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Do the DSM decision trees improve diagnostic ability?

Experiment 1 examined whether the use of the DSM-III-R decision trees increased the accuracy of DSM-III-R diagnoses. Results indicated that the use of the decision trees interacted with the level of DSM-III-R experience to affect diagnostic accuracy. The use of the decision trees resulted in a modest increase in diagnostic accuracy for participants with less DSM-III-R experience; for participants with more DSM-III-R experience, the use of the decision trees had no significant effect on diagnostic accuracy. Experiment 2 examined whether the use of the DSM-III-R decision trees increased the accuracy and confidence and decreased the time of DSM-IlI-R diagnosis across participants with varying levels of DSM-III-R experience. The primary analyses consisted of a 3 x 2 x 2-multivariate analysis of variance (MANOVA) to determine whether the use of the decision trees increased diagnostic accuracy and diagnostic confidence and decreased diagnostic time. Results indicated (1) the experienced participants made more accurate diagnoses than the less-experienced and no-experience participants: (2) the decision trees, combined with practice, increased class diagnostic accuracy and decreased diagnostic time; and (3) participants were more confident in their diagnosis when they used the decision trees than when they did not use the decision trees. Supplementary analyses consisted of two one-way analysis of variance (ANOVA) procedures and indicated that participants' preference for and knowledge of how to use the decision trees did not significantly affect their diagnostic accuracy.

Adult↗

Phenol mechanism of toxic action classification and prediction: a decision tree approach.

In this study, the use of decision tree in classifying and predicting the aquatic toxicity mechanisms of phenols was investigated. Four mechanisms including polar narcosis, respiratory uncoupling, pro-electrophilicity, and soft electrophilicity were involved. Using molecular descriptors as splitting variables, a three level decision tree with six terminal nodes was obtained. The tree model first separated polar narcosis/pro-electrophilicity from respiratory uncoupling/soft electrophilicity by E(lumo) in the first level of the tree. In subsequent levels of the tree, polar narcosis was separated from pro-electrophilicity by N(hdon) and E(homo), and respiratory uncoupling was separated from soft electrophilicity by E(lumo) and logK(ow). Validation of the decision tree approach indicated that the overall mechanism prediction accuracy was approximately 85%. The decision tree model had the advantage of easy interpretation.

Animals↗

Identifying diagnostic errors with induced decision trees.

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this article is to compare the diagnostic accuracy of induced decision trees with that of pruned neural networks and to improve the accuracy and interpretation of breast cancer diagnosis from readings of thin-needle aspirate by identifying cases likely to be misclassified by induced decision rules. METHOD: Using an online database consisting of 699 cases of suspected breast cancer and their corresponding readings of fine-needle aspirate, decision trees were induced from half of the cases, randomly selected. Accuracy was determined for the remaining cases in successive partitions. The pattern of errors in the multiple decision trees was examined. A smaller data set was created with 2 classes: (1) correctly classified and (2) misclassified by a decision tree, rather than the original benign and malignant classes. From this data set, decision trees that describe the misclassified cases were induced. RESULTS: Larger, less severely pruned decision trees were more accurate in breast cancer diagnosis for both training and test data. The accuracy of the induced decision trees exceeded that reported for the smaller pruned neural networks. Combining classifications from 2 trees was effective in identifying malignancies missed by a single tree. Induced decision trees were able to identify patterns associated with misclassified cases, but the identification of errors inductively did not improve the overall error rate. CONCLUSION: In this application, a model that is too compact identifies fewer cases of the minority class, malignancy. New methods that combine models and examine classification errors can improve diagnosis by identifying more malignancies and by describing ambiguous cases.

Breast Neoplasms↗

Genetic programming for the induction of decision trees to model ecotoxicity data.

Automatic induction of decision trees and production rules from data to develop structure-activity models for toxicity prediction has recently received much attention, and the majority of methodologies reported in the literature are based upon recursive partitioning employing greedy searches to choose the best splitting attribute and value at each node. These approaches can be successful; however, the greedy search will necessarily miss regions of the search space. Recent literature has demonstrated the applicability of genetic programming to decision tree induction to overcome this problem. This paper presents a variant of this novel approach, using fewer mutation options and a simpler fitness function, demonstrating its utility in inducing decision trees for ecotoxicity data, via a case study of two data sets giving improved accuracy and generalization ability over a popular decision tree inducer.

Algorithms↗

Evaluation of a decision tree for management of chronic wounds.

Nurses routinely make complex clinical decisions under conditions of uncertainty. They collect large, unwieldy data sets in the process of making these clinical decisions. To assist nurses in collecting and organizing data and in making complex clinical decisions, some nursing scholars recommend decision support systems. One such support system, a decision tree leads the nurse from general to specific assessments and ultimately to a decision choice or outcome. In this study, a decision tree was examined for its utility in promoting accuracy in decision making for management of chronic wounds among home care nurses. Home care nurses who used the decision tree made better decisions about staging and product choices for chronic wounds. More research is necessary to discover whether decision trees for the management of chronic wounds translate into improved client outcomes.

Chronic Disease↗

Decision making for health care professionals: use of decision trees within the community mental health setting.

AIM OF THE PAPER: To examine the application of the decision tree approach to collaborative clinical decision-making in mental health care in the United Kingdom (UK). BACKGROUND: While this approach to decision-making has been examined in the acute care setting, there is little published evidence of its use in clinical decision-making within the mental health setting. The complexities of dual diagnosis (schizophrenia and substance misuse in this case example) and the varied viewpoints of different professionals often hamper the decision-making process. This paper highlights how the approach was used successfully as a multiprofessional collaborative approach to decision-making in the context of British community mental health care. DESIGN: A selective review of the relevant literature and a case study application of the decision tree framework. CONCLUSIONS: The process of applying the decision tree framework to clinical decision-making in mental health practice can be time consuming and client inclusion within the process is not always appropriate. The approach offers a method of assigning numerical values to support complex multiprofessional decision-making as well as considering underpinning literature to inform the final decision. Use of the decision tree offers a common framework that can assist professionals to examine the options available to them in depth, while considering the complex variables that influence decision-making in collaborative mental health practice. Use of the decision tree warrants further consideration in mental health care in terms of practice and education.

Attitude of Health Personnel↗

Expectant management of tubal ectopic pregnancy: prediction of successful outcome using decision tree analysis.

OBJECTIVE: To establish whether a decision tree based on a combination of clinical, morphological and biochemical parameters could be constructed to help in the selection of women with tubal ectopic pregnancies for expectant management. METHODS: This was a prospective observational study in a tertiary referral early pregnancy unit in an inner city teaching hospital. The study group consisted of 179 women with ultrasound diagnosis of ectopic pregnancy. Demographic, clinical and ultrasound data were recorded in each case at the initial visit. In addition all women had a blood sample taken for the measurements of serum beta-human chorionic gonadotropin (beta-hCG) and progesterone. Clinically stable women with non-viable pregnancies and no signs of hematoperitoneum were managed expectantly on an outpatient basis until their serum beta-hCG declined to <20 IU/L. Women who developed pelvic pain during follow-up and those with non-declining serum beta-hCG were offered surgery. RESULTS: A total of 107/179 (59.8%) tubal ectopics were considered suitable for expectant management. Ectopic pregnancy resolved spontaneously in 75/107 (70%) women, which was 41.9% of the total number of tubal ectopics. Maternal age, initial serum beta-hCG and progesterone were all significantly different in pregnancies that resolved spontaneously compared to those requiring surgery (P < 0.05). Initial serum beta-hCG level was the best predictor of the outcome of expectant management. These differences enabled a construction of a four-level decision tree to estimate the likelihood of successful expectant management. CONCLUSIONS: There are significant differences in demographic, ultrasound and biochemical findings between spontaneously resolving ectopics and those requiring treatment. Decision tree analysis may be used as a guide to estimate the probability of successful expectant management in individual cases.

Adult↗

A decision tree--based method for the differential diagnosis of Aortic Stenosis from Mitral Regurgitation using heart sounds.

BACKGROUND: New technologies like echocardiography, color Doppler, CT, and MRI provide more direct and accurate evidence of heart disease than heart auscultation. However, these modalities are costly, large in size and operationally complex and therefore are not suitable for use in rural areas, in homecare and generally in primary healthcare set-ups. Furthermore the majority of internal medicine and cardiology training programs underestimate the value of cardiac auscultation and junior clinicians are not adequately trained in this field. Therefore efficient decision support systems would be very useful for supporting clinicians to make better heart sound diagnosis. In this study a rule-based method, based on decision trees, has been developed for differential diagnosis between "clear" Aortic Stenosis (AS) and "clear" Mitral Regurgitation (MR) using heart sounds. METHODS: For the purposes of our experiment we used a collection of 84 heart sound signals including 41 heart sound signals with "clear" AS systolic murmur and 43 with "clear" MR systolic murmur. Signals were initially preprocessed to detect 1st and 2nd heart sounds. Next a total of 100 features were determined for every heart sound signal and relevance to the differentiation between AS and MR was estimated. The performance of fully expanded decision tree classifiers and Pruned decision tree classifiers were studied based on various training and test datasets. Similarly, pruned decision tree classifiers were used to examine their differentiation capabilities. In order to build a generalized decision support system for heart sound diagnosis, we have divided the problem into sub problems, dealing with either one morphological characteristic of the heart-sound waveform or with difficult to distinguish cases. RESULTS: Relevance analysis on the different heart sound features demonstrated that the most relevant features are the frequency features and the morphological features that describe S1, S2 and the systolic murmur. The results are compatible with the physical understanding of the problem since AS and MR systolic murmurs have different frequency contents and different waveform shapes. On the contrary, in the diastolic phase there is no murmur in both diseases which results in the fact that the diastolic phase signals cannot contribute to the differentiation between AS and MR. We used a fully expanded decision tree classifier with a training set of 34 records and a test set of 50 records which resulted in a classification accuracy (total corrects/total tested) of 90% (45 correct/50 total records). Furthermore, the method proved to correctly classify both AS and MR cases since the partial AS and MR accuracies were 91.6% and 88.5% respectively. Similar accuracy was achieved using decision trees with a fraction of the 100 features (the most relevant). Pruned Differentiation decision trees did not significantly change the classification accuracy of the decision trees both in terms of partial classification and overall classification as well. DISCUSSION: Present work has indicated that decision tree algorithms decision tree algorithms can be successfully used as a basis for a decision support system to assist young and inexperienced clinicians to make better heart sound diagnosis. Furthermore, Relevance Analysis can be used to determine a small critical subset, from the initial set of features, which contains most of the information required for the differentiation. Decision tree structures, if properly trained can increase their classification accuracy in new test data sets. The classification accuracy and the generalization capabilities of the Fully Expanded decision tree structures and the Pruned decision tree structures have not significant difference for this examined sub-problem. However, the generalization capabilities of the decision tree based methods were found to be satisfactory. Decision tree structures were tested on various training and test data set and the classification accuracy was found to be consistently high.

Algorithms↗

Does size really matter--using a decision tree approach for comparison of three different databases from the medical field of acute appendicitis.

Decision trees have been successfully used for years in many medical decision making applications. Transparent representation of acquired knowledge and fast algorithms made decision trees one of the most often used symbolic machine learning approaches. This paper concentrates on the problem of separating acute appendicitis, which is a special problem of acute abdominal pain, from other diseases that cause acute abdominal pain by use of an decision tree approach. Early and accurate diagnosing of acute appendicitis is still a difficult and challenging problem in everyday clinical routine. An important factor in the error rate is poor discrimination between acute appendicitis and other diseases that cause acute abdominal pain. This error rate is still high, despite considerable improvements in history-taking and clinical examination, computer-aided decision-support, and special investigation such as ultrasound. We investigated three databases of different size with cases of acute abdominal pain to complete this task as successful as possible. The results show that the size of the database does not necessary directly influence the success of the decision tree built on it. Surprisingly we got the best results from the decision trees built on the smallest and the biggest database, where the database with medium size (relative to the other two) was not so successful. Despite this we were able to produce decision tree classifiers that were capable of producing correct decisions on test data sets with accuracy up to 84%, sensitivity to acute appendicitis up to 90%, and specificity up to 80% on the same test set.

Acute Disease↗

Automated critiquing of medical decision trees.

The authors developed a decision tree-critiquing program (called BUNYAN) that identifies potential modeling errors in medical decision trees. The program's critiques are based on the structure of a decision problem, obtained from an abstract description specifying only the basic semantic categories of the model's components. A taxonomy of node and branch types supplies the primitive building blocks for representing decision trees. Bunyan detects potential problems in a model by matching general pattern expressions that refer to these primitives. A small set of general principles justifies critiquing rules that detect four categories of potential structural problems: impossible strategies, dominated strategies, unaccountable violations of symmetry, and omission of apparently reasonable strategies. Although critiquing based on structure alone has clear limitations, principled structural analysis constitutes the core of a methodology for reasoning about decision models.

Decision Trees↗

[Decision tree sensitivity analysis for cost-effectiveness of chest FDG-PET in patients with a pulmonary tumor (non-small cell carcinoma)].

Decision tree analysis was used to assess cost-effectiveness of chest FDG-PET in patients with a pulmonary tumor (non-small cell carcinoma, < or = Stage IIIB), based on the data of the current decision tree. Decision tree models were constructed with two competing strategies (CT alone and CT plus chest FDG-PET) in 1,000 patient population with 71.4% prevalence. Baselines of FDG-PET sensitivity and specificity on detection of lung cancer and lymph node metastasis, and mortality and life expectancy were available from references. Chest CT plus chest FDG-PET strategy increased a total cost by 10.5% when a chest FDG-PET study costs 0.1 million yen, since it increased the number of mediastinoscopy and curative thoracotomy despite reducing the number of bronchofiberscopy to half. However, the strategy resulted in a remarkable increase by 115 patients with curable thoracotomy and decrease by 51 patients with non-curable thoracotomy. In addition, an average life expectancy increased by 0.607 year/patient, which means increase in medical cost is approximately 218,080 yen/year/patient when a chest FDG-PET study costs 0.1 million yen. In conclusion, chest CT plus chest FDG-PET strategy might not be cost-effective in Japan, but we are convinced that the strategy is useful in cost-benefit analysis.

Adult↗

Can a decision tree help nurses to grade and treat pressure ulcers?

OBJECTIVE: This study investigated whether a decision tree can aid pressure ulcer management. It hypothesised that nurses who use a decision tree in pressure ulcer care assess wound grade more accurately and select more appropriate dressings. METHOD: Sixty-six nurses were randomly assigned to two groups. Each nurse reviewed written information and pictures of three cases of pressure ulceration, and then graded and selected a dressing for the lesions. The absence or presence of a decision tree was used as an independent variable. Measurements included: mean and standard deviation; confidence intervals; percentages; Chi-square test, Pearson's correlation and Kruskal-Wallis test. RESULTS: Baseline characteristics were comparable for both groups. There was no statically significant difference between the grades selected by the two groups. But significantly more of the decision tree users selected an appropriate dressing (p < 0.02). Joint scores (ranging from 0 to 6) were assigned for each accurate decision. The mean score for the experimental group was 4.47 +/- 1.14 (95% CI: 0.95 [4.06-4.88]) and for the control group, 3.35 +/- 1.30 (95% CI: 0.95 [2.90-3.81]). CONCLUSION: Decision trees could help nurses to make complex clinical decisions. Further studies undertaken in a clinical setting are needed.

Adult↗

Application of portfolio theory in decision tree analysis.

A general application of portfolio analysis for herd decision tree analysis is described. In the herd environment, this methodology offers a means of employing population-based decision strategies that can help the producer control economic variation in expected return from a given set of decision options. An economic decision tree model regarding the use of prostaglandin in dairy cows with undetected estrus was used to determine the expected return of the decisions to use prostaglandin and breed on a timed basis, use prostaglandin and then breed on sign of estrus, or breed on signs of estrus. The risk attributes of these decision alternatives were calculated from the decision tree, and portfolio theory was used to find the efficient decision combinations (portfolios with the highest return for a given variance). The resulting combinations of decisions could be used to control return variation.

Animals↗

A decision tree system for finding genes in DNA.

MORGAN is an integrated system for finding genes in vertebrate DNA sequences. MORGAN uses a variety of techniques to accomplish this task, the most distinctive of which is a decision tree classifier. The decision tree system is combined with new methods for identifying start codons, donor sites, and acceptor sites, and these are brought together in a frame-sensitive dynamic programming algorithm that finds the optimal segmentation of a DNA sequence into coding and noncoding regions (exons and introns). The optimal segmentation is dependent on a separate scoring function that takes a subsequence and assigns to it a score reflecting the probability that the sequence is an exon. The scoring functions in MORGAN are sets of decision trees that are combined to give a probability estimate. Experimental results on a database of 570 vertebrate DNA sequences show that MORGAN has excellent performance by many different measures. On a separate test set, it achieves an overall accuracy of 95 %, with a correlation coefficient of 0.78, and a sensitivity and specificity for coding bases of 83 % and 79%. In addition, MORGAN identifies 58% of coding exons exactly; i.e., both the beginning and end of the coding regions are predicted correctly. This paper describes the MORGAN system, including its decision tree routines and the algorithms for site recognition, and its performance on a benchmark database of vertebrate DNA.

Algorithms↗

[Prevention of vitamin D deficiency in the child and adolescent. I. Proposal and arguments for use of a decision tree].

A decision-making table, using three questionnaires, is proposed to determine the vitamin D status in children and adolescents. The first questionnaire assesses the vitamin D endogenous synthesis, taking into account the sunlight exposure and the time interval out of the sun. The second questionnaire quantifies the vitamin D dietary intake within three levels: optimal, medium or low. In case of a medium dietary score, a third questionnaire evaluates the daily calcium intake, taking into account the fact that vitamin D metabolism is increased by a low calcium intake (under 400 mg/day). This decision-making table should enable the detection of children and adolescents at risk of vitamin D deficiency and requiring an adapted prophylaxis. Its accuracy will be assessed in prospective surveys.

Adolescent↗

Epidemiologic programs for computers and calculators. Decision-tree analysis using a microcomputer.

Decision analysis using decision trees enables the medical decision maker to simplify and solve complex problems. The technique, however, becomes cumbersome when the decision maker attempts to perform sensitivity analysis on the problem. This paper describes a computer program, written in PASCAL, to construct, modify, and perform deterministic and stochastic simulations and risk analysis on a hypothetical, decision-analysis problem. The deterministic version can be run on microcomputers with CP/M, PC-DOS, or MS-DOS operating systems, and the deterministic/stochastic version requires a PC-DOS or MS-DOS operating system.

Computers↗

[Introduction to ethnographic decision tree modeling].

With rapid advances in healthcare technology, patients are increasingly compelled to make medical decisions in unfamiliar and highly stressful situations. Nurses, therefore, have a responsibility to understand the medical options, and consequences of each, in order to help patients make the best decisions for themselves. Ethnographic decision tree modeling is a research "triangulation" tool conducted in two stages. The first stage uses ethnographic fieldwork techniques to determine the criteria used by insiders (i.e., decision makers) to make a real-world decision. These criteria are combined into a decision tree. The second stage applies a quantitative research method to verify the degree of predictive accuracy of the decision tree. This method addresses the meaning and predictability of decision-making. This paper introduces ethnographic decision tree modeling and provides a perspective on inquiring about the bases of patient decision-making.

Anthropology, Cultural↗

Appropriate admissions to the appropriate unit: a decision tree approach.

An intermediate care decision tree tool was developed to meet the demand for intermediate care beds. Concurrently, a charging process was developed to support the acuity adaptable model of care, allowing the patient to remain in the same bed from admission to discharge, regardless of level of care required, adjusting nurse-to-patient ratios as acuity changes. Since beginning this pilot, 96% to 100% of the patients admitted to intermediate care from the emergency department met the criteria. Wait time from request to admission was reduced from 5.5 hours to 2.5 hours. A reduction in nursing costs was noted. The average number of patients waiting daily in the emergency department for an intermediate care bed has been reduced by approximately 80%. A significant difference in length of stay was not noted.

Decision Trees↗