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The 1994 Australian Radiology Workforce Committee Report.

The task assigned to the College Workforce Subcommittee by the RACR Federal Council is to define current radiologist and trainee numbers, analyse professional demographics, and attempt to forecast radiologist numbers and the medical demand for radiological services. The period of this forecast is for 7 years leading up to 2001. This time course has been chosen on the basis of a 2 year period before any recommendation by Council could be instituted by the Educational Board and 5 years before any change in trainee numbers would be reflected in radiologist numbers. By necessity, assumptions have been made in formulating the final calculations and recommendations; the most difficult being the designation of an 'optimum' number of radiologists for our population. This assignment is an ongoing review and prediction process. The results and conclusions should be compared and contrasted to previous reports, in particular the 1992 Manpower Study.

Australia↗

1996 Australian radiology workforce report.

A questionnaire was sent to all radiologists in Australia using a mailing list supplied by individual State Workforce subcommittee members. A reply rate of 72% was obtained. There are currently 1061 radiologists (1010.5 full-time equivalents) or 55.5 radiologists per million population, placing Australia in the mid-range compared with other OECD countries. This has increased slightly from 54.1 in 1994. There is a small but definite State variation. Utilizing current trainee numbers and traditional attrition rates, there is no projected change in these figures (55.3 in 2001), but the continued introduction of 'migrant' radiologists is postulated to cause an increase (56.6 with 25 migrants and 58.4 with 50 migrants in 2001). Analysis of work-practice indicates a performance rate of 14,100 procedures per year per practising radiologist. There is again a State variation. It is estimated that the total number of medical imaging procedures per 1000 population per year (rendered by radiologists) is 815. These latter two figures place Australia in the mid-range compared with the United States and Great Britain. General radiography, mammography, ultrasound, and CT are the most common procedures (in that order), and are performed by the largest proportion of radiologists.

Adult↗

The orthopaedic workforce in Queensland now and into the twenty-first century.

The objectives of this study were to determine the number and distribution of orthopaedic surgeons in Queensland at present and to assess the adequacy of trainee intake for the future. Characteristics of the orthopaedic workforce in Queensland in 1990 were analysed with regard to the total number of orthopaedic surgeons, their regional distribution, their ratio to the population and their age distribution. Similar statistics were derived for the years 1981 and 1986 and trends were examined. By projecting these trends, the number of surgeons likely to be practising in 2001 was estimated. Using projected population figures, the number of orthopaedic surgeons required in 2001 was calculated, assuming an optimum ratio of surgeons to population of one per 25,000. It was found that in 1990 sufficient orthopaedic surgeons were practising in Queensland but that there was some maldistribution. With the increased intake of five new training registrars per year, the number of orthopaedic surgeons in Queensland in 2001 should be appropriate, as long as current trends continue.

Forecasting↗

A workforce survey of health promotion education and training needs in the state of Victoria.

OBJECTIVE: This study investigates the education and training needs of health professionals and factors affecting participation in education and training. METHODS: A survey of health promotion professionals, health professionals, GPs and CEOs of community health centres, conducted across different settings and locations. Information was obtained on: involvement in health promotion activities, most useful content and format of past training, current preferences for education and training and barriers and incentives to education and training. RESULTS: Health promotion professionals were involved in the widest variety of health promotion activities, including more evaluation, research and planning than GPs and other health professionals who were involved in more client-focussed activities. Professionals' preference for training content reflected the type of activities in which they were most frequently involved. Practical courses, of short duration, delivered by experienced peers or health promotion experts were preferred over university and TAFE courses. Professionals in rural and provincial locations require both greater access to information on training and conveniently located training. More organisational support, funding and time release would encourage the training of professionals in government departments, community health centres and public hospitals. CONCLUSIONS: To be most effective, training must be tailored to suit the specific needs of different professionals involved in health promotion and take into consideration how factors, such as financial incentives and time release, influence participation across different settings and locations. IMPLICATIONS: Further development of the health promotion workforce will require recognition of its professional diversity and a more responsive and organised approach to education and training programs.

Adult↗

Redesigning a school health workforce for a new health care environment: training school nurses as nurse practitioners.

Diminishing financial resources for school health dictate the most efficient possible deployment of the school health workforce. School nurses trained as nurse practitioners could help resolve the common problems of ready access to and appropriate use of primary care, early detection of potentially costly medical problems, and efficient use of school health staff. To determine how best to use existing resources to meet the increasingly varied and complex health care needs of children and adolescents, a pilot project was conducted in Denver from 1994 to 1996. With physician back-up and health aide support, school nurses were trained as nurse practitioners to provide in-school diagnostic and treatment services. Based on their evaluation study of this pilot project, the authors suggest ways to solve problems in role transition, including well-balanced training; clear role definition and assignment of responsibilities; appropriate back-up and mentoring support; and issues of sustaining long-term programs.

Adolescent↗

Recent trends in psychiatry residency workforce with special reference to international medical graduates.

OBJECTIVE: This study examines trends in the supply, distribution, and demographics of psychiatry residents during the 1990s. It evaluates the extent to which the predicted downsizing of psychiatry residency training programs actually occurred and how it affected training programs of different sizes and locations. METHOD: Data for this study were obtained from the American Medical Association's (AMA) Annual Survey of Graduate Medical Education (GME) Programs, the AMA GME directory, and the APA Graduate Medical Census. The study compares the roles played by international medical graduates (IMGs) in contrast to U.S. medical graduates (USMGs) in these trends. RESULTS: There was a significant decline in the number of residents during the years studied. The median training program size also decreased. International medical graduates found broad acceptance in training programs of all locations and sizes, including medical school based programs. Implications of the findings are discussed regarding the impact of current graduate medical education (GME) and immigration policies on future workforce patterns. CONCLUSION: The field will have to decide whether it can afford anymore residency downsizing in light of emerging evidence of a shortage of psychiatrists.

Data Collection↗

Illuminating the MPH health educator workforce: results and implications of an employer survey.

The public health workforce has been studied, but not health educators specifically. The development of a Master of Public Health (MPH) in community health education inspired research to illuminate the San Francisco MPH health educator labor market. A time-series survey of an employer panel was conducted between 1995 and 1999 regarding the number of MPH health educators on staff, hiring projections, and importance of selected competencies. In the San Francisco Bay Area, there were 4 MPH health educators per 100,000 persons in 1999. The majority worked in local health departments and community-based organizations. Although hiring was largely replacement in the late 1990s, employers anticipated an increase in hiring from 2000 to 2004. Employers reported that educational preparation was adequate, although preparation in specific competencies, such as bilingual competence, was lacking. These results suggest a favorable labor market for MPH health educators in the San Francisco Bay Area.

Education, Graduate↗

Training the future neurology workforce.

OBJECTIVE: To address training demands on future neurologists, the American Academy of Neurology (AAN) surveyed its US members as to their views about training the future neurology workforce. METHODS: The survey was mailed to 575 US neurologists and 425 residents/fellows. Respondents (54%) were asked about their perceptions of current and future educational programs and settings needed to improve practice competence; issues related to subspecialization; and the role of non-neurologists in providing neurologic care. Views of neurologists were compared with those of neurology residents/fellows. RESULTS: Most respondents support additional training in outpatient, community, and staff model health maintenance organization settings. The majority of respondents oppose a required fifth year of training or a yearly competency examination, but neurologists who have a subspecialty interest and residents/fellows favor elective certification and higher fees by subspecialists. General neurologists oppose these ideas. Most neurologists feel that primary care physicians, nurse practitioners, and physician assistants can manage uncomplicated neurologic problems, although residents/fellows are less willing to accept the role of nonphysician providers for neurologic services. CONCLUSIONS: Neurology educational programs should consider addressing deficiencies that today's practitioners perceive. Increasing subspecialization, although favored by most neurologists, creates a challenge for the neurologic community as neurologists without subspecialty training see this trend as a threat to their livelihood.

Attitude of Health Personnel↗

Barriers to achieving a cost-effective workforce mix: lessons from anesthesiology.

As pressures to control health care costs increase, competition among physicians, advanced practice nurses, and other allied health providers has also intensified. Anesthesia care is one of the most highly contested terrains, where the growth in anesthesiologist supply has far outstripped total demand. This article explains why the supply has grown so fast despite evidence that nurse anesthetists provide equally good care at a fraction of the cost. Emphasis is given to payment incentives in the private sector and Medicare. Laudable attempts by the government to make Medicare payments more efficient and equitable by lowering the economic return to physicians specializing in anesthesia have created a hostile work environment. Nurse anesthetists are being dismissed from hospitals in favor of anesthesiologists who do not appear "on the payroll" but cost society more, nonetheless. Claims of antitrust violations by nurse anesthetists against anesthesiologists have not found much support in the courts for several reasons outlined in this essay. HMO penetration and other market forces have begun signaling new domestic physician graduates to eschew anesthesia, but, again, Medicare payment incentives encourage teaching hospitals to recruit international medical graduates to maintain graduate medical education payments. After suggesting desirable but likely ineffective reforms involving licensure laws and hospital organizational restructuring, the article discusses several alternative payment methods that would encourage hospitals and medical staffs to adopt a more cost-effective anesthesia workforce mix. Lessons for other nonphysician personnel conclude the article.

Aged↗

The neurosurgical workforce in North America: a critical review of gender issues.

OBJECTIVE: The role of women in Western society has changed dramatically in the past several decades. Despite this, many gender disparities still exist for professionals in the health care sector. In neurosurgery, a disproportionately small percentage of the workforce in the United States and Canada is female. These figures are lower than most reported in other medical specialties. This review critically examines factors that may be influencing women's ability to advance in demanding subspecialties such as neurosurgery. METHODS: The literature on women in medicine, and surgery in particular, were reviewed to identify different issues facing women currently in practice in neurosurgery. In addition, the concerns of prospective trainees were examined. RESULTS: There remain many challenges for women entering neurosurgery, including unique lifestyle concerns, limited mentorship, out-dated career programs, and deep-seeded societal beliefs. Discrimination and harassment are also contributing factors. CONCLUSION: If neurosurgery is to continue to progress as a subspecialty, the issue of gender inequality needs to be scrutinized more closely. Innovative programs must be developed to meet the needs of current female faculty members and to ensure attracting the brightest individuals of both genders into a career in neurosurgery.

Career Mobility↗

Workforce needs for endovascular neurosurgery.

During the past decade, endovascular techniques and clinical experience have matured to the point that all or a significant part of the treatment of acute ischemic stroke, cerebral aneurysms, brachiocephalic occlusive disease, and arteriovenous fistulae or malformations is performed in angiography suites by neuroradiologists, vascular surgeons, peripheral interventionists, cardiologists, neurologists, and neurosurgeons worldwide. With improvements in technology and lower morbidity rates, the scope of endovascular techniques will only increase. Currently, in the United States alone, this amounts to a volume of more than 500,000 patients annually. Neurosurgeons currently provide only a small portion of the care of these patients. The workforce needs for endovascular surgeons in neurosurgery will be determined by the patients, the willingness of neurosurgeons to embrace endovascular techniques, and the broad scope of cerebrovascular disorders that can be treated.

Career Mobility↗

Health care workforce research: identifying the agenda.

Research can contribute to resolving some of the workforce challenges that all heath care systems face. In an attempt to identify the research agenda, key stakeholders in the UK were brought together and background papers were presented by academics with expertise in seven related but distinct areas: global issues; professional boundaries; education; regulation; workplaces; professional-patient interaction; and organisation and management. The research questions identified in each area are described along with some methodological challenges. It is hoped that this will encourage research in this crucial area of health services by facilitating a coherent approach to the diverse needs identified.

Delivery of Health Care↗

Growing old together: the influence of population and workforce aging on supply and use of family physicians.

Canadians have expressed concern that access to a family physician (FP) has declined precipitously. Yet FP-topopulation ratios remained relatively stable over the last decade, and there were perceptions of physician surpluses, at least in urban centres, 10 years ago. We evaluated whether demographic changes among patients and FPs, and in the volume of care received and provided over the period, contribute to this paradox. Given the relationship between age and FP use in fiscal year 1991/1992, an aging population should have been associated with a 2 per cent increase in visits by 2000/2001. Likewise, given the relationship between FP age and workloads in 1991/1992, an aging workforce should have been associated with a 12 per cent increase in service provision a decade later. Yet visit rates and average FP workloads remained unchanged. There was an increase in age-specific rates of FP use among older adults and a decline in rates among the young, and an increase in age-specific workloads such that older FPs provided many more services than their predecessors (30%) and younger FPs provided many fewer (20%). In terms of impact on future requirements for FPs, both changes in age-specific rates of use, and changes in age-specific patterns of FP productivity, trump population aging as key drivers.

Age Distribution↗

Effects of current and future information technologies on the health care workforce.

Information technologies have the potential to affect the types and distribution of jobs in the health care workforce. Against a background of an explosively growing body of knowledge in the health sciences, current models of clinical decision making by autonomous practitioners, relying upon their memory and personal experience, will be inadequate for effective twenty-first-century health care delivery. The growth of consumerism and the proliferation of Internet-accessible sources of health-related information will modify the traditional roles of provider and patient and will provide opportunities for new kinds of employment in health-related professions.

Computer Literacy↗

Better late than never: workforce supply implications of later entry into nursing.

Although the number of people entering nursing in their early to mid-twenties remains at its lowest point in forty years, large numbers of people are entering the profession in their late twenties and early thirties. And although it remains unclear why people are becoming nurses later, there is evidence that nursing is attracting interest from different segments of the potential workforce than it was in the 1970s and 1980s. We analyze these trends using data through 2005 and a revised forecast model that still predicts a nurse shortage by 2020, but a smaller one than previously forecast.

Adult↗

Medicare spending, the physician workforce, and beneficiaries' quality of care.

The quality of care received by Medicare beneficiaries varies across areas. We find that states with higher Medicare spending have lower-quality care. This negative relationship may be driven by the use of intensive, costly care that crowds out the use of more effective care. One mechanism for this trade-off may be the mix of the provider workforce: States with more general practitioners use more effective care and have lower spending, while those with more specialists have higher costs and lower quality. Improving the quality of beneficiaries' care could be accomplished with more effective use of existing dollars.

Aged↗

Pediatric residents' career intentions: data from the leading edge of the pediatrician workforce.

OBJECTIVE: To determine factors influencing career choices by pediatric residents and how they may change the future pediatric physician workforce. BACKGROUND: Societal norms and policy decisions can influence the demographics of residents entering pediatric practice and resident career choices. Although predictors of physician career choice have been identified retrospectively by examining the characteristics of physicians in practice, little work has focused on the job selection factors important to pediatric residents when they make their postresidency career decisions. DESIGN/METHODS: For 3 consecutive years (1997-1999), the American Academy of Pediatrics surveyed a national sample of 500 third-year residents, totaling 1500 residents. Data on resident characteristics, job selection attitudes, and career decisions were obtained, and trends for the past 3 years were examined. RESULTS: The percentage of residents intending to practice primary care remained constant at around 69% from 1997 through 1999. Female residents, US medical graduates, and residents married to nonphysicians were more likely to report primary care practice as their future clinical goal. These relationships were mediated by higher rates of a primary care practice goal among those who felt geographic location and future colleagues were very important and by lower rates among those who felt acceptable income, teaching opportunities, and research opportunities were very important. Six percent of residents entering general pediatrics were heading to rural locations. CONCLUSIONS: With a projected increase in the number of female pediatricians and a decline in international medical graduates, our study suggests that pediatrics may continue to shift toward an increased proportion of general pediatricians. Lifestyle issues are a major factor influencing job choice and must be addressed.

Adult↗