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PubMed2005

Protecting people against radiation exposure in the event of a radiological attack. A report of The International Commission on Radiological Protection.

This report responds to a widely perceived need for professional advice on radiological protection measures to be undertaken in the event of a radiological attack. The report, which is mainly concerned with possible attacks involving 'radioactive dispersion devices', re-affirms the applicability of existing ICRP recommendations to such situations, should they ever occur. Many aspects of the emergency scenarios expected to arise in the event of a radiological attack may be similar to those that experience has shown can arise from radiological accidents, but there may also be important differences. For instance, a radiological attack would probably be targeted at a public area, possibly in an urban environment, where the presence of radiation is not anticipated and the dispersion conditions commonly assumed for a nuclear or radiological emergency, such as at a nuclear installation, may not be applicable. First responders to a radiological attack and other rescuers need to be adequately trained and to have the proper equipment for identifying radiation and radioactive contamination, and specialists in radiological protection must be available to provide advice. It may be prudent to assume that radiological, chemical, and/or biological agents are involved in an attack until it is proven otherwise. This calls for an 'all-hazard' approach to the response. In the aftermath of an attack, the main aim of radiological protection must be to prevent the occurrence of acute health effects attributable to radiation exposure (termed 'deterministic' effects) and to restrict the likelihood of late health effects (termed 'stochastic' effects) such as cancers and some hereditable diseases. A supplementary aim is to minimise environmental contamination from radioactive residues and the subsequent general disruption of daily life. The report notes that action taken to avert exposures is a much more effective protective measure than protective measure the provision of medical treatment after exposure has occurred. Responders involved in recovery, remediation and eventual restoration should be subject to the usual international standards for occupational radiological protection, which are based on ICRP recommendations, including the relevant requirements for occupational dose limitation established in such standards. These restrictions may be relaxed for informed volunteers undertaking urgent rescue operations, and they are not applicable for voluntary life-saving actions. However, specific protection measures are recommended for female workers who may be pregnant or nursing an infant. The immediate countermeasures to protect the public in the rescue phase are primarily caring for people with traumatic injuries and controlling access. Subsequent actions include respiratory protection, personal decontamination, sheltering, iodine prophylaxis (if radio-iodines are involved), and temporary evacuation. In the recovery phase, the relocation and resettlement of people may be needed in extreme cases. This phase may require remedial action, including cleanup, management of the resulting radioactive waste, management of any human remains containing significant amounts of radioactive substances, and dealing with remaining radioactive residues. The guidance given in relation to public protection is based solely on radiological protection considerations and should be seen as a decision-aiding tool to prepare for the aftermath of a radiological attack. It is expected to serve as input to a final decision-making process that may include other societal concerns, consideration of lessons learned in the past (especially these involving the public perception of the risks posed by radioactive contamination) and the participation of interested parties. A radiological attack could also be the cause of radioactive contamination of water, food, and other widely consumed commodities. This possible outcome is considered unlikely to lead to significant internal contamination of a large number of people owing to the large amounts of radioactive material that would be required to cause high levels of contamination of water, food, and other commodities. Nonetheless, the report recommends radiological criteria for restricting the use of commodities under such circumstances. The report concludes by re-iterating that the response to radiological attacks should be planned beforehand following the customary processes for optimisation of radiological protection recommended by ICRP, and that optimised measures should be prepared in advance. Such plans should result in a systematic approach that can be modified if necessary to take into account the prevailing conditions and to invoke actions as warranted by the circumstances. Many potential scenarios clearly cannot induce immediate severe radiation injuries. Therefore, in order to prevent over-reaction, response measures prepared in advance should reflect the real expected gravity of the various possible scenarios.

Environmental Exposure↗

PubMed1996

Deterministic pressure dissociation and unfolding of triose phosphate isomerase: persistent heterogeneity of a protein dimer.

Subunit dissociation and unfolding of dimeric rabbit muscle triose phosphate isomerase (TIM) induced by hydrostatic pressure were investigated. Changes in fluorescence emission of TIM (both intrinsic and of covalently attached probes) indicated that pressure ranging from 1 bar to 3.5 kbar promoted subunit dissociation and unfolding. Instrinsic fluorescence changes upon unfolding by pressure included a 27 nm red-shift of the emission, a decrease in fluorescence anisotropy from 0.14 to about 0.01, and a 1.5-fold increase in fluorescence quantum yield, similar to that observed in the presence of guanidine hydrochloride. Kinetics of pressure-induced fluorescence changes were slow (t 1/2 approximately 15 min) and little dependent on pressure. In order to selectively monitor subunit dissociation, fluorescence resonance energy transfer (FRET) measurements were carried out with TIM that was separately labeled with 5-((((2-iodoacetyl)-amino)ethyl)amino)naphthalene-1-sulfonic acid (1,5-IAEDANS) or fluorescein-5-isothiocyanate (FITC). FRET measurements indicated that subunit dissociation and unfolding took place concomitantly, both under equilibrium conditions and in kinetic experiments in which dissociation/unfolding was triggered by a sudden increase in pressure. Release of pressure caused monomer refolding and dimerization. Contrary to what would be expected for a process involving subunit dissociation, pressure effects on TIM were not dependent on protein concentration. Experiments involving a series of pressure jumps demonstrated persistent heterogeneity in sensitivity toward pressure in the ensemble of TIM dimers. This kind of deterministic behavior is similar to that exhibited by higher order protein aggregates and indicates that not all individual dimers are energetically identical in solution. The heterogeneity of native TIM revealed by sensitivity to pressure could not be detected by traditional means of protein separation, such as polyacrylamide gel electrophoresis (under both native and denaturing conditions) and size exclusion gel chromatography. This suggests that energetic heterogeneity originates from conformational heterogeneity of the protein. The possible biological relevance of the deterministic character of stability of TIM is discussed.

Animals↗

PubMed1991

Parallel cascade identification and kernel estimation for nonlinear systems.

We consider the representation and identification of nonlinear systems through the use of parallel cascades of alternating dynamic linear and static nonlinear elements. Building on the work of Palm and others, we show that any discrete-time finite-memory nonlinear system having a finite-order Volterra series representation can be exactly represented by a finite number of parallel LN cascade paths. Each LN path consists of a dynamic linear system followed by a static nonlinearity (which can be a polynomial). In particular, we provide an upper bound for the number of parallel LN paths required to represent exactly a discrete-time finite-memory Volterra functional of a given order. Next, we show how to obtain a parallel cascade representation of a nonlinear system from a single input-output record. The input is not required to be Gaussian or white, nor to have special autocorrelation properties. Next, our parallel cascade identification is applied to measure accurately the kernels of nonlinear systems (even those with lengthy memory), and to discover the significant terms to include in a nonlinear difference equation model for a system. In addition, the kernel estimation is used as a means of studying individual signals to distinguish deterministic from random behaviour, in an alternative to the use of chaotic dynamics. Finally, an alternate kernel estimation scheme is presented.

Algorithms↗

PubMed1996

Rejection of the 'filtered noise' hypothesis to explain the variability of transcranial Doppler signals: a comparison of original TCD data with Gaussian-scaled phase randomized surrogate data sets.

Until the last few years the correlation dimension (D2) or the Lyapunow exponent were the two dominant mathematical methods which were applied to identify possible chaotic behavior in biological systems. Detection of deterministic chaos is important, because it suggests that a relatively simple nonlinear model might explain the data. It was however discovered that these methods could give rise to an erroneous detection of chaos. For this reason a new method was proposed in which the originally measured data set was directly compared with a computer generated 'surrogate' data set with exactly the same linear correlations as the original. The basic idea is then to compute a nonlinear statistic for the original data and for each of the surrogate data sets. In principle any statistic can be used. We used the correlation dimension (D2), which measures the complexity of a time series. In this study we applied this surrogate method to estimate whether the variability of the transcranial Doppler (TCD) waveforms is the result of nonlinearity or not. From 10 healthy volunteers, left middle cerebral artery (MCA) blood flow velocities were measured by TCD examinations. An artifact free epoch of each TCD was used for analysis. From each original data set 50 surrogate data sets were constructed using the Gaussian-scaled phase-randomized Fourier transform. For both the original and the surrogate data sets the D2 was measured. The D2 values of the original TCD waveforms differed significantly from the mean D2 of the surrogate data sets. Therefore the null hypothesis, which stated that the original TCD time series arise from filtered noise, is rejected and nonlinearity is detected. The clinical significance and implications are discussed.

Adult↗

PubMed2000

Development of an improved dosimetry system for the workers at the Mayak Production Association.

Databases are being created that contain verified and updated dosimetry and worker history information for workers at the Mayak Production Association. Many workers had significant external and internal exposures, particularly during the early years (1948-1952) of operation. These dosimetric and worker history data are to be used in companion epidemiology studies of stochastic and deterministic effects. The database contains both external and internal dose information and is being constructed from other databases that include radiochemical analyses of tissues, bioassay data, air sampling data, whole body counting data, and occupational and worker histories. The procedures, models, methods, and operational uncertainties will be documented and included in the database, technical reports, and publications. The cohort of the stochastic epidemiological study is expected to include about 19,000 persons while the cohort for the deterministic epidemiological study is expected to include about 600 persons. For external dosimetry, workplace gamma, beta, and neutron doses are being reconstructed. The models used for this incorporate issues such as known isotopes, composition, shielding, further analysis of film badge sensitivities, and records of direct measurements. Organ doses from external exposures are also being calculated. Methods for calculating dose uncertainties are being developed. For internal dosimetry, the organ doses have been calculated using the established FIB-1 biokinetic model. A new biokinetic model is being developed that includes more information of the solubility and biokinetics of the different chemical forms and particulate sizes of plutonium that were in the workplace. In addition, updated worker histories will be used to estimate doses to some workers where direct measurements were not made. A rigorous quality control procedure is being implemented to ensure that the correct dosimetry data is entering the various databases being used by the epidemiologists.

Beta Particles↗

PubMed2004

Extended heat-fluctuation theorems for a system with deterministic and stochastic forces.

Heat fluctuations over a time tau in a nonequilibrium stationary state and in a transient state are studied for a simple system with deterministic and stochastic components: a Brownian particle dragged through a fluid by a harmonic potential which is moved with constant velocity. Using a Langevin equation, we find the exact Fourier transform of the distribution of these fluctuations for all tau. By a saddle-point method we obtain analytical results for the inverse Fourier transform, which, for not too small tau, agree very well with numerical results from a sampling method as well as from the fast Fourier transform algorithm. Due to the interaction of the deterministic part of the motion of the particle in the mechanical potential with the stochastic part of the motion caused by the fluid, the conventional heat fluctuation theorem is, for infinite and for finite tau, replaced by an extended fluctuation theorem that differs noticeably and measurably from it. In particular, for large fluctuations, the ratio of the probability for absorption of heat (by the particle from the fluid) to the probability to supply heat (by the particle to the fluid) is much larger here than in the conventional fluctuation theorem.

Journal Article↗

PubMed2004

Measure of predictability.

Many techniques have been developed to measure the difficulty of forecasting data from an observed time series. This paper introduces a measure which we call the "forecast entropy" designed to measure the predictability of a time series. We use attractors reconstructed from the time series and the distributions in the regular and tangent spaces of the data which comprise the attractor. We then consider these distributions on different scales. We present a formula for calculating the forecast entropy. To provide a standard of predictability, we define an idealized random system whose forecast entropy will be maximal; we then use this measure to rescale the forecast entropy to lie in the range [0,1]. The time series obtained from several chaotic systems as well as from a pseudorandom system are studied using this measure. We present evidence that the forecast entropy can be used as a tool for determining optimal delays and embedding dimensions used for reconstructing better attractors. We also show that the forecast entropy of a random system has completely different characteristics from that of a deterministic one.

Biophysics↗

PubMed2005

Finite state automata resulting from temporal information maximization and a temporal learning rule.

We extend Linkser's Infomax principle for feedforward neural networks to a measure for stochastic interdependence that captures spatial and temporal signal properties in recurrent systems. This measure, stochastic interaction, quantifies the Kullback-Leibler divergence of a Markov chain from a product of split chains for the single unit processes. For unconstrained Markov chains, the maximization of stochastic interaction, also called Temporal Infomax, has been previously shown to result in almost deterministic dynamics. This letter considers Temporal Infomax on constrained Markov chains, where some of the units are clamped to prescribed stochastic processes providing input to the system. Temporal Infomax in that case leads to finite state automata, either completely deterministic or weakly nondeterministic. Transitions between internal states of these systems are almost perfectly predictable given the complete current state and the input, but the activity of each single unit alone is virtually random. The results are demonstrated by means of computer simulations and confirmed analytically. It is furthermore shown numerically that Temporal Infomax leads to a high information flow from the input to internal units and that a simple temporal learning rule can approximately achieve the optimization of temporal interaction. We relate these results to experimental data concerning the correlation dynamics and functional connectivities observed in multiple electrode recordings.

Action Potentials↗

PubMed2001

[Conceptual bases supporting the obtention of knowledge about back pain in pregnancy].

Low back pain is a problem that is faced by 50% of pregnant women and causes important social trouble. In spite of this, the problem is considered to be normal and is expected during pregnancy, which has contributed to the lack of prophylactic and relief measures. This work aims at under standing the historical and conceptual bases that have given rise to such naturalization as outlined by midwifery and by using world literature indexed on the topic from 1987 to 1997 as a theoretical framework. We have apprehended that a deterministic view related to this issue is supported by the biomedical model. Therefore, the adoption of effective solutions requires the incorporation of a new paradigm.

Back Pain↗

PubMed2000

Rasch models overview.

This overview of Rasch measurement models begins with a conceptualization of our continuous experiences that are often captured as discrete observations. It goes on to discuss the properties that are require of measures if they are to transcend the occasion in which they were collected, and concludes with a discussion the spiral of inferential development. This is followed by a discussion of the mathematical properties of the Rasch family of models that allow the transformation of discrete deterministic counts into continuous probabilistic abstractions on which science is based. The overview concludes with a discussion of six of the family of Rasch models, Binomial Trials, Poisson Counts, Rating Scale, Partial Credit, and Ranks and the types of data for which these models are appropriate.

Binomial Distribution↗

PubMed2002

Frequency dependence of speckle in continuous-wave ultrasound with implications for blood perfusion measurements.

Speckle in continuous wave (CW) Doppler has previously been found to cause large variations in detected Doppler power in blood perfusion measurements, where a large number of blood vessels are present in the sample volume. This artifact can be suppressed by using a number of simultaneously transmitted frequencies and averaging the detected signals. To optimize the strategy, statistical properties of speckle in CW ultrasound need to be known. This paper presents analysis of the frequency separation necessary to obtain independent values of the received power for CW ultrasound using a simplified mathematical model for insonation of a static, lossless, statistically homogeneous, weakly scattering medium. Specifically, the autocovariance function for received power is derived, which functionally is the square of the (deterministic) autocorrelation function of the effective sample volumes produced by the transducer pair for varying frequencies, at least if a delta correlated medium is assumed. A marginal broadening of the modeled autocovariance functions is expected for insonation of blood. The theory is applicable to any transducer aperture, but has been experimentally verified here with 5-MHz, 6.35-mm circular transducers using an agar phantom containing small, randomly dispersed glass particles. A similar experimental verification of a transducer used in multiple-frequency blood perfusion measurements shows that the model proposed in this paper is plausible for explaining the decorrelation between different channels in such a measurement.

Artifacts↗

PubMed1997

A fully automated system for the evaluation of masseter silent periods.

Exteroceptive suppression of masseter muscle activity, 'masseter inhibitory reflex', comprises one or 2 silent periods (SP1 and SP2) interrupting the voluntary activation. The main problem when evaluating exteroceptive suppression is the lack of an objective and precise measure for the onset and end of the silent period which so far has not been overcome by various automated systems. We describe a new fully automated system for determining the onset and end of the masseter silent period. The decision approach is essentially based upon deterministic properties of median filters which are used to partition the local variances of the EMG traces into constant segments and edges between them. The system was tested in 13 healthy volunteers with 2 subjects tested serially 10 times each to get estimates of the inter- and intra-individual variability. The performance of the system compared favourably to that of a simpler approach and to earlier results from our laboratory. The inter-individual variability of the SP1 onset was 17 times smaller than when based on a subjective decision process.

Adolescent↗

PubMed1990

An adaptive aortic pressure observer for the Penn State Electric Ventricular Assist Device.

This paper addresses the development of an aortic pressure observer for the Penn State Electric Ventricular Assist Device (EVAD). The observer estimates the aortic blood pressure by measuring the voltage of the electric motor and the pusher plate position. The estimated pressure is fedback to the EVAD's blood flow controller, which adjusts the beat rate of the device to accommodate the varying demand of cardiac output. The gains of the observer are deterministically optimized such that the optimal values are independent of the (often unknown) system state initial conditions. To improve the performance of the pressure observer an adaptation scheme is developed. In this scheme the initial pressure estimate of the succeeding systolic cycle is adjusted when the pressure does not match its corresponding second estimated value. In vitro test runs of the developed observer show that is is robust to parameter variations, and the error of the resultant estimated pressure is less than 5%.

Aorta↗

PubMed1978

Verification of the optimal probabilistic basis of aural processing in pitch of complex tones.

Periodicity pitch for complex tones has been quantitatively accounted for by a two-stage process of Fourier-frequency analysis subject to random errors and significant nonlinearities, followed by an harmonic pattern recognizer that makes an optimum probabilistic estimate of the fundamental period of musical and speech sounds. The theory predicts that periodicity pitch is a multimodal probabilistic function of a given stimulus. A clear and empirically supported distinction is made between limitations on the pitch mechanism caused by the stochastic nature of aural frequency representation and by the deterministic resolution bandwidths of aural frequency analysis. This model was developed earlier [J. L. Goldstein, J. Acoust. Soc. Am 54, 1496-1516 (1973)] to account for probabilistic data on pitch errors [A. J. M. Houtsma and J. L. Goldstein, J. Acoust. Soc. Am. 51, 520 (1972)] measured with periodic stimuli comprising two successive harmonics. This paper presents new predictions by the theory that were calculated, with computer simulation where needed, for known probabilistic pitch data from stimuli comprising three to six successive harmonics. Predicted pitch errors increase with increasing errors in estimating the frequencies of stimulus harmonics and decrease as more harmonics are added to the stimulus. Optimum processor theory fully accounts for the multicomponent pitch data on the basis of similar errors in estimating component stimulus frequencies as reported earlier, thus providing further evidence for the optimum probabilistic basis of aural signal processing in pitch of complex tones.

Auditory Cortex↗

PubMed1993

Time series analysis of complex dynamics in physiology and medicine.

A variety of mathematical methods have been developed to characterize complex rhythms that are observed in physiological systems. These methods include classical techniques such as the mean, standard deviation, and power spectrum, as well as newer methods suggested by nonlinear dynamics including the dimension, Lyapunov number, and entropy. This paper reviews the various ways in which these measures have been applied to analyze physiological dynamics with emphasis on the potential advantages and pitfalls of the various approaches. We conclude that these methods may be useful to help characterize complex time series, but only rarely is it possible to use these methods to establish deterministic chaos in a given time series.

Animals↗

PubMed1995

Measuring "chaos" in the brain: a tutorial review of EEG dimension estimation.

The technique of dimension estimation is currently a leading application of nonlinear dynamics (popularly termed "chaos theory") to EEG analysis. A tutorial review of this technique is presented along with some elementary background concepts from nonlinear dynamics. Practical aspects of applying dimension estimation to EEG data are also reviewed, and the possible role of deterministic chaos in brain function is discussed.

Brain↗

PubMed1997

Proteins unfold in steps.

I present results from an experiment on the dynamics of folding of a globular protein (bovine serum albumin). Employing a micro-mechanical technique, I perform the measurements on very few molecules (1-100). I observed a sequence of steps in time for both unfolding and refolding. The overall characteristic time of the process is thus built up of waiting times between successive steps. The pattern of steps is reproducible, demonstrating the existence of deterministic pathways for folding and unfolding. Certain symmetries in the patterns of steps may reflect the architecture of the protein's structure.

Protein Folding↗

PubMed2002

Quantifying physiological data with Lempel-Ziv complexity--certain issues.

The oscillations observed in physiological data can be attributed largely to the presence of either a nonlinear deterministic or a nondeterministic component. The Lempel-Ziv complexity and its variants have been used successfully to quantify the regularity of these oscillations. The decrease in the complexity can be observed in the case of nontrivial deterministic patterns as well as correlated noise. Thus, any conclusion on the nature of the pattern based solely on the value of the Lempel-Ziv complexity is incomplete. In this paper, the use of the surrogate data technique is suggested to avoid spurious interpretation of this measure of complexity. The data sets considered include the uterine contraction obtained during active labor. The surrogates are generated using the amplitude adjusted fourier transform and the iterated amplitude adjusted fourier transform. The approximate entropy is used as an alternate measure to verify the results obtained.

Cluster Analysis↗