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Modeling selection for production traits under constant infection pressure.

This article presents a model describing the relationship between level of disease resistance and production under constant infection pressure. The model assumes that given a certain infection pressure, there is a threshold for resistance below which animals will stop producing, and that there is also a threshold for resistance above which animals produce at production potential. In between both thresholds animals will show a decrease in production, the size of decrease depending on the severity of infection and the level of resistance. The dynamic relationship between production and resistance when level of resistance changes, such as due to infection, is modeled both stochastically and deterministically. Selection started in a population with very poor level of resistance introduced in an environment with constant infection pressure. Mass selection on observed production was applied, which resulted in a nonlinear selection response for all three traits considered. When resistance is poor, selection for observed production results in increased level of resistance. With increasing level of resistance, selection response shifts to production potential and eventually selection for observed production is equivalent to selection for production potential. The rate at which resistance is improved depends on its heritability, the difference between both thresholds, and selection intensity. The model also revealed that when a zero correlation between resistance and production potential is assumed, the phenotypic correlation between resistance and observed production level increases for low levels of resistance and subsequently asymptotes to zero, whereas the phenotypic correlation between production potential and observed production asymptotes to 1.0. For most breeding schemes investigated, the deterministic model performed well in relation to the stochastic simulation results. Experimental results reported in literature support the model predictions.

Animal Husbandry↗

Risk adjustment of mental health and substance abuse payments.

This study used 1992 and 1993 data from private employers to compare the performance of various risk adjustment methods in predicting the mental health and substance abuse expenditures of a nonelderly insured population. The methods considered included a basic demographic model, Ambulatory Care Groups, modified Ambulatory Diagnostic Groups and Hierarchical Coexisting Conditions (a modification of Diagnostic Cost Groups), as well as a model developed in this paper to tailor risk adjustment to the unique characteristics of psychiatric disorders (the "comorbidity" model). Our primary concern was the amount of unexplained systematic risk and its relationship to the likelihood of a health plan experiencing extraordinary profits or losses stemming from enrollee selection. We used a two-part model to estimate mental health and substance abuse spending. We examined the R2 and mean absolute prediction error associated with each risk adjustment system. We also examined the profits and losses that would be incurred by the health plans serving two of the employers in our database, based on the naturally occurring selection of enrollees into these plans. The modified Ambulatory Diagnostic Groups and comorbidity model performed somewhat better than the others, but none of the models achieved R2 values above .10. Furthermore, simulations based on actual plan choices suggested that none of the risk adjustment methods reallocated payments across plans sufficiently to compensate for systematic selection.

Actuarial Analysis↗

A simulation study on the detection of causal mutations from F2 experiments.

A simulation study has been performed to evaluate the power and the rate of false positives for the detection of causal mutations under two different models of analysis. We used an F2 design generated from an F0 population of five sires of line 1 and 40 dams of line 2 to produce an F1 population of 10 sires and 80 dams. Two different locations of the causal mutation and several frequencies of the mutations in the parental populations were considered. The first model included only the genetic configuration of the mutation, while the second model also included the probability of line origin given the neutral markers. Both models performed well when the mutation at the candidate gene was the causal mutation, although a greater power was obtained using the first model, because of its relative simplicity compared to the second one. However, when the candidate gene mutation was a neutral mutation, the second model presented a lower rate of false positives than the first. Moreover, in some cases the second model allowed distinction between the neutral and the causal mutation. The F2 design has a great power to detect quantitative trait loci provided by linkage disequilibrium, but also makes it difficult to discriminate between causal and neutral mutations. Therefore a high percentage of false positives can be expected. The limitations of F2 designs for discriminating between neutral and causal mutations are discussed.

Animals↗

An fMRI study of imitation: action representation and body schema.

Recent neuropsychological investigations of apraxia have led to new hypotheses about the representational defects associated with imitation impairments in neurological patients. This fMRI experiment investigated the relation between imitation and the body schema in healthy subjects. Experimental conditions were derived from a factorial plan, and participants were asked to watch a human model performing bodily gestures and then to execute either an identical or a different action, with the same or different limbs. Brain areas activated when subjects imitated the model were traced to the representation of the action (main effect of performing an identical action regardless of limb), to the body schema (using the same limb regardless of action), or to both. The first set of analyses yielded a network associated with visual perception, indicating that action representation is primarily visuospatial not motor, while the second analysis highlighted regions involved in body schema including the inferior parietal cortex and the insula. It is suggested that imitation of simple body gestures requires both a visuospatial description of the observed model, sustained by visual perception areas in the right occipitotemporal and superior parietal cortices and a visuospatial description of one's own body, supported by the left inferior parietal lobule. These results favor a model of praxis proposing that imitation deficits in left inferior parietal lobe patients with apraxia reflect primarily an impairment of the body schema, while deficits of praxis in right parietal patients are limited to gestures demanding in terms of visuospatial analysis.

Adult↗

Performance of a recirculating wetland filter designed to remove particulate phosphorus for restoration of Lake Apopka (Florida, USA).

Operation of a 14-km2 wetland filter for removal of total phosphorus (TP) from lake water is part of the restoration program for hypereutrophic Lake Apopka, Florida. This system differs from most treatment wetlands because 1) water is recirculated back to the lake, and 2) the goal is removal of particulate phosphorus (P), the dominant form of P in Lake Apopka. The operational plan for the wetland is maximization of the rate rather than the efficiency of P removal. The St. Johns River Water Management District operated a 2-km2 pilot-scale wetland to examine the capacity of a wetland system to remove suspended solids and particulate nutrients from Lake Apopka. TP in the inflow from Lake Apopka ranged from about 0.12 to 0.23 mg l(-1), and hydraulic loading rate (HLR) varied from 6.5 to 42 m yr(-1). The performance of the pilot-scale wetland supported earlier predictions. Mass removal efficiencies for TP varied between about 30% and 67%. A first-order, area-based model indicated a rate constant for TP removal of 55 m yr(-1). We compared actual removal of P with model predictions and used modeled performance to examine optimal operational conditions. Correspondence between observed and modeled outflow TP was not good with constant variable values. Monte Carlo techniques used to introduce realistic stochastic variability improved the fit. The model was used to project a maximal rate of P removal of about 4 g P m(-2) yr(-1) at P loading 10-15 g P m(-2) yr(-1) (HLR 60-90 m yr(-1)). Data from the pilot wetland indicated that actual rates of P removal may prove to be higher. Further operation of the wetland at high hydraulic and P loading rates is necessary to verify or modify the application of the model.

Conservation of Natural Resources↗

Intentions to join HMOs: perceived relative performance versus satisfaction/dissatisfaction.

This study employed a national sample to investigate the determinants of consumers' intentions to join HMOs by considering different health care attributes. It employed two models, a performance model and a satisfaction model. The study found that the robustness of the performance model was substantially stronger in explaining intentions to join HMOs than the satisfaction model. More specific findings indicated that the health care attributes of cost and quality of care were important in both models, although to a far greater extent in the performance model, and that availability of physicians was also important in the performance model, albeit to a lesser degree. The study also examined demographic characteristics that may serve as a basis for segmenting the health care market. Of those considered, only two, age and urban/rural residence, were found to be significant. Age was considerably the more important of the two and younger respondents were far more interested in joining HMOs than their older counterparts. The pattern of results for the young subsample paralleled those found for the entire sample.

Adult↗

Genetic parameters and genetic trends in the Chinese x European Tiameslan composite pig line. I. Genetic parameters.

Genetic parameters of body weight at 4 (W4w), 8 (W8w) and 22 (W22w) weeks of age, days from 20 to 100 kg (DT), average backfat thickness at 100 kg (ABT), teat number (TEAT), number of good teats (GTEAT), total number of piglets born (TNB), born alive (NBA) and weaned (NW) per litter, and birth to weaning survival rate (SURV) were estimated in the Chinese x European Tiameslan composite line using restricted maximum likelihood methodology applied to a multiple trait animal model. Performance data from a total of 4 881 males and 4 799 females from 1 341 litters were analysed. Different models were fitted to the data in order to estimate the importance of maternal effects on production traits, as well as genetic correlations between male and female performance. The results showed the existence of significant maternal effects on W4w, W8w and ABT and of variance heterogeneity between sexes for W22w, DT, ABT and GTEAT. Genetic correlations between sexes were 0.79, 0.71 and 0.82, respectively, for W22w, DT and ABT and above 0.90 for the other traits. Heritability estimates were larger than (ABT and TEAT) or similar to (other traits) average literature values. Some genetic antagonism was evidenced between production traits, particularly W4w, W8w and ABT, and reproductive traits.

Journal Article↗

Factors affecting atrazine fate in north central U.S. soils.

Atrazine persistence and fate are influenced by many factors, the interactions of which are difficult to predict. Several models, such as LEACHP (Wagenet and Hutson 1989), have been used as tools to estimate losses and identify variables that will impact the magnitude of loss. The LEACHP model was evaluated for predicting atrazine movement in sandy loam, silt loam, and clay loam soils during three consecutive years (two dry and one wet) in Minnesota (Khakural et al. 1995). Considering the broad range in soil properties and climatic conditions used in testing, the model performed well. However, these are only estimates, and additional field studies need to be conducted to verify model results. In a report by Fausey et al. (1995), the amount of atrazine found in groundwater throughout the Midwestern region was reported to be much below the MCL. However, specific sites in the Midwest may struggle with atrazine problems from both point and nonpoint sources of contamination. Some states, such as South Dakota, have created groundwater protection areas that alert growers and the public to sensitive areas where contamination may occur because of soil type, depth to groundwater, and distance to public wellheads. Wisconsin has developed a tiered managerial strategy, or zoning approach, in which restrictions are matched to pollution detections (Wolf and Nowak 1996). The USEPA has mandates for states to implement generic management plans to prevent pesticide contamination of groundwater. Chemical-specific plans by states will be required for at least five pesticides, one of which will be atrazine. Best management practices have been and are continuing to be developed to aid the grower in lessening the adverse impacts of atrazine. With continuing research into understanding the problem and developing solutions, and with adaptation of these recommendations by growers, the use of effective, inexpensive herbicides may continue with minimal off-site environmental effects.

Agriculture↗

Evaluation of finite element analysis for prediction of the strength reduction due to metastatic lesions in the femoral neck.

Between 30 and 70% of almost one million new cancer patients diagnosed each year will develop osseous metastases. Clinicians are faced with the difficult task of determining which patients require prophylactic stabilization to prevent pathologic fracture. The objective of this study was to test the ability of macroscopic finite element models to predict the fracture strength of the proximal femur with a lesion in the femoral neck. Drill hole defects in human cadaver femora were used to simulate lesions that penetrate one cortex of the femoral neck. Based on the first of two series of in vitro experiments, the fracture strength of a femur with a lesion that penetrates either the inferior-medial or superior-lateral cortex of the neck is approximately 45% less than the fracture strength of the paired intact femur; based on the second series, the fracture strength with the inferior-medial lesion is approximately 20% less than the fracture strength with the superior-lateral lesion. A series of three-dimensional finite element models were used to predict the fracture strength for anterior and posterior lesions, as well as the inferior-medial and posterior-lateral lesions tested in vitro. Based on a direct comparison of the strengths predicted by the finite element models to the measured in vitro fracture strengths, the finite element models performed poorly. In particular, the application of an anisotropic strength criterion to the stresses predicted by the models resulted in a considerable underestimation of the percentage reduction in the in vitro fracture strength. This may reflect a fundamental inability of a linear, macroscopic continuum-based analysis to predict accurately the fracture strength of a bone structure as complex as the proximal femur. However, despite this lack of agreement in absolute fracture strength, the general trends for gait and stair ascent loading for the inferior-medial and superior-lateral lesions were consistent with the in vitro data. The greatest reduction in strength was predicted for the inferior-medial lesion, followed by the anterior lesion and then the superior-lateral lesion, and the least reduction in strength was predicted for the posterior lesion. Most importantly, the predicted strength ratio varied considerably as a function of the applied loads. Any metastatic lesions of the femoral neck may be especially sensitive to some particular activity, making it difficult to determine precisely the risk of fracture.

Aged↗

Parmodel: a web server for automated comparative modeling of proteins.

Parmodel is a web server for automated comparative modeling and evaluation of protein structures. The aim of this tool is to help inexperienced users to perform modeling, assessment, visualization, and optimization of protein models as well as crystallographers to evaluate structures solved experimentally. It is subdivided in four modules: Parmodel Modeling, Parmodel Assessment, Parmodel Visualization, and Parmodel Optimization. The main module is the Parmodel Modeling that allows the building of several models for a same protein in a reduced time, through the distribution of modeling processes on a Beowulf cluster. Parmodel automates and integrates the main softwares used in comparative modeling as MODELLER, Whatcheck, Procheck, Raster3D, Molscript, and Gromacs. This web server is freely accessible at .

Algorithms↗

Particulate sulphate and nitrate in Southern England and Northern Ireland during 2002/3 and its formation in a photochemical trajectory model.

Daily measurements of sulphate and nitrate are reported from Harwell in southern England and Belfast in Northern Ireland for the period 2002/3. When the higher percentiles are compared with the mean concentration, nitrate reveals considerably greater episodicity than either sulphate or PM(10) (measured by TEOM). A photochemical trajectory model using the Master Chemical Mechanism scheme has been used to predict daily concentrations of both nitrate and sulphate aerosol over the period March to August 2002 at the Belfast and Harwell sites. This has been carried out for daily samples using 72, 96 and 120 h air mass back trajectories obtained from both the British Atmospheric Data Centre and the HYSPLIT on-line service. Additionally, model simulations have been conducted for 5 trajectories generated through clustering of the trajectories for individual days. This reveals an under-prediction of the model associated particularly with trajectories originating from the European mainland. In general, the model performs reasonably well in simulating concentrations of both nitrate and sulphate, which is surprising given that the model does not account for processes requiring the presence of liquid water. This suggests that aqueous phase oxidation processes may not make a major contribution to airborne sulphate concentrations in the U.K. in the spring and summer months. It appears that inclusion of explicit ammonium nitrate formation chemistry may be essential to reliable prediction of episodic nitrate peaks.

Aerosols↗

Linearity and non-linearity in cerebral hemodynamics.

BACKGROUND: Transcranial Doppler ultrasound has been extensively used to study cerebral hemodynamics, and yet the basic characteristics of the input/output system of blood pressure/velocity are little known. We examine whether this system can best be considered linear or non-linear. METHODS: We assessed the adequacy of linear modeling in four ways: (1) Known properties of cerebral blood flow were reviewed and analyzed from a systems standpoint; (2) 1100 ARX & OE model types were tested with data from 29 normal subjects, with and without lowpass filtering; (3) time-frequency analysis was used to identify nonstationary behavior and markers of non-linearity (such as bifurcations, chirps, and intermittent autoregulatory impairment) in the same data sets; (4) simple computer models of autoregulation incorporating time delays and non-linear elements were tested for production of spontaneous oscillations. RESULTS: (1) Several aspects of cerebral hemodynamics are poorly described by linear models, (2) the ARX & OE models performed poorly, (3) time-frequency analysis showed non-linear and nonstationary behavior, (4) the computer models produced spontaneous oscillations similar to those observed in humans. CONCLUSIONS: There is strong evidence that the blood pressure/velocity system is non-linear.

Blood Flow Velocity↗

Analysis of integrated healthcare networks' performance: a contingency-strategic management perspective.

Few empirical analyses have been done in the organizational researches of integrated healthcare networks (IHNs) or integrated healthcare delivery systems. Using a contingency derived contact-process-performance model, this study attempts to explore the relationships among an IHN's strategic direction, structural design, and performance. A cross-sectional analysis of 100 IHNs suggests that certain contextual factors such as market competition and network age and tax status have statistically significant effects on the implementation of an IHN's service differentiation strategy, which addresses coordination and control in the market. An IHN's service differentiation strategy is positively related to its integrated structural design, which is characterized as integration of administration, patient care, and information system across different settings. However, no evidence supports that the development of integrated structural design may benefit an IHN's performance in terms of clinical efficiency and financial viability.

Cross-Sectional Studies↗

Model to describe the degree of twitch potentiation during neuromuscular monitoring.

BACKGROUND: Neuromuscular block is estimated by comparing the evoked peak twitch with a control value measured in the absence of neuromuscular block. In practice, this control value is often difficult to determine because repeated motor nerve stimulation enhances the evoked mechanical response of the corresponding muscle, resulting in an increased twitch response. This is known as twitch potentiation or the staircase phenomenon. It is probably the result of myosin light chain phosphorylation creating an increased twitch force for a given amount of Ca(2+) released at each action potential. Modelling of potentiation may improve studies of neuromuscular blocking agents using mechanomyography or accelerometry. METHODS: We used one- and two-exponential models to describe the degree of myosin light chain phosphorylation and associated twitch potentiation. These models were fitted to accelerographic twitch force measurements for various stimulation patterns and frequencies used in neuromuscular monitoring. RESULTS: Fitting a two-exponential model to twitch data for various stimulation rates and patterns provides better prediction than a one-exponential model. A one-exponential model performs poorly when the stimulation rate varies during measurement. CONCLUSIONS: We conclude that a two-exponential model can predict the degree of twitch potentiation for the stimulation patterns and frequencies tested more accurately than a one-exponential model. However, if only one stimulation frequency is used, a one-exponential model can provide good accuracy. We illustrate that such a potentiation model can improve the ability of pharmacodynamic-pharmacokinetic neuromuscular block models to predict twitch response in the presence of a neuromuscular blocking agent.

Electric Stimulation↗

Digital separation of primary and scatter components of chest radiographs.

This article describes a technique for digital separation of the primary and scatter components of a radiographic image. The method involves mathematical modeling of the process whereby an antiscatter grid reduces scatter patterns in film radiographs. Two superimposable radiographs (one taken with and the other without an intervening antiscatter grid) are applied to the model. Performance characteristics of the grid (primary and scatter transmittance factors) are also determined and used in the model. Radiographs of a humanoid chest phantom are processed. Scatter/primary separation appears to be accurate to within 15%. Film images that are quantitatively faithful to the calculated primary and scatter fields are included.

Analog-Digital Conversion↗

AWGE-ESPCA: An edge sparse PCA model based on adaptive noise elimination regularization and weighted gene network for Hermetia illucens genomic data analysis.

Hermetia illucens is an important insect resource. Studies have shown that exploring the effects of Cu2+-stressed on the growth and development of the Hermetia illucens genome holds significant scientific importance. There are three major challenges in the current studies of Hermetia illucens genomic data analysis: firstly, the lack of available genomic data which limits researchers in Hermetia illucens genomic data analysis. Secondly, to the best of our knowledge, there are no Artificial Intelligence (AI) feature selection models designed specifically for Hermetia illucens genome. Unlike human genomic data, noise in Hermetia illucens data is a more serious problem. Third, how to choose those genes located in the pathway enrichment region. Existing models assume that each gene probe has the same priori weight. However, researchers usually pay more attention to gene probes which are in the pathway enrichment region. Based on the above challenges, we initially construct experiments and establish a new Cu2+-stressed Hermetia illucens growth genome dataset. Subsequently, we propose AWGE-ESPCA: an edge Sparse PCA model based on adaptive noise elimination regularization and weighted gene network. The AWGE-ESPCA model innovatively proposes an adaptive noise elimination regularization method, effectively addressing the noise challenge in Hermetia illucens genomic data. We also integrate the known gene-pathway quantitative information into the Sparse PCA(SPCA) framework as a priori knowledge, which allows the model to filter out the gene probes in pathway-rich regions as much as possible. Ultimately, this study conducts five independent experiments and compared four latest Sparse PCA models as well as representative supervised and unsupervised baseline models to validate the model performance. The experimental results demonstrate the superior pathway and gene selection capabilities of the AWGE-ESPCA model. Ablation experiments validate the role of the adaptive regularizer and network weighting module. To summarize, this paper presents an innovative unsupervised model for Hermetia illucens genome analysis, which can effectively help researchers identify potential biomarkers. In addition, we also provide a working AWGE - ESPCA model code in the address: https://github.com/yhyresearcher/AWGE_ESPCA.

Animals↗

Saccadic velocity and activation: development of a diagnostic tool for assessing energy regulation.

The hypothesis was tested that peak velocity of saccadic eye movements in visual motor tasks varies with variables related to energy regulation. The hypothesis is based on the cognitive-energetical performance model of Sanders. An experimental paradigm was developed in which saccadic peak velocity of task-relevant eye movements is measured while a choice reaction task is carried out. Confounding factors of saccadic amplitude and movement direction were controlled. The task was designed in such a way that in each trial subjects performed a target saccade towards an imperative stimulus and a return saccade after the manual response back to the centre of the screen. For both types of saccades the experimental variables were foreperiod duration (short versus long), knowledge of results (with versus without), postsaccadic demand (low versus high) and time on task (five 30-min intervals). In two experiments, there are main and interaction effects of the task variables on peak saccadic velocity. Return saccades are slower than target saccades, but not in the case of high postsaccadic demand. Knowledge of results increases peak saccadic velocity, but more so for return than for target saccades. Time on task leads to a decrease in peak saccadic velocity, which is much stronger for return than for target saccades; furthermore this effect is more pronounced after short than after long foreperiods. Peak saccadic velocity is changed within seconds. The results support the hypothesis. Peak saccadic velocity of task related eye movements reflects energy regulation during task performance. The paradigm will be developed as a diagnostic tool in workload measurement.

Adult↗

A model for setting performance standards for standardized patient examinations.

Setting standards for complex performance assessments is difficult. This report describes and evaluates a model for setting performance standards for standardized patient examinations. A variation of a modified Angoff standard-setting procedure was used to set cutoffs for a standardized patient exercise. Analysis of the procedure was based on evaluation of the impact of the iterative process, the ability of the final standards to accurately classify trainees and the judges' confidence in the procedure and final standards. The practicality of the process also was assessed. The iterative steps in this procedure led to a reduction in the variance between the judges' ratings. All seven judges reported confidence in the final standards. The mean time commitment for each judge was 4.7 work hours. This model for setting performance standards successfully set useful standards for this exam, was practical, and can be utilized to set performance standards for other standardized patient examinations.

Clinical Competence↗