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PubMed1992

DNA level and stereologic estimates of nuclear volume in squamous cell carcinomas of the uterine cervix. A comparative study with analysis of prognostic impact.

Grading of malignancy in squamous cell carcinomas of the uterine cervix is based on qualitative, morphologic examination and suffers from poor reproducibility. Using modern stereology, unbiased estimates of the three-dimensional, volume-weighted mean nuclear volume (nuclear vv), were obtained in pretreatment biopsies from 51 patients treated for cervical cancer in clinical Stages I through III (mean age of 56 years, follow-up period greater than 5 years). In addition, conventional, two-dimensional morphometric estimates of nuclear and mitotic features were obtained. DNA indices (DI) were estimated by flow cytometry. Finally, the semiquantitative malignancy grade score value (MGS) was determined according to previously published methods. Estimates of nuclear vv were on average increased in euploid lesions (2P = 0.01), but the overall relationship between nuclear vv and DI was poor. Different clinical stages of disease did not differ with regard to nuclear vv (2P = 0.99) and DI (2P = 0.56). No relationship was disclosed between MGS and nuclear vv (2P = 0.85). Single-factor analysis showed prognostic impact of clinical stage of disease (2P = 0.0001) and DI (2P = 0.04), whereas estimates of nuclear vv were only of marginal prognostic significance (2P = 0.07). However, Cox multivariate regression analysis showed independent prognostic value of patient age and nuclear vv along with clinical stage and DI. All other investigated variables were rejected from the model. A prognostic index with highly distinguishing capacity between prognostically poor and favorable cases was constructed (2P = 1.9 x 10(-7)). It is concluded that realistic estimates of nuclear volume are independent of nuclear DNA content and are of prognostic value for objective malignancy grading in patients with squamous cell carcinoma of the uterine cervix.

Adult↗

PubMed1992

The future of prognostic factors in outcome prediction for patients with cancer.

The anatomic description of the extent of tumor spread (tumor staging) assists clinical management, facilitates communication among physicians, is an essential part of randomized controlled trials, and may help in the counseling patients and their families. However, in recent years, additional "prognostic factors" have been defined, many of which assess or reflect the biologic behavior of malignant neoplasms. Other measures of tumor biochemistry address the natural history of neoplastic development and often are included in a discussion of new prognostic factors. This review article summarizes current knowledge and thinking related to tumor prognostic factors in four areas by providing: (1) a definition and principles of anatomic spread of tumor (staging) and some suggestions for improvement, (2) a description of some examples of additional factors of prognostic significance, (3) some statistical methods to evaluate prognostic factors, and (4) an examination of the possible future of summary statements of outcome (i.e., prognostic indexes).

Biomarkers↗

PubMed1993

A prospective study of the prognostic value of cathepsin D levels in breast cancer cytosol.

BACKGROUND: Cathepsin D is a lysosomal protease overexpressed and abnormally secreted in most breast cancer cells. Several retrospective clinical studies have shown that cathepsin D is an independent prognostic factor in breast cancer that is associated with a higher risk of recurrence and a shorter overall survival. METHODS: To the authors' knowledge, this is the first prospective study in which the prognostic value of cathepsin D was studied in 123 patients with primary breast cancer who were followed for 5 years between March 1985 and December 1990. Cathepsin D concentrations in breast cancer cytosol were measured using a solid-phase sandwich immunoenzymatic assay. The most significant prognostic factors were identified by multivariate analysis using the Cox proportional-hazards method. RESULTS: The median value of cathepsin D was 20.8 pmol/mg of protein, which was approximately half than the median value found in subsequent assays done using a commercially available kit and reported in most retrospective studies. The cathepsin D status or level was correlated only with axillary lymph node involvement. A univariate analysis showed that high levels of cathepsin D (> 20 pmol/mg of protein) were correlated with a higher risk of recurrence and a shorter overall survival (P < 0.01 and P < 0.03, respectively). Using multivariate analysis, a high cathepsin D level, a negative progesterone receptor status, and lymph node involvement were the most important factors for predicting relapse-free survival (P = 0.02, P < 0.01, and P < 0.05, respectively). The cathepsin D level had prognostic value in patients with node-positive disease (P = 0.001) and appeared to be particularly useful in association with the progesterone receptor status by isolating a high-risk subgroup of patients (high cathepsin D level; negative progesterone receptor status). CONCLUSIONS: This first prospective study confirmed the prognostic value of the cathepsin D level in association with other major prognostic factors. The next step will be to determine whether the subset of patients with high cathepsin D levels would benefit from adjuvant therapy.

Adult↗

PubMed1993

Prognostic factors in stage D2 prostate cancer treated with a pure nonsteroidal antiandrogen.

BACKGROUND: Prognostic factors have been shown to be important when stratifying patients with prostate cancer into randomized trials and counseling the individual patient regarding his chances of response to treatment. However, there are no reports on prognostic factors in patients with Stage D2 prostate cancer treated with a pure antiandrogen as monotherapy. METHODS: The authors studied a variety of possible prognostic factors among 150 patients with metastatic prostate cancer treated with an antiandrogen (Casodex, Imperial Chemical Industries, Wilmington, DE). RESULTS: In a univariate analysis, performance status; extent of disease (EOD); pretreatment hemoglobin, alkaline phosphatase, prostate-specific antigen (PSA), and prostatic acid phosphatase (PAP) levels; and extent of disease (EOD) on bone scan all were found to be significant prognostic factors (P < 0.05). Pretreatment serum testosterone levels, identified as one of the most important prognostic factors, was not identified as significant in the current study. CONCLUSIONS: Although the pretreatment testosterone level was shown to be an important prognostic factor in previous studies, using other modes of androgen ablation (reducing testosterone to below castrate levels), the current study suggest it may not be a helpful factor if the therapy used is antiandrogens as monotherapy. This may relate to the different mode of action of antiandrogens, which do not reduce serum testosterone levels.

Androgen Antagonists↗

PubMed1993

Prognostic, quantitative histopathologic variables in lobular carcinoma of the breast.

BACKGROUND: A retrospective investigation of 53 consecutively treated patients with operable lobular carcinoma of the breast, with a median follow-up of 6.6 years, was performed to examine the prognostic value of quantitative histopathologic parameters. METHODS: The measurements were performed in routinely processed histologic sections using a simple, unbiased technique for the estimation of the three-dimensional mean nuclear volume (vv(nuc)). In addition, quantitative estimates were obtained of the mitotic index (MI), the nuclear index (NI), the nuclear volume fraction (Vv(nuc/tis)), and the mean nuclear profile area (aH(nuc)). RESULTS: Estimates of vv(nuc), MI, NI, and Vv(nuc/tis) were of significant or marginally significant prognostic value in univariate analyses, whereas no prognostic significance was attributed to estimates of aH(nuc). In multivariate Cox analyses, the clinical stage of disease, vv(nuc), MI, and NI were of significant independent, prognostic value. On the basis of the multivariate analyses, a prognostic index with highly distinguishing capacity between prognostically poor and favorable cases was constructed. CONCLUSION: Quantitative histopathologic variables are of value for objective grading of malignancy in lobular carcinomas. The new parameter--estimates of the mean nuclear volume--is highly reproducible and suitable for routine use. However, larger and prospective studies are needed to establish the true value of the quantitative histopathologic variables in the clinical management of patients with breast cancer.

Adult↗

PubMed1994

Intermediate-grade lymphomas treated with cyclophosphamide-doxorubicin- vincristine-prednisone-bleomycin alternated with cyclophosphamide-methotrexate-etoposide-dexamethasone. Application of prognostic models to data analysis.

BACKGROUND: Numerous treatment strategies have been tried with the aim of improving results for patients with intermediate-grade lymphomas (IGL) over those achieved with cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin, vincristine, prednisone, and bleomycin (CHOP-Bleo), and numerous prognostic models have been developed to identify and separate risk groups. This study reports on a new protocol for Ann Arbor Stages II-IV IGL that consists of CHOP-Bleo alternated with a new regimen of cyclophosphamide, methotrexate, etoposide, and dexamethasone (CMED) and radiation therapy and demonstrates the usefulness of prognostic models for identifying risk groups and comparing treatment programs. METHODS: One hundred seventy patients with Ann Arbor Stages II-IV IGL were treated with alternating cycles of CHOP-Bleo and CMED for a total of 12 cycles. Involved field radiation therapy was interspersed with courses of chemotherapy for patients with Stage II and Stage III disease. Results were analyzed and compared with those of the authors' previous study of CHOP-Bleo and radiation therapy using the Ann Arbor staging system, their earlier prognostic model, and the recently published International Index. RESULTS: A complete remission occurred in 78% of the patients. The overall 5-year survival rate was 67%. Survival was better for patients with Ann Arbor Stage II disease (80%) than for those with Stage III or Stage IV (67% and 58%, respectively). High tumor burden, above-normal levels of serum lactic dehydrogenase, serum beta 2-microglobulin, and Ann Arbor Stage IV disease were adverse factors. The International Index and the authors' earlier prognostic model separated four prognostic groups. CHOP-Bleo/CMED was generally well tolerated. Neutropenic fever was the major complication that occurred in 25 patients during treatment. Six of these patients died of sepsis. CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrated that CHOP-Bleo/CMED is a well-tolerated regimen that produced better results than those reported for a former study that used CHOP-Bleo alone. Further, results for CHOP-Bleo/CMED compared favorably with those of other second- and third-generation regimens. The study also validated the usefulness of prognostic models and, in particular, the new International Index for identifying risk groups.

Adolescent↗

PubMed1995

Advanced diffuse non-Hodgkin's lymphoma. Analysis of prognostic factors by the international index and by lactic dehydrogenase in an intergroup study.

BACKGROUND: Recent data have suggested that there are no differences among various anthracycline-based chemotherapy regimens [including cyclophosphamide, vincristine, methotrexate, and prednisone (CHOP), methotrexate, calcium leucovorin, bleomycin, doxorubicin, cyclophosphamide, and dexamethasone (m-BACOD), methotrexate, doxorubicin, cyclophosphamide, vincristine, prednisone, and bleomycin (MACOP-B), and cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin, etoposide, prednisone, cytosine arabinoside, bleomycin, vincristine, methotrexate, and calcium leucovorin (PROMACE-cyta-BOM)] in patients with diffuse aggressive lymphomas. Because outcome appears to depend on certain prognostic factors, risk groups can be identified. Therefore, these prognostic factors were examined for their correlations with survival, time-to-treatment failure (TTF), and disease free survival (DFS) in a group of patients with diffuse aggressive non-Hodgkin's lymphoma who were treated on a single randomized trial with either CHOP or m-BACOD. METHODS: From July 1984 to January 1988, 392 patients with diffuse large cell or diffuse mixed non-Hodgkin's lymphoma were enrolled in an Intergroup study and were randomly assigned to treatment with CHOP or m-BACOD chemotherapy. Of these, 325 were eligible for response, toxicity, and survival analysis, and the results were reported. The survival and TTF results now have been updated. The 286 patients who had lactic dehydrogenase (LDH) data available at study entry were analyzed for prognostic features according to the International Index criteria and using Martingale Residuals for proportional hazards regression. RESULTS: There were no differences in survival, TTF, and disease free survival between groups of patients treated with either CHOP or m-BACOD. In addition, analysis using the International Index criteria confirmed that patients in the lower risk groups had better outcome than patients in the higher risk groups (5-year survival was 56 and 58% for low and low/intermediate risk groups, respectively, and 37% and 31% for high/intermediate and high risk groups, respectively). There were, however, no differences in survival, disease free survival, or TTF within any risk group when treatment with CHOP or m-BACOD were compared. In addition, analysis using Martingale residuals for proportional hazards regression identified LDH level (> 3 x normal) as an important prognostic factor that was not captured by the International Index. Thus, 5-year survival was 57% if LDH was normal or below, 42% if LDH was 1-3 x normal, and 21% if LDH was > 3 x normal. CONCLUSION: In patients with advanced diffuse large cell or diffuse mixed non-Hodgkin's lymphoma, there are no differences in outcome that can be attributed to treatment with CHOP vs. m-BACOD; this holds for any prognostic group identified by the International Index. However, the level of LDH at time of study entry is an important prognostic factor that is predictive of survival and may help to identify candidates for future clinical trials.

Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols↗

PubMed1995

Prognostic implication of the p53 protein and Ki-67 antigen immunohistochemistry in malignant fibrous histiocytoma.

BACKGROUND: Mounting evidence indicates that p53 regulates cell growth and abnormal p53 immunophenotypic expression is associated with an unfavorable prognosis for patients with some types of carcinoma. The prognostic significance of p53 overexpression in malignant fibrous histiocytomas (MFHs) of soft tissue has not yet been elucidated. METHODS: Expressions of p53 protein and Ki-67 antigen in 54 primary MFHs of soft tissue were investigated immunohistochemically and indexed quantitatively by counting the number of immunoreactive nuclei versus the total neoplastic nuclei in the representative fields of each tumor to evaluate their prognostic implications and interrelations with other clinicopathologic parameters. RESULTS: The percentages (labeling indices [LIs]) of p53 and Ki-67-immunoreactive nuclei versus the total neoplastic nuclei were 0.1-93.2% (mean +/- standard deviation [SD], 40.6% +/- 21.8%) and 5.3-90.8% (mean +/- SD, 42.7% +/- 29.4%), respectively. The Ki-67 LI correlated with histologic grade (P = 0.01498), primary tumor size (P = 0.04985), disease free interval (reverse correlation, P = 0.00776), and recurrence and metastasis (P = 0.00360). The p53 LI correlated with primary tumor size (P = 0.00431) but did not show any significant correlation with histologic grade, Ki-67 LI, primary tumor size, disease free interval, or recurrence and metastasis. Other significant correlations included histologic grade and disease free interval (P = 0.00010), primary tumor size and disease free interval (reverse correlation, P = 0.00869), histologic grade and recurrence (P = 0.02714), and primary tumor size and primary tumor location (P = 0.00028). In the grouped survival analysis, patients with recurrence or metastasis or with tumors of larger size (> or = 7 cm), high histologic grade, or higher Ki-67 LI (> or = 25%) had a significantly reduced survival (P < 0.05). The different p53 immunohistochemical expression and the different histologic types did not reflect different cumulative survival (P > 0.05). Regression analysis revealed that the primary tumor size and histologic grade, but not Ki-67 or p53 LIs, were independent statistical variables for prognostication. CONCLUSIONS: These results indicate that (1) primary tumor size and histologic grade are two important prognostic factors, (2) Ki-67 LI should be used in adjunct with other main prognostic factors for patients with MFHs, and (3) nuclear p53 overexpression in MFHs of soft tissue is a comparatively common event that has no prognostic implication.

Adult↗

PubMed1995

Flow cytometric DNA analysis and lysosomal cathepsins B and L in locally advanced laryngeal cancer. Relationship with clinicopathologic parameters and prognostic significance.

BACKGROUND: The traditional factors of locally advanced laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma (LSCC) have limited predictive value for the identification of high risk patients. Therefore, it is extremely important to define prognostic factors that identify the more aggressive types. Reliable and reproducible prognostic indicators are being investigated to help clinicians identify high risk groups and address more rational treatment. METHODS: Flow cytometric DNA ploidy and S-phase fraction (SPF) measurements were performed on frozen tumor tissues from a consecutive series of 71 patients with Stage III and IV LSCC: Lysosomal cathepsin B and L activity levels were determined biochemically in matched paired sets of tumor tissue and normal mucosa samples. RESULTS: By univariate analysis, lymph node positivity, poor histologic differentiation, DNA aneuploidy, high SPF, and high tumor/mucosa ratio of cathepsin B activity were significantly related to risk of relapse, whereas only DNA aneuploidy and high SPF proved to be significantly related to risk of death. Multivariate analysis showed that high histologic grade and high SPF values (> 15.1%) were independent prognostic factors related to risk of relapse (relative risk [RR] = 3.54; 95% confidence limits [CL] = 1.05-12.0; and RR = 4.22; CL = 1.54-11.6, respectively), whereas only high SPF was related to risk of death (RR = 3.63; CL = 1.17-11.3). CONCLUSIONS: S-phase fraction is an independent predictor of relapse free and overall survival in patients with locally advanced LSCC. On the basis of these findings, SPF should be used in addition to other established prognostic factors to refine the prognostic assessment of these patients further. More studies are needed for a better evaluation of the prognostic significance of DNA ploidy and that of lysosomal cysteine proteinases in these tumors.

Adult↗

PubMed2000

Gastric lymphomas in Turkey. Analysis of prognostic factors with special emphasis on flow cytometric DNA content.

BACKGROUND: In contrast to DNA ploidy, to the authors' knowledge the prognostic significance of S-phase fraction (SPF) in gastric lymphomas has not been determined. In the current study, the prognostic significance of various parameters including SPF and DNA aneuploidy were analyzed and some distinct epidemiologic and biologic features of gastric lymphomas in Turkey were found. METHODS: A series of 78 gastric lymphoma patients followed at Hacettepe University is reported. DNA flow cytometry was performed for 34 patients. The influence of various parameters on survival was investigated with the log rank test. The Cox proportional hazards model was fitted to identify independent prognostic factors. RESULTS: The median age of the patients was 50 years. There was no correlation between patient age and tumor grade. DNA content analysis revealed 4 of the 34 cases to be aneuploid with DNA index values < 1.0. The mean SPF was 33.5%. In the univariate analysis, surgical resection of the tumor, modified Ann Arbor stage, performance status, response to first-line chemotherapy, lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) level, and SPF were important prognostic factors for disease free survival (DFS). The same parameters, excluding LDH level, were important for determining overall survival (OS). In the multivariate analysis, surgical resection of the tumor, disease stage, performance status, and age were found to be important prognostic factors for OS. CONCLUSIONS: To the authors' knowledge the current study is the first to demonstrate the prognostic significance of SPF in gastric lymphomas. The distinguishing features of Turkish gastric lymphoma patients are 1) DNA indices of aneuploid cases that all are < 1.0, which is a unique feature; 2) a lower percentage of aneuploid cases; 3) a higher SPF; 4) a younger age distribution; and 5) lack of an age-grade correlation. The authors conclude that gastric lymphomas in Turkey have distinct biologic and epidemiologic characteristics.

Adolescent↗

PubMed2001

TNM: principles, history, and relation to other prognostic factors.

The TNM classification system describes the anatomic extent of cancer. The ability of TNM to separately classify the individual tumor (T), lymph node (N), and metastatic (M) elements and then group them into stages differs from other cancer staging classifications, which are concerned only with summarized groups. The objectives of TNM classification are to aid the clinician in the planning of treatment, to give some indication of prognosis, to assist in the evaluation of the results of treatment, and to facilitate the exchange of information. The most important challenge facing TNM is how to interface with the great numbers of nonanatomic prognostic factors that are currently in use or under study. As nonanatomic prognostic factors become widely used, TNM provides an inviting foundation upon which to build a prognostic classification; however, there is a risk that TNM will be overwhelmed by such a variety of prognostic data. An anatomic extent of disease classification is needed to select the initial therapeutic approach, stratify patients for therapeutic studies, evaluate nonanatomic prognostic factors at specific anatomic stages, compare the weight of nonanatomic factors with extent of disease, and communicate extent of disease data in a uniform manner. Methods are needed to express overall prognosis without losing the vital anatomic content of TNM. These methods should be able to integrate multiple prognostic factors, including TNM, yet permit TNM to remain intact and distinct.

Biomarkers, Tumor↗

PubMed2005

Prognostic factors of chronic graft-versus-host disease after allogeneic blood stem-cell transplantation.

Allogeneic hematopoietic stem cells in peripheral blood transplantation (alloPBSCT) or bone marrow transplantation (alloBMT) have different biological characteristics which may affect differently prognostic factors for incidence and severity of chronic graft-versus-host disease (cGVHD). To determine the prognostic factors of cGVHD in patients receiving alloPBSCT, data on 87 patients who survived at least 100 days after matched related donor myeloablative transplantation were analyzed. Factors significantly associated with higher incidence of cGVHD after alloPBSCT included CMV-positive donor, acute skin GVHD, and diagnoses other than lymphoma. Factors predictive for poor survival following cGVHD diagnosis included platelet count < 100,000/mm3 and history of acute liver GVHD. Acute liver GVHD and etoposide in the preparative regimen significantly increased risk of death due to cGVHD after alloPBSCT. All alloPBSCT multivariate models were fit to an independent cohort of comparable matched related donor alloBMT patients (n=75). After alloBMT, only acute skin GVHD and diagnoses other than lymphoma retained prognostic significance for predicting cGVHD. Low platelet count was the only variable predictive for poor survival in cGVHD patients after alloBMT. Acute liver GVHD was the only factor that retained prognostic significance for risk of death due to cGVHD after alloBMT. These data suggest there are some cGVHD prognostic factors that may be unique to recipients of alloPBSCT. More studies are needed to determine whether cGVHD prognostic systems should be used interchangeably in patient populations receiving different stem-cell products.

Adolescent↗

PubMed2002

Construction of the Chinese University Prognostic Index for hepatocellular carcinoma and comparison with the TNM staging system, the Okuda staging system, and the Cancer of the Liver Italian Program staging system: a study based on 926 patients.

BACKGROUND: The current TNM staging system for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) does not include liver function parameters and does not provide a precise prognosis for patients in different risk groups. The objectives of this study were to construct a new prognostic index for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma, the Chinese University Prognostic Index (CUPI), and to compare it with existing staging systems in terms of their ability to classify patients into different risk group. METHODS: From 1996 to 1998, 926 ethnic Chinese patients who were diagnosed with HCC (mainly hepatitis B-associated) at a single institution were recruited prospectively into this study. A multivariate analysis on 19 patient characteristics was performed using a Cox regression model to identify independent prognostic factors. Weights were derived from the regression coefficients of various factors to construct the CUPI. Patients were classified according to different staging systems. Survival curves were plotted with the Kaplan-Meier method and were compared by using a log-rank test. RESULTS: Both the TNM staging system and the Okuda staging system had prognostic significance, but the significance was lower for the Cancer of the Liver Italian Program (CLIP) prognostic score among the patients in the study population. The CUPI was constructed by adding the following factors into the TNM staging system: total bilirubin, ascites, alkaline phosphatase, alpha fetoprotein, and asymptomatic disease on presentation. The new CUPI characterized three risk groups with highly significant differences in survival during the whole period of follow-up (P < 0.00001) and was more discriminant than the other systems. CONCLUSIONS: In the study population of patients with mainly hepatitis B-associated HCC, the CUPI was more discriminant than the TNM staging system, the Okuda staging systems, or the CLIP prognostic score in classifying patients into different risk groups and was better at predicting survival. The CUPI needs to be validated by different cohorts of patients before it can be recommended for general use.

Adult↗

PubMed2004

Time dependence of prognostic factors for patients with soft tissue sarcoma: a Scandinavian Sarcoma Group Study of 338 malignant fibrous histiocytomas.

BACKGROUND: Prognostic factors for metastasis in soft tissue sarcoma govern decisions regarding adjuvant treatment. However, the significance of initial tumor-related prognostic factors over time is largely unknown. METHODS: The current study included 338 patients with malignant fibrous histiocytoma (MFH) of the extremities or the trunk wall whose tumors were reviewed by the Scandinavian Sarcoma Pathology Review Group. Of these 338 patients, 329 (97%) had high-grade tumors. The median follow-up period was 7 years. Metastases occurred in 110 of 338 of patients after a median follow-up period of 14 months, with roughly one-third (32 of 110) occurring after 2 years. The authors investigated the prognostic significance of tumor size, tumor depth, histologic grade, microscopic tumor necrosis, vascular invasion, mitotic rate, and local tumor recurrence at various time intervals using metastases as an endpoint. RESULTS: On univariate analysis, all investigated factors were found to be correlated with metastases for the entire follow-up period and also for the first 2 years of follow-up; beyond this time point, only size, tumor depth, and local recurrence were significant. On multivariate analysis, necrosis and local tumor recurrence were significant for the entire follow-up duration and also for the first 2 years of follow-up, whereas only tumor depth and local recurrence were significant beyond 2 years of follow-up. For all initial factors, the annual metastasis risks in the high-risk and low-risk groups converged to < 0.1 after 2 years and to near 0 after 5 years. CONCLUSIONS: Prognostic factors for metastasis in MFH were time dependent. The predictive value of the initial prognostic factors was limited to the first 2 years of follow-up. The lack of observed prognostic value beyond 2 years of follow-up probably was attributable to heterogeneity within risk categories as a result of measurement errors and unknown biologic variations.

Adult↗

PubMed2004

Prognostic factors and long-term survivorship in patients with recurrent or metastatic carcinoma of the head and neck.

BACKGROUND: The current study was conducted to identify prognostic factors and report the characteristics of long-term survivors in patients with recurrent or metastatic carcinoma of the head and neck who were treated with cisplatin-based combination chemotherapy in two randomized, Phase III trials conducted by the Eastern Oncology Cooperative Group (ECOG) (E1393 and E1395). METHODS: The authors analyzed prognostic factors for response and survival by combining data from the E1393 trial, which compared cisplatin plus paclitaxel at two dose levels, with data from the E1395 trial, which compared cisplatin plus paclitaxel with cisplatin plus 5-fluorouracil (5-FU), using logistic regression and Cox regression models. RESULTS: A total of 399 eligible patients were included. The median follow-up was 4.7 years. The 1-year overall survival (OS) rate for all patients was 32%, the median OS was 7.8 months, and the objective response rate was 32%. On multivariate analysis, the following were found to be independent unfavorable predictors of objective response: weight loss of > 5%, an ECOG performance status of 1 (vs. 0), residual disease at the primary tumor site, a primary tumor site other than the oropharynx, prior radiation therapy (RT) (P = 0.056), and well/moderate tumor cell differentiation (P = 0.067). Independent unfavorable prognostic factors for OS were weight loss, an ECOG performance status of 1 (vs. 0), well/moderate tumor cell differentiation, a primary tumor in the oral cavity or hypopharynx, and prior RT. The following were found to be independent unfavorable prognostic factors for time to disease progression: well/moderate tumor cell differentiation, a oral cavity or hypopharyngeal primary tumor, and prior RT. Patients with < or = 2 adverse prognostic factors were reported to have a median OS of 1 year, whereas patients with 3-5 adverse prognostic factors were found to have a median OS of 0.5 years (P < 0.0001). Forty-nine patients (12%) survived for > or = 2 years and 6 patients were alive at 5 years. Two-year survivors were more likely to have achieved an objective response to chemotherapy, have poor tumor cell differentiation, be white, have an ECOG performance status of 0, and have received no prior RT. CONCLUSIONS: Clinical parameters and tumor cell differentiation appear to be strong pretreatment predictors of outcome in patients with carcinoma of the head and neck and should be considered in the design of future randomized trials. A small percentage of patients with recurrent head and neck carcinoma can achieve long-term survival.

Adult↗

PubMed2007

Prognostic markers in triple-negative breast cancer.

BACKGROUND: Triple-negative breast cancer (estrogen receptor-negative, progesterone receptor-negative, and HER2-negative) is a high risk breast cancer that lacks the benefit of specific therapy that targets these proteins. METHODS: In this study, the authors examined a large and well characterized series of invasive breast carcinoma (n = 1944) with a long-term clinical follow-up (median, 56 months) by using tissue microarray. The series were also stained with concurrent immunohistochemical prognostic panels (estrogen receptor, progesterone receptor, HER-2, androgen receptor, epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR), P-cadherin, E-cadherin, and basal (CK5/6, CK14), and p53), to characterize this specific subgroup of breast cancer and to identify prognostic markers that can identify tumors with more aggressive behavior. RESULTS: Of informative cases, 16.3% were of the triple-negative phenotype. The majority of these tumors were grade 3, ductal/no-specific-type carcinomas. There were positive associations with larger size, pushing margins, poorer Nottingham Prognostic Index, development of recurrence and distant metastasis, and poorer outcome. In addition, associations were found with loss of expression of androgen receptor and E-cadherin, and positive expression of basal cytokeratins (basal phenotype), P-cadherin, p53, and EGFR. In all tumors, tumor size, lymph node stage, and androgen receptor were the most useful prognostic markers. In the lymph node-positive subgroup, both size and androgen receptor retained their prognostic significance. However, in the lymph node-negative tumors, basal phenotype was the sole prognostic marker identified in this subgroup. Other parameters including age, histological grade, tumor size, vascular invasion or other biomarkers included in the current study were not significant. CONCLUSIONS: The authors concluded that assessment of androgen receptor and basal phenotype, in addition to the established pathologic variables, mainly lymph node status and tumor size, can be used to select high-risk and low-risk patients at the time of primary surgery and can provide valuable information on treatment options in these triple-negative tumors.

Adult↗

PubMed2026

Comprehensive In Silico Analysis Identifies MSTO1 and LIG1 as Candidate Biomarkers With Diagnostic and Prognostic Relevance in Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common primary liver malignancy and remains a major cause of cancer-related mortality worldwide. Its poor clinical outcomes are largely attributed to late-stage diagnosis and the limited accuracy of currently available diagnostic and prognostic biomarkers. Therefore, identifying novel molecular markers with improved sensitivity, specificity, and therapeutic relevance is essential for enhancing early detection and guiding personalized treatment strategies. AIMS: To identify and prioritize novel candidate HCC biomarkers with diagnostic and prognostic value and potential therapeutic vulnerability using integrated multi-omics, survival, functional dependency, and tumor microenvironment analyses. METHODS AND RESULTS: We examined the mRNA and protein expression levels of 8 DEGs in HCC tissues in the TCGA and CPTAC datasets using UALCAN, which showed that MSTO1 and LIG1 were overexpressed consistently in HCC relative to normal liver tissues. Moreover, elevated expression levels of these genes were significantly associated with higher tumor grade and advanced stage. Kaplan-Meier plotter survival data confirmed that increased expression of MSTO1 and LIG1 was associated with poorer overall survival. The DepMap CRISPR knockout data confirmed a functional dependency of both genes in HCC cell lines. CBioPortal analyses provided characterization of genomic alterations and enabled enrichment analysis of co-expressed genes, and the TCGA-UALCAN pan-cancer analyses supported the assessment of tissue specificity across tumor types. TIMER3 analyses linked candidate gene expression with immune cell infiltration patterns. Diagnostic performance by ROC analysis showed excellent discrimination for MSTO1 (AUC = 0.987) and good discrimination for LIG1 (AUC = 0.897). Multivariate Cox regression with Benjamini-Hochberg FDR correction across the eight genes supported MSTO1 as a candidate independent prognostic factor after adjustment for tumor stage, grade, etiology, age, and sex (HR = 1.29, p = 0.035), whilst LIG1 showed no independent prognostic value. Promoter methylation of MSTO1 and ADH4, assessed via UALCAN, showed that both genes were significantly differentially methylated in the promoter region of primary HCC tissues compared with normal liver tissues. Our study also confirmed the biological and clinical relevance of established HCC biomarkers: TERT, IRAK1, and ADH4. CONCLUSION: MSTO1 and LIG1 emerged as candidate diagnostic biomarkers in HCC. Additionally, MSTO1 showed a candidate prognostic association with overall survival that remained significant after adjusting for tumor stage, grade, and etiology, as well as patients' age, but not after further adjustment for AFP status. Functional data also highlighted MSTO1 as a candidate therapeutic dependency. On the other hand, LIG1 showed no independent prognostic association in either multivariate model. Their differential expression and functional essentiality in HCC cell lines highlighted their value for further experimental and independent-cohort validation before potential integration into biomarker development pipelines aimed at improving early detection and targeted therapy in HCC.

Humans↗

PubMedDate not supplied

Prognostic value of serum fibronectin concentration in alcoholic cirrhotic patients.

The aim of this study was to assess prospectively the prognostic value of serum fibronectin in 114 alcoholic cirrhotic patients and to compare serum fibronectin with other prognostic variables. The Cox model and log-rank test were used to compare survival rates at 1 year. Considered alone, serum fibronectin, age, serum albumin, total serum bilirubin, gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase, prothrombin time, presence of encephalopathy and ascites were associated with survival to 1 year. The estimated survival rate at the end of 1 year was, for patients with serum fibronectin greater than 165 mg per liter: 84 +/- 5%, and for patients with serum fibronectin less than or equal to 165 mg per liter: 53 +/- 7% (p less than 0.001). With the step-wise multidimensional analysis using the Cox model to assess the combined effect of several prognostic variables, serum fibronectin was the first variable selected followed by age, encephalopathy and serum albumin which entered the model by virtue of their independent prognostic value. Multivariate regression and partial correlation analysis showed that fibronectin was independently correlated with serum albumin, gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase and total serum bilirubin explaining that the prognostic value of albumin diminished and that the prognostic value of total serum bilirubin and gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase disappeared when combined with serum fibronectin.

Bilirubin↗