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The lesson of the Chernobyl disaster.

On April 26, 1986 a major nuclear disaster took place at 1 h 24 min local time, destroying the fourth reactor of the Chernobyl plant. Five years later the consequences of the disaster are still not fully known. Nevertheless the long term future of nuclear energy in the world is uncertain. Questions need to be answered by observing hard facts if emotional attitudes are not to prevail over reality. The reactor and its core were destroyed by an explosion, causing two radioactive jet emissions of iodine 131, followed by caesium 137. Both elements are mainly incorporated in the body via food. The Chernobyl disaster was a consequence of inadequate safety regulations and human error. Enforcement of strict regulations are likely to be highly effective in preventing a further catastrophe. However, governments should consider another possibility. What would be the consequences for public health if a terroristic act deliberately destroyed a nuclear power station?

Accidents↗

Incidence of legal abortion in Sweden after the Chernobyl accident.

The number of legal abortions in Sweden increased around the time of the Chernobyl accident, particularly in the summer and autumn of 1986. Although there was no recording of reasons for legal abortions, one might have suspected this increase to be a result of fear and anxiety after the accident. However, seen over a longer time perspective, the increase in the number of abortions started before and continued far beyond the time of the accident. There was also a simultaneous and pronounced increase in the number of births during the years subsequent to the accident. Therefore, it seems unlikely that fear of the consequences of radioactive fall-out after the Chernobyl accident resulted in any substantial increase of the number of legal abortions in Sweden.

Abortion, Legal↗

The effects of the Chernobyl explosion on induced abortion in Italy.

Four regression models have been fitted to data of the monthly number of induced abortions in Italy between January 1984 and April 1986, in order to predict the number which would have occurred in the 5 months following the Chernobyl explosion. In model I the average number of abortions per day in each month was the dependent variable and calendar months, a linear time trend and previous month's value were the independent variables. Model II included a quadratic time trend term in addition to the independent variables used in model I. Models III and IV were like models I and II except that the dependent variable was the average number of abortions per working day in each month and the effect of the previous month's value was omitted. The 4 models all implied that an excess number of abortions were performed in the 5 months following the Chernobyl accident. The mean daily excess was estimated to be 28 and 52 per day for models I and II and the mean excess per working day was estimated to be 20 and 30 by models III and IV, respectively. Clearly the estimated magnitude of the excess depends on whether the quadratic time trend is included among the explanatory variables, but these results imply that the excess is unlikely to be merely due to chance.

Abortion, Induced↗

Soil sampling and 137Cs analysis of the Chernobyl fallout in Greece.

A total of 1242 samples of soil, collected over Greece, during the period May-November 1986, were counted and analysed for 137Cs from Chernobyl fallout. The counting was performed using a NaI detector on-line to a microcomputer, moreover, 252 of the samples were also analysed using Ge detectors, for inter-comparison and also for the assessment of other long-lived isotopes in the fallout. The results show that 137Cs fallout from Chernobyl presents a remarkable geographical variability. The evaluated ground activity due to 137Cs deposition ranges between 0.01 and 137 kBq/m2.

Accidents↗

Results of the intercalibration study of laboratories involved in assessing the environmental consequences of the Chernobyl accident.

Within the framework of the International Chernobyl Project, the IAEA's Seibersdorf Laboratories organized an intercalibration exercise among some of the laboratories which were involved in assessing the environmental contamination in the USSR due to the accident. The objective was to assess the reliability of the radioanalytical data for food and environmental samples, which were used to assess the doses. In the initial study reference materials from the stocks of the IAEA's Analytical Quality Control Services (AQCS) were re-labelled and submitted to 71 laboratories as blind samples. These natural matrix materials included samples of milk (containing 2 different levels of radioactivity), soil, air filters and clover. The concentrations of radionuclides in these samples were known from previous intercalibration exercises. The overall range in performance was broad, which is similar to what has been observed in previous international intercomparisons. The results obtained by gamma-ray spectrometry tended to be somewhat underestimated, on average. On the other hand, the laboratories showed an overall tendency to overestimate 90Sr and possibly 239Pu, which were analysed radiochemically. The intercalibration exercise is continuing with nine materials, including: soil, grass, hay and milk powder contaminated with fallout from the Chernobyl accident. These materials, which were prepared by laboratories in the USSR, are now being tested by AQCS prior to future intercomparison exercises. Work with these materials is expected to continue for several years.

Accidents↗

The effective source area of 90Sr for a stream near Chernobyl, Ukraine.

Remediation of streams impacted by non-point source contaminants requires an understanding of both the areas within a watershed that are contributing contamination to streams and the pathways of contaminant migration to streams. From 1998 to 2002, we studied the migration of 90Sr in the Borschi watershed, a small (8.5 km2) catchment three km south of the Chernobyl Nuclear Power Plant, Ukraine. Fuel particles, distributed in a heterogeneous pattern across the watershed, are weathering and releasing 90Sr from the fuel matrix. Depletion of (90)Sr, evaluated in comparison to the immobile fission product europium-154, is occurring in the channel and wetland sediment. Channel sediments are uniformly depleted in 90Sr with depth. In wetland sediments, there is a zone of depletion in the top 10 cm and a zone of accumulation at depths from 10 to 25 cm. Estimates of 90Sr depletion are used to map the effective source area that has contributed (90)Sr loading to the main channel. The effective source area includes channel bottom sediments, a wetland in the central region of the watershed, and periodically flooded soils surrounding the wetland. The total depletion from the effective source area is estimated to be 36 +/- 7 x 10(10) Bq. Based on observations of stream flow rate and water quality in 1999-2001, the annual 90Sr removal rate from the watershed is estimated to be 1.4 +/-0.2 x 10(10) or 1.5% of the inventory per year. When extrapolated over a 15-year period following the Chernobyl accident, the last value is in reasonable agreement with the estimated depletion of the source area based on 90Sr/154Eu ratios. The 90Sr yearly leaching rate considering the whole watershed is 0.2% while the 90Sr leaching rate considering the effective source area is an order of magnitude higher. Most of the 90Sr release in the watershed has originated from an effective source area of 0.62 km2, or 7% of the watershed area.

Environmental Monitoring↗

90Sr migration to the geo-sphere from a waste burial in the Chernobyl exclusion zone.

Results are presented from an ongoing field-scale experimental study (namely the Chernobyl Pilot Site project) aimed at characterization of processes controlling (90)Sr releases from a shallow trench containing nuclear fuel particles, and subsequent radionuclide transport in the underlying sandy aquifer at the Chernobyl nuclear power plant site. Microscopic analyses of waste material and leaching experiments have shown that 10-30% of the radioactive inventory is associated with chemically extra-stable Zr-U-O particles. The largest fraction of (90)Sr activity in the trench ( approximately 30-60%) is currently associated with relatively slowly dissolving non-oxidized UO(2) matrix fuel particles. The (90)Sr migration velocity in the eolian sand aquifer is retarded by sorption to approximately 9% of groundwater flow velocity (K(d) approximately 2 ml/g). The dispersivity values for non-reactive solute transport in the aquifer predicted by geostatistics (i.e. 0.8 6 cm) were confirmed by a natural gradient tracer test using (36)Cl. The observed negative correlation between hydraulic conductivity and K(d) of aquifer sediments suggests that (90)Sr could be subjected to larger dispersion in the subsurface compared with (36)Cl.

Environmental Monitoring↗

Lake fish as the main contributor of internal dose to lakeshore residents in the Chernobyl contaminated area.

Two field expeditions in 1996 studied 137Cs intake patterns and its content in the bodies of adult residents from the village Kozhany in the Bryansk region, Russia, located on the shore of a drainless peat lake in an area subjected to significant radioactive contamination after the 1986 Chernobyl accident. The 137Cs contents in lake water and fish were two orders of magnitude greater than in local rivers and flow-through lakes, 10 years after Chernobyl radioactive contamination, and remain stable. The 137Cs content in lake fish and a mixture of forest mushrooms was between approximately 10-20 kBq/kg, which exceeded the temporary Russian permissible levels for these products by a factor of 20-40. Consumption of lake fish gave the main contribution to internal doses (40-50%) for Kozhany village inhabitants Simple countermeasures, such as Prussian blue doses for dairy cows and pre-boiling mushrooms and fish before cooking, halved the 137Cs internal dose to inhabitants, even 10 years after the radioactive fallout.

Agaricales↗

Chernobyl: prenatal loss of four hundred male fetuses in the Czech Republic.

The long-standing higher male birth fraction is considered an indicator of reproduction stability and health. In contrast, a decrease in the male birth fraction has been reported after prenatal exposure to environmental chemical factors. There is generally higher vulnerability of boys to prenatal damage by environmental stress. We formulated a hypothesis that the Chernobyl disaster might also have had a greater negative impact on male than on female fetuses, leading to their selective loss and to a decrease in the male birth fraction. To test this hypothesis, we examined demographic data on monthly natality in the territory of the Czech Republic from 1950 to 1999. The male birth fraction was higher in the Czech Republic each month between 1950 and 1999 except November 1986, when it was significantly (P< 0.05) reduced. This finding suggests a selective negative effect of the Chernobyl accident on male fetuses during the 3rd month of prenatal development.

Abortion, Spontaneous↗

Induction and decline of HPRT mutants and deletions following a low dose radiation exposure at Chernobyl.

This study was conducted to evaluate the ability of mutation in the hypoxanthine-phosphoribosyltransferase gene (HPRT) to detect radiation-induced mutation in lymphocytes of Russian Chernobyl Clean-up workers, particularly as a function of time after exposure. It is part of a multi-endpoint study comparing HPRT mutation with chromosome translocation and glycophorin A mutation [Radiat. Res. 148 (1997) 463], and extends an earlier report on HPRT [Mutat. Res. 431 (1999) 233] by including data from all 9 years of our study (versus the first 6 years) and analysis of deletion size. Blood samples were collected from 1991 to 1999. HPRT mutant frequency (MF) as determined by the cloning assay was elevated 16% in Clean-up workers (N=300, the entire group minus one outlier) compared to Russian Controls (N=124) when adjusted for age and smoking status (P=0.028). Since exposures occurred over a short relative to the long sampling period, the year of sampling corresponded roughly to the length of time since exposure (correlation coefficient=0.94). When date of blood sample was considered, Control MF was not time dependent. Clean-up worker MF was estimated to be 47% higher than Control MF in 1991 (P=0.004) and to decline 4.4% per year thereafter (P=0.03). A total of 1123 Control mutants and 2799 Clean-up worker mutants were analyzed for deletion type and size by PCR assay for retention of HPRT exons and flanking markers on the X chromosome. There was little difference between the overall deletion spectra of Clean-up workers and Controls. However, there was a decline in the average size of deletions of Clean-up workers as time after exposure at Chernobyl increased from 6 to 13 years (P< or =0.05). The results illustrate the sensitivity of HPRT somatic mutation as a biomarker for populations with low dose radiation exposure, and the dependence of this sensitivity on time elapsed since radiation exposure.

Adult↗

Determination of 99Tc deposited on the ground within the 30-km zone around the Chernobyl reactor and estimation of 99Tc released into atmosphere by the accident.

Technetium-99 was determined in samples from the 30-km zone around the Chernobyl reactor. Concentrations of 99Tc in soil samples taken from three forest sites ranged from 1.1 to 14.1 Bq kg-1 dry weight for the organic soil layers, and from 0.13 to 0.83 Bq kg-1 dry weight for the mineral soil layers. In particular, for the organic layers, the measured 99Tc concentrations were one or two orders of magnitude higher than those due to global fallout 99Tc. The 99Tc depositions (Bq m-2), based on the sum of the depositions measured in organic and mineral layers, ranged from 130 Bq m-2 within the 10-km zone to about 20 Bq m-2 close to the border of the 30-km zone. Taking the corresponding measured 137Cs depositions into account, it was found that the activity ratio of 99Tc/137Cs ranged from 6 x 10(-5) to 1.2 x 10(-4). It was estimated that about 970 GBq of 99Tc had been released by the Chernobyl accident. This figure corresponded to 2%-3% of the total 99Tc inventory in the core.

Air Pollutants, Radioactive↗

Long-term variation (1986-1998) of post-Chernobyl 90Sr, 137Cs, 238Pu and (239,240)Pu concentrations in air, depositions to ground, resuspension factors and resuspension rates in south Germany.

Annual mean concentrations in air and annual total (wet plus dry) depositions to ground of 90Sr, 137Cs, 238Pu and (239,240)Pu decreased at Neuherberg, south Germany, in the period from July 1986 (i.e. after the end of the initial deposition phase from Chernobyl) to 1998 as follows: 90Sr from 0.77 to 0.05 microBq m(-3), and from 0.82 (1988) to 0.28 Bq m(-2) year(-1); 137Cs from 133 to 2.8 microBq m(-3), and from 116 to 3.8 Bq m(-2) year(-1); 238Pu from 0.95 to 0.063 nBq m(-3), and from 1.0 to 0.23 mBq m(-2) year(-1); (239,240)Pu from 8.1 to 0.53 nBq m(-3), and from 6.4 to 2.1 mBq m(-2) year(-1). The values for the non-caesium radionuclides are compared to the few available data from other stations. After an initial phase which is characterised for a given radionuclide by the varying ratio of the Chernobyl-derived inventory to the earlier, weapons fallout-derived inventory, the time courses of concentrations of 137Cs, 90Sr, 238Pu and (239,240)Pu in air become more or less parallel (from about 1990), despite the considerable differences in the physico-chemical properties of these elements. By contrast, the time series of radionuclide deposition rates show until about 1994 less similarity among each other and with the respective concentration series in air. From 1994, concentrations in air and depositions to ground become nearly constant, or decrease very slowly. At the end of the observation period, resuspension factors between 1.4 x 10(-10) m(-1) and 1.0 x 10(-11) m(-1) are observed for the various nuclides. The time courses of specific activities (Bq g(-1)) as well as the time courses of radionuclide ratios show characteristic differences between air and deposition. The data will be useful in predicting the post-accident behaviour of radionuclides a long time after a large-scale contamination event.

Air Pollutants, Radioactive↗

Application of potassium chloride to a Chernobyl-contaminated lake: modelling the dynamics of radiocaesium in an aquatic ecosystem and decontamination of fish.

This study tests a whole-lake experiment to reduce the bioaccumulation of radiocaesium (137Cs) in fish in lakes contaminated by the Chernobyl accident. In many lakes in the Chernobyl contaminated areas, radiocaesium activity concentrations in fish are still significantly higher (up to 100 times in some species) than acceptable limits for human consumption. Estimates of the long-term rate of decline of 137Cs in fish in these regions, in the absence of countermeasures, show that radioactivity in fish in some lakes may remain above acceptable consumption limits for a further 50-100 years from the present date. In February 1998 we applied 15 t of potassium chloride to Lake Svyatoe, Kostiukovichy. The addition of potassium chloride fertilizer to the lake resulted in a decrease in activity concentration of 137Cs to approximately 40% of pre-countermeasure values in a number of different fish species. In contrast to Lake Svyatoe, 137Cs activity concentrations in fish from four control lakes showed no systematic decrease over the study period. Simplified models for transfers of 137Cs in lakes successfully 'blind' predicted the changes in 137Cs in water and fish resulting from this major alteration of the potassium concentration of the lake. The experiment represents the first test of a predictive model for the dynamics of radiocaesium in response to a major perturbation in potassium (its major competitor ion) in a whole lake ecosystem.

Animals↗

Mapping of 137Cs deposition over eastern France 16 years after the Chernobyl accident.

We observed the relationship between present-day 137Cs surface activity and the rainfall in May 1986 to establish a relevant map of 137Cs deposition over eastern France. This study was performed in an area of the lower Rhône valley where clayey soils are assumed to trap caesium efficiently. Based on the rainwater/airborne activity ratio deduced from this relationship, we verified that present-day activities, measured in clayey soils of this type, are relatively representative of the initial depositions. The interlocked contaminated areas of the resulting map can be related to rainfall occurrences, as is the case for all countries affected by the Chernobyl fallout. This map can be reasonably compared with those obtained for countries bordering France in terms of both activity levels and extent of homogeneous activity areas. Lastly, we demonstrate that it would not be possible to produce a coherent map of initial fallout by extending the campaign over the whole of the eastern territory based on present-day soil activity measurements alone. Hence, only the relationship between 137Cs deposition and the rainfall of the first week of May 1986 can be used to construct a map depicting the Chernobyl fallout over eastern France.

Cesium Radioisotopes↗

Transfer of radiocaesium in sensitive agricultural environments after the Chernobyl fallout in Sweden: III. County of Västernorrland.

In 1986 a large number of farms in the Chernobyl-affected area in the county of Västernorrland in northern Sweden were investigated for radiocaesium transfer to grass and cereal grain. The soil surface layer (0-5 cm) in 1986 and the crop products in 1986-1996 were analysed. The aim was to study the impact of soil and crop rotation on sensitivity of 137Cs transfer in a short and long term perspective. In the fallout year 1986 the transfer to grass was usually much higher than to cereal grain. In this year the transfer to grass was usually much higher in the first cut rather than the second cut. The reduction in transfer with year was large but variable with site and with crop sequence. Ploughing was effective in decreasing the transfer of 137Cs to crops. On arable sites in 1986 the transfer to cereal straw was larger at late stem elongation (LSE) than at the maturing stage. Unexpectedly, there was no clear relationship between transfer of 137Cs to the crops and any of the soil characteristics. In 1986 the transfer of 131I to grass and cereals was also investigated on some of the farms. The results are compared with the transfer of 137Cs, 2 months after the Chernobyl fallout.

Agriculture↗

Human cytogenetic consequences of the Chernobyl accident.

The frequency of chromosomal aberrations was evaluated in more than 500 liquidators of the Chernobyl accident. The 'sarcophagus' builders and the dosimetrists showed the highest frequency of aberrations per 100 cells: 3.24 +/- 0.25 and 3.11 +/- 0.43. For Chernobyl Atomic Power Station staff members the mean frequencies of aberrations per 100 cells was 2.37 +/- 0.20. The mean yields of aberrations in the other groups was between 1.31 and 1.47 per 100 cells. If the mean frequencies of aberrations are converted into equivalent whole body doses, values between 136 and 414 mGy are obtained. Especially in the group of 'sarcophagus' builders, the yields of aberrations varied interindividually and corresponded to equivalent whole body doses of up to about 2 Gy.

Chromosome Aberrations↗

Chronic cutaneous damage after accidental exposure to ionizing radiation: the Chernobyl experience.

BACKGROUND: The hazards of acute radiation exposure are well known. Bone marrow failure from total body gamma or neutron irradiation is the most clinically relevant aspect of acute radiation disease. With nonhomogeneous exposure, as is characteristic in accidents, other organ systems, such as the skin, may be more important in determining clinical prognosis. This became obvious in the two worst radiation accidents since 1945, the Chernobyl accident in April 1986 and the Goiania accident in September 1987. OBJECTIVE: Our purpose was to describe the characteristic chronic sequelae of accidental cutaneous radiation in a group of patients who survived the Chernobyl nuclear power plant accident. METHODS: Fifteen patients with the delayed type of the cutaneous radiation syndrome were examined between September 1991 and January 1992. All patients had a history of acute radiation disease. The exposure pattern was characterized by partial body exposure with high doses of beta and gamma irradiation from radioactive water, steam, or dust. RESULTS: Radiation-induced lesions were confined primarily to the legs and distal arms, but sometimes involved up to 50% of the total body surface. In addition to telangiectases, radiation keratoses, and radiation ulcers, hemangiomas, hematolymphangiomas, splinter hemorrhages in the distal nail bed, lentiginous hyperpigmentation, and severe subcutaneous fibrosis were noted. No malignant transformation could be detected. Associated diseases included cataracts, chronic hepatitis, and recalcitrant bacterial and herpesvirus infections. CONCLUSION: After accidental partial body exposure to high doses of beta and gamma irradiation, the predominant involvement of the skin, described as the cutaneous radiation syndrome, can become the characteristic feature. This causes longlasting, serious diagnostic and therapeutic problems.

Accidents↗

Resuspension of coarse fuel hot particles in the Chernobyl area.

Measurements of resuspended aerosol in the Chernobyl 30-km exclusion zone have shown coarse fuel hot particles in the activity range 1-12 Bq 137Cs per particle. The particles were sampled with newly designed rotating arm impactors which simultaneously collect during the same experiment three samples with fuel particles in the size ranges larger than 3 microns, larger than 6 microns and larger than 9 microns in geometric diameter. The radionuclide ratios, determined after gamma-spectrometry, were in good agreement with the theoretical calculations for the radionuclide-composition of the Chernobyl Nuclear Power Plant at the moment of the accident and the measured hot particles in soil in the early years after the accident. The number concentrations of airborne hot particles were derived from digital autoradiography. For wind resuspension, maximal concentrations of 2.6 coarse hot particles per 1000 m3 and during agricultural activities 36 coarse hot particles per 1000 m3 were measured. The geometric diameter of single hot particles was estimated to be between 6 and 12 microns.

Aerosols↗