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Analysis of prognostic factors of chemoradiation therapy for advanced hypopharyngeal cancer--does tumor volume correlate with central necrosis and tumor pathology?

OBJECTIVES: Not all patients with hypopharyngeal cancer who undergo concurrent chemoradiation therapy have a good prognosis. We hope to find the significant prognostic factors that could help us in patient selection for concurrent chemoradiation therapy. STUDY DESIGN: We used a retrospective analysis on several prognostic factors which may affect the treatment outcome and prognosis. METHODS: We studied 51 patients with stage III-IV hypopharyngeal cancer who underwent chemoradiation therapy as the first treatment method. Possible significant prognostic factors (i.e. tumor volume, central necrosis, pathology, age) were collected to determine whether they correlate with local disease control and survival. RESULTS: Primary tumor volume correlated with local disease control and survival. The greatest risk for local failure was found among patients with primary tumor volumes >19.0 ml (p = 0.001). Other relatively significant prognostic factors were pathology and central necrosis. The survival rate among patients with primary tumor volumes >19.0 ml was only 39.3% compared with 78.3% for patients with volumes <19.0 ml (p = 0.036). A proportional hazard model indicated that significant parameters associated with overall survival were primary tumor volume (p = 0.036) and central necrosis (p = 0.008). According to the cancer cell differentiation, the hazard risk in the well-differentiated group was 5.62 folds higher than in the poorly differentiated group (p = 0.05). Patients with an initial complete response had a primary tumor volume <19 ml (p = 0.001, 0.016), poorly differentiated pathology (p = 0.001, 0.016), and no central necrosis (p = 0.001, 0.016). Other relatively poor significant factors were T stage above III (p = 0.047), cervical lymphadenopathy beyond level II (p = 0.046), and a nodal volume >10.0 ml (p = 0.029). N stage, age and gender were not significant prognostic factors. CONCLUSION: Tumor volume is the most important prognostic factor of treatment outcome for patients with hypopharyngeal cancer and should always be taken into consideration in treatment planning. Other possible prognostic factors which affect the initial complete response rate and survival rate including central necrosis, pathology, nodal number and nodal volume, T stage above III, and cervical lymphadenopathy beyond level II have a relatively low correlation with treatment outcome. In our study, there was a correlation between tumor volume and central necrosis, but no significant correlation between pathological differentiation and tumor volume, although both affect treatment outcome.

Adult↗

[Immunohistologic tumor cell detection in lymph nodes in node negative breast cancer: correlation with "established" and "recent" prognostic factors].

OBJECTIVES: The prognostic value of immunohistochemically detected micrometastases in lymph nodes as well as its association with newer prognostic factors is discussed controversially. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Using a monoclonal pancytoceratine antibody 1807 axillary lymph nodes of 122 pT1-2N0M0-patients were examined. Histological findings, established and newer prognostic factors were investigated additionally. The mean follow up time was 50 months. RESULTS: The detection of micrometastases in 16 of 122 (13.1%) patients were related with a prognostic disadvantage for recurrence free survival (p = .03). Tumour size, grading, vessel invasion and S-phase, but not the detection of micrometastases, were confirmed as independent prognostic factors in nodal negative patients by Cox-regression. CONCLUSION: Immunohistochemically detected micrometastases in axillary lymph nodes are of prognostic and therapeutic value but they are not independent prognostic factors.

Biomarkers, Tumor↗

Prognostic value of Ki-67 expression in renal cell carcinomas.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of the study was to determine the prognostic power of Ki-67 immunostaining in renal cell carcinomas (RCC). METHODS: Clinical follow-up data were reviewed in 111 RCC and the results of Ki-67 immunolabelling were correlated to standard prognostic factors and survival data of the patients. RESULTS: Ki-67 expression correlated with tumor grade (p < 0.0001) and mitotic activity (p < 0.0001). In survival analysis Ki-67 expression could be used to divide patients into different prognostic groups (p = 0.0003). In separate analysis with M0 tumors Ki-67 immunolabelling was a powerful predictor of survival (p = 0.0016) as well as disease-free survival (DFS; p = 0.0067). In T1-2N0M0 tumors Ki-67 immunolabelling was superior (p = 0.0005) to other prognostic factors in survival analysis as well as in predicting DFS (p = 0.0006). Grade-2 tumors could be separated into distinct prognostic groups according to Ki-67 labelling (p = 0.0098). In Cox's multivariate analysis Ki-67 was an independent prognostic factor in all three subgroups of RCC. CONCLUSIONS: The results show that Ki-67 expression is an independent prognostic factor in renal adenocarcinoma and could be applied in defining proper therapy for patients suffering from this malignancy.

Adult↗

Prediction of functional outcome after stroke: comparison of the Orpington Prognostic Scale and the NIH Stroke Scale.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: This study compared the ability of 2 stroke impairment scales, Orpington Prognostic Scale and National Institutes of Health (NIH) Stroke Scale, to predict disability as measured by the Barthel activities of daily living (ADL) Index and higher level of self-reported physical functioning as measured by the SF-36 physical functioning index (PFI) at 1, 3, and 6 months after stroke. METHODS: The participants in this ongoing study are 184 individuals who sustained an eligible stroke and were recruited for the Kansas City Stroke Study. All patients were prospectively evaluated using standardized assessments at enrollment (within 14 days of stroke onset) and followed at 1, 3, and 6 months after stroke. Coefficient of determination (R2) was used to assess the ability of the 2 stroke scales to prognosticate outcomes. RESULTS: Means and SDs of the Orpington Prognostic Scale and NIH Stroke Scale measured at baseline were 3.6+/-1.31 and 5.5+/-4.58, respectively. The Spearman's rank correlation between the 2 baseline measures was 0.83 (P=0.0001). The Orpington Prognostic Scale and the NIH Stroke Scale explained well the variance in Barthel ADL Index (P<0.001). However, the Orpington Prognostic Scale explained more variance than did the NIH Stroke Scale. Similarly, the Orpington Prognostic Score explained more variance in higher level of physical function than did the NIH Stroke Scale. The amount of variance in Barthel ADL Index and SF-36 PFI, which were explained by both stroke severity measures, decreased over time. CONCLUSIONS: Our results demonstrate that in a sample of mostly mild and moderate strokes, the Orpington Prognostic Scale compared with the NIH Stroke Scale is simpler to use and is a slightly better predictor of ADL and higher levels of physical function.

Activities of Daily Living↗

Prognostic models: evidence-based approach to predicting disease outcome.

BACKGROUND: A thorough understanding of the techniques underlying prognostic modelling, the potential shortcomings of prognostic models, and their applicability to dermatology are important for both clinicians and researchers. OBJECTIVE: This article distinguishes between prognostic and explanatory (causal) models, discusses some of the techniques used in developing a prognostic model, and addresses the importance of model generalizability. CONCLUSION: Prognostic models may be useful to the clinician, but must be used with care. It is important to critically appraise prognostic models and to assure that they are relevant to the population of interest. The ability to critically appraise prognostic models is predicated on a thorough understanding of the techniques used in their development and evaluation.

Decision Support Techniques↗

Prognostic significance of cytogenetic clonal evolution in patients with chronic myelogenous leukemia on imatinib mesylate therapy.

Cytogenetic clonal evolution (CE) is a known poor prognostic factor in Philadelphia chromosome-positive chronic myelogenous leukemia (Ph-positive CML). However, its prognostic relevance in the era of imatinib therapy is unknown. We investigated the independent prognostic relevance of CE in 498 patients with Ph-positive CML treated with imatinib for chronic or accelerated phases. One hundred twenty-one patients had CE alone (n = 70) or with other accelerated phase criteria (n = 51). Patients were compared in 4 categories: chronic phase (n = 295), CE only (n = 70), accelerated phase without CE (n = 82), and accelerated phase with CE (n = 51). Statistical methods used established methodologies for univariate and multivariate analyses. In chronic and accelerated phases of CML, CE was not associated with significant differences in major or complete cytogenetic response rates, but it was an independent poor prognostic factor for survival by multivariate analyses in both chronic (P =.005) and accelerated phase (P =.03). Multivariate analyses conducted at the 3-month landmark (including the 3-month cytogenetic response) identified the lack of cytogenetic response at 3 months to be a stronger independent poor prognostic factor for survival than CE for both chronic (major cytogenetic response versus other) and accelerated phase (any cytogenetic response versus other). We conclude that cytogenetic CE is not an important factor for achieving major or complete cytogenetic response with imatinib mesylate therapy, but it is an independent poor prognostic factor for survival in both chronic and accelerated phases of CML. The 3-month cytogenetic response to imatinib mesylate refined the prognostic relevance of such studies in patients on imatinib mesylate therapy.

Age Factors↗

Predicting survival outcomes using subsets of significant genes in prognostic marker studies with microarrays.

BACKGROUND: Genetic markers hold great promise for refining our ability to establish precise prognostic prediction for diseases. The development of comprehensive gene expression microarray technology has allowed the selection of relevant marker genes from a large pool of candidate genes in early-phased, developmental prognostic marker studies. The primary analytical task in such studies is to select a small fraction of relevant genes, typically from a list of significant genes, for further investigation in subsequent studies. RESULTS: We develop a methodology for predicting survival outcomes using subsets of significant genes in prognostic marker studies with microarrays. Key components in this methodology include building prediction models, assessing predictive performance of prediction models, and assessing significance of prediction results. As particular specifications, we assume Cox proportional hazard models with a compound covariate. For assessing predictive accuracy, we propose to use the cross-validated log partial likelihood. To assess significance of prediction results, we apply permutation procedures in cross-validated prediction. As an additional key component peculiar to prognostic prediction, we also consider incorporation of standard prognostic factors. The methodology is evaluated using both simulated and real data. CONCLUSION: The developed methodology for prognostic prediction using a subset of significant genes can provide new insights based on predictive capability, possibly incorporating standard prognostic factors, in selecting a fraction of relevant genes for subsequent studies.

Biomarkers↗

c-erbB-2 is of independent prognostic relevance in gastric cancer and is associated with the expression of tumor-associated protease systems.

PURPOSE: The c-erbB-2 gene (encoding the protein p185) is overexpressed in diverse human cancers and has been implicated to be of prognostic value in gastric cancer. Recent studies suggest a role of p185 in tumor progression by specifically promoting the invasive capacity of tumor cells. Therefore, the present study was conducted with the following three objectives: (1) to support the prognostic value of c-erbB-2 in gastric cancer in a large prospective series using a monoclonal antibody and a highly sensitive immunohistochemical method; (2) to determine the association of c-erbB-2 expression with the expression of invasion-related genes; and (3) to perform the first overall multivariate analysis including c-erbB-2 and the invasion-related tumor-associated protease systems. PATIENTS AND METHODS: In a consecutive prospective series of 203 gastric cancer patients (median follow-up, 42 months), expression of c-erbB-2 and a panel of tumor-associated proteases and inhibitors by tumor cells were evaluated semiquantitatively (score 0 to 3) and analyzed for correlation (chi(2) test, Bonferroni-corrected). Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and multivariate Cox analysis were performed to determine the relative prognostic impact of c-erbB-2 and the invasion-related parameters. RESULTS: Kaplan-Meier analysis (log-rank statistics) revealed a significant association of increasing expression of c-erbB-2 with shorter disease-free (P =. 0023) and overall survival (P =.0160). High amounts of p185 were significantly associated with a high expression of urokinase-type plasminogen activator (uPA) (P <.010), uPA-receptor (P =.030), type-1 plasminogen activator inhibitor (PAI) (P <.010), type-2 PAI (P =.021), cathepsin D (P =.036), matrix metalloproteinase-2 (P =. 024), alpha-1-antichymotrypsin (P =.025), and alpha-2-macroglobulin (P =.017). Multivariate analysis considering these proteases/protease inhibitors, in addition to alpha-1-antitrypsin, tissue plasminogen activator, plasminogen, alpha-2-antiplasmin, and antithrombin III, and established prognostic parameters revealed that, in addition to surgical curability, pT stage, pN stage, and PAI-1, c-erbB-2 is an independent prognostic factor for overall survival of curatively resected patients (n = 139; P =.049; relative risk, 1.54; 95% confidence interval, 1.08 to 1.67) and all patients (P =.028; relative risk 1.33; 95% CI, 1.28 to 1.38). CONCLUSION: c-erbB-2 is confirmed as a new independent, functional prognostic parameter for overall survival in gastric cancer, even when a panel of invasion-related factors, including the strong prognostic parameter PAI-1, are considered. The significant correlation of p185 with several tumor-associated proteases supports the hypothesis that c-erbB-2 is a promoter of invasion and metastasis. This strongly suggests that c-erbB-2 may be a promising target for anti-invasive therapy in gastric cancer.

Adult↗

Gene expression signature with independent prognostic significance in epithelial ovarian cancer.

PURPOSE: Currently available clinical and molecular prognostic factors provide an imperfect assessment of prognosis for patients with epithelial ovarian cancer (EOC). In this study, we investigated whether tumor transcription profiling could be used as a prognostic tool in this disease. METHODS: Tumor tissue from 68 patients was profiled with oligonucleotide microarrays. Samples were randomly split into training and validation sets. A three-step training procedure was used to discover a statistically significant Kaplan-Meier split in the training set. The resultant prognostic signature was then tested on an independent validation set for confirmation. RESULTS: In the training set, a 115-gene signature referred to as the Ovarian Cancer Prognostic Profile (OCPP) was identified. When applied to the validation set, the OCPP distinguished between patients with unfavorable and favorable overall survival (median, 30 months v not yet reached, respectively; log-rank P = .004). The signature maintained independent prognostic value in multivariate analysis, controlling for other known prognostic factors such as age, stage, grade, and debulking status. The hazard ratio for death in the unfavorable OCPP group was 4.8 (P = .021 by Cox proportional hazards analysis). CONCLUSION: The OCPP is an independent prognostic determinant of outcome in EOC. The use of gene profiling may ultimately permit identification of EOC patients appropriate for investigational treatment approaches, based on a low likelihood of achieving prolonged survival with standard first-line platinum-based therapy.

Adult↗

Interleukin-6, interleukin-10, and vascular endothelial growth factor in metastatic renal cell carcinoma: prognostic value of interleukin-6--from the Groupe Francais d'Immunotherapie.

PURPOSE: Few clinical prognostic factors have been identified for patients with metastatic renal cell carcinoma (MRCC), and no biomarker is known in this disease. Several endogenous cytokines have demonstrated interesting and significant correlations with survival in these patients. Our objective was to analyze the prognostic value of circulating vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF), interleukin-10 (IL-10), and interleukin-6 (IL-6). PATIENTS AND METHODS: Serum levels of IL-6, IL-10, and VEGF were measured in patients with MRCC. Their prognostic value for response to treatment and progression-free and overall survival was evaluated. Pretreatment samples were obtained from 138 patients of a large randomized multicentric trial. Endogenous cytokine levels were determined using immunoassays. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to evaluate the prognostic value of each factor further controlled by an internal validation test. Threshold values for serum IL-6 and VEGF were determined using the quartile method. RESULTS: Serum IL-6 was detectable in 70% of the patients. IL-10 and VEGF were elevated in 8% and 71% of the patients, respectively. None of these circulating factors was correlated with response to treatment. IL-10 was not significantly correlated with progression-free or overall survival. Despite significant correlation with survival, VEGF was not an independent prognostic factor in the multivariate analysis. Finally, IL-6 was significantly correlated with progression-free survival and overall survival, and has prognostic value for overall survival. CONCLUSION: Circulating IL-6 level appears to be an important independent prognostic factor in patients with MRCC; if confirmed in further studies, it could be considered for treatment decisions in these patients.

Adult↗

Prospective multicenter validation of the independent prognostic value of the mitotic activity index in lymph node-negative breast cancer patients younger than 55 years.

PURPOSE: To validate the independent strong prognostic value of mitotic activity index (MAI) in lymph node (LN) -negative invasive breast cancer patients younger than 55 years in a nationwide multicenter prospective study. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Analysis of routinely assessed MAI and other prognosticators in 516 patients (median follow-up, 118 months; range, 8 to 185 months), without systemic adjuvant therapy or previous malignancies. RESULTS: Distant metastases occurred in 127 patients (24.6%); 90 (17.4%) died as a result of metastases. MAI (< 10, > or = 10) showed strong association with recurrence (hazard ratio [HR], 3.12; 95% CI, 2.17 to 4.50; P < or = .0001) and mortality (HR, 4.42; 95% CI, 2.79 to 7.01; P < .0001). The absolute difference in 10-year Kaplan-Meier estimates of time to distant recurrence as well as survival was 22% between MAI less than 10 versus > or = 10. This effect was independent of age, estrogen receptor (ER) status, and tumor diameter (which were significant prognosticators). In multivariate analysis with regard to patient age, tumor diameter, grade, ER status, and the St Gallen criterion, MAI proved to be an independent and the strongest prognosticator. Tubular formation (TF) and nuclear atypia (NA), as constituents of (expert revised) grade, had no (for TF) or limited (for NA, P = .048) additional prognostic value to the MAI. In the group with MAI less than 10, MAI less than 3 versus more than 3 had additional value but the classical threshold of 0 to 5 v 6 to 10 did not. With this additional subdivision of MAI as less than 3, 3 to 9, and more than 9, NA lost its additive prognostic value. CONCLUSION: The MAI is the strongest, most widely available, easily assessable, inexpensive, well-reproducible prognosticator and is well suited to routinely differentiate between high- and low-risk LN-negative breast cancer patients younger than 55 years.

Adult↗

Prognostic factors in advanced cancer patients: evidence-based clinical recommendations--a study by the Steering Committee of the European Association for Palliative Care.

PURPOSE: To offer evidence-based clinical recommendations concerning prognosis in advanced cancer patients. METHODS: A Working Group of the Research Network of the European Association for Palliative Care identified clinically significant topics, reviewed the studies, and assigned the level of evidence. A formal meta-analysis was not feasible because of the heterogeneity of published studies and the lack of minimal standards in reporting results. A systematic electronic literature search within the main available medical literature databases was performed for each of the following four areas identified: clinical prediction of survival (CPS), biologic factors, clinical signs and symptoms and psychosocial variables, and prognostic scores. Only studies on patients with advanced cancer and survival < or = 90 days were included. RESULTS: A total of 38 studies were evaluated. Level A evidence-based recommendations of prognostic correlation could be formulated for CPS (albeit with a series of limitations of which clinicians must be aware) and prognostic scores. Recommendations on the use of other prognostic factors, such as performance status, symptoms associated with cancer anorexia-cachexia syndrome (weight loss, anorexia, dysphagia, and xerostomia), dyspnea, delirium, and some biologic factors (leukocytosis, lymphocytopenia, and C-reactive protein), reached level B. CONCLUSION: Prognostication of life expectancy is a significant clinical commitment for clinicians involved in oncology and palliative care. More accurate prognostication is feasible and can be achieved by combining clinical experience and evidence from the literature. Using and communicating prognostic information should be part of a multidisciplinary palliative care approach.

Biomarkers↗

Neuropathy and IgM M-proteins: prognostic value of antibodies to MAG, SGPG, and sulfatide.

BACKGROUND: In polyneuropathy associated with immunoglobulin M (IgM) monoclonal gammopathy, antibodies to myelin-associated glycoprotein (MAG), sulfoglucuronyl paragloboside (SGPG), and sulfatide have been associated with specific clinical and electrophysiologic features. However, it is not known whether the results of antibody tests provide additional information for the individual patient (and the neurologist) in terms of future neurologic deficit or outcome. OBJECTIVE: To study the independent contribution of potential prognostic factors to the prediction of outcome of neuropathy associated with IgM monoclonal gammopathy. METHODS: In accordance with the chronology in which prognostic factors are available in clinical practice, the association between prognostic factors and outcome was evaluated by univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis in 65 patients with polyneuropathy and IgM monoclonal gammopathy. RESULTS: In univariate analysis, the initial symptoms, the IgM light chain type, electrophysiologic and pathologic studies, the presence of sural nerve IgM deposition, and anti-MAG or anti-SGPG antibodies were significantly associated with outcome. However, multivariate analysis showed that only initial symptoms and electrophysiologic studies are independent prognostic factors: initial sensory symptoms of the feet are prognostic for a slowly progressive disease course and less disability at 4 years, and evidence for demyelination on electrophysiologic examination is prognostic for development of weakness and symptoms of the upper extremities at 4 years. Addition of anti-MAG or anti-SGPG antibody tests did not yield any additional prediction of outcome. CONCLUSION: These results indicate that in clinical practice, antibody tests in polyneuropathy associated with IgM monoclonal gammopathy do not have a prognostic value in terms of future neurologic deficit or outcome.

Globosides↗

Molecular prognostic factors in adenocarcinoma of the esophagus and gastroesophageal junction.

OBJECTIVE: This review describes genetic and molecular changes related to adenocarcinoma of the esophagus and gastroesophageal junction (GEJ) with emphasis on prognostic value and possibilities for targeted therapy in clinical setting. Adenocarcinoma of the esophagus or GEJ is an aggressive disease with early lymphatic and hematogenous dissemination. Molecular pathology has revealed many molecular mechanisms of disease progression, which are related to prognosis. Some of these factors can be seen as prognostic factors per se. Better knowledge of molecular bases may lead to new paradigms, improved prognostication, early diagnosis and individually tailored therapeutic options. METHODS: A review of recent English literature (1990-October 2005) concerning esophageal adenocarcinoma was performed. This review focuses on genetic and molecular changes as prognosticators of adenocarcinoma of the esophagus and GEJ. RESULTS: A bewildering number of biomarkers have been described. Many genes and molecules have prognostic impact (cyclin D1, EGFR, Her-2/Neu, APC, TGF-beta, Endoglin, CTGF, P53, Bcl-2, NF-kappaB, Cox-2, E-cadherin, beta-catenin, uPA, MMP-1,3,7,9, TIMP, T( h )1/T( h )2 balance, CRP, PTHrP). CONCLUSIONS: Adenocarcinomas of the esophagus and GEJ show multiple genetic alterations, which indicate that progression of cancer is a multistep complex process with many different alterations. Presumably, it is not one molecular factor that can predict the biological behavior of this cancer. The combination of diverse genetic alterations may better predict prognosis. In future, gene expression analysis with microarrays may reveal important prognostic information and the discovery of new genes and molecules associated with tumor progression and dissemination will enhance prognostication and offers adjuvant therapeutic options.

Adenocarcinoma↗

Communication of prognostic information for critically ill patients.

STUDY OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to determine whether the timing of prognostic information delivery by physicians is associated with caregiver satisfaction with communication or decision making in the ICU. DESIGN: Multicenter, prospective, longitudinal observational study. SETTING: Medical and surgical ICUs in a community and university hospital. PARTICIPANTS: Decision makers for critically ill patients. MEASUREMENTS AND RESULTS: Longitudinal surveys assessed both actual and desired frequency of communication with physicians, timing and content of physician prognosis, and subject satisfaction with physician communication and subject's role in decision making. Seventy subjects were enrolled and completed 216 surveys. Fifty-seven caregivers (81%) received prognostic information during the ICU stay, with a mean time between ICU admission and provision of prognostic information (prognostic interval) of 1.7 +/- 2.8 days (median, 1 day). This interval was not associated with patient age, severity of illness, clinical service, hospital, socioeconomic status, or prior patient ICU admission. A shorter prognostic interval was associated with increased satisfaction with communication, with a trend toward statistical significance (p = 0.06). Both the measured communication rate (p < 0.001) and subjects' desired communication rate with physicians decreased over time in the ICU (p < 0.001). Although 78% of subjects rated their overall satisfaction with frequency of communication as "good," "very good," or "excellent," their satisfaction with communication frequency decreased with time in the ICU (p = 0.006). CONCLUSIONS: Families of critically ill patients were generally satisfied with communication in the ICU; however, 19% were unable to recall receiving any prognostic information from physicians. Providing all decision makers with some prognostic information, even if it consists of a statement of uncertainty (as was commonly done in this study), may further improve satisfaction with ICU care. A widening gap between the actual and desired communication rate may result in a decline in communication satisfaction over the course of the ICU stay. This suggests that the capacity of physicians and other ICU personnel to manage families' communication expectations may positively influence caregiver satisfaction.

Adult↗

Health-related quality of life and its potential prognostic implications in patients with aggressive lymphoma: a Nordic Lymphoma Group Trial.

This study was conducted to explore treatment and disease-related effects on health-related quality of life (HRQoL) in patients with aggressive lymphoma, to identify predictors for impaired long-term HRQoL, and to analyze the prognostic value of pretreatment HRQoL. Ninety-five patients with aggressive lymphoma, constituting a subset of a randomized multicenter trial comparing CHOP and MACOP-B, entered a HRQoL study, using the EORTC QLQ-C30 questionnaire. Patient scores were compared to scores from an age- and gender-adjusted reference population sample, and evaluation of the prognostic value of pretreatment QoL scores in relation to clinical prognostic factors was performed. Before treatment, patients exhibited lower scores of global QoL, physical, role, and social functions, and more appetite loss, compared to the reference population. Role functioning improved compared to baseline, but remained depressed compared to the reference group more than 8 mo after end of treatment. By then, the patient group displayed no difference in other HRQoL variables compared to that of the reference population. No reliable predictor for impaired long-term HRQoL could be identified. In multivariate analysis, including the factors of the International Prognostic Index, pretreatment global QoL was an independent prognostic marker for overall survival. In conclusion, in this population with aggressive lymphoma and favorable prognostic features, HRQoL was not substantially affected during the first year after diagnosis. Pretreatment global QoL may constitute a significant prognostic factor, meriting further investigation in prospective studies.

Adolescent↗

Prognostic factors of papillary and follicular thyroid cancer: differences in an iodine-replete endemic goiter region.

Papillary (PTC) and follicular thyroid carcinoma (FTC) are known as differentiated thyroid carcinoma (DTC). Nevertheless, according to the UICC/AJCC (TNM) classification PTC and FTC are frequently analyzed as one cancer. The aim of this study is to show differences in outcome and specific prognostic factors in an iodine-replete endemic goiter region. Six hundred and three patients with DTC treated within a 35-year-period were retrospectively analyzed with respect to carcinoma-specific survival. Prognostic factors were tested for their significance using univariate and multivariate analysis. The histological type (PTC versus FTC) was found to be a highly significant factor - carcinoma-specific survival both in univariate (P<0.001) and multivariate analyses (P=0.003) was significantly different. Univariate analysis revealed patients' age, extra-thyroid tumor spread, lymph node and distant metastases, increasing tumor size, and the tall cell variant to be significant prognostic factors for PTC patients. Age > or =45 years, positive lymph nodes and increasing tumor size were confirmed as independent prognostic factors. Univariate analysis of FTC patients revealed age at presentation, gender, extrathyroidal tumor spread, lymph node and distant metastases, increasing tumor size, multifocality, widely invasive tumor growth and oxyphilic variant to be factors bearing prognostic significance. The presence of distant metastases and increasing tumor size could be identified as independent prognostic factors for FTC patients. This study shows distinctive differences in prognostic factors of PTC and FTC: independent factors predicting poor prognosis are age > or =45 years, positive lymph nodes and increasing tumor size for PTC, and distant metastases and increasing tumor size for FTC. PTC and FTC patients should be analyzed and reported separately.

Adenocarcinoma, Follicular↗

The prognostic value of several periodontal factors measured as radiographic bone level variation: a 10-year retrospective multilevel analysis of treated and maintained periodontal patients.

BACKGROUND: Assigning a prognosis to a periodontal patient is one of the greatest challenges in clinical practice. Many different factors can affect the result of periodontal therapy. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the prognostic value of some clinical, genetic, and radiographic variables in predicting bone level variation in periodontal patients (aged 40 to 60) treated and maintained for 10 years. METHODS: Sixty consecutive non-smoking patients (mean age 46.77 +/- 4.96) with moderate to severe chronic periodontitis were treated with scaling and root planing (SRP). Some patients also underwent additional surgical treatments. All patients were maintained in the same private practice for 10 years. At baseline (T0) and at least 10 years later (T2), the following clinical variables were evaluated: probing depth (PD), tooth mobility (TM), presence of prosthetic restorations (PR), and molar teeth (MT). In addition, radiographic measurements were taken of the mesial and distal distances from the cemento-enamel junction (CEJ) to the bottom of the defect (BD), to the bone crest (BC), and to the root apex (RA). At T2, a genetic test to determine the IL-1 genotype and genetic susceptibility for severe periodontal disease was performed for all 60 patients. Based on the results of this assay, the patients were categorized as IL-1 genotype positive (G+) or negative (G-). The differences between the bone levels measured at T0 and T2 (ABD), indicating the bone level variation, was used as the outcome variable. Different predictor variables were then tested using a 3-level statistical model (multilevel statistical analysis; patient, tooth, and site level). At the patient level these were: age, gender, and interaction between mean bone loss and the IL-1 genotype (mean CEJ-BD(T0) x IL-1 genotype). At the tooth level the variables were: TM(T0), PR(T0), MT(T0); and at the site level the evaluated factors were: the infrabony component of the defect (CEJ-BD(T0) - CEJ-BC(T0), PD(T0), bone level (CEJ-BD(T0)), and the residual supporting bone (BD-RA(T0)). RESULTS: Among the considered predictor parameters, the following were significantly associated with the outcome variable: 1) mean CEJ-BD(T0) x IL-1 genotype (P = 0.0019); 2) TM(T0) (P < 0.0000); 3) CEJ-BD(T0) (P < 0.0000); 4) CEJ-BD(T0) - CEJ-BC(T0) (P < 0.0000); 5) PD(T0) (P = 0.0010). Deeper probing depths at a site and tooth mobility at baseline were associated with worst prognosis. Greater CEJ-BD(T0) distance and infrabony component at a site at baseline were associated with a better prognosis. The interaction between mean CEJ-BD measurement at baseline and IL-1 genotype was significantly associated both with a good or a poor prognosis. The other parameters evaluated - age, gender, presence of molars and prosthetic restorations, and residual supporting bone - were not significantly associated with bone level variation. CONCLUSIONS: Within the scope of this study design, many traditional prognostic factors were ineffective in predicting future bone level variation and therefore were of no prognostic value. Conversely, a few specific factors at each level emerged as valuable prognostic factors. At the patient level, the prognostic factor was initial mean bone level in conjunction with a positive IL-1 genotype. At the tooth level, the prognostic factor was tooth mobility. At the site level, the significant prognostic factors were initial bone level at a site, the infrabony component of a defect, and initial probing depth at a site. The use of these factors may be of value to clinicians as predictors of bone level variation when assigning a prognosis to a patient, a tooth, or a site.

Adult↗