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PubMed2003

Reference values and predictors of white blood cell subset counts: a cross-sectional study among HIV seronegative pregnant women in Zimbabwe.

OBJECTIVE: To identify predictors and develop reference values of white blood cell subset counts for pregnant black women in Zimbabwe. STUDY DESIGN: In this cross-sectional study, multiple linear regression (MLR) analysis was employed to assess the relationship of WBC subset counts with age, gestational age, gravidity, season, serum retinol, beta-carotene, ferritin, folate and alpha-1 antichymotrypsin among 998 women 22-35 weeks pregnant attending antenatal care (ANC) in Harare, Zimbabwe. RESULTS: Mean age was 24.0 (95% CI; 23.6-24.4), range 14-45 years. The mean gestational age was 29.2 (95% CI; 29.0-29.4), range 22-35 weeks. Median gravidity was 2, range 1-9. Predictors of neutrophil counts were gestational age, season and serum ferritin, the latter in interaction with gravidity (interaction, p = 0.016). Mean lymphocyte count was 0.13 x 10(9)cells/l higher in gravida >4 than gravida 1-3, and 0.35 x 10(9)cells/l higher in the late rainy than other seasons. Predictors of monocyte counts were gestational age, serum folate and season, while eosinophil counts declined with advancing gestation. Reference values adjusted or unadjusted for identified predictors were different from those of pregnant and non-pregnant white women reported in the literature. CONCLUSIONS: Gravidity, season and micronutrient status influence WBC counts during pregnancy and therefore are of physiological and clinical importance. WBC reference values in the literature were not applicable obviating the need for local reference values.

Adolescent↗

PubMedDate not supplied

Bupropion for pharmacologic relapse prevention to smoking: predictors of outcome.

The aim of this study was to identify predictors of successful relapse prevention in smokers receiving long-term sustained-release bupropion. Smokers (N= 784) who were interested in stopping smoking were enrolled in a 7-week, open-label bupropion phase. Abstinent subjects at the end of treatment and eligible to proceed (N= 429) were randomized to active bupropion or placebo through Week 52 and then followed for an additional year. The best overall predictor of less relapse to smoking was assignment to active bupropion. In aggregate, the results indicate that bupropion can be prescribed to diverse populations of smokers with expected comparable results. There was a medication effect that was independent of any predictor except older age and those who gained no or minimal weight during the open-label phase. Predictors of successful relapse prevention included lower baseline smoking rates, a Fagerström Tolerance Questionnaire score of < 6, and initiation of smoking at an older age. These data should encourage others to perform similar pharmacologic relapse prevention studies with this or other pharmacotherapies.

Adult↗

PubMed2000

Identifying the predictors of acute urinary retention following magnetic-resonance-guided prostate brachytherapy.

PURPOSE: Larger prostate gland volumes have been associated with long-term urinary morbidity in prostate interstitial radiation therapy utilizing ultrasound image guidance technique. This study was performed to identify the clinical and technical predictors of acute urinary retention following magnetic-resonance (MR)-guided prostate interstitial brachytherapy. METHODS AND MATERIALS: Fifty patients underwent MR-guided prostate brachytherapy between December 1997 and March 1999. Patient selection was limited to men with stage T1cNXM0 disease, PSA of less than10 ng/mL, biopsy Gleason score not more than 3 + 4, and endorectal coil MR stage T2 disease. Dosimetry plans were developed in the operating room and (125)Iodine sources were implanted using MR real-time guidance. The peripheral zone (PZ) of the prostate gland was defined as the clinical target volume (CTV) and the minimum prescribed dose to the CTV was 137 Gy. The volumes of the PZ, transition zone (TZ), and total prostate gland volume were also determined by MR. Individual source strength ranged from 0.35 to 0.54 microGym(2)/h (NIST 99, median 0.46 microGym(2)/h) and the total implanted activity ranged from 17.0 to 43.1 mCi (median, 28.1 mCi) using 43-120 seeds (median, 79). The seeds were placed using MR-compatible biopsy needles (14-28, median, 19). RESULTS: The ability of clinical (MR defined prostate, PZ, and TZ volumes) and technical (number of catheters, number of seeds implanted, and total activity) factors to predict AUR for 50 men undergoing MR-guided prostate interstitial brachytherapy were evaluated using univariable and logistic regression multivariable analyses. Six men (12%) experienced AUR within 24 h after removal of the Foley catheter subsequent to prostate brachytherapy. The total number of seeds (p = 0.05), MR determined prostate volume (p < 0.01), and the MR-determined TZ volume (p < 0.01) were significant predictors of AUR on univariable analysis. Utilizing a multivariable logistic regression analysis, the TZ volume was the only significant predictor of AUR (p < 0.01). The prostate volume is highly correlated to the TZ volume (Spearman correlation coefficient of 0. 91) and was thus significant in the univariable analysis; however, the prostate volume did not add prognostic value in multivariable analysis. CONCLUSION: Benign prostatic hyperplasia (BPH) resulting in an enlarged TZ volume, is the most important predictor of AUR following MR-guided prostate interstitial radiation therapy. Although AUR was significant (60%) in men with moderate BPH (TZ volume >/= 50 cc), it was also self-limiting.

Analysis of Variance↗

PubMed2003

Predictors of reexcision findings and recurrence after breast conservation.

PURPOSE: To identify predictors of reexcision findings and local recurrence in the setting of breast-conserving therapy with radiation. METHODS: The records of 535 patients who underwent breast-conserving surgery followed by radiation for Stage I or II cancer between 1972 and 1996 were reviewed. The mean follow-up period for surviving patients without evidence of recurrence is 6 years. Various clinical and pathologic prognostic factors were examined for significance with regard to reexcision findings and recurrence rates. Pathologic margin status was classified as negative, close (<or=2 mm), positive, or indeterminate. RESULTS: The pathologic margin status was the most important predictor of local recurrence. The freedom from local relapse (FFLR) at 6 years was 97% for patients with negative pathologic margins and 86% for all others (p < 0.0001). There was no significant difference in recurrence rates among patients with close, positive, or indeterminate margins. However, the use and sequencing of systemic therapy affected recurrence rates among these patients. For patients with close, positive, or indeterminate margins, the crude risk of local recurrence was 4% among patients who received tamoxifen or received chemotherapy integrated with or after radiation. The risk of local recurrence was 16-29% among the patients with close, positive, or indeterminate margins who did not receive systemic therapy or who received radiation after completion of chemotherapy. Local recurrence rates were low in patients with negative margins (2-8%) regardless of the use of systemic therapy or its timing. The presence or absence of residual disease at reexcision did not predict recurrence as long as the final margins were negative. Among patients who underwent reexcision before radiation, extensive intraductal component (EIC) (p = 0.0001) and young patient age (p = 0.03) were predictive of residual disease in the specimen. Patients with initially close margins and no EIC had a low risk of residual disease at the time of reexcision, as did patients older than age 65 without EIC. CONCLUSION: Pathologic margin status is the most important predictor of local recurrence after breast conservation with radiation. Patient age and EIC were significant predictors of residual disease at reexcision. The use and timing of systemic therapy appear to influence the risk of local recurrence in patients who do not have negative lumpectomy margins.

Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols↗

PubMed1999

Value of computed tomography as outcome predictor of supraglottic squamous cell carcinoma treated by definitive radiation therapy.

PURPOSE: To investigate the value of several CT-derived tumor parameters as predictors of local outcome of supraglottic squamous cell carcinoma treated by definitive radiation therapy. METHODS AND MATERIALS: The pretreatment CT studies of 103 patients with supraglottic squamous cell carcinoma were reviewed for tumoral involvement of specific laryngeal anatomic subsites and extralaryngeal tumor spread. After redigitizing the films, tumor volume was calculated with the summation-of-areas technique. Mean follow-up time was 3.4 years. Actuarial statistical analysis of local and locoregional outcome was done for each of the covariates; multivariate analysis was performed using Cox's proportional hazards model. RESULTS: In the actuarial analysis CT-determined primary tumor volume was significantly correlated with local recurrence rate (p < 0.001). Degree of involvement of the paraglottic space at the level of the true vocal cord (p < 0.05) and subglottic extension (p < 0.001) were also significantly correlated with local recurrence rate. In the multivariate analysis, only degree of involvement of the preepiglottic space (p < 0.01) and subglottic extension (p < 0.01) were found to be independent predictors of local recurrence. Total tumor volume was the strongest independent predictor of locoregional failure (p < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: CT-determined tumor parameters are strong predictors of local and locoregional outcome of supraglottic carcinoma treated by definitive irradiation.

Adult↗

PubMed2003

Predictors of follow-up health status in the Drug Abuse Treatment Outcome Study (DATOS).

This study examined the predictors of self-reported health status at follow-up in the Drug Abuse Treatment Outcomes Study (DATOS), a longitudinal study of drug abuse treatment programs and patients in 1991-1993. Baseline and follow-up interviews of 2966 patients in 75 programs were performed. The follow-up assessment was targeted to occur 12 months after treatment terminated; long-term methadone patients in treatment for the entire 12-month period were interviewed 24 months after intake. A composite measure, developed through principal component analysis, assessed health status. A multivariate hierarchical linear regression model adjusted for identified independent baseline predictors of health status at follow-up. Poor physical health status (including the composite measure, comorbid conditions and pain) and greater severity of psychiatric symptoms at baseline were the strongest predictors of poor health status at follow-up. Other predictors of worse health status included older age, public insurance coverage and unemployment. We conclude that baseline health status and psychiatric symptoms predict the subsequent health status of patients in substance abuse treatment patients as in other clinical populations. Future research should examine whether early identification and treatment of physical and mental health problems among patients in addiction treatment programs might remediate their adverse effects on long-term health status outcomes.

Adult↗

PubMedDate not supplied

Central markers of body fat distribution are important predictors of plasma lipids in elderly men and women.

We determined the contribution of body fat distribution, peak VO2, fat mass, and dietary intake to variation in plasma lipids in elderly individuals. Volunteers were a healthy cohort of older Caucasian women (n = 75, mean age +/- SD, 72 +/- 5 years) and older men (n = 101, 72 +/- 5 years). We determined fat mass from underwater weighing, fat patterning from waist circumference, as well as peripheral and truncal skinfolds, exercise capacity from peak VO2, and dietary intake from three-day food diaries. Plasma lipid levels were measured in the fasting state and included total cholesterol, high density lipoprotein (HDL-C), low density lipoprotein (LDL-C), and fasting triglycerides. Older women weighted less than older men, but had higher fat mass, truncal, and peripheral skinfolds. Waist circumference and peak VO2 were lower in older women than older men. Older women had higher total cholesterol (217 +/- 31 vs. 197 +/- 30; p < 0.01), HDL-C (54 +/- 12 vs. 49 +/- 14; p < 0.05), and LDL-C (133 +/- 26 vs. 121 +/- 27; p < 0.01) when compared with older men. No gender differences were noted in fasting triglycerides. Truncal skinfolds were the best predictor of plasma lipids in older men, accounting for between 9% and 30% (r2) of the variation in plasma lipids. Similarly, in older women, central markers of fatness (i.e., waist circumference and truncal skinfolds) were the best predictors of plasma lipids (r2 = 3% to 24%). Total fat mass, peak VO2 and dietary intake were not independent predictors of plasma lipids in older men and women. Indices of central body fatness, rather than total fat mass, peak VO2 or dietary intake are stronger predictors of plasma lipids in healthy older men and women.

Adipose Tissue↗

PubMed2002

Predictors of aneurysmal formation after surgical correction of aortic coarctation.

OBJECTIVES: We sought to identify the predictors of aneurysmal formation after surgical correction of aortic coarctation. BACKGROUND: In 9% of patients, aneurysms develop late after corrective surgery of coarctation of the aorta, with a 36% mortality rate if left untreated. However, the predictors of postsurgical aneurysmal formation are unknown. METHODS: Of 25 aortic aneurysms requiring corrective surgery 152 +/- 78 months after the initial coarctation repair, 8 were located in the ascending aorta (type A) and 17 at the site of previous repair (local type). Seventy-four patients without progression of the aortic diameter within 189 +/- 71 months after coarctation repair were used for categorical data analysis in an attempt to identify the predictors of postsurgical aneurysmal formation. RESULTS: Advanced age at coarctation repair (p = 0.004) and patch graft technique (p < 0.0005) independently predicted local aneurysmal formation. Type A aneurysm was univariately associated with the presence of a bicuspid aortic valve (p = 0.02), advanced age at coarctation repair (p = 0.044) and a high preoperative peak systolic pressure gradient of 74 +/- 21 mm Hg (p = 0.041). Conversely, multivariate analysis confirmed only the presence of a bicuspid aortic valve (p = 0.015) as an independent predictor of type A aneurysm. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis revealed that 72% of patients with a postsurgical aneurysm had an operation at age 13.5 years or more, whereas 69% with no postsurgical aneurysm had an operation at a younger age. CONCLUSIONS: Use of the patch graft technique and late correction of coarctation can predict aneurysmal formation at the site of coarctation repair, although patients with a bicuspid aortic valve may be at risk for an aneurysm developing in the ascending aorta, particularly after late repair of aortic coarctation with high preoperative pressure gradients.

Adolescent↗

PubMed1987

Histologic predictors of acute cardiac rejection in human endomyocardial biopsies: a multivariate analysis.

To identify specific histologic abnormalities that could predict early cardiac rejection before the development of myocyte necrosis, 167 consecutive endomyocardial biopsy samples from 18 cardiac transplant recipients were retrospectively analyzed and 17 histologic variables were semiquantitatively graded from 0 to 3. Forty-five biopsy samples contained foci of myocyte necrosis and were labeled Rejectors. The two samples immediately preceding Rejector biopsies were labeled Predictors (n = 44). All remaining samples were labeled Others (n = 78). Endocardial and interstitial infiltrates, interstitial mononuclear cells, pyroninophilic mononuclear cells, polymorphonuclear leukocytes and other cells (eosinophils and plasma cells) were significantly increased in graded severity in Rejector biopsy samples as compared with Predictors or Others (p less than 0.001, ANOVA testing). These variables cannot distinguish Predictor biopsy specimens from Others. On the other hand, interstitial edema, perivascular karyorrhexis and perivascular infiltrate with intermyocyte extension are histologic abnormalities that can distinguish Predictor biopsy samples from Others (p less than 0.001, ANOVA testing). Multiple logistic regression analysis indicates that the relative risk of developing myocyte necrosis when a biopsy sample contains interstitial edema is 8.1. With perivascular infiltrate with intermyocyte extension in addition, the relative risk is 41.4. In summary, three histologic abnormalities have been identified that help predict the future development of myocyte necrosis within the next two endomyocardial biopsies. Biopsy specimens with these abnormalities probably represent early cardiac rejection before the development of myocyte necrosis.

Biopsy↗

PubMed1987

Predictors of outcome for aortic valve replacement in patients with aortic regurgitation and left ventricular dysfunction: a change in the measuring stick.

Although left ventricular function is generally regarded as a key determinant of prognosis in aortic regurgitation, predictors of outcome of aortic valve replacement based on this factor have recently been questioned. This study was performed to examine the role of indexes of left ventricular function in predicting the outcome of surgery in patients with aortic regurgitation and left ventricular dysfunction. Fourteen patients with aortic regurgitation with a preoperative ejection fraction of less than 0.55 (average 0.45 +/- 0.02) who underwent aortic valve replacement were studied. The patients had 82 (58%) of a possible 140 predictors of negative outcome preoperatively, but 12 of the 14 patients had a decrease in symptoms and an increase in ejection fraction into the normal range after operation (average postoperative ejection fraction 0.59 +/- 0.04). Although improvement occurred despite the presence of many negative predictors of outcome, there was a significant correlation between postoperative ejection fraction and eight of the tested preoperative predictors. Preoperative end-systolic dimension correlated best (r = -0.91) with postoperative ejection fraction. An end-systolic dimension of 60 mm correlated with a postoperative ejection fraction of 0.55. The results indicate that preoperative ventricular function is still an important determinant of outcome of aortic valve replacement for aortic regurgitation. However, current medical and surgical techniques permit a better prognosis in the presence of reduced ventricular function than was previously considered possible.

Aortic Valve Insufficiency↗

PubMed1997

Predictors of success and major complications for primary percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty in acute myocardial infarction. An analysis of the 1990 to 1994 Society for Cardiac Angiography and Interventions registries.

OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to determine predictors of successful coronary angioplasty for acute myocardial infarction (MI) and associated predictors of the major complications of in-hospital mortality and emergency coronary artery bypass graft surgery. BACKGROUND: Primary angioplasty is being increasingly used to treat acute MI, but factors affecting the success and major complications have not been well studied. Forty laboratories have been contributing clinical and procedural data to the Society of Cardiac Angiography and Interventions (SCA&I) on primary angioplasty for acute MI. METHODS: Univariable and stepwise multivariable logistic regression analysis of clinical and procedural variables was used to calculate predictors of success and major complications. RESULTS: There were 4,366 primary angioplasty procedures reported from 1990 through 1994, with an overall success rate of 91.5%, an in-hospital mortality rate of 2.5% and a rate of emergency surgery of 4.3%. Higher laboratory primary angioplasty volume and lower age were predictive of success. An intraaortic balloon pump in place, cardiogenic shock and a moribund condition had negative predictive effects. Unsuccessful angioplasty, cardiogenic shock or a moribund state were predictive of in-hospital death. Unsuccessful angioplasty, the absence of a history of hypertension and the absence of congestive heart failure were predictive of emergency surgery. CONCLUSIONS: The rates of success and major complications in the SCA&I Registry are similar to other series. Predictors of success and major complications can be assessed and may be useful for risk stratifying candidates for primary angioplasty in acute MI.

Aged↗

PubMed1998

Intravascular ultrasound predictors of angiographic restenosis in lesions treated with Palmaz-Schatz stents.

OBJECTIVES: This study sought to evaluate the clinical, procedural, preinterventional and postinterventional quantitative coronary angiographic (QCA) and intravascular ultrasound (IVUS) predictors of restenosis after Palmaz-Schatz stent placement. BACKGROUND: Although Palmaz-Schatz stent placement reduces restenosis compared with balloon angioplasty, in-stent restenosis remains a major clinical problem. METHODS: QCA and IVUS studies were performed before and after intervention (after stent placement and high pressure adjunct balloon angioplasty) in 382 lesions in 291 patients treated with 476 Palmaz-Schatz stents for whom follow-up QCA data were available 5.5 +/- 4.8 months (mean +/- SD) later. Univariate and multivariate predictors of QCA restenosis (> or = 50% diameter stenosis at follow-up, follow-up percent diameter stenosis [DS] and follow-up minimal lumen diameter [MLD]) were determined. RESULTS: Three variables were the most consistent predictors of the follow-up angiographic findings: ostial lesion location, IVUS preinterventional lesion site plaque burden (plaque/total arterial area) and IVUS assessment of final lumen dimensions (whether final lumen area or final MLD). All three variables predicted both the primary (binary restenosis) and secondary (follow-up MLD and follow-up DS) end points. In addition, a number of variables predicted one or more but not all the end points: 1) restenosis (IVUS preinterventional lumen and arterial area); 2) follow-up DS (QCA lesion length); and 3) follow-up MLD (QCA lesion length and preinterventional MLD and DS and IVUS preinterventional lumen and arterial area). CONCLUSIONS: Ostial lesion location and IVUS preinterventional plaque burden and postinterventional lumen dimensions were the most consistent predictors of angiographic in-stent restenosis.

Adult↗

PubMed1996

Predictors of death in nonruptured and ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysms.

PURPOSE: This study evaluated perioperative variables to predict death in nonruptured and ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) surgery. METHODS: A consecutive review of all patients who underwent AAA surgery from January 1984 to December 1993 was carried out. Perioperative variables were analyzed with univariate and multivariate statistical models to predict mortality rates. RESULTS: Four hundred seventy-eight patients with nonruptured AAAs and 157 patients with ruptured AAAs were studied. In patients with nonruptured AAAs, the mortality rate was 3.8%. Using stepwise logistic regression analysis, independent predictors of death were perioperative myocardial infarction (odds ratio [OR], 5.0; p < 0.01), prolonged postoperative ventilation (OR, 4.0; p < 0.01), history of peripheral vascular disease (OR, 2.9; p < 0.01), preoperative renal dysfunction (OR, 2.7; p < 0.01), and history of congestive heart failure (OR, 2.6; p < 0.03). In patients with ruptured AAAs, the mortality rate was 46%. Analysis of preoperative variables using multivariate stepwise logistic regression found predictors of death to be preoperative unconsciousness (OR, 3.1; p < 0.01), advanced age (OR, 1.9; p < 0.01), and cardiac arrest (OR, 1.8; p < 0.05). In patients who survived the initial surgery for ruptured AAA, a second stepwise logistic regression model found independent predictors for subsequent postoperative death to be coagulation disorder (OR, 7.9; p < 0.01), ischemic colitis (OR, 6.4; p < 0.01), inotropic support beyond 48 hours (OR, 4.8; p < 0.01), delayed transport to operating room (OR, 4.6; p < 0.01), advanced age (OR, 4.4; p < 0.01), perioperative myocardial infarction (OR, 4.0; p < 0.05) and postoperative renal dysfunction (OR, 3.7; p < 0.01). CONCLUSION: Prolonged ventilation, perioperative myocardial infarction, a history of peripheral vascular disease, preoperative renal dysfunction, and a history of congestive heart failure are independent predictors of perioperative death in patients with nonruptured AAAs. For patients with ruptured AAAs, mortality rates can be estimated before surgery using age, level of consciousness, and cardiac arrest. For patients who survive the initial surgery for ruptured AAA, subsequent mortality rates can also be predicted.

Aged↗

PubMed1999

Predictors of mortality in nursing home residents.

A prospective cohort study was conducted to examine predictors of mortality in the nursing home. Participants were 399 long-term nursing home residents, who were followed up for 11 years at the end of which 380 had died, 16 were still alive, 2 were discharged with unknown status, and 1 was alive when discharged. The median duration from baseline to death was 2.75 years. For cognitively intact residents, male gender, larger number of medical diagnoses, and manifestations of physically nonaggressive agitated behaviors (e.g., restlessness, pacing) were significant predictors. For cognitively impaired residents, the significant predictors were older age, impaired activities of daily living, and screaming behavior at a high frequency. Cognitive impairment is important both in predicting death in this population and in understanding the impact of other predictors. The impact of agitated behaviors, quality of social relations, and appetite on mortality highlights issues of quality of life at the end of life.

Activities of Daily Living↗

PubMed2000

Predictors of interindividual variation in ambulatory blood pressure and their time or activity dependence.

The objectives of this study were to determine whether total interindividual variation in blood pressure (BP) differs between inactive and active hours of the day, to identify predictors of interindividual variation in BP, and to assess whether variation associated with any of these identified predictors is greater (or less) during inactive hours than during active hours of the day. We obtained ambulatory BP recordings over 20 consecutive hours (12 active, out of bed [daytime]; and 8 inactive, in bed [nighttime]) in a sample of 240 unrelated, non-Hispanic white adults (138 men; 102 women). We estimated total interindividual variation in BP, and the percentage of interindividual variation associated with measures of age and body size, metabolic traits, catecholamines, erythrocyte cation transport, and renal function. We used linear regression to assess changes in the hourly estimates of total interindividual variation and in variation attributable to each set of predictor traits over the 20 h. In both men and women, total interindividual variation in systolic BP was significantly greater (not less) during inactive hours than during active hours. In addition, in women, total interindividual variation in diastolic BP was as great during inactive hours as during active hours. Each set of traits considered predicted a statistically significant percentage of interindividual variation in BP. None of the sets of traits predicted a greater percentage of interindividual variation during the inactive hours than during the active hours. Measures of age and body size, catecholamines, cation transport and renal function traits predicted significantly less interindividual variation during inactive hours than during active hours of the day. That total interindividual variation in BP is as great or greater during inactive hours than during active hours of the day emphasizes the potential for differences in nighttime BP to contribute to the development of cardiovascular disease. In as much as the predictors of interindividual variation in BP differ between the daytime and nighttime, the causes of variation during these two times may also differ.

Adult↗

PubMed2001

Predictors of compliance with neuroleptic medication among inpatients with schizophrenia: a discriminant function analysis.

OBJECTIVE: To identify clinically useful predictors of adherence to medication among persons with schizophrenia. METHOD: We evaluated levels of compliance with neuroleptic medication among 32 consecutive admissions with DSM-III-R schizophrenia from a geographically defined catchment area using a compliance interview. We also assessed symptomatology, insight, neurological status and memory. RESULTS: Less than 25% of consecutive admissions reported being fully compliant. Drug attitudes were the best predictor of regular compliance, symptomatology the best predictor of noncompliance, and memory the best predictor of partial compliance with neuroleptic medication. CONCLUSIONS: These data emphasise the complexity of factors that influence whether a person adheres to his medication regimen. Furthermore, they suggest that these factors may vary within the same person over time.

Adolescent↗

PubMed2001

The double-orifice technique for mitral valve reconstruction: predictors of postoperative outcome.

OBJECTIVE: The 'double-orifice' (DO) technique has been recently proposed as an additional option in mitral valve repair (MVR). However, little is known regarding the long-term postoperative outcome and the predictors of DO results. Therefore, the aim of this study was to evaluate our clinical series and to identify prognostic factors of DO repair. METHODS: From 1992, 75 patients underwent DO procedure because of severe mitral regurgitation. The study population consisted of 48 male and 27 female patients with a mean age of 58+/-13 years (range 16-80 years). The aetiology of mitral incompetence was Barlow disease in 30 cases, rheumatic disease in 18 cases, acute or healed endocarditis in 16 cases and other causes in 11 cases. Carpentier rigid ring was used in 38 patients, whereas autologous pericardium was used in 24 patients. Thirteen patients had no annuloplasty procedure. Statistical analysis included univariate and multivariate Cox proportional models to evaluate the predictors of the DO failure. RESULTS: There were four hospital and three late deaths with a survival rate of 92% at 8 years. Mean follow-up was 42+/-24 months (range 1-93 months). Twelve patients underwent reoperation (five cases of early failure) and had valve replacement, leading to 80% freedom from reoperation at 8 years. At follow-up, 13 patients had no mitral regurgitation, 36 patients had trivial or mild mitral incompetence, whereas eight patients had moderate or severe mitral insufficiency at transthoracic echocardiography. Preoperative low left ventricular ejection faction, pulmonary arterial hypertension and marked left atrial enlargement were predictors (P<0.05) of DO failure at univariate analysis. Pericardial annuloplasty was also a risk factor (P<0.05) for unsuccessful DO repair at long term. Cox proportional multivariate analysis confirmed left atrial dilatation, pulmonary hypertension and pericardial annuloplasty as independent predictors of unfavourable postoperative results. CONCLUSIONS: This study suggests that preoperative factors, like pulmonary hypertension and severe left atrial dilatation, may predict late DO failure. Our findings also indicate that pericardial annuloplasty may negatively influence mitral valve reconstruction at long term when DO is employed in MVR.

Adolescent↗

PubMed2000

Percutaneous revascularization of the renal arteries: predictors of outcome.

PURPOSE: To identify predictors of clinical outcome after percutaneous revascularization of the renal arteries. MATERIALS AND METHODS: In 63 patients, the therapeutic response was retrospectively assessed after percutaneous revascularization of the renal arteries indicated for hypertension (41.3%), renal failure (4.8%), or both (53.9%). All patients underwent percutaneous transluminal renal angioplasty, complemented by stent insertion in 30 patients. The authors analyzed the role of clinical and imaging factors, including scintigraphy, Doppler sonography, and angiography for predicting clinical success. RESULTS: In the hypertensive population, there were three cures (5.6%), 26 improvements (48.1%), and 25 failures (46.3%). Among patients with renal insufficiency, 12 were improved (37.5%), 11 were stabilized (34.4%), and nine deteriorated (28.1%). Predictors of favorable outcome for hypertension were shorter duration of hypertension, higher diastolic blood pressure, fibromuscular dysplasia, abnormal Doppler study, higher percentage of angiographic stenosis, and lower grade of aortic atheromatous disease. Predictors of favorable outcome for renal failure were nondiabetic status, abnormal Doppler study, and higher percentage of angiographic stenosis. Abnormal Doppler and scintigraphic examinations predicted successful treatment of hypertension in 60% and 53.8% of cases, respectively, and renal insufficiency in 85% and 60% of cases, respectively. CONCLUSION: Clinical and angiographic variables were the best predictors of therapeutic success for hypertension. Doppler sonography was useful in patients with renal failure.

Angiography↗