Spontaneous diabetes in Macaca nigra: relevance to human beings with NIDDM.
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In a 10-year prospective study of 241 people with 'borderline diabetes' (impaired glucose tolerance) identified by screening of the Bedford adult population, 36 (15%) worsened to diabetes and 128 (53%) substantially improved their glucose tolerance. The major predictor of worsening to diabetes was the level of blood glucose at baseline. This was statistically significant (p less than 0.05), independent of other factors, both for deterioration in the first and in the second five years of observation. Body mass index, a measure of adiposity, did not predict worsening to diabetes during the first five years, but was an independent and significant predictor of worsening during the second five years (p less than 0.05). The apparent effect of adiposity was complex, for it was also significantly related to improvement in glucose tolerance during the 10-year follow-up. Persons with impaired glucose tolerance are a heterogeneous group and with present knowledge the ability to predict metabolic deterioration is limited.
Mortality rates from coronary heart disease and from all causes have been ascertained over ten years in three groups of people participating in the Bedford Survey--newly-diagnosed diabetics, borderline diabetics and control subjects with normal glucose tolerance. Age corrected mortality rates, from all causes and coronary heart disease, were highest in the diabetics and intermediate in the borderline diabetics and in both groups were similar in men and women. When statistical allowance was made for baseline differences in age, blood pressure and obesity, female borderline diabetics still had a significantly increased risk over their controls of death from 'all causes'. Much of the difference appeared to be due to a relative excess of deaths due to coronary heart disease. It is concluded that borderline diabetes (or impaired glucose tolerance) is associated with a relatively greater increase in mortality risk in women than men. During the 10-year follow-up of the Bedford borderline diabetics, coronary heart disease morbidity and mortality rates were similar in men and women. Age at entry to the study was the major independent and significant predictor of mortality from all causes. The level of systolic blood pressure and current cigarette smoking at baseline were statistically significant predictors only of mortality due to coronary heart disease.
The Paris Prospective Study is a long-term investigation of the incidence of coronary heart disease in a large population of working men. The first follow-up examination involved 7,038 men, aged 43-54 years. Subjects with impaired glucose tolerance or diabetes (n = 943) were selected from the total population for a separate analysis of coronary heart disease mortality risk factors. During a mean follow-up of 11 years, 26 of these 943 subjects with abnormal glucose tolerance died from coronary heart disease. Univariate analysis showed that plasma triglyceride level (p less than 0.006), plasma cholesterol level (p less than 0.02), and plasma insulin level both fasting and 2-h post-glucose load (p less than 0.02), were significantly higher in subjects who died from coronary heart disease compared to those who did not. In multivariate regression analysis using the Cox model, plasma triglyceride level was the only factor positively and significantly associated with coronary death. The distribution of plasma triglyceride levels was clearly higher for the subjects who died from coronary heart disease compared to those who did not die from this cause or were alive at the end of the follow-up. This new epidemiological evidence that hypertriglyceridaemia is an important predictor of coronary heart disease mortality in subjects with impaired glucose tolerance or diabetes suggests a possible role of dyslipidaemia in the excessive occurrence of atherosclerotic vascular disease in this category of subjects.
Over a period of 5 years, lymphocyte subpopulations and their markers of activation were studied prospectively in 56 first degree relatives of Type 1 (insulin-dependent) diabetic probands. Lymphocytes were phenotyped using a panel of monoclonal antibodies which recognise CD3, CD4, CD8 lymphocytes, K/NK cells, HLA Class II products and IL-2 receptors (IL-2r). Twenty-six subjects were negative for islet cell antibody (ICA), 18 had complement fixing ICA (CF-ICA) and 12 only conventional ICA (ICA-IgG). The total number of observations (blood samples collected) was 386. Overall, changes in T cell data were observed in the three groups of first degree relatives compared to 70 normal subjects without a family history of diabetes. Six individuals developed Type 1 diabetes in the course of the study. They all possessed CF-ICA and five out of six showed a persistent reduction (less than 1.5) of the CD4/CD8 lymphocyte ratio before the clinical onset of the disease. Activated lymphocytes were found on two occasions in two of these subjects. We conclude that imbalance of lymphocyte immunoregulatory subsets is present before the onset of Type 1 diabetes in susceptible individuals; the persistence of a reduced CD4/CD8 lymphocyte ratio may reflect the ongoing process leading to B-cell destruction.
The eyes and urinary bladder of non-diabetic, prediabetic and diabetic Chinese hamsters were evaluated by radioimmunoassay and immunocytochemistry to determine the content and distribution of vasoactive intestinal peptide (VIP). The average concentration of VIP was increased in the eyes of all diabetic (pmol/g = 68%, pmol/organ = 50%) and prediabetic (pmol/g = 152%, pmol/organ = 115%) hamsters compared with age-matched non-diabetic animals. Immunocytochemistry showed that the elevation of VIP was primarily related to greater intensity of fluorescence of the nerve fibres in the vasculature of the choroid. The average content of VIP in the urinary bladder was greater in diabetic animals only on the basis of pmol/organ (135%) and in prediabetics on the basis of pmol/g (87%) compared with non-diabetic animals. Qualitative immunocytochemistry suggested that the elevated level of VIP was related to a larger distribution of nerve fibres in the urinary bladder of diabetic hamsters. The high level of VIP in the eyes and urinary bladder of diabetic and prediabetic hamsters is an interesting observation which should receive further study to determine whether it is an aetiological agent underlying the pathogenesis of ophthalmic complications and neurogenic bladder or the result of some pathological process which affects these organs.
A prospective study of lymphocyte subsets has been carried out for 18 months in 58 healthy first-degree relatives of Type 1 (insulin-dependent) probands. Subjects selected for presence or absence of islet cell antibodies included 10 with complement-fixing islet cell antibodies, 10 with conventional islet cell antibodies and 38 without islet cell antibodies. Immunoregulatory and effector lymphocytes subsets, and in particular activated T-cells, were investigated using a panel of monoclonal antibodies. The results showed no significant changes in total T, helper, suppressor/cytotoxic cell or K/NK cells. Activated T-cells were observed at least once in 22 subjects using the 4F2 monoclonal antibody and in 11 using the Tac antibody. Seven subjects had 4F2-positive cells on repeated occasions and one twice showed Tac-positive cells. Fluctuations and/or loss of islet cell antibodies were observed during follow-up. There was no correlation between presence of activated T-cells and either islet cell antibody status of HLA haplotype sharing with the diabetic proband. On the other hand, a significant correlation was observed between HLA-DR3 positivity of subjects and the occurrence of activated T-cells (both 4F2-positive and Tac-positive). We conclude that subjects with HLA-DR3 may be especially prone to T-cell activation. As none of the 'high risk' individuals developed diabetes in the course of follow-up, the relevance of these observations in the pathogenesis of Type 1 diabetes needs more prolonged investigation.
In an ongoing prospective study 32 individuals have been evaluated for insulin secretory dynamics, islet cell antibodies and HLA antigens, during the preclinical phase of Type 1 diabetes mellitus. Twenty-four out of the 32 subjects were islet cell antibody-positive. To date, 14 subjects (10 islet cell antibody-positive, four islet cell antibody-negative) have progressed to develop overt diabetes. Several patterns of HLA-DR expression were noted (DR3/DR4, DR3/DR3, DR3/x, DR3/DR1, DR4/x, DR4/DR7, DR5/DR7, DR1/DR7 and DR1/DR2). Irrespective of differences in islet cell antibody status or HLA-DR alleles, pre-diabetic individuals exhibited a similar slow course of progressive beta-cell dysfunction.
To determine the value of islet-cell antibodies, both complement-fixing and non-complement-fixing, in predicting the later development of Type 1 (insulin-dependent) diabetes, we studied different groups of identical twins. Twelve twins have developed diabetes and 11 of these had non-complement-fixing islet-cell antibodies before diagnosis, and eight out of nine tested had complement-fixing islet-cell antibodies. Of the twins who have remained non-diabetic for many years and are now unlikely to develop diabetes, twelve have had non-complement-fixing islet-cell antibodies at some stage but only four have ever had complement-fixing antibodies. In 29 non-diabetic co-twins tested within 5 years of the diagnosis of diabetes in the affected twin the presence of islet-cell antibodies, especially complement-fixing, predicted the progression to frank diabetes with a high specificity (100%), sensitivity (88%) and predictive value (100%). In pairs remaining discordant the antibodies were found more frequently in the diabetic than the non-diabetic twin. We conclude that the presence of islet-cell antibodies is not genetically determined and can occur without progression to diabetes. However, the presence of islet-cell antibodies, especially complement-fixing, in non-diabetic twins tested soon after the diagnosis of their co-twin, indicates a high risk for the development of diabetes.
review of the literature yields much evidence against a correlation between duration of non-insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus (Type 2 diabetes) and the degree of coronary atherosclerosis or the risk of clinically evident coronary heart disease (CHD). Furthermore, an increased risk of CHD, similar to that in previously diagnosed diabetic subjects, has been demonstrated in persons with impaired glucose tolerance. These observations suggest that an increased risk of CHD is not a consequence of the development of diabetes (i.e. persistent hyperglycaemia). It is more likely that diabetes develops in individuals who already possess characteristics which increase the risk of CHD in addition to the risk of developing diabetes.
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