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Role of mast cells in health: daily rhythmic variations in their number, exocytotic activity, histamine and serotonin content in the rat thyroid gland.

A chronobiologic transverse study on rat thyroid has been carried out to investigate whether mast cells and their content in biogenic amines normally undergo daily variations and whether these are related to circadian activity of the gland. The mean number of mast cells per microscopic field presents daily variations ranging from 10.9 +/- 3 to 14.6 +/- 3.8 in males and from 8.4 +/- 1.9 to 14.8 +/- 3 in females: these variations show a circadian trend in both sexes, with a 12 hrs period and two peaks at about 11:10/23:10. The mean percentage of degranulated mast cells per microscopic fields shows daily variations ranging from 51 +/- 11 to 60.4 +/- 14.2 in males and from 49.8 +/- 12.5 to 58.3 +/- 13.6 in females; these variations present a circadian rhythm with a 24 hrs period and a mean peak at 02:00. The histamine content of the gland varies in 24 hrs from 20.93 +/- 1.19 micrograms/g w w to 38.08 +/- 1.7 micrograms/g w w, without any sex-related difference: these variations show a rhythmic trend with a 12 hrs period and two peaks at 09:10/21:10. Serotonin content of thyroid presents circadian variations from 15.98 +/- 0.83 to 23.23 +/- 0.61 micrograms/g w w, with a 12 hrs period and two peaks at 04:20/16:20. Whereas the variations of mast cell exocytosis and of serotonin content seem to be chronobiologically linked to circadian variations of gland activity, evaluated on the basis of free and total tetraiodothyronine serum levels, the variations of mast cell number appear to be related to those of thyroid and blood histamine. The present data support the hypothesis that mast cell activity should not be considered as only linked to inflammation or allergic responses.

Animals↗

Circadian variation of abnormal heart beats in an elderly population and their relation to sudden cardiac death.

The relationships between the circadian variation of abnormal heart beats and the circadian variation in sudden cardiac death warrant further discussion for the high correlations demonstrated here are difficult to ignore. In the healthy group abnormal beats showed a high correlation of their circadian variation with that of sudden cardiac death which is independent of heart rate. As a result the conclusion that the relationship of the circadian variations of abnormal heart beats and sudden cardiac death is merely dependent on a mutual dependence on activity is not supported here. The present data illustrates a strong association between arrhythmias and sudden cardiac death. The relationship of sudden cardiac death with abnormal heart beats demonstrated here, however, cannot confirm a causal role of the latter on the former for both may be responding to circadian variations of some underlying mechanism such as ischemia. Additionally the population studied here, although relatively comparable in terms of living conditions and other significant factors, was not strictly age-matched with those from the sudden cardiac death study warranting further caution in interpreting the association demonstrated here. The results from the unhealthy group, although somewhat limited, indicate that cardiovascular morbidity may alter the relationship of sudden cardiac death and abnormal heart beats. Such a result could be explained by the presence of other forms of heart disease which could be responsible for sudden cardiac death in the unhealthy group. An interesting question to ask concerning the data presented above is whether or not significant circadian variations in in the frequency of abnormal heart beats could have been demonstrated when exogenous factors such as meal times and activity were altered. The data on in hospital sudden cardiac death indicates that the circadian variation in sudden cardiac death is significantly altered by the radical changes in routine which accompany hospitalization. If the relationship between the circadian variation of sudden cardiac death and abnormal heart beats is as strong as the results presented here indicate, it is likely that the alteration of such exogenous factors would also change the circadian variation of abnormal heart beats. The results of the present study indicate that both the circadian variation in abnormal heart beats, and its relationship to sudden cardiac death, warrant further study.

Aged↗

Within-subject variation of elastase/alpha 1-protease inhibitor complexes and lactoferrin in plasma.

Several studies have shown increased plasma concentrations of neutrophil elastase in complex with alpha 1-protease inhibitor and/or lactoferrin in inflammatory conditions, and serial measurements have been advocated in order to follow disease activity. However, data on the magnitude of the within-subject variation are necessary for evaluation of the significance of changes in results obtained on analysis of serial samples. Within-subject variation of elastase/alpha 1-protease inhibitor complexes and lactoferrin over a short time was studied in six young men who had blood samples drawn every 4 h over 2 days. Within-subject variation over a longer time was investigated in 12 healthy adults, 6 females and 6 males, who had blood samples drawn in the morning once a week for 10 weeks. From five of the females and five of the males, blood samples were also drawn every morning on 5 consecutive days during 1 week. Within-subject variations over hours, days, and weeks were estimated as 0.050, 0.124, and 0.148 for elastase/alpha 1-protease inhibitor complexes and as 0.101, 0.119, and 0.143 for lactoferrin. A tendency towards variation of LAC with menstrual cycle in fertile females was noticed. From within-subject variation, between-subject variation and analytical variation, indices of individuality were calculated as 1.1 and 1.8 for elastase/alpha 1-protease inhibitor complexes and lactoferrin, respectively. This means that within-subject variation for lactoferrin is quite small compared to between-subject variation, and the usefulness of reference limits is very limited, when interpreting results from individual patients. For elastase/alpha 1-protease inhibitor complexes, the use of reference limits might be more appropriate, although still not optimal.

Adult↗

What method should be used to define 'night' when assessing diurnal systolic blood pressure variation in the elderly?

Diurnal blood pressure (BP) variation can be assessed by cusums-derived measures and by the day-night BP difference from time-, activity- and diary-defined 'night' periods. Reproducibility of diurnal systolic BP (SBP) variation by these different methods was studied in 19 active elderly normotensives, mean age 68.5 years. Subjects underwent simultaneous 24 h BP (Spacelabs 90207) and activity (Gaehwiler wrist actigraph) monitoring on two occasions (median interval 70 days). On the first occasion, mean diurnal SBP variation was 15.1 +/- 8.1 mm Hg by fixed-time definition of 'night' (22.07). When compared with 22-07 defined 'night' period, actigraph- and diary-defined 'night-time' was significantly reduced (-60 +/- 49, and -48 +/- 51 min, respectively) and consequently diurnal SBP variation was significantly greater at 18.2 +/- 8.1 mm Hg and 17.6 +/- 8.4 mm Hg, respectively. Actigraph recordings were also used to exclude 'night' BP readings associated with activity, but this did not significantly alter the diurnal SBP variation. Cusums-derived circadian alteration magnitude resulted in the greatest value for SBP variation (23.4 +/- 6.7 mm Hg). However, reproducibility of diurnal SBP variation was poor by fixed-time method with a coefficient of variation (CV) of > 50%, and only improved to 40% with diary use. Actigraph measurements, even if used to exclude BP values associated with disturbed sleep, did not improve this further. Cusums-derived measures of diurnal variation slightly improved reproducibility with a CV of 34.6% and may be a better method in the assessment of diurnal BP variation in the elderly.

Aged↗

Variations in the morphology, distribution, and arrangement of feathers in domesticated birds.

Domesticated birds exhibit a greater diversity in the morphology of their integument and its appendages than their wild ancestors. Many of these variations affect the appearance of a bird significantly and have been bred selectively by poultry and pigeon fanciers and aviculturists for the sake of visual appeal. Variations in feather distribution (e.g., feathering of legs and feet, featherless areas in normally feather-bearing skin) are widespread in chickens and pigeons. Variations in the number of feathers (e.g., increased number of tail feathers, lack of tail feathers) occur in certain pigeon and poultry breeds. Variations in feather length can affect certain body regions or the entire plumage. Variations in feather structure (e.g., silkiness, frilled feathering) can be found in exhibition poultry as well as in pet birds. Variations in feather arrangement (e.g., feather crests and vortices) occur in many domesticated bird species as a results of mutation and intense selective breeding. The causes of variations in the structure, distribution, length and arrangement of feathers is often unknown and opens a wide field for scientific research under various points of view (e.g., morphogenesis, pathogenesis, ethology, etc.). To that extent, variations in the morphology, distribution and arrangement of feathers in domesticated birds require also a concern for animal welfare because certain alleles responsible for integumentary variations in domesticated birds have pleiotropic effects, which often affect normal behaviour and viability.

Animals↗

Fine-mapping of a region of variation in recombination rate on BTA23 to the D23S22-D23S23 interval using sperm typing and meiotic breakpoint analysis.

Meiotic recombination rate (theta) within chromosome segments of similar physical size is known to vary widely throughout the genome. This variation has a genetic component, occurring between the sexes and among individuals of the same sex. We reported previously the existence of variation in theta between males in the DYA-PRL interval on bovine chromosome 23 (BTA23). This region contains the bovine major histocompatibility complex and has been shown to contain recombination hotspots in humans and mice. The aim of this study was to map more finely the interval(s) on BTA23 where variation in theta occurs using sperm typing and meiotic breakpoint analysis. By adding a marker (DRB3) between DYA and PRL, the DYA-PRL interval was subdivided into two adjacent intervals, thus permitting evaluation and comparison of theta among five bulls. Significant variation in theta was found for both intervals; theta(DYA-DRB3) ranged from 13.2 to 28.1%, and theta(DRB3-PRL) ranged from 2.4 to 13.0%. The variation in theta was individual- and region-specific. A meiotic breakpoint strategy employing PCR amplification products from recombinant sperm was then used to refine the chromosomal location associated with variation in theta within the DYA-DRB3 interval. The subinterval D23S22-D23S23 exhibited the greatest degree of variation among bulls having high and low theta within the DYA-DRB3 interval. To confirm this result, theta(D23S22-D23S23) was directly evaluated in three additional randomly chosen bulls using sperm typing. The region showing variation in theta was narrowed to the D23S22-D23S23 subinterval, ranging from 4.6 to 9.2%. Identification of the molecular basis for variation in theta may be useful for map-dependent applications, such as marker-assisted selection and positional cloning of genes affecting physiologically important traits.

Animals↗

Variation in mate choice and mating preferences: a review of causes and consequences.

The aim of this review is to consider variation in mating preferences among females. We define mating preferences as the sensory and behavioural properties that influence the propensity of individuals to mate with certain phenotypes. Two properties of mating preferences can be distinguished: (1) "preference functions'-the order with which an individual ranks prospective mates and (2) "choosiness'-the effort an individual is prepared to invest in mate assessment. Patterns of mate choices can be altered by changing the costs of choosiness without altering the preference function. We discuss why it is important to study variation in female mating behaviour and identify five main areas of interest: Variation in mating preferences and costs of choosiness could (1) influence the rate and direction of evolution by sexual selection, (2) provide information about the evolutionary history of female preferences, (3) help explain inter-specific differences in the evolution of secondary sexual characteristics, (4) provide information about the level of benefits gained from mate choice, (5) provide information about the underlying mechanisms of mate choice. Variation in mate choice could be due to variability in preference functions, degree of choosiness, or both, and may arise due to genetic differences, developmental trajectories or proximate environmental factors. We review the evidence for genetic variation from genetic studies of heritability and also from data on the repeatability of mate-choice decisions (which can provide information about the upper limits to heritability). There can be problems in interpreting patterns of mate choice in terms of variation in mating preferences and we illustrate two main points. First, some factors can lead to mate choice patterns that mimic heritable variation in preferences and secondly other factors may obscure heritable preferences. These factors are divided into three overlapping classes, environmental, social and the effect of the female phenotype. The environmental factors discussed include predation risk and the costs of sampling; the social factors discussed include the effect of male-male interactions as well as female competition. We review the literature which presents data on how females sample males and discuss the number of cues females use. We conclude that sexual-selection studies have paid far less attention to variation among females than to variation among males, and that there is still much to learn about how females choose males and why different females make different choices. We suggest a number of possible lines for future research.

Animal Communication↗

Variation and immunity to intestinal worms.

Genetically determined variation in host capacity to express resistance to a given parasite plays a major role in determining the outcome of infection. It can be assumed that the same is true of variation in parasites, but very much less is known of its influence on the host-parasite relationship. Phenotypic and genotypic variation within species of intestinal worms is now well documented, detailed studies having been made of parasites such as Ascaris in humans and trichostrongyles in domestic animals. However, the extent to which this variation affects the course of infection or the host immune response in these hosts is limited. Of the nematodes used as experimental models in laboratory rodents, detailed data on phenotypic or genotypic variation are limited to Strongyloides and Trichinella. Parasite variation is known to be subject to host-mediated selection, the emergence of anthelmintic resistance being a good example. Repeated passage has been used to select lines of parasite that survive in abnormal hosts or which show adaptation to host immunity. Experimental studies with Trichinella genotypes in mice have demonstrated the extent to which parasite variation influences the nature and degree of the host's immune and inflammatory responses, the complex interplay between immunogenicity and pathogenicity influencing both partners in the relationship. Recent studies with isolates of Trichuris muris have shown how parasite variation influences the capacity of mice to express the T helper cell responses necessary for resistance. Molecular differences between T. muris isolates have been shown in their excreted/secreted products as well as at the level of their DNA. Knowledge of the functional consequences of parasite variation will add to our understanding of host-parasite evolution as well as providing a rational basis for predicting the outcome of controls strategies that rest on the improvement of host resistance through vaccination or selective breeding.

Animals↗

Variation in gene expression within and among natural populations.

Evolution may depend more strongly on variation in gene expression than on differences between variant forms of proteins. Regions of DNA that affect gene expression are highly variable, containing 0.6% polymorphic sites. These naturally occurring polymorphic nucleotides can alter in vivo transcription rates. Thus, one might expect substantial variation in gene expression between individuals. But the natural variation in mRNA expression for a large number of genes has not been measured. Here we report microarray studies addressing the variation in gene expression within and between natural populations of teleost fish of the genus Fundulus. We observed statistically significant differences in expression between individuals within the same population for approximately 18% of 907 genes. Expression typically differed by a factor of 1.5, and often more than 2.0. Differences between populations increased the variation. Much of the variation between populations was a positive function of the variation within populations and thus is most parsimoniously described as random. Some genes showed unexpected patterns of expression--changes unrelated to evolutionary distance. These data suggest that substantial natural variation exists in gene expression and that this quantitative variation is important in evolution.

Analysis of Variance↗

Variation in continuous reaction norms: quantifying directions of biological interest.

Thermal performance curves are an example of continuous reaction norm curves of common shape. Three modes of variation in these curves--vertical shift, horizontal shift, and generalist-specialist trade-offs--are of special interest to evolutionary biologists. Since two of these modes are nonlinear, traditional methods such as principal components analysis fail to decompose the variation into biological modes and to quantify the variation associated with each mode. Here we present the results of a new method, template mode of variation (TMV), that decomposes the variation into predetermined modes of variation for a particular set of thermal performance curves. We illustrate the method using data on thermal sensitivity of growth rate in Pieris rapae caterpillars. The TMV model explains 67% of the variation in thermal performance curves among families; generalist-specialist trade-offs account for 38% of the total between-family variation. The TMV method implemented here is applicable to both differences in mean and patterns of variation, and it can be used with either phenotypic or quantitative genetic data for thermal performance curves or other continuous reaction norms that have a template shape with a single maximum. The TMV approach may also apply to growth trajectories, age-specific life-history traits, and other function-valued traits.

Animals↗

Genetic variation of simian immunodeficiency viruses in nonhuman primates.

The generation of biologically active proviral DNA clones of simian immunodeficiency virus (SIV) that give rise to infectious virions has allowed the detailed examination of genetic variation in experimentally inoculated monkeys. Studies of nucleotide sequences derived directly from circulating leukocytes of infected monkeys show that the SIV genome undergoes rapid and dramatic variation during the course of infection. The env gene is a major site for variation, and within the Env protein, hypervariable regions analogous to those previously defined for the human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) env gene are apparent. A major exception is the region corresponding to the V3 domain in HIV-1, which has been highly conserved in all SIV studies to date. These data notwithstanding, the role of SIV genetic variation in the pathogenesis of AIDS in monkeys remains unclear. Genetic variation within the env gene does not appear to be sufficient for the development of AIDS since significant variation is observed in both pathogenic and nonpathogenic SIV infections. Furthermore, although it generally is believed that env gene variation might allow HIV and SIV to avoid recognition and elimination by host immune responses, this premise has not been rigorously proven. The use of molecularly cloned SIV in monkey models has provided important quantitative and qualitative information on in vivo sequence variation, and these data, in turn, have laid the groundwork for addressing the undoubtedly complex functional significance of this variation.

Amino Acid Sequence↗

The rosy region of Drosophila melanogaster and Drosophila simulans. I. Contrasting levels of naturally occurring DNA restriction map variation and divergence.

A 40-kb region around the rosy and snake loci was analyzed for restriction map variation among 60 lines of Drosophila melanogaster and 30 lines of Drosophila simulans collected together at a single locality in Raleigh, North Carolina. DNA sequence variation in D. simulans was estimated to be 6.3 times greater than in D. melanogaster (heterozygosities per nucleotide of 1.9% vs. 0.3%). This result stands in marked contrast to results of studies of phenotypic variation including proteins (allozymes), morphology and chromosome arrangements which are generally less variable and less geographically differentiated in D. simulans. Intraspecific polymorphism is not distributed uniformly over the 40-kb region. The level of heterozygosity per nucleotide varies more than 12-fold across the region in D. simulans, being highest over the hsc2 gene. Similar, though less extreme, variation in heterozygosity is also observed in D. melanogaster. Average interspecific divergence (corrected for intraspecific polymorphism) averaged 3.8%. The pattern of interspecific divergence over the 40-kb region shows some disparities with the spatial distribution of intraspecific variation, but is generally consistent with selective neutrality predictions: the most polymorphic regions within species are generally the most divergent between species. Sequence-length polymorphism is observed for D. melanogaster to be at levels comparable to other gene regions in this species. In contrast, no sequence length variation was observed among D. simulans chromosomes (limit of resolution approximately 100 bp). These data indicate that transposable elements play at best a minor role in the generation of naturally occurring genetic variation in D. simulans compared to D. melanogaster. We hypothesize that differences in species effective population size are the major determinant of the contrasting levels and patterns of DNA sequence and insertion/deletion variation that we report here and the patterns of allozyme and morphological variation and differentiation reported by other workers for these two species.

Animals↗

Levels of variation in stress resistance in drosophila among strains, local populations, and geographic regions: patterns for desiccation, starvation, cold resistance, and associated traits.

Stress resistance traits in Drosophila often show clinal variation. Although these patterns suggest selection, there is generally no attempt to test how large differences at the geographical level are relative to levels of variation within and between local populations. Here we compare these levels in D. melanogaster from temperate Tasmania versus tropical northern Queensland by focusing on adult resistance to desiccation, cold and starvation stress, as well as associated traits (size, lipid content). For starvation and desiccation resistance, levels of variation were highest among strains from the same population. whereas there was little differentiation among local populations and a low level of differentiation at the geographic level. For adult cold resistance, there was local differentiation and strain variation but no geographic variation. For size (thorax length), geographic differentiation was higher despite some overlap among strains from the tropical and temperate locations. Finally, for lipid levels there was only evidence for variation among strains. The low level of differentiation among geographic locations for stress resistance was further verified with the characterization of isofemale strains from 18 locations along a coastal transect extending from Tasmania to northern Queensland. Crosses among some of the isofemale strains showed that results were not confounded by inbreeding effects. Strains derived from a cross between a tropical and temperate strain differed for all traits, and variation among strains for body size was higher than strain variation within the geographic regions. Unlike in previous studies, lipid content and starvation resistance were not correlated in any set of strains, but there was a correlation between cold resistance and lipid content. There was also a correlation between desiccation resistance and size but only in the geographic cross strains. These findings suggest a large amount of variation in stress resistance at the population level and inconsistent correlation patterns across experimental approaches.

Analysis of Variance↗

Assessing natural variations in gene expression in humans by comparing with monozygotic twins using microarrays.

Quantitative variation in gene expression in humans is the outcome of various factors, including differences in genetic background, gender, age, and environment. However, the extent of the influence of these factors on gene expression is not clear. We attempted to address this issue by carrying out gene expression profiling in blood leukocytes with 13 individuals (including 5 pairs of monozygotic twins) on 10,000 genes using HG-U95Av2 oligonucleotide microarrays. The proportion of differentially expressed genes between monozygotic twins was low (up to 1.76%). Most of the variations belonged to the least variable category. These genes, exhibiting "random variations," did not show clear preference to any functional class, although "signaling and communication" and "immune and related functions" generally topped the list. The extent of variation in gene expression increased in comparisons between unrelated individuals (up to 14.13%). Most of the genes (89%) exhibiting random variations in twins also varied in expression in unrelated individuals. As with twins, signaling and communication topped the list, and substantial variations were observed in all three categories: least variable, moderately variable, and most variable. An important outcome of this study was that the housekeeping genes were nearly insensitive to random variations but appeared to be more susceptible to genetic differences. However, the highly expressed housekeeping genes exhibited low variation and appeared to be insensitive to all known factors. Gene expression profiling in monozygotic twins can provide useful data for the assessment of natural variation in gene expression in humans.

Adult↗

Genetic and biochemical factors associated with variation in blood pressure in a genetic isolate.

We previously found an association between blood pressure and genetic variation of angiotensinogen in Canadian Hutterites. We hypothesized that variation in other candidate genes would also be associated with variation in blood pressure. We included genotypes of 12 candidate genes, along with clinical features and biochemical variables as covariates in an association analysis. We found that sex and body mass were significantly associated with variation in both systolic and diastolic blood pressures. We found that genotypes of APOB codon 4154 and AGT codon 174 were significantly associated with variation in systolic blood pressure. We found that genotypes of APOB codon 4154, AGT codon 174, and F7 codon 353 were significantly associated with variation in diastolic blood pressure. We found a significant association between age and variation in systolic but not diastolic blood pressure. We found a significant association between plasma apo B concentration and variation in diastolic but not systolic blood pressure. The association of genomic variation with resting blood pressure is consistent with the existence of important structural elements within or proximal to some genes in lipoprotein metabolism, the renin-angiotensin system, and the coagulation cascade. The association between plasma apo B concentration and diastolic blood pressure suggests that these traits may share some determinants.

Angiotensinogen↗

Ontogeny of body size variation in African apes.

Size variation in African apes (Gorilla gorilla [gorilla], Pan paniscus [pygmy chimpanzee], and Pan troglodytes ["common" chimpanzee]) is substantial, both within and between species. We investigate the possible evolutionary significance of this variation through an analysis of the ontogeny of size variation in this group. In addition, we highlight possible areas of future endocrinological research, and evaluate recently proposed alternative models that attempt to account for ontogenetic variation in apes. The present study shows that intergeneric variation in size is largely a consequence of differences among species in the rate of body weight growth. Interspecific size variation in Pan is a product of both rate and duration differences in growth. The ontogenetic bases of sexual dimorphism vary in this group. Dimorphism is largely a result of sex differences in the duration of body weight growth in gorillas and pygmy chimpanzees, but results from differences in the rate of growth in common chimpanzees. Ontogenetic analyses largely confirm earlier interpretations, but with better data and methods. The great degree of ontogenetic variation within and among these species, especially in the timing and magnitude of "pubertal" growth spurts, implies that studies of endocrine growth control in African apes could be a productive line of future research. We also suggest that ontogenetic variation can be understood with respect to ecological risks. Growth rates seem to be negatively correlated with ecological risk in African apes, suggesting links between ontogenetic patterns and social and ecological variables. High growth rates in gorillas compared to Pan are most consistent with this model. Variation between chimpanzees and pygmy chimpanzees (especially females) also seem to fit predictions of this model.

Animals↗

Demographic and socioeconomic determinants of variation in food and nutrient intake in an Andean community.

Understanding the sources of variation in a community's diet is vital for development work, as well as being a source of anthropological and cultural insights. Previous surveys in the South American Andes suggest that nutrient deficiencies may be widespread; however, such interpretations have remained tentative since variance in Andean populations' diet has not been thoroughly examined. In this paper we consider the variation in diet due to variation in age, sex, and socioeconomic status and variation attributed to inter- and intraindividual variation in the diet. One to six days of dietary data (mean = 3.1) were collected via 24 h recalls from 221 residents of a small, rural community in highland Ecuador. The contribution of various food groups to the diet varied with land holdings and age but not sex. For example, animal-derived foods contribute more and tubers contribute less to the diet of the households with > or = 5 Ha, and sweets contribute more to the diet of children. The interindividual variation in energy and nutrient intake was low and the intraindividual variation high relative to developed countries. The consequence are twofold. First, because interindividual variability is low, group mean intake can be estimated relatively easily, facilitating group comparisons. Second, because intraindividual variation is high, individual nutrient intake cannot be easily estimated, which will decrease the ability to detect associations between nutrient intake and health measures. This knowledge of the sources of dietary variation can lead to better study and survey designs in the rural Andes and elsewhere in the developing world.

Adolescent↗

Comparing the importance of disease rate versus practice style variations in explaining differences in small area hospitalization rates for two respiratory conditions.

Many studies have reported large variations in age- and sex-adjusted rates of hospitalizations across small geographic areas. These variations have often been attributed to differences in medical practice style which are not reflected in differences in health care outcomes. There is, however, another potentially important source of variation that has not been examined much in the literature: geographic differences in the age-sex adjusted size of the pool of patients who present with the disease and are candidates for hospitalization. Previous studies of small area variations in hospitalization rates have only used data on hospitalizations. Thus, it has not been possible to distinguish the extent to which differences in hospitalization rates are due to (i). differences in the chance that patients diagnosed with a disease are admitted to a hospital, which we refer to as the 'practice style effect,' versus (ii). geographic differences in the total amount of diagnosed disease, which we refer to as the 'disease effect.' Elementary methods for estimating the relative strength of the two effects directly from the data can be misleading, since equal amounts of variability in each effect result in unequal impacts on hospitalization rates. In this paper we describe a model-based approach for estimating the relative importance of the practice style effect and the disease effect in explaining variations in hospitalization rates. The key to our approach is the use of data on both inpatient and outpatient visits. We use 1997 Medicare data for two respiratory medical conditions across 71 small areas in Massachusetts: chronic bronchitis and emphysema, and bacterial pneumonia. Based on a Poisson model for the process generating hospitalizations and outpatient visits, we use a Bayesian framework and Gibbs sampling to compute and compare the correlation between the number of people hospitalized and each of these two sources of variation. Our results show that for the two conditions, disease rate variation explains at least as much of the variation in hospitalization rates as does practice style variation.

Aged↗