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Prediction of recurrence after curative resection of gastric carcinoma invading the muscularis propria: a multivariate analysis.

BACKGROUND: In Japan, the incidence of gastric cancer invading the muscularis propria is about 10% of all patients with gastric cancer undergoing surgical resection. Although many prognostic factors for early gastric cancer and advanced gastric cancer have been identified, there are few reports concerning prognostic factors for gastric cancer invading the muscularis propria, and the characteristics of recurrence are not well understood.METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed data on 167 patients with gastric cancer that had invaded the muscularis propria. All patients had undergone curative resection.RESULTS: Recurrences were evident in 37 patients (22.2%). Based on our univariate analysis, the recurrence was associated with lymph node metastases. Multivariate analysis showed that independent risk factors for recurrence were lymph node metastases and location of tumor in the upper or lower one-third of the stomach. With respect to the pattern of recurrence, 17 (46.0%) were secondary to hematogenous recurrence, 8 (21.6%) to peritoneal dissemination, and 6 (16.2%) to a local recurrence in the remnant stomach and in regional lymph nodes. Most deaths occurred during the second year after surgery, and approximately two-thirds of all patients (64.8%) died within 3 years after surgery.CONCLUSION: In patients with the risk factors of lymph node metastases and tumor in the upper or lower one-third of the stomach, lymph node dissection and postoperative adjuvant therapy are vital to try to prevent recurrences, especially during the first 2 years after surgery.

Journal Article↗

Maximum gastric cancer diameter as a prognostic indicator: univariate and multivariate analysis.

It was suggested that there are no stronger prognostic factors in gastric cancer than nodal involvement or depth of wall invasion. The present paper evaluated the influence of maximum tumor diameter (MTD) value, measured on fixed resected specimens, on the extent of disease progression and the outcome in gastric cancer patients. Clinicopathological data were retrospectively retrieved from records of 122 patients who underwent curative gastrectomy. The patients' MTD values were grouped as follows: MTD1, up to 26 mm; MTD2, between 26 and 50 mm; and MTD3, over 50 mm. The three groups evidenced significant differences with regard to 5 year survival (MTD1: 54%, MTD2: 31%, MTD3: 20%; p = 0.00027), furthermore they were significantly different with respect to the type of gastrectomy (p = 0.021), depth wall invasion (p = 0.000), lymphatic microinvasion (p = 0.014), perineural microinvasion (p = 0.017), stromal reaction (p = 0.025), and stage (p = 0.035). ROC curve analysis individuated a best accurate MTD threshold value for nodal involvement of 32 mm (sensitivity = 56.6%; specificity = 60.9%; positive predictive value = 52.6%; negative predictive value = 64.6%). The logistic regression analysis suggested that the depth of wall invasion was the only independent variable associated with MTD value (p = 0.0005). Multivariate analysis showed that independent prognostic risk factors were sex (p < 0.0025), number of involved nodes (p < 0.001) and MTD (p < 0.001). In conclusion, the maximum tumor diameter value of gastric cancer may be a factor with greater prognostic implications than previously believed.

Aged↗

Prognostic factors after hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinomas. A univariate and multivariate analysis.

The current study determines the prognostic factors after hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinomas. The 295 patients who underwent hepatectomy from 1973 through 1987 were included for a univariate and a Cox multivariate analysis. The favoring conditions were determined as follows. The essential requirements are (1) the absence of tumor thrombi; (2) no intrahepatic metastasis, but even when present, it should be close to the main tumor and removed with a massive resection; and (3) retention rate of indocyanine green dye (ICG) at 15 minutes should be within 14 +/- 4.2% (M +/- SD) to allow that resection. The desired requirement is that the tumor size should preferably be less than 5 cm; a wider free margin from tumors (greater than or equal to 1 cm) is recommended, but not determining factor. The eligible patients, having no thrombi, no intrahepatic metastasis, a tumor size of 5 cm or less, negative surgical margin (greater than or equal to 1 cm), had achieved a 5-year survival of 78%. In conclusion, resection therapy is the first option for patients with those requirements.

Adult↗

Long-term effect of internal mammary chain treatment. Results of a multivariate analysis of 1195 patients with operable breast cancer and positive axillary nodes.

A multivariate analysis on 1195 patients with operable breast cancer and histologically positive axillary nodes treated by mastectomy and complete axillary dissection at the Institut Gustave-Roussy between 1958 and 1978 suggests a beneficial effect of treatment of the internal mammary chain (IMC) on the risks of death and distant metastasis for the patients with medial tumors. For these patients, surgical IMC dissection and post-operative irradiation have similar effects on both the risk of death and of distant metastasis. For the patients with lateral tumors, no beneficial effect of the treatment of the IMC on these two risks was observed. Postoperative irradiation to the IMC, axilla, chest wall and supraclavicular nodes significantly decreases the risk of locoregional recurrences independent of the tumor site and surgical management of the lymph nodes.

Adult↗

Multivariate analysis of genetic and environmental influences for longitudinal height and weight data.

A multivariate analysis of genetic and environmental influences on longitudinal height and weight data from a Swedish twin sample is presented. For height in boys, genetic correlations of all ages with the first time point decrease during puberty and increase afterwards. A more linear pattern is evident for the girls. For weight in boys, genetic and environmental correlations are similar to the ones for height. Genetic correlations for girls are stable with age, while environmental correlations peak at 13.5 years and decrease drastically thereafter. The patterns for height and weight in boys suggest that a new set of genes may be turned on during puberty and turned off again afterwards. The pattern found for weight in girls indicates that a simple additive genetic model is not appropriate. It is necessary, however, to apply the model to actual data from several time points to recognize the inadequacy of the model.

Adolescent↗

Antecedents of cerebral palsy. Multivariate analysis of risk.

We examined prenatal and perinatal factors predicting cerebral palsy, using multivariate analysis to investigate which factors were most important and the proportion of cases for which they accounted. Maternal mental retardation, birth weight below 2001 g, and fetal malformation were among the leading predictors. Breech presentation was also a predictor, but breech delivery was not. A third of the children with cerebral palsy who had breech presentations had a major noncerebral malformation. Among 189 children with cerebral palsy, 40 (21 percent) had at least one of three clinical markers suggestive of asphyxia; only 17 of these 40 children (9 percent of all cases) lacked major congenital malformation or other intrinsic defects that might have contributed to an unfavorable outcome. When all the principal risk factors present by the time labor began were considered, the 5 percent of the population at highest estimated risk was seen to have contributed 34 percent of the cases. When all the risk factors present during the period beginning before pregnancy and extending through the nursery stay were included, the 5 percent at highest risk was seen to have contributed 37 percent of the cases. Thus, the inclusion of information about the events of birth and the neonatal period accounted for a proportion of cerebral palsy only slightly higher than that accounted for when consideration was limited to characteristics identified before labor began.

Analysis of Variance↗

Quantitative investigation of hepatic genomic response to hormonal and pathophysiological stimuli by multivariate analysis of two-dimensional mRNA activity profiles.

We have applied techniques of multivariate analysis to the characterization and comparison of the effects of various pathophysiological and hormonal stimuli on the expression of the rat hepatic genome at a pretranslational level. In vitro translated products were resolved by two-dimensional gel electrophoresis. We analyzed 10 pathophysiological states brought about by variation in thyroidal status, starvation, administration of high carbohydrate diet, and the production of experimentally induced diabetes mellitus. Each state differed significantly from every other state in the two-dimensional electrophoretic profiles. The set consisting of the minimal number of products necessary for maintaining the distinctive patterns was identified. The analysis also defined those clusters of products that behaved in a coordinate fashion in response to the various stimuli. Lastly, the similarity and dissimilarity of hepatic mRNA activity profiles to each other could be geometrically represented in three-dimensional space. Our finding that the hepatic mRNA activity profile could distinguish reliably between closely related hormonal and pathophysiological stimuli indicates the specificity of hepatic genomic expression. A systematic analysis of such profiles may be useful as an overall index of the biologic response at the hepatocellular level.

Animals↗

Factors affecting aseptic failure of fixation after primary Charnley total hip arthroplasty. Multivariate survival analysis.

Multivariate survival analysis with use of the Cox proportional-hazards model was applied to a consecutive series of 293 primary Charnley total hip arthroplasties performed on 246 patients. The purpose of the analysis was to identify risk factors for, and to quantitate their effects on, aseptic failure of fixation. The duration of follow-up ranged from one month to twenty-three years (average, thirteen years). The end point of survival was defined as radiographic evidence of failure of fixation or as a revision operation. Failure of fixation of the acetabular component was defined as complete demarcation or migration. Failure of the femoral component was defined as progression of at least one of five postoperative signs (subsidence, demarcation of the cement, separation of the component from the cement, fracture of the cement, and endosteal cavitation) or as the occurrence of at least two of these signs. Twenty-four specific items of data for each acetabular component and thirty specific items for each femoral component formed the sets of variables for the analysis. With use of radiographic evidence of failure as the end point, the sixteen-year rates of survival (with 95 per cent confidence interval) were 83.6 +/- 5.6 per cent for the acetabular components and 90.9 +/- 4.1 per cent for the femoral components. With use of revision as the end point, the sixteen-year rates of survival were 92.3 +/- 4.0 per cent and 95.6 +/- 3.2 per cent, respectively. The most important risk factor affecting radiographic loosening of the acetabular component was rapid wear of the polyethylene (0.2 millimeter or more annually), followed by the classification of the osteoarthrosis (as hypertrophic, normotrophic, or atrophic) according to the extent of osteophyte formation. The sockets in the hips that had hypertrophic osteoarthrosis survived longer than those in the other two groups. Survival of the acetabular component as determined on the basis of revision was affected only by rapid wear of the polyethylene. Survival of the femoral component, with either radiographic failure of fixation or revision as the end point, was affected by an unfavorable geometry of the medullary canal (a so-called stovepipe canal or a large canal). Patients who have rapid wear of the polyethylene, little osteophyte formation, or an unfavorable geometry of the canal should be followed carefully. These risk factors warrant additional evaluation.

Acetabulum↗

[The grading of cellular and structural atypia in cancer and related lesions using multivariate analysis].

In morphologically diagnosing cancer, pathologists' attention is focussed on the presence or absence of atypia, i.e., the form of cells and tissues deviated from the norm, and if it is present, on its grade. However, due to retarded development of techniques for the objective evaluation of its grade, separation of cancer from premalignant lesions still meets great ambiguity. Particularly, the boundaries of "dysplasia" with cancer and noncancerous lesions are not defined in clear morphological terms and are susceptible to a strong between-observers fluctuation. In this paper we outlined our recent efforts to establish in various organs a statistically most adequate, and therefore reproducible, classification of atypical lesions, resorting to morphometry and multivariate analysis. Two examples were given: atypia of the pancreatic duct epithelia as an object for the study of purely cellular abnormalities, and hepatocellular carcinoma, which required also to quantify the atypia of tissue structures, The classifications thus established proved to be the most adequate, in that, they closely reflected the grade of malignancy in a clinical as well as biological sense, as shown by the clear between-categorier differences in oncogene mutation, DNA ploidy pattern, the patients' prognoses, and so on.

Cluster Analysis↗

[Prognostic factors in multiple myeloma. Selection using multivariate analysis].

In order to assess the prognostic value of 15 different prognostic variables for multiple myeloma and to select the variables with the best prognostic significance, the multivariate analysis according to Cox's proportional hazard regression model was employed for a group of 80 patients followed from first diagnosis to their demise. The significant prognostic variables were bone marrow plasma cell percentage, degree of lytic bone lesions, Bence-Jones proteinuria, and haemoglobinaemia. A scoring clinical staging system was also developed, assigning the score of 1 to each of the following features: bone marrow plasma cells more than 30%, lytic bone lesions of 2-3 degrees, presence of Bence-Jones proteinuria, and haemoglobinaemia less than 110 g/l. Therefore, the score for each patient ranges from 0 to 4, and the entire group of patients with multiple myeloma is subdivided into five clinical stages: stage I = score 0, stage II = score 1, stage III = score 2; stage IV = score 3, stage V = score 4. Significant differences exist between both mean survivals (p less than 0.01), and between the survival curves (p less than 0.0001) within the five scoring clinical stages.

Adult↗

A cephalometric study by multivariate analysis of growth of the bony nasopharynx in patients with clefts and non-cleft controls.

To clarify the characteristics of growth of the nasopharynx, comparison of the cephalometric growth of bones surrounding nasopharynx between 61 patients with complete unilateral cleft lip and palate (UCLP group) and 82 non-cleft controls (NCC group) was carried out. All of the subjects were divided into four developmental stages (i.e. stage 1 at 4 years of age, stage 2 at 8 years of age, stage 3 at 12 years of age and stage 4 at 17 years of age). Measurements on the antero-posterior and the vertical dimensions were derived from a coordinate system and points on bones surrounding the nasopharynx on lateral X-ray cephalograms, and results were analyzed by multivariate analysis and t-test. The results showed that (a) the posterior maxillary point (PMP) in the UCLP group was located more postero-superiorly than that in the NCC group, and this was the main factor that allows discrimination between the two groups and (b) the cranial base, posterior maxilla and the cervical vertebrae were found to be in independent in growth, however, the nasopharyngeal triangle connecting three points on these three bones (Ho: cranial base; PMP: posterior maxillary point; At: atlas) showed harmonious growth in both the UCLP and NCC groups.

Adolescent↗

A multivariate analysis of clinical and morphological prognostic factors in squamous cell carcinoma of the vulva.

Clinical and histological data of 168 patients with squamous cell carcinoma of the vulva were analyzed with respect to survival. 151 patients underwent surgery, 12 patients were treated with primary radiation and in 5 patients no treatment was performed. Follow-up lasted from at least 2 up to 22 years' posttreatment. In univariate analysis, the following factors were highly significant: presurgery lymph node status, tumor infiltration beyond the vulva, tumor grading, histological inguinal lymph node status, pre- and postsurgery tumor stage, depth of invasion and tumor diameter. In the multivariate analysis (Cox regression), the most powerful factors were shown to be histological inguinal lymph node status, tumor diameter and tumor grading. The multivariate logistic regression analysis worked out as main prognostic factors for metastases of inguinal lymph nodes: presurgery inguinal lymph node status, tumor size, depth of invasion and tumor grading. Based on these results, tumor biology seems to be the decisive factor concerning recurrence and survival. Therefore, we suggest a more conservative treatment of vulvar carcinoma. Patients with confined carcinoma to the vulva, with a tumor diameter up to 3 cm and without clinical suspected lymph nodes, should be treated by wide excision/partial vulvectomy with ipsilateral lymphadenectomy.

Aged↗

Dimensions of alcoholism: a multivariate analysis.

The present study multivariately interrelated demographic and psychometric variables that have been extensively researched in the alcoholism literature. These variables included the essential-reactive continuum, degree of familial alcoholism, subjective distress, antisocial personality features and gender. Data were collected for 76 inpatients (56 male and 20 female) meeting DSM-III criteria for alcohol abuse/dependence. The mean age of the sample was 38.9 years and ranged in age from 18 to 69 years. Three factors with eigenvalues greater than 1 were extracted. Factor 1 was labeled Neuroticism, and measures of depression, anxiety, neuroticism and female gender had the highest loadings. Number of first-degree relatives with alcoholism, essential (early onset and greater severity) alcoholism and greater antisocial propensity had the highest loadings on Factor 2, labeled "Essential-Familial." The Extroversion scale of the Eysenck Personality Inventory and number of second-degree relatives with alcoholism loaded most highly on Factor 3, labeled "Extroversion." Theoretical and clinical implications associated with these dimensions of alcoholism and variously proposed alcoholic subtypes are discussed.

Adult↗

Graft coronary vasculopathy in cardiac transplantation--evaluation of risk factors by multivariate analysis.

The development of coronary vasculopathy is the main determinant of long-term survival in cardiac transplantation. The identification of risk factors, therefore, seems necessary in order to identify possible treatment strategies. Ninety-five out of 397 patients, undergoing orthotopic cardiac transplantation from 10/1985 to 10/1992 were evaluated retrospectively on the basis of perioperative and postoperative variables including age, sex, diagnosis, previous operations, renal function, cholesterol levels, dosage of immunosuppressive drugs (cyclosporin A, azathioprine, steroids), incidence of rejection, treatment with calcium channel blockers at 3, 6, 12, and 18 months postoperatively. Coronary vasculopathy was assessed by annual angiography at 1 and 2 years postoperatively. After univariate analysis, data were evaluated by stepwise multiple logistic regression analysis. Coronary vasculopathy was assessed in 15 patients at 1 (16%), and in 23 patients (24%) at 2, years. On multivariate analysis, previous operations and the incidence of rejections were identified as significant risk factors (P < 0.05), whereas the underlying diagnosis had borderline significance (P = 0.058) for the development of graft coronary vasculopathy. In contrast, all other variables were not significant in our subset of patients investigated. We therefore conclude that the development of coronary vasculopathy in cardiac transplant patients mainly depends on the rejection process itself, aside from patient-dependent factors. Therapeutic measures, such as the administration of calcium channel blockers and regulation of lipid disorders, may therefore only reduce the progress of native atherosclerotic disease in the posttransplant setting.

Adult↗

[Prognostic values of echocardiography compared with clinical variables in suspected heart disease. Multivariate analysis of long-term prognosprognosis in 456 patients].

The aim of the study was to evaluate the prognostic significance of clinical and echocardiographic data in patients referred for echocardiography in a retrospective analysis. Four hundred and fifty-six patients from a district hospital were studied. Survival after three years was 64%. Multivariate analysis identified five factors with independent prognostic information (relative risks of death are shown in brackets): left ventricular wall motion index (WMI) < or = 1.2 by echocardiography (2.5), status as in-patient (2.1), age > 65 years (1.7), clinical heart failure (1.9) and atrial fibrillation (1.5). When information on age, hospitalisation status, heart failure and heart rhythm had already been entered in the Cox model, echocardiographic results such as decreased WMI and dilated right ventricle still gave further prognostic information. We conclude that among conventional clinical and echocardiographic data WMI was the strongest predictor of long-term survival, and, despite prior knowledge of major clinical features, echocardiography provided further prognostic information.

Adult↗

Cervical paraspinal muscle abnormalities and symptom duration: a multivariate analysis.

The purpose of this study was to determine whether paraspinal and other major proximal and distal muscle spontaneous activity (SA) is related to cervical radiculopathy (CR) symptom duration. A multivariate analysis of 124 (retrospectively identified) electrodiagnostically confirmed CRs was used to test these hypotheses. The results showed no evidence of correlation between SA and symptom duration for any of the upper limb muscles analyzed.

Adult↗

A multivariate analysis of soil yeasts isolated from a latitudinal gradient.

Yeast isolates from soil samples collected from a latitudinal gradient (>77 degrees S to >64 degrees N) were subjected to multivariate analysis to produce a statistical foundation for observed relationships between habitat characteristics and the distribution of yeast taxa (at various systematic levels) in soil microbial communities. Combinations of temperature, rainfall (highly correlated with net primary productivity), and electrical conductivity (EC) could explain up to ca. 44% of the distribution of the predominant yeast species, rainfall and pH could explain ca. 32% of the distribution of clades in the most common orders (Filobasidiales and Tremellales), whereas vegetation type (trees, forbs, and grass) played the same role for orders. Cryptococcus species with appropriate maximum temperatures for growth predominated in most soils. Cryptococcus species in the Albidus clade of the Filobasidiales predominated in desert soils; Cryptococcus species of other clades in the Filobasidiales and Tremellales predominated in wetter and more-vegetated soils, with Tremellalean species favored in soils of lower pH or higher EC. The predominance of Cryptococcus species in soils has been attributed to their polysaccharide capsules, particularly important when competing with bacteria in arid soils.

Biodiversity↗

[Multivariate analysis of graft survival prognostic factors in renal transplantation].

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this paper is to identify the variables that could be of interest in the outcome of a series of cadaveric kidney transplantation performed at the University Hospital, Navarra School of Medicine, by means of multifactorial and multivariate statistical analyses. METHOD: We analyzed 307 cadaveric kidney transplantation performed since 1976 at the University Hospital, School of Medicine, University of Navarra. Two series are included: the historical and the actual. The former did not include cyclosporine A in the immunosuppressor protocol. RESULTS: The first step was to compare survival in both series. The cyclosporine A series had a better survival, which was statistically significant (p < 0.0001). The prognostic factors in both series were also analyzed. The influence of the different variables were studied in the survival distribution. The worse prognostic variables of the historical group on allograft survival were donor's age (particularly between 20 and 50 years old), delayed graft function, serum creatinine level greater than 2.5 mg/dl at the first month following transplantation, general surgical complications, and vascular and other complications. In the actual group, the allografts with the worst survival were in those that received 4-10 pre-transplant blood transfusions, those with more that 2 HLA-DR mismatches, the hyperimmunized receptors with a level of pre-formed cytotoxic antibodies greater than 50%, those who rejected the allograft in the initial post-transplant period, those with a serum creatinine level greater than 2.5 mg/dl and those who presented surgical complications in general and urinary and vascular complications in particular. CONCLUSIONS: The multivariate analysis reveals that the prognostic factors of the historical group were delayed graft function, surgical complications, HLA A+B mismatches and the donor's age. In the actual group, the factors were receptor's age, surgical complications, large ischemia time, peak reactive antibody and number of rejections.

Actuarial Analysis↗