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Results for “prognostic stratification”

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PubMed2005

Comparison between human and automated electrocardiographic waveform measurements for calculating the Anderson-Wilkins acuteness score in patients with acute myocardial infarction.

The Anderson-Wilkins (AW) electrocardiographic (ECG) acuteness score complements time from pain onset in prognostic stratification of patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI). However, for the AW acuteness score to be of practical use in the acute situation, it must be an integral component of a commercial automated ECG analysis program. The objective of this study was to determine the concordance between human and computer measurements and calculation of the AW acuteness score. The mean difference in AW acuteness score was 0.11 +/- 0.66 for anterior and -0.07 +/- 1.24 for inferior AMI. Ninety-nine percent of the differences were found to be 1.0 or less for the anterior AMI group, and 91.7% were 1.0 or less in the inferior AMI group. The differences were primarily caused by minor disagreements in measurements. In conclusion, the AW acuteness score established using manual ECG waveform measurements can be implemented into commercial automated ECG analysis programs to achieve practical use in clinical decision support for patients with AMI.

Diagnosis, Computer-Assisted↗

PubMed2026

Missense mutations in the SNCA gene: Molecular mechanisms and clinical implications.

The SNCA gene on chromosome 4 encodes the alpha-synuclein (αSyn) protein, which plays a central role in the pathogenesis of synucleinopathies, including Parkinson's disease (PD), dementia with Lewy bodies (DLB), and multiple system atrophy (MSA). While αSyn has established roles in synaptic vesicle dynamics and neuronal signaling, alterations in SNCA regulation and sequence contribute to protein misfolding, aggregation, and loss of function. Alterations in secondary and tertiary structure, as well as protein aggregation, affect biochemical interactions, ultimately leading to pathogenesis. This review outlines the molecular architecture of the SNCA gene, including regulatory regions, alternative splicing, and untranslated regions that influence αSyn expression and isoform diversity. Seven missense mutations of the SNCA gene are discussed in detail from the genomic level, extending to phenotypic presentations. These missense mutations have different effects on the aggregation kinetics and fibril formation. Specific genotype-phenotype correlations are evident, with mutations such as A30P and H50Q commonly resembling idiopathic PD, E46K strongly associated with DLB, and G51D, A53T, and A53E linked to atypical parkinsonism and MSA-like syndromes. Differences in age at onset, disease progression, cognitive involvement, and response to therapy further reflect mutation-specific effects and modifying influences of allelic dosage and epigenetic regulation. Collectively, these findings emphasize the importance of SNCA genetic variation in shaping disease phenotype and progression. Improving the understanding of SNCA genotype-phenotype relationships in future studies may facilitate earlier diagnosis, refine prognostic stratification, and support the development of targeted, disease-modifying therapies for synucleinopathies.

Molecular mechanisms↗

PubMed2025

Clinicopathologic and Genomic Characterization of SMARCA4-Deficient Carcinoma of the Gallbladder.

As a key subunit of the SWItch/sucrose nonfermentable chromatin-remodeling complex, SMARCA4 plays a critical role as a tumor suppressor in various tumors. However, the clinicopathological and molecular features of SMARCA4-deficient carcinoma of the gallbladder (SMARCA4-dGBC) have not been well explored. In this study, a retrospective cohort of 926 nonsquamous cell gallbladder carcinomas (GBCs) was analyzed on tissue microarrays using immunohistochemistry for SMARCA4, comprising 813 adenocarcinomas, 53 adenosquamous carcinomas, 43 undifferentiated carcinomas, 7 sarcomatoid carcinomas, 6 small cell neuroendocrine carcinomas, and 4 large cell neuroendocrine carcinomas. Twenty-six (2.8%) SMARCA4-dGBCs were identified and further analyzed using immunohistochemistry, whole-exome sequencing, and clinicopathological data. SMARCA4-dGBCs are frequently identified in advanced stages and exhibit diverse patterns of differentiation. The majority were identified as monotonous diffuse sheets, nests, and cords, whereas a subset exhibited gland-forming and rhabdoid morphologies (11.5%). Tumors retained mismatch repair proficiency (100%) but showed variable HER2 expression (11.5% scored as 2+/3+) and limited PD-L1 positivity. Genomic profiling revealed SMARCA4 alterations in 88.5% (23/26) of patients, predominantly deletions (91.3%) and truncating mutations-p.K892∗ and p.R979∗-that disrupt the critical ATPase/helicase domains. Co-occurring TP53 mutations (56.5%) highlighted the presence of synergistic chromatin-remodeling defects. Enrichment of oncogenic signaling pathways, including the RTK-RAS (78.3%), TP53 (60.9%), NOTCH (47.8%), and HIPPO (39.1%) pathways, was observed. Patients with SMARCA4-dGBC exhibited significantly shorter progression-free survival (median, 6 vs 14 months) and overall survival (median, 11 vs 16 months) than those with SMARCA4-retained tumors. Overall, these findings revealed that SMARCA4-dGBC is a rare, distinct entity characterized by the destabilization of the SWItch/sucrose nonfermentable complex, genomic instability, and resistance to conventional therapies. The prevalence of targetable pathways, such as RTK-RAS and cell cycle dysregulation, highlights opportunities for precise therapeutic strategies involving EZH2, CDK4/6, or ATR inhibitors. SMARCA4 immunohistochemistry and molecular profiling are essential for accurate diagnosis, prognostic stratification, and therapeutic innovation of this GBC subtype.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Integrated Clinicopathologic and Multiomic Profiling Reveals MEIS1-Rearranged Sarcoma as a Distinct Entity With 2 Prognostic Subgroups.

Sarcomas with MEIS1 fusions represent a rare, recently recognized group of mesenchymal neoplasms with a predilection for genitourinary and gynecologic sites. A subset exhibits skeletal muscle differentiation resembling spindle cell rhabdomyosarcoma. Existing literature is limited to case reports and small series, with scant comprehensive clinicopathologic, molecular, and outcome data. In this study, we analyzed a multi-institutional cohort of 20 MEIS1-rearranged sarcomas using integrated clinicopathologic review, genomic profiling, and DNA methylation analysis. The tumors occurred in 17 females and 3 males (median age, 41 years; range, 6-58 years), arising mainly in the uterus/vagina (n = 12), vulva/perineum (n = 4), bone (n = 2), and kidney (n = 2), with a median size of 9 cm (range, 2.5-20 cm). Histology showed mostly bland spindle cells in fascicles/storiform patterns, alternating cellularity, fibromyxoid stroma, prominent vascularity, and adipose metaplasia (45%). A subset of cases featured high-grade morphology with epithelioid cells and increased mitotic activity. Skeletal muscle markers were variably positive in 9 cases. Fusions involved MEIS1 with NCOA2 (16/20), NCOA1 (3/20), or FOXO1 (1/20). Recurrent additional genomic alterations included CTNNB1 mutations (31.6%) and MDM2 amplification (15%). DNA methylation profiling showed that MEIS1-rearranged sarcomas formed a unifying cluster comprising 2 subgroups, regardless of rhabdomyosarcomatous phenotype, clearly separated from other mesenchymal neoplasms, including various rhabdomyosarcoma subtypes and uterine sarcomas. The 2 DNA methylation (Meth) subgroups correlated with differences in genome-wide copy number variation (CNV) status (Meth-CNV high vs Meth-CNV low), with Meth-CNV high tumors characterized by high mitotic rate, frequent tumor necrosis, recurrent co-occurring CTNNB1 and MDM2 alterations, and recurrent chromosomal arm-level changes. Most importantly, this subgroup exhibited significantly worse overall survival (P = .027) and disease-free survival (median, 5 vs 99 months; P = .017). This study establishes MEIS1-rearranged sarcoma as a distinct entity with generally indolent but potentially aggressive behavior. The 2 methylation/CNV subgroups provide potential utility for prognostic stratification and highlight actionable molecular targets in high-risk cases.

Humans↗

PubMed2006

Prognostic significance of neuroendocrine expression in lymph node-positive prostate cancer.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the expression of chromogranin A, a marker for neuroendocrine (NE) differentiation, in patients with lymph node-positive prostate cancer to determine its prognostic significance. NE cells are involved in cellular growth and differentiation in both normal and pathologic conditions of the prostate. METHODS: We reviewed the data of 140 patients with lymph node-positive prostate adenocarcinoma treated with radical prostatectomy and pelvic lymphadenectomy. The median follow-up was 10.9 years (range 0.8 to 19.7). Immunohistochemical staining for chromogranin A was evaluated in areas of benign epithelium, primary prostate cancer, and lymph node metastasis. The association between chromogranin A expression and the clinical and pathologic factors (preoperative serum prostate-specific antigen and prostatectomy Gleason score and stage) and clinical outcomes, including overall and recurrence-free survival, was evaluated. RESULTS: Staining was positive in 86% of benign areas, 61% of primary cancer specimens, and 12% of lymph node deposits. The preoperative serum prostate-specific antigen level and pathologic stage and grade of the primary tumor did not show any statistically significant correlation with NE staining in any of the areas. Only NE expression in the primary tumor was associated with clinical recurrence, with a 10-year recurrence-free survival rate for those with less than 5% staining of 67% compared with 35% for those with 5% staining or greater (P = 0.03). Furthermore, after adjusting for age, greater NE expression in the primary tumor (relative risk 2.15, P = 0.02) and lymph node deposit (relative risk 2.03, P = 0.03) was associated with poorer overall survival. CONCLUSIONS: NE expression in the primary tumor and lymph node metastasis of patients with node-positive prostate cancer may provide additional prognostic stratification.

Adenocarcinoma↗

PubMed1980

Thallium-201 myocardial scintigraphy in acute myocardial infarction and ischemia.

Thallium-201 scintigraphy provides a sensitive and reliable method of detecting acute myocardial infarction and ischemia when imaging is performed with understanding of the temporal characteristics and accuracy of the technique. The results of scintigraphy are related to the time interval between onset of symptoms and time of imaging. During the first 6 hr after chest pain almost all patients with acute myocardial infarction and approximately 50% of the patients with unstable angina will demonstrate 201TI perfusion defects. Delayed imaging at 2--4 hr will permit distinction between ischemia and infarction. In patients with acute myocardial infarction, the size of the perfusion defect accurately reflects the extent of the infarcted and/or jeopardized myocardium, which may be used for prognostic stratification. In view of the characteristics of 201TI scintigraphy, the most practical application of this technique is in patients in whom myocardial infarction has to be ruled out, and for early recognition of patients at high risk for complications.

Angina Pectoris↗

PubMed1997

Usefulness of peak oxygen consumption in predicting outcome of heart failure in women versus men.

This investigation finds that percent of predicted maximum oxygen consumption, an age- and gender-adjusted measurement of exercise, capacity, describes the degree of functional impairment in women more accurately than peak oxygen consumption. This evidence must be considered when cardiopulmonary metabolic parameters are used for prognostic stratification of women with heart failure.

Cardiomyopathy, Dilated↗

PubMed1999

A prognostic rule for elderly patients admitted with community-acquired pneumonia.

PURPOSE: We sought to identify admission characteristics predicting mortality in elderly patients hospitalized with community-acquired pneumonia and to develop a prognostic staging system and discriminant rule. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed data from 2,356 patients aged > or = 65 years admitted with community-acquired pneumonia. Multivariable analyses of a derivation cohort (n = 1,000) identified characteristics associated with hospital mortality. A staging system and discriminant rule based on these characteristics were tested in a validation cohort (n = 1,356). Our discriminant rule was compared with a rule formulated from a heterogeneous adult population with community-acquired pneumonia. RESULTS: Hospital mortality rates were 9% (derivation cohort) and 12% (validation cohort). We identified five independent predictors of mortality: age > or = 85 years [odds ratio 1.8 (95% confidence interval 1.1-3.1)], comorbid disease [odds ratio 4.1 (2.1-8.1)], impaired motor response [odds ratio 2.3 (1.4-3.7)], vital sign abnormality [odds ratio 3.4 (2.1-5.4)], and creatinine level > or = 1.5 mg/dL [odds ratio 2.5 (1.5-4.2)]. These variables stratified patients into four distinct stages with increasing mortality in the derivation cohort (Stage 1, 2%; Stage 2, 7%; Stage 3, 22%; Stage 4, 45%; P = 0.001) as well as in the validation cohort (Stage 1, 4%; Stage 2, 11%; Stage 3, 23%; Stage 4, 41%; P = 0.001). The discriminant rule developed from the derivation cohort had greater overall accuracy (77.1%) in the validation cohort than a rule formulated from a heterogeneous adult population (68.0%, P = 0.001). CONCLUSION: Elderly patients with community-acquired pneumonia have characteristics at admission that can predict mortality. Our staging system and discriminant rule improve prognostic stratification of these patients.

Aged↗

PubMed1997

Esophagogastrectomy for carcinoma of the esophagus and cardia: a comparison of findings and results after standard resection in three consecutive eight-year intervals with improved staging criteria.

OBJECTIVE: A review of findings and results after standard resection for carcinoma of the esophagus and cardia without neoadjuvant therapy was done to provide a basis for comparison with current reports of radical resection and neoadjuvant therapy. METHODS: A 24-year experience on one surgical service with 454 operations for carcinoma of the esophagus and cardia was reviewed. A comparison of findings and results in three consecutive 8-year intervals was analyzed, and new staging criteria were developed and compared with those currently favored by the American Joint Committee on Cancer. RESULTS: From January 1, 1970, to January 1, 1994, 454 patients with carcinoma of the esophagus or cardia underwent operation, of whom 408 (90%) had esophagogastrectomy with a 30-day mortality rate of 2.5% and an additional hospital mortality rate of 1.2%. Of the 121 complications (30.7%), 71 (18%) were major and 50 (12.7%) were minor. Cardiovascular complications predominated. The overall 5-year survival was 24.7%, with a 33.7% survival after complete resections in the most recent interval under study. Palliation of dysphagia was achieved in nearly 80% of patients who survived the operation. During the three intervals under review, resectability, mortality, and complication rates remained constant. The percentages of left thoracotomies and transhiatal resections increased, and there was a decrease in thoracoabdominal incisions. The percentages of patients with Barrett's esophagus and stage 0 and I tumors increased. The percentage of complete resections (R0) increased, whereas that for resections with residual microscopic tumor (R1) decreased, and there was no change in the percentage of patients with residual gross tumor after resection (R2). Modified WNM staging criteria are proposed that provide better prognostic stratification of the disease than those currently favored by The American Joint Committee on Cancer. CONCLUSIONS: Standard esophagogastrectomy is applicable in 90% of patients with operable carcinoma of the esophagus or cardia, with consistently low mortality and morbidity rates and satisfactory palliation of dysphagia. The 5-year survival (24.7% overall) remains suboptimal, but the current figure for complete resections (33.7%) is encouraging. There is a need for revision of the current American Joint Committee on Cancer staging criteria.

Adenocarcinoma↗

PubMed1988

Flow cytometric determination of ploidy in prostatic adenocarcinoma: a comparison with seminal vesicle involvement and histopathological grading as a predictor of clinical recurrence.

Flow cytometry was used to evaluate 88 deparaffinized radical prostatectomy specimens to compare deoxyribonucleic acid ploidy in prostatic adenocarcinoma as a predictor of disease progression with other well documented predictors of clinical recurrence. Aneuploidy, Gleason grade and seminal vesicle involvement were nonindependent variables, and all correlated to statistical significance with disease recurrence. The incidence of aneuploidy in the total population was 51 of 88 (58 per cent). Aneuploidy was found in 25 of 28 primary tumors (89 per cent) from patients who subsequently had recurrent disease. Aneuploidy was noted in 40 of 59 specimens (68 per cent) exhibiting seminal vesicle involvement, compared to 11 of 29 (38 per cent) without seminal vesicle involvement (p less than 0.01). The probability of an interval free of disease of 60 months was calculated by Kaplan-Meier analysis to be 85 per cent in diploid specimens compared to 9 per cent in aneuploid specimens (p less than 0.001), and 87 per cent in the absence of seminal vesicle involvement compared to 28 per cent in the presence of seminal vesicle involvement (p less than 0.003). The probability of remaining free of disease in patients exhibiting concomitant diploidy and seminal vesicle involvement (17) was 73 per cent compared to 8 per cent in those with aneuploid specimens and seminal vesicle involvement (p less than 0.004). The incidence of recurrence in patients with Gleason sums of 7 or less was 22 per cent compared to 62 per cent in patients with Gleason sums of greater than 7. There was a 29 per cent incidence of recurrence in intermediate grade tumors (Gleason sum 5 to 7) but only 5 per cent of the patients with intermediate grade diploid tumors had recurrent disease. In conclusion, the recognition of a deoxyribonucleic acid aneuploid stem line in a primary prostatic adenocarcinoma is correlated statistically with a greater likelihood of seminal vesicle invasion and subsequent development of recurrent disease. The markedly increased probability of remaining free of disease in diploid patients, even in the presence of seminal vesicle involvement, suggests that routine flow cytometric analysis in prostatic adenocarcinoma would significantly enhance prognostic stratification.

Adenocarcinoma↗

PubMed2001

AC133 antigen as a prognostic factor in acute leukemia.

AC133 is a novel 5-transmembrane antigen present on a CD34((bright)) subset of human hematopoietic stem cells (HSCs) and it is also expressed on the subset of CD34 positive (CD34(+)) leukemias. But the clinical significance of AC133 expression on leukemic blasts is not yet known. We investigated the expression of AC133 antigen on blast cells of acute leukemia. Forty-one cases of acute leukemia were examined for expression of AC133, CD34, and other antigens using multicolor flow-cytometry. Samples were considered positive if at least 20% of the cells specifically stained with monoclonal antibodies (MoAbs) revealed a higher fluorescence intensity compared to cells of corresponding negative control samples (=20% cut-off level). 14/36 (38.9%) acute myelogenous leukemia (AML) samples and 6/20 (30%) acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) samples were positive for AC133, the difference was not significant. All AC133 positive (AC133(+)) leukemias expressed CD34, whereas 13 of 33 CD34(+) leukemias were negative for AC133, and AC133(+)/CD34(-) leukemia was not found. Expression rates of CD31, CD62L, CD62E, CD105 and CD144 were significantly higher in AC133(+) leukemia compared to those of AC133(-) leukemia (P=0.045, P<0.001, P<0.001, P<0.001, P=0.003, respectively), but bcl-2, CXCR-1, CXCR4, VLA-4, CD106 expression rates were not significantly different between AC133(+) and AC133(-) leukemias. None of the clinical prognostic markers such as age, hemogram, lactate dehydrogenase, and chromosomal aberration were significantly different between AC133(+) and AC133(-) leukemias. CR rates of AC133(+) AML and AC133(-) AML were not significantly different, although there was a trend toward higher CR rates in AC133(-) AML (18/22[81.8%] AC133(-) AML versus 9/14[64.3%] AC133(+) AML), but the 1-year relapse rate of AC133(+) AML was significantly higher than that of AC133(-) AML (8/9 (88.9%) versus 7/19 (36.8%), P=0.016). Median disease-free survival (DFS) times of AC133(+) and AC133(-) AML were significantly different (11 and 18 months, respectively, P=0.006), although overall survival (OS) times were not significantly different (AC133(+) 15 months versus AC133(-) 20 months, respectively, P=0.06). Similar results regarding clinical outcomes were found when AC133(+)/CD34(+) and AC133(-)/CD34(+) were analyzed separately, but the difference did not attain statistical significance. In ALL, 9/11 (81.8%) AC133(-) and 2/4 (50%) AC133(+) cases achieved CR, but the difference was not significant. Four of 11 AC133(-) ALL (36.4%) and 2 of 3 AC133(+) ALL (66.7%) relapsed within 1 year. In survival analysis, median DFS time and OS time of the AC133(+) group were 7 and 18 months, respectively, and these were not significantly different from those of the AC133(-) group (median DFS 15, OS 22 months, respectively). Our results demonstrate that AC133 expression in AML blasts is associated with poor clinical outcomes in terms of higher early relapse and shorter disease-free survival, suggesting that the AC133 antigen might provide the prognostic stratification of acute leukemia. However, to verify the effect of AC133 expression on the therapeutic outcomes of adult acute leukemia, further study including more cases is needed.

AC133 Antigen↗

PubMed2003

Salvage therapy in refractory acute myeloid leukemia: prediction of outcome based on analysis of prognostic factors.

Acute myeloid leukemia (AML) non-responsive to initial chemotherapy is generally of poor prognosis. High-dose cytarabine (HD-AraC) has been proposed as salvage therapy in combination with amsacrine. The aim of the current study was first to assess the toxicity and the efficacy of such a combination therapy, and secondly to determine prognostic factors allowing to predict whom patients could benefit of such a treatment. Out of 91, 45 patients referred to our institution have been treated by HD-AraC (3 g/m(2)/12h from day 1 to 4) combined with amsacrine (90 mg/m(2) per day from day 5 to 7) as a salvage regimen. Forty-five of the 91 patients (49%, 95% confidence interval (CI): 39-60%) achieved complete remission (CR). Thirty-five patients were refractory to the salvage therapy and 11 patients died from toxicity during aplasia. Median disease-free survival (DFS) was 11.5 months (95% CI: 6-16 months). After CR achievement, 26 patients received consolidation therapy according to the protocol in which they were included. Nineteen patients with an HLA-identical sibling donor underwent allogeneic bone marrow transplantation. At time of analysis, 27 of the 45 patients (60%) who achieved CR have relapsed. Median overall survival (OS) was 7.5 months (95% CI: 6-15 months). There was 12 long survivors (13%). In univariate analysis, initial karyotype was the main prognostic factor as well as in terms of CR achievement (P=0.002) than in terms of DFS (P=0.01) or OS (P=0.009). CR achievement was negatively influenced by higher WHO performance status index (P=0.006), higher LDH level (P=0.02), and higher CD34 expression by leukemic cells (P=0.03) at diagnosis, and presence of circulating blasts (P=0.001), platelet count <80 x 10(9)/l (P=0.0001), and polymorphonuclear (PMN) percentage <30% (P=0.01) at time of starting salvage therapy. DFS was negatively influenced by secondary AML (P=0.01), weight loss > or =5% (P=0.03), and higher white blood cell (WBC) count (P=0.03) at time of diagnosis. Age over 60 years (P=0.002), prior history of toxic exposure (P=0.01), higher CD34 expression (P=0.02), weight loss > or =5% (P=0.006), and WHO performance status index > or =2 (P=0.01) at diagnosis, and platelet count <80 x 10(9)/l (P=0.02) at time of salvage therapy were the main prognostic factors associated with shorter OS. In multivariate analysis, karyotype grouping at diagnosis (P=0.006) and blood count before salvage therapy (P=0.001) were of prognostic value for CR achievement. Karyotype remained of prognostic value for DFS and OS (P=0.007 and <0.0001, respectively).We conclude that HD-AraC combined with amsacrine was as a useful salvage regimen in AML non-responding to a first intensive course of chemotherapy. Using objective parameters of proven significance (karyotypic grouping and blood count before salvage), we devised a prognostic system of immediate clinical utility for prognostic stratification and risk-adapted therapeutic choices. Patients with favorable risk cytogenetics and those with intermediate risk cytogenetics and favorable blood count (PMN > or =30%, no circulating blasts, and platelet count > or =80 x 10(9)/l) before salvage therapy had a similar outcome than those achieving CR after only one course of chemotherapy. All other patients displayed a poor outcome. This suggests their orientation at an earlier time to alternate therapeutic programs based on investigational drugs.

Acute Disease↗

PubMed2004

Atrial septal defect in adults > or =40 years old: negative impact of low arterial oxygen saturation.

BACKGROUND: Although good prognosis and clinical long-term outcome have been commonly reported in minimally symptomatic adult patients with ASD, this information has been based on studies with a relatively small number of adult patients. We studied unoperated patients aged over 40 years to define the patterns of presentation, anatomical characteristics, outcome and predictive factors for free-event survival of major cardiovascular and pulmonary events. METHODS AND RESULTS: Two-hundred survivors of atrial septal defect aged over 40-yr attended from 1985 to 1998 were reviewed and followed-up from 1.6 to 22 years. Patients were classified in three groups according to age at entry: Group 1, between 40 and 49; Group 2; 50 and 59; and Group 3, > or =60 years old. The mean age at presentation was 48.8+/-9.2 years, and the most common clinical presentations were arrhythmia and dyspnea (51.4%). There were 37 (18.5%) events: 7 heart failure-related, 5 sudden death, 13 severe pulmonary infections, 5 embolisms, and 4 strokes. According to Cox's regression analysis, predictors of primary end point included age group at presentation (hazard ratio 1.71, 95% confidence limits 1.16 to 2.54), and either pulmonary hypertension (mean pulmonary pressure >35 mmHg; hazard ratio=0.65 (4.6, confidence limits 2.2 to 9.5) or, arterial oxygen saturation <80% (hazard ratio 1.71, 95% confidence limits 1.16 to 2.54). CONCLUSIONS: This study supports that long term outcome of patients aged >40 years with unoperated ASD is importantly determined by the mPAP (>35 mmHg), SaO2% (_80) and the age at diagnosis. Nevertheless we identified an inverse association between the mPAP level and SaO2% (interaction). The event-free survival expectancy may be estimated using the age at diagnosis and either SaO2% or mPAP. This prognostic stratification based on pathophysiological principles, may help in making decisions for therapeutic interventions. SaO2% should always be measured as a part of the initial clinical approach of those patients with atrial septal defect aged over 40 years.

Adult↗

PubMed2002

[Utility of the serum biochemical markers CPK, CPK MB mass, myoglobin, and cardiac troponin T in a chest pain unit. Which marker determinations should be requested and when?].

BACKGROUND: The prognostic value of biochemical markers in relation to time since onset of chest pain was evaluated in an emergency room with a chest pain unit. METHODS: In a single-center, prospective study we included 321 consecutive patients admitted to the emergency room with suspected unstable angina IIIB and an evolution of less than 12 hours. Blood samples were collected for CPK, CPK MB mass, myoglobin, and cardiac troponin T assays 6, 12, and 18 h after the onset of pain. ROC curve analysis was carried out to compare biochemical markers in terms of cutoff values and time since onset of pain. We determined the relation between prognosis and biochemical markers before and after adjustment for baseline characteristics. RESULTS: CPK mass and myoglobin showed the maximum sensitivity and specificity for new ischemic recurrences 6 hours after the onset of chest pain with laboratory cutoff values. We had to wait 12 h after the onset of pain for troponin T to be useful using the laboratory cutoff value (0.1 ng/ml). A single determination 6 hours after onset of chest pain of cardiac troponin T above 0.04 ng/ml was the most sensitive and specific marker for new ischemic recurrences. CONCLUSIONS: A single blood determination of cardiac troponin T 6 hours after the onset of chest pain complete the prognostic stratification in combination with clinical and ECG variables. The best cutoff point of cardiac troponin T, based on univariate and multivariate analysis, was 0.04 ng/ml 6 h after the onset of chest pain.

Aged↗

PubMed1998

Comparative prognostic value of automatic quantitative analysis versus semiquantitative visual analysis of exercise myocardial perfusion single-photon emission computed tomography.

OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to determine the prognostic value of automatic quantitative analysis in exercise dual-isotope myocardial perfusion single-photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) and to compare the prognostic value of quantitative analysis to semiquantitative visual SPECT analysis. BACKGROUND: Extent, severity and reversibility of exercise myocardial perfusion defects have been shown to correlate with prognosis. However, most studies examining the prognostic value of SPECT in chronic coronary artery disease (CAD) have been based on visual analysis by experts. METHODS: We studied 1,043 consecutive patients with known or suspected CAD who underwent rest Tl-201/exercise Tc-99m sestamibi dual-isotope myocardial perfusion SPECT and were followed up for at least 1 year (mean 20.0+/-3.7 months). After censoring 59 patients with early coronary artery bypass grafting or percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty, <60 days after nuclear testing, the final population consisted of 984 patients (36% women, mean age 63+/-12 years). RESULTS: During the follow-up period, 28 hard events (14 cardiac deaths, 14 nonfatal myocardial infarctions) occurred. Patients with higher defect extent (>10%), severity (>150) and reversibility (>5%) by quantitative SPECT defect analysis, as well as those with an abnormal scan (>2 abnormal segments, summed stress score >4 and summed difference score >2) by semiquantitative visual SPECT analysis, had a significantly higher hard event rate compared to patients with a normal scan (p < 0.001). With both visual and quantitative analyses, hard event rates of approximately 1% with normal scans and 5% with abnormal scans (p > 0.05) were observed over the 20-month follow-up period. A Cox proportional hazards regression model showed that chi-square increased similarly with the addition of quantitative defect extent and visual summed stress score variables after considering both clinical and exercise variables (improvement chi-square = 11 for both, p < 0.0007). There were no significant differences in the areas under receiver operating characteristic curves between quantitative and visual analysis (p > 0.70). Linear regression analysis also indicated that quantitative assessments correlated well with visual semiquantitative assessments. CONCLUSIONS: The findings of this study indicate that automatic quantitative analysis of exercise stress myocardial perfusion SPECT is similar to semiquantitative expert visual analysis for prognostic stratification. These findings may be of particular clinical importance in laboratories with less experienced visual interpreters.

Aged↗

PubMed1997

Subcutaneous mastectomy for primary breast cancer and ductal carcinoma in situ.

Subcutaneous mastectomy (SCM) has been performed in 323 patients with invasive breast cancer or ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) over the last 20 years. This paper assesses the oncological safety of this operation with particular reference to local recurrences (LR) in the skin flaps. LR was assessed in the 134 patients who did not receive post-operative irradiation to the flaps and were followed up for a minimum of 30 months. The rates of LR were similar for SCM (16%) and for women who underwent simple mastectomy without post-operative irradiation (SM) for invasive cancer (14%) over the same time period, both overall and after prognostic stratification. In DCIS LR was only found in women treated with SCM. Four of the five recurrences (from 33 women) were in the nipple and later in the series patients with microscopic tumour involvement in the nipple received prophylactic irradiation to the nipple only; five patients treated in this way have not suffered LR. Subcutaneous mastectomy followed by insertion of a prosthesis is a safe alternative to mastectomy, since it carries no higher risk of LR. It is the simplest form of reconstruction in those proceeding to silicone implant and has the potential of achieving an excellent cosmetic result. Failure does not compromise the chance of more complex reconstruction procedures.

Adult↗

PubMed1997

Prognostic value of clinical variables in ovarian cancer.

OBJECTIVE: To test the hypothesis that clinical variables, including the patient's symptoms, symptom severity, and co-morbidity, affect the survival rate in patients with ovarian cancer. METHODS: We reviewed the records of 137 cases of ovarian cancer diagnosed and treated between January 1987 and June 1992, and extracted data regarding patients' demographic characteristics, symptoms, medical co-morbidity, stage of disease, tumor histology and grade, treatment, and clinical course. RESULTS: Once cases of borderline tumors were excluded, the overall 3-year and 4-year mortality rate were 38% and 49%, respectively. There was an decrease in 4-year survival with more advanced symptom type ranging from 85% in asymptomatic women to 38% in women with complex symptoms (log rank, p = 0.005). Medical co-morbidity was not found to affect survival in the cohort studied. We performed multivariable analysis using a Cox proportional hazards model and confirmed that the symptom stage was highly prognostic even after controlling for FIGO stage, age and co-morbidity (p = 0.004). CONCLUSION: We found that clinical variables such as patient's symptoms, were associated with prognosis. Symptom classification is a necessary and important component in a system of prognostic stratification for ovarian cancer.

Adolescent↗

PubMed1997

Proposal for improved staging criteria for carcinoma of the esophagus and cardia.

OBJECTIVE: Current staging for carcinoma of the esophagus and cardia remains imprecise. In an effort to improve on presently accepted staging criteria, new and improved criteria were sought. METHODS: A total of 408 specimens resected for carcinoma of the esophagus or cardia between January 1, 1970, and January 1, 1994, were available for analysis. Pathology reports were reviewed, and available histologic slides were examined microscopically. When necessary, paraffin blocks of excised specimens were recut for further pathologic evaluation. On the basis of these findings, tumors were staged according to the criteria of American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC). New criteria were established based on the WNM concept and staged accordingly. Survival rates based on these sets of criteria were calculated for each stage, and results were compared. RESULTS: Because our previous studies had shown no advantage provided by the revised AJCC criteria compared with those originally proposed, we modified the WNM system by eliminating the subdivisions of Stage II, reducing the T categories by 1, T3 and T4 having shown no survival differences, and increasing the N categories by 1, depending on the number of nodes involved, e.g. NO = no positive nodes; N1 = 1-4 positive nodes, and N2-5 or more positive nodes. The resulting staging system and 5-year survival rates obtained thereby are as follows: Stage O (TO, is, 1 NO), 88.2%; Stage I (T1N1, T2NO), 50.3%; Stage II (T2N1, T3N0) 22.5%; Stage III (T3N1, any T N2), 10.7%; and Stage IV (M1) 0%. CONCLUSIONS: A new staging scheme for carcinoma of the esophagus and cardia is proposed that provides better prognostic stratification of patients than existing ones.

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