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Short-term mortality predictions for critically ill hospitalized adults: science and ethics.

Modern life-sustaining therapy often succeeds in postponing death but may be ineffective at restoring health. Decisions that influence the time and circumstances of an individual's death are now common and require an accurate and comprehensive characterization of likely outcome. Evaluation of alternative outcomes requires acknowledgement that most patients find some outcomes to be worse than death. Improved understanding of major predictors of patient outcome, combined with rapidly expanding technical abilities to collect and manipulate large amounts of detailed clinical data, have created a new intellectual and technical basis for estimating outcomes from intensive medical care. Such objective probability estimates, such as the system described here, can reduce uncertainty about difficult clinical decisions and can be used by physicians, patients, and society to reorient health care toward more scientifically and ethically defensible approaches.

Adult↗

[Choice of the optimal scale for evaluation of the severity of sepsis in children].

Quantitative assessment of the severity of clinical status was carried out and prognostic values of PRISM III, PRISM, SOFA, APACHE II scores and scores proposed by A. Castellanos et al. and K. L. Goitein was evaluated in 105 children (2 months-14 years) with sepsis. Clinical status evaluated in score during the first day of intensive care was correlated to the disease outcome. Sensitivity, specificity, expected values of positive and negative results were evaluated for each score and their discrimination capacity was assessed by ROC analysis. Use of quantitative scores (PRISM, PRISM III, SOFA, APACHE II, and A. Castellanos') is permissible for prospective evaluation of the efficiency of intensive care in children with sepsis, PRISM being the most informative.

APACHE↗

[Factors associated with hospital mortality in patients admitted to the intensive care unit in Colombia].

OBJECTIVES: To describe the demographic features, reasons for hospital admission and factors associated with hospital mortality in patients admitted to intensive care in Colombia. METHOD: A cohort study of patients admitted to intensive care units (ICUs). Of 89 ICUs identified in Colombia, 20 in ten cities were invited to gather information on 200 consecutive patients admitted to each ICU. RESULTS: Three thousand sixty-six patient cases were available for analysis. The mean age was 53 years and 43% were women (men vs. women, p < 0.001). The most frequent cause of admission was medical (63.9%), acute myocardial infarction patients (7.1%) comprising the largest group. Severity of disease measured as APACHE II and III was a mean 14.0 (SD 6.9) and 48.3 (SD 23.5), respectively. Multivariate analysis, independent of adjustment for severity (APACHE II or III), showed that the factors associated with hospital death were the need for mechanical ventilation, pupillary response, transfer from a medical ward, and management by the ICU team prior to admission (p < 0.01). CONCLUSION: The most common reason for admission to an ICU in Colombia was myocardial infarction. Besides severity of disease, other variables related to medical care in Colombia are associated with hospital mortality, such as invasive ventilation. Although these variables may be artifacts related to disease severity, they are more likely to be related to quality of care.

APACHE↗

Sequential physiology scoring facilitates objective assessment of resuscitation in patients with an intra-abdominal emergency.

BACKGROUND: Patients who present with an intra-abdominal emergency often require urgent surgery. Before surgery a period of resuscitation is undertaken pre-emptively, or to correct any overt physiological derangement. The assessment of response to resuscitation and the decision when to operate is subjective. This study examined the role of sequential physiology scores in assessing the response to resuscitation objectively. METHODS: Sequential physiology scores were recorded in 92 patients with abdominal pathology that subsequently required urgent or emergency surgery. The physiology component of the Physiological and Operative Severity Score for enUmeration of Mortality and morbidity (POSSUM), Acute Physiology And Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II and III, and Simplified Acute Physiology Score (SAPS) II were determined at presentation, during resuscitation and immediately before surgery. RESULTS: There were 76 survivors;16 patients died. All scoring systems showed an improvement during resuscitation but subsequent deterioration before surgery. The POSSUM, and APACHE II and III physiology scores differentiated more effectively between survivors and patients who died than SAPS II. CONCLUSION: Sequential physiology scores may facilitate the assessment of patients' response to resuscitation. Patients who fail to respond to resuscitation when identified may benefit from more expedient surgery.

Adolescent↗

Review article: scoring systems for assessing prognosis in critically ill adult cirrhotics.

BACKGROUND: Cirrhotic patients admitted to intensive care units (ICU) still have poor outcomes. Some current ICU prognostic models [Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE), Organ System Failure (OSF) and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA)] were used to stratify cirrhotics into risk categories, but few cirrhotics were included in the original model development. Liver-specific scores [Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) and model for end-stage liver disease (MELD)] could be useful in this setting. AIM: To evaluate whether ICU prognostic models perform better compared with liver-disease specific ones in cirrhotics admitted to ICU. METHODS: We performed a structured literature review identifying clinical studies focusing on prognosis and risk factors for mortality in adult cirrhotics admitted to ICU. RESULTS: We found 21 studies (five solely dealing with gastrointestinal bleeding) published during the last 20 years (54-420 patients in each). APACHE II and III, SOFA and OSF had better discrimination for correctly predicting death compared with the CTP score. The MELD score was evaluated only in one study and had good predictive accuracy [receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve: 0.81). Organ dysfunction models (OSF, SOFA) were superior compared with APACHE II and III (ROC curve: range 0.83-0.94 vs. 0.66-0.88 respectively). Cardiovascular, liver and renal system dysfunction were more frequently independently associated with mortality. CONCLUSIONS: General-ICU models had better performance in cirrhotic populations compared with CTP score; OSF and SOFA had the best predictive ability. Further prospective and validation studies are needed.

Critical Care↗

Tiss 76 and Tiss 28: correlation of two therapeutic activity indices on a Spanish multicenter ICU database.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the performance of the Simplified Therapeutic Intervention Scoring System (TISS 28) on an independent database and to determine its relation to the original Therapeutic Intervention Scoring System (TISS 76). DESIGN: Analysis of the database of the Spanish prospective multicenter study PAEEC (Project for the Epidemiological Analysis of Critical Care Patients). SETTING: 86 intensive care units (ICUs) in Spain. PATIENTS: Data on 8838 patients admitted to the ICUs. MEASUREMENTS AND RESULTS: Administrative data, main diagnostic category, severity score [Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II and III] and data for the calculation of the TISS 76 and TISS 28 were collected during the first 24 h after the patient's ICU admission. TISS 76 and TISS 28 scores were calculated and analyzed on how they varied according to other variables (diagnostic group, severity level, hospital size and age). The association between TISS 76 and TISS 28 was studied. The TISS 76 score was 21 +/- 10.5 points and the TISS 28 score 23.3 +/- 8.8 points. There was a good correlation between TISS 76 and TISS 28 (r = 0.85). The regression equation was: TISS 28 = 8.35 + (0.712 x TISS 76). The TISS 28 score behaved similarly to the TISS 76 score in relation to the other variables, with a positive correlation between the therapeutic and the severity level (APACHE II and III) and a negative correlation between therapeutic activity and age, with very similar correlation coefficients. Both TISS 28 and TISS 76 scores were higher in larger hospitals. CONCLUSIONS: There is a strong correlation between TISS 28 and TISS 76 scores in the PAEEC database and TISS 28 works correctly in our setting.

APACHE↗

A study of consecutive autopsies in a medical ICU : a comparison of clinical cause of death and autopsy diagnosis.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the degree of concordance between clinical cause of death and autopsy diagnosis in a medical ICU (MICU) setting. DESIGN: Retrospective medical chart and autopsy report review. SETTING: MICU in a tertiary referral hospital. PATIENTS: Consecutive admissions to an MICU over a 2-year period from January 1, 1994, to December 31, 1995. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: One thousand eight hundred patients were admitted to the MICU during the study period. There were 401 in-ICU deaths (22.3%). The autopsy rate was 22.7% (91 of 401). The mean +/- SD age of the autopsied patients (55.1 +/- 13.5 years) was lower than those without autopsy (62.4 +/- 15.2 years; p < 0.001). The two groups were otherwise similar with regard to sex, race, APACHE (acute physiology and chronic health evaluation) III scores, and lengths of stay in the MICU and hospital. The discordance between clinical and postmortem diagnoses was 19.8% (95% confidence interval, 12 to 29%). There were no differences in age, sex, APACHE III scores, predicted mortality, and lengths of stay in MICU hospital between patients with concordant and discordant diagnoses. In 44.4% (8 of 18) of the discordant cases, management would have been modified had the autopsied diagnosis been made premortem. Seven of the autopsied patients had organ transplantation. Three of the patients who had organ transplantation had discordant diagnoses, including two patients with disseminated fungal infection that was not diagnosed clinically. Although the observed discordance in transplant patients (43%) was higher than in those without transplant (19%), the difference was not statistically significant (p = 0.15). CONCLUSION: Younger patients tended to have a higher autopsy rate than older patients. The discordance between the clinical cause of death and postmortem diagnosis was 19.8%. In 44.4% of the discordant cases, knowledge of the correct diagnosis would have altered therapy.

APACHE↗

Hospital volume-outcome relationships among medical admissions to ICUs.

BACKGROUND: Positive relationships between hospital volume and outcomes have been demonstrated for several surgeries and medical conditions. However, little is known about the volume-outcome relationship in patients admitted to medical ICUs. OBJECTIVE: To determine the relationship between hospital volume and risk-adjusted in-hospital mortality for patients admitted to ICUs with respiratory, neurologic, and GI disorders. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Twenty-nine hospitals in a single metropolitan area. PATIENTS: Adult ICU admissions from 1991 through 1997. METHODS: Using Cox proportional hazards models, we compared in-hospital mortality between tertiles of hospital volume (high, medium, and low) for respiratory (n = 16,949), neurologic (n = 13,805), and GI (n = 12,881) diseases after adjusting for age, gender, admission severity of illness, admitting diagnosis, and source. Severity of illness was measured using the APACHE (acute physiology and chronic health evaluation) III methodology. RESULTS: Among respiratory and neurologic ICU admissions, hazard ratios were similar (p > or = 0.05) in patients in low-, medium-, and high-volume hospitals. However, among GI diagnoses, risk of mortality was lower in high-volume hospitals, relative to low-volume hospitals (hazard ratio, 0.68; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.54 to 0.85; p < 0.001), and was somewhat lower in medium-volume hospitals (hazard ratio, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.68 to 1.01; p = 0.06). Among subgroups based on severity of illness, high-volume hospitals had lower mortality, relative to low-volume hospitals, among sicker patients (APACHE III score > 57) in the respiratory cohort (hazard ratio, 0.77; 95% CI, 0.59 to 0.99) and the GI cohort (hazard ratio, 0.67; 95% CI, 0.53 to 0.85). CONCLUSIONS: Associations between ICU volume and risk-adjusted mortality were significant for patients with GI diagnoses and for sicker patients with respiratory diagnoses. However, associations were not significant for patients with neurologic diagnoses. The lack of a consistent volume-outcome relationship may reflect unmeasured patient complexity in higher-volume hospitals, relative standardization of care across ICUs, or lack of efficacy of some accepted ICU processes of care.

APACHE↗

Comparison of inflammatory cytokine concentration and physiologic parameters in septic shock.

Cytokine-related systemic intravascular inflammation may represent a common pathogenic link between initial insult and multiple organ failure in septic shock patients. We conducted a prospective study with controls in the National Taiwan University Hospital intensive care unit to compare plasma levels of tumor necrosis factor alpha (TNF-alpha), interleukin 6 (IL-6), and circulating intercellular adhesion molecule 1 (cICAM-1) with clinical physiologic parameters in the outcome of patients with septic shock. Healthy volunteers (n = 37) and patients with septic shock admitted to the unit from January to December 1994 (n = 31) were enrolled. Clinical data, APACHE (Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation) III scores, multiple organ failure scores, the presence of acute respiratory distress syndrome, and outcome were evaluated. The plasma levels of TNF-alpha, IL-6, and cICAM-1 were measured using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. Subgroups of survivors and nonsurvivors were compared for plasma levels of these factors or days 1, 2, 3, 7, and 14 after diagnosis of septic shock. Of the patients with septic shock, 20 survived and 11 died. The initial plasma levels of IL-6 were significantly higher in nonsurvivors (p < 0.05). There was a significant inverse correlation between plasma IL-6 level and survival in the first week (r = 0.4297-0.7242, p < 0.05). APACHE III score (r = 0.4335, p = 0.015), acute respiratory distress syndrome (r = 0.5913, p < 0.001), and multiple organ failure score (r = 0.736, p < 0.001) were more strongly (negatively) correlated with survival than the concentrations of TNF-alpha and cICAM-1 by Spearman's rank sum test. Our results showed that in patients with septic shock, of the inflammatory cytokines, only IL-6 showed significantly higher plasma levels in the nonsurvivor group. Inflammatory cytokine levels were not more strongly correlated with the outcome of patients with septic shock than physiologic parameters.

Adult↗

Gender-based differences in outcome in patients with sepsis.

HYPOTHESIS: Among factors postulated to affect outcome in sepsis is the gender of the patient, with a suggestion that females may have lower mortality. This study tested the hypothesis that female patients admitted to the surgical intensive care unit with a documented infection have a lower mortality rate. DESIGN: Retrospective analysis of a prospectively collected data set. SETTING: Surgical intensive care unit of a university hospital medical center. METHODS: Analysis of a consecutive series of 1348 patients who had signs of systemic inflammatory response syndrome on admission to a surgical intensive care unit. A cohort of 443 patients (32.9%) admitted with documented infection--and who therefore had sepsis, severe sepsis, or septic shock--constituted the study population. For each patient, APACHE (Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation) II and III scores, systemic inflammatory response syndrome score, gender, age, and hospital mortality were recorded. Chi2 With Fisher exact test was performed to compare mortality rates between males and females. Univariate analysis of variance was used to compare continuous variables in discrete populations. Multivariate analysis of variance was used to determine which factors independently predicted mortality. PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURES: Mortality, intensive care unit length of stay, hospital length of stay, and maximal multiple organ dysfunction score. Outcomes stratified by gender. RESULTS: Patients had mean +/- SEM age of 67+/-1 years; mean +/- SEM APACHE II and III scores of 20.1+/-0.4 and 67.7+/-1.0 points, respectively. There were no demographic differences between genders. Overall, 104 (23.5%) of 443 patients with sepsis died. The difference in mortality rates between female and male patients was not significant, except in octogenarians (P = .05). Multivariate analysis of variance, APACHE III (P<.001), maximal multiple organ dysfunction score (P<.001), and female gender (P =.02) predicted mortality. In females, APACHE III (P = .03) and maximal multiple organ dysfunction score (P<.001) predicted mortality, but age did not. CONCLUSION: Female gender is an independent predictor of increased mortality in critically ill surgical patients with documented infection.

APACHE↗

The effect of an intermediate care unit on the demographics and outcomes of a surgical intensive care unit population.

HYPOTHESIS: Many surgical intensive care units (SICUs) face bed shortages for acutely ill patients that may result from a large proportion of bed occupation by chronically ill patients. We hypothesized that the introduction of a new intermediate care or step-down unit (SDU) managed by surgically trained intensivists would allow the admission of more acutely ill patients while maintaining satisfactory outcomes. DESIGN: Prospective retrospective comparison of SICU patient populations before and after the introduction of an SDU. SETTING: The SICU of New York-Presbyterian Hospital, New York Weill Cornell Center, a university hospital containing a level I trauma center. PATIENTS AND INTERVENTIONS: All patients in the SICU admitted from August 1, 1996, through June 30, 1997, were SICU patients prior to the introduction of the SDU. Patients admitted from August 1, 1997, through June 30, 1998, were SICU post-SDU patients, and SDU patients included those admitted to the SDU from August 1, 1997, through July 1, 1998. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: For each of the 2 eras, patients were compared for age, sources of admission, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II and III scores, unit length of stay, and mortality. Other data collected included origin of admission, nature of admission, and diagnosis. RESULTS: Six hundred sixty-six patients were admitted during the pre-SDU era, while a total of 1117 patients (619 SICU and 498 SDU patients) were admitted in the post-SDU era. After the introduction of the SDU, the mean (standard deviation) APACHE II scores of the SICU and SDU patients increased (14.2 vs 13.4, P =.04) without affecting mortality (6.0% in the post-SDU era vs 8.2% in the pre-SDU era, P =.07). The post-SDU era had a higher proportion of emergency admissions (42.3% vs 48.6%, P<.05) and interhospital transfers (7% vs 1%). CONCLUSIONS: Opening an SDU resulted in a significant increase in the overall severity of the SICU population. Creation of an SDU managed by surgically trained intensivists may optimize the use of a hospital's resources, permit the expansion of emergency or tertiary care services, and improve outcomes for critically ill surgical patients.

Chi-Square Distribution↗

Correlation between plasma endotoxin, plasma cytokines, and plasminogen activator inhibitor-1 activities in septic patients.

The objective of this study was to evaluate the relation between the clinical and plasma parameters and the changes in plasma endotoxin activity with 2 hours of endotoxin-adsorbing therapy using polymyxin B (PMX). A total of 88 consecutive patients were admitted for PMX treatment of severe sepsis or septic organ failure. Standard supportive care was continued without alteration during PMX treatment. Endotoxin, tumor necrosis factor-alpha (TNFalpha), interleukin-6 (IL-6), IL-10, and plasminogen activator inhibitor-1 (PAI-1) activities and clinical parameters were measured before, immediately after, and the day after PMX treatment. The mean APACHE II and III scores were 24.2 +/- 1.0 and 85.8 +/- 3.0, respectively. The 2-week survival rate was 51.1%. In survivors, TNFalpha, IL-6, IL-10, and PAI-1 activities were significantly decreased during the 2-hour PMX treatment, the following day, or both times. There was no significant change in the parameters, except for TNFalpha, after PMX in nonsurvivors. In the subgroup whose plasma endotoxin decreased more than 30%, IL-6, TNFalpha, and PAI-1 significantly decreased after 2 hours of PMX or the following day (or both), but all four parameters in nonsurvivors showed no significant change. Hence PMX adsorbed plasma endotoxins and contributed to reductions in plasma proinflammatory cytokine levels and to improved clinical parameters during the 2-hour treatment. Changes in these parameters correlated with changes in plasma endotoxin activity in survivors whose plasma endotoxin levels were adequately reduced.

APACHE↗

Pitfalls in gastrointestinal permeability measurement in ICU patients with multiple organ failure using differential sugar absorption.

OBJECTIVE: To assess whether gastrointestinal permeability (GIP) at intensive care unit (ICU) admission, measured by differential sugar absorption, is related to severity of disease and multiple organ failure (MOF). Post hoc, to analyse the relation between the urinary sugar recovery and renal function. DESIGN: Prospective observational cohort study. SETTING: Eighteen-bed general ICU of a teaching hospital. PATIENTS: Sixty-four ventilated patients admitted with MOF. INTERVENTIONS: GIP was assessed within 24 h using cellobiose (C), sucrose (S) and mannitol (M) absorption. MEASUREMENTS AND RESULTS: Severity of disease: APACHE II and III, SAPS II and MPM II systems. Organ failure: SOFA, MODS and Goris score. The median urinary recovery of C was 0.147% (range 0.004-2.145%), of S 0.249% (0.001-3.656%) and of M 10.7% (0.6-270%). In 16 patients, M recovery was over 100% of the oral dose. They received red blood cell transfusion (RBC). In the non-transfused, the median cellobiose/mannitol (CM) ratio was 0.015 (0.0004-0.550). CM ratio was not related to severity of disease and inversely related to the SOFA score ( r=-0.30, p=0.04). Post hoc regression analysis showed that recoveries of C, S and M were positively related to urinary volume. Recoveries of C and S, but not of M, were positively related to creatinine clearance. The CM ratio corrected for diuresis, but was inversely related to creatinine clearance. CONCLUSIONS: Differential C, S and M absorption testing is unreliable after RBC transfusion, since bank blood contains mannitol. The excretion of C and S, but not of M, is limited by renal dysfunction. Differential sugar absorption is not reliable to test GIP in MOF patients, since non-permeability related factors act as confounders.

APACHE↗

Performance of prognostic models in critically ill cancer patients - a review.

INTRODUCTION: Prognostic models, such as the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II or III, the Simplified Acute Physiology Score (SAPS) II, and the Mortality Probability Models (MPM) II were developed to quantify the severity of illness and the likelihood of hospital survival for a general intensive care unit (ICU) population. Little is known about the performance of these models in specific populations, such as patients with cancer. Recently, specific prognostic models have been developed to predict mortality for cancer patients who are admitted to the ICU. The present analysis reviews the performance of general prognostic models and specific models for cancer patients to predict in-hospital mortality after ICU admission. METHODS: Studies were identified by searching the Medline databases from 1994 to 2004. We included studies evaluating the performance of mortality prediction models in critically ill cancer patients. RESULTS: Ten studies were identified that evaluated prognostic models in cancer patients. Discrimination between survivors and non-survivors was fair to good, but calibration was insufficient in most studies. General prognostic models uniformly underestimate the likelihood of hospital mortality in oncological patients. Two versions of a specific oncological scoring systems (Intensive Care Mortality Model (ICMM)) were evaluated in five studies and showed better discrimination and calibration than the general prognostic models. CONCLUSION: General prognostic models generally underestimate the risk of mortality in critically ill cancer patients. Both general prognostic models and specific oncology models may reliably identify subgroups of patients with a very high risk of mortality.

APACHE↗

A randomized clinical trial of continuous versus intermittent dialysis for acute renal failure.

BACKGROUND: Acute renal failure (ARF) requiring dialysis in critically ill patients is associated with an in-hospital mortality rate of 50 to 80%. The worldwide standard for renal replacement therapy is intermittent hemodialysis (IHD). Continuous hemodialysis and hemofiltration techniques have recently emerged as alternative modalities. These two therapies have not been directly compared. METHODS: A multicenter, randomized, controlled trial was conducted comparing two dialysis modalities (IHD vs. continuous hemodiafiltration) for the treatment of ARF in the intensive care unit (ICU). One hundred sixty-six patients were randomized. Principal outcome measures were ICU and hospital mortality, length of stay, and recovery of renal function. RESULTS: Using intention-to-treat analysis, the overall ICU and in-hospital mortalities were 50.6 and 56.6%, respectively. Continuous therapy was associated with an increase in ICU (59.5 vs. 41.5%, P < 0.02) and in-hospital (65.5 vs. 47.6%, P < 0.02) mortality relative to intermittent dialysis. Median ICU length of stay from the time of nephrology consultation was 16.5 days, and complete recovery of renal function was observed in 34.9% of patients, with no significant group differences. Despite randomization, there were significant differences between the groups in several covariates independently associated with mortality, including gender, hepatic failure, APACHE II and III scores, and the number of failed organ systems, in each instance biased in favor of the intermittent dialysis group. Using logistic regression to adjust for the imbalances in group assignment, the odds of death associated with continuous therapy was 1.3 (95% CI, 0.6 to 2.7, P = NS). A detailed investigation of the randomization process failed to explain the marked differences in patient assignment. CONCLUSIONS: A randomized controlled trial of alternative dialysis modalities in ARF is feasible. Despite the potential advantages of continuous techniques, this study provides no evidence of a survival benefit of continuous hemodiafiltration compared with IHD. This study did not control for other major clinical decisions or other supportive management strategies that are widely variable (for example, nutrition support, hemodynamic support, timing of initiation, and dose of dialysis) and might materially influence outcomes in ARF. Standardization of several aspects of care or extremely large sample sizes will be required to answer optimally the questions originally posed by this investigation.

Acute Kidney Injury↗

Learning to not know: results of a program for ancillary cost reduction in surgical critical care.

OBJECTIVE: Compelling internal and external influences are stimulating global re-evaluations of care standards for efficacy and cost. Critical care uses huge amounts of resources despite widespread shortages of beds and nurses. This study tested the hypothesis that ancillary expenditures can be decreased without compromising care. METHODS: Costs for laboratory tests, radiographs, blood products, nutritional supplements, and drugs were compared prospectively for all surgical intensive care unit care for two 4-month periods (January 1 to April 30, 1994 and January 1 to April 30, 1995) at a urban university center. A systematic, multidisciplinary cost-reduction program began May 1, 1994, with emphasis on laboratory and radiographic testing and procedures, and blood product, nutritional, and drug therapies. Cohorts were compared by age, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II and III admission scores, and case mix. Outcome variables were hospital mortality, days in the intensive care unit and hospital, the development of multiple organ dysfunction syndrome, and expenditures. Cost data were taken weekly from the hospital's clinical information system. No new equipment was introduced during the study period except for pumps for patient-controlled analgesia, and there were no new critical pathways or other patient care guidelines. RESULTS: Case mix and all noncost variables were identical. Overall costs were reduced by 29% when normalized by the number of patient-days in each period. Laboratory testing was reduced in frequency by 24 to 32%, and cost by 26 to 28%. Comparable reductions in the cost of blood products (32%) were exceeded by the reductions in expenditures for nutritional supplements (49%) and pharmaceuticals (45%) (all, p < 0.01 or less). Modestly increased (2%) x-ray charges in 1995 were owing entirely to insertion of prophylactic inferior vena cava filters (each, $2,800, n = 5) and computed tomography scans for sinusitis (each, $350, n = 5), although the 7% reduction in portable chest radiographs that was achieved did not meet expectations. CONCLUSIONS: Substantial reductions in physician-ordered ancillary expenditures are possible without compromising the standard of care of critically ill patients, or the support of an elaborate framework of defined care plans. With additional experience, incremental savings may accrue from refinement of successful strategies and new approaches to intractable problems.

Aged↗

Benefit of continuous regional arterial infusion of protease inhibitor and antibiotic in the management of acute necrotizing pancreatitis.

Although we have reported the beneficial effect of continuous regional arterial infusion (CRAI) of protease inhibitor and antibiotic on acute necrotizing pancreatitis (ANP), the optimal timing of the initiation of CRAI therapy has not been clarified. The present study was conducted to evaluate whether the difference of the timing of CRAI therapy may affect the clinical course and outcome in ANP. 73 patients with ANP were stratified into three groups according to the interval between the onset and initiation of CRAI therapy as follows: group I (32 patients in whom CRAI therapy was initiated within 48 h after the onset); group II (22 patients in whom CRAI therapy was initiated between 48 and 72 h after the onset), and group III (19 patients in whom CRAI was initiated more than 72 h after the onset). The mortality rate was 3.2% in group I, 9.1% in group II, and 26.3% in group III. The mortality rate was significantly low in group I compared with that in group III. The frequency of respiratory failure in group I was also significantly low compared with that in group III. CRP and APACHE II score were reduced rapidly in both groups I and II after the initiation of CRAI therapy. These results suggested that the optimal timing of CRAI therapy in ANP should be considered to be within 72 h after the onset.

APACHE↗