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At least 253 records · Page 14Linked to original sources
PubMed2001

Bayesian analysis of liability of clinical mastitis in Norwegian cattle with a threshold model: effects of data sampling method and model specification.

First-lactation records of Norwegian Cattle were used to infer heritability of liability to clinical mastitis with a threshold sire model. Mastitis was defined as a binary response (presence or absence) in a defined period of first lactation (opportunity period). Length of opportunity period (from 30 d before calving up to 120 or 300 d of lactation) had less effect on heritability estimates than data sampling methods (include or exclude records of cows culled before the end of the opportunity period) whereas sire ranking was more affected by the former. Including all cows, whether culled before the end of the opportunity period or not, gave a sharper and more symmetric posterior distribution of heritability of liability to clinical mastitis. When we analyzed data for all cows, model specification had a small effect on heritability estimates, while sire ranking was affected markedly. Posterior means of heritability range from 0.058 to 0.074. A model regressing on the length of the opportunity period for culled cows without mastitis, was shown favorable for the two opportunity periods using Bayes factors and the deviance information criterion for model comparison. This model, in which liability of mastitis depends on time to culling, may allow utilizing information from all first lactations in genetic evaluation, irrespectively of duration and culling outcome.

Animals↗
PubMed1992

[Significance of inflammatory syndrome in the diagnosis of Horton's disease. Attempt at the application of Bayesian analysis].

This study was designed to investigate the value of biologic evidence of inflammation for the diagnosis of giant cell arteritis. Experienced physicians were asked to evaluate five pairs of medical records based on real cases. In each pair, one case lacked biologic evidence of inflammation. This study offered the opportunity to explore the feasibility of a simplified Bayes model. A blind evaluation obtained by showing the paired case-reports with similar evidence of inflammation in both cases of each pair to 14 specialty physicians yielded a likelihood of diagnosis of +/- 20%. Analysis of the 46 responses to the study demonstrated, despite wide variations, a significantly greater likelihood of diagnosis in the cases with evidence of inflammation. Nevertheless, 17% to 36% of physicians--according to the case-report--ascribed virtually no importance to the ESR. Most of the physicians considered temporal artery biopsy was warranted when the likelihood of diagnosis was greater than 25%. Emergency corticosteroid therapy while awaiting the histologic results was approved by most responders when the likelihood of diagnosis was greater than 65%. The "pre-test" likelihood, calculated assuming that sensitivity and specificity of the ESR are 0.99 and 0.50, respectively, ranged from 0.89 to 0.98 for the case-reports with no evidence of inflammation and from 0.16 to 0.59 for the case-reports with evidence of inflammation In theory, the figures for the two types of case-report should not differ by more than 20%. Use of a low value for specificity (0.05) would improve the fit of values in cases without evidence of inflammation but would increase discrepancies in the other cases.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

Aged↗
PubMed1983

A Bayesian analysis of capillary heterogeneity in the intact pig liver.

Published experimental data on the steady elimination of galactose by five isolated perfused pig livers are interpreted in terms of a model of hepatic uptake, in which the functional properties of the individual liver capillaries (hepatic sinusoids) are not identical. Kinetic parameters, including the Michaelis constant for the local enzyme-substrate interaction, are determined for each preparation on the basis of this model and are compared with previously obtained values based on an earlier model in which the sinusoids were assumed to be functionally identical. Posterior distributions of the degree of functional heterogeneity and the value of the Michaelis constant are given for the case where the livers are considered as a statistically homogeneous group. The degree of functional heterogeneity of the capillaries is found to be consistent with previous independent estimates.

Animals↗
PubMedDate not supplied

[Bayesian analysis of myocardial scintigraphy using 99mTc-Sn(II)-methylenediphosphonate and using 99mTc-Sn(II)-pyrophosphate].

Myocardial scintigraphy with 99mTc-Sn (II)-Methylenediphosphonate (MDP) and with 99mTc-Sn (II) pyrophosphate (PPi) was performed in 185 patients with proven acute myocardial infarction (90 with MDP; 95 with PPi), and in 65 subjects with acute chest pain of a different etiology (37 with MDP; 28 with PPi), during the first five days after the onset of illness. Sensitivity, specificity and accuracy of the procedure were higher with PPi (0.895, 0.893, 0.894) than with MDP (0.822, 0.865, 0.835) in the diagnosis of AMI. Based on the usual clinical electrocardiographic and biochemical criteria, the likelihood of AMI on the population studied with MDP was of 70.9% and with PPi of 77.2%. Application of Bayes' theorem showed an increase in the likelihood of AMI, when myocardial scintigraphy was positive, from 70.9% to 93.7% when MDP was used, and from 77.2% to 96.6 when PPi was the tracer, with incremental ruling in gaings of 22.8% and 19.4%) respectively. A normal scintigraphy, on the other hand, reduced the likelihood of AMI from 70.9% to 33.4% when MDP was used, and from 77.2% to 29.2% when PPi was the tracer, with respective incremental ruling-out gains of 37.5% and 48.0%. Although homogeinity between the populations studied with each tracer was not proven, existing practical, clinical and biochemical evidence allows the conclusion that PPi is a better agent than MDP in the study of patients with acute chest pain.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2007

Sex differences in the development of neuroanatomical functional connectivity underlying intelligence found using Bayesian connectivity analysis.

A Bayesian method for functional connectivity analysis was adapted to investigate between-group differences. This method was applied in a large cohort of almost 300 children to investigate differences in boys and girls in the relationship between intelligence and functional connectivity for the task of narrative comprehension. For boys, a greater association was shown between intelligence and the functional connectivity linking Broca's area to auditory processing areas, including Wernicke's areas and the right posterior superior temporal gyrus. For girls, a greater association was shown between intelligence and the functional connectivity linking the left posterior superior temporal gyrus to Wernicke's areas bilaterally. A developmental effect was also seen, with girls displaying a positive correlation with age in the association between intelligence and the functional connectivity linking the right posterior superior temporal gyrus to Wernicke's areas bilaterally. Our results demonstrate a sexual dimorphism in the relationship of functional connectivity to intelligence in children and an increasing reliance on inter-hemispheric connectivity in girls with age.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2006

Phylogenetic analyses of parasites in the new millennium.

Phylogenetic analysis has changed greatly in the last decade, and the most important themes in that change are reviewed here. Sequence data have become the most common source of phylogenetic information. This means that explicit models for evolutionary processes have been developed in a likelihood context, which allow more realistic data analyses. These models are becoming increasingly complex, both for nucleotides and for amino acid sequences, and so all such models need to be quantitatively assessed for each data set, to find the most appropriate one for use in any particular tree-building analysis. Bayesian analysis has been developed for tree-building and is greatly increasing in popularity. This is because a good heuristic strategy exists, which allows large data sets to be analyzed with complex evolutionary models in a practical time. Perhaps the most disappointing aspect of tree interpretation is the ongoing confusion between rooted and unrooted trees, while the effect of taxon and character sampling is often overlooked when constructing a phylogeny (especially in parasitology). The review finishes with a detailed consideration of the analysis of a multi-gene data set for several dozen taxa of Cryptosporidium (Apicomplexa), illustrating many of the theoretical and practical points highlighted in the review.

Animals↗
PubMed1997

Antimicrobial prophylaxis prior to shock wave lithotripsy in patients with sterile urine before treatment: a meta-analysis and cost-effectiveness analysis.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the efficacy and cost-effectiveness of routine antimicrobial prophylaxis prior to shock wave lithotripsy (SWL) in patients with a sterile pretreatment urine culture. METHODS: A structured MedLine search revealed eight prospective, randomized, controlled trials (RCTs) of active treatment versus placebo or no treatment (n = 885) and six clinical series (non-RCTs; n = 597) addressing the use of antimicrobial prophylaxis for SWL. A meta-analysis was performed on the eight RCTs, with the primary outcome being the diagnosis of a urinary tract infection (UTI) post-SWL. A cost analysis was performed comparing a prophylactic strategy (prophylaxis for every patient and treatment for post-SWL UTIs) with a treatment-only strategy for post-SWL UTIs using various antimicrobial combinations and the median probability of post-SWL UTIs determined by meta-analysis. RESULTS: The incidence of post-SWL UTIs ranged from 0% to 28% in the control group and from 0% to 7.7% in the patients who underwent prophylaxis. Combining the placebo/no-drug treatment arms in the six RCTs by meta-analysis (Bayesian analysis) resulted in a median probability of a post-SWL UTI of 5.7% (95% confidence interval [CI] 3.8% to 8.4%). For the drug treatment arms, the median probability of a UTI was 2.1% (95% CI 0.9% to 3.6%). Relative risk (RR) analysis resulted in an overall RR of post-SWL UTIs with prophylaxis versus without prophylaxis of 0.45 (95% CI 0.22 to 0.93) (P = 0.0005). Depending on the antimicrobial regimen used for prophylaxis and treatment, a prophylactic strategy added minimally to the overall treatment cost of SWL, and proved cost beneficial when taking into consideration serious UTIs requiring inpatient treatment. CONCLUSIONS: A policy of antibiotic prophylaxis prior to SWL in patients with sterile pretreatment urine cultures is efficacious in reducing the rate of post-SWL UTIs. Discounting inpatient episodes for sepsis and acute pyelonephritis, however, the strategy is not cost-effective. In contrast, using literature-derived incidence estimates for post-SWL urosepsis or pyelonephritis necessitating inpatient treatment, prophylaxis becomes both efficacious and cost-effective, and thus constitutes a dominant strategy.

Antibiotic Prophylaxis↗