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PubMed2006

eSLDB: eukaryotic subcellular localization database.

Eukaryotic Subcellular Localization DataBase collects the annotations of subcellular localization of eukaryotic proteomes. So far five proteomes have been processed and stored: Homo sapiens, Mus musculus, Caenorhabditis elegans, Saccharomyces cerevisiae and Arabidopsis thaliana. For each sequence, the database lists localization obtained adopting three different approaches: (i) experimentally determined (when available); (ii) homology-based (when possible); and (iii) predicted. The latter is computed with a suite of machine learning based methods, developed in house. All the data are available at our website and can be searched by sequence, by protein code and/or by protein description. Furthermore, a more complex search can be performed combining different search fields and keys. All the data contained in the database can be freely downloaded in flat file format. The database is available at http://gpcr.biocomp.unibo.it/esldb/.

Animals↗

PubMed2006

Genetic algorithm learning as a robust approach to RNA editing site prediction.

BACKGROUND: RNA editing is one of several post-transcriptional modifications that may contribute to organismal complexity in the face of limited gene complement in a genome. One form, known as C --> U editing, appears to exist in a wide range of organisms, but most instances of this form of RNA editing have been discovered serendipitously. With the large amount of genomic and transcriptomic data now available, a computational analysis could provide a more rapid means of identifying novel sites of C --> U RNA editing. Previous efforts have had some success but also some limitations. We present a computational method for identifying C --> U RNA editing sites in genomic sequences that is both robust and generalizable. We evaluate its potential use on the best data set available for these purposes: C --> U editing sites in plant mitochondrial genomes. RESULTS: Our method is derived from a machine learning approach known as a genetic algorithm. REGAL (RNA Editing site prediction by Genetic Algorithm Learning) is 87% accurate when tested on three mitochondrial genomes, with an overall sensitivity of 82% and an overall specificity of 91%. REGAL's performance significantly improves on other ab initio approaches to predicting RNA editing sites in this data set. REGAL has a comparable sensitivity and higher specificity than approaches which rely on sequence homology, and it has the advantage that strong sequence conservation is not required for reliable prediction of edit sites. CONCLUSION: Our results suggest that ab initio methods can generate robust classifiers of putative edit sites, and we highlight the value of combinatorial approaches as embodied by genetic algorithms. We present REGAL as one approach with the potential to be generalized to other organisms exhibiting C --> U RNA editing.

Algorithms↗

PubMed2026

Gene-level complexity explains genome-wide variation in the distribution of fitness effects.

The distribution of fitness effects (DFE)-describing how harmful, neutral, or beneficial new mutations are-is central to understanding how populations evolve. Although the DFE varies across genomes and species, it remains unclear which aspects of genomic organization drive this variation. Here, we inferred gene-level selective constraints across the genomes of Mus musculus castaneus, Drosophila melanogaster and Saccharomyces cerevisiae using a combination of population genetics and machine learning trained on diverse gene features. Many gene features were predictive of selective constraint, with conservation, gene structure, and expression being the most informative. These selective constraints delineated gene classes with distinct DFEs. Genes with higher connectivity and expression-features reflecting how many traits a gene influences-experienced stronger and less dispersed deleterious effects with increasing selective constraint. Between species, the rate of adaptation decreased with increasing organismal complexity, whereas across the genome it did not decrease monotonically with selective constraint, but tended to be higher at intermediate levels. While between-species comparisons of DFE parameters were less consistent with predictions of Fisher's geometric model (FGM) based on organismal complexity, variation in DFE parameters across the genome aligned more closely with FGM when complexity was considered at the gene level. Our results suggest that gene-level complexity, captured by genomic feature proxies, provides a more informative definition of complexity for DFE variation than organism-level labels, and highlight the value of using gene features collectively to link genomic architecture, fitness landscapes, and patterns of molecular evolution.

Animals↗

PubMedDate not supplied

Support vector machines-based quantitative structure-property relationship for the prediction of heat capacity.

The support vector machine (SVM), as a novel type of learning machine, for the first time, was used to develop a Quantitative Structure-Property Relationship (QSPR) model of the heat capacity of a diverse set of 182 compounds based on the molecular descriptors calculated from the structure alone. Multiple linear regression (MLR) and radial basis function networks (RBFNNs) were also utilized to construct quantitative linear and nonlinear models to compare with the results obtained by SVM. The root-mean-square (rms) errors in heat capacity predictions for the whole data set given by MLR, RBFNNs, and SVM were 4.648, 4.337, and 2.931 heat capacity units, respectively. The prediction results are in good agreement with the experimental value of heat capacity; also, the results reveal the superiority of the SVM over MLR and RBFNNs models.

Journal Article↗

PubMed2026

SeqQC-former: A sequence-quality fusion framework for QC-aware review prioritization of candidate somatic SNVs in cancer genomics.

The accurate prioritization of candidate somatic single-nucleotide variants (SNVs) remains a challenge due to the substantial variability in sequencing quality across genomic loci. SeqQC-Former is a sequence-quality fusion framework that integrates the local nucleotide context with read-level quality-control (QC) covariates derived from matched tumor-normal sequencing data. This integration generates QC-aware prioritization scores for the downstream review of candidate variants. Unlike conventional variant callers, SeqQC-Former is designed not to infer biological truth but to support post-calling review and prioritization under heterogeneous sequencing conditions. The framework was trained and evaluated on a SEQC2-derived dataset comprising 89,447 candidate loci, including 1378 positive and 88,069 negative loci. In chromosome-held-out validation, which aims to reduce potential genomic-position leakage, SeqQC-Former demonstrated strong discrimination (AUROC = 0.9479; AUPRC = 0.9448), indicating good generalization to previously unseen chromosomes. Given that the SEQC2-derived labels contain QC-associated information; these results should be interpreted as an evaluation of QC-aware prioritization capability rather than an independent validation of biological variant correctness. Ablation analyses revealed that structured QC covariates provided the dominant predictive signal under the current SEQC2-derived labeling regime. SeqQC-Former achieved a significantly higher AUROC than classical machine-learning baselines, as determined by DeLong's test (p < 0.01). Application to 53,164 glioblastoma variants demonstrated that external predictions were sensitive to QC scaling and threshold selection, underscoring that model outputs should be interpreted as QC-dependent prioritization scores rather than calibrated probabilities or definitive biological classifications. Overall, SeqQC-Former offers a reproducible post-calling QC-aware prioritization framework for large-scale somatic SNV review and underscores the importance of explicitly modeling sequencing-quality information when interpreting structured cancer genomics datasets.

Humans↗

PubMed2006

Predicting cancer drug response by proteomic profiling.

PURPOSE: Accurate prediction of an individual patient's drug response is an important prerequisite of personalized medicine. Recent pharmacogenomics research in chemosensitivity prediction has studied the gene-drug correlation based on transcriptional profiling. However, proteomic profiling will more directly solve the current functional and pharmacologic problems. We sought to determine whether proteomic signatures of untreated cells were sufficient for the prediction of drug response. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN: In this study, a machine learning model system was developed to classify cell line chemosensitivity exclusively based on proteomic profiling. Using reverse-phase protein lysate microarrays, protein expression levels were measured by 52 antibodies in a panel of 60 human cancer cell (NCI-60) lines. The model system combined several well-known algorithms, including random forests, Relief, and the nearest neighbor methods, to construct the protein expression--based chemosensitivity classifiers. The classifiers were designed to be independent of the tissue origin of the cells. RESULTS: A total of 118 classifiers of the complete range of drug responses (sensitive, intermediate, and resistant) were generated for the evaluated anticancer drugs, one for each agent. The accuracy of chemosensitivity prediction of all the evaluated 118 agents was significantly higher (P < 0.02) than that of random prediction. Furthermore, our study found that the proteomic determinants for chemosensitivity of 5-fluorouracil were also potential diagnostic markers of colon cancer. CONCLUSIONS: The results showed that it was feasible to accurately predict chemosensitivity by proteomic approaches. This study provides a basis for the prediction of drug response based on protein markers in the untreated tumors.

Antineoplastic Agents↗

PubMed2026

Spectral-Proteomic Integration Analysis (SPIA) Deciphers Molecular Trajectories of Breast Cancer and Enables Multitarget Therapeutic Assessment.

Raman spectroscopy and mass spectrometry-based proteomics offer deeply complementary yet largely disconnected views of cancer biology: the former provides a label-free, real-time biochemical phenotype, while the latter delivers a quantitative inventory of specific protein effectors. Bridging this gap remains a fundamental challenge in analytical biomedicine. Here, we introduce Spectral-Proteomic Integration Analysis (SPIA)─a novel, data-driven integrative framework that systematically links Raman spectroscopic phenotypes with quantitative proteomic profiles through machine learning and statistical correlation. Using a DMBA-induced rat breast cancer model with and without Toremifene (TOR) intervention, SPIA dynamically maps tumor microenvironment remodeling, capturing progressive collagen deposition and lipid metabolic reprogramming. An SVM classifier trained on Raman spectra achieves exceptional diagnostic accuracy (AUC ≥ 99.0%) and successfully predicts TOR therapeutic response. Proteomic analysis identifies 1,350 differentially expressed proteins, with convergent machine learning feature selection (LASSO, Random Forest, XGBoost) pinpointing core regulators including Luc7l2, Nucb1, Cbx3, and Csnk2a1. Crucially, Spearman correlation analysis between key Raman bands and core DEPs reveals strong, statistically robust associations (median ρ ∼ 0.75 in the 1533-1669 cm-1 region), empirically validating SPIA's core integrative logic. Leveraging this multimodal map, we elucidate a multitarget mechanism for TOR involving concurrent suppression of collagen deposition and correction of aberrant lipid metabolism. SPIA establishes a powerful, generalizable paradigm for integrating phenotypic and molecular data, with broad implications for biomarker discovery, drug mechanism elucidation, and precision oncology.

Animals↗

PubMed2026

HyLnc: a hybrid deep learning and feature-based approach for long non-coding RNA prediction.

Long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs) play important roles in gene regulation, development and disease, yet accurate identification of lncRNAs from transcriptomic data remains a major computational challenge. Existing methods often rely either on handcrafted sequence features or deep learning approaches, each with their inherent limitations in capturing the full complexity of RNA sequences. In this study, we proposed HyLnc, a computational framework that integrates transformer-based contextual embeddings with biologically meaningful sequence features for improved lncRNA prediction. A custom BERT-based model was first pre-trained on a large corpus of metazoan RNA sequences using a masked language modelling strategy to learn contextual nucleotide dependencies. The model was subsequently fine-tuned on curated datasets of lncRNAs and protein-coding transcripts and 256-dimensional deep sequence embeddings were extracted. Parallelly, 348 handcrafted features, including ORF characteristics, untranslated region (UTR) properties, nucleotide composition and Fickett scores, were computed. A multi-stage feature selection strategy was applied to identify the most informative features, resulting in optimized hybrid feature sets. Multiple machine learning classifiers were evaluated, with the RF model achieving the best performance. The proposed framework attained an accuracy of 91.30%, F1-score of 91.23% and MCC of 82.60 on an independent validation dataset, outperforming several existing lncRNA prediction tools. Thus, HyLnc demonstrates that integrating deep contextual representations with biologically interpretable features enhances lncRNA prediction. This approach provides a robust and scalable solution for large-scale transcriptome annotation and can be extended to other sequence-based prediction.

RNA, Long Noncoding↗

PubMed2026

Integrative machine learning models to unravel gut microbial dysbiosis and functional disruption in polycystic ovary syndrome.

OBJECTIVE: To study gut microbial diversity and metabolic pathway disruptions in women with PolyCystic Ovary Syndrome (PCOS) compared with healthy controls, and to evaluate the diagnostic potential of microbiome-driven machine learning models. DESIGN: Case-controlled metagenomic data analysis SUBJECTS: Gut metagenomic data from women diagnosed with PCOS and age-matched healthy female controls EXPOSURE: Presence of PCOS MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary outcome measures will include gut microbial alpha and beta diversity indices, microbial taxon abundance, functional pathway profiles, predicted metabolite levels, microbe-functional pathway-metabolite interaction networks, and the diagnostic accuracy of microbiome-based machine learning models. RESULTS: Alpha and beta diversity analyses revealed marked gut microbial dysbiosis in women with PCOS, despite comparable species richness to healthy controls. Differential abundance analysis identified 41 significantly altered microbial species, including enrichment of proinflammatory taxa, such as Bacteroides vulgatus and Ruminococcus gnavus, and depletion of beneficial commensals, including Roseburia hominis and Prevotella copri. These compositional shifts indicate a proinflammatory microbial community structure in PCOS. Functional profiling demonstrated the upregulation of pathways involved in nucleotide turnover, lipid and carbohydrate metabolism, and neurotransmitter synthesis, potentially contributing to metabolic and neuroendocrine disruption. Network analysis revealed fragmented and unstable microbial-metabolite associations in PCOS compared with cohesive networks in controls. Microbiome-based machine learning models achieved a diagnostic accuracy of 84.25% (area under the curve 0.93), underscoring their predictive potential. CONCLUSION: The gut microbiome in PCOS is characterized by a proinflammatory community structure and disrupted metabolic pathways. These findings demonstrate the diagnostic potential of microbiome-based models and underscore the gut microbiome as a promising target for therapeutic interventions in the management of PCOS.

Polycystic Ovary Syndrome↗

PubMed2005

Extraction and visualization of potential pharmacophore points using support vector machines: application to ligand-based virtual screening for COX-2 inhibitors.

Support vector machines (SVM) were trained to predict cyclooxygenase 2 (COX-2) and thrombin inhibitors. The classifiers were obtained using sets of known COX-2 and thrombin inhibitors as "positive examples" and a large collection of screening compounds as "negative examples". Molecules were encoded by topological pharmacophore-point triangles. In retrospective virtual screening, 50-90% of the known active compounds were listed within the first 0.1% of the ranked database. To check the validity of the constructed classifiers, we developed a method for feature extraction and visualization using SVM. As a result, potential pharmacophore points were weighted according to their importance for COX-2 and thrombin inhibition. Known thrombin and COX-2 pharmacophore points were correctly recognized by the machine learning system. In a prospective virtual screening study, several potential COX-2 inhibitors were predicted and tested in a cellular activity assay. A benzimidazole derivative exhibited significant inhibitory activity with an IC(50) of 0.2 microM, which is better than Celecoxib in our assay. It was demonstrated that the SVM machine-learning method can be used in virtual screening and be analyzed in a human-interpretable way that results in a set of rules for designing novel molecules.

Binding Sites↗

PubMed2006

Predicting deleterious nsSNPs: an analysis of sequence and structural attributes.

BACKGROUND: There has been an explosion in the number of single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) within public databases. In this study we focused on non-synonymous protein coding single nucleotide polymorphisms (nsSNPs), some associated with disease and others which are thought to be neutral. We describe the distribution of both types of nsSNPs using structural and sequence based features and assess the relative value of these attributes as predictors of function using machine learning methods. We also address the common problem of balance within machine learning methods and show the effect of imbalance on nsSNP function prediction. We show that nsSNP function prediction can be significantly improved by 100% undersampling of the majority class. The learnt rules were then applied to make predictions of function on all nsSNPs within Ensembl. RESULTS: The measure of prediction success is greatly affected by the level of imbalance in the training dataset. We found the balanced dataset that included all attributes produced the best prediction. The performance as measured by the Matthews correlation coefficient (MCC) varied between 0.49 and 0.25 depending on the imbalance. As previously observed, the degree of sequence conservation at the nsSNP position is the single most useful attribute. In addition to conservation, structural predictions made using a balanced dataset can be of value. CONCLUSION: The predictions for all nsSNPs within Ensembl, based on a balanced dataset using all attributes, are available as a DAS annotation. Instructions for adding the track to Ensembl are at http://www.brightstudy.ac.uk/das_help.html.

Algorithms↗

PubMed2004

Prediction of transmembrane regions of beta-barrel proteins using ANN- and SVM-based methods.

This article describes a method developed for predicting transmembrane beta-barrel regions in membrane proteins using machine learning techniques: artificial neural network (ANN) and support vector machine (SVM). The ANN used in this study is a feed-forward neural network with a standard back-propagation training algorithm. The accuracy of the ANN-based method improved significantly, from 70.4% to 80.5%, when evolutionary information was added to a single sequence as a multiple sequence alignment obtained from PSI-BLAST. We have also developed an SVM-based method using a primary sequence as input and achieved an accuracy of 77.4%. The SVM model was modified by adding 36 physicochemical parameters to the amino acid sequence information. Finally, ANN- and SVM-based methods were combined to utilize the full potential of both techniques. The accuracy and Matthews correlation coefficient (MCC) value of SVM, ANN, and combined method are 78.5%, 80.5%, and 81.8%, and 0.55, 0.63, and 0.64, respectively. These methods were trained and tested on a nonredundant data set of 16 proteins, and performance was evaluated using "leave one out cross-validation" (LOOCV). Based on this study, we have developed a Web server, TBBPred, for predicting transmembrane beta-barrel regions in proteins (available at http://www.imtech.res.in/raghava/tbbpred).

Algorithms↗

PubMed2026

Phage bioinformatics tools: a review of computational approaches for bacteriophage research.

Rising clinical interest in phage therapy and the exponential growth of metagenomic sequence catalogues have driven a rapid expansion of bacteriophage bioinformatics. More than 80 dedicated tools, mostly published since 2020, now span identification, assembly, annotation, taxonomy, lifestyle prediction, defence-system detection, and host prediction. Aimed at experienced practitioners and developers, this review synthesizes the field through the lens of three successive computational paradigms: sequence homology, bounded by database completeness; machine learning, constrained by labelled training data; and foundation models, which now achieve Matthews correlation coefficients above 0.95 in identification tasks and, through structure-informed prediction, raise functional annotation to over half of phage genes. Furthermore, we map the upstream components, namely, gene callers, homology engines, protein language models, and structural search tools, that underpin most downstream pipelines, exposing shared infrastructure and ecosystem-level fragility when dependencies change. To translate this into practice, we propose web-based and command-line reference workflows calibrated to user expertise and sample types. Finally, we set an agenda for the next wave of tool development. Roughly half of phage genes still resist functional annotation despite structural methods; no broadly generalizable strain-level host predictor exists for phage therapy; varying true-positive rates (0%-97%) underscore the absence of standardized community benchmarks analogous to Critical Assessment of Structure Prediction or Critical Assessment of Metagenome Interpretation. As generative genome models begin designing synthetic phages, progress will depend less on producing standalone tools than on rigorous evaluation, interoperable infrastructure, and clinically meaningful prediction targets.

Computational Biology↗

PubMed2026

Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning Applications in Fibromuscular Dysplasia: Transforming Diagnosis, Risk Stratification, and Clinical Decision-Making.

Fibromuscular dysplasia (FMD) is a non-atherosclerotic vascular disorder with heterogeneous presentations, making diagnosis and management highly dependent on imaging and clinical expertise. This narrative review examines how artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) are transforming FMD care. AI-enhanced imaging, particularly convolutional neural network-based analysis, improves detection of the characteristic "string-of-beads" pattern on CT angiography, magnetic resonance angiography, and ultrasound, although FMD-specific validation remains limited. ML models facilitate risk stratification, prediction of disease progression, and early identification of complications such as aneurysms and stroke by integrating clinical, imaging, and genomic data. AI-driven clinical decision support systems further enable personalized treatment selection through pharmacogenomic insights and robot-assisted interventions. Despite promising real-world applications, challenges persist, including limited large-scale datasets, workflow integration, regulatory barriers, and algorithmic bias affecting underrepresented populations. Future advances in explainable AI, federated learning, and digital health integration may enable a shift toward predictive, patient-centered FMD management.

Humans↗

PubMed2025

CaXML: Chemistry-informed machine learning explains mutual changes between protein conformations and calcium ions in calcium-binding proteins using structural and topological features.

Proteins' flexibility is a feature in communicating changes in cell signaling instigated by binding with secondary messengers, such as calcium ions, associated with the coordination of muscle contraction, neurotransmitter release, and gene expression. When binding with the disordered parts of a protein, calcium ions must balance their charge states with the shape of calcium-binding proteins and their versatile pool of partners depending on the circumstances they transmit. Accurately determining the ionic charges of those ions is essential for understanding their role in such processes. However, it is unclear whether the limited experimental data available can be effectively used to train models to accurately predict the charges of calcium-binding protein variants. Here, we developed a chemistry-informed, machine-learning algorithm that implements a game theoretic approach to explain the output of a machine-learning model without the prerequisite of an excessively large database for high-performance prediction of atomic charges. We used the ab initio electronic structure data representing calcium ions and the structures of the disordered segments of calcium-binding peptides with surrounding water molecules to train several explainable models. Network theory was used to extract the topological features of atomic interactions in the structurally complex data dictated by the coordination chemistry of a calcium ion, a potent indicator of its charge state in protein. Our design created a computational tool of CaXML, which provided a framework of explainable machine learning model to annotate ionic charges of calcium ions in calcium-binding proteins in response to the chemical changes in an environment. Our framework will provide new insights into protein design for engineering functionality based on the limited size of scientific data in a genome space.

Machine Learning↗

PubMed2024

Major depletion of insulin sensitivity-associated taxa in the gut microbiome of persons living with HIV controlled by antiretroviral drugs.

BACKGROUND: Persons living with HIV (PWH) harbor an altered gut microbiome (higher abundance of Prevotella and lower abundance of Bacillota and Ruminococcus lineages) compared to non-infected individuals. Some of these alterations are linked to sexual preference and others to the HIV infection. The relationship between these lineages and metabolic alterations, often present in aging PWH, has been poorly investigated. METHODS: In this study, we compared fecal metagenomes of 25 antiretroviral-treatment (ART)-controlled PWH to three independent control groups of 25 non-infected matched individuals by means of univariate analyses and machine learning methods. Moreover, we used two external datasets to validate predictive models of PWH classification. Next, we searched for associations between clinical and biological metabolic parameters with taxonomic and functional microbiome profiles. Finally, we compare the gut microbiome in 7 PWH after a 17-week ART switch to raltegravir/maraviroc. RESULTS: Three major enterotypes (Prevotella, Bacteroides and Ruminococcaceae) were present in all groups. The first Prevotella enterotype was enriched in PWH, with several of characteristic lineages associated with poor metabolic profiles (low HDL and adiponectin, high insulin resistance (HOMA-IR)). Conversely butyrate-producing lineages were markedly depleted in PWH independently of sexual preference and were associated with a better metabolic profile (higher HDL and adiponectin and lower HOMA-IR). Accordingly with the worst metabolic status of PWH, butyrate production and amino-acid degradation modules were associated with high HDL and adiponectin and low HOMA-IR. Random Forest models trained to classify PWH vs. control on taxonomic abundances displayed high generalization performance on two external holdout datasets (ROC AUC of 80-82%). Finally, no significant alterations in microbiome composition were observed after switching to raltegravir/maraviroc. CONCLUSION: High resolution metagenomic analyses revealed major differences in the gut microbiome of ART-controlled PWH when compared with three independent matched cohorts of controls. The observed marked insulin resistance could result both from enrichment in Prevotella lineages, and from the depletion in species producing butyrate and involved into amino-acid degradation, which depletion is linked with the HIV infection.

Humans↗

PubMed2006

Using pseudo-amino acid composition and support vector machine to predict protein structural class.

As a result of genome and other sequencing projects, the gap between the number of known protein sequences and the number of known protein structural classes is widening rapidly. In order to narrow this gap, it is vitally important to develop a computational prediction method for fast and accurately determining the protein structural class. In this paper, a novel predictor is developed for predicting protein structural class. It is featured by employing a support vector machine learning system and using a different pseudo-amino acid composition (PseAA), which was introduced to, to some extent, take into account the sequence-order effects to represent protein samples. As a demonstration, the jackknife cross-validation test was performed on a working dataset that contains 204 non-homologous proteins. The predicted results are very encouraging, indicating that the current predictor featured with the PseAA may play an important complementary role to the elegant covariant discriminant predictor and other existing algorithms.

Amino Acid Sequence↗

PubMed2025

Estimating the association of antimicrobial resistance genes with minimum inhibitory concentration in Escherichia coli: an observational study.

BACKGROUND: Surveillance and prediction of antibiotic resistance in Escherichia coli relies on curated databases of genes and mutations. We aimed to quantify the effect of acquiring specific genetic elements on minimum inhibitory concentrations (MICs) for particular antibiotic-species combinations, addressing the current scarcity of such data in existing databases. METHODS: For this observational study, we evaluated a collection of E coli isolates with linked whole-genome sequencing and MIC data, originating from human urinary or bloodstream infections obtained from the Oxford University Hospitals National Health Service Foundation Trust in Oxfordshire, UK. We used multivariable interval regression models to estimate the change in MIC (with 95% CIs) for specific antibiotics associated with the acquisition of antibiotic resistance genes and associated mutations in the National Center for Biotechnology Information AMRFinder database, with and without an adjustment for population structure. We then tested the ability of these models to predict MIC and binary resistance or susceptibility using leave-one-out cross-validation. FINDINGS: We evaluated 2875 E coli isolates obtained during 2013-2018 and 2020. Although most ARGs and resistance mutations (89 [80%] of 111) were associated with an increased MIC, a much smaller number (27 [24%] of 111) was found to be putatively independently resistance-conferring (ie, associated with an MIC above the European Committee on Antimicrobial Susceptibility Testing breakpoint) when acquired in isolation. We found evidence of differential effects of acquired ARGs and resistance mutations between different generations of cephalosporin antibiotics and showed that sub-breakpoint variation in MIC can be linked to genetic mechanisms of resistance. 20 697 (83·3%; range 52·9-97·7 across all antibiotics) of 24 858 MICs were correctly exactly predicted and 23 677 (95·2%; 87·3-97·7) of 24 858 MICs were predicted to within one doubling dilution. INTERPRETATION: Quantitative estimates of the independent effect of the acquisition of ARGs on MIC add to the interpretability and utility of existing databases. Compared with approaches using machine learning models, the use of these estimates yields similar or better performance in the prediction of antibiotic resistance phenotype with more readily interpretable results. The methods outlined here could be readily applied to other antibiotic-pathogen combinations. FUNDING: The National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) and the Medical Research Council (MRC).

Escherichia coli↗