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PubMed1999

The prognostic value of different forms of prostate specific antigen and their ratios in patients with prostate cancer.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the prognostic value for patient survival of different forms of PSA and ratios thereof, before treatment for prostate cancer, by considering the forms and ratios both as independent markers and by comparing them with other commonly used prognostic markers, e.g. tumour grade, local stage (T-stage) and absence or presence of skeletal metastases (M-stage). PATIENTS AND METHODS: Blood samples were collected consecutively from men diagnosed with prostate cancer at our department in 1988. From this group, 66 men were followed until death, or for >/=9 years. Twenty-five patients died from their prostate cancer and 21 from other causes during the follow-up period. Forty-eight patients received hormonal treatment, whereas 18 remained untreated or received no treatment for their cancer before they died from other causes. Assays measuring the serum levels of free prostate specific antigen (fPSA), PSA complexed to alpha1-antichymotrypsin (PSA-ACT), and total PSA (tPSA) were used to calculate the percentage of free to total PSA (f/tPSA) fPSA/ACT and ACT/tPSA at diagnosis. Based on the initial levels or ratios of the PSA forms, the patients were divided into three numerically comparable groups (tertiles) for survival analysis. Prognostic factors predicting patient survival were evaluated using univariate (Kaplan-Meier life-tables with the log-rank test) and multivariate techniques (Cox proportional hazards regression model). RESULTS: Univariate analysis using the log-rank test showed that the serum level of each molecular form of PSA, i.e. tPSA (P=0.001), PSA-ACT (P<0.001) and fPSA (P<0.001), as well as grade (P<0.001), T-stage (P=0.00355) and M-stage (P<0.001), provided statistically significant prognostic information. Log-rank tests showed that none of the ratios, i.e. f/tPSA, fPSA/ACT and ACT/tPSA, were informative of prognosis (P>0.05). However, in a multivariate analysis regression model, not only M-stage (risk ratio 4.2; P=0. 026) and grade (risk ratio 2.6; P=0.022), but also f/tPSA (risk ratio 1.8; P=0.037), provided significant prognostic information. CONCLUSION: The values of tPSA, fPSA and PSA-ACT, as well as grade and T- and M-stage, are all independent prognostic factors of prostate cancer survival. In a multivariate analysis, not only M-stage and grade but also f/tPSA provided significant prognostic information.

Aged↗

PubMed1993

Testing the validity of a prognostic classification in patients with surgically optimal ovarian carcinoma: a 15-year review.

A retrospectively designed classification using stage, residuum and a variable which combines prognostic information from both grade and histology (histology-grade variable) has been used at our institution to predict prognosis, and choose therapy in patients with ovarian carcinoma, stages I-III having no or small residuum. In this study, multivariate analysis of prognostic factors were performed over two time periods: Group 1 (1971-1978), contains the patients from which the original classification was derived, and Group 2 (1979-1985), contains a different cohort of patients who are used to test the validity and reproducibility of the original classification. Multivariate analysis showed that the prognostic significance of two variables changed over the two study periods: tumor grade, and residuum. It was found that in the ideal combination of grade and histologic type, when used in conjunction with stage and residuum in a prognostic classification, was unique to each patient cohort. Because of these changes, new and more accurate prognostic classifications were derived for Group 2. However, when all classifications were examined, (including the original), the differences in their ability to stratify patients into risk categories was negligible, and there was no major advantage to using one classification over another for clinical applications. Thus, the retrospectively derived prognostic classification using grade, instead of a combined histology-grade variable, in conjunction with the other significant prognostic factors (stage and residuum), is preferred for prospective application, and for its simplicity.

Journal Article↗

PubMed2003

Prognostic factors for low-grade gliomas.

Low-grade gliomas are a heterogenous group of diseases characterized by relatively slow-growing primary brain tumors of astrocytic and/or oligodendroglial origin. Many patients present with easily controlled seizures and remain stable for years, whereas others progress rapidly to higher-grade tumors. Several studies have retrospectively investigated tumor-, patient-, and treatment-related prognostic factors in this patient population. Tumor histology, grade, location, contrast enhancement, and molecular markers have been identified as prognostic factors for survival. Likewise, patient age, performance status, and seizure history are patient-dependent prognostic factors. However, although patients who undergo surgical resection and receive adjuvant radiotherapy tend to have improved survival, treatment-dependent prognostic factors have yet to be definitively identified. Recursive partitioning and multivariant analyses have identified a class of patients with good prognosis. Younger patients with good performance status, non-contrast-enhancing tumors (<5 cm), and tumors of oligodendroglial or mixed-oligoastrocytic subtype have improved survival. The European Organisation for Research and Treatment of Cancer has recently developed a prognostic score based on identified prognostic factors to assist in the management of low-grade gliomas. For patients with a favorable (low-risk) score, treatment with radiotherapy or chemotherapy treatment should be withheld until tumor progression. For patients with a high-risk score, treatment at diagnosis may be indicated. However, other than surgery, the optimal types and sequence of therapies are not yet established. Improvements in defining prognostic factors will assist in low-grade glioma management.

Adolescent↗

PubMed2001

Angiogenesis is an independent prognostic factor in malignant mesothelioma.

Angiogenesis is essential for tumour growth beyond 1 to 2 mm in diameter. The clinical relevance of angiogenesis, as assessed by microvessel density (MVD), is unclear in malignant mesothelioma (MM). Immunohistochemistry was performed on 104 archival, paraffin-embedded, surgically resected MM samples with an anti-CD34 monoclonal antibody, using the Streptavidin-biotin complex immunoperoxidase technique. 93 cases were suitable for microvessel quantification. MVD was obtained from 3 intratumoural hotspots, using a Chalkley eyepiece graticule at x 250 power. MVD was correlated with survival by Kaplan-Meier and log-rank analysis. A stepwise, multivariate Cox model was used to compare MVD with known prognostic factors and the EORTC and CALGB prognostic scoring systems. Overall median survival from the date of diagnosis was 5.0 months. Increasing MVD was a poor prognostic factor in univariate analysis (P = 0.02). Independent indicators of poor prognosis in multivariate analysis were non-epithelial cell type (P = 0.002), performance status > 0 (P = 0.003) and increasing MVD (P = 0.01). In multivariate Cox analysis, MVD contributed independently to the EORTC (P = 0.006), but not to the CALGB (P = 0.1), prognostic groups. Angiogenesis, as assessed by MVD, is a poor prognostic factor in MM, independent of other clinicopathological variables and the EORTC prognostic scoring system. Further work is required to assess the prognostic importance of angiogenic regulatory factors in this disease.

Age Factors↗

PubMed1995

Prognostic Factors in Small Cell Lung Cancer.

Extent of disease and clinical performance status have been used traditionally for prognostic stratification of patients with small cell lung cancer. A plethora of other prognostic attributes reflecting host factors, tumor factors, and serological and hematological parameters have been described over the last decade. Attempts to assess the contribution of the latter attributes to prognostication in small cell lung cancer have lead to the formation of multivariate prognostic models. These models invariably describe prognostic groupings that are not identified by the conventional two-stage classification currently in use. Consensus for application of a new prognostic classification is evolving with analysis of prognostic data from diverse clinical centers.

Journal Article↗

PubMed1989

[Proliferation index, axillary lymph node status, hormone receptors and age as prognostic factors in primary breast cancer].

A total of 233 primary carcinomas of the breast (n = 68 nodal negative and n = 165 nodal positive) of 77 woman patients of less than 50 years of age and pf 156 women patients of 50 years of age or older were examined for the prognostic significance of a proliferation index (in vitro chemoresistance assay). The prognostic significance of the proliferation index (high vs low proliferation) is compared with other prognostic factors that have already been in clinical use (age, axillary lymph node status, oestrogen and progesterone receptor status). The total median observation period was 4.8 years (3-9.1 years). Determination of the proliferation index proved to be the most important prognostic factor both for premenopausal and postmenopausal, nodal negative and nodal positive primary tumours when assessing the total survival time and the time that remains free from recurrences. A simultaneous assessment of low proliferation index and positive hormone receptor as a so-called low-risk situation shows in comparison to a high-risk situation (high proliferation index, negative receptor status) the most pronounced differences. For premenopausal women (younger than 50 years of age) the hormone receptor status has no prognostic significance as far as our group of patients is concerned, whereas for women of 50 years of age or older the receptor status is of great prognostic relevance. Besides the lymph node status, the proliferation index shows in a Cox regression model the greatest prognostic importance for the further course of a primary carcinoma of the breast.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

Age Factors↗

PubMed2000

Prognostic value of Ki-67 expression in localized cutaneous malignant melanoma.

BACKGROUND: The proliferative activity of some tumors is related to the development of metastatic disease and survival. Thus it could be used as a potential prognostic variable. OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to determine the prognostic value of the Ki-67 index and of a "proliferation-based prognostic index" (PBPI, derived as tumor thickness x Ki-67 index/100) in localized cutaneous malignant melanoma (CMM). METHODS: The Ki-67 index (percent of total tumor nuclei) was determined in a series of 84 localized CMMs, with the use of the alkaline phosphatase-antialkaline phosphatase labeling method in formalin-fixed, paraffin-embedded material, and was correlated with other prognostic variables. Survival analysis was performed to determine whether the Ki-67 index and the PBPI could be predictive of metastatic spread or recurrent disease. A stratified analysis of these two parameters according to the tumor thickness was done. RESULTS: An association among the Ki-67 index and location, Clark level, tumor thickness and stage, and prognostic index was detected. Increased Ki-67 index and PBPI were associated with poorer overall survival (P =.03 and P <.0001, respectively) and disease-free survival (P =.01 and P <.0001, respectively). However, after stratification for thickness, only the PBPI showed independent prognostic significance, restricted to tumors thicker than 4 mm (P =. 03). CONCLUSION: The determination of the PBPI in CMM conveys prognostic information for localized thick (>4 mm) CMM, identifying two groups of patients with distinct outcome.

Biomarkers↗

PubMed2002

Prognostic factors for perceived pain and function at one-year follow-up in primary care patients with neck pain.

PURPOSE: To identify prognostic factors for perceived pain and function with focus at one-year follow-up in primary care patients treated for non-specific neck pain. METHODS: A prospective study was performed including 193 neck pain patients. Before and after treatment period, and 12 months after the start date for treatment, patients completed a questionnaire including background data and aspects of pain, function and general health. Linear multiple regression analysis was used to identify prognostic factors with the dependent variables Oswestry score and pain intensity at 12-month follow-up. Response rate 81%. RESULTS: At 12-month follow-up, Oswestry score identified four prognostic factors: pain intensity; well-being; expectations of treatment; and duration of current episode. Adjusted R2 for the model was 0.32, and 20% of the patients had three of the four prognostic factors at entry, indicating risk of poor outcome. The dependent variable pain intensity revealed three prognostic factors: Oswestry score; duration of current episode; and similar problem during the previous five years. Adjusted R2 was 0.24, and 60% of the patients had two of the three prognostic factors at entry, indicating risk of poor outcome. CONCLUSIONS: Different prognostic factors (with the exception of duration of current episode) were identified by the two outcome variables. Thus the results suggest that it should be taken into account whether an impairment or disability outcome is used.

Adult↗

PubMed1991

Prognosis and breast cancer. Recognition of lethal and favorable prognostic types.

Assignment of breast cancer patients to specific prognostic groups has been a relatively empty exercise until the recent acceptance of the effectiveness of systemic chemotherapy. The previous question of who should be so treated has changed in North America to a question of who should not be so treated. The availability of intensive chemotherapy for the worst prognostic groups as well as efficacious, low-toxicity adjuvant chemotherapy has made prognostication mandatory. The current major question is which women with breast cancer will not benefit from chemotherapy. We are actually much better at prognostication than many studies and the current broad search for new prognostic markers would indicate. The assignment of excellent prognosis categories by defined special histologic types or grade of breast cancer as well as other measures recognize women with survival approaching or equaling the general population. Likewise, extremely poor prognosis may be recognized in 20% to 40% of women with breast cancer by the presence of extensive mitoses or high proliferation index (by any modality) and poor differentiation (highest grade). Combined tumor size and nodal status data with high-grade indicates that women with these indicators will die within 2 to 3 years with as high as 80% certainty. The surgical pathologist still determines if cancer is present and must also determine if the tumor is in situ or invasive, its type or grade if invasive, and the extent of in situ component. Considering the diminution in overall size of cancers detected by modern techniques, it is clear that validation of newer prognostic variables will be more useful and will allow more separate determinations if adapted to tissue sections rather than tissue homogenates. The many measures of these carcinomas, such as size and nodal status, make multiparametric assessment of putative prognostic markers mandatory.

Biomarkers, Tumor↗

PubMed1994

Prognostic factors predictive of survival and local recurrence for extremity soft tissue sarcoma.

OBJECTIVE: The authors sought to identify prognostic factors in the management of extremity soft tissue sarcoma. SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: The surgical management of soft tissue sarcoma has evolved because of advances in therapy, resulting in increased limb preservation and quality of life. However, identifying a subset of patients most likely to benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy has been difficult to achieve. METHODS: A retrospective analysis of a prospective data base of 182 patients with extremity sarcomas from 1970 to 1992 was performed. RESULTS: A histologic diagnosis of Ewing's sarcoma, synovial sarcoma, and angiosarcoma was associated with a 13-fold increased risk of death compared with liposarcoma, fibrosarcoma, and malignant peripheral nerve sheath histologic types after having adjusted for the other prognostic factors (p < 0.001). In addition to histologic type, high-grade sarcomas (p = 0.018), sarcomas greater than 10 cm in size (p = 0.006), and age at diagnosis (p = 0.016) were found to be important prognostic factors for survival but not for local recurrence. For the first time to their knowledge, the authors showed that mean mitotic activity has prognostic value after having adjusted for other prognostic factors, such as grade (p = 0.005). The only prognostic factors predictive for local recurrence were whether the patient presented with locally recurrent disease (p = 0.0001) or had microscopically positive margins (p = 0.052). CONCLUSIONS: The use of mitotic activity along with grade, size, histologic type, and age at diagnosis is prognostic for survival in extremity soft tissue sarcoma. The use of an objective pathologic feature, such as mean mitotic activity, is also useful in selecting patients for future systemic neoadjuvant or adjuvant trials and primary therapy.

Adolescent↗

PubMed1995

Prognostic factors predictive of survival for truncal and retroperitoneal soft-tissue sarcoma.

OBJECTIVE: The authors identified prognostic factors relevant to clinical outcomes (especially survival) in truncal and retroperitoneal soft-tissue sarcoma. SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: These results can be used to optimize surgical management and select patients most likely to benefit from novel therapeutic strategies in future trials. METHODS: A retrospective analysis was performed of a prospectively compiled database of 183 consecutive patients with truncal and retroperitoneal sarcomas seen at the Brigham and Women's Hospital and the Dana Farber Cancer Institute between 1970 to 1994. RESULTS: For truncal sarcoma, multivariate analysis showed that high-grade histology was associated with an eightfold increased risk of death compared with low-grade histology (p = 0.001). In addition to grade, gross positive margin of resection (p = 0.001), microscopic positive margin (p = 0.023), and tumors greater than 5 cm in size (p = 0.018) were important independent prognostic factors for survival. In this series, postoperative radiation therapy for truncal sarcoma was associated with a 2.4-fold decreased risk of death compared with truncal sarcoma patients receiving no adjuvant radiation therapy, having adjusted for the other prognostic factors (p = 0.030). In contrast, for retroperitoneal sarcoma, multivariate analysis showed that high-grade and intermediate-grade histology were associated with a five- to sixfold increased risk of death compared with low-grade histology (p = 0.009). In addition to grade, gross positive margin of resection (p = 0.001) and microscopic positive margin (p = 0.004) were important independent prognostic factors for survival in retroperitoneal sarcoma. Patients who received either preoperative or postoperative chemotherapy for retroperitoneal sarcoma had a 4.6-fold (p = 0.002) and 3-fold (p = 0.010) increased risk of death, respectively, compared with patients receiving no adjuvant chemotherapy, having adjusted for the other prognostic factors. CONCLUSIONS: The histologic grade and the margin of resection are prognostic for survival in both truncal and retroperitoneal soft-tissue sarcoma. Tumor size was an independent prognostic factor for truncal sarcoma, but not for retroperitoneal sarcoma. Postoperative adjuvant radiation was beneficial to overall survival for truncal sarcoma. In this series of patients receiving a heterogeneous mixture of chemotherapeutic regimens-either as preoperative "neoadjuvant" therapy or as postoperative "adjuvant" therapy, there were no beneficial effects on survival compared with nonrandomized patients not receiving chemotherapy.

Adult↗

PubMed1998

Prognostic significance of plasma markers of immune activation, HIV viral load and CD4 T-cell measurements.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the prognostic significance for AIDS occurrence of plasma levels of immune activation markers in comparison with and in conjunction with HIV viral load and CD4 T-cell measurements. DESIGN: A retrospective analysis was conducted of three plasma activation markers, the soluble tumor necrosis factor (TNF) receptor II (TNF-RII), neopterin and soluble interleukin-2 receptor levels, and of CD4 T-cell levels and plasma HIV viral load. SUBJECTS: The participants were 659 men taking part in the University of California Los Angeles Multicenter AIDS Cohort Study who were HIV-seropositive but AIDS-free in 1985. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Clinically defined AIDS within 3 years. Failure time statistical regression models for the time to development of AIDS were used to assess prognostic capacity of the parameters alone and in combination. RESULTS: All the markers had prognostic capability. The levels of the three plasma activation markers correlated well with each other (median r = 0.61). They related less well with HIV RNA plasma levels (median r = 0.50) and least well with CD4 cell levels (median r = 0.36). Furthermore, plasma marker levels were shown to be able to stratify patients for prognosis within all the major categories of CD4 T-cell and HIV RNA levels. CONCLUSIONS: Plasma levels of soluble TNF-RII and other soluble markers of immune activation have prognostic capabilities which are different from HIV and CD4 T-cell levels. Combination of a single plasma activation marker measurement (such as soluble TNF-RII) with CD4 T-cell levels improved the prognostic capability of each. A new graphic technique for presenting prognostic capability indicated that plasma soluble TNF-RII and CD4 cell levels are better prognostic factors than HIV plasma level with CD4 cells < 200 x 10(6)/l. Inexpensive tests for one of the plasma activation markers, such as soluble TNF-RII or neopterin, can be useful for evaluations of HIV disease course, especially when expensive equipment, technical expertise and funding required for flow cytometry and for HIV load measurements are not readily available.

Antigens, CD↗

PubMed2004

Implications of prognostic factors and risk groups in the management of differentiated thyroid cancer.

OBJECTIVES/HYPOTHESIS: The outcome in differentiated thyroid cancer generally depends on the stage of the disease at the time of presentation; prognostic factors such as age, grade, size, extension, or distant metastasis; and risk groups (eg, low or high risk). The author has reviewed a large number of patients with differentiated thyroid cancer to analyze their hypothesis and to confirm that various risk groups have a major implication in relation to extent of the treatment and outcome. Differentiated thyroid cancers make up 90% of all thyroid tumors. The prognostic factors are well defined, such as age, size of the tumor, extrathyroidal extension, presence of distant metastasis, histological appearance, and grade of the tumor. The author has previously divided the risk groups into low-, intermediate-, and high-risk categories based on prognostic factors. The study describes the author's treatment approach related to the extent of thyroidectomy and adjuvant therapy based on various risk groups and the long-term survival. STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective. METHODS: In a retrospective review of 1038 patients with differentiated thyroid carcinoma, various prognostic factors were studied by univariate and multivariate analysis. The significant prognostic factors were studied in detail and, based on these prognostic factors, the patients were divided into low-, intermediate- and high-risk groups. The survival curves were plotted by Kaplan-Meier method. RESULTS: The long-term survivals in low-, intermediate- and high-risk groups were 99%, 87%, and 57% respectively. Based on these risk groups, a decision tree was made regarding extent of thyroidectomy and adjuvant treatment. In the high-risk group and selected patients in the intermediate-risk group, aggressive surgery including removal of all gross disease and extrathyroidal extension with postoperative radioactive iodine ablation is recommended. In the low-risk group and selected patients in the intermediate-risk group, lobectomy appears to be satisfactory with excellent long-term outcome. The surgical treatment offers the best long-term results in low-risk patients, and the role of adjuvant treatment in this group is questionable. CONCLUSION: The decisions in the management of well-differentiated thyroid cancer should be based on various prognostic factors and risk groups. The long-term survival in the low-risk group is excellent, and consideration should be given to conservative surgical resection depending on the extent of the disease. In the high-risk group and selected patients in the intermediate-risk group, total thyroidectomy with radioactive ablation is warranted. A consideration may be given to external-beam radiation therapy in selected high-risk patients. It is apparent, based on the author's clinical experience and critical retrospective analysis, that the author's hypothesis that risk groups are extremely important in the long-term outcome of patients with differentiated thyroid cancer is correct. Based on various risk groups, the author currently is able to guide the treatment policies for thyroid cancer.

Adult↗

PubMed2004

Expression profiling of colorectal carcinomas using tissue microarrays: cell cycle regulatory proteins p21, p27, and p53 as immunohistochemical prognostic markers in univariate and multivariate analysis.

With the rapidly growing understanding of tumor biology, molecular staging of cancer is expected to improve prognostication. This would be particularly important for cancers amenable to adjuvant treatment, such as colorectal carcinomas. To generate data for this, the tissue microarray technique may prove useful. Tissue microarrays were constructed with triplicate cores (0.6 mm diameter) from the invasive margins of a consecutive single-institution series of 184 colorectal carcinomas. Immunostaining for p53, p21, p27, Ecadherin, and beta-catenin was scored. Tumor cell proliferation was assessed by mitotic indices and Ki-67 labeling, apoptosis by quantification of apoptotic bodies. Reduced nuclear immunostaining for p21 (<10%) and p27 (< or =50%) and reduced membranous expression of Ecadherin were significantly associated with a poorer clinical course by univariate analysis. beta-catenin immunostaining had no prognostic impact. Mitotic and apoptotic indices as well as Ki-67 labeling below the median were indicators of poor prognosis. Complete absence of p53 nuclear staining was a significant adverse prognostic factor. By Cox regression, p53 = 0%, p53 = 0%, in combination with p27 < or = 50%, the mitotic index and the combined mitotic and apoptotic index added prognostic information to UICC stage. The authors found that growth pattern, lymphohistiocytic response, lymphatic permeation, and venous spread, too, each was a strong prognosticator in addition to UICC stage. The results support that tissue microarrays are a useful tool for screening immunohistochemical markers for prognostic use. An immunopanel of p21, p27, and p53 could be useful for prognostication in colorectal carcinoma in addition to UICC stage.

Adult↗

PubMed2003

Reproducibility and prognostic variability of grade and lamina propria invasion in stages Ta, T1 urothelial carcinoma of the bladder.

PURPOSE: We assessed the reproducibility and prognostic variability of grade and lamina propria invasion in stages Ta, T1 urothelial carcinoma of the bladder. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A total of 130 consecutive stages Ta, T1 urothelial carcinomas routinely diagnosed by 15 pathologists (original diagnosis) were reviewed by 3 independent experienced pathologists using 1999 WHO criteria (diagnoses 1 to 3 and reviewer consensus diagnosis). Interreviewer disagreement cases were blindly reviewed again. Each remaining disagreement case was discussed in a multihead microscope session to attempt to solve remaining disagreements. In cases of continuing disagreement the majority diagnosis on stage and grade was considered the consensus diagnosis. Stage progression at followup was the dependent variable. Stage progression-free Kaplan-Meier survival curves and hazard ratios of each stage and grade diagnosis were calculated and prognostic variability was determined. RESULTS: There was complete interobserver agreement on stage and grade among reviewers in 80% and 59% of cases, while it was 87.7% and 75.4%, respectively, after the second review. More than 1 grade difference occurred in 1.5% of cases (0% after the second review). The consensus and original diagnoses agreed on stage and grade in 68.5% and 62.3% of cases, respectively. Assignment of individual cases to 1 category of the 1999 WHO classification per reviewer varied considerably. The incidence of cases classified as stage T1 grade 3 by the reviewers was between 12.3% and 18.9% (average 14.1%). Consensus diagnosis grade had the strongest prognostic value (HR 68.8, range 8.9 to 528.0). Of the 63 original diagnoses of stage T1 tumors the consensus diagnosis down staged 35 (55.6%) to Ta and up staged 8 (12.7%) to T2-3. Progression was more common in the 20 consensus diagnosis stage T1 cases (5 or 25%) than in the 55 original diagnosis stage T1 cases (11 or 20%). Original diagnosis stage T1 tumors that were down staged by the consensus diagnosis showed less progression than consensus diagnosis confirmed stage T1 tumors (17% versus 25%). The prognostically worst subgroup (T1 grade 3) also showed considerable prognostic variation among reviewers (28% to 76% at 5 years of followup), in that the consensus diagnosis again had the highest prognostic significance (HR 3.5, range 1.2 to 10.2). At the end of the study all pathologists expressed that they were regularly uncertain about stage and grade assessment in an individual case in a considerable percent of all cases. CONCLUSIONS: Observer prognostic variability in staging and grading is considerable with potentially strong implications for patients. Interobserver variation did not decrease using the new 1999 WHO grading classification.

Carcinoma, Transitional Cell↗

PubMed1993

Serum thymidine kinase as a prognostic indicator for patients with multiple myeloma: results from the MRC (UK) V trial.

The significance of serum thymidine kinase (STK) as a prognostic indicator for patients with myeloma has been evaluated by determining the pre-treatment level of STK in a retrospective study of 547 patients from the Medical Research Council (MRC) V Myeloma Trial. Overall, STK was a highly significant prognostic factor (Chi 2 = 7.91; P = 0.005). At the time of censor, 23.4% of patients with a presentation STK of < 6 U/l but only 7.9% of the patients with an STK of > 11 U/l were still alive. STK proved to be a highly significant prognostic indicator for the 270 melphalan-treated patients (Chi 2 = 12.37; P = 0.0004) but had no prognostic significance for the 277 ABCM (adriamycin, BCNU, cyclophosphamide and melphalan) treated patients (Chi 2 = 0.29; P = 0.59). When the STK data was stratified for serum B-2-microglobulin (SB2M) it was demonstrated that STK was independent of SB2M and provided additional prognostic information for patients who were treated with melphalan. Thus patients with both a low STK and SB2M had the best prognosis (median survival 1677 d) and those patients with a high STK and SB2M had the worst prognosis (median survival 519 d). STK is a good prognostic marker for patients treated with melphalan but the prognostic significance of STK may disappear with the introduction of new chemotherapy regimens.

Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols↗

PubMed2004

Microvessel density compared with the Chalkley count in a prognostic study of angiogenesis in breast cancer patients.

AIMS: Evaluation of angiogenesis by intratumoral vessel profiles can be performed by different methods. The aim of this study was to investigate the prognostic value of estimates obtained by the intratumoral microvessel density (MVD) method and then to compare with corresponding estimates obtained by the Chalkley method. METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 330 patients treated for primary, unilateral, invasive breast carcinoma were included. The median follow-up time was 14 years and 4 months. The microvessels were immunohistochemically stained by antibodies to CD34. MVD was not significantly correlated with any clinicopathological variables. By univariate analysis, MVD showed no prognostic value with regard to recurrence-free survival (RFS) or overall survival (OS), while the Chalkley count had significant prognostic value (P < 0.0001; RFS and OS). In the Cox multivariate analysis, MVD had no prognostic impact [median HR [confidence interval (CI)] was 0.93 [0.66, 1.32] for RFS; and HR [CI] was 0.86 [0.62, 1.19] for OS], while the Chalkley count [median HR (CI) was 2.12 (1.48, 3.06) for RFS; and HR (CI) was 1.71 (1.23, 2.37) for OS] provided independent prognostic value when adjusted for age, menopausal status, axillary lymph node status, tumour size, histological grade, adjuvant systemic treatment and radiation therapy. In comparing the results obtained by MVD in our study with those from other published studies we find good agreement. CONCLUSIONS: The Chalkley count technique seems to be preferable for estimating angiogenesis with regard to the prognostic stratification of breast cancer patients, based on its strong prognostic impact, and acceptable reproducibility.

Age Distribution↗

PubMed2004

Serum LD1 isoenzyme and blood lymphocyte subsets as prognostic indicators for severe acute respiratory syndrome.

BACKGROUND: The pathophysiology of severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) is at present poorly understood, but advanced age and serum total lactate dehydrogenase (LD) activity >300 U L(-1) have been associated with adverse clinical outcomes. Blood leucocytes and lymphocyte subsets were reported to decrease, respectively, in 47% and up to 100% of 38 patients in Beijing. However, their prognostic implications have not been thoroughly investigated. OBJECTIVE: To investigate serum total LD, LD isoenzymes, and other parameters including blood lymphocyte subsets as prognostic indicators in SARS patients for adverse clinical outcomes in terms of admission to intensive care unit (ICU) and death. DESIGN: Retrospective analysis. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: A total of 109 patients with a clinical diagnosis of SARS according to the modified World Health Organization case definition of SARS were recruited from two major acute hospitals in Hong Kong. They were either involved in the initial outbreak of SARS, or cases from the community outbreak of Amoy Gardens between 10 March and 5 May 2003. The clinical diagnosis was subsequently confirmed by serological test and/or molecular analysis. Serum total LD and LD isoenzyme activities, complete blood picture with total leucocyte count and differential counts, absolute counts of CD3+, CD4+, CD8+, natural killer cells and B lymphocytes were measured daily upon admission. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was used to determine and compare different cut-offs for various biochemical and immunological parameters at peak serum total LD concentration in predicting adverse clinical outcomes. RESULTS: Of a total of 109 patients, 41 were admitted to ICU and 42 died. Of 42 fatal patients, 24 died in ICU and 18 died in general medical wards. Age was found to be an independent prognostic indicator for death with an area under curve (AUC) of 0.96 [95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.90-0.99] but not for admission to ICU [AUC = 0.61 (CI = 0.51-0.70)]. Whilst serum total LD could only achieve AUC of 0.68 (CI = 0.59-0.77) for predicting death, LD1 isoenzyme was found to be the best biochemical prognostic indicator with AUC of 0.84 (CI = 0.75-0.90), sensitivity of 62% (CI = 46-76%), specificity of 93% (CI = 83-98%) at cut-off activity of > or =80 U L(-1). CD3+, CD4+, CD8+ and natural killer cell counts were promising immunological prognostic indicators for predicting admission to ICU with AUC of 0.94 (CI = 0.86-0.98), 0.91 (CI = 0.81-0.96), 0.93 (CI = 0.85-0.98), and 0.87 (CI = 0.76-0.94), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Apart from age, serum LD1 activity was the best prognostic indicator for predicting death in patients with SARS compared with serum total LD activity, haemoglobin concentration, leucocyte and lymphocyte counts. Its release could possibly be from blood erythrocytes and body tissues other than the myocardium. Blood CD3+, CD4+, CD8+ and natural killer cell counts were found to be good prognostic indicators for predicting admission to ICU in patients with SARS compared with age, leucocyte count and LD isoenzymes. The suppressed CD3+, CD4+, CD8+, and natural killer cell counts were also implicated in the pathophysiology of SARS. Patients with increased serum LD1 should be closely monitored to ensure prompt management, and preparation for admission to ICU could be planned ahead for patients with suppressed lymphocyte subsets.

Adult↗