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PubMedDate not supplied

Prognostic markers in localized prostate cancer: from microscopes to molecules.

Management of patients diagnosed with localized prostate cancer is complicated by the diverse natural history of the disease and variable response to treatment. Prognostic criteria currently in use cannot fully predict tumor behavior and thus limit the ability to recommend treatment regimens with the assurance that they are the best course of action for each individual patient. The search for better prognostic markers is now focussed on the molecular mechanisms which underlay tumor behavior, such as altered cell cycle progression, apoptosis, neuroendocrine differentiation, and angiogenesis. As the number of potential molecular markers increases, it is becoming evident that no single marker will provide the prognostic information necessary to make a significant improvement in patient care. In addition, it seems likely that traditional methods of assessing the prognostic value of this multitude of new markers will prove inadequate. In this review, we briefly examine the current state of prognostication in localized prostate cancer and some of the promising new molecular markers. Next, we examine how new technologies may allow the multiplex analysis of vast numbers of markers and how computational methods such as artificial neural networks will provide meaningful interpretation of the data. In the near future, such an integrated approach may provide a comprehensive prognostic tool for localized prostate cancer.

Antigens, Surface↗

PubMed1999

Analysis of proliferation and apoptosis in brain gliomas: prognostic and clinical value.

With the introduction of new (immuno-)histochemical techniques it is now possible to assess rates of proliferation and apoptosis in brain gliomas using archival paraffin embedded material. As proliferation and apoptosis are related to tumour growth rate quantification of these processes has prognostic value and is related to tumour grading. In this study we assessed the proliferation rate by measuring the Ki-67 labelling index using the MIB-1 antibody (MIB-LI) and the apoptotic rate using the in situ labelling of DNA strand breaks with TUNEL (TUNEL-LI) in 315 supratentorial gliomas. MIB-LI and TUNEL-LI in astrocytomas (A) where significantly lower compared to anaplastic astrocytomas (AA), glioblastomas (GBM) and oligodendroglial tumours [oligodendrogliomas (O) and anaplastic oligodendrogliomas (AO)]. MIB-LI and TUNEL-LI were significantly lower in AA compared to GBM. In astrocytic tumours MIB-LI and TUNEL-LI appeared to be correlated. As the distinction between A and AA is of clinical value but can be difficult histomorphologically we analysed the prognostic value of MIB-LI and TUNEL-LI in gliomas with particular emphasis on A and AA. MIB-LI below 10% was of prognostic value in A and AA, O and AO but not in GBM on univariate survival analysis. TUNEL-LI was of no prognostic value. With multivariate survival analysis MIB-LI lost prognostic significance in O and AO. Astrocytomas with a gemistocytic component (AG) are similar to A with respect to survival and MIB-LI and TUNEL-LI. MIB-LI is of independent prognostic value in A and AA. Assessment of MIB-LI in A and AA can be used as an aid in distinguishing A and AA.

Adolescent↗

PubMed2000

Prognostic significance of biologic markers in node-negative breast cancer patients: a prospective study.

It is generally thought that future advances in the treatment and cure of breast cancer patients will be made possible through a deeper understanding of tumor biology and an improved capability to define the prognosis of each single patient. This will lead to the formulation of new, more selective, and patient-tailored therapies. It is therefore important, when studying potential prognostic factors, to follow methodologic requirements and guidelines which involve the carrying out of prospective studies as confirmatory steps. Repeatedly or recently investigated prognostic markers (tumor size, menopausal status, ER, PgR, 3H thymidine labeling index, c-erbB-2 and p27 expression) were evaluated on a series of 286 prospectively recruited node negative breast cancer patients who underwent loco-regional treatment alone and were closely followed. The individual and relative prognostic contribution of each variable with respect to other factors, as well as their ability to identify node negative patients at risk, were assessed by univariate and multivariate analysis. At a five-year follow-up, only tumor size (p = 0.021) and TLI (p = 0.016) individually proved to be significant prognostic indicators of relapse-free survival. Conversely, p27 expression was not related to RFS and c-erbB-2 expression appeared to have only a short-term effect on patient prognosis. TLI and tumor size, tested in multivariate analysis along with ER and menopausal status, maintained their independent prognostic relevance. The study, performed on a large series of node-negative patients given loco-regional treatment alone, for the first time prospectively recruited, showed the prognostic relevance of TLI and its independence from other clinico-pathologic and biologic factors over a five-year period.

Adult↗

PubMed2000

Randomized study on adjuvant chemotherapy in stage I high-risk ovarian cancer with evaluation of DNA-ploidy as prognostic instrument.

PURPOSE: Adjuvant chemotherapy versus observation and chemotherapy at progression was evaluated in 162 patients in a prospective randomized multicenter study. We also evaluated DNA-measurements as an additional prognostic factor. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Patients received adjuvant carboplatin AUC 7 every 28 days for six courses (n = 81) or no adjuvant treatment (n = 81). Eligibility included surgically staged and treated patients with FIGO stage I disease, grade 1 aneuploid or grade 2 or 3 non-clear cell carcinomas or clear cell carcinomas. Disease-free (DFS) and disease-specific (DSS) survival were end-points. RESULTS: Median follow-up time was 46 months and progression was observed in 20 patients in the treatment group and 19 in the control group. Estimated five-year DFS and DSS were 70% and 86% in the treatment group and 71% and 85% in the control group. The hazard ratio was 0.98 (95% confidence interval (95% CI): 0.52-1.83) regarding DFS and 0.94 (95% CI: 0.37-2.36) regarding DSS. No significant differences in DFS or DSS could be seen when the log-rank test was stratified for prognostic variables. Therefore, data from both groups were pooled for the analysis of prognostic factors. DNA-ploidy (P = 0.003), extracapsular growth (P = 0.005), tumor rupture (P = 0.04), and WHO histologic grade (P = 0.04) were significant independent prognostic factors for DFS with P < 0.0001 for the model in the multivariate Cox analysis. FIGO substage (P = 0.01), DNA ploidy (P < 0.05), and histologic grade (P = 0.05) were prognostic for DSS with a P-value for the model < 0.0001. CONCLUSIONS: Due to the small number of patients the study was inconclusive as regards the question of adjuvant chemotherapy. The survival curves were superimposable, but with wide confidence intervals. DNA-ploidy adds objective independent prognostic information regarding both DFS and DSS in early ovarian cancer.

Adenocarcinoma↗

PubMed2001

Retrospective study of the prognostic role of serum thymidine kinase level in CLL patients with active disease treated with fludarabine.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies have shown that the serum thymidine kinase (TK) level can be used to determine prognosis in patients with lymphoproliferative diseases, but mainly those with multiple myeloma and non-Hodgkin's lymphoma. In patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL), TK levels may provide prognostic information independent of stage and other prognostic factors, but it is still unclear whether they can be used to predict the response to treatment and length of survival. PATIENTS AND METHODS: To determine whether TK levels can be used to predict response and survival, we retrospectively examined the serum TK level in 188 previously treated and untreated patients with active or advanced CLL who were then treated with fludarabine alone or in combination with prednisone. The correlation of the TK level with other prognostic features and with outcome was then assessed. RESULTS: Serum TK levels were elevated in 92% of the patients, and the levels proved to associate with previous treatment, stage of disease, and other tumor-burden related features (i.e., white blood cell counts, absolute lymphocyte count, bone marrow cellularity). The levels were also directly associated with indicators of tumor cell turnover (i.e., beta2-microglobulin and lactate dehydrogenase levels). Of particular importance, we found that the TK level was a significant prognostic indicator of both response to treatment and survival. Specifically, 83% of patients with a TK level of < 10 U/L responded (complete and partial response) to treatment with fludarabine, whereas only 45% of patients with a TK level of > or = 10 U/l responded to treatment (P < 0.01). This difference was maintained when we separately analyzed untreated and previously treated patients, and in patients divided according to the Binet stage. The TK level also added prognostic information about response to a predictive model based on the hemoglobin and, albumin levels and the extent of prior treatment. Of further importance, the median survival rate in patients with a TK level of < 10 U/l was 65%, as opposed to a rate of 22% in patients with a TK level of > or = 10 U/l (P = 0.000). CONCLUSIONS: The serum TK level in CLL patients provides useful prognostic information regarding both response to therapy and length of survival and should be used in planning appropriate therapy. In particular, patients with a TK level of > or = 10 U/l have a poor prognosis and should be considered for aggressive treatment.

Aged↗

PubMed2002

Prognostic value of epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) and its relationship to the estrogen receptor status in 1029 patients with breast cancer.

An epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) has been reported to be associated with a poor clinical outcome in breast cancer, while its prognostic value remains controversial. Immunohistochemical staining for EGFR was performed on frozen sections of primary breast cancer from 1029 patients with a mean follow-up duration of 46 months. EGFR was positive in 277 (26.9%) of 1029 cases which inversely correlated with the estrogen receptor (ER) status. A univariated analysis indicated that EGFR had a significant prognostic value in both the disease free survival (DFS) and the overall survival (OS), while the same effect was also found in node negative as well as node positive breast cancer. A multivariate analysis indicated that EGFR was an independently significant prognostic factor for DFS (p = 0.0174) and OS (p = 0.0105) in all patients, but that EGFR demonstrated a prognostic significance only for DFS (p = 0.0241) in node negative and only for OS (p = 0.0333) in node positive breast cancer. When all patients were stratified for EGFR and ER, a multivariate analysis indicated that the combination of EGFR(+)/ER(-) was an independently significant factor for both DFS and OS in node negative as well as node positive breast cancer. In conclusion, the prognostic value of EGFR was demonstrated by a multivariate analysis in a large series of breast cancer patients, but the value of EGFR was somewhat insufficient to achieve statistical significance for both DFS and OS in the subgroups divided by nodal status. On the other hand, the prognostic value of combination of EGFR and ER was sufficient to achieve statistical significance based on a multivariate analysis for both DFS and OS in the subgroups of node negative as well as node positive breast cancer patients.

Adult↗

PubMed2002

Prognostic value of thermographical findings in patients with primary breast cancer.

Thermography is a technique to measure the body surface temperature and is used in medical applications. We evaluated its prognostic value in 340 female patients with unilateral invasive breast cancer without distant metastases. The difference of mean temperatures of the tumor area and corresponding area of the contralateral breast was defined as AT. The patients with hot tumors (delta T > or = 0.9 degrees C) had significantly worse disease free and specific survival than those with cold tumors (delta T < 0.9 degrees C) (p = 0.0003 and p < 0.0001, respectively). AT was significantly correlated with tumor size, histological nodal status and nuclear grade, positively. But AT did not have any relation with estrogen receptor status. Multivariate analyses including those conventional prognostic factors showed that AT was a marginally significant prognostic factor for disease-free survival (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.62; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.99-2.66, p = 0.0557) and an independent significant prognostic one for disease specific survival (HR = 1.95; 95% CI = 1.09-3.49, p = 0.0251). However, AT did not have prognostic impact on the node negative patients. AT might be a useful prognostic factor in node positive breast cancer, especially in patients who plan to be treated with preoperative systemic therapy.

Body Temperature↗

PubMed2003

Prognostic significance of a grading system considering tumor heterogeneity in muscle-invasive urothelial carcinoma of the urinary bladder.

The fact that urothelial carcinomas (UC) often contain areas with different histologic grades has been recently shown to bear some prognostic relevance. Here we examined the prognostic significance of a grading system considering tumor heterogeneity in muscle-invasive bladder carcinomas. 151 UC treated by radical cystectomy were included. According to the World Health Organization/International Society of Urological Pathology (WHO/ISUP) classification, histologic grade was low-grade (LG) in 8 and high-grade (HG) in 143 cases. 65 HG tumors which focally harbored LG areas were assigned to mixed-type (MT) carcinomas. Mean follow-up was 50 months. While the WHO/ISUP classification showed no significant correlation with disease-specific survival (p = 0.3995 by log-rank test), stratification into LG/MT and HG tumors had a significant prognostic relevance (p = 0.0404). Nodal status was identified as the only independent prognostic factor (p = 0.0001 by multivariate analysis). In this respect, stratification into LG/MT and HG tumors missed the level of statistical significance by a norrow margin (p = 0.07 by multivariate analysis), but it turned out better than tumor category (p = 0.08). In conclusion, a grading system considering tumor heterogeneity may improve the predictive power of the WHO/ISUP classification in muscle-invasive UC of the urinary bladder. Although the two-tired grading system proposed in this study was not identified as an independent prognostic factor, it may help to obtain additional prognostic information on patients with advanced bladder cancer treated by radical cystectomy.

Adult↗

PubMed2002

Multivariate analysis of histopathologic prognostic factors for invasive cervical cancer treated with radical hysterectomy and systematic retroperitoneal lymphadenectomy.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to identify the independent histopathologic prognostic factors for patients with cervical carcinoma treated with radical hysterectomy including paraaortic lymphadenectomy. METHODS: A total of 187 patients with stage IB to IIB cervical carcinomas treated with radical hysterectomy and systematic retroperitoneal lymphadenectomy were retrospectively analyzed. The median follow-up period was 83 months. Cox regression analysis was used to select independent prognostic factors. RESULTS: Using multivariate Cox regression analysis, lymph node (LN) status (negative vs. metastasis to pelvic nodes except for common iliac nodes vs. common iliac/paraaortic node metastasis), histopathologic parametrial invasion, lymph-vascular space invasion (LVSI), and histology of pure adenocarcinoma were found to be independently related to patients' poor survival. For patients who had a tumor histologically confined to the uterus and have neither parametrial invasion nor lymph node metastasis, LVSI was the most important prognostic factor, and histologic type, depth of cervical stromal invasion, and tumor size were not related to survival. The survival of patients with a tumor extending to parametrium or pelvic lymph node(s) was adversely affected by histology of pure adenocarcinoma. When the tumor extended to common iliac or paraaortic nodes, patients' survival became quite poor irrespective of LVSI or histologic type of pure adenocarcinoma. Patients' prognosis could be stratified into low risk (patients with a tumor confined to the uterus not associated with LVSI: n = 80), intermediate risk (patients with a tumor confined to the uterus associated with positive LVSI, and patients with squamous/adenosquamous carcinoma associated with pelvic lymph node metastasis or parametrial invasion: n = 86), and high risk (patients with pure adenocarcinoma associated with pelvic lymph node metastasis or parametrial invasion, and patients with common iliac/paraaortic node metastasis: n = 21) with an estimated 5-year survival rate of 100 +/- 0 (mean +/- SE)%, 85.5 +/- 3.9%, and 25.1 +/- 9.7%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: LN status, parametrial invasion, LVSI, and histology of pure adenocarcinoma are important histopathologic prognostic factors of cervical carcinoma treated with radical hysterectomy and systematic retroperitoneal lymphadenectomy. Prognosis for patients with cervical carcinoma may be stratified by combined analysis of these histopathologic prognostic factors. Postoperative therapy needs to be individualized according to these prognostic factors and validated for its efficacy using randomized clinical trials.

Adenocarcinoma↗

PubMed1990

Flow cytometry in primary breast cancer: improving the prognostic value of the fraction of cells in the S-phase by optimal categorisation of cut-off levels.

The use of continuous prognostic variables is clinically impractical, and arbitrarily chosen cut-off points can result in a loss of prognostic information. Here we report findings from a study of primary breast cancer, showing how the prognostic value of the fraction of cells in the S-phase of the cell cycle (SPF), as measured by flow cytometry, can be affected by the SPF cut-off level(s) adopted. It was possible to evaluate the SPF in 566 (94%) of 603 consecutive cases where fresh frozen specimens were available in a tumour bank at our department. Clinically, all patients were without distant spread at the time of diagnosis, and the median duration of follow-up was 4 years. Using different survival end-points and chi 2 values for each cut-off level, two optimal cut-off points, at the 7% and 12% levels, were consistently obtained for the SPF. Furthermore, both disease-free survival and the relative risk of recurrence exhibited a non-linear relationship with SPF values; the curves implied that the prognosis was better among patients with SPF values about 2-5% than in patients with lower SPF values (parabolic shape), though the relationship with higher SPF values approached linearity. The non-linearity of the curves is incompatible with the general use of the median SPF as a prognostic cut-off value. An alternative procedure might be to use two cut-off levels, one to distinguish patients with the lowest SPF values (i.e. within the parabolic survival curve) from those with higher values (i.e. with a survival curve approaching linearity), the other to distinguish between patients with intermediate SPF values and those with high values (i.e. within the almost linear part of the survival curve). The 7% and 12% obtained here would be suitable for this purpose. We conclude that prognostic information can be gained by dividing the SPF into three prognostic categories (less than 7.0%, 7.0-11.9% and greater than or equal to 12%), instead of using the median SPF level.

Adult↗

PubMed1992

Prognostic variables for the selection of patients with operable soft tissue sarcomas to be considered in adjuvant chemotherapy trials.

From 1975 to 1988, 144 patients naive of treatment, with non-metastatic soft tissue sarcoma were treated at Fondation Bergonié by surgery, followed by radiotherapy and without chemotherapy. An analysis of prognostic variables was done on this population to determine patients for whom an adjuvant chemotherapy would be relevant. Prognostic variables in overall survival (OS), metastasis-free survival (MFS), disease-free and local free recurrence survivals were analysed by univariate and multivariate analysis. In multivariate analysis using Cox's model, only tumour depth and tumour grade were significant with the MFS end point, while tumour depth, tumour grade and tumour site were significant when considering OS. A predictive stratification for patients is proposed: a favourable prognostic group with grade 1 tumour or superficial, grade 2 tumour (5-year OS: 97.8%; 5-year MFS: 100%); an intermediate prognostic group with deep, grade 2 tumour or superficial, grade 3 tumour (5-year OS: 58.8%; 5-year MFS: 48.1%); and finally a poor prognostic group with deep, grade 3 tumour (5-year OS: 31.7%; 5-year MFS: 34.1%). Patients in the intermediate and poor prognostic groups who present a high metastatic risk are to be considered for adjuvant chemotherapy trials.

Adolescent↗

PubMed1996

Initial prognostic factors in small-cell lung cancer patients predicting quality of life during chemotherapy. Swiss Group for Clinical Cancer Research (SAKK).

The question of whether initial prognostic factors in small-cell lung cancer patients have a predictive value for patients' quality of life (QL) during chemotherapy is addressed in the context of a randomised clinical trial comparing early and late alternating chemotherapy (SAKK protocol 15/84). The relative impact of initial tumour stage and performance status, previous weight loss, sex and age on patient-rated QL was analysed over six chemotherapy cycles in 124-130 patients (according to available QL data) with more than 400 questionnaires. Fatigue/malaise, personal functioning, emotional and general well-being were prospectively selected as QL indicators. Predefined summary measures (average QL score over chemotherapy cycles, 'minimum', 'maximum' and 'final' improvement) were analysed separately by scale in various patient groups. General linear models adjusted for treatment arm and response were used to confirm the univariate findings. Within the overall sample, the average QL scores over six cycles were predicted by initial prognostic factors. Patients with poor prognostic factors reported worse QL. Within a limited sample (with baseline QL), patients with poor prognostic factors reported worse QL at baseline and greater improvement under treatment. Graphical comparison of QL patterns over cycles showed permanent discrimination by levels of prognostic factors. The impact of initial prognostic factors was consistently confirmed in the three analyses. Levels of performance status and weight loss best discriminated QL. Initial tumour stage, performance status and previous weight loss can predict QL in small-cell lung cancer during chemotherapy, even after controlling for response to treatment. Our results may contribute to clinical decision-making with regard to the intensity of chemotherapy and QL outcome, especially in patients with extensive disease.

Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols↗

PubMed1996

Expression of oncoproteins and the amount of eosinophilic and lymphocytic infiltrates can be used as prognostic factors in gastric cancer. Dutch Gastric Cancer Group (DGCG).

Preoperative staging of gastric cancer is difficult. Several molecular markers associated with initiation and progression of cancer seem promising for obtaining preoperative prognostic information. To investigate whether these markers are indicative especially for the presence of lymph node metastases in patients with gastric cancer, we have examined primary tumour specimens from 105 patients with primary adenocarcinoma of the stomach entered in a surgical trial. In this trial, lymph node status was determined by strictly quality-controlled lymph node dissection and examination. The selected markers were growth regulators (p53, Rb and myc), metastasis-suppressor gene product (nm23), adhesion molecules (Ep-CAM, E-cadherin, CD44v5 and CD44v6) and urokinase-type plasminogen activator (u-PA). Also, the amount of eosinophilic and lymphocytic infiltrates available post-operatively was analysed with respect to its prognostic value for lymph node status. Moreover, the association of these parameters with survival and disease-free period (DFP) was evaluated. Of all molecular markers investigated, only Rb expression had a significant association with the presence of lymph node metastasis in both univariate and multivariate analysis. For curative resectability, a significant association was found with Rb and E-cadherin expression, while in multivariate analysis Rb and myc were selected as the combination with additional independent prognostic value, and E-cadherin had no additional independent value. For overall survival in univariate analysis, the amount of both eosinophilic and lymphocytic infiltrates and Rb and myc expression were of significant prognostic value. Only the amount of lymphocytic infiltrate had a prognostic significance for DFP. In stepwise multivariate analysis, TNM stage (I + II) and marked lymphocytic infiltrate were associated with better overall survival and longer DFP. We conclude that, if these results are confirmed in a larger series of patients, molecular markers can provide useful prognostic information.

Aged↗

PubMed1997

Prognostic impact of proliferation-associated factors MIB1 (Ki-67) and S-phase in node-negative breast cancer.

MIB1 proliferation rate (MIB1-PR) and total S-phase fraction (SPF) were retrospectively determined in formalin-fixed, paraffin-embedded sections of 90 primary node-negative breast carcinomas. None of the patients had received adjuvant systemic therapy. Median follow-up in patients still alive at the time of analysis was 37.5 months (16-72 months). Immunostaining of Ki-67 antigen was performed using the monoclonal antibody MIB1 and the APAAP technique. An adjacent 50-microm paraffin section was used for flow cytometric S-phase determination. Results were compared to established clinicopathological prognostic factors. MIB1-PR was significantly correlated to grading (P = 0.018); SPF was significantly correlated with tumour size (P = 0.041) and inversely with steroid hormone receptor status (P = 0.03). A significant correlation between MIB1-PR and SPF was found in aneuploid (P = 0.025) but not in diploid tumours (P = 0.164). In univariate analysis, both MIB1-PR (optimized cut-off of 25%) and SPF (optimized cut-off of 8%) were significant prognostic factors for disease-free survival (DFS) (MIB1-PR, P = 0.0224; SPF, P = 0.0028). In multivariate analysis, however, only SPF remained significant; it was the strongest prognostic factor for DFS (P = 0.0073), stronger than MIB1-PR or established clinicopathological prognostic factors. We thus conclude that MIB1-PR and SPF provide additional prognostic information in node-negative breast cancer. However, in our study, flow cytometrically determined SPF had the greater prognostic impact.

Adult↗

PubMed1998

MIB-1 labelling index is an independent prognostic marker in primary breast cancer.

The proliferative activity of a tumour is considered to be an important prognostic factor in primary breast cancer. We have investigated the prognostic value of the MIB-1 labelling index in 341 patients with primary breast cancer and compared the results with the S-phase fraction in 220 patients of the same cohort. All patients were treated in one hospital and had a median follow-up of 128 months. No correlation between MIB-1 labelling and S-phase fraction could be demonstrated. MIB-1 had prognostic value for disease-free survival in the whole group of patients (P < 0.001) and in the node-negative subgroup (P < 0.001). In multivariate analysis, MIB-1 was an independent prognostic factor (P = 0.004) besides axillary lymph node status (P = 0.001). In univariate analysis high S-phase fraction was associated with decreased overall survival (P = 0.04); however, not in multivariate analysis. Moreover, S-phase fraction had a borderline prognostic significance for post-relapse survival in multivariate analysis (P= 0.08). Thus, in conclusion, the growth fraction of a tumour as determined by the MIB-1 labelling index is an important prognostic factor in patients with primary breast cancer.

Adult↗

PubMed2005

Expression of mucins (MUC1, MUC2, MUC3, MUC4, MUC5AC and MUC6) and their prognostic significance in human breast cancer.

Mucins are a large family of glycoproteins expressed by many epithelial cells and their malignant counterparts. Much interest has been focused on expression of its members in breast cancer because of their potential role as prognostic indicators and their involvement in cancer therapy. We have examined 1447 cases of invasive breast carcinoma with a long-term follow-up, using tissue microarray (TMA) technology and immunohistochemistry to evaluate the expression profiles of several mucins (MUC1, MUC2, MUC3, MUC4, MUC5AC and MUC6) and to assess their prognostic value. We detected MUC1 expression in 91% of tumours. MUC1 overexpression was associated with a lower grade, smaller tumour size, a higher oestrogen receptor (ER)-positive phenotype and absence of both regional recurrence and distance metastasis. The subcellular localization but not the level of expression had a prognostic value in predicting outcome. The aberrant cytoplasmic and membranous localization of MUC1 was associated with poor outcome compared with apical localization, which is the normal physiological site of expression. MUC2 expression was noticed in only 8.3% of all cases and was restricted to the cytoplasm of the tumour cells. An inverse trend was identified between MUC2 expression and lymph node stage and vascular invasion status. On excluding cases of mucinous carcinoma from the analysis, the inverse association with vascular invasion was still defined and in addition an inverse association with ER status emerged. MUC3 expression was detected in 91% of cases and its expression was associated with increased local recurrence, and lymph node stage. The membranous expression of MUC3 was found to be a potentially poor prognostic feature, with higher grade and poorer Nottingham Prognostic Index (NPI), and negative ER expression. MUC4, MUC5AC and MUC6 were expressed in 95, 37 and 20% of cases, respectively. Apart from an association between MUC4 expression and tumour grade and between MUC6 and ER-negative tumours, no other associations with any clinicopathological variables were found. Apart from the higher expression of MUC2 and MUC6 in mucinous carcinomas, no association was found between the expression of different mucins and tumour type. No association between the level of expression of any of the studied mucins and patient outcomes has been identified. In conclusion, most breast carcinomas express MUC1, MUC3 and MUC4. Among the various mucins expressed in breast cancer, MUC1 and MUC3 are potential prognostic indicators, MUC1 having the strongest relationship with patient outcome.

Adolescent↗

PubMed2003

Independent prognostic value of angiogenesis and the level of plasminogen activator inhibitor type 1 in breast cancer patients.

Tumour angiogenesis and the levels of plasminogen activator inhibitor type 1 (PAI-1) are both informative prognostic markers in breast cancer. In cell cultures and in animal model systems, PAI-1 has a proangiogenic effect. To evaluate the interrelationship of angiogenesis and the PAI-1 level in breast cancer, we have evaluated the prognostic value of those factors in a total of 228 patients with primary, unilateral, invasive breast cancer, evaluated at a median follow-up time of 12 years. Microvessels were immunohistochemically stained by antibodies against CD34 and quantitated by the Chalkley counting technique. The levels of PAI-1 and its target proteinase uPA in tumour extracts were analysed by ELISA. The Chalkley count was not correlated with the levels of uPA or PAI-1. High values of uPA, PAI-1, and Chalkley count were all significantly correlated with a shorter recurrence-free survival and overall survival. In the multivariate analysis, the uPA level did not show independent prognostic impact for any of the analysed end points. In contrast, the risk of recurrence was independently and significantly predicted by both the PAI-1 level and the Chalkley count, with a hazard ratio (95% CI) of 1.6 (1.01-2.69) and 1.4 (1.02-1.81), respectively. For overall survival, the Chalkley count, but not PAI-1, was of significant independent prognostic value. The risk of death was 1.7 (1.30-2.15) for Chalkley counts in the upper tertile compared to the lower one. We conclude that the PAI-1 level and the Chalkley count are independent prognostic markers for recurrence-free survival in patients with primary breast cancer, suggesting that the prognostic impact of PAI-1 is not only based on its involvement in angiogenesis.

Adult↗

PubMed1999

Prognostic factors in patients progressing after cisplatin-based chemotherapy for malignant non-seminomatous germ cell tumours.

The aim of this study was to define prognostic parameters for survival in patients with malignant germ cell tumours progressing after platinum-based induction chemotherapy with or without surgery. A total of 164 progressing patients (testicular: 83%, extragonadal: 17%) were identified out of 795 patients treated with platinum-based induction chemotherapy for metastatic germ cell malignancy with or without surgery. 'Progressive disease' included patients who had progressed after a previous partial or complete remission as well as patients who failed primary therapy. Salvage chemotherapy consisted of 'conventional' platinum-based chemotherapy. Prognostic factors for survival were assessed by uni- and multivariate analyses. The resulting prognostic model was validated in an independent data set of 66 similar patients. For all 164 patients the median time from start of induction chemotherapy to progression was 10 months (range: 0-99). Thirty-eight (23%) patients relapsed after 2 years. The 5-year survival rate for all progressing patients was 30% (95% confidence interval 23-38%). In the univariate analysis the following factors most importantly predicted a poor prognosis: progression-free interval < 2 years: initial poor prognosis category (MRC criteria), < CR to induction chemotherapy, initial treatment early in the 1980s and treatment given at a 'small' centre. Three prognostic factors remained in the multivariate analysis: progression-free interval, response to induction treatment and the level of serum human chronic gonadotrophin (hCG) and alpha fetoprotein (AFP) at relapse. One hundred and twenty-four patients could be classified on the basis of these characteristics, Those patients with progression-free interval < 2 years, < CR to induction chemotherapy and high markers at relapse (AFP >100 kU l(-1) or hCG >100 IU l(-1)) formed a poor prognosis group of 30 patients, none of whom survived after 3 years. Patients with at most two of these three risk factors formed a good prognosis group of 94 patients (76%) with a 47% (37-56%) 5-year survival. Thirty-eight patients from the good prognosis group with a progression-free interval of >2 years had a 2-year survival of 74% (60-88%) and 5-year survival of 61%. These prognostic groups were validated in the independent data set, in which 5-year survival rates in the good and poor risk groups were 51% and 0% respectively. One-third of patients progressing during or after platinum-based induction chemotherapy for metastatic germ cell malignancy may be cured by repeated 'conventional' platinum-based chemotherapy. Good prognosis parameters are: progression-free interval of > 2 years, CR to induction treatment and normal or low serum markers at relapse (hCG < 100 IU l(-1) and AFP < 100 kU l(-1)). The results of high-dose salvage chemotherapy should be interpreted on the background of these prognostic factors.

Adolescent↗