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PubMed2006

Evaluation of several clinical scoring tools in organophosphate poisoned patients.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to evaluate the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II, III and Simplified Acute Physiology Score II (SAPS II) as predictors of severity of organophosphate poisoning (OPP). METHODS: This is a retrospective study of 48 patients with OPP who were admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) for at least 24 h between 1997 and 2004. Demographic, laboratory, survival data and on day one APACHE II, III, SAPS II and Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) were recorded, and correlations between these scores and severity of poisoning were performed. RESULTS: Forty-eight patients were evaluated. Mechanical ventilation was required by 58% of patients. The mean APACHE II, III and SAPS II values were 11.5 +/- 7.21, 42.1 +/- 24.49 and 25.1 +/- 15.76, respectively. Total dose and duration of atropine and of pralidoxime therapy, length of ICU stay and mortality all correlated with these clinical scoring tools. CONCLUSIONS: The APACHE II, III and SAPS II clinical scoring tools seem to predict the severity of organophosphate poisoning, and may have prognostic value.

APACHE↗
PubMed1996

Outcome prediction for patients with cirrhosis of the liver in a medical ICU: a comparison of the APACHE scores and liver-specific scoringsystems.

OBJECTIVE: To find the most adequate prognostic scoring system for predicting ICU-outcome in patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis in a medical intensive care unit (ICU). DESIGN: Retrospective analysis of patients' records over a 10-year period. SETTING: A medical ICU at the university medical center of Vienna. PATIENTS AND PARTICIPANTS: 94% (n = 198) of all patients with cirrhosis admitted to our medical ICU throughout the 10-year study period. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND RESULTS: From data obtained at admission and at 48 h after admission, scores were calculated using the following scoring systems: Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II and III, Scale for Composite Clinical and Laboratory Index Scoring (CCLI), Mayo Risk Score, and Child's Classification. Statistical analysis for the prognostic variables was performed using the chi-square test, t-test, Youden index, and area under a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. APACHE III was found to be the most reliable outcome predictor at admission and after 48 h for patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis (AUC = 0.75 and 0.8, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: To predict the outcome for patients with decompensated cirrhosis of the liver admitted to a medical ICU liver failure alone is not decisive. Liver-specific scoring systems (Mayo Risk Score, CCLI) are adequate, but the APACHE II and III proved to be more powerful, because they include additional physiologic parameters and therefore also take into account additional complications associated with this liver disorder.

APACHE↗
PubMed1999

Adult respiratory distress syndrome in systemic lupus erythematosus: causes and prognostic factors: a single center, retrospective study.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the causes and prognostic factors of Adult Respiratory Distress Syndrome (ARDS) in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). METHODS: Among 544 Korean SLE patients, who were followed in the Lupus Clinic of the Catholic Medical Center from 1993 to 1997, patients diagnosed as ARDS were examined retrospectively. During the study period, non-SLE patients with ARDS were investigated and then compared to SLE patients with ARDS in terms of clinical variables. RESULTS: Nineteen patients with SLE were revealed to have a history of ARDS (3.5%) and 13 (68.4%) of 19 patients died. Death related to ARDS was found in 34.2% of all deaths (n=38) from SLE during the study period. The frequency and causes of ARDS were as follows; 9 sepsis or bacteremia (47.4%), 2 miliary tuberculosis (10.5%), 2 invasive pulmonary aspergillosis (10. 5%), 2 acute pulmonary alveolar hemorrhage syndrome (10.5%), 1 acute lupus pneumonitis (5.3%), 1 massive hemorrhage due to placenta previa (5.3%), 1 aspiration pneumonitis (5.3%), 1 disseminated intravascular coagulation associated with systemic vasculitis (5.3%). The main organisms in sepsis were gram negative bacilli (61.5%) The median steroid dose administered 1 month before ARDS was significantly higher in patients (n=13) with infectious ARDS compared to those (n=6) with ARDS due to other causes (P=0.038). Comparison of the laboratory and clinical variables between the survivors (n=6) and the deceased (n=13) showed that the survivors had lower SLAM indices at presentation (P=0.004) and APACHE (Acute Physiology, Age, Chronic Health Evaluation) III scores within 24 h after diagnosis of ARDS (P=0.024) than the deceased. The APACHE III scores correlated well with the SLAM indices (r=0.615, P=0.007). Non-SLE patients with ARDS during the study period were selected for comparison to SLE patients with ARDS. Age at the onset of ARDS was younger in SLE (n=19) compared to non-SLE (n=190) (P<0.001). Duration from ARDS onset to death was shorter in SLE patients (P<0. 001). The mortality from ARDS tended to be higher in SLE patients (P=NS). The first-day APACHE III score was significantly higher in deceased SLE patients (n=13) compared to deceased non-SLE patients (n=105) (P=0.001). CONCLUSIONS: ARDS was a common premortem event of SLE and showed a high fatality rate in SLE. The most common cause of ARDS in Korean patients with SLE was sepsis by gram negative bacilli. ARDS in SLE developed at a younger age, and progressed more rapidly compared to ARDS in general. The SLAM index and APACHE III score could be useful to predict the prognosis of ARDS in SLE.

APACHE↗
PubMed2001

Performance of the score systems Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II and III at an interdisciplinary intensive care unit, after customization.

BACKGROUND: Mortality predictions calculated using scoring scales are often not accurate in populations other than those in which the scales were developed because of differences in case-mix. The present study investigates the effect of first-level customization, using a logistic regression technique, on discrimination and calibration of the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II and III scales. METHOD: Probabilities of hospital death for patients were estimated by applying APACHE II and III and comparing these with observed outcomes. Using the split sample technique, a customized model to predict outcome was developed by logistic regression. The overall goodness-of-fit of the original and the customized models was assessed. RESULTS: Of 3383 consecutive intensive care unit (ICU) admissions over 3 years, 2795 patients could be analyzed, and were split randomly into development and validation samples. The discriminative powers of APACHE II and III were unchanged by customization (areas under the receiver operating characteristic [ROC] curve 0.82 and 0.85, respectively). Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit tests showed good calibration for APACHE II, but insufficient calibration for APACHE III. Customization improved calibration for both models, with a good fit for APACHE III as well. However, fit was different for various subgroups. CONCLUSIONS: The overall goodness-of-fit of APACHE III mortality prediction was improved significantly by customization, but uniformity of fit in different subgroups was not achieved. Therefore, application of the customized model provides no advantage, because differences in case-mix still limit comparisons of quality of care.

APACHE↗
PubMed2003

Acute pancreatitis in intensive care unit patients: value of clinical and radiologic prognosticators at predicting clinical course and outcome.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the value of clinical and/or radiographic prognostic indices in predicting the clinical course and outcome of patients with acute pancreatitis, in the intensive care unit. DESIGN: Retrospective, single institution review. SETTING: An adult medical and surgical intensive care unit in a public, urban teaching hospital. PATIENTS: Patients with acute pancreatitis requiring intensive care unit admission between January 1, 1997 and June 30, 2000. INTERVENTIONS: Standard care. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: A total of 477 patients were hospitalized with the diagnosis of acute pancreatitis. Of these, 28 patients (6%) were admitted to the intensive care unit. Ranson's, Imrie scores, Acute Physiologic and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II and III scores, simplified acute physiology scores, and multiple organ dysfunction scores were tabulated at 1, 2, 3, 7, and 14 days after intensive care unit admission. Abdominal computed tomography was available for review for 24 of the 28 patients (86%), where the mean Balthazar's computed tomography index was 4.5 +/- 0.4 (range = 2 to 10). Hospital mortality rate for the intensive care unit patients was 14% (4 of 28). The intensive care unit length of stay ranged from 1 to 79 days (mean 15 days, median 5 days). Fifty-seven percent of the patients developed organ dysfunction, and 36% of the patients required mechanical ventilatory support, ranging in duration from 1 to 70 days. Infectious morbidity occurred in 43% of patients. Thirty-six percent of the patients required operative intervention for intraabdominal complications. APACHE II scores at 7 days after intensive care unit admission correlated closely with ventilator days (r2 =.90; p =.003) and correlated with the occurrence of infectious complications (r2 =.71; p =.02). Patient age, APACHE III, simplified acute physiology scores, multiple organ dysfunction scores, Ranson, Imrie, computed tomography, and APACHE II scores before day 7 did not closely correlate with the occurrence of adverse clinical outcome. CONCLUSIONS: The clinical course and outcomes of intensive care unit patients with acute pancreatitis can be highly variable. An APACHE II score <10 during the initial 48 hrs correlated with mild pancreatitis and uncomplicated intensive care unit course; however, multifactorial prognosticators were not useful for the early identification of patients who developed complications or required extended intensive care unit care.

APACHE↗
PubMed1997

Limitation of therapeutic activity in elderly critically ill patients. Project for the Epidemiological Analysis of Critical Care Patients.

OBJECTIVE: To establish whether the age of patients admitted into the intensive care unit (ICU) influences the amount of therapy received. DESIGN: Observational, prospective, multicenter study. SETTING: Eighty-six multidisciplinary ICUs in Spain, including coronary patients. PATIENTS: The patients (n = 8,838) were studied during a 6-month period between 1992 and 1993. Patients < 16 yrs of age and patients dying within the first 6 hrs were excluded from the study. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: We collected data on age, gender, type of diagnosis at the time of admission, severity level by Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II and III, quality of life survey score, therapeutic activity during the first 24 hrs by Therapeutic Intervention Scoring System, and ICU and hospital mortality rates. In the sample of patients, 12.5% were > 75 yrs of age. Compared with younger patients, these patients had higher APACHE II (18.41 +/- 0.23 vs. 15.14 +/- 0.09 points, p < .001) and APACHE III (65.8 +/- 0.81 vs. 53.32 +/- 0.33 points, p < .001) scores, a higher quality of life survey score (i.e., worse quality of life, 7.19 +/- 0.19 vs. 3.86 +/- 0.05 points, p < .001), and a greater ICU mortality rate (21.9% vs. 15.3%, p < .00001) and hospital mortality rate (30.8% vs. 19.3%, p < .00001). However, patients > 75 yrs had a lower Therapeutic Intervention Scoring System score (19.83 +/- 0.28 vs. 21.17 +/- 0.12 points, p < .001). Multivariate analysis showed that once severity, need for mechanical ventilation, diagnostic group, and mortality rate were taken into account, there was less therapeutic activity in patients > 75 yrs of age. CONCLUSIONS: Patients > 75 yrs of age represent a large proportion of patients in Spanish ICUs. Although their mortality rate and severity scores were higher than those values in younger patients, patients > 75 yrs of age received less therapy.

APACHE↗
PubMed2006

Factors influencing DNR decision-making in a surgical ICU.

BACKGROUND: End-of-life decisions in the surgical ICU can be complicated by the unique characteristics of perioperative illness and the focus on life-extending interventions. We sought to determine whether illness severity correlated with the presence of DNR order in critically ill surgical patients. STUDY DESIGN: All surgical ICU patients who were given a DNR order from May 1, 1991 to May 31, 1998 were identified. Demographic data for all patients were collected prospectively. Patients who died without a DNR order were compared with patients with DNR orders. Variables in the analysis included date of DNR order, age, ICU, and hospital lengths of stay, APACHE II and III scores and maximum multiple organ dysfunction scores, past medical history, and mortality. ANOVA, multivariate ANOVA, and chi-square statistical tests were used to analyze the data, with p </= 0.05 used to reject the null hypothesis. RESULTS: Mortality for DNR patients was 84.7%. Multiple organ dysfunction syndrome was ubiquitous in this group of patients. There were no differences between DNR and no-DNR groups on the basis of age or APACHE III score or multiple organ dysfunction score. ICU lengths of stay were substantially higher in the patients made DNR, 1.8 +/- 0.1 versus 1.0 +/- 0.1, p = 0.0001, and 16.9 +/- 0.2 versus 12.1 +/- 1.2, p = 0.011, respectively. Multivariate ANOVA revealed that only past medical history predicted a DNR order. CONCLUSIONS: Although acuity of illness and organ dysfunction consistently predicted mortality in critically ill patient populations, only elements of the past medical history were positively associated with a DNR order in critically ill surgical patients. Additional prospective studies need to be performed to determine the relative influences of physiologic, demographic, and sociologic factors on the creation of DNR orders in critically ill surgical patients.

Aged↗
PubMed1996

Influence of multiple organ dysfunction syndrome on duration of critical illness and hospitalization.

BACKGROUND: Multiple organ dysfunction syndrome (MODS) is the leading cause of death in the general surgery intensive care unit (SICU). The development of MODS is a powerful predictor of prolonged SICU stay in survivors and nonsurvivors of critical illness, but its relation to less severe illness and briefer duration of care is unknown. OBJECTIVES: To determine the relation between modest degrees of MODS and length of stay in the SICU and hospital and whether daily MOD score calculations can distinguish survivors from nonsurvivors before the SICU stay becomes prolonged. SETTING: An SICU of a university tertiary care medical center. DESIGN: Prospective inception-cohort study. Illness severity data were collected in retrospect only for the calendar year 1991. PATIENTS: Of 2646 consecutive patients studied, 115 stayed in the SICU more than 21 days. METHODS: Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II and III scores were calculated after 24 hours, with daily and cumulative MOD scores (0-4 points for 6 organs, 24 points maximum). Patients were followed up until hospital discharge or death. Data analysis was performed by unpaired 2-tailed t test, exact contingency analysis for multiple groups, univariate 1- or 2-way analysis of variance with repeated measures, or linear or polynomial regression tests as appropriate, alpha = .05. RESULTS: The mean (+/-SEM) age of the patients was 65 +/- 1 years; mean (+/-SEM) APACHE II score, 13.8 +/- 0.2; APACHE III score, 44.2 +/- 0.7; incidence of MODS, 1173 of 2646 patients, 44.3%; and hospital mortality rate, 9.2%. Cumulative MOD scores correlated closely with SICU length of stay in survivors, especially for SICU stays of less than 10 days (R2 = 0.99, P < .001). Similar correlations existed between the prevalence of MODS related to the increasing length of the SICU stay (R2 = 0.98, P < .001) and between the length of hospital stay and the cumulative MOD score (R2 = 0.79, P < .05). Daily MOD scores in patients whose SICU stay was more than 21 days distinguished survivors from nonsurvivors by day 2 of the SICU stay (P < .05) and thereafter. CONCLUSIONS: Modest degrees of MODS correlate closely with the duration of care in less severely ill patients. Early identification and daily quantitation of MODS may help identify patients at risk for prolonged illness and death. Prevention of outcomes that contribute to organ dysfunction is critical for reduction of length of stay and cost of care.

APACHE↗
PubMed2004

Identifying potentially ineffective care in the sickest critically ill patients on the third ICU day.

OBJECTIVE: To determine if an increase in the third-ICU-day acute physiology score (APS) of the APACHE (acute physiology and chronic health evaluation) III prognostic system can identify potentially ineffective care. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Academic medical center. PATIENTS: Adult patients with first-ICU-day predicted mortality rate > or = 80%. MEASUREMENTS: Demographics, ICU admission source, admission type, ICU admission diagnosis, first- and third-ICU-day APSs, APACHE III score, APACHE III-predicted hospital mortality, hospital discharge status, 100-day survival, and ICU and hospital length of stay. RESULTS: A total of 302 patients (age [mean +/- SD], 64.7 +/- 15.8 years; 54.3% male gender) were included in the study. Respiratory failure was the most common reason for ICU admission. Nonoperative admissions accounted for 94.7%. The first- and third-ICU-day APSs were 106.8 +/- 19.8 and 70.5 +/- 29.9, respectively. The first- and third-ICU-day predicted hospital mortality rates were 87.8 +/- 5.3% and 86.5 +/- 14.8%, respectively. The hospital mortality rate was 61.3%, and the 100-day survival rate 28.5%. The third-ICU-day APS was higher than the first-ICU-day APS in 34 patients (11.3%). Only 2 of these 34 patients (6%) survived to hospital discharge, compared to 115 of 268 patients (43%) without an increase in APS (p < 0.0001). Of the two hospital survivors with increased APS, only one patient survived 100 days after hospital discharge. In predicting 100-day mortality, the sensitivity of an increase in the third-ICU-day APS was 15.3% (95% confidence interval, 11.1 to 20.7%), specificity was 98.8% (95% confidence interval, 93.7 to 99.8%), positive predictive value was 97.1% (95% confidence interval, 85.1 to 99.5%), and negative predictive value was 31.7% (95% confidence interval, 26.4 to 37.5%). CONCLUSIONS: A higher APS on the third ICU day, compared to the first ICU day, identifies potentially ineffective care in patients with the first-day predicted hospital mortality rate > or = 80%.

APACHE↗
PubMed2005

Acute respiratory failure due to pneumocystis pneumonia in patients without human immunodeficiency virus infection: outcome and associated features.

OBJECTIVE: To examine outcome and associated factors of acute respiratory failure (ARF) in non-HIV-related Pneumocystis pneumonia (PCP) in patients admitted to a medical ICU between 1995 and 2002. DESIGN: A retrospective review of medical records and an APACHE (acute physiology and chronic health evaluation) III database. SETTING: Academic tertiary medical center. RESULTS: We identified 30 patients with non-HIV-related PCP and ARF. In-hospital, 6-month, and 1-year mortality rates were 67%, 77%, and 80%, respectively. Median age was 63.5 years. Median APACHE III score on day 1 was 65.5. Median ICU and hospital lengths of stay were 13 days and 21 days, respectively. All seven patients having a pneumothorax died. All but one patient had an elevated lactate dehydrogenase level (median, 563 U/L). The diagnosis was made using BAL in 28 patients and by transbronchial biopsy in the remaining 2 patients. All patients were immunosuppressed (eight were receiving corticosteroids, seven were receiving chemotherapy, and the remainder received both). Median immunosuppressive prednisone-equivalent dose was 40 mg (median length of treatment, 4.5 months). Not a single patient received PCP prophylaxis. All but one patient required intubation and invasive positive pressure ventilation (PPV). Hospital mortality was associated with high APACHE III scores on day 1 (p = 0.05), intubation delay (p = 0.03), length of PPV (p = 0.003), and development of pneumothorax (p = 0.033). Logistic regression analysis demonstrated that association of intubation delay with hospital mortality persisted after adjusting for severity of illness (p = 0.03). CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with ARF secondary to non-HIV-related PCP, poor prognostic factors include high APACHE III scores, intubation delay, longer duration of PPV, and development of pneumothorax. None of the patients in this series received PCP prophylaxis prior to the development of pneumonia.

Acute Disease↗
PubMed2000

Current practice of management of bacteremic sepsis: a study in a tertiary care teaching hospital in Japan.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate how patients with bacteremic sepsis are managed in a tertiary care teaching hospital. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Prospective observational study on patients with bacteremic sepsis. Clinical and microbiological characteristics of bacteremic sepsis were analyzed in relation to prognosis. Severity of the illness was quantitatively analyzed by the APACHE (Acute Physiology, Age, Chronic Health Evaluation) III scoring system. Also investigated was how closely physicians paid attention to acute physiological alterations in patients. RESULTS: The 28-day mortalities in fifty hemodynamically stable patients and in twenty-three septic shock patients were 26% and 52%, respectively (p=0.028). Gram-positive organisms accounted for 54% of all organisms, with the mortality and incidence of septic shock being the same as with Gram-negative infections. The mean APACHE III score was 42.9 in survivors, and 76.5 in non-survivors (p < 0.001). Although serum levels of C-reactive protein and acute physiology score (APS) was significantly higher in non-survivors than in survivors, the correlation with APACHE III score was more prominent in APS. The number of vital signs recorded was 1.67 in physicians and 3.6 in nurses (p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The present study proved that the APACHE III score accurately discriminates between survivors and non-survivors of patients with sepsis. By addressing the need for an objective evaluation of severity of illness, it strongly recommends that physicians should be made aware of physiologically defined sepsis and that they should pay closer attention to patients' physiological alterations to identify the development of sepsis in critically ill patients.

APACHE↗
PubMed2004

Prediction of risk of death using 30-day outcome: a practical end point for quality auditing in intensive care.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: To validate the APACHE (acute physiology and chronic health evaluation) III unadjusted and similar hospital mortality estimate models on 30-day mortality, and to propose a simple approach to modeling local 30-day in-hospital mortality of critically ill hospitalized adults for quality management and risk-adjusted monitoring. DESIGN: Noninterventional, observational study. PATIENTS: A total of 5,278 consecutive eligible hospital admissions between January 1, 1995, and December 31, 1999. MEASUREMENTS: Prospective collection of demographic, diagnostic, physiologic, laboratory, and hospital admission and discharge data. RESULTS: The APACHE III mortality predictions exhibited excellent discrimination (receiver operating characteristic [ROC] curve area) for 30-day outcome (ROC area, 0.89) and hospital outcome (ROC area, 0.89). Calibration curves and Hosmer-Lemeshow statistics demonstrated good calibration of all models on 30-day outcome, except for the unadjusted APACHE III model. New, simplified risk adjustment models showed good discrimination and calibration on development and test data. ROC areas were 0.88 (developmental data) and 0.87 (test data), and the new model calibration was equivalent to the APACHE III model. CONCLUSION: For quality audit, 30-day in-hospital mortality can be used as an alternative outcome to survival to hospital discharge. New logistic regression models provide evidence that local models, possessing good calibration and discrimination, may be built from a few explanatory variables.

APACHE↗
PubMed2003

Risk assessment for inpatient survival in the long-term acute care setting after prolonged critical illness.

OBJECTIVE: The past decade has witnessed growth in the long-term acute care (LTAC) hospital industry. There are no reliable risk assessment models that can adjust outcomes across such facilities with different criteria for admitting patients. Variation in reported outcomes makes it difficult to determine whether a patient, or group of patients, may benefit from such care. This study sought to determine the extent to which survival in the LTAC setting is associated with age, race, residual organ system failures (OSFs), or APACHE (acute physiology and chronic health evaluation) III scores at the time of admission to LTAC. DESIGN: Retrospective medical record review. SETTING: Four freestanding facilities of a LTAC hospital. PATIENTS: A sample of 300 hospital admissions weighted to represent the study hospital population. MEASUREMENTS: Inpatient survival modeled as a function of age, APACHE III score calculated within 72 h prior to LTAC admission, and residual OSFs present on admission to LTAC. RESULTS: Logistic regression analysis shows age and OSF were most predictive of inpatient survival (receiver operating characteristic curve area = 0.81). APACHE III score was not predictive of survival in the multivariate model. CONCLUSIONS: Survival in LTAC is primarily associated with age and OSFs, which should be used to adjust for patient populations among LTAC settings when comparing outcomes. Our model identifies a group of patients with the poorest likelihood of survival in the LTAC setting, and may be used to facilitate dialogue with patients and family in cases where continued aggressive care is least effective.

APACHE↗
PubMed2002

A cross-cultural comparison of critical care delivery: Japan and the United States.

OBJECTIVE: To compare the utilization and outcomes of critical care services in a cohort of hospitals in the United States and Japan. DESIGN: Prospective data collection on 5,107 patients and detailed organizational characteristics from each of the participating Japanese study hospitals between 1993 and 1995, with comparisons made to prospectively collected data on the 17,440 patients included in the US APACHE (acute physiology and chronic health evaluation) III database. SETTING: Twenty-two Japanese and 40 US hospitals. PATIENTS: Consecutive, unselected patients from medical, surgical, and mixed medical/surgical ICUs. MEASUREMENTS: Severity of illness, predicted risk of in-hospital death, and ICU and hospital length of stay (LOS) were assessed using APACHE III. Japanese ICU directors completed a detailed survey describing their units. MAIN RESULTS: US and Japanese ICUs have a similar array of modalities available for care. Only 1.0% (range, 0.56 to 2.7%) of beds in Japanese hospitals were designated as ICUs. The organization of the Japanese and US ICUs varied by hospital, but Japanese ICUs were more likely to be organized to care for heterogeneous diagnostic populations. Sample case-mix differences reflect different disease prevalence. ICU utilization for women is significantly lower (35.5% vs 44.8% of patients) and there were relatively fewer patients > or = 85 years old in the Japanese ICU cohort (1.2% vs 4.6%), despite a higher per capita rate of individuals > or = 85 years old in Japan. The utilization of ICUs for patients at low risk of death significantly less in Japan (10.2%) than in the United States (12.9%). The APACHE III score stratified patient risk. Overall mortality was similar in both national samples after accounting for differences in hospital LOS, utilizing a model that was highly discriminating (receiver operating characteristic, 0.87) when applied to the Japanese sample. The application of a US-based mortality model to a Japanese sample overestimated mortality across all but the highest (> 90%) deciles of risk. Significant variation in expected performance was noted between hospitals. Risk-adjusted ICU LOS was not significantly longer in Japan; however, total hospital stay was nearly twice that found in the US hospitals, reflecting differences in hospital utilization philosophies. CONCLUSIONS: Similar high-technology critical care is available in both countries. Variations in ICU utilization reflect differences in case-mix and bed availability. Japanese ICU utilization by gender reflects differences in disease prevalence, whereas differences in utilization by age may reflect differences in cultural norms regarding the limits of care. Such differences provide context from which to assess the delivery of care across international borders. Miscalibration of predictive models applied to international data samples highlight the impact that differences in resource use and local practice cultures have on outcomes. Models may require modification in order to account for these differences. Nevertheless, with large databases, it is possible to assess critical care delivery systems between countries accounting for differences in case-mix, severity of illness, and cultural normative standards facilitating the design and management such systems.

APACHE↗
PubMed2004

Outcome of lung transplant patients admitted to the medical ICU.

INTRODUCTION: Lung transplantation is an acceptable treatment option for end-stage lung disease. Short-term survival has improved, but lung transplant recipients remain at high risk for a variety of complications that can necessitate care in an ICU. Little is known about the epidemiology, clinical outcomes, and risk factors for survival among lung transplant recipients admitted to the ICU. METHODS: All lung transplant recipients at a single institution discharged from the hospital after their transplant and subsequently admitted to the medical ICU (MICU) between March 1, 1999, and February 28, 2001, were included. Patients were followed until death or February 28, 2002. Demographic data collected included transplant type and date, APACHE (acute physiology and chronic health evaluation) III scores, last preadmission and best posttransplant FEV(1) in liters, admitting diagnosis, use of mechanical ventilation, and previous MICU admission. RESULTS: There were 51 patients admitted to the MICU during the study period (73 total admissions). Their demographic data, pretransplant diagnoses, and type of transplant were similar to those of the rest of Duke University Medical Center lung transplant patients. Fifty-three percent (27 of 51 patients) required mechanical ventilation during their first MICU admission. Thirty-seven percent (19 of 51 patients) died during their first MICU admission. Fifty-nine percent (16 of 27 patients) receiving mechanical ventilation died. Patients who died had lower FEV(1) to posttransplant best FEV(1) ratio prior to MICU admission, and also had higher APACHE III scores on MICU admission compared to survivors: FEV(1), 51.3 +/- 21.9% (n = 14) vs 75.5 +/- 20.4% (n = 30) [p = 0.001]; APACHE III score, 77.7 +/- 21.4 (n = 19) vs 60.1 +/- 16.5 (n = 32) [p = 0.002]. Survival rates by Kaplan-Meier analysis at 1 year and 2 years after initial MICU admission were 43.1% and 40.9%, respectively. The longest survivor is currently alive 1,087 days after initial MICU admission. CONCLUSION: Admission to the MICU is common in lung transplant recipients. MICU care, including mechanical ventilation, is associated with a poor prognosis in lung transplant recipients, but is appropriate for selected patients with good allograft function.

APACHE↗
PubMed1997

Comparison of acute physiology and chronic health evaluation III and II for prediction of mortality in multiple organ failure patients treated by plasma exchange.

This study examined the efficacy of a different scoring system for multiple organ failure (MOF) patients treated by plasma exchange (PE). Twenty-five patients with MOF resulting from fulminant hepatitis who had been treated by PE for a total number of 91 PEs in a consecutive period of 22 months were included in our study. Data were collected from each patient to compute acute physiology and chronic health evaluation (APACHE) II and APACHE (AP) III scores. The sensitivity, specificity, and correct prediction of outcomes were measured. The correct prediction of outcomes was 86.5%in AP III and 77.5% in AP II. For the prediction of patient mortality, the AP III system seems to be more reliable than AP II.

APACHE↗
PubMed2005

Assessing the risk of mortality in paediatric cancer patients admitted to the paediatric intensive care unit: a novel risk score?

UNLABELLED: Intensive front-line protocols have improved survival in children with malignancies; however, intensive multimodal therapy of paediatric malignancies can be associated with a significant risk of serious adverse events. Common risk scores (PRISM, PRISM III, APACHE-II) fail to predict mortality in these patients. A retrospective chart analysis of 32 paediatric cancer patients admitted to the Paediatric Intensive Care Unit (PICU) at the University Hospital of Saarland between January 2001 and December 2003 for life-threatening complications was performed. The aim of this study was to assess risk factors for short-term outcome (survival vs. non-survival when leaving the PICU) and to develop a risk score to estimate outcome in these patients. Overall survival was good (25 of 32 patients). Mortality rate was significantly related to leukaemia/lymphoma ( P = 0.029), to the number of organ failures ( P < 0.0001), neutropenia ( P = 0.001), septic shock ( P = 0.025), mechanical ventilation ( P = 0.01) and inotropic support ( P = 0.01). Employing multiple logistic regression, the strongest predictor for poor outcome was the number of organ failures ( P < 0.05). A risk score (cut-off value: >3 points for non-survival) which included the following risk factors (non-solid tumour, number of organ failures ( n > 2), neutropenia, septic shock, mechanical ventilation, and inotropic medication) yielded a sensitivity of 7/7 (95% CI: 4.56-7.00), a specificity of 23/25 (95% CI: 18.49-24.75), a positive predictive value of 23/23 (95% CI: 19.80-23.00), and a negative predictive value of 7/9 (95% CI: 3.60-8.74) for the time of admission to the PICU. CONCLUSION: Although our risk of mortality score is of prognostic value in assessing short-term outcome in these patients, prospective validation in a larger study cohort is mandatory. Furthermore, it must be emphasised that this risk score must not be used for decision-making in an individual patient.

Adolescent↗