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Decrease in CD4 lymphocyte counts with rest; implications for the monitoring of HIV infection.

Measurement of the CD4 lymphocyte count is widely used as a prognostic marker and guide for the institution of antiretroviral therapy in patients infected with HIV (human immunodeficiency virus). CD4 counts are known to fluctuate with strenuous physical activity and diurnal variation but there is no information on the effects of rest or normal daily activity. We investigated the effects of rest on the absolute CD4 lymphocyte count in 20 healthy laboratory workers. Blood samples were obtained in 20 subjects upon arrival in the laboratory (CD4 0), following 30 and 60 min rest (CD4 30 and CD4 60 respectively) and 8 h into a normal working day (CD4 8). A significant decrease in the CD4 lymphocyte count was observed following 60 min rest; mean CD4 count at 0 min 1060 x 10(6)/L, mean CD4 count at 60 min 660 x 10(6)/L (P = 0.0017). These results demonstrate a significant effect of rest on CD4 lymphocyte counts in healthy volunteers. This biological variation may be important in HIV-infected patients and needs to be addressed by further studies.

Activities of Daily Living↗

Relationship between CD4 lymphocyte count and AIDS mortality, 1986-1991.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the relationship between CD4 lymphocyte count and short-term AIDS mortality, and to determine whether this relationship changed during 1986-1991. DESIGN: A retrospective analysis of CD4 lymphocyte counts in patients dying with AIDS and estimation of median survival in patients with a CD4 count < .50 x 10(6)/l. METHODS: Absolute CD4 lymphocyte count in the 6 months before death was available for 178 patients. The terminal CD4 count was compared in five cohorts of patients dying in 12-month periods from July 1986. Kaplan-Meier survival curves were constructed using survival from date of first absolute CD4 count < 50 x 10(6)/l in 271 patients and compared for each yearly cohort. RESULTS: The median terminal CD4 lymphocyte count for all patients was 10 x 10(6)/l. The median terminal CD4 counts for each yearly cohort were: 1986/1987, 100 (n = 13); 1987-1988, 10 (n = 27); 1988-1989, 10 (n = 30); 1989/1990, 20 (n = 59); 1990-1991, 10 (n = 58). There was a significant difference in the terminal CD4 count in the 1986-1987 period compared with all other years combined, but no further changes after 1987-1988. The median survival of all patients from date of first CD4 count < 50 x 10(6)/l was 11.9 months. There was no significant difference in median survival in each yearly cohort. CONCLUSIONS: There is a close correlation between CD4 lymphocyte count and short-term mortality in AIDS. Therapeutic advances over the past 5 years are not reflected by changes in CD4 count before death or improved survival in patients with very low CD4 counts.

Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome↗

Total lymphocyte count of 1200 is not a sensitive predictor of CD4 lymphocyte count among patients with HIV disease in Kampala, Uganda.

INTRODUCTION: Total Lymphocyte Count (TLC) has been found to be an inexpensive and useful marker for staging disease, predicting progression to AIDS and death and monitoring response to ART. However, the correlation between TLC and CD4 has not been consistent. Access to HAART is expanding in Kampala, Uganda, yet there are no published data evaluating the utility of TLC as inexpensive surrogate marker of CD4 cell count to help guide therapeutic decisions. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate clinical illnesses and total lymphocyte count (TLC) as surrogate markers of the CD4 cell count in HIV infected persons being considered for ART. METHODS: A total of 131 patients were enrolled and evaluated by clinical assessment, TLC and CD4 count. Clinical illnesses and TLC dichotomized at various cut-point values were used to determine the sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values (PPV and NPV) for the diagnosis of CD4 count <200 cells/mm 3 among 100 participants fulfilling criteria for WHO clinical stage 2 and 3. RESULTS: A strong correlation was observed between TLC and CD4 (r = 0.73, p<0.0001). For all clinical syndromes, except pulmonary tuberculosis, the positive predictive values (PPV) for a CD4 count <200 cells/mm 3 were high (>80%) but the negative predictive values (NPV) were low. Using the WHO recommended TLC cut-off of 1200 cells/mm 3 to diagnose a CD4 less than 200 cells/mm 3 , the PPV was 100%, and the NPV was 32%. CONCLUSION: Our data showed a good correlation between TLC and CD4 cell count. However, the WHO recommended TLC cut-off of 1200 did not identify the majority of WHO stage 2 and 3 patients with CD4 counts less than 200 cells/mm 3 . A more rational use of TLC counts is to treat all patients with WHO stage 2 and 3 who have a TLC <1200 and to limit CD4 counts to patients who are symptomatic but have TLC of >1200.

Adult↗

CD4+ lymphocyte count in African patients co-infected with HIV and tuberculosis.

The objectives of this study were (a) to compare the CD4+ lymphocyte profiles over time of two groups of patients hospitalized for tuberculosis (TB) treatment [a group of patients with TB only (TB group) and a group dually infected by HIV and TB (HIV/TB group)] and (b) to assess the usefulness of the total lymphocyte count (TLC) as a surrogate of the CD4+ lymphocyte count in the HIV/TB group. A total of 345 patients were enrolled in the study of whom 104 (29.8%) were HIV seropositive (HIV/TB). On admission, the CD4+ lymphocyte counts of the HIV/TB cohort were significantly lower than the TB group with medians of 230 (interquartile range, 90-475) and 630 (500-865), respectively (p < 0.0001). The CD4+ lymphocyte count increased significantly in both cohorts on routine TB treatment. A TLC of 1,300-1,500 cells/mm3 was found to be predictive of a CD4+ lymphocyte count of < or = 200 cells/mm3 both on admission and after 1 month of TB therapy. We conclude from this study that the positive influence of TB therapy on the CD4+ lymphocyte count strongly suggests an additional avenue of influence on the course of HIV infection, whereas the usefulness of the TLC as a surrogate estimation of CD4+ lymphocyte count in HIV/TB patients has important implications for the developing world.

AIDS-Related Opportunistic Infections↗

Prognostic value of single measurements of beta-2-microglobulin, immunoglobulin A in HIV disease after controlling for CD4 lymphocyte counts and plasma HIV RNA levels.

The interrelationships between the CD4 lymphocyte count, plasma viral load [human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) RNA], beta-2-microglobulin (beta2-M) and immunoglobulin A (IgA) and the mortality risk was explored in 234 HIV-infected individuals (median CD4 count 230 cells/mm3, range 1-1,247). Product-moment correlation analysis was used to study the association between beta2-M, IgA and HIV RNA. A proportional hazards Cox model was used to estimate the relative hazard (RH) of death. Both beta2-M (r = 0.49, p < 0.0001) and IgA (r = 0.42, p < 0.0001) were positively correlated with HIV RNA. High beta2-M levels were associated with an increased risk of death in both univariate Cox analysis and after adjustment for HIV RNA, CD4 lymphocyte count and age [RH = 1.16 per 100 nmol/l higher beta2-M, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.05-1.27]. Raised IgA levels were associated with shorter survival in individuals with a CD4 count above 50 cells/mm3 in univariate analysis as well as after adjusting for age and CD4 lymphocyte count (RH = 1.19 per 10 micromol/l higher IgA, 95% CI 1.01-1.39). However, this association was no longer significant after further adjusting for HIV RNA. In conclusion, beta2-M levels provided additional prognostic information for survival to the information obtained by CD4 count and HIV RNA levels, whereas serum IgA only was a weak prognostic marker in this fairly progressed cohort.

Adult↗

Modeling of the change in CD4 lymphocyte counts in patients before and after administration of the human immunodeficiency virus protease inhibitor indinavir.

We investigated the relationships between changes in CD4 lymphocytes counts over 24 weeks after the initiation of therapy with indinavir at dosages of > or = 2.4 g/day (n = 15) in human immunodeficiency virus-positive patients and compared them to the baseline values. Starting CD4 count were linked to the time-weighted average CD4 cell count (return) through a nonlinear effect model. The diminution of destruction of CD4 cells after the initiation of indinavir therapy was estimated by fitting simultaneous differential equations to the data by using a linked lymph node (LN)-blood (BL) (two-compartment) system in which there is a constant rate of generation (R), first-order transfer rate constants (KLN-BL and KBL-LN) of compartment exchange, and first-order rate constants of CD4 destruction in the absence and presence of indinavir (KLN-OUT1 and KLN-OUT2). The half-life of CD4 lymphocytes was calculated from the rate constants by standard two-compartment methods. The CD4 lymphocyte counts at the start and return were linked in a sigmoid-Emax model were the maximal effect (Emax) was at 574.6 cells/microliters and 50% of the effect occurred at 157.1 cells/microliters (r2 = 0.94; P < 0.001). The mean +/- standard deviation (median) KLN-OUT2 was 0.574 +/- 0.202 (0.589), indicating that indinavir decrease the destruction of CD4 cells by circa 41 to 42%. The mean (median) CD4 half-life was 11.5 +/- 5.72 day (10.3 days). In multivariate analysis, KLN-OUT2 was significantly correlated with starting the CD4 cells count and the change in the CD4 cell count on therapy. The relationship between CD4 lymphocyte half-life and the starting CD4 lymphocyte count was hyperbolic, with a rapid increase in half-life as the CD4 count decreased. On the basis of the calculated half-life, the average production (destruction) of CD4 lymphocytes was approximately 3 x 10(9) cells/day, with an individual variation of 44-fold. These findings suggest that (i) the CD4 lymphocyte cell count at the start is significantly correlated to both the decrease in the destruction rate of CD4 cells and the degree of change in the CD4 lymphocytes on therapy, (ii) the lower the initial CD4 lymphocyte count, the higher the amount of CD4 lymphocyte turnover and the lower the ability of the immune system to increase absolute CD4 lymphocyte levels after viral suppression, consistent with a decreased regenerative capacity with progression of disease; and (iii) the increase in CD4 lymphocytes is likely secondary to the expansion of proliferating pool of cells since our determinations are based on 24 weeks of effect.

Anti-HIV Agents↗

Predictive value of repeated measurements of CD4 lymphocyte counts on progression to AIDS.

OBJECTIVE: Description of the relationship between repeated measurements of CD4 lymphocyte count and development of AIDS in asymptomatic HIV-infected patients. DESIGN: Repeated measurements of CD4 lymphocyte counts over an AIDS-free period in asymptomatic HIV-infected patients, and follow-up of the cohort to record subsequent clinical progression to AIDS. METHODS: The cohort was studied in a double-blind randomized clinical trial. CD4 lymphocyte counts were measured on three occasions over 8 months in 851 patients. RESULTS: Eighty subsequent clinical progressions to AIDS were recorded during a median follow-up period of 15.3 months. Each of the three measurements of CD4 lymphocyte count were separately predictive of subsequent progression to AIDS. However, when the three measurements were included simultaneously in a predictive model only the last measurement showed a significant predictive value. Change in individual CD4 count was also related to the risk of developing AIDS, but was no longer significant when the most recent measurement was included in the model. CONCLUSION: These results indicate the closeness of the relationship between the actual state of the immune system and subsequent progression to AIDS.

Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome↗

Modelling progression of CD4-lymphocyte count and its relationship to survival time.

The purpose of this article is to model the progression of CD4-lymphocyte count and the relationship between different features of this progression and survival time. The complicating factors in this analysis are that the CD4-lymphocyte count is observed only at certain fixed times and with a high degree of measurement error, and that the length of the vector of observations is determined, in part, by the length of survival. If probability of death depends on the true, unobserved CD4-lymphocyte count, then the survival process must be modelled. Wu and Carroll (1988, Biometrics 44, 175-188) proposed a random effects model for two-sample longitudinal data in the presence of informative censoring, in which the individual effects included only slopes and intercepts. We propose methods for fitting a broad class of models of this type, in which both the repeated CD4-lymphocyte counts and the survival time are modelled using random effects. These methods permit us to estimate parameters describing the progression of CD4-lymphocyte count as well as the effect of differences in the CD4 trajectory on survival. We apply these methods to results of AIDS clinical trials.

Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome↗

Predictors of CD4+ lymphocyte count among HIV-seropositive and HIV-seronegative pregnant women in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the predictors of CD4+ lymphocyte count among pregnant women in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania. METHODS: Between 04/1995 and 03/1997, HIV-seropositive (n=1,027) and HIV-seronegative (n=280) pregnant women were interviewed to obtain socio-demographic characteristics. Later, blood samples was collected for determination of T-lymphocyte subsets and other haematological indices. RESULTS: CD4+ lymphocyte count was significantly higher among HIV-seronegative women (mean=770 cells/mm3, standard deviation (SD)=232 cells/mm3) than HIV-seropositive women (mean=422 cells/mm3, SD=205 cells/mm3). Most HIV-seropositive women were asymptomatic, in WHO clinical stage 1 (84.3%). Among HIV-seropositive women, total white blood count (WBC) and erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR) remained significantly correlated with CD4+ after adjusting for other predictors in multivariate analyses. For women of average age 25 years, the CD4+ lymphocyte count increased by about 16 cells/mm3 for each increment of 1000 WBC cells/mm3, while each 10 mm/hr increase in ESR was associated with a reduction of CD4+ lymphocyte count of about 8 cells/mm3. CONCLUSION: These results show that simple and inexpensive haematological indices cannot be recommended for use as alternative measures of HIV-related immunosuppression in this population of mainly asymptomatic women.

Adult↗

Factors associated with the CD4+ lymphocyte count at diagnosis of acquired immunodeficiency syndrome. The AIDS IN EUROPE Study Group.

To assess which factors are associated with the CD4+ lymphocyte count at the time of AIDS diagnosis we studied 3046 patients in the AIDS IN EUROPE study who were diagnosed with AIDS in 1 of 17 European countries between 1979 and 1989 and for whom the CD4 count at AIDS diagnosis was known. Data were extracted retrospectively from patient case notes, using a standardized form. There was a wide range of average CD4+ lymphocyte counts at AID diagnosis, according to which diseases were present at diagnosis. The highest geometric mean CD4+ lymphocyte counts at AIDS diagnosis were associated with the diagnosis of extrapulmonary tuberculosis, Kaposi's sarcoma, and non-Hodgkin's lymphoma while the lowest counts were found when histoplasmosis and cytomegalovirus (CMV) retinitis were present. There were no appreciable differences between CD4+ lymphocyte counts at AIDS in patients according to the three major transmission route categories (sex, age, or region of diagnosis) but there was a marked trend (p < 0.005) toward lower CD4+ lymphocyte counts at AIDS diagnosis in more recent years. These associations remained largely unchanged after adjustment for other factors.

AIDS-Related Opportunistic Infections↗

Relation between HIV-2 proviral load and CD4+ lymphocyte count differs in monotypic and dual HIV infections.

OBJECTIVE: To explore and compare the relations between proviral DNA load and CD4+ lymphocyte counts in both HIV-2 monotypic and HIV dual infection. STUDY DESIGN/METHODS: In Dakar, Senegal, where the HIV-1 and HIV-2 epidemics overlap, serum and peripheral blood mononuclear cell (PBMC) DNA samples were collected from registered female sex workers and hospitalized patients. Sera were evaluated for reactivity to antigens of HIV-1 and HIV-2 by immunoblot; dual reactivity was confirmed with recombinant envelope peptides for HIV-1 and HIV-2. These samples were then subjected to HIV-1 and HIV-2 proviral DNA polymerase chain reaction (PCR). To evaluate the HIV-2 cellular proviral DNA loads, a quantitative competitive PCR (QC-PCR) was developed using nested primers to amplify the gag region of HIV-2. This assay used an internal competitor generated by inserting 25 bp in the first-round PCR target sequence. T-lymphocyte subset counts were estimated by flow cytometry for both HIV-2 monotypic and dually infected persons. RESULTS: 35 HIV-2-infected and 33 dually seroreactive samples were evaluated in this study. The CD4+ lymphocyte counts were similar in both groups, with mean values of 449 +/- 390 cells/mm3 for the HIV-2 monotypic infected persons and 476 +/- 308 cells/mm3 among the dually infected persons. However, the median proviral loads differed significantly, with those in the HIV-2 group ranging from 63.2 to 669.8 copies/10(5) CD4+ cells and demonstrating an inverse correlation with CD4+ lymphocyte count. The HIV dually infected persons showed less variation in viral load, ranging from 9.9 to 43.3 copies/10(5) CD4+ cells. Among the HIV dually infected persons, low HIV-2 proviral load was correlated with low CD4+ lymphocyte counts. CONCLUSIONS: The HIV-2 proviral loads in HIV dually infected persons were significantly lower than those in HIV-2 monotypically infected individuals (P < .0001), despite comparable CD4+ lymphocyte counts. These results suggest that different HIV-2 proviral dynamics prevail in HIV dual infection.

CD4 Lymphocyte Count↗

Immunogenetics of CD4 lymphocyte count recovery during antiretroviral therapy: An AIDS Clinical Trials Group study.

During antiretroviral therapy, CD4 lymphocyte count increases are modest in some patients despite virologic control. We explored whether polymorphisms in genes important for T cell expansion, survival, and apoptosis are associated with the magnitude of CD4 lymphocyte count recovery during antiretroviral therapy. We studied treatment-naive individuals who achieved sustained control of plasma viremia (<400 HIV-1 RNA copies/mL) for at least 48 weeks after initiation of antiretroviral therapy and compared genotypes among individuals who had an increase of either <200 or > or =200 CD4 cells/mm3 from baseline. A total of 137 single-nucleotide polymorphisms across 17 genes were characterized in 873 study participants. In multivariate analyses that controlled for clinical variables, polymorphisms in genes encoding tumor necrosis factor (TNF)-related apoptosis-inducing ligand (TRAIL), TNF- alpha , Bcl-2-interacting molecule (Bim), interleukin (IL)-15, and IL-15 receptor alpha chain (IL-15R alpha ) were associated with the magnitude of the increase in CD4 lymphocyte count, as were haplotypes in genes encoding interferon- alpha , IL-2, and IL-15R alpha (P < .05, for each). Multifactor dimensionality reduction identified a gene-gene interaction between IL-2/IL-15 receptor common beta chain and IL-2/IL-7/IL-15 receptor common gamma chain. Immune recovery during antiretroviral therapy is a complex phenotype that is influenced by multiple genetic variants. Future studies should validate these tentative associations and define underlying mechanisms.

Adult↗

Determinants of sustainable CD4 lymphocyte count increases in response to antiretroviral therapy.

OBJECTIVE: HIV-induced CD4 lymphocyte depletion is partially reversed by antiretroviral therapy but it is unclear if the degree to which the CD4 count rises depends on viral suppression (if so, the extent of viral suppression required to achieve a maximal CD4 count rise), whether the rise is sustainable and whether it occurs in patients with CD4 count <10 x 10(6) cells/l. We aimed to address these issues. METHODS: We studied CD4 count and plasma HIV RNA values every 4 weeks for 72 weeks in 154 patients starting indinavir-containing regimens. RESULTS: Mean baseline HIV RNA and CD4 count were 4.8 log10 copies/ml and 180 x 10(6) cells/l, respectively. Overall, there was a mean increase in CD4 count of 143 x 10(6) cells/l by 72 weeks. The adjusted mean increase (adjusted for initial viral load, CD4 count and age) was strongly related to the mean viral suppression over the follow-up period (P < 0.0001). Importantly, there was a highly significant difference (P = 0.0004) in the rise in CD4 count between those with 2-3 log suppression (161 x 10(6) cells/l) and those with > 3 log suppression (314 x 10(6) cells/l; mean 3.6 log suppression in this group), suggesting that with even greater suppression the rise in CD4 lymphocytes may be still larger. We also studied whether CD4 counts were still rising after 72 weeks in patients with sustained suppression of at least 3 log in viral load. There was a significant (P = 0.004; paired t-test) rise in count of 43 x 10(6) cells/l between weeks 64 and 72 in these patients, suggesting that regeneration continues at least up to 72 weeks after therapy, provided virus replication continues to be suppressed. Patients with initial CD4 counts < 10 x 10(6) cells/l experienced no smaller rises than those at higher levels, even after adjustment for other factors. CONCLUSION: These results strongly support a direct causal relationship between HIV replication and CD4 lymphocyte count depletion. The rise in those with > 3 log suppression provides the best available indicator of the potential for natural CD4 regeneration in HIV-infected patients. However, since still greater CD4 count rises may be seen with more suppressive regimens, it may not be possible to study the intrinsic CD4 regenerative capacity until such regimens are available.

Adult↗

Cytomegalovirus (CMV) viremia and the CD4+ lymphocyte count as predictors of CMV disease in patients infected with human immunodeficiency virus.

We screened 192 patients infected with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) to examine the relation between CD4+ lymphocyte counts and cytomegalovirus (CMV) viremia and the occurrence of CMV disease and subsequent duration of survival. When we stratified the viremic patients by CD4+ lymphocyte counts, the proportions were as follows: <50/mm3, 20 (25%) of 80 patients; 50-100/mm3, 2 (5.5%) of 36; 101-150/mm3, none of 14; and >150/mm3, 1 (1.5%) of 62. After a mean follow-up period of 8.5 months, 21 (11%) of 192 patients developed CMV disease. The probability of developing CMV disease at 6 months was 13% when the CD4+ lymphocyte count was <50/mm3, 3% when the CD4+ lymphocyte count was 50-100/mm3, and 0 when the CD4+ lymphocyte count was >100/mm3; this probability was 46% for viremic patients and 1% for nonviremic patients. In a multivariate analysis, CMV viremia was independently prognostic of CMV disease (relative risk, 22.03; 95% confidence interval, 6.49-78.97; P < .001), whereas a CD4+ lymphocyte count of <50/mm3 was not (P = .26). These results support the value of CMV viremia for predicting which HIV-infected patients are at risk of developing CMV disease and should therefore receive primary prophylaxis.

AIDS-Related Opportunistic Infections↗

CD4 lymphocyte count and CD4/CD8 ratio in elderly long-term care patients with oropharyngeal dysphagia: comparison between oral and tube enteral feeding.

Many institutionalized elderly patients are at risk of undernutrition as a result of oropharyngeal dysphagia (OD) that possibly affects their immunological status. Tube enteral fed (TEF) patients on controlled intake of nutrients enables us to evaluate the effect of inadequate nutrition on the immune system in the orally fed elderly with OD. The aim of our study was to compare CD4 lymphocyte count and CD4/CD8 ratio between these two differently fed groups. Twenty-eight orally fed patients with OD in the Functional Outcome Swallowing Scale (FOSS) stage 2 (group A) and 17 TEF subjects (group B) were studied. CD4 and CD8 counts were determined by flow cytometry. Nutritional markers (albumin, hemoglobin, and basal metabolic index) were recorded for each group. The Charlson index was used for comparison of comorbidity between the two patient groups. The average count of CD4 lymphocytes was significantly lower in group A than in group B (754 +/- 365 vs. 1032 +/- 404 cells/ml, p < 0.01). Six patients in group A (21%) had a CD4 count of less than 400 cells/ml (lower threshold) while all the patients in group B had a CD4 count of over 500 cells/ml (p < 0.001). The CD4/CD8 average ratio was also significantly lower in group A (p < 0.008). Nutritional markers were within normal limits with no difference between the groups. These results confirm our presumption that a low CD4 lymphocyte count and a low CD4/CD8 ratio could prevail among elderly frail patients with dysphagia. This supports the view that under an apparently satisfactory nutritional profile these patients may be in a state of undernutrition that negatively influences their immunodefense.

Age Factors↗

HIV viral load and CD4+ lymphocyte counts in subjects coinfected with HTLV-I and HIV-1.

Reports indicate that there is a dissociation between markers of HIV disease progression and clinical stage among subjects coinfected with human T-cell lymphotropic virus type I (HTLV-I) and HIV. HTLV-I coinfection does not appear to affect HIV viral load, currently considered to be the best marker of HIV disease progression. We measured HIV RNA levels in stored serum samples from 23 subjects with coinfection and 92 subjects with HIV single infection and examined the correlation with the CD4+ lymphocyte count. Subjects were recruited from an ongoing HIV cohort study in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. In both groups, CD4+ lymphocyte counts declined with increasing levels of HIV RNA. In a linear regression analysis adjusting for HIV RNA serum level, coinfected individuals had an estimated 78% higher CD4+ lymphocyte count than those with single infection. Simultaneous adjustment for beta2-microglobulin level increased the difference, with coinfected individuals having 146% (p = 0.005, 95% CI: 32% to 359%) higher CD4+ counts. These data suggest that the higher CD4+ lymphocyte counts associated with coinfection do not provide immunologic benefit and may reflect HTLV-I-associated nonspecific lymphocyte proliferation. The results of this and other studies suggest that the CD4+ count cutoff values used in making clinical decisions in HIV infection may not be appropriate in coinfection. As with HIV single infection, HIV virus load may be the optimal surrogate marker for subjects with coinfection.

Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome↗

[The prognostic value of different patterns of change in the CD4 lymphocyte counts in 420 symptom-free HIV-1-infected persons].

The pattern of change over time of CD4-lymphocyte counts was investigated prospectively in 420 patients infected with HIV-1 (106 women, 314 men; mean age 34.9 [21-70] years) to assess its value in prognosticating progression to AIDS. Only those CD4-lymphocyte values were taken into account which had been measured in the asymptomatic stage of the HIV infection and before introduction of antiviral treatment. An average of 4.5 (range 3-10) measurements per person were available. Mean observation time was 2.4 years, the mean annual CD4-lymphocyte decrease was 48 cells/microliters. 121 patients (28.8%) had a fall in CD4-lymphocyte count which in the regression analysis significantly differed from zero. In this group there occurred 19 progressions to AIDS (15.7%), in contrast to only 20 (6.6%) in the 299 patients with a nonsignificant CD4 fall (P < 0.01). Multivariate analysis with the Cox regression indicated that the annual reduction in the CD4 count and the initial CD4 count were the only values of prognostic significance regarding progression to AIDS. There was no evidence that percentage and absolute CD4-lymphocyte counts had a different predictive value. When the initial CD4 count was high (> 900 cells/microliters), there was on average a steeper reduction in CD4-lymphocyte counts than when it was lower. This findings argues against a linear CD4 fall during the total period of observation. The annual CD4 fall, described with linear regression, is a prognostic criterion on its own for early recognition of those patients at a high risk of progression to AIDS while still in the asymptomatic stage of HIV infection.

Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome↗