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Independent prognostic significance of HER-2 oncoprotein expression in pN0 prostate cancer undergoing curative radiotherapy.

Existing prognostic algorithms for localized prostate cancer (PC) are hampered by poor validation for endpoints other than biochemical relapse such as clinical disease progression or survival. Therefore, the prognostic relevance of Her-2 (Her-2/neu, c-erbB2) protein expression in patients undergoing curative radiotherapy (RT) was compared to widely accepted prognostic factors such as pretreatment prostate-specific antigen (PSA) levels, biopsy Gleason score and T category of the primary tumor. Biopsies from 112 homogeneously treated patients with T1-4pN0M0 PC were examined by immunohistochemistry and 37% of cases showed membrane-bound Her-2 expression in more than 10% of cancer cells. No definite membrane staining was seen in normal prostate epithelium. With 25 patients dead of PC and a median follow-up of surviving patients of 71 months (range 48-144), the prognostic relevance of Her-2 expression was univariately associated with adverse outcome in terms of biochemical or clinical progression-free survival (B/C-PFS; p = 0.04), clinical progression-free survival (C-PFS; p = 0.02) and disease-specific survival (DSS; p = 0.02). In multivariate analysis, Her-2 expression, T category and Gleason score were independently associated with C-PFS, whereas only Her-2 expression and Gleason score were associated with DSS. Her-2 expression and Gleason score together discriminated 2 groups of patients with 5-year DSS of 95% and 79%, respectively (p < 0.001). Pretreatment PSA levels were associated only with B/C-PFS but not with C-PFS or DSS. Together the data show for the first time that expression of Her-2 is of prognostic relevance in localized PC undergoing RT and suggest that analysis for Her-2 may improve prognostic algorithms for clinically relevant endpoints other than biochemical relapse.

Adenocarcinoma↗

Ki-67 index enhances the prognostic accuracy of the urothelial superficial bladder carcinoma risk group classification.

Approximately 80% of bladder tumors are urothelial superficial papillary carcinomas (USPC). Despite a generally good prognosis, these tumors have a strong propensity to recur and about 1/3 of them compared to disease progression. Histological assessment of these superficial tumors is not sufficiently discriminator in predicting prognosis; therefore, we decided to evaluate the prognostic significance of p53 and Ki-67 immunoexpression in low-grade (GI-II) USPC in order to predict the potential outcome of these tumors. P53 and Ki-67 immunoexpression were studied in function of recurrence-free and progression-free survival in 159 primary superficial bladder tumors. A prognostic risk model based on grade, stage and multifocality was also evaluated. P53 accumulation was significantly related to tumor progression (p=0.006). High Ki-67 index (>/=18%) and multifocality were significantly related to recurrence (both p=0.0001) and progression-free survival (both p=0.0001) and were independent prognostic factors in the multivariate analysis. The prognostic risk model based on grade, stage and multifocality was not an efficient discriminator of outcome. Adding the Ki-67 index into the risk model, single pTa/T1-GI Ki-67 positive tumors, usually classified as low risk, were reclassified as of intermediate risk. After this reclassification, the risk group model identified a subgroup of pTa/T1-G1 with a high risk of recurrence and progression. Ki-67 index is a reliable prognostic marker in urothelial superficial bladder carcinoma and, when included into a risk profile classification of the low-grade USPC, the accuracy of the prognostic discrimination is enhanced.

Biomarkers, Tumor↗

Differential prognostic impact of the cyclins E and B in premenopausal and postmenopausal women with lymph node-negative breast cancer.

Searching for new prognostic factors, we investigated the influence of cyclin expression on breast cancer prognosis. A total of 273 archival tumor specimens from patients with pT1/pT2 N0 breast cancers treated by surgery and local irradiation were immunostained for cyclins E, A and B. Outcome was evaluated as metastasis-free (MFS) and disease-specific survival (DSS) over a median observation period of 99 months. In postmenopausal women, DSS was significantly predicted by cyclin E, and in premenopausal patients by cyclin B. No statistical significance was found for cyclin A. When the prognostic impact of cyclins was compared to that of standard prognostic indicators in a multivariate analysis, both cyclin E and cyclin B were selected as independent predictors of survival in postmenopausal and premenopausal patients, respectively. After inclusion of Ki-67 in the model, cyclin E lost its significance, whereas cyclin B remained the only independent prognostic factor with a hazard ratio of 4.5 (p = 0.026) for tumor-related death. Assessment of cyclin expression may, therefore, refine current prognostic models if considered in relation to menopausal status. The prognostic relevance of cyclins is likely attributable to an influence on proliferation, cell survival and genetic instability. Awareness of the molecular mechanisms leading to deregulated cyclin expression may guide decisions for risk-adapted therapy regimens.

Adult↗

Prognostic impact of hematogenous tumor cell dissemination in patients with stage II colorectal cancer.

Adjuvant chemotherapy is not routinely recommended in patients with colorectal cancer stage UICC II. Some of these patients, however, develop recurrent disease. Therefore, valid prognostic criteria are needed to identify high-risk patients who might benefit from adjuvant therapy. Disseminated tumor cells, detected in blood and bone marrow, may prove to be a valid marker, however, the prognostic relevance of these cells remains debated. In our study, we examined the prognostic significance of disseminated tumor cells in blood and bone marrow of patients with stage II colorectal cancer. Ninety patients with potentially curative (R0) resection of colorectal cancer stage II were prospectively enrolled into the study. Bone marrow and blood samples were examined for disseminated tumor cells by CK 20 RT-PCR. Patient, tumor and treatment factors were analyzed as prognostic factors. Multivariate analysis confirmed tumor cell detection in blood (hazard ratio 2.1, p = 0.03) and T-category (hazard ratio 2.2, p = 0.02) to be independent prognostic factors for relapse-free survival. Tumor cell detection in postoperative blood samples (hazard ratio 7.7, p < 0.001) and number of removed lymph nodes (hazard ratio 6.4, p < 0.001) were independent prognostic factors for disease-specific survival. Detection of circulating tumor cells in blood samples of patients with stage II colorectal cancer identifies patients with poor outcome. This finding should be confirmed by further studies and could then be used as a basis for conducting a randomized trial evaluating the effect of adjuvant chemotherapy in stage II patients.

Aged↗

Tumor-cell dissociation at the invasion front: a new prognostic parameter in gastric cancer patients.

Tumor-cell dissociation (TCD) is a well-known feature at the invasion front of malignant tumors, but little attention has so far been paid to its biological significance. Therefore, the aim of the present study was to score the degree of TCD at the invasion front (TCD 0-3) in a retrospective series of 445 gastric cancer patients and to compare its prognostic significance with the parameters T-stage, tumor size, grade of tumor differentiation, lymph-node involvement and vascular invasion. We could show that highly significant differences (p less than 0.0001, log-rank test) existed between the 5-year survival rates of patients with different degrees of TCD (TCD 0: 92.3%; TCD 1: 62.1%; TCD 2: 41.2%. TCD 3:38.5%) and that these differences were independent of T-stage 2, tumor size and grade of tumor differentiation. Univariate Cox regression analysis showed that in intestinal-type carcinomas, T-stage (Chi-square: 45.2) followed by blood vessel and lymphatic vessel invasion (Chi-square: 43.6 and 40.0) had the highest prognostic value, whereas TCD (Chi-square: 31.5) revealed a prognostic value quite similar to that of lymph-node involvement (Chi-square: 35.1). This prognostic relevance was still present in multivariate Cox regression analysis, showing that the determination of TCD provided an increase in prognostic information which significantly (P = 0.026) exceeded the information obtained by the combination of T-stage and lymph-node involvement. Our data suggest that TCD is a new prognostic parameter, especially in those gastric carcinomas in which lymph-node involvement or vascular invasion are not present.

Adult↗

The value of histoquantitative measurements in prognostic assessment of renal adenocarcinoma.

In a series of 135 patients with renal-cell carcinomas (followed up for a mean of 9.5 years), a variety of clinical and histological factors were analyzed in relation to morphometric measurements of the nuclear parameters in the primary tumours to establish their value as prognostic factors. Clinical, histological and morphometric factors were significantly interrelated in that the metastatic high-grade tumours had larger nuclei, larger variation in nuclear size and shape, and were also rapidly proliferating. In a univariate analysis, the most important clinical predictor of recurrence-free survival (RFS) was T category, followed by combined nuclear grade, N category, nuclear grade, tumour size, sex and M category. The most important quantitative predictor of RFS was the mean area of the 10 largest nuclei (NA10), the mean of the longest nuclear axis (Dmax), SD of nuclear area (SDNA), the volume-corrected mitotic index (M/V index), inflammatory-cell reaction, SD of nuclear perimetry (SDPE), and the mean of nuclear area (NA). M category, T category, combined nuclear grade, nuclear grade and N category were significantly related to patient survival. Of the quantitative variables, M/V index, Dmax and NA were significant predictors of survival in a univariate analysis. Females had longer RFS than men, and density of tumour-infiltrating lymphocytes (TIL) referred to an increased risk of recurrent tumour in both sexes. In a multivariate analysis, the RFS was independently predicted by the clinical stage, female sex and mitotic frequency/mm2, while nuclear parameters or nuclear grading had no independent prognostic value. The extent of the primary tumour was the single most important determinant of survival, followed by the proliferation rate of the tumour. In local T1-2NOMO tumours, mitotic frequency/mm2 was the only independent prognostic factor for RFS. The clinical stage, mitotic frequency/mm2, nuclear grade and density of TIL were independent predictors in Cox's analysis. In these local tumours, mitotic frequency/mm2 of neoplastic epithelium was the only independent prognostic factor. The results indicate that although an accurate prognostic evaluation of renal-cell carcinomas can be based on subjective nuclear grading and histoquantitative measurements of nuclear parameters, the simple assessment of mitotic frequency alone supplies most of the prognostic data, particularly in local tumours.

Adult↗

67-kDa laminin-receptor expression adds prognostic information to intra-tumoral microvessel density in node-negative breast cancer.

Experimental studies have shown that the 67-kDa laminin receptor (LRec) is an important molecule for the interaction of tumour cells with the extracellular matrix, and that it plays a role in the early steps of angiogenesis and in tumour invasion and metastasis. We performed a multi-parametric study in 171 node-negative breast cancers, followed for a median time of 6 years, to verify whether determination of the LRec provides prognostic information in addition to intra-tumoral microvessel density (IMD), a measure of tumour angiogenesis, and to other biological and conventional indicators. A positive association between LRec expression and high neovascularization was found, although it did not reach significance. LRec was not associated either with other biological markers (oestrogen receptor, progesterone receptor and p53 expression) or to the conventional prognostic features [menopausal status, tumour size, histological types, grading and peri-tumoral lymphatic vessel invasion (PLVI)]. In univariate analysis, IMD, p53, PgR, PLVI, grading and tumour size were significant prognostic indicators of relapse-free survival (RFS). LRec expression approached significance when considered as a dichotomous variable, after having selected the optimum cutoff of 10% to distinguish high-risk from low-risk patients. For overall survival (OS), tumour size and IMD (continuous variable) were significant prognostic factors, and p53 approached significance. In multivariate analysis for RFS, the joint variable LRec and vascularization was the strongest independent prognostic factor, followed by PgR, PLVI and p53. For OS, tumour size was the only independent prognostic indicator in this series.

Adult↗

Large bowel lymphoma: an analysis of prognostic factors and therapy in 53 patients.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: We performed a retrospective analysis to assess the influence of different prognostic factors, including the International Prognostic Index (IPI), that can predict the outcome in patients with primary large bowel lymphoma (Stage IE) treated with combined therapy (surgery followed by chemotherapy). METHODS: All patients were treated with radical surgery followed by six cycles of combined chemotherapy: CHOP-Bleo (cyclophosphamide, doxorubicine, vincristine, prednisone, and bleomycin) or variants (epirubicin instead of doxorubicin). In all cases, an multivariate analysis was performed to identify prognostic factors (if any), including IPI, that can influence outcome. RESULTS: According to the IPI, event-free survival (EFS) and overall survival were 85% and 87%, respectively, in patients with low and low-intermediate clinical risk that was not statistically significant when compared to patients at high and high-intermediate clinical risk: 69% and 76% (P = 2). Multivariate analysis failed to demonstrate the influence of multiple prognostic factors that were analyzed. CONCLUSIONS: Combined therapy appears to be an excellent therapeutic approach in this group of patients with prolonged EFS and survival, and without late toxicity. However, no prognostic factors, including IPI, could be identified to define the best therapy, probably because the number of patients, even in large series, is limited. Multicentric studies are necessary to identify prognostic factors to define therapy and outcome in this rare clinical presentation of malignant lymphoma.

Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols↗

Prognostic impact of DNA ploidy pattern, S-phase fraction (SPF), and proliferating cell nuclear antigen (PCNA) in patients with primary gastric lymphoma.

BACKGROUND: DNA ploidy, S-phase fraction (SPF), and proliferating cell nuclear antigen (PCNA) are considered to be significant prognostic factors in non-Hodgkin lymphomas. However, reports on their prognostic importance in gastric lymphoma patients are relatively lacking. METHODS: In the present study, we retrospectively studied the above-mentioned parameters in 29 patients with primary gastric lymphoma; 11/29 had B-low grade mucosa associated lymphoid tissue lymphoma (B-MALT), while 18/29 had diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL), according to WHO classification. Proliferative activity was studied by staining against PCNA; in addition, the prognostic significance of DNA ploidy and SPF, as determined by flow cytometry, were investigated and compared to the results of the PCNA stainings. RESULTS: Seven out of 29 patients were found to have aneuploid tumors; DNA index values were >1 for all aneuploid lymphomas. There was no difference in DNA aneuploidy in MALT vs. DLBCL. The mean percentage of SPF was 11.4. SPF was found significantly lower in MALT vs. DLBCL (P < 0.05). The mean percentage of PCNA positive tumor cells was 52.6. PCNA protein expression was significantly lower in MALT vs. DLBCL (P < 0.0001). There was a significant positive correlation between PCNA score and SPF (P < 0.01, by Spearman analysis). DNA ploidy had no impact on survival in the present study. Both SPF and PCNA expression were important prognostic factors in the univariate analysis; however, in the multivariate analysis, the only independent prognostic factor for survival was PCNA expression. CONCLUSIONS: These findings indicate that SPF and PCNA are significant prognostic factors in patients with primary gastric lymphomas. However, in the present study, DNA ploidy had no impact on survival in patients with primary gastric lymphomas.

Adult↗

Prognostic value of preoperative serum CEA level compared to clinical staging. IV. Histological grading and tumor type in colorectal and gastric cancer.

In a clinical investigation of observed postoperative survival, 410 patients with colorectal cancer and 269 patients with stomach cancer have been registered for primary surgical treatment connected with a long-term follow up. Histologic grading and tumor typing were examined as potential prognostic factors and compared with the prognostic information covered by operability, tumor extension, and the preoperative CEA level. Statistical treatment of the data revealed no prognostic significance of the tumor types adenocarcinoma, mucinous, and anaplastic tumours in gastric cancer. Histologic grading specified ranges associated with significant differences in survival of gastric and colorectal cancer patients. However, histologic grading did not provide prognostic information in addition to operability and tumor extension. However, histologic grading gave additional prognostic information to preoperative CEA levels in the range of 0-5 micrograms CEA/1 serum but not in the range greater than 5 micrograms CEA/1. The results indicate that the prognostic information of preoperative serum CEA level is not directly linked to the histologic grade of a tumor.

Carcinoembryonic Antigen↗

Carcinoids: the prognostic effect of primary site histologic type variations.

Carcinoids are histologically classified as insular (A), trabecular (B) glandular (C), undifferentiated (D) or mixed. These have prognostic significance, i.e. Group 1 (most favorable, A + C); 2 (favorable, A, B, A + B); 3 (relatively unfavorable, all non A + C or A + B mixed types); and 4 (unfavorable, C, D). Midgut primaries have a better prognosis than either foregut or hindgut/cloacal primaries. Carcinoids from 114 Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group patients were studied to determine if primary site prognostic differences result from histologic prognostic group occurrence rate differences across primary sites. By primary site the following rates were observed: Foregut: 1 (0%), 2 (79.2%), 3 (12.5%), 4 (8.3%); midgut: 1 (26.7%), 2 (58.7%), 3 (6.6%), 4 (8.0%); hindgut/cloaca: 1 (0%), 2 (42.9%), 3 (42.9%), 4 (14.2%); nongut: 1 (0%), 2 (75.0%), 3 (12.5%), 4 (12.5%), p less than 0.01. The results demonstrate that primary site prognostic differences are highly dependent upon histologic prognostic group occurrence rate variations across primary sites. In addition multivariate analysis of survivorship by both histologic type (p less than 0.05) and primary site (p less than 0.05) demonstrated that each variable has independent prognostic significance.

Aged↗

Identification and validation of prognostic markers in breast cancer with the complementary use of array-CGH and tissue microarrays.

Gene amplification, an important mechanism of oncogene activation in breast cancer, can have both prognostic and therapeutic implications. In this work, an attempt is made to identify amplified genes that can be used to improve prognostication in breast cancer. A series of 52 node-negative tumours was screened for genomic gains at 57 loci by array-CGH. A subset of these genes was identified that could divide the series into two divergent outcome groups of either long-term survivors or early disease-related deaths (p = 0.01) using a combination of k-means clustering and statistical analysis. The prognostic significance of amplification of four of the genes (EMS1, TOP2A, CCNE1, and ERBB2) was then evaluated, using fluorescent in situ hybridization on a tissue microarray, in a second larger 'validation' series of 232 tumours with a median follow-up of 4.8 years. Adverse disease-related outcome was associated with amplification of TOP2A (p = 0.004); ERBB2 (p = 0.002); and with the combined amplification of TOP2A, ERBB2, and EMS1 (p = 0.01). EMS1 amplification was more common (26% of cases) than previously reported but, in isolation, had no prognostic significance. Amplification of CCNE1, seen in only 6% of cases, had no prognostic role. These results indicate that the complementary use of array-CGH and tissue microarrays has the potential to help in the identification and validation of molecular markers that can be used to classify breast cancers into different prognostic groups.

Antigens, Neoplasm↗

Expression of p53 protein has no independent prognostic value in breast cancer.

A series of 392 female breast carcinomas was analysed immunohistochemically for expression of p53 protein with special emphasis on the role of p53 as an independent prognostic factor. Altogether, 54.8 per cent of the carcinomas expressed p53 protein, with the mean [standard error (SE)] fraction of positive nuclei being 17.1 per cent (1.2 per cent). Expression of p53 protein was independent of tumour metastasis at diagnosis, axillary lymph node status, tumour diameter, histological type, tubule formation, proportion of intraductal growth, margin formation, necrosis, DNA ploidy, and S-phase fraction. A high fraction of p53-positive nuclei was significantly related to patient age under 70 years, high grade, severe nuclear pleomorphism, dense infiltration of tumour by lymphocytes, high mitotic index, and high apoptotic index (for all, P < 0.05). Impaired survival probability in the entire cohort (P = 0.05) and in the axillary lymph node-positive (ANP) tumours (P = 0.015) was associated with a fraction of p53-positive nuclei less than 25 per cent, while in the axillary lymph node-negative (ANN) tumours, expression of p53 had no prognostic value. In multivariate analysis, independent prognostic predictors included axillary lymph node status, tumour diameter, and mitotic index. In the ANN tumours, tumour diameter, fraction of p53-positive nuclei, and tumour grade were independent prognostic factors, whereas in the ANP tumours, diameter and mitotic index were the two independent prognostic factors. The results suggest that abnormal expression of p53 protein is only a weak independent prognostic factor in female breast cancer.

Adult↗

TNM: evolution and relation to other prognostic factors.

The TNM Classification describes the anatomic extent of cancer. TNM's ability to separately classify the individual tumor (T), node (N), and metastasis (M) elements and then group them into stages differs from other cancer staging classifications (e.g., Dukes), which are only concerned with summarized groups. The objectives of the TNM Classification are to aid the clinician in the planning of treatment, give some indication of prognosis, assist in the evaluation of the results of treatment, and facilitate the exchange of information. During the past 50 years, the TNM system has evolved under the influence of advances in diagnosis and treatment. Radiographic imaging (e.g., endoscopic ultrasound for the depth of invasion of esophageal and rectal tumors) has improved the accuracy of the clinical T, N, and M classifications. Advances in treatment have necessitated more detail in some T4 categories. Developments in multimodality therapy have increased the importance of the "y" symbol and the R (residual tumor) classification. New surgical techniques have resulted in the elaboration of the sentinel node (sn) symbol. The use of immunohistochemistry has resulted in the classification of isolated tumor cells and their distinction from micrometastasis. The most important challenge facing users of the TNM Classification is how it should interface with the large number of non-anatomic prognostic factors that are currently in use or under study. As non-anatomic prognostic factors become widely used, the TNM system provides an inviting foundation upon which to build a prognostic classification; however, this carries a risk that the system will be overwhelmed by a variety of prognostic data. An anatomic extent-of-disease classification is needed to aid practitioners in selecting the initial therapeutic approach, stratifying patients for therapeutic studies, evaluating non-anatomic prognostic factors at specific anatomic stages, comparing the weight of non-anatomic factors with extent of disease, and communicating the extent of disease data in a uniform manner. Methods are needed to express the overall prognosis without losing the vital anatomic content of TNM. These methods should be able to integrate multiple prognostic factors, including TNM, while permitting the TNM system to remain intact and distinct. This article discusses examples of such approaches.

Biomarkers, Tumor↗

The prognostic significance of lymphovascular space invasion in endometrial cancer when conventional hemotoxylin and eosin staining is compared to immunohistochemical staining.

The current study was undertaken to compare the usefulness of hemotoxylin and eosin (H&E) staining and immunohistochemical staining to identify lymphovascular space invasion (LVSI) in endometrial cancer and to evaluate the presence of LVSI detected by either technique as an independent prognostic factor. Histologic sections from 92 patients with clinical stage I-II endometrial cancer were reviewed, and representative sections were stained immunohistochemically with antibodies for von Willebrand factor and blood group isoantigens. To compare the prognostic significance of LVSI detected by H&E staining with that detected by immunohistochemical staining, univariate and multivariate analyses were performed. Thirty (32.6%) of the 92 cases showed LVSI in H&E staining. In 8 of the 30 cases, LVSI was negative by immunohistochemical staining, while LVSI was positive by immunohistochemical stainings in 2 of 62 cases showing negative LVSI in H&E staining. In univariate analysis, LVSI detected by H&E and immunohistochemical staining was proved to be significant as a prognostic factor. In multivariate analysis by Cox's proportional hazards model, LVSI identified by H&E staining was selected as one of significant prognostic factors, but LVSI identified by immunohistochemical staining not selected. The results of this study indicate that LVSI is one of the independent prognostic factors in endometrial cancer, and that LVSI as detected by H&E is more prognostic of survival than immunohistochemical detection.

Adult↗

Identification of prognostic factors in advanced epithelial ovarian carcinoma.

OBJECTIVE: The Gynecologic Oncology Group (GOG) has demonstrated that age, tumor grade, and size and number of residual lesions after primary cytoreductive surgery are significant prognostic factors in advanced ovarian carcinoma. Recent studies have reported numerous other clinical features as having prognostic value. We sought to identify the independent prognostic factors for survival in a cohort of patients with advanced ovarian cancer. METHODS: We performed a retrospective chart review of all patients with stage III and IV ovarian carcinoma who received their primary treatment at our institution between 1987 and 1994. RESULTS: A total of 295 patients were identified, 282 of whom were evaluable. Of these 282 patients, 214 (76%) have died of disease or other causes. The median follow-up is 32 months (range: 1-139). Eighteen factors were evaluated for prognostic significance. Significant factors in univariate analysis included patient age, gravidity (0 vs > 0), parity (0 vs > 0), preoperative albumin level, preoperative total protein level, ascites (presence vs absence), disease stage (IIIA/IIIB vs IIIC vs IV), number of residual lesions (< or =20 vs >20), and diameter of largest residual tumor nodule (< or = 1 cm vs 1-2 cm vs > 2 cm). However, on multivariate analysis, only patient age (P < 0.001), ascites (P = 0.001), and size of residual disease (P = 0.005) retained prognostic significance. Substage of disease was of borderline significance (P = 0.086). CONCLUSION: Although numerous clinical variables have recently been reported to have prognostic value in advanced ovarian carcinoma, only patient age, presence or absence of ascites, and diameter of the largest residual tumor nodule proved to be of statistical significance in our analysis.

Adult↗

Molecular prognostic factors in bladder cancer.

In this paper the predictive value of molecular prognostic parameters for bladder cancer is discussed. DNA ploidy has additional prognostic value for grade 2 tumors, irrespective of stage, with aneuploid tumors having a poor prognosis. Overexpression of the epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) can be used as a prognostic factor for the group of superficial tumors. Both abnormal E-cadherin and retinoblastoma (RB) expression have additional prognostic value for invasive tumors. The exact predictive value for the superficial tumors needs further study. The results with respect to p53 are conflicting and its exact role especially in the progression of pT1g3 tumors has to be clarified. In view of the discordance concerning its prognostic value, c-erbB-2 overexpression also needs further study. It appears that at this moment only a few molecular markers seem to have potential prognostic value, but their precise clinical relevance has to be studied more extensively. In particular the value of progression markers in the superficial TCC needs more attention.

Aneuploidy↗

Improved prognostication in small (pT1) breast cancers by image cytometry.

Feulgen-stained samples from 460 small (pT1) primary breast cancers were investigated by means of an image analysis system. Several DNA, morphometrical and textural parameters were evaluated for each patient, and the prognostic meaning of these parameters was then investigated by the Cox regression analysis. As prognostic criterion a distant recurrence-free survival of five years was considered. All investigated DNA- and morphometrical parameters as well as several textural parameters showed a significant univariate correlation with the clinical course. In a multivariate approach the axillary nodal status was the most important prognostic parameter, followed by a morphometric parameter (anisokaryosis) and two textural parameters (runlength and co-occurrence). None of the DNA histogram derived parameters could add prognostic information in this multivariate approach. By the linear combination of the four selected variables, an individual prognostic factor was calculated. Using this factor the patients could be split into several groups according to their risk for distant metastases. Thus a low risk group of pT1 patients could be identified with a distant recurrence rate of only 2% after 5 years, and also a group of patients with a considerably worse prognosis and a 5-year distant recurrence rate of 53%. In contrast, using the nodal status as single parameter allows the identification of a low risk group of patients (pN0pT1) with a distant recurrence rate of 10.6%. Therefore, morphometrical and textural parameters can provide powerful prognostic information in small breast carcinomas and may allow a better selection of patients for adjuvant therapy.

Aged↗