary-level training data from three case-control genome-wide association studies (n&#x2009;=&#x2009;41,917-173,140 cases; total n&#x2009;=&#x2009;1,048,683) and held-out test data from different cohorts with equal numbers for each diagnostic category (total n&#x2009;=&#x2009;11,460). DDx-PRS was well calibrated and well powered (consistent with simulations) and produced comparable results to methods that require tuning data. True diagnosis probabilities in the top deciles of predicted diagnosis probabilities were considerably larger than prior baseline probabilities, implying appreciable potential for clinical utility in certain settings.

Humans

Rare variant effect estimation and polygenic risk prediction.

Due to their low frequency, estimating the effects of rare variants is challenging. Here we propose RareEffect, a method that first estimates gene-based or region-based heritability and then each variant effect size using an empirical Bayes approach. Our method uses a variance component model, which is popular in rare variant tests, and is designed to provide two levels of effect sizes-gene/region level and variant level-that can provide better interpretation. To adjust for the case-control imbalance in phenotypes, our approach uses a fast implementation of the Firth bias correction. We demonstrate the accuracy and computational efficiency of our method through extensive simulations and analysis of UK Biobank whole-exome sequencing data for 100 traits. Additionally, we show that the effect sizes obtained from our model can be leveraged to improve polygenic score performance, thereby outperforming recently developed methods for rare variant polygenic scoring.

Humans