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Infratentorial ependymomas in childhood: prognostic factors and treatment.

The prognostic factors and survival data were analyzed for 35 children (aged under 16 years at diagnosis) with childhood infatentorial ependymomas treated surgically at The Hospital for Sick Children in Toronto during the years 1970 to 1987. Tumor histology was reviewed individually and grouped into three categories (Categories I to III) for survival analysis. An overall 5-year survival rate of 44.6% was obtained after the exclusion of perioperative mortality. Factors associated with an improved 5-year survival rate were: total tumor removal, noninvasive tumors, Category I histology, age greater than 6 years, and absent physical signs of parenchymal invasion or lower cranial nerve involvement. The 5-year survival rate was lower when associated with Category III histology, brain-stem or cranial nerve signs, age less than 2 years, tumor invasion and/or cranial nerve involvement, and subtotal tumor removal. Clinical evidence of spinal metastases was found to be uncommon (3.1%). Surgical excision followed by radiation therapy was the primary mode of treatment for these tumors. Different approaches regarding the volume of radiotherapy to be delivered and the use of adjuvant chemotherapy are discussed.

Adolescent↗

Prognostic factors in treated hypertension.

Prognostic factors for cardiovascular disease (CVD) were studied in 686 treated, middle-aged male hypertensives followed for 10 years at a hypertension clinic. The factors studied were all obtained from a standard clinical routine examination and both univariate and multivariate analyses were performed. Only entry characteristics were analysed. The 10-year incidence of any CVD event (CVD death, non-fatal myocardial infarction or non-fatal stroke) was 15.3% and of coronary heart disease (CHD) morbidity (fatal or non-fatal myocardial infarction) 12.3%. Independent predictors of CVD morbidity were diastolic blood pressure (DBP), smoking, cholesterol, proteinuria, angina pectoris and previous stroke. Except for a previous stroke the same variables were independent predictors of CHD. The findings show that in spite of treatment for hypertension, the CVD risk is still substantial if organ damage or other risk factors are present. The results underline the importance of multiple risk factor intervention in hypertensive patients.

Humans↗

[Death caused by acute diarrhea in children: a study of prognostic factors].

OBJECTIVE: To identify prognostic factors of death due to acute diarrhea related to the process disease-health care-death in the State of Tlaxcala, Mexico. MATERIAL AND METHODS: A case-control design was used. Cases were defined as children who died between the ages of seventy-two hours and five years between 1992 and 1994. An event of acute diarrhea was the main cause of death stated in the death certificate. Case ascertainment was done through the verbal autopsy method. Controls were children who had suffered acute diarrhea with at least one sign of dehydration or alarm and had overcome the diarrheal episode. Controls were randomly selected from the population at large and were matched by age with cases. RESULTS: One hundred and six cases and the same number of controls were taken. Using a logistic regression procedure in which severity of illness and days of evolution were controlled for, the prognosis-worsening predictors were: visit provided by private physician (OR 8.9); inappropriate treatment (OR 10.4); a working mother (OR 8.7); mother's lack of knowledge to identify dehydration signs (OR 8.1); siblings' malnutrition (OR 28.2); and malnutrition prior to the diarrheal event (OR 7.5). CONCLUSIONS: These findings suggest that factors worsening the outcome of the diarrheal episode are: malnutrition, the inappropriate treatment provided by private physicians, and the deficient household care of the diarrheal episode.

Acute Disease↗

[Markers of proliferation and morpho-immunologic parameters in evaluation of prognostic factors in endometrial tumors].

There were analysed prognostic factors in endometrial carcinomas. To essential prognostic factors were counted; proportion of cells in S-phase, DNA ploidy, proportion of Ki-67 positive cells and vascular invasion by cancer cells. All above-mentioned factors were not correlated to either the stage or the histopathologic subtype of the cancers. Application of proliferating markers may be useful for selecting a subgroup of patients for adjuvant therapy.

Adult↗

Postoperative radiotherapy in thymic carcinoma: treatment results and prognostic factors.

PURPOSE: To analyze the treatment results and prognostic factors of patients with primary thymic carcinoma treated by total or subtotal tumor resection followed by radiotherapy alone. METHODS AND MATERIALS: Between October 1987 and October 1997, 26 patients with thymic carcinoma were treated with complete or incomplete surgical resection and postoperative adjuvant irradiation without chemotherapy. The radiation was delivered with 10-MV X-ray given 5 days per week at 1.8 to 2 Gy per fraction. Total doses ranged from 40 to 70 Gy. All patients had at least 40 months of follow-up. RESULTS: The 5-year overall survival rate, local control rate, and distant metastasis-free rate were 77%, 91%, and 57%, respectively. Several prognostic factors, including sex, age, extent of resection (total resection vs. subtotal resection), Masaoka staging (early Stage I + II vs. advanced Stage III + IV), pathology (low-grade vs. high-grade), and postoperative radiation dose (> or =60 Gy vs. <60 Gy), were evaluated in univariate analysis. The Masaoka staging system was the only statistically significant predictor in overall survival rate (p = 0.0482) and distant metastasis-free rate (p = 0.0193). CONCLUSIONS: The Masaoka staging system is the most important prognostic factor in primary thymic carcinoma patients receiving postoperative radiotherapy alone. For resectable tumors, surgery and postoperative radiotherapy can achieve good local control, but the distant metastatic rate is still high. Further investigation of more effective chemotherapy is needed.

Adult↗

[Evaluation of nuclear morphometric risk grade as a prognostic factor of early breast cancer].

The prognostic significance of nuclear areas was studied in 241 patients with primary stage I or II breast cancer. The mean follow-up period was 56.4 months. The nuclear areas of 100 breast cancer cells in HE stained specimen in each patient were measured by means of an image analyzing system, and the mean nuclear area (MNA) and standard deviation of nuclear area (SDNA) were calculated. MNA and SDNA were significantly larger in patients with recurrence than without it. Patients were divided into 2 groups according to the Nuclear Morphometric Risk Grade (NMRG), which was defined as follows: high risk: MNA > or = 80 microns 2 and SDNA > or = 28 microns 2; low risk: MNA < 80 microns 2 or SDNA < 28 microns 2. High risk patients revealed significantly poor disease free and overall survival than low risk patients (p < 0.0001, p < 0.0001). Furthermore, NMRG was a significant prognostic factor in node-negative patients. Cox multivariate analysis showed that nodal status and NMRG were independent predictors of tumor recurrence (n:p = 0.001; NMRG:p = 0.27) and survival (n:p < 0.001; in the NMRG:p = 0.0007). NMRG was a strong prognostic factor in patients in the early stage and it might support the decision for or against adjuvant therapy.

Breast Neoplasms↗

Evaluation of the ratio of lymph node metastasis as a prognostic factor in patients with gastric cancer.

BACKGROUND: Lymph node metastasis in patients with gastric cancer is one of the important prognostic factors. However, there is no consensus concerning the best classification for lymph node metastasis as a prognostic factor. So, to evaluate the ratio of the number of metastatic lymph nodes to the total number of dissected lymph nodes (the ratio of LN meta) as a prognostic factor, we compared the ratio of LN meta with lymph node status according to the Japan Classification of Gastric Carcinoma and the total number of metastatic lymph nodes with multivariate analysis.METHODS: Between 1991 and 1997, a total of 360 patients with primary gastric cancer who underwent gastrectomy with D2 or more extended lymph node dissection were included in this study. Ten kinds of prognostic factors and three types of different classifications for lymph node metastasis were analyzed by multivariate analysis using the Cox regression.RESULTS: The average number of dissected lymph nodes and metastatic lymph nodes were 55.0 (range, 11-184) and 2.6 (range, 0-86), respectively. There were significant differences of the 5-year cumulative survival rates among each group of the ratio of LN meta (0%, 1%-9%, 10%-24%, and more than 25%). Age, tumor size, curability, and the ratio of LN meta were selected as independent prognostic factors by forward stepwise selection. The ratio of LN meta showed the highest hazard ratio by Cox regression.CONCLUSION: The ratio of LN meta appears to be an important prognostic factor and the best classification factor for lymph node metastasis.

Journal Article↗

Correlation between prognostic factors and blood variables in osteosarcoma.

Prognostic factors and the blood chemistry were analyzed prior to treatment in 33 consecutive patients with primary osteosarcoma. The only variables of blood chemistry with values outside the normal range were alkaline phosphatase and ESR, which were increased. There was a correlation between certain prognostic factors and between some of these and a number of the blood variables. The degree of malignancy tended to be lower in the female than in the male patients. Distally located tumors tended to be smaller and were assessed with a less marked effect on the blood variables than those located proximally.

Adolescent↗

Prognostic factors for local necrosis in Bothrops jararaca (Brazilian pit viper) bites.

The prognostic factors related to envenoming are not very well known. This study aims to identify prognostic factors for necrosis in envenoming by Bothrops jararaca. We analysed 779 medical records of patients bitten by B. jararaca and treated at the Hospital Vital Brazil, Butantan Institute, São Paulo, Brazil, between 1982 and 1990: 111 cases with necrosis were compared with the remaining cases. The length of the snake, the bite site, the month of the accident, pain, oedema, ecchymosis, blisters, systemic bleeding, shock, and the use of tourniquet were statistically associated with the presence of necrosis (P < 0.05) in the univariate analysis. The size of the snake, the bite site (leg and finger), the sex of the patient, the month of the accident, systemic bleeding, and the use of tourniquet were independent prognostic factors within the variables tested in the multivariate analysis. The size of the snake was the most important independent prognostic factor related to the presence of necrosis.

Adolescent↗

[Cancer of the breast. II. Prognostic factors (our experience)].

Data concerning different prognostic factors based upon results observed in a group of 212 women operated fro breast carcinoma and submitted to follow-up for 5 consecutive years from diagnosis are reported. Comparing this experience with other Italian and international series, it is concluded that the most reliable prognostic factors are the tumour's size and lymph-node status, while less incisive, though relevant, are the site of the tumour, invasiveness, the grade, the labeling index, hormonal receptor status, the levels of Ca 15.3 and of CEA and the age of the woman at diagnosis.

Breast Neoplasms↗

Prognostic factors for perceived pain and function at one-year follow-up in primary care patients with neck pain.

PURPOSE: To identify prognostic factors for perceived pain and function with focus at one-year follow-up in primary care patients treated for non-specific neck pain. METHODS: A prospective study was performed including 193 neck pain patients. Before and after treatment period, and 12 months after the start date for treatment, patients completed a questionnaire including background data and aspects of pain, function and general health. Linear multiple regression analysis was used to identify prognostic factors with the dependent variables Oswestry score and pain intensity at 12-month follow-up. Response rate 81%. RESULTS: At 12-month follow-up, Oswestry score identified four prognostic factors: pain intensity; well-being; expectations of treatment; and duration of current episode. Adjusted R2 for the model was 0.32, and 20% of the patients had three of the four prognostic factors at entry, indicating risk of poor outcome. The dependent variable pain intensity revealed three prognostic factors: Oswestry score; duration of current episode; and similar problem during the previous five years. Adjusted R2 was 0.24, and 60% of the patients had two of the three prognostic factors at entry, indicating risk of poor outcome. CONCLUSIONS: Different prognostic factors (with the exception of duration of current episode) were identified by the two outcome variables. Thus the results suggest that it should be taken into account whether an impairment or disability outcome is used.

Adult↗

Statistical evaluation of prognostic factors in ALL and treatment results.

Prognostic factor evaluation is a frequent and desirable investigative activity in clinical trials. Nevertheless, a number of errors in the evaluation of such factors occur quite commonly. Many of these problems are due to inappropriate statistical interpretation of the analyses that are conducted. A detailed discussion of several problem areas is given. In the area of childhood ALL trials, issues related to the appropriate choice of disease end-points for analysis of prognostic factors are discussed.

Analysis of Variance↗

Prognostic value of the International Neuroblastoma Pathology Classification in Neuroblastoma (Schwannian stroma-poor) and comparison with other prognostic factors: a study of 182 cases from the Spanish Neuroblastoma Registry.

In addition to clinical and biological factors, further valuable prognostic information in neuroblastoma (Schwannian stroma-poor) (NB) patients is provided by the histopathologic analysis and the application of the International Neuroblastoma Pathology Classification (INPC) system. The objective of this study was to assess the prognostic impact of the INPC classification in a series of NB (Schwannian stroma-poor) and its relation with other prognostic factors. One hundred eighty-two cases of NB were collected from the files of the Spanish Neuroblastoma Registry. Slides were reviewed, and NB cases were grouped into favorable and unfavorable categories according to INPC criteria, taking into account morphological features (mitosis-karyorrhexis index, histological subtype) and patient's age at diagnosis. Other pathological [presence of calcifications, tissular components, and number of mitotic cells per 10 high-power field (HPF)], immunohistochemical (P-glycoprotein and Ki-67 protein expression) and genetic (MYCN amplification and chromosome 1p deletion) features were also studied. Statistical analyses of overall survival with Kaplan-Meier curves and a multivariate study using Cox regression were performed (40.3% of NBs were considered favorable and 59.7% unfavorable). Unfavorable NB showed a mean survival time of 57 months compared with 89 months in favorable cases. Advanced stage, more than ten mitoses per 10 HPF, Ki-67 expression in more than 30% of tumor cells, MYCN oncogene amplification and chromosome 1p deletion were observed more frequently in unfavorable NB. The Cox regression analysis demonstrated that clinical stage (International Neuroblastoma Staging System stage 4) and histological subtype (undifferentiated NB) were the most important factors that influence the overall survival (p<0.001). INPC classification results are major prognostic indicators in NB and should be considered in the therapeutic stratification of NB patients.

Child↗

[Histologic classification and morphologic prognostic factors in malignant ovarian tumors].

Most cases of death in genital neoplasms of females are caused by ovarian cancer. Prognostic factors are the postoperative tumor, tumor stage (FIGO, pTNM), age, tumors among family, and the reproductive history. On the basis of 710 malignant ovarian tumors we describe the histogenetic classification and compare the morphologic diagnosis with additional prognostic factors by literature to give a practical review of ovarian neoplasms. The morphologic prognostic factors are the histological subtype, tumor grading and perhaps the receptor status. Worse prognosis, despite of tumor grading, show undifferentiated carcinomas, followed by the serous and mucinous subtype. Endometrioid carcinomas have the best prognosis. Malignant Mullerian tumors show a very aggressive behavior. After the introduction of polychemotherapy the sex-cord- and germ cell-tumors show better prognoses. New prognostic factors are DNA-parameters (ploidy, S-phase-fraction), detection of oncogenes and tumor suppressor genes, cellular adhesion molecules (integrins, CD 44-splicing variants), and the proliferation rate of the tumor. Perhaps, these factors show prognostic relevance for individual treatment. A correct histologic classification with consideration of all morphology related prognostic factors and the knowledge about them is necessary for oncologists to choose the optimal individual therapeutic treatment.

Biomarkers, Tumor↗

Gastric carcinoma: study of the most eminent prognostic factors.

In order to analyse some prognostic factors in relation to gastric cancer, 218 patients were included in a prospective protocol at 'Hospital General de Elche' (Spain) with a follow-up of 100%. Survival curves were calculated using Kaplan-Meier analysis and compared using the log-rank test. The number of patients who underwent resection was 122 (63.5%). In 70 cases (36.5%) the resection was not possible. The postoperative mortality was 4.9%. In the survival of patients with gastric cancer we find the following prognostic factors are significant: age, tumour site, macroscopic type, depth of gastric wall affection, presence of lymph nodes, staging, resectability and surgical intention (curative vs palliative).

Adult↗

Analysis of prognostic factors in 1,041 patients with localized soft tissue sarcomas of the extremities.

PURPOSE: To identify specific independent adverse clinicopathologic factors for event-free survival in a cohort of consecutively treated patients with extremity soft tissue sarcomas. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Prospectively collected data from a population of 1,041 adult patients with localized (American Joint Committee on Cancer [AJCC] stage IA to IIIB) extremity soft tissue sarcomas were analyzed. Patients were treated at a single institution between 1982 and 1994. Patient, tumor, and pathologic factors were analyzed by univariate and multivariate techniques to identify independent prognostic factors for the end points of local recurrence, distant recurrence, disease-specific survival, and post-metastasis survival. RESULTS: The 5-year survival rate for this cohort of patients was 76%, with a median follow-up time of 3.95 years. Significant independent adverse prognostic factors for local recurrence were age greater than 50 years, recurrent disease at presentation, microscopically positive surgical margins, and the histologic subtypes fibrosarcoma and malignant peripheral-nerve tumor. For distant recurrence, intermediate tumor size, high histologic grade, deep location, recurrent disease at presentation, leiomyosarcoma, and nonliposarcoma histology were independent adverse prognostic factors. For disease-specific survival, large tumor size, high grade, deep location, recurrent disease at presentation, the histologic subtypes leiomyosarcoma and malignant peripheral-nerve tumor, microscopically positive surgical margins, and lower extremity site were adverse factors. For post-metastasis survival, only large tumor size ( > 10 cm) was an adverse prognostic factor. CONCLUSION: The independent adverse prognostic factors for distant recurrence and disease specific survival differ from those identified for subsequent local recurrence. Patients with microscopically positive surgical margins or patients who present with locally recurrent disease are at increased risk for subsequent local recurrence and tumor-related mortality. Specific histopathologic subtypes are associated with increased risks for local failure and tumor-related mortality.

Adolescent↗

The utilization of immunohistochemical prognostic factor in endometrial adenocarcinoma: is it cost effective?

This study investigated the relation between immunohistochemical prognostic factors and clinical stage and histopathological grade in endometrial adenocarcinoma. Twenty-seven patients with a mean age of 61 (38-74), who underwent radical surgery due to endometrial adenocarcinoma in our hospital between 1983-1998, were re-evaluated. For clinical staging FIGO criteria were used. Histopathological differentiation of the tumor was graded as good (grade 1), moderate (grade 2), and poor (grade 3). Estrogen and progesterone receptors, c-erb B2, UEA 1, Ki-67, PCNA and p53 were studied as immunohistochemical prognostic factors. There were no patients in stages IA and IIIB. Among the prognostic factors, PCNA was the most significantly stained marker, followed by c-erb B2, estrogen and progesterone receptors, regardless of the clinical stage and histopathological grade of the tumor. The least positivity was achieved with Ki-67. There was no significant difference when each prognostic factor was analysed with respect to clinical stage and histopathological grade. In our study no significant relation was found between the prognostic factors and the clinical stage and histopathological differentiation of the tumor. Therefore the cost effectiveness of the utilization of these factors should be reconsidered.

Adenocarcinoma↗

Is the presence of mammographic comedo calcification really a prognostic factor for small screen-detected invasive breast cancers?

AIM: It has been suggested that the use of traditional prognostic factors such as histological grade and lymph node stage are not reliable predictors of outcome for small (<15 mm diameter) screen-detected breast cancers. It has also been suggested that the presence of mammographic comedo (casting) microcalcifications may be an important prognostic factor. We have determined prognostic factors for small screen-detected cancers in a univariate and multivariate fashion. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Histological grade, lymph node stage, invasive tumour size and vascular invasion status was obtained on 161 consecutive patients with primary invasive breast cancer <15 mm diameter, detected by screening. The Nottingham Prognostic Index was calculated for each patient. The mammograms were assessed for the presence of microcalcifications, these being classified as either comedo or non-comedo. Survival data was also obtained. RESULTS: Overall survival in this group of patients was excellent with only 12 patients (7.5%) dying from their breast cancer (mean follow-up 7.5 years). Univariate analysis showed a significant association between lymph stage and outcome (chi(2)=9.68, P=0.008). No significant association was demonstrated between the presence of comedo calcification and survival. Multivariate analysis confirmed lymph node stage as the only independent prognostic factor for these small screen-detected breast cancers (chi(2)=7.18, P=0.007). There were significant associations between the presence of comedo calcification on the screening mammogram and high histological grade and small tumour size. CONCLUSION: Although the overall outcome for small screen-detected breast cancers (<15 mm diameter) is excellent, the presence of lymph node metastases is associated with a significant reduction in long-term survival. The presence of mammographic comedo calcification is not an independent prognostic factor, but is closely related to histological grade.

Breast Neoplasms↗