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Multivariate analysis of risk factors for deep and superficial sternal infection after coronary artery bypass grafting at a tertiary care medical center.

Identification of modifiable risk factors for sternal infection is essential for the development and institution of practices that decrease the incidence of these infections. This study analyzed 4004 consecutive patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting performed at a single institution between January 1996 and May 2003. Specific risk factors for both superficial and deep sternal wound infection were identified by univariate and multivariate analysis. The incidence of superficial sternal wound infections was 2.2% (N = 87) while the incidence of deep sternal wound infections was 1.8% (N = 73). Risk factors for superficial sternal infection identified by multivariate analysis include increasing body mass index (BMI) (OR 1.089, 95% CI 1.057-1.122, P < 0.001), female gender (OR 1.412, 1.108-1.717, P = 0.036), active smoking (OR 1.856, 1.079-3.193, P = 0.025), utilization of bilateral internal mammary arteries (OR 7.546, 3.175-17.935, P < 0.001), and transfusion of > or =4 units of packed red blood cells postoperatively (OR 2.009, 1.158-3.485, P = 0.013). Risk factors for deep sternal infection include increasing BMI (OR 1.077, 1.042-1.114, P < 0.001), diabetes mellitus (OR 2.412, 1.376-4.231, P = 0.002), and transfusion with > or =2 units of platelets postoperatively (OR 2.787, 1.279-6.071, P = 0.010). These data suggest that cessation of smoking, improved blood glucose management, preoperative weight loss, limitation of transfusions, and discriminate use of bilateral internal mammary arteries are all practices that may decrease the incidence of postoperative wound complications following coronary revascularization.

Aged↗

Prognostic factors of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma after hepatic resection: univariate and multivariate analysis.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma is clinicopathologically distinct from hepatocellular carcinoma and hilar cholangiocarcinoma, and the prognostic factors after hepatic resection of these rare tumors are not well documented. The aim of this study was to evaluate prognostic factors of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma after hepatic resection. METHODOLOGY: We retrospectively studied 20 consecutive patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma who underwent hepatectomy over a 15-year period from 1984 to 1998. Fifteen prognostic factors were evaluated for their association with overall and disease-free survivals in univariate and multivariate analysis (Cox's proportional hazards model). RESULTS: Eighty percent of the resected patients had major hepatectomy. Operative morbidity and mortality rates were 30% and 0%, respectively. Four patients (20%) survived more than 5 years without recurrence after hepatic resection. The 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year overall or disease-free survival rate after hepatic resection were 56.0% or 49.5%, 43.8% or 43.3%, and 43.8% or 37.3%, respectively. Univariate analysis showed young age and periductal invasion tumor or the presence of vascular invasion, lymphatic invasion, and lymph node metastasis as significant poor prognostic predictors contributing overall and disease-free survivals. Multivariate analysis revealed only lymph node metastasis as an independent prognostic factor affecting disease-free survival. During the same time, 17 unresectable patients were treated by intrahepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy (12), systemic chemotherapy (4), or radiation (1). Median overall survival time in resected patients (16 months) was significantly better than in unresectable patients (5 months) (P = 0.005). CONCLUSIONS: Hepatic resection remains to be the best current therapeutic option. The prognosis after hepatic resection for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma was determined by lymph node metastasis. New adjuvant chemotherapy after surgery is imperative for such patients.

Aged↗

Multivariate analysis of risk factors for infection due to penicillin-resistant and multidrug-resistant Streptococcus pneumoniae: a multicenter study.

Pneumococcal disease was studied prospectively to determine the risk factors associated with resistance to penicillin and other antibiotics. One hundred twelve clinically significant pneumococcal isolates were recovered from 95 patients. Approximately one-half (49.47%) of the cases were due to penicillin-resistant strains. Multivariate analysis showed that previous use of beta-lactam antibiotics (odds ratio [OR], 2.81; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.95-8.27), alcoholism (OR, 5.22; 95% CI, 1.43-19.01), and noninvasive disease (OR, 4.53; 95% CI, 1.54-13.34) were associated with penicillin resistance, whereas intravenous drug use (OR, 0.14; 95% CI, 0.03-0.74) was not. Statistical analyses of the variables associated with resistance to multiple antibiotics detected age of younger than 5 years (OR, 16.79; 95% CI, 1.60-176.34) or of 65 years or older (OR, 4.33; 95% CI, 1.42-13.21) and previous use of beta-lactam antibiotics by patients with noninvasive disease (OR, 7.92; 95% CI, 1.84-34.06) as parameters associated with increased risk. We conclude that multivariate analysis provides clues for empirical therapy for pneumococcal infection.

Adolescent↗

Univariate and multivariate analysis of prognostic significance of betel quid chewing in squamous cell carcinoma of buccal mucosa in Taiwan.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: While betel quid (BQ) chewing is clearly the most avoidable risk factor of squamous cell carcinoma of buccal mucosa (BMSCC), little is known about the influence of this habit on the prognosis of BMSCC. METHODS: We surveyed 280 patients with BMSCC who were treated during an 8-year period in a cohort study to assess the independent predictive value of pretreatment BQ chewing habit on the prognosis by univariate and multivariate analysis. RESULTS: We found by univariate analysis that sex, age, clinical stage, smoking, and BQ chewing significantly affected the patients' prognosis and only age, clinical stage, and BQ chewing had significant influence on prognosis by multivariate analysis (P < 0.05). Further analysis revealed that the prognostic effect of BQ chewing changed in a dose- and time-dependent manner. The risk of death was 31.4-fold higher in heavy user (duration >30 years, daily consumption >30 quids, age of start <20 years old) when compared to those who chewed BQ to a milder degree (duration <10 years, daily consumption <15 quids, age of start > or =20 years old ) (P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Pretreatment BQ chewing habit worsens the prognosis of BMSCC in Taiwan. BQ chewing is a prognostic indicator that can be used in conjunction with clinical staging to help plan the treatment for the patients.

Adult↗

Quantitative Raman spectroscopy of highly fluorescent samples using pseudosecond derivatives and multivariate analysis.

Intense luminescence backgrounds cause significant problems in quantitative Raman spectroscopy, particularly in multivariate analysis where background suppression is essential. Taking second derivatives reduces the background, but differentiation increases the apparent noise that arises on spectra recorded with CCD detectors due to random, but fixed, variations in the pixel-to-pixel response. We have recently reported a very general method for correcting CCD fixed-pattern response in which spectra are taken at two or more slightly shifted spectrometer positions and are then subtracted to give a derivative-like shifted, subtracted Raman (SSR) spectrum. Here we show that differentiating SSR data (which has inherently higher S/N than the undifferenced data) yields spectra that are similar to those that are obtained from the normal two-step differentiation process and can be characterized as pseudo-second-derivative, PSD, spectra. The backgrounds are suppressed in the PSD spectra, which means they can be used directly in multivariate data analysis, but they have significantly higher S/N ratios than do simple second derivatives. To demonstrate the improvement brought about by using PSD spectra, we have analyzed known samples, consisting of simple binary mixtures of methanol and ethanol doped with laser dye. When the background levels of all samples included in the models were < or =10x greater than the intensity of the strongest Raman bands, partial least-squares calibration of the PSD data gave a standard error of prediction of 3.2%. Calibration using second derivatives gave a prediction error which was approximately twice as large, at 6.5%; however, when data with background levels . approximately 100x larger than the strongest Raman bands were included, the noise on the second-derivative spectra was so large as to prevent a meaningful calibration. Conversely, the PSD treatment of these samples gave a very satisfactory calibration with a standard error of prediction (3.3%) almost identical to that obtained when the most fluorescent samples were excluded. This method clearly has great potential for general purpose Raman analytical chemistry, because it does not depend on specialized equipment, is computationally undemanding, and gives stable and robust calibrations, even for samples in which the luminescence background level fluctuates between the extremes of being practically zero and completely dominating the Raman signal.

Journal Article↗

Multivariate analysis of health status scores: chronic airway disorders and the MOS SF-36.

Multivariate analysis of variance (MANOVA) with follow-up canonical discriminant analysis may be used to interpret differences in health-related quality of life measured by the Medical Outcome Study Short Form 36 (MOS SF-36). Due to the moderate correlations between the 8 health dimensions of the SF-36, MANOVA is theoretically a more appropriate method than traditional univariate approaches for detecting group differences on the SF-36. Additionally, canonical discriminant analysis presents a novel approach to understanding the relationship between health dimensions of the SF-36 and model-independent variables. Results from the MANOVA and canonical discriminant analysis provide evidence of the sensitivity of the SF-36 in cross-sectional, self-reported data. Significant differences in health status (alpha less than or equal to 0.05) were found for the variables of age, and primary physician visits, and between levels of disease severity, type of breathing problem, whether patients had seen a specialist or not, use of emergency room, the comorbid states of depression and arthritis, and income. No significant differences in health status were reported between males and females or racial groups.

Chronic Disease↗

[A multivariate analysis of prognostic factors of spinocerebellar degenerations].

To clarify the factors relating to the prognosis of spinocerebellar degenerations (SCD), we performed a follow-up study on the survival of patients with Friedreich disease, familial spastic paraparasis, sporadic olivopontocerebellar atrophy (OPCA), hereditary OPCA of Menzel type, sporadic late cortical cerebellar atrophy (LCCA), cerebellar atrophy of Holmes type, Shy-Drager syndrome, striatonigral degeneration, dentatorubropallidoluysian atrophy, or Joseph disease. One hundred and forty-eight patients admitted to the Nagoya University Hospital during the period of 1976 to 1990 were dealt with. They had been followed-up for 15 years at longest through the medical records, or through the direct informations from the patients or their family members or both. In order to find factors influencing the survival of the patients, Kaplan-Meier method was used as the 1st step to construct the survival curve for each factor. These were calculated by generalized Wilcoxon test. Employing Cox's proportional hazard model, a multivariate analysis was then performed based on the factors which were shown significant in the 1st step. The multivariate analysis showed that the following four factors are related to the prognosis of SCD patients, i.e., lack of hereditary trait, existence of orthostatic hypotension, lack of walking disorder at onset, and lack of nystagmus on admission. Of these factors, the lack of hereditary trait had the most intimate relation to their poor prognosis. Therefore, these four factors are statistically informative to predict prognosis of each patient with SCD.

Adolescent↗

[Multivariate analysis on radical retropubic prostatectomy associated blood loss: importance of prostate size, pelvic lymph-node dissection and percentage of carcinoma].

BACKGROUND: Radical retropubic prostatectomy (RRP) has been associated with blood loss requiring blood transfusion. AIM: To define risk factors for blood transfusion. STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: The charts of 303 patients who underwent RRP between the years 1992 and 2002 were prospectively reviewed. Blood loss, blood requirements and correlative clinical data were recorded and a multivariate analysis model was applied. RESULTS: Data was available in 293 cases (97%). A total of 122 patients were transfused (42%) with a median of 2 units of packed cells. Median estimated blood loss was 766 ml (range 150-2800). Blood loss declined progressively during the study period (1220 ml in 1992 to 826 ml in 2002). Multivariate analysis reveals that estimated blood loss and transfusion rate are related to performance of pelvic lymph node dissection, prostate size and percentage of cancer in the prostatectomy specimen. CONCLUSION: Our series indicates that blood preparation may be spared in patients who are not candidates for pelvic lymph node dissection with prostate smaller than 57 gr. and with less than 77% in the biopsy specimen (equivalent to < 66% of cancer in the prostatectomy specimen).

Blood Loss, Surgical↗

Review of studies using multivariable analysis of clinical and exercise test data to predict angiographic coronary artery disease.

Multivariable analysis of clinical and exercise test variables has the potential to become both a useful tool for assisting in the diagnosis of coronary artery disease and reducing the cost of evaluating patients with suspected coronary disease. Managed care and capitation require that tests such as the exercise test or its replacements, be used only when they can accurately and reliably identify which patients need medications, counseling, or further evaluation or intervention. The replacements for the standard exercise electrocardiogram test require expensive equipment and personnel, and their incremental value is currently being evaluated. Because general practitioners are to function as gatekeepers and decide which patients must be referred to the cardiologist, they will need to use the basic tools they have available (ie, history, physical exam, and the exercise test) in an optimal fashion. However, the discriminating power of the variables from the medical history and exercise test remains unclear because of inadequate study design and differences in study populations. There is a need for further evaluation of these routinely obtained variables to improve the accuracy of prediction algorithms especially in women. Of paramount concern is the need to avoid workup bias by having patients agree to testing before the decision for angiography is made. The portability and reliability of these equations must be shown because access to specialized care must be safeguarded. By reviewing the available studies considering clinical and exercise test variables to predict coronary angiographic findings, we have attempted to provide guidelines and recommendations for a more uniform approach to this endeavor in future investigations. Hopefully, the next generation of multivariable equations will be robust and portable, and empower the clinician to assure the cardiac patient access to appropriate cardiac care.

Coronary Angiography↗

Multivariate analysis of donor risk factors for graft survival in kidney transplantation.

BACKGROUND: The results of the transplantation of marginal donor kidneys remain controversial. This study aimed to investigate the impact of donor risk factors as predictors of kidney-graft outcome. METHODS: Allograft failure risk factors were studied in 7,209 cadaveric kidney-transplant recipients reporting to the Etablissement français des Greffes (EfG) from 1996 to 2000, of which 544 (7.6%) were from donors aged over 60. Both univariate and multivariate analysis were used to assess the effect of donor risk factors and were stratified according to recipient age. RESULTS: Overall graft survival was 91.1% (95% confidence interval [CI] 90.5-91.8) at 1 year, 88.6% (95% CI 87.8-89.4) at 2 years, and 85.6% (95% CI 84.6-86.6) at 3 years posttransplant. Univariate analysis of risk factors showed a significant reduction of graft survival in recipients transplanted with kidneys coming from donors older than 60 years, donors with a history of hypertension, a cerebrovascular cause of death, and a preharvesting serum creatinine greater than 150 micromol/L. Multivariate analysis revealed significantly higher failure rate associated with cerebrovascular cause of death (RR=1.2, P=0.02), history of hypertension (RR=1.2, P=0.04), and elevated serum creatinine (RR=1.3, P=0.03), whereas donor age greater than 60 years was not found as an independent risk factor. CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that cerebrovascular cause of death, history of hypertension, and elevated creatinine are significant independent donor risk factors for graft survival, whereas donor age is a statistically significant, but dependent, risk factor. This result is important for the design of allocation and transplantation strategies for kidneys procured in elderly donors.

Adolescent↗

Interfraction interval does not affect survival of patients with non-small cell lung cancer treated with chemotherapy and/or hyperfractionated radiotherapy: a multivariate analysis of 1076 RTOG patients.

PURPOSE: It was observed by Jeremic et al. that a shorter interfraction interval (IFI) was associated with an improved survival in patients (pts) with locally advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) treated with hyperfractionated radiation therapy (HFX-RT), with or without chemotherapy (CT). Our analysis was undertaken to verify this hypothesis. METHODS AND MATERIALS: Records of patients treated on 5 Radiation Therapy Oncology Group (RTOG) studies were reviewed, and an actual IFI, defined as a mean of all daily IFIs, was calculated. RT dose was 1.2 Gy BID to 69.6 Gy. The relationship between the length of IFI and the median survival time and incidence of esophagitis was investigated. RESULTS: In 682 pts eligible for this analysis, a full dose of RT was delivered and at least 90% of all daily IFIs were available. The actual mean IFI was as follows: 4-4.9 h in 51% of pts; 5-5.9 h in 17%; 6-6.9 h in 28% and 7-8 h in 4%. In multivariate analysis, only lack of weight loss, use of CT, low nodal stage and good KPS, but not IFI (4-6 h vs. 6-8 h) were associated with an improved survival for all pts (p values: <0.0001; <0.0001; 0.006; 0.006, and 0.73, respectively), as well as for HFX-RT only pts. For the CT-HFX-RT pts, not enough data points are available for a meaningful analysis. Length of IFI did not influence the incidence of Grade 3 or higher esophagitis (p = 0.82), but use of CT was associated with a 12-fold greater risk of developing severe esophagitis (p < 0.0001). CONCLUSION: Length of IFI (4-6 h vs. 6-8 h) did not influence survival and acute complications incidence in pts with NSCLC treated in RTOG studies with HFX-RT to 69.6 Gy. Previously identified factors, such as use of CT, minimal weight loss, good KPS and low nodal stage, were confirmed again to be associated with a favorable prognosis in a multivariate analysis. Use of CT was associated with a 12-fold greater risk of developing severe esophagitis than HFX-RT alone. It appears that an IFI of 4-8 hr is acceptable in clinical practice for pts with NSCLC, treated with HFX-RT.

Adenocarcinoma↗

Multivariate analysis of the histopathologic prognostic factors of cervical cancer in patients undergoing radical hysterectomy.

Three hundred forty-five patients with invasive carcinoma of the uterine cervix, Stages Ib (211 patients) and II (134 patients), underwent radical hysterectomy and pelvic lymphadenectomy. The influence of histologic factors including histologic subtype, maximum depth of cervical stromal invasion, degree of stromal invasion, longitudinal tumor diameter, lymph-vascular space invasion, corpus invasion, parametrial invasion, vaginal invasion, and pelvic lymph node (PLN) metastases on survival were examined by multivariate analysis. Univariate analysis revealed that all the variables except corpus invasion and vaginal invasion were significant in survival (P less than 0.05). Among these variables, however, PLN metastases, histologic subtype, and longitudinal tumor diameter were identified as independent and significant prognostic factors by multivariate analysis using Cox regression models. The prognostic index (PI), defined by the model (an indicator of the patient's place in the prognostic spectrum), was able to divide the patients into three prognostic groups. The key factors in the definition of these groups were (1) squamous cell carcinoma, small tumor diameter, and no PLN metastases for the good prognostic group and (2) PLN metastasis in two or more node groups, adenocarcinoma with one positive PLN group, or squamous cell carcinoma with one PLN group and large diameter for the poor prognostic group. These prognostic findings could predict the prognosis more precisely than that of clinical staging.

Adult↗

[Multivariate analysis for prognostic predictors in the cN0 squamous cell carcinoma of the tongue].

BACKGROUND & OBJECTIVE: There is controversy in therapy strategy for the cN0 squamous cell carcinoma of the tongue. The aim of this study was to explore the relative factors of prognosis for the cN0 squamous cell carcinoma of the tongue and to identify the risk population. METHODS: Cox regression model was used to analyze the clinical data of 109 patients with cN0 tongue cancer treated in Cancer Center, Sun Yat-sen University from January 1990 to March 1998. The prognostic index (PI) of the patients was calculated on basis of the results of multivariate analysis. According to the individualized PI, the patients were classified to different hazard groups. RESULTS: The 3, 5 years survival rates were 74.40%and 69.31%, respectively. Multivariate analysis showed the prognosis statistically correlated with T grade, therapy manner of primary tumor, differentiation grade, age, and occult neck lymph node metastasis. T stage was found to be the most important prognostic factor. The prognosis of the patients in comprehensive therapy group is better than that in surgery alone group, chemotherapy alone,or radiotherapy alone group. The patients with tongue carcinoma in low differentiation group, the older group, or occult neck lymph node metastasis group showed a poor prognosis. The patients were divided into high-risk group,moderate-risk group, and low-risk group according to the PI value and there was significant difference in the survival rates between each two groups of the three groups (P< 0.05), and the 5-year survival rates were 83.33%, 64.12%, and 27.65%, respectively. CONCLUSION: The prognosis of cN0 squamous cell carcinoma of the tongue is associated with T grade, therapy manner of primary tumor, differentiation grade, age, and occult neck lymph node metastasis. PI value could be used to predict the prognosis of the patients with the cN0 squamous cell carcinoma of the tongue.

Adult↗

Multivariate analysis of clinical prognostic factors in patients with glioblastoma multiforme treated with a combined modality approach.

We investigated the influence of various clinical prognostic factors in patients with glioblastoma multiforme (GBM) treated with a combined modality approach. A total of 175 patients with GBM was treated in four consecutive prospective phase II studies using surgery, hyperfractionated or accelerated hyperfractionated radiotherapy (RT) and either adjuvant or concurrent or pre-irradiation chemotherapy (CHT) between January 1988 and December 1993. The median survival time for all 175 patients was 14 months and 1-3-year survival (OS) rates were 57%, 34% and 24%, respectively. The median time to tumour progression was 12 months, and 1-3-year progression-free survival (PFS) rates were 43%, 11% and 7%, respectively. Survival analysis showed that of all investigated prognostic factors, only gender did not influence survival. Patients </=55 years did better than those >55 years; patients with KPS 80-100 did better than those with KPS 50-70; patients with frontal tumours did better than those with tumours in other locations; patients with tumours up to 4 cm did better than those with larger tumours, as did patients with either subtotal or gross total tumour resection when compared to those undergoing biopsy only. Multivariate analysis showed that gender and tumour location did not independently influence survival. When PFS was used as the endpoint, only gender did not influence PFS, as confirmed by multivariate analysis.

Chemotherapy, Adjuvant↗

Role of lifestyle factors in the pathogenesis of osteopenia in adult coeliac disease: a multivariate analysis.

OBJECTIVES: Coeliac disease is frequently complicated by alterations of bone mass and mineral metabolism. In this condition the degree of malabsorption is a major determinant of bone loss. However, the role of lifestyle factors such as exposure to sunlight, physical activity and cigarette smoking, which have been demonstrated to influence bone mass and mineral metabolism in other conditions, has never been investigated in coeliac disease. DESIGN: We evaluated the impact of potential co-factors on bone homeostasis in coeliac disease by means of a multivariate analysis model. METHODS: Thirty-nine adult patients with untreated coeliac disease (18 symptomatic, 21 subclinical/silent) were studied. Bone mineral density was measured by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry at lumbar spine and femoral neck levels. Age at diagnosis, gender, duration of symptoms and severity of symptoms were recorded. Nutritional status, cigarette smoking habit, exposure to sunlight, and physical activity were evaluated. The impact of each independent variable on lumbar and femoral bone mineral density was evaluated by means of a multivariate analysis model. RESULTS: The severity of symptoms and nutritional status were significant sources of variability of both lumbar and femoral bone mineral density. Physical activity was a significant source of variability at femoral level, while gender was at lumbar level. Cigarette smoking habit and exposure to sunlight showed no significant effect on bone mineral density. CONCLUSIONS: Gender, malnutrition, global severity of the disease and physical activity are important co-factors in the pathogenesis of bone loss in coeliac disease.

Absorptiometry, Photon↗

Multivariate analysis of cutaneous markers of aging in chronic hemodialyzed patients.

BACKGROUND: Although hemodialysis has been associated with lesions of cutaneous aging, no controlled studies have been done in patients with chronic renal failure under periodic hemodialysis. Our purpose was to determine the prevalence of several clinical parameters of cutaneous aging and their relationship with hemodialysis. METHODS: One hundred fourteen patients on chronic hemodialysis were investigated for the presence of several cutaneous aging markers in a cross-sectional study, using multivariate analysis to minimize the confounding effect of age. RESULTS: Skin cancer was diagnosed in 3 patients (2.6%), actinic keratoses in 12 (10.5%), senile lentigo in 22 (20%), senile purpura in 15 (13%), and Favre-Racouchot disease in 6 (5%). There was no association with skin types or facial wrinkles with any other of the skin-aging features studied. Multivariate analysis, controlling for age as a confounding variable, indicated that the degree of facial wrinkles and the decrease in stratum corneum hydration (capacitance) correlated significantly with the length of time on hemodialysis (P = 0.012 and P = 0.012, respectively). Favre-Racouchot disease (Odds Ratio [OR] = 1.23, P = 0.055, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.99-1.52) and actinic keratoses (OR = 1.15, P = 0.076, CI 0.98-1.34) became increasingly frequent with the duration of chronic hemodialysis. CONCLUSIONS: These data show a high prevalence of cutaneous aging lesions in patients on chronic hemodialysis. Acceleration of cutaneous aging is associated with time on hemodialysis.

Adolescent↗

Factors predicting nutritional derangements in patients with obstructive jaundice: multivariate analysis.

Patients with obstructive jaundice (OJ) that requires surgery often have malnutrition associated with increased perioperative morbidity. This study investigated the factors influencing nutritional derangements in these patients. A series of 46 OJ patients were investigated prospectively (28 malignant tumors, 18 benign obstructions). A nutritional risk index of < 83.5 was used to define protein-calorie malnutrition. Liver function, cholecystokinin (CCK), tumor necrosis factor-alpha (TNFalpha), and endotoxin levels were determined. A multivariate analysis was performed, and an obstructive jaundice malnutrition index (OJMI) was obtained. Altogether, 22 (48%) OJ patients had malnutrition (33% with benign obstructions, 57% with malignant disease). Malnourished patients had higher serum bilirubin levels (258 +/- 120 vs. 154 +/- 62 mmol/L; p = 0.005), longer duration of jaundice (16 +/- 9 vs. 9 +/- 5 days; p = 0.03), and higher plasma levels of CCK (4.0 +/- 1.3 vs. 1.7 +/- 1.0 pmol/L; p = 0.005), alanine aminotransferase (ALT) (226 +/- 209 vs. 187 +/- 161 UI/L; p = 0.01), endotoxin (15 +/- 10 vs. 6.5 +/- 7.0 EU/L; p = 0.007), and TNFalpha (69 +/- 82 vs. 23 +/- 15 pg/ml; p = 0.008) than those without malnutrition. However, only serum bilirubin, CCK, ALT, and patient age were predictors for malnutrition by multivariate analysis. Malnutrition might be expected (95% confidence interval) in patients older than 68 years with increased bilirubin (> 290 mmol/L) and ALT (> 210 UI/L) levels that corresponded with an OJMI > 55. It was concluded that nutritional alterations in patients with obstructive jaundice were determined by the intensity of the biliary obstruction correlated with increased plasma CCK levels as well as with liver dysfunction and patient age.

Aged↗

Predictors of severe esophagitis include use of concurrent chemotherapy, but not the length of irradiated esophagus: a multivariate analysis of patients with lung cancer treated with nonoperative therapy.

PURPOSE: To identify in a multivariate analysis treatment-related factors predisposing patients (pts) with lung cancer to acute esophagitis, expressed as a severity grade or Esophagitis Index (EI). METHODS AND MATERIALS: Acute esophagitis is prospectively scored as an RTOG Grade in our institution during and after thoracic radiotherapy. Charts, toxicity forms and digitally reconstructed radiographs (DRRs) of all pts with lung cancer who received thoracic radiotherapy (RT) between 11/95 and 1/99 were reviewed. Esophagitis grades for each time point were verified by review of weekly physician and nursing treatment notes, hospital discharge summaries and referring physician notes and then plotted on graph against time. The area under the curve was calculated for each patient's graph and was defined as an Esophagitis Index. The length of esophagus was measured on each anterior DRR while assuming that esophagus overlies the vertebral bodies on the anterior films and projects over the edge of the vertebral body on the oblique DRRs. This assumption was confirmed in 10 pts by digitizing esophagus on CT simulator-derived slices and visualizing its position on DRRs. To compare RT doses delivered with different fractionation schemes to standard fractionated doses, the equivalent RT doses were calculated using the linear-quadratic formula and alpha/beta ratio of 10. Univariate and multivariate analyses of several factors potentially influencing the maximum esophagitis grade, as well as EI, were performed. RESULTS: A total of 277 pts were identified. Pts were included in the analysis (n = 105) if they fulfilled the following criteria: chart, toxicity form and DRRs were all available; parallel opposed fields (no multiple fields) were used for both the initial and off cord/cone down fields; and an equivalent dose of 45.0 Gy or more was delivered. Seventy-eight pts had Stage III; 32, Stage IV, and the remainder, Stages I, II, or recurrent lung cancer (85 non-small cell and 18, small cell). Seventy-four pts were treated with definitive intent. Chemotherapy was given concurrently with RT in 58 pts (in 7 pts, with twice daily, or b.i.d., RT) and as induction treatment, in 11. Only 2 pts required a treatment break of more than 1 week. Median total and equivalent RT doses, fraction size, and anterior esophageal length were as follows: 59.9 Gy, 59.9 Gy, 2.0 Gy, and 14 cm (range, 4.2-21). The following maximum grades of esophagitis were recorded: 1, in 54 pts; 2, in 17 pts; 3, in 13 pts, and 4, in 1 pt. The mean EI for all pts; pts treated with standard RT alone; induction chemotherapy and standard RT; concurrent chemotherapy and standard (QD) RT; and b.i.d. RT with concurrent chemotherapy, was 41. 5 (range, 0-317); 13.6; 24.5; 52.4; and 132.1, respectively (p < 0. 001). Three pts developed an esophageal stricture within 3 months beginning RT. In multivariate analysis, the following factors were significantly associated with increasing EI: concurrent chemotherapy with QD RT and concurrent chemotherapy with b.i.d. RT (p < 0.001, considered jointly). Both factors were also associated with increasing maximum esophagitis grade (p = 0.011). Esophageal length was not associated with increasing EI or esophagitis grade in either univariate or multivariate analyses. CONCLUSION: Concurrent chemotherapy and twice daily radiotherapy, especially if combined together, were associated with the highest acute maximum esophagitis grade and esophagitis index in pts with lung cancer. The duration of acute esophagitis was also longest in the concurrent chemotherapy/twice daily radiotherapy group. Esophagitis Index appeared to be a more sensitive measure of acute esophagitis than the maximum esophagitis grade. The increasing length of esophagus in the radiation field did not predict for the severity of acute esophagitis.

Adult↗