SEARCH · PubMed Health

Results for “Prognostics”

Explore indexed PubMed citations for clinical trials, systematic reviews and public health research. Read source abstracts and follow each citation to its original PubMed record.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 271 records · Page 15Linked to original sources

PubMed1995

Prognostic factors for survival in patients with metastatic renal cancer treated with biological response modifiers.

PURPOSE: Clinical characteristics prognostic of survival in patients with metastatic renal cell carcinoma treated with biological response modifiers are poorly understood. Understanding these prognostic features may help with better stratification of patients in clinical trials and define further appropriate treatment for each prognostic subgroup. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A retrospective study of 84 patients with recurrent or metastatic renal cancer was conducted to identify prognostic factors for survival in patients who received biological response modifiers (alpha-interferon, beta-interferon, gamma-interferon and interleukin-2). RESULTS: Univariate analysis identified Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance status (1 versus 0, p < 0.001), bone metastasis (p = 0.008), recent weight loss (greater than 10% of total body weight versus no loss, p = 0.028), history of nephrectomy (no versus yes, p = 0.025), recurrence at the renal bed (p = 0.043) and sarcomatoid histology (yes versus no, p < 0.001) as important prognostic indicators. Multivariate analysis of prognostic factors in this patient population indicated that ECOG performance status, sarcomatoid histology and bone metastasis were most significant, while other factors were less significant (p > 0.05) after adjusting for ECOG performance status and sarcomatoid histology. Based on the total positive number of 5 risk factors defined previously the study population separates into 3 risk groups, with a median survival from the low to high risk groups of 14.4, 10.9 and 1.3 months, respectively. Prognostic scores based only on ECOG performance status, sarcomatoid histology and bone metastasis allowed for stratification of our patients into 3 distinct groups with median survivals of 18.6, 8.4 and 3.8 months, which were also predictive of survival (p < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Risk factors of ECOG performance status, sarcomatoid histology, bone metastasis, history of nephrectomy, recent weight loss and recurrence at the renal bed are predictive of survival in patients treated with biological response modifiers. In addition to previous findings of prognostic factors in renal cancer patients treated with chemotherapy, we identified sarcomatoid histology as an important risk factor in patients treated with biological response modifiers.

Bone Neoplasms↗

PubMed1996

Prognostic significance of serum tumour markers in carcinoma of the cervix.

PURPOSE: The purpose was to evaluate the prognostic significance of serum tumour markers and other potential prognostic factors in cervical cancer. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Five hundred and thirty-one patients with cervical cancer were studied. The pre-treatment levels of SCC (squamous cell carcinoma antigen), TPA (tissue polypeptide antigen), CEA (carcinoembryonic antigen), CA125 and hCG (human chorionic gonadotrophin) were assayed in these patients. Possible association between raised tumour markers and potential prognostic factors and their prognostic significance were sought by univariate and multivariate Cox analysis. RESULTS: SCC was raised in 65% of squamous cell carcinoma of the cervix and TPA was raised in 50%. Other markers were raised in less than 25%. No tumour markers were raised more than 30% in adenocarcinoma of the cervix. Raised SCC and TPA were related to advancing age, stage and grade of differentiation. Univariate analysis showed that age, stage, grade, raised SCC and TPA were significant prognostic factors on survival. Multivariate Cox analysis showed that stage was the most significant factor. CONCLUSION: Stage, age, grade of differentiation, raised pre-treatment levels of SCC and TPA were significant prognostic factors in cervical cancer using univariate analysis. However, only stage remains the most important independent prognostic factor in multivariate analysis. The prognostic value of these other factors in early stage disease needs further exploration.

Adenocarcinoma↗

PubMed1998

Prognostic factors and scoring systems in myelodysplastic syndromes.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Great prognostic heterogeneity complicates therapy-planning and a correct evaluation of clinical trials in myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS). Thus, the development of a prognostic classification of MDS is of major clinical relevance, especially when the advanced age of most patients and the aggressiveness of the curative treatment modalities currently available are considered. This review summarizes the results of different studies focusing on prognostic factors in MDS and deals with the pros and cons of prognostic scoring systems that have been recently developed. It also discusses the prognostic factors of particular subtypes of patients and those isolated with certain treatment options. EVIDENCE AND INFORMATION SOURCES: The authors of the present review have been working in different areas of the field of MDS for several years, have contributed original papers on the prognostic factors and therapy of these disorders, and have taken part in the recent International MDS Risk Analysis Workshop that has resulted in the development of the International Prognostic Scoring System (IPSS) for MDS. STATE OF THE ART AND PERSPECTIVES: The percentage of marrow blasts, cytogenetic pattern and number and degree of cytopenias are the most powerful prognostic indicators in MDS. Although some limitations are evident, the recently developed scoring systems, and particularly the IPSS, are extremely useful for predicting survival and acute leukemic risk in individuals with MDS and should be incorporated to the design and analysis of therapeutic trials in these disorders. A risk-adapted treatment strategy is now possible and highly recommended for MDS patients.

Humans↗

PubMed1998

Prognostic factors for survival in patients with brain metastases from renal cell carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Patients presenting with brain metastases from renal cell carcinoma portend a poor prognosis, with a reported median survival of 4-6 months. Given their short life expectancy, these patients generally have been excluded from clinical trials that assess the efficacy of medical treatments. However, clinical impression suggests that some patients may achieve long term palliation. METHODS: The clinical features of 68 patients who were treated at the Institut Gustave Roussy for brain metastases from renal cell carcinoma were collected retrospectively. Using univariate and multivariate analyses, a prognostic model based on independent prognostic factors was established. An external data set of 57 patients was used to validate the model. RESULTS: The median survival was 7 months. On univariate analysis survival was related significantly to the following adverse prognostic factors: no initial nephrectomy, left side and temporal location of brain metastases, presence of fever or weight loss, erythrocyte sedimentation rate > 50 mm/h, and time from initial diagnosis to brain metastases < or = 18 months. Multivariate analyses identified the previous variable as well as the presence of other visceral metastases as independent prognostic factors. Forty-four patients (65%) with no or 1 adverse prognostic factor (average risk group) had a median survival of 8 months and a 26% 1-year survival rate. Twenty-four patients (35%) with 2 adverse prognostic factors (poor risk group) had a median survival of 3 months and a 1-year survival rate of 9%. This model proved to be discriminant in an external data set; the median survival of patients assigned to the average risk group was 11 months (46% 1-year survival rate) compared with 4 months (9% 1-year survival rate) for patients assigned to the poor risk group. CONCLUSIONS: Patients presenting with brain metastases from renal cell carcinoma and poor risk prognostic factors are highly unlikely to benefit from medical treatments except symptomatic procedures. Conversely, the enrollment of patients with average risk prognostic factors into clinical trials dealing with chemotherapy or immunotherapy may be considered.

Adolescent↗

PubMed2026

Construction of molecular signatures based on the co-expression network of NECSO-related gene TRPM4 and its prognostic value in hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) demonstrates significant prognostic variability that is not entirely accounted for by traditional staging systems. Necrosis by sodium overload (NECSO) is an emerging programmed cell death pathway, but its clinical relevance in HCC remains undefined. Therefore, this study aimed to identify TRPM4-associated core genes, develop and validate a prognostic signature, and investigate its relationship with the tumor immune microenvironment, tumor mutational burden, and single-cell expression patterns in HCC. METHODS: We integrated transcriptomic, clinical, and mutational datasets from The Cancer Genome Atlas-Liver Hepatocellular Carcinoma (TCGA-LIHC) (n=421) and Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) cohorts (n=115) to identify genes co-expressed with TRPM4-a key NECSO mediator-and those differentially expressed in HCC. A prognostic signature was developed using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO)-Cox regression and validated through survival analysis, time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, and multivariate Cox regression analysis. The immune landscape was characterized using CIBERSORT, somatic mutation data were used to calculate tumor mutational burden (TMB) and assess its correlation with the risk score, and single-cell RNA sequencing (scRNA-seq) resolved cell-type-specific expression patterns. RESULTS: From 294 TRPM4-associated core genes, we identified an 11-gene signature (BRSK1, MMP1, GRIN2D, GP6, MYOM2, N4BP3, CCDC112, TSEN54, MAP3K9, SPP1, B3GNT4) that independently predicted overall survival (OS) (hazard ratio =5.419, P<0.001) with areas under the curve (AUCs) of 0.779, 0.693, and 0.701 at 1, 3, and 5 years. These values were superior or comparable to conventional clinicopathologic variables after direct comparison. High-risk patients exhibited an immunosuppressive microenvironment, characterized by enrichment of M0 macrophage, a higher M2/M1 ratio (P<0.001) and distinct immune checkpoint profiles. When integrated with TMB, the prognostic stratification was further refined: high-TMB/high-risk patients had poorest outcomes (median OS, 15.3 months), while low-TMB/low-risk patients had the most favorable survival (median OS, 68.7 months). Single-cell analysis revealed that MMP1 was induced in cancer-associated fibroblasts (CAFs) and SPP1 was downregulated in macrophages, single-cell risk scores confirmed TAFs and macrophages as the main contributors to the prognostic model. CONCLUSIONS: The TRPM4-centered 11-gene signature provides robust and independent prognostic stratification in HCC by integrating immune, mutational, and single-cell features. This signature serves as a potential tool for prognostic evaluation and may help inform immunotherapeutic strategies for HCC.

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC)↗

PubMed1997

Diagnostic and prognostic markers for human prostate cancer.

BACKGROUND: The incidence and mortality of prostate cancer are increasing at alarming rates, partially due to an aging population. Early detection of prostate cancer, using clinically sensitive procedures and/or tumor markers (e.g., prostate-specific antigen [PSA]), is of prime importance. However, the choice of therapeutic interventions for prostate cancer at the time of diagnosis is largely dependent on clinical and pathologic staging and prediction of the degree of aggressiveness of the disease. Clinically applicable prognostic markers are urgently needed to assist in the selection of optimal therapy. METHODS: Literature review of the potential diagnostic and prognostic markers for human prostate cancer. RESULTS: Well-established tissue prognostic indicators, including histologic grade, margin positivity, pathologic stage, intraglandular tumor extent, and DNA ploidy, are not reviewed in this paper. Recently, a number of novel markers have been identified. In this paper, we begin with a discussion of a number of well-established as well as investigational diagnostic markers and then focus on evaluation of prognostic markers. Diagnostic markers that have prognostic value and investigational prognostic markers are also discussed. CONCLUSIONS: Currently, only PSA is utilized for early diagnosis and monitoring of prostate cancer. A number of potential prognostic markers warrant further investigation. Multimarker analysis is implicated.

Acid Phosphatase↗

PubMed1996

Current prognostic factors for prostate carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Prostate carcinoma provides a wide spectrum for risk of death from the disease and clinicians have long sought methods to predict the outcome accurately in individual patients. Traditional prognostic factors, such as histologic grade and stage, remain valuable. Additional clinical and laboratory studies may add to the precision of predicting the natural history of the disease or response to therapy. METHODS: A review of the literature on current, well accepted prognostic factors for prostate carcinoma and evolving methodology for the incorporation of new factors was conducted. RESULTS: The most widely used current prognostic factors for survival of patients with prostate carcinoma include clinical and pathologic stage, histologic grade, prostate specific antigen (PSA) level, age, and comorbidity. DNA ploidy has been extensively studied on radical prostatectomy specimens and appears valuable, but is not widely employed. The utility of DNA ploidy on biopsy specimens is less certain because of both methodologic issues and heterogeneity within the tumor. The statistical tools used to identify and validate new prognostic factors are critical and new techniques are sought to incorporate several independent factors into a prognostic score or index for an individual patient. CONCLUSIONS: Current prognostic factors for prostate carcinoma provide important information for patient care and research. However, new methods to define pretreatment prognosis and needed to assist clinicians and patients in making therapeutic choices for prostate carcinoma. The ideal method with which to incorporate the information attained from anatomic stage, histologic grade, PSA level, age, and comorbidity into a manageable prognostic score is uncertain and studies on this topic should be a high priority research objective.

Age Factors↗

PubMed2000

A prognostic index of the survival of patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma after transcatheter arterial chemoembolization.

BACKGROUND: Transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) has been used as a palliative treatment for patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), but its prognostic usefulness has not previously been clarified. METHODS: The authors reviewed all patients treated at their institution with TACE for unresectable HCC in order to analyze prognostic factors and to determine which patients might benefit from this treatment. One hundred forty-three patients were retrospectively studied. Pretreatment, treatment, and follow-up variables with possible prognostic significance were analyzed. A stepwise multivariate analysis was performed using the Cox regression model, and a prognostic index was obtained. RESULTS: According to univariate analysis, variables significantly associated with survival were alpha-fetoprotein (>400 U/L), tumor size (>50%), ascites, albumin (<30 g/L), Child-Pugh grade (Child C), Okuda stage (Okuda III), portal vein thrombosis, tumor greatest dimension larger than 5 cm, more than 3 nodules, bilobular involvement, and pattern of iodized oil uptake, tumor size reduction, and radiologic T classification on computed tomography scan performed 7 and 30 days after TACE. However, only ascites, alpha-fetoprotein (>400 U/L), tumor size (>50%), Child-Pugh grade (Child C), pattern of iodized oil uptake, and portal vein thrombosis were independent factors in multivariate analysis. Using the beta-coefficients of alpha-fetoprotein (>400 U/L), tumor size (>50%) and Child-Pugh score, a prognostic index was calculated, and according to this index patients were classified into 3 categories with different prognoses. Ascites was excluded from the analysis because it is included in Child-Pugh grade, and iodized oil uptake was excluded because it cannot be evaluated before treatment. CONCLUSIONS: This simple prognostic index can predict the survival of patients treated with TACE and can therefore be used to decide which patients with unresectable HCC should receive this therapy. TACE should not be administered to patients with one or more positive prognostic factors.

Actuarial Analysis↗

PubMed1999

Prognostic relevance of MIB-1 immunoreactivity, S-phase fraction, 5-bromo-2'-deoxyuridine labeling indices, and mitotic figures in gliomas.

Prognostic relevance of cell proliferation markers was evaluated in 27 glioma patients. By 1) flow cytometry (FCM), i.e., S-phase fraction (SPF), and BrdUrd-labeling index (LIfcm); 2) immunohistochemistry (IHC), i.e., BrdUrd-labeling index (LIihc) and MIB-1 immunoreactivity (MIB-1 LIihc); and 3) histologic examination, i.e., the presence or absence of cells in mitoses, were assessed. A longer local progression free survival (LPFS) was significantly associated with low SPF, low LIfcm, and low MIB-1 LIihc. For LIihc, no significant association was found. LIfcm appeared to be a more promising prognosticator than MIB-1 LIihc. In comparison with this marker, the presence or absence of mitotic figures appeared to be an even stronger prognosticator. Prognostic significance of LIfcm appeared to be of importance in low-grade gliomas. The number of patients in our study is limited. Our findings were: 1) the presence or absence of cells in mitoses (M-phase activity) appeared to be of more prognostic significance than LIfcm (S-phase activity) and MIB-1 LIihc (non-G0-phase activity); 2) of the tested experimental cell proliferation markers, LIfcm appeared to be of more prognostic significance than MIB-1 LIihc, SPF, and LIihc; and 3) LIfcm is likely to be an important prognosticator in low-grade gliomas and is, therefore, not definitive and only of potential interest.

Adult↗

PubMed1992

Multivariate analysis of the histopathologic prognostic factors of cervical cancer in patients undergoing radical hysterectomy.

Three hundred forty-five patients with invasive carcinoma of the uterine cervix, Stages Ib (211 patients) and II (134 patients), underwent radical hysterectomy and pelvic lymphadenectomy. The influence of histologic factors including histologic subtype, maximum depth of cervical stromal invasion, degree of stromal invasion, longitudinal tumor diameter, lymph-vascular space invasion, corpus invasion, parametrial invasion, vaginal invasion, and pelvic lymph node (PLN) metastases on survival were examined by multivariate analysis. Univariate analysis revealed that all the variables except corpus invasion and vaginal invasion were significant in survival (P less than 0.05). Among these variables, however, PLN metastases, histologic subtype, and longitudinal tumor diameter were identified as independent and significant prognostic factors by multivariate analysis using Cox regression models. The prognostic index (PI), defined by the model (an indicator of the patient's place in the prognostic spectrum), was able to divide the patients into three prognostic groups. The key factors in the definition of these groups were (1) squamous cell carcinoma, small tumor diameter, and no PLN metastases for the good prognostic group and (2) PLN metastasis in two or more node groups, adenocarcinoma with one positive PLN group, or squamous cell carcinoma with one PLN group and large diameter for the poor prognostic group. These prognostic findings could predict the prognosis more precisely than that of clinical staging.

Adult↗

PubMed1992

Mammographic growth rate, DNA ploidy, and S-phase fraction analysis in breast carcinoma. A prognostic evaluation in a screened population.

BACKGROUND: The authors examined prognostic factors in 158 cases of breast carcinoma with known mammographic tumor volume doubling times (DT). METHODS: The tumors were retrospectively reexamined histologically and flow cytometric analysis of DNA ploidy and S-phase fraction (SPF) was performed on archival paraffin-embedded material in each case. Life tables and Cox multivariate analyses were used for statistical evaluation of prognostic factors. RESULTS: In univariate analysis of survival data, clinical and pathologic stage, histologic grade, the presence of axillary lymph node metastases, and SPF were significant prognostic predictors, but mammographic DT and DNA ploidy were not. SPF also contributed prognostic information in the subgroup of carcinoma cases detected by screening. In a Cox multivariate analysis, SPF, the presence of axillary lymph node metastases, and Stage II-III disease (as opposed to Stage I disease) were independent significant predictors of survival. In univariate analyses of distant disease-free survival, clinical and pathologic stage, tumor size, histologic grade, the presence of involved axillary nodes, DT, and SPF all were significant prognostic factors. CONCLUSIONS: SPF, stage, and lymph node status were important prognostic factors in this patient material with predominantly small and node-negative breast carcinomas, whereas DNA ploidy and mammographic DT provided less prognostic information. The prognosis of carcinoma detected during screening did not differ significantly from that of breast carcinoma discovered otherwise in this selected patient group.

Adult↗

PubMed1994

Prognostic factors in pulmonary fibrohistiocytic lesions.

BACKGROUND: The spectrum of pulmonary fibrohistiocytic lesions (PFL) ranges from benign fibrohistiocytoma or inflammatory pseudotumor, fibrohistiocytic type (IP), to fibrohistiocytic lesions of borderline malignant appearance (B), to unequivocal malignant fibrous histiocytoma (MFH). The authors reviewed a spectrum of PFL in an attempt to define their natural history and establish independent factors of prognostic significance. METHODS: Thirty-one fibrohistiocytic lesions were analyzed by multiple clinical, gross, and microscopic factors. Prognostic factors were evaluated by univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: After histopathologic review, the cases were classified into IP (15 cases), B (3 cases), and MFH (13 cases). IP tended to occur in younger patients (median age, 30 years; range, 11-64 years) than did MFH (median age, 54 years; range, 12-81 years) (P = 0.03). All 15 patients with IP and 3 patients with B survived. Local recurrence developed in 2 patients with IP and 6 patients with MFH. Distant metastases occurred in 7 patients with MFH. Eight of 13 patients with MFH died of disease, with a median survival time of 16 months (range, 6-36). For all pulmonary fibrohistiocytic lesions, univariate Cox regression analysis disclosed several statistically significant prognostic factors associated with mortality: metastasis (P = 0.0005), significant necrosis (P = 0.0015), local recurrence (P = 0.003), bizarre giant cells (P = 0.0282), mitoses greater than or equal to 3 per 50 high-power fields (P = 0.0286), stage at surgery (P = 0.002), high cellularity (P = 0.0267), and poor circumscription (P = 0.0294). Other parameters (age, sex, symptoms, laterality, location, atypical mitoses, nuclear pleomorphism, degree of fibrosis, and size) were not significant prognostic factors. By multivariate Cox regression analysis, metastasis was the most significant individual parameter (P = 0.002), overriding all other prognostic factors. With metastasis removed from the model, local recurrence (P = 0.0199) and necrosis (P = 0.037) were the other significant independent prognostic factors. CONCLUSIONS: Certain individual clinical, gross, and microscopic features have prognostic relevance in determining survival time in pulmonary fibrohistiocytic lesions.

Adolescent↗

PubMed1994

Prognostic factors and significance of chemotherapy in patients with recurrent or metastatic transitional cell cancer of the urinary tract.

BACKGROUND: Prognostic factors for patients with disseminated transitional cell carcinoma of the urothelium (TCC) has been examined only in patients selected for studies with chemotherapy. This study was performed to determine important prognostic factors in patients with disseminated TCC and evaluate the impact of chemotherapy. METHODS: The prognostic factors for survival were analyzed in 240 patients with disseminated TCC admitted from 1976 to 1992. Information on prior medical history, baseline variables, and treatment were related to survival after dissemination. Both univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify factors of independent importance. RESULTS: Univariate analyses indicated that performance status; hemoglobin; leukocyte count; platelet count; concentrations of serum creatinine, aspartate aminotransferase, lactate dehydrogenase, and alkaline phosphatase; hydronephrosis; bone metastases; disease extension; and chemotherapy were related significantly to survival. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that a good performance status, a normal alkaline phosphatase concentration, and a normal serum creatinine concentration were independent prognosticators for long survival. When chemotherapy was included in the analysis, it was found to be the most important independent prognostic factor in conjunction with alkaline phosphatase and performance status. CONCLUSION: This study has established the importance of performance status and alkaline phosphatase as the most important prognostic factors of survival in patients with disseminated TCC regardless of treatment. Chemotherapy was found to be an independent prognostic variable that indicates a possible prolongation of survival in patients receiving chemotherapy.

Adult↗

PubMed1995

The prognostic value of lymphatic and blood vessel invasion in operable breast cancer.

BACKGROUND: This study assessed the prognostic effect of lymphatic and blood vessel invasion (LVI and BVI) on survival in a retrospective sample of 1408 patients with breast cancer. METHODS: Survival analysis was evaluated by univariate (Kaplan-Meier product limit method and log rank test) and multivariate (Cox model) analysis. Correlations among variables were studied by contingency tables and statistical significance was evaluated by chi-square test. RESULTS: Lymphatic vessel invasion was present in 34.2% of cases, and BVI in 4.2%. Lymphatic vessel invasion correlated with BVI (P < 0.0001), and both were correlated with metastatic axillary lymph nodes and increasing tumor size and grade; BVI was sporadic (only 10 cases) among lymph node negative patients. Although LVI was more frequent among premenopausal patients and those with ductal carcinomas, BVI was unrelated to menopausal status and tumor type. Lymphatic vessel invasion and BVI were associated with poor survival by univariate analysis (P < 0.0001). By multivariate analysis, relative risk of death was significantly increased when LVI was present both in the whole series as well as in the lymph node negative and lymph node positive subgroups; the prognostic role of LVI was independent of menopausal and lymph node status, tumor size, tumor grade, or adjuvant treatment. In the lymph node negative sample, LVI had strong prognostic power. In the lymph node positive sample, the prognostic role of LVI was also independent of the number of lymph nodes with metastases. Blood vessel invasion had no prognostic role in any subgroup. CONCLUSION: The prevalence of BVI was particularly low in this study, and the question of its possible prognostic role for patients with breast cancer should be assessed with methods that amplify its detection. LVI is a strong prognostic factor for operable patients with breast cancer. In lymph node negative patients, LVI is a predictor of poor prognosis for those who are consequently candidates for adjuvant therapy. Similarly, in lymph node positive patients, LVI is a predictor for a high risk of death for those who are candidates for highly intensive adjuvant strategies.

Adult↗

PubMed2006

Population-based study of prognostic factors in stage II colonic cancer.

BACKGROUND: Adjuvant chemotherapy in stage II colorectal cancer may be considered for patients whose tumours have poor prognostic features. The aim of this study was to evaluate the prognostic significance of commonly reported clinical and pathological features of stage II colonic cancer. METHODS: A population-based observational study of all patients with stage II colonic cancer diagnosed in the state of Western Australia from 1993 to 2003 was performed. A total of 1306 patients treated by surgery alone were identified, with a median follow-up of 59 (range 0-145) months. RESULTS: Multivariable analysis revealed that the only independent prognostic factors for disease-specific survival were stage T4 (hazard ratio (HR) 1.75 (95 per cent confidence interval (c.i.) 1.32 to 2.32); P < 0.001) and vascular invasion (HR 1.63 (95 per cent c.i. 1.15 to 2.30); P < 0.001). In younger patients (aged 75 years or less), who are more likely to be considered for chemotherapy, these two features showed independent prognostic significance but with higher HR values (1.96 for stage T4 and 2.73 for vascular invasion). Stage T4 and/or the presence of vascular invasion identified a 'poor' prognostic group, comprising 26.6 per cent of younger patients and with a 5-year survival rate of 71.2 per cent. The remaining 'good' prognostic group had a survival rate of 84.3 per cent at 5 years' follow-up. CONCLUSION: This study highlights the importance of accurate pathological assessment of tumour stage and vascular invasion for the prognostic stratification of patients with stage II colonic cancer. The results provide clarification of guidelines for the management of stage II disease in relation to recommendations for chemotherapy.

Adolescent↗

PubMed2002

Classical Kaposi sarcoma: prognostic factor analysis of 248 patients.

BACKGROUND: Classical Kaposi sarcoma (CKS) is a rare indolent neoplasm that is particularly prevalent among Jews of Ashkenazi and Mediterranean origin. Data regarding prognostic factors for CKS are scarce. The aim of the current retrospective analysis was to better define prognostic subgroups among patients with CKS. METHODS: Between 1960 and 1995, 248 consecutive patients with CKS were treated at the Rambam and Rabin Medical Centers in Israel. Although treatment options included local excision, radiotherapy, and chemotherapy, observation alone was used for 31% of patients. For prognostic factor analysis, disease progression was classified as any progression and dissemination, and progression-free survival was calculated for each. RESULTS: At a median follow-up of 20 months, four patients (1.6%) died of CKS. Of the patients eligible for analysis, 94 of 220 (39%) had any progression and 23 of 120 (18%) had dissemination. Only 8 of 202 (4%) had visceral spread. On univariate analysis, age was a statistically significant prognostic factor for any progression (P = 0.04), whereas immunosuppression and visceral involvement at presentation had only borderline significance. Immunosuppression was the only prognostic factor for dissemination (P = 0.003). On multivariate analysis, both age and immunosuppression were significant prognostic factors for any progression (P = 0.001 and 0.01, respectively). Immunosuppression was also predictive of dissemination (P = 0.006). CONCLUSIONS: Immunosuppression and older age (50 years and older) are strongly associated with poorer outcome among CKS patients. The two end points used in this study may be used for future prognostic factor analyses.

Adult↗

PubMed2004

Proliferative activity in primary breast carcinomas is a salient prognostic factor.

BACKGROUND: The goal of the current study was to investigate the prognostic impact of proliferative activity, together with the other classic clinicopathologic prognostic factors (tumor size, tumor grade, receptor status, ploidy, and lymph node status), in breast carcinoma by counting mitoses and evaluating S phase fraction (SPF) in fresh and frozen tumor samples. METHODS: From March 1, 1990, to July 1, 1999, a total of 1984 previously untreated invasive breast carcinoma samples were snap-frozen for flow cytometry. RESULTS: After multivariate analysis incorporating all classic prognostic factors, SPF combined with mitotic activity (i.e., proliferative activity) remained the sole prognostic factor in the lymph node-negative group; proliferative activity was accompanied by tumor size as a prognostic factor in patients with lymph node-positive disease and by lymph node status, lymphatic invasion, and receptor status in the overall population. The predictive value of proliferative activity was superior to that of the reference standards (classic prognostic predictors according to the guidelines of our institution [common oncology practice] and the St. Gallen classification). A review of the literature, focusing on series in which fresh material was used, allowed us to demonstrate that there is widespread agreement regarding the correlation between SPF and prognosis, even after multivariate analysis. CONCLUSIONS: S phase fraction is a valuable predictor of survival and can confidently be assessed in approximately 80% of cases. In conjunction with mitotic activity, SPF should become a prognostic factor that is used in daily practice by oncologists for the management of breast carcinoma.

Biomarkers, Tumor↗

PubMed2006

Low serum albumin levels and liver metastasis are powerful prognostic markers for survival in patients with carcinomas of unknown primary site.

BACKGROUND: The authors investigated how lymphopenia and low serum albumin levels correlate with the prognosis of patients with carcinoma of unknown primary (CUP). METHODS: Univariate and multivariate prognostic factor analyses were conducted in a population of 317 consecutive patients with CUP who were evaluated at the Cross Cancer Institute of Edmonton, Alberta, Canada, from 1998 to 2004. RESULTS: The results from multivariate analysis showed that patients who had a performance status >/=2 (using the World Health Organization scale), a high overall comorbidity score (on the Adult Comorbidity Evaluation 27), liver metastasis, elevated serum lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) levels, lymphopenia (defined as an absolute lymphocyte count >/=0.7 x 10(9)/L), and low serum albumin levels had a worse prognosis. Based on the observation that the presence of liver metastasis and low serum albumin levels were the most powerful adverse prognostic factors, a classification scheme was delineated that took those 2 variables into account. A group of good-risk patients (no liver metastasis and normal serum albumin levels) and a group of poor-risk patients (liver metastasis and/or low serum albumin levels) were identified with median survivals of 371 days and 103 days, respectively (P < .0001). This classification was validated further in an independent data set of 124 patients who were evaluated at 2 French cancer centers: Among those patients, the median survival was 378 days in the good-risk group and 90 days in the poor-risk group (P < .0001). The new prognostic model substantially outperformed the previous standard prognostic model, which was based on performance status and serum LDH levels. CONCLUSIONS: Lymphopenia and low serum albumin levels were identified as 2 new independent markers of prognosis in patients with CUP. Although the authors confirmed the validity of the previous prognostic model, they developed and validated a more powerful, simple model based on the 2 most powerful adverse prognostic factors: liver metastasis and low serum albumin levels. These findings were confirmed in an independent cohort of patients with CUP, and consideration of the authors' improved prognostic model for survival of patients with CUP is warranted.

Adult↗