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Results for “prognostic factor”

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PubMed2005

Multivariate analyses of prognostic factors in acute myeloid leukemia: relevance of cytogenetic abnormalities and CD34 expression.

Identification of additional prognostic factors besides karyotype is important for the improvement of the risk adapted treatment strategies in acute myeloid leukemia (AML). The aim of this study was to investigate whether other factors besides karyotype could be used as a prognostic tool in newly diagnosed AML. Biological and disease related established and potential prognostic factors were retrospectively analysed in 124 consecutive AML patients treated between 1993 and 2002 at the University hospital Rostock (Germany). One hundred patients received a potential curative intensive chemotherapy (81%), of whom 28 received an allogeneic HSCT at some point of their treatment course, 17 patients (14%) received palliative therapies and 7 patients (5%) received supportive care only. In patients that received potential curative therapies LDH >or=2000 U/l, WBC >50 GPT/l, CD34 surface expression on the AML blasts, secondary AML, unfavorable karyotype and no allogeneic HSCT at some point of treatment course were associated with unfavorable prognosis. However, in the multivariate risk factor analyses only unfavorable karyotype (p=0.012), CD34 positivity of AML blasts (p=0.046), no allogeneic HSCT (p=0.008) and first diagnosis after 1997 (p=0.025) were independent unfavourable prognostic factors. In conclusion, karyotype and CD34 expression are independent prognostic markers in newly diagnosed AML. Furthermore, receiving an allogeneic HSCT at some point of the treatment course seems to be of benefit for AML patients.

Acute Disease↗

PubMed1997

Prognostic factors for relapse in stage I testicular seminoma treated with surveillance.

PURPOSE: We sought to identify prognostic factors predictive of disease progression in patients with clinical stage I seminoma on surveillance following orchiectomy. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Between January 1981 and December 1993, 201 patients 20 to 86 years old (median age 34) with clinical stage I seminoma were placed on surveillance following orchiectomy. The potential prognostic factors studied included age, tumor size, mitotic count, S phase fraction, ploidy, presence of small vessel invasion, syncytiotrophoblasts and tumor infiltrating lymphocytes, expression of beta-human chorionic gonadotropin and low molecular weight keratin on immunohistochemistry. RESULTS: With a median followup of 6.1 years (range 1.3 to 12.3) 31 patients had relapse for an actuarial 5-year relapse-free rate of 84.9%. The 5-year actuarial survival rate was 97.1% and the cause specific survival rate was 99.5%. On univariate analysis factors predictive of relapse were tumor size (5-year relapse-free rate 88 and 67% for tumors 6 cm. or less and greater than 6 cm., respectively, p = 0.004), age (5-year relapse-free rate 79 and 91% for age 34 years or younger versus older than 34 years, respectively, p = 0.009) and presence of small vessel invasion (5-year relapse-free rate 86 versus 69%, p = 0.01). On multivariate analysis age and tumor size were predictive of relapse, while small vessel invasion approached statistical significance. The risk of relapse in 57 patients with none of the 3 adverse prognostic factors (age greater than 34 years, tumor 6 cm. or smaller and no small vessel invasion) was 6%. CONCLUSIONS: We identified age, size of the primary tumor and small vessel invasion as important prognostic factors for relapse in patients with stage I seminoma treated with surveillance. Further followup and assessment of biological factors are needed to optimize selection of patients at a high risk for relapse who should receive immediate postoperative therapy.

Actuarial Analysis↗

PubMed2003

Prognostic factors for low-grade gliomas.

Low-grade gliomas are a heterogenous group of diseases characterized by relatively slow-growing primary brain tumors of astrocytic and/or oligodendroglial origin. Many patients present with easily controlled seizures and remain stable for years, whereas others progress rapidly to higher-grade tumors. Several studies have retrospectively investigated tumor-, patient-, and treatment-related prognostic factors in this patient population. Tumor histology, grade, location, contrast enhancement, and molecular markers have been identified as prognostic factors for survival. Likewise, patient age, performance status, and seizure history are patient-dependent prognostic factors. However, although patients who undergo surgical resection and receive adjuvant radiotherapy tend to have improved survival, treatment-dependent prognostic factors have yet to be definitively identified. Recursive partitioning and multivariant analyses have identified a class of patients with good prognosis. Younger patients with good performance status, non-contrast-enhancing tumors (<5 cm), and tumors of oligodendroglial or mixed-oligoastrocytic subtype have improved survival. The European Organisation for Research and Treatment of Cancer has recently developed a prognostic score based on identified prognostic factors to assist in the management of low-grade gliomas. For patients with a favorable (low-risk) score, treatment with radiotherapy or chemotherapy treatment should be withheld until tumor progression. For patients with a high-risk score, treatment at diagnosis may be indicated. However, other than surgery, the optimal types and sequence of therapies are not yet established. Improvements in defining prognostic factors will assist in low-grade glioma management.

Adolescent↗

PubMedDate not supplied

Preoperative thrombocytosis is an independent prognostic factor in stage III and IV endometrial cancer.

BACKGROUND: To identify prognostic factors in stage III and IV endometrial cancer with special attention to pretreatment platelet count. MATERIALS AND METHODS: 59 patients with FIGO stage III or IV disease operated on between 1983 and 1993 were analyzed. Patients with preoperative thrombocytosis were compared with those without thrombocytosis. Prognostic factors were analyzed with a Cox proportional hazard model. RESULTS: With the exception of age, there were no significant differences between patients with or without thrombocytosis. At multivariate analysis, five-year disease-free survival was influenced significantly by FIGO stage (stage III vs stage IV; p = 0.009), thrombocytosis (p = 0.02) and cervical involvement (p = 0.024). Similarly, overall five-year survival was significantly influenced by stage (p < 0.001), cervical involvement (p = 0.005) and thrombocytosis (p = 0.01). Age, histology, grade, myometrial invasion, lymph-vascular space involvement or spread to adnexae were not significantly associated with survival. CONCLUSION: Thrombocytosis is an independent prognostic factor in stage III and IV endometrial cancer.

Adult↗

PubMed1998

Prognostic factors for survival in patients with brain metastases from renal cell carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Patients presenting with brain metastases from renal cell carcinoma portend a poor prognosis, with a reported median survival of 4-6 months. Given their short life expectancy, these patients generally have been excluded from clinical trials that assess the efficacy of medical treatments. However, clinical impression suggests that some patients may achieve long term palliation. METHODS: The clinical features of 68 patients who were treated at the Institut Gustave Roussy for brain metastases from renal cell carcinoma were collected retrospectively. Using univariate and multivariate analyses, a prognostic model based on independent prognostic factors was established. An external data set of 57 patients was used to validate the model. RESULTS: The median survival was 7 months. On univariate analysis survival was related significantly to the following adverse prognostic factors: no initial nephrectomy, left side and temporal location of brain metastases, presence of fever or weight loss, erythrocyte sedimentation rate > 50 mm/h, and time from initial diagnosis to brain metastases < or = 18 months. Multivariate analyses identified the previous variable as well as the presence of other visceral metastases as independent prognostic factors. Forty-four patients (65%) with no or 1 adverse prognostic factor (average risk group) had a median survival of 8 months and a 26% 1-year survival rate. Twenty-four patients (35%) with 2 adverse prognostic factors (poor risk group) had a median survival of 3 months and a 1-year survival rate of 9%. This model proved to be discriminant in an external data set; the median survival of patients assigned to the average risk group was 11 months (46% 1-year survival rate) compared with 4 months (9% 1-year survival rate) for patients assigned to the poor risk group. CONCLUSIONS: Patients presenting with brain metastases from renal cell carcinoma and poor risk prognostic factors are highly unlikely to benefit from medical treatments except symptomatic procedures. Conversely, the enrollment of patients with average risk prognostic factors into clinical trials dealing with chemotherapy or immunotherapy may be considered.

Adolescent↗

PubMed1997

Corpus callosum involvement as a prognostic factor for patients with high-grade astrocytoma.

PURPOSE: To evaluate corpus callosum involvement as a prognostic factor for patients with high-grade astrocytoma. METHODS: From 1986 through 1994, 141 adult patients with Karnofsky performance status (KPS) > or = 40 underwent primary treatment for anaplastic astrocytoma (AA) or glioblastoma multiforme (GBM) at the University of Washington Medical Center. Preoperative magnetic resonance imaging and/or computed tomography to assess corpus callosum involvement was available for 105 of these patients. Corpus callosum involvement was evaluated as a prognostic factor for survival using recursive partitioning analysis and multivariate analysis with a Cox proportional hazards model. RESULTS: For the 105 patients evaluable for corpus callosum involvement, the median and 2-year survival were 59 weeks and 28%, respectively. On multivariate analysis, the only independent prognostic factors were KPS (p = 0.0001) and histology (p = 0.042). On recursive partitioning analysis, the first significant split occurred at KPS < 70 vs. KPS > or = 70. Patients with KPS > or = 70 were split by age (< 50 years vs. > or = 50 years), with those younger than 50 years further split by absence or presence of corpus callosum involvement. Among patients with KPS > or = 70 and age < 50 years, median survival was 57 weeks if the corpus callosum was involved (35% 2-year survival) and 105 weeks if the corpus callosum was not involved (56% 2-year survival). CONCLUSION: Corpus callosum involvement based on preoperative imaging is an unfavorable prognostic factor for survival among the subgroup of young, good-performance-status patients with high-grade astrocytoma.

Brain Neoplasms↗

PubMedDate not supplied

Mutual predictive value of c-erbB-2 overexpression and various prognostic factors in ductal invasive breast carcinoma.

AIMS AND BACKGROUND: Breast carcinoma is a heterogeneous disease, the prognosis of which correlates with various prognostic factors. The aim of this study was to assess the prognostic significance of c-erbB-2 overexpression in breast carcinoma patients in association with other known prognostic factors. METHODS & STUDY DESIGN: The relationship between immunohistochemical expression of the c-erbB-2 oncoprotein and various established prognostic factors such as tumor size, axillary node status, estrogen and progesterone receptor status, DNA ploidy, proliferation index, cathepsin D expression and histological grade in invasive ductal breast carcinoma is presented in this study. RESULTS: Of the 93 ductal invasive carcinomas 22 (23.7%) were grade I, 51 (54.8%) grade II, and 20 (21.5%) grade III, and the majority (78: 83.9%) were 2-5 cm in diameter. Tumor metastases were identified in one or more lymph nodes in 55 (59.1%) patients, the remaining 38 (40.9%) patients being lymph node negative. According to the DNA histograms 40 (43.0%) tumors were aneuploid and 53 (57.0%) were diploid, and the majority of tumors had more than 4% of cells in the S phase of the cell cycle (83.9%). Expression of c-erbB-2 as shown by immunohistochemical intense membrane staining was present in 49 (52.7%) tumors. Cathepsin D-positive cytoplasmic granular staining and cathepsin D-positive stromal macrophages were found in 60 (64.5%) and 72 (77.4%) tumors, respectively. Univariate analysis showed that overall survival correlated significantly with axillary lymph node involvement and with estrogen and progesterone receptor status for each of the receptors separately and for their coexpression, and only marginally with c-erbB-2 overexpression. In mulitivariate analysis only axillary lymph node metastases and coexpression of estrogen and progesterone receptors were found to be independent and significant prognostic factors. CONCLUSIONS: When patients were stratified according to c-erbB-2 expression it was shown that those with c-erbB-2 overexpression and grade II tumors, tumor size greater than 2 cm, high content of aneuploid cells and cathepsin D-positive stromal macrophages had a shorter long-term survival than c-erbB-2 negative patients.

Adult↗

PubMed2002

Evaluation of prognostic factors following flow-cytometric DNA analysis after cytokeratin labelling: II. Cervical and endometrial cancer.

In gynecologic oncology valid prognostic factors are necessary to define biologically similar subgroups for analysis of therapeutic efficacy. This study is the first published prospective study concerning prognostic significance of DNA ploidy and S-phase fraction in cervical and endometrial cancer following enrichment of tumor cells by cytokeratin labelling. Epithelial cells were labeled by FITC-conjugated cytokeratin antibody (CK 5, 6, 8, and CK 17) prior to flow cytometric cell cycle analysis in 91 specimens of cervical cancer and 73 samples of endometrial cancer. In cervical cancer neither DNA-ploidy nor S-phase fraction were relevant prognostic parameters. But CV of the G(0)G(1)-peak showed prognostic relevance in cervical cancer cells, even in multivariate analysis. This interesting observation, however, seems to have no therapeutic consequence due to the small discrimination capacity of CV. In endometrial carcinoma, gross DNA-aneuploidy (DNA-index > 1.3) and a high percentage of proliferating cells (>75th percentile) were univariate and multivariate highly significant prognostic factors for recurrence-free survival. Especially DNA-aneuploidy (DI>1.3) is one of the most important independent molecular biological prognostic factors. While diagnostic curettage we could identify risk patients even preoperatively by determination of the prognostic factors like histologic tumor type, grading, cervical involvement and DNA-ploidy. Thereby these patients could be treated primarily in an oncologic center. In conclusion, our investigations showed that the determination of DNA-ploidy should be done in endometrial carcinoma. In cervical cancer no clinical significance for determination of DNA-parameters was found.

Adenocarcinoma↗

PubMed1994

Unknown primary carcinoma: natural history and prognostic factors in 657 consecutive patients.

PURPOSE: To evaluate the natural history, validate previous observations, and identify prognostic factors in patients with unknown primary carcinoma (UPC). PATIENTS AND METHODS: Nine hundred twenty-seven consecutive patients referred to the M.D. Anderson Cancer Center with a preliminary diagnosis of UPC were prospectively identified. A standardized evaluation narrowed the study population to 657 patients with UPC. All data were recorded and computerized for storage, retrieval, and analysis. The primary end point for the study was survival, which was calculated from the first day of patient registration. Survival curves were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method and compared using the Cox-Mantel log-rank test. To identify important prognostic factors, univariate and multivariate analyses were conducted. RESULTS: The demographics of the UPC patient population mirrored those of the general population of patients referred to our cancer center except for an excess of men among the UPC patients. Most patients had histologic or cytologic evidence of adenocarcinoma and had more than one organ site metastatically involved. Univariate and multivariate analyses identified numerous important prognostic factors with a significant influence on survival, including sex, number of organ sites involved, specific organ sites involved, and pathologic subtypes. CONCLUSION: This study validated previously identified important prognostic factors for survival in UPC. Additional variables that had an impact on survival were identified and the complex interaction of the factors was explored. As patient numbers increase, this database will be able to provide further analyses of patient subsets and potentially relate specific clinical features to the evolving molecular and biochemical understanding of these malignancies.

Adenocarcinoma↗

PubMed1993

[Prognostic factors in non-Hodgkin's lymphomas. Therapeutic implications].

This review considers the prognostic factors recently distinguished in malignant lymphomas. Whatever the histological type, clinical and biological factors have a major role in defining the forms having poor prognosis. These prognostic factors are essentially linked to the tumoral mass (stage, number of metastases, and LDH and beta-2-microglobulin levels). Age is also an important factor. When treatment of lymphoma is considered, whatever the histological type, the presence or absence of these prognostic factors must be taken into account in choosing treatment.

Female↗

PubMed2003

The use of a modified Delphi procedure for the determination of 26 prognostic factors in the sub-acute stage of stroke.

The aim of this study was to reach consensus about the prognostic factors when deciding the discharge destination from a hospital stroke unit, and to construct a prognostic conceptual framework. To realise an optimal integration of knowledge from research findings and from clinical experience by expert opinions we used a 'modified Delphi Technique', which is the most commonly used method for the production of clinical guidelines. The process yielded 26 prognostic factors, which were arranged in clinical and social sub-domains. The sub-domains and the factors within each sub-domain were prioritised according to their assumed predictive value for the decision process. The order of importance of the prognostic factors in the clinical domain was: (1) disabilities, (2) pre-morbid disabilities, (3) impairments and (4) disease/biology; and the order of importance of the factors in the social domain was: (1) home front, (2) social situation and (3) residence. The Delphi procedure is an excellent instrument to determine and prioritise prognostic factors. With this procedure research-based and consensus-based knowledge can be combined. For a valid procedure it is mandatory to state explicitly in advance how the scores will be judged, and to explain the scientific level of the evidence during the whole procedure.

Activities of Daily Living↗

PubMed1996

Prognostic factors in elderly women with metastatic breast cancer treated with tamoxifen: an analysis of patients entered on four prospective clinical trials.

BACKGROUND: Information regarding prognostic factors and survival in elderly women with metastatic breast cancer treated with tamoxifen is limited. METHODS: The data from 4 prospective clinical trials were analyzed, including information on 396 postmenopausal women with advanced breast cancer who received tamoxifen as initial therapy for metastatic disease. Emphasis was placed on 184 elderly patients (age greater than 65 years) to characterize the response to therapy, time to progression TTP), overall survival (OS), prognostic factors, and treatment-related toxicity. RESULTS: Among 363 patients with measurable or evaluable disease, the objective response rates were higher in the elderly patients (46% versus 33%, P = 0.06); but age did not achieve significance in a logistic regression analysis (P= 0. 1). The median TTP (10.5 months versus 6.2 months, log rank P = 0.002) and OS (35.7 months versus 28.8 months, log rank P = 0.02) were superior in the elderly cohort. In multivariate analysis, age at diagnosis approached statistical significance (P = 0.055) for TTP but was not significant for OS (P = 0.17). Among elderly patients, disease free interval (DFI) (greater than 5 years), dominant disease site (soft tissue), prior adjuvant chemotherapy, positive estrogen/progesterone receptor (ER/PgR) and performance status (PS) were independent prognostic factors. Hot flashes were common in both younger and older cohorts (25% versus 33%, P = 0.14), while anorexia (14% versus 22%, P = 0.04) and mood changes (2% versus 6%, P = 0.03) were more common in the elderly patients. CONCLUSIONS: There was no indication that elderly women with metastatic breast cancer treated with tamoxifen have a poorer outcome with regard to response rate, TTP or OS; in fact, they appeared to have a slightly better prognosis although this was not significant after adjustment for other prognostic factors. In elderly patients, DFI, PS, positive ER or PGR, and dominant disease site are independent prognostic factors.

Age Factors↗

PubMed2000

Prognostic factors in metastatic melanoma: a pooled analysis of Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group trials.

PURPOSE: To identify factors that are prognostic for survival in patients with metastatic melanoma treated in eight Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) trials conducted over the past 25 years. METHODS: We identified common, significant patient characteristics collected at baseline on 1,362 eligible patients for inclusion in a pooled analysis. Proportional hazards models were used to examine simultaneously the effects of multiple covariates on survival. RESULTS: Median survival was 6.4 months (95% confidence interval, 6.1 to 6.9 months.) Factors conferring the greatest increased risk of death included number of metastatic sites (relative risk [RR] = 1.12), ECOG performance status of 1 or more (RR = 1.49), or metastatic disease in the gastrointestinal (GI) tract (RR = 1.49), liver (RR = 1.44), pleura (RR = 1.35), or lung (RR = 1.19). Prior immunotherapy (RR = 0.84) and female sex (RR = 0. 87) were associated with prolonged survival. Although only 12% of patients responded to protocol treatment, landmark analysis showed this to be a significant prognostic factor (RR = 0.57). A model based on three recent studies in which baseline values for alkaline phosphatase, lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), and platelets were available identified an increased number of sites of metastasis (RR = 1.30), abnormal LDH (RR = 1.89), abnormal alkaline phosphatase (RR = 1.76), abnormal platelets (RR = 1.63), and GI metastases (RR = 1. 66) as prognostic for poorer survival. Response to treatment, when examined by landmark analysis of studies with laboratory parameters, was associated with decreased risk of death (RR = 0.47). CONCLUSION: This study demonstrates the importance and utility of laboratory parameters as prognostic factors for survival and confirmed the deleterious effects of multiple metastatic sites. Prior immunotherapy and female sex were associated with improved prognosis. Prognostic factors identified in this analysis are consistent with the findings of prior published studies and argue for the adoption of laboratory findings in the staging systems that are used for entry and stratification of clinical trials in the future.

Adolescent↗

PubMed2004

[Prognostic factors following liver resection for hepatic metastases from colorectal cancer].

AIM: To determine the impact of prognostic factors on survival of patients with metastases from colorectal cancer that underwent liver resection. METHODS: The records of 28 patients that underwent liver resection for metastases from colorectal cancer between April 1992 and September 2001 were retrospectively analyzed. Thirty-eight resections were performed (more than one resection in eight patients and two patients underwent re-resections). The primary tumor was resected in all the patients. A screening protocol for liver metastases including clinical examinations every three months, ultrassonography and CEA level until 5 years of follow-up and after every 6 months, was applied. The prognostic factors analyzed regarding the impact on survival were: Dukes C stage of primary tumor, size of metastasis >5 cm, a disease-free interval from primary tumor to metastasis < 1 year, CEA level > 100 ng/mL, resection margins < 1 cm and extrahepatic disease. The Kaplan-Meier curves, log rank and Cox regression were used for the statistical analysis. RESULTS: Perioperative morbidity and mortality were 39.3% and 3.6%, respectively. The 5-year survival rate was 35%. The independent prognostic factors were: disease-free interval from primary tumor to metastasis < 1 year and extrahepatic disease. CONCLUSIONS: The liver resection for metastases from colorectal cancer is a safe procedure with more than 30% 5-year survival. Disease-free interval from primary tumor to metastasis < 1 year and extrahepatic disease were independent prognostic factors.

Colorectal Neoplasms↗

PubMedDate not supplied

The surgeon as prognostic factor for local recurrence and survival in the anal sphincter preservation for mid-rectal cancer.

BACKGROUND: The prognostic factors in rectal adenocarcinoma are influenced by the tumor stage. However, it is important to evaluate the role of the surgeon as part of the prognostic factors affecting local recurrence and survival rates in a group of patients with mid-rectal cancer treated with low anterior resection at a cancer referral center, and those treated at general hospitals. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Eighty-two patients with mid rectal adenocarcinoma stage II and III who underwent low anterior resection from January 1980 to December 1995, were retrospectively analyzed. Forty-two patients were treated at a cancer center (Group I) and 40 patients were treated at general hospitals (Group II). Cox regression analysis for local recurrence and survival was performed. RESULTS: There were 42 males and 40 females with a mean age of 55.8 +/- 14.9 years. No differences were found between both groups in terms of the following: age; gender; stage; grade of differentiation; number of positive lymph nodes; infiltration of neighboring organs, and administration of adjuvant chemoradiation therapy (POST RT). However, significant differences in the number of studied lymph nodes per specimen and follow-up were found. The median follow-up for the entire group was 49 months. Local recurrence occurred in 9.5% of patients in Group I vs. 50% in Group II (p = 0.0001). The 5-year survival in Group I was 63% vs. 54% in Group II (p = 0.04). The favorable prognostic factors for local recurrence and survival were: surgical treatment at a cancer center, and no lymph node metastases. CONCLUSION: The prognostic factors for local recurrence and survival depends mainly on the surgeon and on the post-surgical tumor stage.

Adenocarcinoma↗

PubMed2006

Rim enhancement of breast cancers on contrast-enhanced MR imaging: relationship with prognostic factors.

BACKGROUND: There is little evidence regarding associations between magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) features and other important histopathological prognostic factors of breast cancer. The purpose of our study was to investigate the relationship between rim enhancement on MRI and common histopathological prognostic factors of breast cancers. METHODS: We reviewed the contrast-enhanced MR images of 106 consecutive women with histopathologically verified invasive breast carcinomas. Three radiologists assessed the images of each lesion for the presence of rim enhancement on early and delayed images, which were classified into four patterns. Statistical analyses were performed to explore the associations of these patterns with common histopathological prognostic factors and patient age. RESULTS: Positive ratios of lymph node metastasis and blood vessel invasion and negative ratios of hormone receptors were higher in the invasive cancers with rim enhancement than those without rim enhancement. Rim enhancement was more frequent in invasive ductal cancers with a higher histological grade and larger invasive cancers. The pattern of rim enhancement with centripetal progression showed a significantly increased risk of lymph node metastasis and was associated with a larger size of invasive lesion when compared with the other patterns. Invasive cancers with rim enhancement and little change between the early and delayed images and with centrifugal progression showed significantly less hormone receptor positivity than those without rim enhancement. CONCLUSIONS: Rim enhancement patterns of breast cancers on contrast-enhanced MRI are related to common histopathological prognostic factors and these patterns may be valuable in the preoperative evaluation of breast cancers.

Adenocarcinoma, Mucinous↗

PubMed2005

Surgical management of spinal metastases: analysis of prognostic factors during a 10-year experience.

OBJECT: Refinement of surgical techniques, especially anterior approaches, for the management of spinal metastases has improved patient outcomes, despite the fact that a complete analysis of the prognostic factors that would inform patient selection has not been undertaken. The authors sought to identify such prognostic factors for neurological outcome and life expectancy in patients with spinal metastases. METHODS: The authors used Kaplan-Meier techniques, log-rank comparisons, and a multivariate model stratified by tumor type to identify prognostic factors for duration of ability to walk and survival in patients who underwent surgical treatment for spinal metastases during a decade when all current treatment options were available. Preoperatively, 53 (87%) of the 61 patients in the study population suffered neurological symptoms (for example, weakness) and 52 (85%) were ambulatory. Postoperatively, 59 (97%) were ambulatory. Most patients who survived 6 months (81%) remained ambulatory, as did 66% of those alive at 1.6 years. The median postoperative survival was 10 months. The risk factors for loss of ambulation were preoperative loss of ambulatory ability, recurrent or persistent disease after primary radiotherapy of the operative site, a procedure other than corpectomy, and tumor type other than breast cancer. Prognostic factors for reduced survival were surgical intervention extending over two or more spinal segments, recurrent or persistent disease after primary radiotherapy involving the operative site, diagnosis other than breast cancer, and a cervical spinal procedure. CONCLUSIONS: The results of this analysis allowed the authors to create a simple prognostic factor scoring system that can be applied to individual patients. The positive experience derived from this study supports an expanded role for the surgical treatment of metastatic spinal disease.

Adolescent↗

PubMed2006

Acute disseminated encephalomyelitis cohort study: prognostic factors for relapse.

To date, there is no available epidemiological study about prognostic factors of acute disseminated encephalomyelitis (ADEM) in children, using a cohort of patients with homogenous inclusion criteria. We aimed to evaluate prognostic factors for relapse after ADEM in children. A total of 132 children from the French National KIDSEP Neuropediatric Cohort (mean age at onset: 6+/-3.3 years; mean follow-up: 5.4+/-3.3 years; lost to follow-up: 10%). ADEM diagnosis was considered in a previously healthy patient acutely presenting more than one neurological deficit, change in mental state and MRI alterations including white matter changes. We used multivariate survival analysis (Cox model) evaluating the prognostic value of baseline clinical, biological and MRI covariates, for the occurrence of a second attack. Twenty-four (18%) of included patients had a second attack. An increased risk of relapse was associated with optic neuritis (hazard ratio, 5.23; 95% CI, 2-13.65), familial history of central nervous system inflammatory demyelination (7.79; 1.54-39.5), Barkhof multiple sclerosis (MS) criteria on MRI (2.52; 1.04-6.12) and no neurological sequelae after first attack (3.79; 1.12-12.85). Clinical and MRI prognostic factors for relapse in ADEM may contribute to an early distinction between monophasic and relapsing disease, which may be related to MS.

Adolescent↗