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Radiographic predictors of neurocognitive functioning in pediatric Sickle Cell disease.

We compared magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), magnetic resonance angiography, and transcranial Doppler ultrasonography as predictors of specific neurocognitive functions in children with sickle cell disease. Participants were 27 children with sickle cell anemia (hemoglobin SS) who were participants in the Stroke Prevention Trial in Sickle Cell Anemia (STOP) and had no documented history of stroke. Children's MRIs were classified as normal or silent infarct, and their magnetic resonance angiograms were classified as normal or abnormal. The highest time-averaged mean flow velocity on transcranial Doppler ultrasonographic examination of the major cerebral arteries was analyzed. Age and hematocrit also were analyzed as predictor variables. The battery of neurocognitive tests included measures of intellectual functioning, academic achievement, attention, memory, visual-motor integration, and executive functions. MRI, magnetic resonance angiography, transcranial Doppler ultrasonography, age, and hematocrit were analyzed as predictors of participants' performance on the various measures of neurocognitive functioning. Age and hematocrit were robust predictors of a number of global and specific neurocognitive functions. When age and hematocrit were controlled, transcranial Doppler ultrasonography was a significantly unique predictor of verbal memory. We found an association between low hemoglobin and neurocognitive impairment. We also found that abnormalities on transcranial Doppler ultrasonography can herald subtle neurocognitive deficits. (J Child Neurol 2006;21:37-44).

Adolescent↗

Characteristics of teenage mothers and predictors of breastfeeding initiation in the Michigan WIC Program in 1995. Women, Infants, and Children.

Although breast milk is recommended as the optimal source of infant nutrition, breastfeeding initiation is below recommended levels, especially among teenage mothers. Breastfeeding initiation rates among Michigan (US) teenage mothers (12-19 y) were compared by demographics and health behaviors. Multivariate analyses determined which factors were significant independent predictors of breastfeeding initiation among teenage mothers enrolled prenatally in the Michigan Special Supplemental Nutrition Program for Women, Infants, and Children (WIC) program in 1995. Significant predictors independently associated with breastfeeding initiation were race/ethnicity, education, marital status, postpartum anemia status, parity, prenatal trimester of WIC enrollment, and smoking. The strongest predictor of breastfeeding initiation differed for white mothers (positive predictor: education beyond high school [OR = 3.13]) and black mothers (negative predictor: multiparous [OR = 0.25]). Initiation rates for this population of teenage mothers fall below the national average for mothers of all ages and the US Healthy People 2010 goals. Research is needed concerning how breastfeeding support and education can be improved to reach the US national health goals.

Adolescent↗

Predictors of six-month survival among patients with dementia: an evaluation of hospice Medicare guidelines.

The goal of the present study was to assess the validity of the Medicare hospice eligibility guidelines for dementia patients, as well as identify predictors that could more accurately identify prognosis in dementia patients referred to hospice. A retrospective chart review was conducted, including initial assessment and longitudinal follow-up of patients until the time of death. In addition, a second validation cohort was also followed. Participants consisted of 245 patients admitted to a large community-based hospice with a diagnosis of dementia, including a validation sample of 80 patients. The Kaplan-Meier estimation of survival and a Cox regression analysis (p > 0. 05) revealed no significant relationship between the Medicare guidelines or any component of the guidelines and survival at six months for the initial and validation samples. Significant multivariate predictors of shorter survival in both the initial and validation sample include greater age (p = 0. 02) and anorexia (p < 0. 001), as well as a combination of anorexia and greater functional impairment (p = 0.005). Overall, the results indicated that the Medicare guidelines were not valid predictors of survival in hospice patients with dementia and should be altered to include empirically valid predictors. Advanced age, as well as impaired nutritional and functional status, was associated with shortened survival in these patients. The predictor variables identified are an initial step toward providing improved prognoses for advanced dementia patients, their families, and practitioners. Broader issues in improving access to hospice care for dementia patients are discussed.

Activities of Daily Living↗

Usefulness of prostate-specific antigen nadir as predictor of androgen-independent progression of metastatic prostate cancer.

The objective of this study was to analyze the value of the nadir level of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) to predict androgen-independent progression (AIP) in metastatic prostate cancer patients after androgen deprivation therapy. In a group of 185 metastatic prostate cancer patients who received androgen deprivation therapy serum PSA was determined every three months until AIP occurred. Multiple regression analysis was performed to define independent clinical and PSA-related predictors of AIP. AIP was assumed to be present after two consecutive increases in serum PSA after the PSA nadir. Independent predictors of the duration of AIP-free survival (less than 12 months versus more than 12 months) were the extent of bone involvement (six or fewer hot spots versus more than six) with an odds ratio (O.R.) of 3.95, Gleason score (7 or less versus more than 7) with an O.R. of 3.47, and PSA nadir (2 microg/L or less versus more than 2 microg/L) with an O.R. of 14.63. AIP was independently predicted by the extent of bone involvement with an O.R. of 1.72, Gleason score with an O.R. of 1.74, PSA nadir with an O.R. of 3.22, and time to reach the PSA nadir (9 months or less versus more than 9 months) with an O.R. of 2.84. When patients were stratified according to these predictors, those with three good prognostic factors had a median AIP-free survival of 58 months while those with two, one or no good prognostic factors had a median AIP-free survival of 19 months, 12 months and 7 months, respectively. We conclude that the PSA nadir seems to be a good predictor of AIP in patients with metastatic prostate cancer after androgen deprivation therapy. Time to PSA nadir, extent of bone involvement and Gleason score are also independent predictors. The combination of these prognostic factors allows to stratify metastatic prostate cancer patients for the prediction of AIP.

Adult↗

The Physical Performance Test as a predictor of frequent fallers: a prospective community-based cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: To construct a risk model in order to identify elderly individuals at risk of frequent falling. DESIGN: Prospective community-based cohort study over 12 months. SETTING: Baseline measures were performed at a local community centre. SUBJECTS: Two hundred and sixty-three community-dwelling elderly people (mean age 72 years). MEASUREMENTS: A variety of variables were evaluated, including medical, psychological, sensory, physical and postural control measurements. Fall incidence was monitored retrospectively and during one-year follow-up. RESULTS: Logistic regression analysis showed that polypharmacia was the most prominent medical fall predictor with an odds ratio (OR) of 1.29 (P= 0.005), poor visual acuity the best sensory predictor (OR = 0.84; P= 0.009) and general fear of falling the most crucial psychological predictor (OR = 3.25; P< 0.001). Increased postural sway in near-tandem stance with eyes open was selected as the best balance predictor for falls (OR = 5.60; P= 0.010), followed by delayed anteroposterior movement velocity during rhythmic weight shifts (OR = 0.42; P= 0.004). The best physical predictor was a low score on the Physical Performance Test (OR =4.16; P< 0.001), followed by decreased maximal handgrip strength (OR = 0.87; P< 0.001) and increased timed chair-stands (OR = 1.13; P= 0.003). Step-by-step regression analysis revealed a risk model for the prediction of future falls, as a combination of the Physical Performance Test and maximal handgrip strength. CONCLUSION: This study confirms the multicausality of falls, since medical, psychological, sensory, postural control as well as physical variables provides a predictive value. The composed fall risk model was mainly physically oriented.

Accidental Falls↗

Predictors of outcome of rehabilitation of elderly stroke patients in a geriatric ward.

PURPOSE: To identify predictors of outcome after 12 months in elderly stroke patients rehabilitated in a geriatric ward. DESIGN: Prospective with evaluation in the subacute phase and after 12 months. SETTING: Geriatric ward and outpatient clinic. SUBJECTS: All stroke patients admitted from the acute unit to a geriatric ward for rehabilitation during a 16-month period (n = 171). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Place of living, mortality and social functioning (Frenchay Activities Index) 12 months following stroke. RESULTS: Age, urinary incontinence and cognitive function were significantly associated with place of living (home versus nursing home) 12 months post stroke in bivariate analyses. However, using multivariate logistic regression analyses, only age (p = 0.005) and urinary incontinence at baseline (p = 0.028) remained independent predictors of place of living. Mortality during the first year was significantly predicted by urinary incontinence and gender (men doing worse), whereas the Barthel Activities of Daily Living (ADL) Index sumscore was the only significant independent predictor of social activities. CONCLUSION: Urinary incontinence at baseline seems to be a most important predictor of outcome 12 months post stroke in geriatric patients. However, with regard to social activities (Frenchay Activities Index), functional impairment in the initial phase as reflected by the Barthel ADL Index supersedes other predictors.

Activities of Daily Living↗

Predictors of occult metastasis in clinical stage I nonseminoma: a systematic review.

PURPOSE: Patients with clinical stage I nonseminomatous testicular germ cell tumor should ideally receive adjuvant therapy only when they are at high risk for occult metastasis. We aimed to quantify the importance of predictors for occult metastasis by performing a systematic review of the relevant literature. In addition, we reviewed published multivariable models and risk-adapted treatment policies. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We identified 23 publications between 1979 and 2001, reporting a total of 2,587 patients. Twenty-nine percent of the patients (759 of 2,587 patients) had occult metastases, which was diagnosed either at retroperitoneal lymph node dissection (n = 193) or during follow-up (n = 566). Odds ratios (OR) were pooled using meta-analysis techniques. RESULTS: The presence of vascular invasion of the primary tumor cells had the strongest effect (OR, 5.2; 95% CI, 4.0 to 6.8). Immunohistochemical staining of the primary tumor cells with the MIB-1 monoclonal antibody showing proliferative activity was a promising predictor (OR, 4.7; 95% CI, 2.0 to 11). Intermediate effects were found for embryonal carcinoma in the primary tumor (OR, 2.9; 95% CI, 2.0 to 4.4) and a high pathologic stage of the tumor (OR, 2.6; 95% CI, 1.8 to 3.8). Size of the primary tumor and age of the patient had weaker though also statistically significant associations with occult metastasis. Until now, multivariable models often included vascular invasion and embryonal carcinoma with one or two weaker predictors. None of the published risk-adapted treatment policies included MIB-1 staining. CONCLUSION: Several strong predictors for occult metastasis were identified. A risk-adapted treatment policy should be developed that incorporates all relevant predictors so that adjuvant therapy is targeted better to those with occult metastases.

Adult↗

MMPI-2 as a predictor of change in PTSD symptom clusters: a further analysis of the Forbes et al. (2002) data set.

In this study, we reanalyzed the Forbes et al. (2002) data set to examine the Minnesota Multiphasic Personality Inventory (MMPI-2; Butcher, Dahlstrom, Graham, Tellegen, & Kaemmer, 1989) as a differential predictor of change across posttraumatic stress disorder symptom clusters following treatment in 141 Vietnam veterans. A series of partial correlation and linear multivariate regression analyses, controlling for initial symptom severity, identified several scales predictive of symptom change. None of the MMPI-2 scales, however, emerged as predictors of change in reexperiencing symptoms. Social alienation and marital distress were the most potent predictors for avoidance symptoms. Anger, alcohol use, and hypomania were the most potent predictors for the hyperarousal symptoms. Of the personality disorders, borderline personality was the strongest predictor of change in the avoidance and hyperarousal clusters. Further replication of the findings of this article and those reported by Forbes et al. (2002) is required.

Adaptation, Psychological↗

Anthropometric variables as predictors for duration of action of vecuronium-induced neuromuscular block.

To identify the best anthropometric predictor for duration of action of neuromuscular block and to propose a better dosing regimen for vecuronium in obese patients, we studied 67 female patients (body weight 45-126 kg) anesthetized with thiopental, fentanyl, droperidol, and nitrous oxide. Twelve different anthropometric variables were evaluated as predictors for duration of action. Simple and multiple linear, least-squares, regression analyses were used. The predictors with the greatest correlation coefficients for duration of action of the vecuronium induction dose (100 micrograms/kg) were percentage of ideal body weight (%IBW) r2 = 0.389, P = 0.0001) and body mass index (r2 = 0.379, P = 0.0001). Body weight alone was also correlated to duration of action, but the r2 value was less (r2 = 0.312, P = 0.0001). The most significant predictors of the first supplementary dose of vecuronium (33 micrograms/kg) were the sum of subscapularis and suprailiac skin folds divided by surface area (r2 = 0.264, P = 0.0001) and %IBW (r2 = 0.261, P = 0.0001). We conclude that %IBW, the body mass index, and the sum of subscapularis and suprailiac skin folds divided by the surface area are the best predictors of duration of action of a vecuronium neuromuscular block.

Adult↗

Predictors for patterns of failure after pancreaticoduodenectomy in ampullary cancer.

BACKGROUND: Ampullary cancer has the best prognosis in periampullary malignancy but unpredicted early recurrence after resection is frequent. The current study tried to find the predictors for recurrence to be used as determinative for postoperative adjuvant therapy. METHODS: Information was collected from patients who underwent pancreaticoduodenectomy with regional lymphadenectomy for ampullary cancer in high-volume hospitals between January 1989 and April 2005. Recurrence patterns and survival rates were calculated and predictors were identified. RESULTS: A total of 135 eligible patients were included. The 30-day operative mortality was 3%. Median followup for relapse-free patients was 52 months. Disease recurred in 57 (42%) patients, including 31 liver metastases, 26 locoregional recurrences, 9 peritoneal carcinomatoses, 7 bone metastases, and 6 other sites. Pancreatic invasion (P = 0.04) and tumor size (P = 0.05) were the predictors for locoregional recurrence, while lymph node metastasis was the sole predictor for liver metastasis (P = 0.01). The 5-year disease-specific survival rate was 45.7%; 77.7% for stage I, 28.5% for stage II, and 16.5% for stage III; and 63.7% for node-negative versus 19.1% for node-positive patients. Pancreatic invasion and lymph node involvement were both predictors for survival of patients with ampullary cancer. CONCLUSION: Pancreaticoduodenectomy with regional lymphadenectomy is adequate for early-stage ampullary cancer but a dismal outcome can be predicted in patients with lymph node metastasis and pancreatic invasion. Lymph node metastasis and pancreatic invasion can be used to guide individualized, risk-oriented adjuvant therapy.

Aged↗

Short-term outcome of stent implantation in saphenous vein grafts: predictors of distal embolization and restenosis.

The present study, which aimed to determine the predictors of distal embolization and restenosis after stenting for vein graft disease, retrospectively analyzed 51 consecutive patients who underwent stent implantation for diseased saphenous vein grafts. Follow-up angiography was performed 6 months after the procedure and the clinical and angiographic variables were analyzed by multivariate logistic regression to determine the predictors of distal embolization and restenosis. Initial clinical success was achieved in 49 patients, 44 of whom underwent follow-up angiography and were enrolled in the retrospective analysis. Distal embolization occurred in 6 grafts (13.6%). Multivariate analysis showed that the lesion length and the total cholesterol level were independent predictors of distal embolization. Angiographic restenosis occurred in 13 (26.5%) of 49 lesions. The minimum luminal diameter and the percent diameter stenosis after stenting were associated with the occurrence of restenosis. Multivariate analysis of lesions located in the graft body identified graft age as an independent predictor of restenosis. Distal embolization can occur after vein graft stenting, especially in patients with hypercholesterolemia and diffuse stenosis. The post-stenting minimum luminal diameter and the percent diameter stenosis are predictors of restenosis. In particular, graft age is associated with the restenosis of graft body lesions.

Aged↗

Identifying potential predictors of traumatic reactions to psychotic episodes.

OBJECTIVES: The experience of a psychotic episode can sometimes lead to post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) symptoms. The objective of the research was to identify candidate predictors of such negative reactions for future prospective study. We examined six predictors identified from the PTSD and psychosis literatures in a retrospective study: a history of previous trauma, a history of previous episodes of psychosis, perceived helplessness and uncontrollability at the time of the index psychotic episode, the content of persecutory delusions at episode and the perceived presence of crisis support after the psychotic episode. DESIGN: The design was a cross-sectional self-report and interview study of people with recently remitted symptoms of psychosis. METHOD: 36 individuals with delusions and hallucinations that had remitted in the past year were assessed for the presence of PTSD symptoms in reaction to their most recent psychotic episode. Measures of the potential predictors were also taken at this point and associations with PTSD symptoms tested. RESULTS: 61% of the individuals with remitted positive symptoms had a reaction to their psychotic episode that was potentially severe enough to receive a PTSD diagnosis. Higher levels of PTSD symptoms were associated with all six predictors tested. CONCLUSIONS: The study provides further evidence that negative reactions to psychotic episodes are relatively common. Clinicians may wish to assess for such symptoms. The study extended these findings by identifying a number of candidate psychological predictors of PTSD reactions such as perceptions of uncontrollability and absence of support. Prospective longitudinal studies are required to test the causal significance of these factors. More broadly, the findings indicate that traumatic stress in response to intra-psychic events such as delusions can be understood in similar ways to traumatic stress arising from physical traumas such as disasters.

Adult↗

A comparison of predictors of the adolescent intention to smoke with adolescent current smoking using discriminant function analysis.

OBJECTIVES: This paper explores one possible operationalization of smoking intention to assist development of adolescent smoking intervention programmes. Such programmes usually focus on predictors of current smoking, ignoring predictors of intentions to smoke, or how intentions relate to actual future smoking. DESIGN AND METHODS: Respondents took part in two stages of a repeated measures national survey on Australian adolescent smoking behaviour (12-month interval between administrations). A total of N=1419 adolescents provided matched data, measuring personal smoking habits, intentions of smoking behaviour, stress (seven subscales), self-esteem and response to the General Health Questionnaire (GHQ-12). RESULTS: A comparison of discriminant function predictors showed similarity between the current smoking and intention to smoke, with only one predictor differing between the functions. Non-smokers were more behaviourally consistent with their stated non-smoking intention over 12 months (i.e. remain non-smokers) than smokers (i.e. intention seemed unrelated to actual behaviour). CONCLUSIONS: While the predictors give no general indication of whether the processes behind the intention to smoke differ from current smoking, the intention to smoke may be a better focus for intervention with smokers given the apparent inconsistency with stated intention. Intervention for non-smokers may be usefully focused on maintaining non-smoking rather than preventing smoking.

Journal Article↗

Predictors of mortality and resource utilization in cirrhotic patients admitted to the medical ICU.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Cirrhotic patients admitted to the medical ICU (MICU) are associated with high mortality rates and high resource utilization. This study identifies specific predictors of increased mortality and resource utilization and uses them to develop and validate prognostic models in cirrhotic patients admitted to the MICU. METHODS: Cirrhotic patients admitted to the MICU were identified from the Critical Care Section database (January 1993 to October 1998). Clinical data were extracted from chart review including hospital course variables, mortality, and length of stay (LOS). Total cost per case (TCPC) was obtained from the Transition System INC: Multivariate logistic and linear regression analyses identified the independent predictors of increased mortality and resource utilization used for model building (MB) and model validation (MV). RESULTS: A total of 582 cases were randomized to the MB and MV groups. Each group contained 240 cases after exclusion criteria were applied. The MICU mortality rate was 36.6%, and the in-hospital mortality rate was 49.0%. Acute physiology, age, and chronic health evaluation (APACHE) III score (odds ratio [OR], 4.7; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.70 to 8.16; p < 0.001), mechanical ventilation (OR, 4.57; 95% CI, 2.35 to 8.34); p < 0.001), and the use of pressors (OR, 7.57; 95% CI, 4.35 to 13.18; p < 0.001) were independent predictors of MICU mortality. APACHE III score (OR, 4.96; 95% CI, 2.97 to 8.29; p < 0.001), the use of pressors (OR, 6.55; 95% CI, 3.66 to 11.72; p < 0.001), and acute renal failure (ARF) (OR, 4.31; 95% CI, 2.41 to 7.71; p < 0.001) were independent predictors of in-hospital mortality. Increased LOS in the MICU was associated with mechanical ventilation, ARF, bronchoscopy, bacteremia, use of pressors, transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS), and never received cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) (p < 0.005). Source of admission, platelet transfusion, bacteremia, pneumonia, and never received CPR were independently associated with increased total LOS (p < 0.001). Mechanical ventilation, platelet transfusion, bronchoscopy, TIPS, sepsis, and never received CPR were independent predictors of increased TCPC (p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Simple prognostic models for mortality and resource utilization have been developed for cirrhotic patients admitted to the MICU.

APACHE↗

Predictors of change in the functional status of children with human immunodeficiency virus infection.

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to identify important clinical predictors of change in the functional status of children with perinatally acquired human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection. METHODS: Children who were perinatally exposed to HIV underwent evaluation of growth, nutritional, and functional status parameters as part of a prospective study of HIV and nutrition in children. The main outcome measures for HIV-infected children were change over time in: 1) Total Health, 2) General Health, and 3) Responsiveness as measured by the Functional Status II(R) (FSII[R]). Candidate predictors included anthropometric measurements, social factors, HIV disease stage, CD4 T lymphocyte count, medications, and other clinical markers of illness. RESULTS: The parents or legal guardians of 35 perinatally HIV-infected children completed 2 FSII(R) surveys over a mean of 16 months. Functional Status scores were significantly correlated with number of times and days hospitalized in the past 6 months and with illness at the time of baseline evaluation. Functional status declined overtime on all 3 scales; however, only the change in Total Health score was statistically significant. Total, General Health, and Responsiveness scores declined by >/=5 points in 20.0%, 17.1%, and 14.3% of children, respectively. Significant univariate predictors of change in at least 1 component of the functional status survey included race, guardianship, height z score, prescription of antiviral medications other than antiretrovirals, and illness at time of baseline evaluation. In multivariate models, adjusting for baseline score and biologic relationship of guardian completing survey, significant predictors of a decline in Total Health scores included non-white race and lower baseline height z score. The General Health score declined with lower baseline absolute CD4 count and lower baseline height z score. Finally, Responsiveness scores declined in children whose guardian was their biologic parent and in children with lower baseline height z scores. CONCLUSION: The FSII(R) questionnaire correlates with other markers of disease severity in children with HIV infection. Growth parameters, immune status, and social factors are important predictors of functional status in HIV-infected children.

Activities of Daily Living↗

Predictors of short-term functional outcome following ankle fracture surgery.

BACKGROUND: Ankle fractures are among the most common injuries treated by orthopaedic surgeons. However, very few investigators have examined the functional recovery following ankle fracture surgery and, to our knowledge, none have analyzed factors that may predict functional recovery. In this study, we evaluated predictors of short-term functional outcome following surgical stabilization of ankle fractures. METHODS: Over three years, 232 patients who sustained a fracture of the ankle and were treated surgically were followed prospectively, for a minimum of one year. Trained interviewers recorded baseline characteristics, including patient demographics, medical comorbidities, and functional status according to the Short Musculoskeletal Function Assessment (SMFA). Laboratory findings, the American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) class, and operative findings were recorded from the chart during hospitalization. Follow-up information included the occurrence of complications or additional surgery, weight-bearing status, functional status according to the SMFA, and the American Orthopaedic Foot and Ankle Society (AOFAS) ankle-hindfoot score. The data were analyzed to determine predictors of functional recovery at three months, six months, and one year postoperatively. RESULTS: Complete follow-up data were available for 198 patients (85%). At one year, 174 (88%) of the patients had either no or mild ankle pain and 178 (90%) had either no limitations or limitations only in recreational activities. According to the AOFAS ankle-hindfoot score, 178 (90%) of the patients had > or = 90% functional recovery. A patient age of less than forty years was a predictor of recovery, as measured with the SMFA subscores, at six months after the ankle fracture. At one year, however, age was no longer a predictor of recovery. Patients who were younger than forty were more likely to recover > or = 90% of function (p = 0.004), and men were more likely than women to recover function (p = 0.02). ASA Class 1 or 2 (p = 0.03) and an absence of diabetes (p = 0.02) were also predictors of better functional recovery at one year. SMFA subscores were below average at baseline, indicating a healthy population. At three and six months postoperatively, all SMFA subscores were significantly higher than the baseline subscores (p < 0.001); however, at one year, the SMFA subscores were almost back to the baseline, normal level. CONCLUSIONS: One year after ankle fracture surgery, patients are generally doing well, with most experiencing little or mild pain and few restrictions in functional activities. They have a significant improvement in function compared with six months after the surgery. Younger age, male sex, absence of diabetes, and a lower ASA class are predictive of functional recovery at one year following ankle fracture surgery. It is important to counsel patients and their families regarding the expected functional recovery after an ankle injury.

Adolescent↗

A test of magnitude: does the strength of predictors explain differences in drug use among adolescents?

Prior research has provided much needed information on the association between gender, race, predictive factors, and drug use. However, none have provided conclusive evidence regarding the extent to which gender and race differences, or their interaction, in adolescent drug use is accounted for by predictors. Using data on adolescents in four public schools, this study examined variations in the comparative strength of predictors of self-reported drug use. Data were collected as part of an ongoing longitudinal study of a federally funded multi-model program intervention for the prevention of alcohol and drug abuse among high risk youth. Analysis of variance was used to examine gender by race differences in predictors and drug use and logistic regression was used to assess the comparative strength of predictors of adolescent drug use and to explore the effect of gender by race on the decision to use drugs. Findings indicated, in general, whites, both male and female, had a significantly stronger positive association between predictors and drug use relative to blacks. Regarding the effect of gender by race on the decision to use drugs, these data indicate, with or without adjustments, white females were most likely to use gateway substances, followed by white males.

Adolescent↗

Self-efficacy beliefs as predictors of loneliness and psychological distress in older adults.

Sociodemographic variables, social support, and physical health have been used previously in a few predictor models of loneliness and psychological distress in late life. The present study, however, was designed to test the hypothesis that self-efficacy beliefs of elderly persons are significantly stronger predictors of loneliness and psychological distress than are demographics, social support, and physical health variables used in earlier predictor models. A sample of 141 women and 101 men, aged 65 to 86, reporting awide range of health status from "poor" to "excellent" was drawn from the region of Southern Alberta. Standard self-report measures were used to assess perceived self-efficacy in eight different domains. Findings from a series of hierarchical regression analyses that were conducted separately for men, women, and the combined sample supported the hypothesis concerning the superiority of the self-efficacy variables as predictors of loneliness and psychological distress. Gender-specific variations revealed that women's stronger self-efficacy domains in the interpersonal, social, and emotional realms, and men's stronger self-efficacy beliefs in the instrumental, financial, and physical realms predicted less loneliness and psychological distress. Spiritual self-efficacy emerged as being the most potent predictor, accounting for the largest percentage of explained variance in loneliness and psychological distress in the women's and combined sample. Implications of the findings are discussed for geriatric practitioners and clinicians.

Adaptation, Psychological↗