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[Mammography screening in the county of Copenhagen. Results of the first three screening rounds].

INTRODUCTION: Biennial service mammography screening for breast cancer has been offered to women aged 50-69 years in the municipality of Copenhagen since 1991. We report the results of the first three invitation rounds. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Data were collected from the Copenhagen service mammography screening database and other Danish registers. RESULTS: The average participation rate during the first three invitation rounds was 66%. The breast cancer detection rate was 10/1,000 screened in the first invitation round and 5/1,000 in the consecutive rounds. The probability of a false positive mammography was 6% at the prevalent screen, and this was reduced to 3% at incidence screens. Fifty-two cases of interval cancer were seen after the first invitation round. The expected number was 152, which gives a proportional interval cancer rate of 0.34. The sensitivity was 86% and the specificity 94% after the first round. DISCUSSION: The detection rate of breast cancer was high, especially in the prevalence round. The trend in the incidence of breast cancer at the subsequent rounds was similar to that before screening, which indicates that mammography screening does not lead to any greater over-diagnosis. The rate of false positive mammography was high at the initial screening round, but was acceptable at subsequent rounds, and a false positive mammography does not seem to have affected participation in subsequent rounds. The Copenhagen screening programme conforms to international quality assurance guidelines for process evaluation.

Aged↗

Screening mammography participation and invitational strategy: the Quebec Breast Cancer Screening Program, 1998-2000.

In the Quebec Breast Cancer Screening Program, a personalized letter signed by a regional program physician is sent to every woman in the province 50 to 69 years of age, inviting her to have a screening mammogram. A reminder letter is also frequently sent. The aim of this study was to evaluate the influence of this screening invitational strategy on rates of participation. The population studied was comprised of 684,028 women in Quebec aged 50-69. The baseline (expected) monthly mammography screening rate was estimated from the rate of screening mammograms recorded between the date a woman became eligible for screening and the mailing date of her personalized invitational letter; the observed monthly mammography screening rate was calculated after the mailing of the letter. Compared to baseline (expected) screening rates, observed rates were substantially increased (p<.05). The ratios of observed to expected rates were respectively 3.05 and 2.23 in the second and fourth months, respectively, after the letter mailing, coinciding with the mailing of the initial and reminder letters. In the twelve months after the mailing, the ratio of observed to expected rates was 1.68 (95% CI: 1.67-1.69). Twelve months following the mailing, 30 percent of the women who were letter recipients had undergone a screening mammography, compared to an expected cumulative probability of 20 percent for women not receiving a letter. The strength of this effect was similar to one seen in randomised controlled trials.

Aged↗

Cancer screening in Singapore, with particular reference to breast, cervical and colorectal cancer screening.

Cancer is the leading cause of mortality in Singapore, accounting for 27.1% of deaths in 2004. The most common cancers are those of the lung, colon and rectum, liver, stomach, and prostate in men; and breast, colon and rectum, lung, ovary and cervix in women. Singapore has the highest age-adjusted breast cancer incidence in Asia. National population screening programmes have been implemented for breast and cervical cancer. BreastScreen Singapore (BSS), the first population-based nationwide mammographic breast-screening programme in Asia, was launched in 2002, incorporating international standards and practice guidelines. For improved quality assurance, two-view screening mammography is carried out. From January 2002 until March 2004, BSS conducted over 84,000 screens, with an overall recall rate of 9.5%, and an overall invasive cancer detection rate of 4.48 per 1000 screened. Close to 30% of the cancers diagnosed was ductal carcinoma in situ. Papanicolaou (Pap) smear screening for cervical cancer has been available opportunistically since 1964. The national CervicalScreen Singapore programme was launched in 2004, aiming to achieve coverage of 80% of targeted women by 2010. Colorectal cancer currently has the highest incidence of all cancers in Singapore. The health authorities advocate colorectal cancer screening for the average risk population, starting from age 50 years, but in the absence of a national screening programme, the reliance is on opportunistic screening.

Adult↗

Indianapolis cholesterol screening 1987: does mass screening accomplish its goal?

To evaluate the impact of large scale population screening for elevated total cholesterol, a city-wide event was scheduled in Indianapolis during nine days in February 1987. Altogether, 29,954 individuals were screened, and more than 32% were found to be at moderate or high risk using the classification recommended by the National Institutes of Health at the time of the screening for heart disease on the basis of their total plasma cholesterol concentrations. Although larger numbers of females and whites volunteered to be screened, the screened population represented a broad range of age and education levels. Results of a followup questionnaire returned by 18% of those at moderate of high risk revealed that after receipt of an elevated cholesterol result, 67% of the respondents scheduled a physician visit. The majority of those not doing so (53%) contacted their physician for other reasons or by telephone. Results of the followup indicate that screened subjects responded appropriately to the results received. The results of this project indicate that mass screening is only one tool to successfully identify individuals at risk. Given the biases present in the screened population, other strategies should be used to identify at-risk members of population groups unlikely to participate in similar screening events.

Adult↗

[Screening for hereditary diseases. What other screening?].

Faced to the success of the neonatal screening for phenylketonuria and congenital hypothyroidism, it was tempting to introduce screening of other metabolic diseases. "Ideal" diseases to be screened are treatable, are not easily recognized by clinical means during the neonatal period, need immediate therapy to prevent irreversible disabilities, have a reasonable frequency and can be detected by and easy test. There is some controversy concerning the list of diseases recommended for mass screening, among them four can be discussed: congenital adrenal hyperplasia, due to 21-hydroxylase deficiency, fulfils most of the criteria, but some changes in the general screening strategy should be made to provide a result as soon as possible, and at least before the 10th day of life; cystic fibrosis, immunoreactive trypsin is a good marker of the disease but its assay needs technical adaptation for mass screening; more information are also required about the efficacy of an early management of the disease; Duchenne muscular dystrophy has a good marker for neonatal screening (creatine kinase), but no treatment exists and the possibility of genetic counselling can only be provided; hypercholesterolaemia is a frequent disease; however, the good marker and the adequate treatment remain to be defined. Pilot programmes, on the behalf of the French Association for Neonatal Screening, are evaluation these problems. However, at the present time, a consensus has been reached that only phenylketonuria and hypothyroidism fulfils criteria for an efficient mass screening programme.

Adrenal Hyperplasia, Congenital↗

The impact of a health screening flow sheet on the performance and documentation of health screening procedures.

We monitored physician performance of stool occult blood testing and breast exams during health maintenance visits of patients aged 50 or greater, to assess the impact of a physician education program and the use of a health screening flow sheet on performance of these health screening procedures. During the baseline study period, use of these procedures was documented for only about 40% of patients. A physician education program (conferences reviewing appropriate health maintenance screening procedures, and information on the use of a specific health screening flow sheet) did not significantly change the rate of documented physician performance of these procedures. After a health screening flow sheet was introduced into the medical record, the rate of documented performance of these screening tests increased. However, despite the presence of the screening flow sheet in the patient record, most screening evaluations were documented only in the progress notes. These results suggest that the screening flow sheet serves primarily as a memory prompting device. The usefulness of the flow sheet as a patient data storage device appears questionable.

Breast↗

Estimating lead time and sensitivity in a screening program without estimating the incidence in the screened group.

Early indicators of the effectiveness of a screening test for chronic diseases such as breast cancer are the length of time the diagnosis is advanced by screening, the lead time, and the sensitivity of the screening test. This paper describes a model for simultaneously estimating the mean lead time and the sensitivity when only the number of cancers detected at the successive screenings and the number of cancers occurring in the time interval between the screening examinations are known. This model is particularly useful in assessing the effect of screening when the underlying cancer incidence in the screened group is unknown. The model is fitted to the data of 235 screen-detected breast cancer cases and 146 interval cancers diagnosed across 6 screening rounds of the program in Nijmegen. The maximum likelihood estimate for the mean lead time ranges from 1.3 years in the under age 50 group to 2.2 years in the age 50-65 group, both estimates having large confidence intervals. The corresponding sensitivity estimates are 0.92 and 1.00.

Adult↗

Evaluating the age to begin periodic breast cancer screening using data from a few regularly scheduled screenings.

To evaluate various ages to begin periodic breast cancer screening, we propose a method of analysis that can be applied to either a nonrandomized or a randomized study involving only a few screenings at regular intervals. For the analysis of data from a nonrandomized study, we assume (i) once breast cancer can be detected on screening and confirmed by biopsy, it will stay that way; (ii) given age, the probability of breast cancer detection does not depend on year of birth; and (iii) subjects who refuse screening have the same rates of breast cancer mortality following diagnosis as screened subjects had they not received screening. The key idea is that older screened subjects are controls for younger screened subjects. For the analysis of data from a randomized study, we relax assumption (iii). Based on the HIP randomized trial and assumptions (i) and (ii), we estimate that starting periodic breast cancer screening with mammography and physical examination at age 40 instead of age 50 reduces breast cancer mortality by 14 per 10,000 with a 95% confidence interval of (-4/10,000, 32/10,000). This must be weighted against an estimated increase in the number of biopsies that do not detect cancer of 580 per 10,000 with a 95% confidence interval of (520/10,000, 650/10,000).

Adult↗