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PubMed1997

A practical prognostic index for inoperable non-small-cell lung cancer.

Radical radiotherapy is widely used to treat inoperable non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) although only a small number of patients benefit in the long run from this intensive treatment. There is a small proportion of long-term survivors who might derive advantage from even more aggressive radiotherapy combined with chemotherapy. In order to support optimal treatment selection we have carried out univariate and multivariate analyses of possible prognostic variables in the retrospective data of 502 NSCLC patients treated at one institute with external radiotherapy, both with curative and palliative intent. To obtain more accurate tools for a rational treatment decision, we identified, by using Cox's proportional-hazards model, the five most powerful determinants of overall survival and combined them to a prognostic index. On the basis of only the number of these risk factors (advanced stage, general or metastatic symptoms, poor performance status, anemia and tumor size of at least 7 cm), the patient falls into one of the six possible prognostic groups and these groups turned out to be identifiable as separate prognostic clusters. Thirty-one per cent of the patients have three or more risk factors and a median survival of 5-7 months compared with 18 months for patients without any non-favorable factor. Furthermore, the prognostic factors were so strong that multivariate analyses did not reveal the treatment selection to have any significant influence on survival. As each of the five variables have the advantage of being routinely available, our index is simple enough to be used in daily clinical practice. The clinical value of the prognostic index should be verified by using independent data.

Aged↗

PubMed1979

Acquired hydrocephalus. II. Diagnostic and prognostic value of quantitative isotope ventriculography (QIV), lumbar isotope cisternography (LIC), pneumoencephalography, and continuous intraventricular pressure recording (CIP).

The diagnostic and prognostic values of quantitative isotope ventriculography (QIV), lumbar isotope cisternography (LIC), pneumoencephalography (PEG), and continuous intraventricular pressure recording (CIP) were assessed on the basis of the clinical course in 160 patients suspected of having acquired hydrocephalus. The diagnostic value of a given method is defined as its reliability in the diagnosis of hydrocephalus. The reliability in the selection of hydrocephalic patients who will improve on shunt operation is designated as the prognostic value of the method concerned. As the diagnoses are based on isotopic procedures, the diagnostic values of these procedures cannot be assessed. QIV is of greater prognostic value than the other methods of examination. The presence of plateau waves in CIP is a rare, but prognostically valuable sign. The prognostic value of B waves is also good, whereas their diagnostic value is slight. Both from diagnostic and prognostic points of view, PEG is of less value is communicating hydrocephalus on account of the many false findings.

Cerebral Ventricles↗

PubMed1990

RECPAM analysis of prognostic factors in patients with stage III breast cancer.

A retrospective chart review was conducted of women with stage III breast cancer seen at the Princess Margaret Hospital between January 1977 and December 1980. Three hundred and sixty-nine patients were available for analysis. These cases were evaluated to determine the prognostic factors of patients presenting with this stage of the disease using a recursive partitioning technique, RECPAM, and a Cox regression model. A non-mathematical description of RECPAM is presented and the advantages of RECPAM over Cox analysis are discussed. The results identify primary tumour size, axillary node involvement, internal mammary node involvement, and estrogen receptor status as the most important prognostic variables. RECPAM identified 3 prognostic groups and simultaneously provided rules based on the prognostic variables to assign patients to poor, intermediate, or good prognosis categories. Patients with estrogen receptor negative tumours, or those with axillary node involvement, primary tumours greater than 5 cm, and serum alkaline phosphatase greater than 60 IU/L, or those with internal mammary node involvement, no skin changes, and serum alkaline phosphatase greater than 60 IU/L, define a group with a poor prognosis. Patients with estrogen receptor positive tumours, no axillary node involvements, and primary tumours greater than 5 cm, or estrogen receptor positive tumours, axillary node involvement, primary tumours greater than 5 cm, but serum alkaline phosphatase less than or equal to 60 U/L, have an intermediate prognosis. The good prognosis group consists of those patients with estrogen receptor positive tumours who have either skin changes or primary tumours less than or equal to 5 cm. The effect of loco-regional and systemic therapy was assessed and there was no association between treatment assignment and prognostic group. On the basis of this RECPAM analysis, we have defined important prognostic variables to be used in the design of clinical trials, and three major patient subgroups which can be used in routine oncologic practice as a guide to patient management.

Biomarkers, Tumor↗

PubMed1997

Character of the invasive margin in colorectal cancer: does it improve prognostic information of Dukes staging?

PURPOSE: The clinical significance and prognostic value of the histopathologic parameters used in both the Dukes and Jass classifications were evaluated to select those with an independent effect on survival after radical surgery for colorectal cancer. METHODS: The depth of local spread (limited to the bowel wall or extended beyond it), the number of metastatic lymph nodes (none, 1-4, more than 4), the character of the invasive margin (pushing or infiltrating), and the presence or absence of conspicuous peritumoral lymphocytic infiltration were assessed in 235 patients who had undergone radical resection for colorectal cancer. The influence of these variables on survival was studied by univariate and multivariate analysis. RESULTS: No significant difference in survival was found between patients with conspicuous peritumoral infiltrate and those without it; moreover, multivariate analysis failed to show any independent prognostic value for either lymphocytic infiltration or depth of local invasion. However, the character of the invasive margin and the number of metastatic lymph nodes were identified as the only variables with any independent importance on survival. Based on these data, a new prognostic model may be proposed; it uses the character of the infiltrative margin as a discriminating factor among patients within the lymph node-negative (Dukes A and B stages) and lymph node-positive (Dukes C1 and C2 subsets) groups. A good prognosis for Dukes A, B, and C1 patients was associated with pushing tumors; C1 and C2 patients with infiltrating tumors had a poor prognosis. On the whole, the new prognostic model has allowed for the placement of 59.6 percent of our patients into groups that provide a confident prognosis. The clinical outcome of Dukes A and B patients with infiltrating tumors is still uncertain. CONCLUSIONS: The character of the invasive margin is an important prognostic factor in colorectal cancer. The association of this parameter with the traditional Dukes classification may provide additional useful prognostic information and aid in the selection of those patients who could most benefit from adjuvant therapy.

Adenocarcinoma↗

PubMed1996

Risk group stratification and prognostic factors in papillary carcinoma of thyroid.

BACKGROUND: Our understanding of the natural history of differentiated thyroid carcinoma has improved with the definition of prognostic factors. These prognostic factors have helped us identify patients in various risk groups. METHODS: A retrospective review of a consecutive series of 810 previously untreated patients with papillary carcinoma of the thyroid was undertaken to analyze the prognostic factors and risk groups. There were 403 patients in the low-risk group, 313 in the intermediate group, and 94 classified in the high-risk group. RESULTS: With a median follow-up of 20 years, 99% survival was achieved in the low-risk group, whereas only 43% survived in the high-risk group. The intermediate-risk group had a 20-year survival of 83%. The favorable prognostic factors included female sex, young age, absence of distant metastases and extrathyroidal extension of the disease, size < 4 cm, and low-grade histology. Focality, presence of lymph node metastasis, and pure papillary or mixed variant had no statistical significance on prognosis. CONCLUSIONS: Based on various prognostic factors, low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups are identified. Patients in the low-risk group have excellent survival (99%). Appropriate selection of surgical and adjuvant treatment should therefore be used based on prognostic factors and risk group stratification.

Age Factors↗

PubMed1997

Prognostic importance of histomorphologic subclassification for epithelial thymic tumors.

BACKGROUND: The prognostic importance of various clinical variables (age, sex, association with myasthenia gravis), staging according to Masaoka, histologic type according to the Marino/Kirchner/Müller-Hermelink (MKM-H) classification, and residual tumor category (R category) was evaluated in a retrospective analysis. METHODS: Eighty-two patients with epithelial thymic tumors (ETTs) treated in the period 1969-1993 were evaluated, and archived specimens were histologically reclassified according to the classification of MKM-H. RESULTS: Age, sex, and association with myasthenia gravis were of no prognostic importance. The R category is of significant prognostic importance, with 5- and 10-year survival rates of 93.6% and 87.3%, respectively, for R0 resections compared with 0% at 5 years for R1 and R2 resections (p < 0.001). Staging (Masaoka) proved to be a prognostic factor (5-/10-year survival: stage I, 100%/90.9%; II, 95%/88.2%; III, 55.9%/46.6%; and IV, 10.8%/ 10.8%; p < 0.001). Histologic typing according to MKM-H is also of significant prognostic importance (5/10 year survival: thymomas: medullary, 100%/100%; mixed, 100%/100%, predominantly cortical, 68.6%/68.6%; cortical, 65.8%/65.8%; thymic carcinomas: well-differentiated type, 62.3%/44.5%; thymic carcinomas other than well-differentiated type, 33.6%/26.9%; p < 0.001). Multivariate analysis demonstrated that staging (p < 0.001), R category (p < 0.026), and MKM-H classification (p < 0.028) have an independent impact on survival. CONCLUSIONS: Staging (Masaoka), R category, and histologic classification (MKM-H) are important independent prognostic factors for patients with epithelial thymic tumors. Complete (R0) surgical resections should be the ultimate goal in the clinical management of patients with epithelial thymic tumors.

Adult↗

PubMed1989

Relative prognostic value of the Dukes and the Jass systems in rectal cancer. Findings from the National Surgical Adjuvant Breast and Bowel Projects (Protocol R-01)

A comparison of the prognostic values of the Dukes and Jass systems were performed with 722 patients with rectal cancer enrolled in the National Surgical Adjuvant Breast and Bowel Projects, protocol R-01. The Jass system revealed four prognostic groups when all patients or only Dukes' B and C cases were examined; however, the magnitude of differences between groups I and II and III and IV were small. Dukes' classification, as defined in this study, revealed five prognostic groups. A statistically strong association between the Jass and Dukes systems was observed. Although histologic grade permitted further prognostic discrimination of all Dukes stages except A, only the Jass system allowed for the subdivision of C cases with up to four nodes positive for metastases. Those in that group had survival rates comparable to B cases (no nodal involvement) when scores of I and II were found. The distributions of the patients in the extremes of the Jass and Dukes systems (C2 as defined) were almost similar. The findings indicate that the Jass system is a valid prognostic method for patients with rectal carcinoma. In this material, however, it basically allowed for only two major prognostic groups whereas five were noted by the Dukes method. These results, as well as the more objective nature of Dukes' classification, warrant its continued use for prognosis and therapeutic decisions for patients with rectal cancer.

Humans↗

PubMedDate not supplied

Prognostic factors in acquired immunodeficiency syndrome.

To identify prognostic factors in acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS), the authors studied an inception cohort of 45 patients in a non-endemic area (Group I). The probability of survival was 67% six months after the diagnosis of AIDS and 32% at 12 months. As shown by multivariate Cox regression analysis, survivals were shorter (p less than 0.01) in patients 35 years old or older and in those who had anemia when AIDS was diagnosed. In patients with neither of these poor prognostic factors, the 12-month survival was 64%; in patients with one factor, it was 22%; and in patients with both factors, 0%. The prognostic significance of these two factors was validated in a second inception cohort of 50 patients (Group II): in patients with zero, one, and two poor prognostic factors, the 12-month survivals were 80%, 58%, and 26%, respectively. Other poor prognostic factors in Group I included disseminated Mycobacterium avium-intracellulare and the development of new opportunistic infections or neoplasms. The authors conclude that clinically important prognostic factors can be identified in AIDS patients. These findings should be considered in planning therapeutic trials and in counseling patients.

Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome↗

PubMed2001

Prognostic value of p53 protein expression in breast cancer; an immunohistochemical analysis of frozen sections in 514 Japanese women.

BACKGROUND: Although the prognostic value of p53 protein has been extensively studied in breast cancer, there have so far been few immunohistochemical studies of p53 protein using frozen sections in a large series of Japanese women with breast cancer. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Immunohistochemical staining for p53 protein was performed on frozen sections from 514 Japanese patients with breast cancer with a mean follow-up duration of 31 months. RESULTS: Two hundred and eight (40.5%) of 514 cases showed nuclear accumulation of p53 protein. There was a significant inverse correlation between p53 protein and estrogen receptor (ER) status. The patients who were positive for p53 protein had a significantly worse outcome in terms of both disease free survival (DFS) (p<0.0001) and overall survival (OS) (p=0.0411) than those negative for p53 protein. The same effect on DFS was seen in subgroups divided either by nodal status or ER status. Multivariate analyses indicated that nodal status, ER and p53 protein were all independent prognostic factors for DFS. The nodal status, ER and tumor size were independent prognostic factors for OS, and p53 protein status was still an independent prognostic factor for DFS in subgroups divided either by nodal status or ER status. CONCLUSION: Our findings demonstrated the prognostic value of p53 protein expression for the early recurrence of breast cancer, and the prognostic value of p53 protein expression was independent from that of both the nodal status and ER status in breast cancer.

Adult↗

PubMed2000

Evaluation of serum CEA and CA19-9 levels as prognostic factors in patients with gastric cancer.

BACKGROUND: This clinicopathological study evaluated the utility of serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and carbohydrate antigen (CA) 19-9 as predictors of locoregional recurrence and long-term disease-free survival in patients with gastric cancer.METHODS: During the period January 1989 to December 1994, 485 patients with primary gastric cancer were evaluated. Gastrectomies were performed in 434 patients. Prognostic factors were analyzed by the Kaplan-Meier method and multivariate analysis, using Cox regression.RESULTS: Elevated serum CEA and CA19-9 levels were observed in 92 of the 485 patients (19.0%), and in 95 of the 435 patients (21.8%), respectively, and both markers were elevated in 29 of these 435 patients (6.7%). Elevated serum CEA and CA19-9 levels correlated well with lymph node metastasis, lymphatic invasion, vessel invasion, stage grouping, depth of invasion, and curability. Patients with elevated serum CEA levels were at significantly higher risk of having all recurrence factors than were those with normal serum CEA levels. Patients with elevated serum CA19-9 levels were at significantly higher risk of having peritoneal metastases and distant metastases than were those with normal serum CA19-9 levels. A significant difference in the cumulative survival curves of patients was demonstrated between those with elevated and those with normal serum CEA or CA19-9 levels, even for patients at the same disease stage (stage III). Patients with elevated levels of both markers had a significantly worse prognosis than patients in whom the levels of both markers were normal. In patients who underwent gastrectomy, elevated serum CEA levels either preoperatively or within 3 weeks after gastrectomy were associated with significantly worse prognosis than were normal levels. When the cutoff level of serum CEA was increased to 10 ng/ml, serum CEA, age, lymph node metastasis, and surgical stage grouping were selected as independent prognostic factors by multivariate analysis of 14 prognostic factors, using Cox regression.CONCLUSION: Serum CEA and CA19-9 levels provide additional prognostic information in patients with primary gastric cancer. In particular, an elevated serum CEA level provides additional prognostic information and is a useful indicator of curability in patients who undergo gastrectomy. Serum CEA level is an independent prognostic factor in patients with primary gastric cancer.

Journal Article↗

PubMed1999

Use of possible synergistic expression of p53 and p185 as a prognostic tool for stage I non-small-cell lung cancer.

The possible interaction between the quantified overexpression of the oncoproteins p53 and p185 was evaluated. These proteins have already been independently defined as prognostic factors in non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC). p53 and p185 levels were determined in stage I patients (n = 40) from a sample of 102 NSCLC sufferers who underwent surgery for precocious disease during the period October 1991 to June 1994. The resected tumors were histologically classified and included 15 adenocarcinomas (37.5%), 1 large-cell carcinoma (2.5%), and 24 epidermoid (60%) carcinomas. The p53 concentration of tumor specimens was determined by luminescence immunoanalysis and was defined as positive if it was above the minimum value detectable by the method (0.01 ng/mg). The p185 protein was quantified by enzyme-linked immunoassay, and the 80th percentile of the frequency distribution was used as the reference cutoff value (348.8 U/mg). Survival and disease-free-survival (DFS) rates were estimated at 24 months after intervention. There were no significant differences in survival or DFS of patients with adenocarcinoma-type tumors for subjects with independent p185 values < 348.8 U/mg and those showing values >/= 348.8 U/mg. Neither were there differences observed between patients with positive and negative p53 values. In patients with epidermoid-type tumors the cumulative survival was significantly higher in p53-negative than in p53-positive patients (p = 0.03) and was also higher in patients with p185 levels < 348.8 U/mg than in those with values >/= 348.8 U/mg (p = 0.00001). These patients showed no significant differences with respect to recurrence rate. The possible synergistic behavior of p53 and p185 levels as a prognostic factor was evaluated in patients with epidermoid-type tumors. p53-negative and p53-positive patients were grouped according to a p185 level of less than or more than 348.8 U/mg. Significant differences were seen in both survival rates and DFS between groups. Individual analysis of relative risks showed an increased risk of death and greater recurrence rate in patients with p185 levels >/= 348.8 U/mg and a greater recurrence rate in patients with p53-positive values. Multivariate analysis established that the multiplicative, synergistic, prognostic effect of p53 and p185 was not significant. The existence of a significant, synergistic, prognostic effect of the p185 and p53 proteins in NSCLC could not be proven. However, a greater prognostic potential of the quantified overexpression of p185 with respect to that of p53 was established. An additive effect in the prognostic potential of both proteins was also observed (stratified analysis).

Adult↗

PubMed2000

Protein expression of bax, bcl-2, and p53 in patients with non-Hodgkin's gastric lymphoma: prognostic significance.

The biologic significance of bcl-2, bax, and p53 gene expression in patients with non-Hodgkin's gastric lymphoma is unknown. We examined the prognostic value of these genes in 36 patients with gastric lymphoma treated in our clinic between 1990 and 1995. Paraffin-embedded specimens from 36 patients who underwent primary resection of the stomach for gastric lymphoma were analyzed immunohistochemically for p53, bax, and bcl-2 gene expression. Expression of bax was seen in 24 of 36 patients (66.7%), p53 expression was found in 8 of 36 tumors (22.2%), and bcl-2 cytoplasmic staining was detected in 6 of 36 patients (16.7%). We performed a univariate analysis to examine the possible correlation between the expression of these genes and the survival of our patients. Expression of bax protein proved to be a statistically significant prognostic factor (p = 0.049). Protein expression of p53 and bcl-2 did not statistically correlate with survival. In the bcl-2-negative (-) patient group (30 patients), those who were bax-positive had a statistically significant better survival than those who were bax-negative (63.3% vs. 36.7%, p = 0.03). There was also a statistically significant correlation between p53 expression and the grade of the tumor (p = 0.0014). P53 protein expression increased along with the grade. Expression of bax is a significant prognostic factor in patients with gastric lymphoma. Its prognostic value increases significantly when studied in bcl-2-negative patients; but expression of bax failed to be an independent prognostic factor. Expression of bcl-2 and p53 has no prognostic significance. Expression of p53 seems to represent a marker for loss of differentiation.

Adult↗

PubMed1998

Multiple myeloma in younger patients: the role of age as prognostic factor.

The presenting features of 356 previously untreated multiple myeloma (MM) patients grouped according to age were analyzed in order (a) to elucidate the possible differences in initial clinical and laboratory features between patients younger than 50 years and the older ones and (b) to statistically assess the prognostic value of the parameters considered, with particular emphasis on the prognostic impact of age. Patients were divided into two groups: group I included 61 patients aged less than 50, group II comprised 295 patients aged 50 or more. No significant differences were found between the two groups in terms of either clinical or laboratory initial characteristics. The treatments adopted and the response to therapy did not differ in the two groups. The prognostic value of presenting features was evaluated for the whole cohort by univariate and multivariate analysis, considering both the observed survival rates and survival rates corrected for the effect of other independent causes of death, using a Poisson model. In both models, calcium level (RR 2.33), performance status (RR 1.83), and creatinine (RR 1.69) maintained their independent negative prognostic value. In contrast, the impact of age was different in the two models. In fact, patients younger than 50 seem to have a better prognosis when the observed survival rates are considered, but they show an increased risk of death when the model takes into account the expected mortality of the underlying population. In conclusion, this study shows that the younger cohort of MM patients has no distinctive initial characteristics with respect to older patients. In multivariate analysis, creatinine levels, calcemia, and performance status show a relevant negative independent prognostic value. Regarding the prognostic impact of age, survival seems to be better among patients younger than 50 than in older patients when the observed survival rates are considered but is significantly worse when the mortality of the corresponding general population, is taken into account.

Adult↗

PubMed1997

[Incidence and prognostic significance of epithelioid cell reactions and microcarcinoses in regional lymph nodes in stomach carcinoma].

The frequency and prognostic relevance of sarcoid-like lesions and microcarcinosis in regional lymph nodes in gastric cancer (n = 113; pT1-3, pN0-1, pM0, R0) were investigated; the prognostic value was compared with pT and pN stage, grading and Laurén's tumor classification with Cox's multivariate regression-model. Sarcoid like lesions were found in 34% of the cases (n = 113). Statistical analysis did not indicate that they had any prognostic value or showed whether or not microcarcinosis or metastasis was present; they were independent of pT stage, histological tumor type, tumor grading, and the clinical course of disease. Microcarcinosis (defined as scattered carcinoma cells within lymph node sinuses or pulp without adjacent stromal reaction) was revealed by immunohistochemistry in 90% of pN0 cases; the presence of 3 or more tumor cells per lymph node section in over 10% of sampled lymph nodes per case carried a significant prognostic value. In microcarcinosis without evidence of metastasis, the number of tumor cells and the number of involved lymph nodes are of prognostic value. In pN1 cases microcarcinosis was found as well as the metastases in 97% and had no additional prognostic value. Microcarcinosis alone has a different significance from lymph node metastasis for prognosis.

Adenocarcinoma↗

PubMed2007

Tumor budding as a prognostic marker in stage-III rectal carcinoma.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Tumor budding along the invasive margin is known to be associated with biological behavior in colorectal carcinoma. The aims of this study were to explore if the semiquantitative assessment of tumor budding in rectal cancers correlates with oncological behavior and to appraise if the tumor budding is valid as a pathological parameter in distinguishing tumors with higher malignancy potential from those with lower one for prognostic stratification. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Surgical specimens from 244 patients with well- or moderately differentiated rectal carcinoma were retrieved to assess the intensity of tumor budding at the invasive margin. Intensities were divided semiquantitatively into four groups based on quartiles, and the 5-year disease-free survivals (DFS) were analyzed to search for a cutoff point of prognostic stratification. RESULTS: The cutoff of the intensity considered to be the best indicator for dividing patients into subgroups with different DFS was between quartiles 3 and 4, but this survival difference in subgroups in either side of the cutoff was significant only in stage-III disease [5-year DFS, 62.1 vs 35.1%; p = 0.0023; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.1824-0.6919]. Based on multivariate analysis, the intensity of budding proved to be an independent variable associated with DFS (hazard ratio, 2.005; p = 0.0086; 95% CI, 1.021-3.934). When scores were given to grade of budding (lower, 0; higher, 1) and N stage (N1, 0; N2, 1) in stage III, a better prognostic stratification in terms of the 5-year DFS was obtained than the American Joint Committee on Cancer nodal staging only (0 vs 1 vs 2, 66.5 vs 42.6 vs 29.2%; p = 0.0101). CONCLUSIONS: Quantitative assessment of tumor budding is a reliable biological prognostic variable to identify higher malignancy potential. Scoring system using tumor budding and N stage showed better prognostic stratification in stage-III rectal carcinoma. A prospective evaluation would confirm the clinical significance of tumor budding for prognostic stratification.

Adult↗

PubMed2006

Tumor-marker analysis and verification of prognostic models in patients with cancer of unknown primary, receiving platinum-based combination chemotherapy.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the usefulness of tumor-marker measurements and to identify prognostic factors in patients with cancer of unknown primary (CUP), receiving platinum-based combination chemotherapy and to verify the adjustment of previously reported prognostic models in this population. METHODS: We conducted univariate and multivariate analyses in consecutive patients with CUP receiving platinum-based combination chemotherapy. Previously reported prognostic models were then validated in this population. RESULTS: A total of 93 patients were analyzed and the response rate to platinum-based chemotherapeutic regimens among the 93 patients was 39.8%. The median time to progression and overall survival period were 4.1 and 12.4 months, respectively. The ST-439 level was significantly higher in patients with histologically confirmed adenocarcinoma than in patients with poorly differentiated adenocarcinoma or poorly differentiated carcinoma. A multivariate analysis indicated that performance status, the number of involved organs, and the serum lactate dehydrogenase level were the prognostic factors of the outcome. Both the previously reported prognostic models for predicting the duration of survival in this population were shown to be valid. CONCLUSION: Tumor-marker measurements are not helpful in the management of patients with CUP. Previously reported prognostic models may be useful for selecting indication for chemotherapy or for stratifying the patients in clinical trial.

Adult↗

PubMed1998

Prognostic relevance of cell proliferation markers and DNA-ploidy in gliomas.

The prognostic significance of clinically, histologically and flow cytometrically derived parameters was assessed in 49 glioma patients. With flow cytometry, DNA-index, S-phase fraction (SPF), 5-bromo-2'-deoxyuridine (BrdUrd)-labelling index (LI), and potential doubling time (Tpot) were determined. After univariate analysis of clinical variables such as, age, seizures as initial symptom, and duration of first symptom were found to be significantly associated both with proliferation rate and with local progression free survival (LPFS). Cytomorphological features such as, the presence or absence of mitosis, necrosis, and endothelial proliferation, were separately analysed and appeared to be significantly associated with LPFS. With respect to the cell proliferation markers, we observed a longer LPFS to be associated with a low SPF, a low LI, and a short Tpot. We did not observe a significant association between DNA-ploidy and LPFS. After multivariate analysis both of high and of low grade tumours, we found that neither LI, SPF, nor age had additional prognostic significance for cells in mitoses. We also demonstrated, that necrosis and endothelial proliferation had no additional prognostic significance to that for cells in mitoses. In the subgroup of low grade gliomas, in contrast to high grade gliomas, we noted prognostic significance for LI. We concluded, that i) the presence or absence of cells in mitoses was the strongest single prognosticator in gliomas, ii) in low grade gliomas LI holds prognostic significance.

Brain Neoplasms↗

PubMed1999

Evaluation of the ratio of lymph node metastasis as a prognostic factor in patients with gastric cancer.

BACKGROUND: Lymph node metastasis in patients with gastric cancer is one of the important prognostic factors. However, there is no consensus concerning the best classification for lymph node metastasis as a prognostic factor. So, to evaluate the ratio of the number of metastatic lymph nodes to the total number of dissected lymph nodes (the ratio of LN meta) as a prognostic factor, we compared the ratio of LN meta with lymph node status according to the Japan Classification of Gastric Carcinoma and the total number of metastatic lymph nodes with multivariate analysis.METHODS: Between 1991 and 1997, a total of 360 patients with primary gastric cancer who underwent gastrectomy with D2 or more extended lymph node dissection were included in this study. Ten kinds of prognostic factors and three types of different classifications for lymph node metastasis were analyzed by multivariate analysis using the Cox regression.RESULTS: The average number of dissected lymph nodes and metastatic lymph nodes were 55.0 (range, 11-184) and 2.6 (range, 0-86), respectively. There were significant differences of the 5-year cumulative survival rates among each group of the ratio of LN meta (0%, 1%-9%, 10%-24%, and more than 25%). Age, tumor size, curability, and the ratio of LN meta were selected as independent prognostic factors by forward stepwise selection. The ratio of LN meta showed the highest hazard ratio by Cox regression.CONCLUSION: The ratio of LN meta appears to be an important prognostic factor and the best classification factor for lymph node metastasis.

Journal Article↗