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Exploring depression treatment response by using polygenic risk scoring across diverse populations.

Treatment-resistant depression (TRD), usually defined as limited or no response to at least two antidepressants, occurs in approximately one-third of individuals diagnosed with major depressive disorder (MDD). Studies of individuals of European ancestry highlight a genetic overlap between TRD and MDD. We analyzed two large and diverse biobanks, the UCLA ATLAS Community Health Study (ATLAS) and the All of Us Research Program (AoU), to test for associations between a polygenic score for major depression (MDD-PGS) and TRD. Compared to treatment responders, TRD individuals have higher MDD-PGS across all ancestries. MDD-PGS was significantly associated with response to selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors in individuals of European and Hispanic/Latin American genetic ancestries in both biobanks. In AoU, a decreased MDD-PGS was observed in response to tricyclics or serotonin modulators in individuals of European American ancestry and in response to serotonin and norepinephrine reuptake inhibitors in individuals of African American ancestry. ATLAS found that MDD-PGS showed lower odds of responding to atypical agents than did TRD in MDD-affected individuals belonging to the Hispanic/Latin American group, MDD-PGS was associated with atypical agents. Overall, by leveraging larger sample sizes from two diverse biobanks, we provide new insights into antidepressant response and treatment specificity for MDD in individuals of diverse genetic ancestries.

Adult

Machine learning for population-level risk prediction of future cholangiocarcinoma.

BACKGROUND: The poor prognosis of cholangiocarcinoma (CCA) is largely driven by rapid, asymptomatic disease progression, which usually results in a late diagnosis in the absence of established screening strategies. An early, cost-effective, and universally applicable risk assessment strategy would therefore be valuable. METHODS: We developed machine learning (ML) models on prospective, multimodal data from 487,495 UK Biobank (UKB) participants, of whom 649 developed CCA during follow-up. Data from England (80%) were utilised for ML development via five-fold cross-validation, and then all models were tested on withheld data from Scotland, Wales, and Newcastle (20%). Iterative ablation studies reduced inputs from >150 features across demographic data, lifestyle, health records, blood parameters, genomics, and metabolomics to models built on five and ten routinely available clinical parameters. These were externally validated in the Penn Medicine Biobank (PMBB; n = 2638; 28 CCA), All of Us Research Program (AOU; n = 330,433; 362 CCA), Japan Medical Data Centre Claims Database (JMDC; n = 8,425,522; 723 CCA) and TriNetX (n = 728,886; 1592 CCA). FINDINGS: We show that ML models integrating biliary-disease associated health records and Gamma glutamyltransferase can stratify risk of future CCA. Evaluation on the UKB test set as well as three independent cohorts revealed robust performance and generalisability across ethnicities. We achieved AUROCs of 0.71 [95% CI: 0.703-0.711], 0.77 [95% CI: 0.764-0.778 ], 0.796 [95% CI: 0.795-0.798] and 0.8 [95% CI: 0.794-0.805] for UKB, PMBB, AOU, and JMDC respectively, with respective AUPRCs of 0.014 [95% CI: 0.009-0.018], 0.042 [95% CI: 0.037-0.048], 0.038 [95% CI: 0.033-0.042] and 0.001 [95% CI: 0.001-0.001]. In AOU, application of the Youden J-optimised threshold yielded a number needed to screen of 79. Separate models for intra- and extrahepatic CCA did not improve performance. In line with the pathophysiology, performance declined for longer intervals between assessment and event. A group-level analysis in the TriNetX cohort revealed hazard ratios of up to 82.5 [95% CI: 26.4-257.96]. We provide extensive interpretability results and release all source codes used to develop the presented models. INTERPRETATION: We provide a comprehensive framework for early CCA risk stratification in the general population, identifying key predictors, and demonstrating the potential of data-driven models in personalised screening for hepatobiliary cancer. FUNDING: German Cancer Aid (grant #70115730), Junior Principal Investigator Fellowship programme of RWTH Aachen Excellence strategy.

Humans

Development and Validation of a Clinical Polygenic Risk Report in U.S.-Based Health Systems for 8 Cardiovascular Conditions.

BACKGROUND: Polygenic risk scores (PRS) stratify inherited cardiovascular risk, but their path to clinical implementation remains unclear. OBJECTIVES: We aimed to develop and validate integrated PRS for 8 cardiovascular conditions and outline a framework for their clinical reporting. METHODS: We analyzed genotype and clinical data from 245,394 All of Us Research Program participants. Publicly available PRS for 8 traits-coronary artery disease, atrial fibrillation, type 2 diabetes, venous thromboembolism (VTE), thoracic aortic aneurysm (TAA), extreme hypertension, severe hypercholesterolemia, and elevated lipoprotein(a)-were combined using PRSmix, an elastic-net approach. Integrated PRS were externally validated in 53,306 Mass General Brigham Biobank participants using logistic regression, adjusting for age, sex, and ancestry. RESULTS: Of 53,306 genotyped Mass General Brigham Biobank participants (55.6% women, mean age 53 ± 17 years), integrated PRS demonstrated robust discrimination and appropriate calibration across 8 cardiovascular traits. Comparing high genetic risk (top 10% of PRS distribution, or top 20% for rarer TAA and VTE) vs average risk (26th-75th percentiles, or 21st-80th percentiles for TAA and VTE) yielded ORs: coronary artery disease (3.7 [95% CI: 3.4-4.1]), type 2 diabetes (3.1 [95% CI: 2.8-3.3]), atrial fibrillation (3.0 [95% CI: 2.7-3.3]), VTE (1.9 [95% CI: 1.6-2.0]), TAA (1.7 [95% CI: 1.5-1.9]), hypertension (2.1 [95% CI: 1.8-2.3]), hypercholesterolemia (4.1 [95% CI: 3.7-4.5]), and lipoprotein(a) (41.0 [95% CI: 27.0-62.2]). Incorporating integrated PRS into clinical models improved risk classification, while prospective analyses confirmed significant associations with incident cardiovascular outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Integrated PRS offer an implementable framework for genetic risk reporting, and are now available as a clinically orderable test. Broader prospective validation studies are needed to further establish clinical utility.

Humans

Cardiovascular Risk Factors and Genetic Risk in Transthyretin V142I Carriers.

BACKGROUND: Nearly 3% to 4% of Black individuals in the United States carry the transthyretin V142I variant, which increases their risk of heart failure. However, the role of cardiovascular (CV) risk factors (RFs) in influencing the risk of clinical outcomes among V142I variant carriers is unknown. OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to assess the impact of CV RFs on the risk of heart failure in V142I carriers. METHODS: This study included self-identified Black individuals without prevalent heart failure from 6 TOPMed (Trans-Omics for Precision Medicine) cohorts, the REGARDS (Reasons for Geographic And Racial Differences in Stroke) study, and the All of Us Research Program. The cohort was stratified based on the V142I genotype and the number of CV RFs (hypertension, diabetes, obesity, and hypercholesterolemia). Adjusted Cox models were used to assess the association of heart failure with the V142I genotype and CV RF profile, taking noncarriers with a favorable CV RF profile as reference. RESULTS: The cross-sectional analysis, including 1,625 V142I carriers among 48,365 Black individuals, found that the prevalence of CV RFs did not vary by V142I carrier status. In the longitudinal analysis, there were 587 (3.2%) V142I carriers among 18,407 Black individuals (median age: 60 years [Q1-Q3: 52-68 years], 63.0% female). Among carriers, the heart failure risk was attenuated with a favorable (0 or 1 RF) CV RF profile (adjusted HR: 2.26; 95% CI: 1.58-3.23) compared with an unfavorable (3 or 4 RFs) CV RF profile (adjusted HR: 4.14; 95% CI: 2.79-6.14). CONCLUSIONS: A favorable CV RF profile lowers but does not abrogate V142I variant-associated heart failure risk. This study highlights the importance of having a favorable CV RF profile among V142I carriers for risk reduction of heart failure.

Aged

Multi-ancestral genome-wide association study of chronic pain reveals widespread genetic correlations with mental and physical health traits.

Chronic pain (CP) is common and debilitating, affecting 12-40% of people worldwide. In this study, we conducted a genome-wide association study (GWAS) of CP in the All of Us Research Program across six genetic ancestries (Ntotal = 313 931, Ncase = 64 894, Ncontrol = 249 037). In the cross-ancestral meta-analysis, one locus on chromosome 3 reached genome-wide (GW) significance (&#x3b1; = 5E-08; lead SNP: rs3849410, p = 2.64E-08,). This same lead SNP, rs3849410, also reached GW significance in the European subsample (p = 7.45E-10) and in European females (p = 4.25E-08). Two additional loci, with lead SNPs rs7652179 and rs4760489, reached GW significance (p = 8.57E-09, and 3.07E-08, respectively) in European ancestry. Sex-stratified analyses revealed one locus on chromosome 11 (lead SNP: rs77607049) in males (p = 1.13E-08); in females, two other loci on chromosomes 11 (lead SNP: rs368001205) and 12 were also identified (lead SNP: rs80043169; p = 1.58E-08, 9.14E-09, respectively; p < 2.5E-08). CP was genetically correlated with psychiatric, physical, and immune traits, including anxiety (rg = 0.72, p = 2.00E-46), generalized addiction risk (rg = 0.38, p = 2.08E-17), higher C-reactive protein levels (rg = 0.36, p = 6.38E-22) and greater body mass index (rg = 0.43, p = 8.03E-47). This study represents one of the largest cross-ancestral investigations of the genetics of CP to date and demonstrates shared genetic effects between CP and multiple health conditions. PERSPECTIVE: This article presents multi-ancestral cross-sex and sex-stratified GWAS of chronic pain (CP). One significant cross-ancestral locus and 3 sex-specific loci were identified; a previously published locus for multisite CP met traditional genome-wide significance in the current European ancestry GWAS. This study identifies 4 novel genetic loci associated with CP.

Chronic pain

Genome-Wide and Rare Variant Association Studies of Amblyopia in Admixed American and African Ancestry Groups.

OBJECTIVE: To identify genetic variants associated with amblyopia in African (AFR) and Admixed American (AMR) ancestry groups, expanding on previous studies conducted in European ancestry. DESIGN: Retrospective ancestry-stratified genome-wide association study (GWAS) and gene-level rare variant association study (RVAS). PARTICIPANTS: Participants in the All of Us Research Program from AFR and AMR ancestry groups who had whole-genome sequencing available. Cases and controls were distinguished based on the presence of International Classification of Diseases 9/10/SNOMED diagnosis codes for amblyopia in electronic health records. This yielded ancestry-stratified subsets of 269 cases and 71 585 controls of AMR ancestry and 366 cases and 79 460 controls of AFR ancestry. METHODS: Stratified logistic regression models were adjusted for age, biological sex, and the top 10 principal components of genomic ancestry. GWAS was limited to common variants (minor allele frequency &#x2265;1%), and RVAS was limited to rare variants with coding sequence-altering effects (minor allele frequency >1%, exonic only, excluding synonymous variants) aggregated at the gene level using the SKAT algorithm. Downstream analyses of the significant variants were performed using KEGG and GO pathway analysis and STRING database queries for protein-protein interactions and gene-gene interactions. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Single-nucleotide polymorphisms were determined to have genome-wide significance if P < 5e-8 in the GWAS, and genes were determined to have significant association with amblyopia in the RVAS if P < 8.0 &#xd7; 10-4. RESULTS: In the AMR GWAS, 245 unique single-nucleotide polymorphisms mapping to 97 distinct loci were identified, notably within neurodevelopmental and axonal guidance genes, including ROBO1, SEMA4B, PTPRD, NRXN1, and CAMK2D. The AFR GWAS identified 11 significant variants corresponding to 6 loci mapping primarily to long noncoding RNAs and pseudogenes. The AMR RVAS identified 15 genes, including axonal transport genes (KIF1B and KIF7) and growth factor signaling genes (EGF, ERBIN, and AKAP17A). The AFR RVAS identified a single gene, DLG2, which encodes the postsynaptic protein PSD-93, which promotes the closure of the sensitive period of neuroplasticity for vision in early childhood. CONCLUSIONS: Genetic risk architectures for amblyopia differ across ancestries but fundamentally converge on neurodevelopmental signaling, cortical synapse assembly, and sensitive period plasticity rather than ocular structural dynamics. FINANCIAL DISCLOSURE(S): The authors have no proprietary or commercial interest in any materials discussed in this article.

Amblyopia

Inherited Predisposition to Increased Systemic Inflammation Predicts a Broad Class of Disease Phenotypes.

Chronic, low-grade systemic inflammation is a polygenic trait captured with the INFLA-score, a composite of C-reactive protein, platelet count, leukocyte count, and granulocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio. We derived a polygenic risk score from the INFLA-score (iPRS) in a multi-ancestry population from the UK Biobank (n=421,368), then evaluated and used it in a phenome-wide association study among participants in the All of Us Research Program (AoU). The multi-ancestry iPRS was tested for association with the INFLA-score in AoU (N=4,833 with biomarker data) via linear regression, adjusting for age, sex, and genetically-determined principal components (PCs) and with 2,821 phecodeX-defined phenotypes in AoU (N=265,068) via logistic regression, adjusting for sex, age, EHR length, race, ethnicity and PCs. The iPRS predicted the INFLA-score (R-squared=0.026, beta=0.980, p<2x10-16) and was associated with 47 phenotypes (Bonferroni-corrected p<0.05). The strongest associations were with blood-related phenotypes: elevated white blood cell count (OR=1.19, p=3.85x10-66), thrombocytopenia (OR=0.86, p=5.70x10-44), platelet defects (OR=0.86, p=2.47x10-43), neutropenia (OR= 0.86, p=5.52x10-18), myeloproliferative disorder (OR= 1.2, p=2.77x10-15). Others included celiac disease (OR=0.713, p=2.98x10-46), ankylosing spondylitis (OR=1.4, p=1.33 x 10-17), hypertension (OR=1.04, p=4.56x10-15), rheumatoid arthritis (OR=1.09, p=1.02x10-13), hematuria (OR=1.05, p=1.96x10-10). Removing major-histocompatibility-complex SNPs abolished associations with known autoimmune diseases, while all other associations remained. We replicated 17 (42.5%) of 40 significant phenotypes available in the Vanderbilt University Medical Center's BioVU. Our findings demonstrate that systemic inflammation can be predicted using the iPRS across multiple ancestries, and the iPRS is associated with numerous clinical endpoints. This multi-ancestry iPRS may have future utility in stratifying risk for inflammation-driven conditions across diverse populations.

Journal Article

All of Us diversity and scale yield context-dependent improvements in polygenic prediction.

Polygenic risk scores (PRSs) trained on multiancestry data can improve prediction in under-represented groups, but large linked genetic and health datasets capturing broad human diversity remain limited. Using 245,388 whole-genome sequences from the All of Us research program (AoU) together with UK Biobank data, we developed multiancestry PRSs for 32 traits and diseases. We evaluated how ancestry, methodology and genetic architecture influenced PRS performance across ancestrally diverse AoU participants. Increased diversity in the AoU improved PRS accuracy for several traits, especially in under-represented populations. However, maximizing sample size by meta-analyzing AoU and UK Biobank was not universally optimal: for less polygenic traits, AoU-only training performed best in African ancestry participants, consistent with ancestry-enriched effects. Individual PRS accuracy declined linearly with increasing ancestry divergence from the discovery GWAS, but this decay was attenuated using multiancestry training data. These findings underscore the value of more representative biobanks for equitable PRS performance.

Journal Article

Genetic risk scores, perceived neighborhood disorder, and sleep duration.

STUDY OBJECTIVES: Most studies of neighborhood context and sleep health emphasize direct effects and fail to account for the role of genetics. In this paper, we draw on the socioecological model to examine the interplay of genetics, neighborhood context, and sleep health. We specifically examine the independent and joint effects of genetic risk scores (GRS) and perceived neighborhood disorder on sleep duration. METHODS: We combine genomic and cross-sectional survey data from the All of Us Research Program, a non-probability sample of 22&#x2009;575 adults of European ancestry living in the United States. We use the sleep duration-increasing risk allele count for 78 genome-wide single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) to construct weighted genetic risk scores. Our analyses include an index of perceived neighborhood disorder and an objective measure of sleep duration based on wrist actigraphy. RESULTS: Genetic risk scores are inversely associated with neighborhood disorder, positively associated with continuous sleep duration, and inversely associated with the odds of short sleep. Neighborhood disorder is inversely associated with continuous sleep duration and positively associated with the odds of short and long sleep. The association between genetic risk scores and sleep duration (continuous and categorical) is invariant across levels of neighborhood disorder. CONCLUSIONS: Our analyses confirm the independent direct effects of genetic risk scores and neighborhood disorder on sleep duration. Our findings extend the socioecological model by assessing the role of genetics in the study of neighborhood context and sleep health. Although we observed a gene-environment correlation between genetic risk scores and perceived neighborhood disorder, there was little indication of genetic confounding and no evidence of gene-environment interaction.

Humans

Linkage between HLA-B8 and HLA-DQ2.5 Contributes to Ancestry-Dependent Genetic Risk for Celiac Disease.

BACKGROUND: Most genetic studies on celiac disease (CeD) have focused on individuals of European descent. Limited data are available for the Hispanic and black populations. METHODS: We analyzed whole-genome sequencing data, electronic health records (EHR), and laboratory results from the All of Us Research Program. We identified 3,481 individuals with CeD through EHR, self-reporting, or both. Of these, 2,899 carried one of the four well-established risk haplotypes, including 262 of admixed American (89% Hispanic) and 108 of African (70% black) ancestry. Five sex-, age-, and ancestry-matched controls per case were selected for the assessment of genetic and clinical risk factors. RESULTS: An enrichment in the DQB1*02:01 allele was observed in CeD patients across all ancestries, with the strongest association in Europeans (32.3% vs. 11.6%), followed by Americans (18.5% vs. 8.1%) and Africans (15.7% vs. 8.1%). Among individuals carrying the DQ2.5 (DQA1*05:01-DQB1*02:01 haplotype), HLA-B8 was present in 72.3% of Europeans, 42.3% of Admixed Americans, and lower in Africans. This linkage disequilibrium was higher in CeD patients than in controls across all three ancestries. A polygenic risk score distinguished seropositive CeD from controls with 86% accuracy. Incorporating clinical risk factors, including family history, hypothyroidism, diarrhea, vitamin D deficiency, and anemia, increased predictive accuracy to 92%. The model identified 93% of CeD patients with tTG-IgA levels greater than 10 IU/mL. CONCLUSION: Linkage between HLA-B8 and DQ2.5 differs significantly among individuals of European, admixed American, and African ancestry, contributing to ancestry-dependent genetic risk for CeD.

Celiac disease

Phenotypic and Genetic Associations Between Cardiovascular Disease Subtypes and Alzheimer's Disease.

BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) and Alzheimer's disease (AD) are major public health concerns that share overlapping risk factors and potential mechanistic pathways. While vascular contributions to cognitive decline are well-documented, the specific relationships between AD and different CVD subtypes remain poorly understood. METHODS: We examined associations between AD and 11 CVD subtypes using logistic regression models in two large biobanks: the UK Biobank (n = 502,133) and the All of Us Research Program (n = 287,011). Models were adjusted for demographic, lifestyle, and clinical covariates. We also explored genetic overlap between AD and CVD traits through colocalization of significant single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) (p < 5&#xd7;10-8) using genome-wide association study (GWAS) data. RESULTS: Most CVD subtypes were significantly associated with AD in both cohorts. Hypotension had the strongest and most consistent association, followed by hypertension and cerebral infarction. Acute myocardial infarction was the only subtype not significantly linked to AD. Genetic analyses revealed shared loci between AD and CVD-related traits, particularly in regions near APOE, MAPT, and genes influencing myocardial structure and vascular function. CONCLUSIONS: This study identifies subtype-specific CVD associations with AD across two diverse cohorts and highlights shared genetic architecture underlying heart-brain interactions. These findings underscore the importance of vascular health in AD risk and suggest that certain CVD subtypes, especially hypotension, may play underrecognized roles in cognitive decline.

Alzheimer&#x2019;s disease

GWAS for Periodontitis Phenotypes Using Multi-Ancestry All of Us Research Platform.

Periodontitis is a multifactorial inflammatory disease whose pathogenesis is associated with intricate interactions between genetic and environmental factors. Leveraging electronic health records data from the All of Us Research Program, we stratified periodontitis by clinically relevant dimensions: stage, grade, and extent. Based on these phenotypes, we performed a multi-ancestry genome-wide association study, focusing on predominant ancestry populations of African, European, and Admixed American. Our study cohort comprised 3,881 periodontitis patients and a control group of 10,760 patients with dental caries and without periodontitis. Ancestry-specific GWAS revealed significant genetic associations (P<5&#xd7;10-8) in periodontitis grade phenotypes at the LINC00294 and CLMN loci in the African ancestry population and also confirmed via the multi-ancestry meta-analysis. In addition, the XYLT1 locus emerged as a significant signal associated with periodontitis grade phenotype in the admixed American GWAS. Our GWAS comparing periodontitis to dental caries in the admixed American population identified several significant loci, including RABGAP1L, previously linked to immune regulation, DCHS2, a cadherin-related gene involved in bone mineralization and tissue morphogenesis, and OSTM1, known to be crucial for bone remodeling. The findings of our study highlight the potential of integrating EHR and genomic data from large-scale biobanks to achieve informative dental phenotyping, uncover novel molecular insights into periodontal disease, and personalize treatment approaches.

Journal Article

Assessing the comorbidity between asthma and depression through polygenic risk scoring and time-to-event models.

BACKGROUND: Patients with asthma have an increased risk of developing depression, affecting their quality of life. To date, the processes contributing to this comorbidity remain unclear. METHODS: We integrated two large genome-wide association studies (88,486 patients with asthma and 447,859 controls; 412,024 patients with depression and 1,587,577 controls) with cross-sectional and longitudinal information available from the All of Us Research Program (N&#x2009;=&#x2009;87,167) through polygenic risk scoring (PRS), Cox proportional-hazards models, one-sample Mendelian randomization (MR), and gene-set and drug-repurposing analyses. RESULTS: We observed that depression PRS was associated with increased asthma risk (hazard ratio, HR&#x2009;=&#x2009;1.13, 95% CI&#x2009;=&#x2009;1.09-1.17), also when accounting for comorbidity status (HR&#x2009;=&#x2009;1.08, 95% CI&#x2009;=&#x2009;1.04-1.12). Conversely, the effect of asthma PRS was null after accounting for comorbidity status. One-sample MR analysis showed an effect of depression genetic liability on asthma, ranging from beta&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.36&#x2009;&#xb1;&#x2009;0.03 when considering a linear relationship to beta&#x2009;=&#x2009;3.21&#x2009;&#xb1;&#x2009;0.31 when considering possible nonlinear relationships. Conversely, the effect of asthma genetic risk on depression was null after accounting for potential confounders. The gene-set analyses showed that asthma and depression polygenic risks share biological processes, molecular functions, and cellular components related to the immune system and the lung-brain axis. CONCLUSIONS: Genetic predisposition contributes to asthma-depression comorbidity through direct effects and shared pathogenic processes. These findings highlight the potential to develop targeted interventions to prevent and treat the co-occurrence of respiratory and neuropsychiatric disorders.

Comorbidity

A multi-ancestry polygenic risk score for body mass index predicts longitudinal weight change.

BACKGROUND: Identifying individuals at risk for future weight gain is challenging, partly because associations with traditional clinical risk factors may be biased by confounding and reverse causation. Polygenic risk scores (PRS) provide a stable, lifelong measure of genetic predisposition to obesity. However, existing PRS have not been evaluated for their association with longitudinal weight change in adulthood and often lack generalizability across diverse genetic ancestry groups. METHODS: We conducted ancestry-specific genome-wide association study meta-analyses of body mass index (BMI) in populations of European, African or African American, Admixed American, East Asian, and South Asian ancestries and developed ancestry-specific PRS. A multi-ancestry polygenic risk score (MAPRS) was trained using ancestry-specific PRS in a model selection dataset (N&#x2009;=&#x2009;39,685) from the All of Us Research Program (AoU). We evaluated the MAPRS in an independent AoU model evaluation dataset (N&#x2009;=&#x2009;158,743) for BMI prediction and in a separate AoU test dataset (N&#x2009;=&#x2009;78,219) with repeated measurements over 1.5-2.5 years for weight change prediction. The outcomes included change in BMI and&#x2009;&#x2265;&#x2009;10% or&#x2009;&#x2265;&#x2009;5% total body weight (TBW) gain. We further examined the relationship between MAPRS and 12 clinical risk factors commonly comorbid with obesity in relation to weight change. RESULTS: The MAPRS captured 7.05% of the variance in measured BMI in the AoU model evaluation dataset and demonstrated improved generalizability across all non-European genetic ancestry groups. In the AoU test dataset, conditioned on baseline BMI at the second-to-last measurement, a one SD increase in MAPRS was associated with a 0.16 kg/m2 increase in future BMI (standard error&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.012 kg/m2; p-value&#x2009;=&#x2009;2.2&#x2009;&#xd7;&#x2009;10-39), 1.27-fold increased odds of experiencing&#x2009;&#x2265;&#x2009;10% TBW gain (95% CI: 1.24-1.31; p-value&#x2009;=&#x2009;1.4&#x2009;&#xd7;&#x2009;10-55), and 1.15-fold increased odds of experiencing&#x2009;&#x2265;&#x2009;5% TBW gain (95% CI: 1.13-1.18; p-value&#x2009;=&#x2009;2.8&#x2009;&#xd7;&#x2009;10-39). These associations were observed across all genetic ancestry groups and remained highly consistent after adjustment for any clinical risk factor. In contrast, most clinical risk factors demonstrated inconsistent or weaker associations with weight change outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: We developed an MAPRS for BMI that represents a robust and generalizable risk factor for longitudinal weight gain in adulthood, providing a foundation for genetically informed risk stratification and earlier, more targeted obesity prevention strategies.

Humans

Diverse mediators of cancer predisposition uncovered by germline whole genome sequencing of unexplained familial cancers.

Cancer frequently clusters in families due to shared environment and genetics. However, many familial cancer cases lack a clinically recognized pathogenic germline variant (PGV). We analyzed germline genomes and family history from 2,726 individuals without a PGV in the All of Us Research Program, including 1,496 cases across 18 cancer types with extensive family history and 1,230 family history-negative, cancer-free controls. We identified allelic series of rare structural variants inactivating MSH2 in individuals with phenotypes consistent with Lynch syndrome and BRCA1 in breast cancer. Cancer polygenic risk scores were enriched in cases and correlated with patterns of cancer diagnoses within families. Exome-wide rare variant analyses nominated six candidate predisposition genes, including TSTD2 and BRAT1 in thyroid and breast cancer, respectively. Overall, polygenic risk and rare variants impacting known genes explained a median of 5% of unexplained familial cancers, increasing to 11% when including newly nominated risk factors.

Journal Article

Prevalence and Clinical Impact of Pathogenic Variants in Cardiomyopathy Genes Among Individuals with Cardiac Conduction Disorders.

IMPORTANCE: Cardiac conduction disorders have traditionally been regarded as a secondary manifestation of underlying structural heart diseases. However, isolated conduction disorders may precede the onset of heart failure (HF) suggesting shared mechanisms. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the prevalence and clinical significance of pathogenic/likely pathogenic (P/LP) rare variants in cardiomyopathy genes among individuals with conduction disorders. DESIGN SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: Biobank analysis of 192,834 participants with whole genome sequence data from Vanderbilt's BioVU and 353,092 participants from the All of Us Research Program (AoU). Participants with primary conduction disorder (left bundle branch block [LBBB], right bundle branch block [RBBB], high-grade atrioventricular block [AVB]) were identified after excluding secondary causes. EXPOSURES: P/LP variants in cardiomyopathy genes. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Primary outcome was P/LP carrier status by age and HF status. Secondary outcomes included incident HF and composite ventricular arrhythmias/sudden cardiac death/mortality (VA/SCD/mortality). RESULTS: Among 16,959 participants with conduction disorders in BioVU and 13,442 in AoU, 432 (2.6%) and 206 (1.5%) were P/LP carriers, respectively. Conduction disorder was independently associated with carrier status (BioVU p<0.001; AoU p=0.005). Carrier probability varied by age at conduction disorder onset and HF status. Among participants with HF at age 30 years, predicted carrier probability for LBBB was 7.5% in BioVU and 20.2% in AoU; for high-grade AVB, 7.7% and 8.5%, respectively, compared with 3.7% and 2.9% among those with HF without conduction disorder. P/LP carrier status among participants with conduction disorders was associated with increased risk of incident HF (BioVU p<0.001; AoU p<0.001) and ventricular arrhythmia/sudden death/mortality (BioVU p<0.001; AoU p<0.001). Carriers also demonstrated increased susceptibility to conduction disorder following HF diagnosis, including more than two-fold higher risk of third-degree AVB (BioVU aOR 2.48, 95% CI 1.85-3.32; AoU aOR 2.26, 95% CI 1.35-3.80). CONCLUSIONS: Adults with primary conduction disorders have an increased prevalence of P/LP variants in cardiomyopathy genes, which is most pronounced with diagnoses at early ages of adulthood. Furthermore, there is evidence of an interaction between P/LP carrier status and conduction disorder to increase HF risk and composite cardiovascular outcomes, underscoring the potential role of genetic evaluation in patients with primary conduction disorders to inform long-term outcomes.

Journal Article

Integrating multi-ancestry common and rare variant mapping accelerates therapeutic target discovery.

Integrating human genetics into therapeutic discovery accelerates drug development. However, ancestral biases in historical cohorts have left critical functional variation largely uncharted. Here, we leverage the diverse NIH All of Us Research Program to conduct comprehensive common- and rare-variant association analyses for 624 quantitative traits across 369,655 ancestrally diverse individuals. We identified 6,181 genome-wide significant locus-trait associations (526 novel) and 416 gene-trait associations (105 novel) via rare-variant burden testing. By integrating fine-mapping with computational variant-effect predictors, we systematically prioritized rare, likely causal variants driving these signals. Jointly modeling common and rare variation with protein-class annotations significantly improved the identification of known drug targets compared to common-variant analysis alone. Notably, we identified NRG4 as a high-confidence candidate therapeutic target for preserving kidney function. Our findings demonstrate that characterization of rare and common variation across diverse populations enhances causal gene discovery and identifies novel, actionable therapeutic targets.

Journal Article

HPRC2: A human pangenome reference with near-complete coverage of common genetic variation.

A pangenome reference overcomes the inherent limitation of any individual reference genome by integrating the variation present in a population. We present the Human Pangenome Reference Consortium's (HPRC) Release 2 (HPRC2), an openly available, second phase pangenome that is an approximately fivefold expansion in genome number over HPRC Release 1 (HPRC1) and measurable improvement in genome completeness, contiguity, and accuracy. Selecting samples with a principled algorithm prioritising common variant coverage, HPRC2 contributes 460 haplotypes that together capture over 99% of common variation observed in the All of Us Research Program v8 cohort. Combining high-coverage long and ultra-long reads with modern assemblers and polishers, we produce thousands of telomere-to-telomere (T2T) chromosomes, and relative to HPRC1 halve the number of structurally unreliable regions as well as individual base errors per haplotype. We complement the assemblies with whole genome multiple alignments and gene annotations, and derive formal pangenome coordinate systems for addressing off-reference variation, demonstrating that individual human genomes contain more than one hundred thousand variants not succinctly described with respect to existing reference genomes. We also present the first matched long-read backed pantranscriptome and panepigenome at this scale, provide continuous local-ancestry estimates spanning every genome, and outline a host of new tools and applications that leverage the pangenome resource for improved genomics analysis.

Journal Article