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PubMed2003

[Prevention of frailty in the elderly: a demographic challenge].

World population is ageing. This phenomenon is unprecedented, universal, long-lasting and has important implications. Unprecedented, because never before in human history, so many individuals have reached an advanced age. Universal, because all countries are now concerned. Long-lasting, because ageing started in the second half of the XXth century and will become even more pronounced over the XXIst century. With important implications, because it has and will have substantial consequences on human life and social composition. This article reviews quantitative data on ageing to appraise its extent and implication, the goal being to extend and stimulate the debate on ageing. International data are first presented, then analysis moves to Belgium estimates.

Aged↗
PubMed1979

The impact of heterogeneity in individual frailty on the dynamics of mortality.

Life table methods are developed for populations whose members differ in their endowment for longevity. Unlike standard methods, which ignore such heterogeneity, these methods use different calculations to construct cohort, period, and individual life tables. The results imply that standard methods overestimate current life expectancy and potential gains in life expectancy from health and safety interventions, while underestimating rates of individual aging, past progress in reducing mortality, and mortality differentials between pairs of populations. Calculations based on Swedish mortality data suggest that these errors may be important, especially in old age.

Actuarial Analysis↗