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PubMed2006

A large community outbreak of waterborne giardiasis-delayed detection in a non-endemic urban area.

BACKGROUND: Giardia is not endemic in Norway, and more than 90% of reported cases acquire the infection abroad. In late October 2004, an increase in laboratory confirmed cases of giardiasis was reported in the city of Bergen. An investigation was started to determine the source and extent of the outbreak in order to implement control measures. METHODS: Cases were identified through the laboratory conducting giardia diagnostics in the area. All laboratory-confirmed cases were mapped based on address of residence, and attack rates and relative risks were calculated for each water supply zone. A case control study was conducted among people living in the central area of Bergen using age- and sex matched controls randomly selected from the population register. RESULTS: The outbreak investigation showed that the outbreak started in late August and peaked in early October. A total of 1300 laboratory-confirmed cases were reported. Data from the Norwegian Prescription Database gave an estimate of 2500 cases treated for giardiasis probably linked to the outbreak. There was a predominance of women aged 20-29 years, with few children or elderly. The risk of infection for persons receiving water from the water supply serving Bergen city centre was significantly higher than for those receiving water from other supplies. Leaking sewage pipes combined with insufficient water treatment was the likely cause of the outbreak. CONCLUSION: Late detection contributed to the large public health impact of this outbreak. Passive surveillance of laboratory-confirmed cases is not sufficient for timely detection of outbreaks with non-endemic infections.

Adolescent↗

PubMed2006

Approaches to the evaluation of outbreak detection methods.

BACKGROUND: An increasing number of methods are being developed for the early detection of infectious disease outbreaks which could be naturally occurring or as a result of bioterrorism; however, no standardised framework for examining the usefulness of various outbreak detection methods exists. To promote comparability between studies, it is essential that standardised methods are developed for the evaluation of outbreak detection methods. METHODS: This analysis aims to review approaches used to evaluate outbreak detection methods and provide a conceptual framework upon which recommendations for standardised evaluation methods can be based. We reviewed the recently published literature for reports which evaluated methods for the detection of infectious disease outbreaks in public health surveillance data. Evaluation methods identified in the recent literature were categorised according to the presence of common features to provide a conceptual basis within which to understand current approaches to evaluation. RESULTS: There was considerable variation in the approaches used for the evaluation of methods for the detection of outbreaks in public health surveillance data, and appeared to be no single approach of choice. Four main approaches were used to evaluate performance, and these were labelled the Descriptive, Derived, Epidemiological and Simulation approaches. Based on the approaches identified, we propose a basic framework for evaluation and recommend the use of multiple approaches to evaluation to enable a comprehensive and contextualised description of outbreak detection performance. CONCLUSION: The varied nature of performance evaluation demonstrated in this review supports the need for further development of evaluation methods to improve comparability between studies. Our findings indicate that no single approach can fulfil all evaluation requirements. We propose that the cornerstone approaches to evaluation identified provide key contributions to support internal and external validity and comparability of study findings, and suggest these be incorporated into future recommendations for performance assessment.

Benchmarking↗

PubMed2005

Molecular analysis of two local falciparum malaria outbreaks on the French Guiana coast confirms the msp1 B-K1/varD genotype association with severe malaria.

BACKGROUND: Plasmodium falciparum outbreaks can occur in the coastal area of French Guiana, where the population is essentially non-immune. Two sporadic outbreaks were observed, including one with severe malaria cases. To characterize these outbreaks and verify previous observations of specific genotype characteristics in severe malaria in this area, all cases from each outbreak were studied. METHODS: P. falciparum genotypes for six genetic loci were determined by PCR amplification from peripheral blood parasites. The msp1/block2 and msp2 genotypes were determined by DNA sequencing. Microsatellite and varD genotyping was based on size polymorphism and locus-specific amplification. RESULTS: The outbreak including severe malaria cases was associated with a single genotype. The other mild malaria outbreak was due to at least five distinct genotypes. CONCLUSION: Two distinct types of outbreak occurred despite systematic and sustained deployment of malaria control measures, indicating a need for reinforced vigilance. The varD/B-K1 msp1 linkage and its association with severe malaria in this area was confirmed.

Amino Acid Sequence↗

PubMed2001

Varicella outbreak at a summer camp for human immunodeficiency virus-infected children.

OBJECTIVES: Varicella can result in severe, persistent, or recurrent disease in human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected children. In the summer of 1997, we were notified of a suspected varicella outbreak among attendees of a summer camp for HIV-infected children. We investigated this outbreak to determine the extent and sequelae of the outbreak, and to identify factors that contributed to the outbreak to identify measures for preventing such outbreaks at the camp in the future. DESIGN: To identify varicella-susceptible persons and those developing varicella after camp and to evaluate the camp's varicella prevention measures, we reviewed camp records for the 110 campers and 96 staff at the implicated camp session, mailed questionnaires to the campers' parents/guardians and physicians, and interviewed susceptible staff. We defined a case as varicella in a person who attended the session with onset </=21 days after the session ended. RESULTS: Eleven of 31 susceptible children (36%) and 2 of 4 susceptible adults developed varicella. Two children were hospitalized. One developed cellulitis. Cases occurred among children in 5 of 15 cabins. The most likely index case was a child with active zoster at camp, reported to the camp after the session ended. The camp had varicella-prevention measures in place, but the varicella-susceptibility and exposure information provided to the camp was often incomplete or inaccurate. Staff with no varicella history underwent serologic testing, but susceptible staff members were not vaccinated. CONCLUSIONS: Widespread varicella transmission occurred at the camp. A case of zoster was the most likely source. The risk for such outbreaks can be minimized through vaccinating susceptible staff members, considering vaccination for asymptomatic or mildly symptomatic HIV-infected children according to Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices and American Academy of Pediatrics guidelines, rigorously collecting recent varicella and zoster exposure information, excluding anyone with active varicella or zoster or with recent varicella or zoster exposure, and considering varicella and zoster exposures at camp to be potentially camp-wide.varicella, human immunodeficiency virus infections, disease outbreaks, intravenous immunoglobulin.

Adolescent↗

PubMed2006

[Application of Whittle's stochastic threshold theorem to a chickenpox outbreak].

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the basic reproductive rate of a chickenpox outbreak, to apply the stochastic threshold theorem to estimate the probability of an outbreak occurrence and to identify preventive measures. METHODS: The study was carried out in a daycare center comprising 16 children, 13 susceptible, one infected and two children with acquired immunity by previous disease. A stochastic susceptible - infected - removed model was applied. The basic reproductive rate (R0) was estimated using the maximum likelihood method based on probability distribution for the total size of the epidemic and making an approach of almost complete epidemic. Based on R0, the theorem was applied to establish some preventive measures for preventing a chickenpox outbreak. RESULTS: Each initially infected subject produced three new cases of infection requiring minimum vaccination coverage of 62% to prevent the outbreak or to reduce in 62% the contact among members of the group or to increase in 170% removal of infected subjects. CONCLUSIONS: The stochastic threshold theorem allows to identifying measures that could be implemented to prevent and control chickenpox outbreaks. Although the distribution of the epidemic size showed similar probability of occurrence of large and small outbreaks in a typical bimodal pattern, it illustrates the uncertainty of epidemic process in small groups, requiring close detection of outbreaks in such groups.

Chickenpox↗

PubMed2003

[Analysis of an outbreak of viral meningitis in the province of Tucuman, Argentina].

OBJECTIVE: To confirm the occurrence of an outbreak of viral meningitis in 1996 in the province of Tucuman, Argentina, and to study the outbreak's epidemiological characteristics. METHODS: We analyzed information from the National Epidemiological Surveillance System of the Ministry of Health (MOH) of Argentina for 1994-1998 that had been provided by the MOH's Bureau of Epidemiology. We calculated incidence rates using population estimates for the years 1994-1998 developed by the National Statistics and Census Institute, based on the 1991 census. We studied frequencies with contingency tables, using the chi-square method with Yates' correction. Results were considered significant when P < 0.05. RESULTS: We confirmed the occurrence of an outbreak of 189 cases of viral meningitis between 11 February and 18 May 1996. The incidence of cases in Tucuman province increased between 1995 and 1996, from 0.5 to 19.3 cases per 100 000 person-years. That 1996 rate in Tucuman was significantly higher than what was seen in the rest of the country (2.8 cases per 100 000 person-years). Of the 189 cases, 142 of them (75.1%) occurred in children less than 9 years old. Out of 111 samples studied, 65 of them (58.6%) were enterovirus-positive. Through reverse transcription-nested polymerase chain reaction, enteroviruses were found in 66.3% (53/80) of the cases studied by this method, versus in only 29.6% (24/81) of the cases studied through viral isolation. In the 22 samples that were serotyped, echovirus type 4 was identified in 15 of them (68%): 5 by isolation, 3 by sequencing, and 7 by both methods. During the Tucuman outbreak, at least 56% of the cases were hospitalized. This viral meningitis outbreak shows the capacity of enteroviruses to spread and cause disease. CONCLUSIONS: The use of molecular methods makes it possible to rapidly diagnose the etiological virus and to better control an outbreak. Recognizing this outbreak in Tucuman sooner could have averted the majority of the hospitalizations and the indiscriminate use of antibiotics.

Adolescent↗

PubMed2004

Ross River virus disease in Australia, 1886-1998, with analysis of risk factors associated with outbreaks.

Ross River virus (RR) is a mosquito-borne arbovirus responsible for outbreaks of polyarthritic disease throughout Australia. To better understand human and environmental factors driving such events, 57 historical reports on RR outbreaks between 1896 and 1998 were examined collectively. The magnitude, regularity, seasonality, and locality of outbreaks were found to be wide ranging; however, analysis of climatic and tidal data highlighted that environmental conditions act differently in tropical, arid, and temperate regions. Overall, rainfall seems to be the single most important risk factor, with over 90% of major outbreak locations receiving higher than average rainfall in preceding months. Many temperatures were close to average, particularly in tropical populations; however, in arid regions, below average maximum temperatures predominated, and in southeast temperate regions, above average minimum temperatures predominated. High spring tides preceded coastal outbreaks, both in the presence and absence of rainfall, and the relationship between rainfall and the Southern Oscillation Index and La Niña episodes suggest they may be useful predictive tools, but only in southeast temperate regions. Such heterogeneity predisposing outbreaks supports the notion that there are different RR epidemiologies throughout Australia but also suggests that generic parameters for the prediction and control of outbreaks are of limited use at a local level.

Alphavirus Infections↗

PubMed2004

Differences in climatic factors between Ross River virus disease outbreak and nonoutbreak years.

Ross River virus is a common mosquito-borne arbovirus responsible for outbreaks of polyarthritic disease throughout Australia. To better understand climatic factors preceding outbreaks, we compared seasonal and monthly rainfall and temperature trends in outbreak and nonoutbreak years at four epidemic-prone locations. Our analyses showed that rainfall in outbreak years tended to be above average and higher than rainfall in nonoutbreak years. Overall temperatures were warmer during outbreak years. However, there were a number of distinct deviations in temperature, which seem to play a role in either promoting or inhibiting outbreaks. These preliminary findings show that climatic differences occur between outbreak and nonoutbreak years; however, seasonal and monthly trends differed across geo-climatic regions of the country. More detailed research is imperative if we are to optimize the surveillance and control of epidemic polyarthritic disease in Australia.

Alphavirus Infections↗

PubMed1989

Results of routine restaurant inspections can predict outbreaks of foodborne illness: the Seattle-King County experience.

To analyze the association between the results of routine inspections and foodborne outbreaks in restaurants, we conducted a matched case-control study using available data from Seattle-King County, Washington. Case restaurants were facilities with a reported foodborne outbreak between January 1, 1986 and March 31, 1987 (N = 28). Two control restaurants with no reported outbreaks during this period were matched to each case restaurant on county health district and date of routine inspection (N = 56). Data from the routine inspection that preceded the outbreak (for case restaurants) or the date-matched routine inspection (for control restaurants) were abstracted from computerized inspection records. Case restaurants had a significantly lower mean inspection score (83.8 on a 0 to 100 point scale) than control restaurants (90.9). Restaurants with poor inspection scores and violations of proper temperature controls of potentially hazardous foods were, respectively, five and ten times more likely to have outbreaks than restaurants with better results. Although this study demonstrates that Seattle-King County's routine inspection form can successfully identify restaurants at increased risk of foodborne outbreaks, it also illustrates that more emphasis on regulation and education is needed to prevent outbreaks in restaurants with poor inspection results.

Disease Outbreaks↗

PubMed2006

Waterborne outbreaks reported in the United States.

Epidemic waterborne risks are discussed in this paper. Although the true incidence of waterborne illness is not reflected in the currently reported outbreak statistics, outbreak surveillance has provided information about the important waterborne pathogens, relative degrees of risk associated with water sources and treatment processes, and adequacy of regulations. Pathogens and water system deficiencies that are identified in outbreaks may also be important causes of endemic waterborne illness. In recent years, investigators have identified a large number of pathogens responsible for outbreaks, and research has focused on their sources, resistance to water disinfection, and removal from drinking water. Outbreaks in surface water systems have decreased in the recent decade, most likely due to recent regulations and improved treatment efficacy. Of increased importance, however, are outbreaks caused by the microbial contamination of water distribution systems. In order to better estimate waterborne risks in the United States, additional information is needed about the contribution of distribution system contaminants to endemic waterborne risks and undetected waterborne outbreaks, especially those associated with distribution system contaminants.

Communicable Diseases↗

PubMed2000

Isolation of respiratory bovine coronavirus, other cytocidal viruses, and Pasteurella spp from cattle involved in two natural outbreaks of shipping fever.

OBJECTIVE: To identify cytocidal viruses and Pasteurella spp that could be isolated from cattle involved in 2 natural outbreaks of shipping fever. ANIMALS: 105 and 120 castrated male 4- to 8-month-old feedlot cattle involved in 1997 and 1998 outbreaks, respectively. PROCEDURES: Nasal swab specimens and blood samples were collected, and cattle were vaccinated on arrival at an order-buyer barn from 4 local auction houses. Four days later, they were transported to a feedlot, and additional nasal swab specimens and blood samples were collected. Nasal swab specimens were submitted for virus isolation and bacterial culture; blood samples were submitted for measurement of respiratory bovine coronavirus (RBCV) hemagglutinin inhibition titers. RESULTS: 93 of 105 cattle and 106 of 120 cattle developed signs of respiratory tract disease during 1997 and 1998, respectively, and RBCV was isolated from 81 and 89 sick cattle, respectively, while at the order-buyer's barn or the day after arrival at the feedlot. During the 1997 outbreak, bovine herpesvirus 1 was isolated from 2 cattle at the order-buyer's barn and from 5 cattle 7 and 14 days after arrival at the feedlot, and parainfluenza virus 3 was isolated from 4 cattle 14 days after arrival at the feedlot. During the 1998 outbreak, bovine herpesvirus 1 was isolated from 2 cattle at the order-buyer's barn and on arrival at the feedlot and from 5 cattle 7 and 14 days after arrival at the feedlot, and parainfluenza virus 3 was isolated from 1 animal the day of, and from 18 cattle 7 and 14 days after, arrival at the feedlot. Pasteurella spp was cultured from 4 and 6 cattle at the order-buyer's barn and from 92 and 72 cattle on arrival at the feedlot during the 1997 and 1998 outbreaks, respectively. CONCLUSIONS AND CLINICAL RELEVANCE: Results suggest that RBCV may play a causative role in outbreaks of shipping fever in cattle. More than 80% of the sick cattle shed RBCV at the beginning of 2 outbreaks when the Pasteurella spp infection rate was low.

Animals↗

PubMed1993

Comparative studies on pharyngeal carriage of Neisseria meningitidis during a localized outbreak of serogroup C meningococcal disease.

An outbreak involving 20 cases of serogroup C meningococcal disease, predominantly among teenagers, occurred over a 7-month period in the Randers area of Denmark. The cases were caused by serogroup C:2a:P1.2 sulphonamide-resistant strains. The available evidence was against the transmission being related to particular schools. The outbreak was experienced as 3 clusters. At 2 schools involved in the first and the third cluster of the outbreak, 351 students were examined regarding pharyngeal carriage of meningococci, 282 of whom were tested again 17 weeks later; 308 students attending two similar schools in a nearby area were examined once. The majority of strains isolated from group C carriers in the high-risk area were serologically indistinguishable from the outbreak strain (13/14 = 95%), but less often sulphonamide-resistant (5/13 = 38%). In both areas, the overall rate (30%), the overall group C rate (3%), the carrier rate for the outbreak strain (1%) were the same. The attack rate for the outbreak strain differed significantly: 1/40 in the high-risk area versus 1/2,500 in the normal risk area. No conditions that might explain this difference were revealed. Immediately after recognition of the first and the third cluster, 780 and 13,300 students, respectively, were vaccinated with meningococcal polysaccharide vaccine A+C. It was concluded that the definition of target groups for vaccination should be liberal, because the "at risk" population may be difficult to recognize at the onset of an outbreak.

Adolescent↗

PubMed1996

Use of interrepeat PCR fingerprinting to investigate an Acinetobacter baumannii outbreak in an intensive care unit.

An epidemiological investigation of an outbreak of Acinetobacter baumannii among patients on 2 closely related intensive care units (ICU) was performed by molecular typing with interrepeat polymerase chain reaction (interrepeat PCR). 31 A. baumannii isolates obtained from 15 ICU patients were characterized. All patients were infected or colonized with A. baumannii. After identification of the outbreak, 6 environmental isolates were collected from tap-water, sinks and cleaning detergents. PCR fingerprinting identified 3 genotypes among the outbreak-related strains. One predominant genotype was demonstrated in 14/15 patients and this genotype was also found among all environmental isolates. The cluster of A. baumannii represented an outbreak of 1 genotype, suggesting cross-contamination. The finding of the identical genotype among all environmental strains indicated a common environmental source causing the outbreak. The outbreak was controlled after reimplementation of an effective disinfection of workplace surfaces. This survey proved interrepeat PCR to be a rapid and reliable method to differentiate A. baumannii strains, thereby allowing epidemiological surveillance of large amounts of strains and early interventions to control outbreaks.

Acinetobacter↗

PubMed2005

Norovirus outbreaks from drinking water.

As part of an intensified monitoring program for foodborne disease outbreaks in Finland, waterborne outbreaks were investigated for viruses. The diagnostic procedure included analysis of patients' stool samples by electron microscopy and reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) for noroviruses and astroviruses. When these test results were positive for a virus, the water sample was analyzed. Virus concentration was based on positively charged filters from 1-L samples. Of the total 41 waterborne outbreaks reported during the observation period (1998-2003), samples from 28 outbreaks were available for analysis. As judged by RT-PCR results from patient samples, noroviruses caused 18 outbreaks. In 10 outbreaks, the water sample also yielded a norovirus. In all but 1 instance, the amplicon sequence was identical to that recovered from the patients. The ubiquity of waterborne norovirus outbreaks calls for measures to monitor water for viruses.

Caliciviridae Infections↗

PubMed2002

A focal, rapidly-controlled outbreak of dengue fever in two suburbs in Townsville, north Queensland, 2001.

In April-May 2001 an outbreak of dengue fever occurred in two suburbs in Townsville, north Queensland. This was the first outbreak in the Townsville region since a very large outbreak in 1992-1993. Notification delays resulted in late detection of the outbreak. Once recognised, control measures were implemented and rapid control was achieved. Dengue serotype 2 was the causative virus and 9 cases of dengue fever were documented. The approach to management of dengue fever outbreaks and vector control strategies have been improved and refined in the years since the 1992-1993 outbreak. These measures, in addition to favourable weather conditions, were likely to have contributed to the successful containment of this outbreak.

Animals↗

PubMed2004

Archiving of food samples from restaurants and caterers--quantitative profiling of outbreaks of foodborne salmonellosis in Japan.

The Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare (former MHW) of Japan issued a Directive in 1997 advising restaurants and caterers to freeze portions of both raw food and cooked dishes for at least 2 weeks. This system has been useful for determining vehicle foods at outbreaks. Enumeration of bacteria in samples of stored food provide data about pathogen concentrations in the implicated food. Data on Salmonella concentrations in vehicle foods associated with salmonellosis outbreaks were collected in Japan between 1989 and 1998. The 39 outbreaks that occurred during this period were categorized by the settings where the outbreaks took place, and epidemiological data from each outbreak were summarized. Characteristics of outbreak groups were analyzed and compared. The effect of new food-storage system on determination of bacterial concentration was evaluated. Freezing and nonfreezing conditions prior to microbial examination were compared in the dose-response relationship. Data from outbreaks in which implicated foods had been kept frozen suggested apparent correlation between the Salmonella dose ingested and the disease rate. Combined with results of epidemiological investigation, quantitative data from the ingested pathogen could provide complete dose-response data sets.

Adolescent↗

PubMed2006

Mysterious outbreaks of gastrointestinal illness associated with burritos supplied through school lunch programs.

From October 1997 through March 1998, three outbreaks of gastrointestinal illness among school children were linked to company A burritos. In September 1998, a similar outbreak occurred in three North Dakota schools following lunches that included company B burritos. We conducted an investigation to determine the source of the North Dakota outbreak, identify other similar outbreaks, characterize the illness, and gather evidence about the cause. The investigation included epidemiologic analyses, environmental investigation, and laboratory analyses. In North Dakota, a case was defined as nausea, headache, abdominal cramps, vomiting, or diarrhea after lunch on 16 September 1998. Case definitions varied in the other states. In North Dakota, 504 students and staff met the case definition; predominant symptoms were nausea (72%), headache (68%), abdominal cramps (54%), vomiting (24%), and diarrhea (16%). The median incubation period was 35 min and median duration of illness was 6 h. Eating burritos was significantly associated with illness (odds ratio, 2.6; 95% confidence interval, 1.6 to 4.2). We identified 16 outbreaks that occurred in seven states from October 1997 through October 1998, affecting more than 1,900 people who ate burritos from two unrelated companies. All tortillas were made with wheat flour, but the fillings differed, suggesting that tortillas contained the etiologic agent. Results of plant inspections, tracebacks, and laboratory investigations were unrevealing. More than two million pounds of burritos were recalled or held from distribution. The short incubation period, symptoms, and laboratory data suggest that these outbreaks were caused by an undetected toxin or an agent not previously associated with this clinical syndrome. Mass psychogenic illness is an unlikely explanation because of the large number of sites where outbreaks occurred over a short period, the similarity of symptoms, the common food item, the lack of publicity, and the link to only two companies. A network of laboratories that can rapidly identify known and screen for unknown agents in food is a critical part of protecting the food supply against natural and intentional contamination.

Child↗

PubMed1999

Hepatitis A outbreaks among illicit drug users and their contacts in Queensland, 1997.

OBJECTIVE: To describe five outbreaks of hepatitis A virus (HAV) infection associated with illicit drug use during a statewide outbreak of HAV infection in Queensland. DESIGN: Risk factor prevalence survey. PATIENTS AND SETTING: All 875 cases of HAV infection notified to Public Health Units in Queensland in the 12 months to 30 November 1997. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Type and prevalence of illicit drug use. RESULTS: Risk factor assessment was completed for 804 cases (91.9%). We identified five outbreaks of HAV infection linked to illicit drug use. These outbreaks accounted for 24.6% (215/875) of all notified cases and 39% (190/482) of notified cases in the 15-34 years age group. The main type of illicit drug use in four of the five outbreaks was injecting drug use (74%; 118/160), while in the other outbreak it was sharing of smoking implements for marijuana (38%; 21/55). CONCLUSION: Illicit drug use may be an under-recognised risk factor for HAV infection, particularly in young people. Faecal-oral transmission through poor personal hygiene, including sharing of implements for smoking marijuana, is the most probable route of transmission in these drug-linked outbreaks. The role of contaminated drug and needle-sharing remains to be clarified.

Adolescent↗