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Quality over quantity: biopsy-anchored CT radiogenomics models outperform all-lesion training in a multi-tumour cohort despite a smaller sample size.

OBJECTIVE: Radiogenomics aims to non-invasively predict tumour genotypes from imaging, but most studies assume molecular homogeneity by assigning a single biopsy-derived label to all lesions within a patient. This approach risks substantial label noise given well-documented interlesional heterogeneity. We investigated whether anchoring training to biopsy-confirmed lesions improves radiogenomic model performance and generalisability. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We retrospectively analysed 1646 patients (11473 segmented lesions) with contrast-enhanced CT and EGFR mutation status from next-generation sequencing at the Netherlands Cancer Institute, alongside an external NSCLC radiogenomics cohort (n = 158). All visible lesions were segmented, and the exact biopsy site was matched to its segmentation. Radiomic features were extracted, and machine learning models were trained with three lesion selection strategies: all lesions, non-biopsied lesions only, and biopsy-confirmed lesions only. To disentangle label quality from sample size, we created size-matched variants (one lesion per patient) for all-lesion and non-biopsied strategies. RESULTS: All models achieved significant discrimination of EGFR status on internal validation (AUC = 0.62-0.68). However, performance of the all-lesion and non-biopsied models declined on external validation (AUC = 0.55-0.63), while the biopsy-anchored model maintained stable performance (AUC = 0.62), despite having only 1/10th of the training sample size. When training sets were size-matched, the biopsy-anchored approach significantly outperformed a model trained on all available lesions on external validation (p = 0.037). CONCLUSIONS: Radiogenomic models trained on biopsy-confirmed lesions outperform conventional all-lesion strategies in external validation, despite using an order of magnitude fewer samples. Prioritising lesion-level label fidelity can mitigate heterogeneity-driven noise, enhancing robustness and clinical translation of imaging-based genomic prediction. KEY POINTS: Question Does assigning biopsy-derived molecular labels to all lesions introduce heterogeneity-driven label noise that reduces the generalisability of radiogenomic models? Findings Models trained exclusively on biopsy-confirmed lesions demonstrated superior external generalisability compared with all-lesion approaches, despite being trained on substantially fewer samples. Clinical relevance Biopsy-anchored radiogenomics improves the reliability of non-invasive mutation prediction by accounting for tumour heterogeneity, potentially supporting clinical decision-making when tissue sampling is limited or molecular results are discordant across lesions.

Humans

Multimodal features and prognostic risk assessment in locally advanced gastric cancer patients following neoadjuvant therapy based on machine learning algorithms: a multicenter study.

BACKGROUND: Neoadjuvant therapy (NAT) is recommended for locally advanced gastric cancer (LAGC), but some patients respond poorly. We aimed to construct a multimodal model integrating CT images, transcriptomic sequencing, and clinicopathological data to assess prognosis in LAGC patients receiving NAT. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This multicenter study included 505 LAGC patients who underwent NAT. Radiomic features were extracted from preoperative CT images of 505 patients. RNA-seq was performed on 277 post-NAT specimens, with additional data from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) databases (n&#x2009;=&#x2009;804). Patients were divided into training (168 cases), internal validation (72 cases), and external validation cohorts. Machine learning algorithms identified key radiomic, molecular, and clinical features associated with NAT response, which were then integrated into a multimodal model to predict overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS). RESULTS: Six radiomic and three molecular features significantly associated with NAT response were selected. Radiomic risk (hazard ratio [HR]: 4.0, P&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.001) and molecular risk (HR: 7.1, P&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.001) were independent prognostic factors. By integrating radiomic risk, molecular risk, and clinical characteristics, a multimodal model (MuMo) was constructed.The C-index results (OS, C-index&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.855; DFS, C-index&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.786) demonstrated that MuMo outperformed the single-modality models and ypTNM staging.Mechanistic analysis suggested that the efficacy of neoadjuvant therapy was significantly enriched in immune-inflammatory pathways. CONCLUSIONS: MuMo can effectively predict postoperative survival risk in LAGC patients receiving NAT, serving as a powerful tool for optimizing prognostic assessment.

Humans

High sodium-low potassium environment and hypertension.

The high sodium-low potassium environment of civilized people, operating on a genetic substrate of susceptibility, is the cardinal factor in the genesis and perpetuation of "essential" hypertension. The noxious effects begin in childhood, when habits of excess salt consumption are acquired at the family table, and are perpetuated by continuing habit and by increasing use of convenience and snack foods with artificially high concentrations of sodium and low levels of potassium. Present methods of food preparation leach out the protective potassium. Extradietary sodium chloride is a condiment not a requirement. Some primitive populations clearly preferred potassium chloride to sodium chloride. Chronic expansion of extracellular fluid volume induced by excess salt consumption causes the central and peripheral circulatory regulatory mechanisms to work at cross purposes, resulting in increased arterial pressure. The protective effect of potassium is dramatic and easily demonstrable in animals and man but its mechanism is not known. It cannot be entirely a direct effect on blood pressure because rats protected with extra potassium against a moderately high salt intake live much longer than control rats but have the same elevated blood pressures. In hypertension with a demonstrable "cause," the high sodium-low potassium environment makes a bad matter worse. In nature, feral man and his forebears were not confronted with excessive sodium and deficient potassium; indeed, the reverse was the case. Evolution has provided powerful mechanisms for conserving sodium and eliminating potassium, but no efficient physiologic mechanisms for conserving potassium and eliminating excess sodium. Most laboratory animal "control" diets contain an amount of sodium that fully suppresses aldosterone secretion, and the same is true of the "average" diet of the American people. Inadequate attention to dietary sodium and potassium makes many studies in both animals and man of uncertain validity. Internally, essential hypertension is an exceedingly complex mosaic of physiologic interactions. Viewed from outside, it is a disorder for which genetic material sets the stage; excessive sodium precipitates it and perpetuates it. Extra salt makes all forms more rapidly progressive and accelerates the onset of terminal events; extra potassium is everywhere protective. When an entire population eats excessively of salt, hypertension will develop among those genetically susceptible, but epidemiologic studies of salt versus blood pressure will not show a relation of salt to hypertension. This is the saturation effect. Low sodium diets are therapeutically effective but generally regarded as an impossible or an unnecessary nuisance. Effective prevention programs must be instituted at as early an age as possible. The efficacy of a prophylactic/therapeutic low sodium-high potassium diet should be weighed against the uncertain hazards of a lifetime of pill taking.

Adolescent

Effects of psychoeducational care for adult surgical patients: a meta-analysis of 191 studies.

A quantitative review of the literature (meta-analysis) was conducted with 191 studies of the effects of psychoeducational care on the recovery, postsurgical pain and psychological distress of adult surgical patients. Studies issued between 1963 and 1989 were included in the review. Statistically reliable, small to moderate sized beneficial effects were found on recovery, postoperative pain and psychological distress. In further analyses it was shown that these beneficial effects were not an artifact of the biases associated with the decision whether to publish a paper, low internal validity, measurement subjectivity, or a Hawthorne effect. The overall efficacy of psychoeducational care provided to adult surgical patients has been reconfirmed with this larger sample of studies. It is particularly noteworthy that these findings are of more than strictly historical interest. Despite changes in health care delivery, beneficial effects continue even in studies issued between 1985 and 1989. Implications for clinical practice are drawn.

Adult

Redefining the real problem in psychedelic trials: Why fighting the Lessebo matters more than blinding integrity.

Imperfect blinding is not specific to psychedelic trials. In randomized trials, treatment allocation is frequently correctly guessed, yet blinding integrity is rarely assessed outside of psychedelic research and is generally not considered a barrier in regulatory evaluation. The intense debate in psychedelics may reflect a broader double standard affecting mental health research, when uncertainties arising from imperfect blinding are confounded by those linked to patient-reported outcome measures. Indeed, people living with mental disorders are often viewed as unreliable reporters, despite well-documented limitations of clinician-rated scales and the absence of robust biological markers of symptomatic change. Importantly, it is the maintenance of reasonable doubt of treatment allocation that sustains internal validity and ethical feasibility of placebo-controlled designs, rather than perfect blinding. Concerns about expectancy bias in psychedelic trials are closely tied to blinding debates. When allocation is inferred, expectations may cluster in the arm perceived as active or in stereotyped experiences and influence outcomes differently in active and control arms, leading to a risk of lessebo, a negative placebo effect due to the negative expectation related to receiving a placebo. However, we argue that an underrecognized mechanism of lessebo is disappointment. This risk may reflect insufficient clinical management of disappointment rather than pre-treatment expectation alone. We therefore propose shifting the emphasis from preserving inevitably imperfect blinding towards mitigating disappointment in both arms. Establishing non-stereotyped expectations prior to treatment through structured psychoeducation, strengthened therapeutic alliance, and realistic preparation would help avoid lessebo effects. Such strategies would enhance ethical rigor, interpretability, and the clinical usefulness of psychedelic trials.

Humans

Multiregion profiling of genomic and transcriptional heterogeneity in head and neck squamous-cell carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Intratumoral heterogeneity (ITH) is thought to contribute to tumour evolution and treatment resistance but its biological and clinical significance in localised head and neck squamous-cell carcinoma (HNSCC) remains incompletely understood. PATIENTS AND METHODS: In the prospective SCANDARE study, we analysed 87 patients with resectable HNSCC treated with upfront surgery. Two to five spatially distinct tumour regions per patient underwent pathological evaluation, targeted DNA sequencing, and bulk RNA sequencing. Genomic ITH (gITH) was quantified using clonal deconvolution and Shannon diversity indices, whereas transcriptional heterogeneity (tITH) was assessed using the intratumour expression distance metric. Associations between ITH, molecular features, tumour microenvironment composition, and clinical outcomes were explored using multivariable statistical models. RESULTS: Pathology-based spatial heterogeneity showed limited prognostic value. gITH was common, with 37% of tumours displaying regionally heterogeneous pathogenic variants, including spatially actionable alterations in 10% of patients. In an initial multivariable Cox model, higher gITH was associated with shorter disease-free survival. However, after Ridge-penalised modelling and bootstrap internal validation, the effect size was attenuated [corrected hazard ratio 1.42, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.91-2.75]. The overall model retained moderate discriminative performance (optimism-corrected C-index 0.69, 95% CI 0.59-0.79). gITH was associated with tumour cellularity, reduced estimated endothelial cell infiltration, and alterations in KMT2C and PIK3CA. tITH differed according to human papillomavirus (HPV) status, with lower tITH in HPV-positive tumours, and was associated with distinct biological pathways and genomic alterations. Genomic and tITH were not correlated. CONCLUSIONS: This prospective multiregion study provides a comprehensive characterisation of genomic and tITH in localised HNSCC. Our findings highlight substantial spatial molecular diversity within primary tumours and suggest potential associations between heterogeneity, tumour biology, and clinical outcome that warrant validation in independent cohorts.

head and neck squamous-cell carcinoma (HNSCC)

Pragmatic gynecologic cancer clinical trials: statements and roadmap from the Gynecologic Cancer InterGroup Chicago Brainstorming Meeting.

Randomized controlled trials remain fundamental to evidence generation in oncology but are increasingly complex, costly, and often misaligned with real-world practice. Traditional explanatory trials, designed under ideal, controlled conditions, frequently enroll highly selected populations, limiting generalizability and underrepresenting key groups such as older adults, patients with comorbidities, and those from low- and middle-income countries. Pragmatic clinical trials offer an alternative by evaluating interventions under routine care conditions, with broader eligibility, simplified procedures, and patient-centered outcomes. To address these challenges, the Gynecologic Cancer InterGroup convened an international brainstorming meeting in May 2025 with multi-disciplinary experts, patients, and advocates to define priorities and develop a roadmap for pragmatic trials in gynecologic oncology. Key discussions emphasized embedding trial design within routine care, aligning eligibility criteria and procedures with standard practice, minimizing non-essential data collection, and prioritizing outcomes meaningful to patients, including quality of life. Innovative designs such as registry-based randomized trials, trials-within-cohorts, and cluster randomization were highlighted as feasible approaches to improve efficiency while preserving internal validity. Integration of patient-reported outcomes and real-world data was considered achievable when carefully streamlined. Major challenges identified included regulatory heterogeneity, consent complexity, data interoperability, and funding limitations, particularly in multi-national settings. Proposed solutions include simplified consent models, centralized ethics processes, hybrid funding strategies, and the responsible use of artificial intelligence to enhance patient identification, recruitment, and potential development of synthetic control arms. Patient engagement was recognized as essential to ensure relevance, feasibility, and equity. Incorporation of patient-reported outcomes was discussed as key to informing acceptance and tolerability. In summary, pragmatic trials within Gynecologic Cancer InterGroup represent a critical pathway to generate efficient, inclusive, and practice-changing evidence in gynecologic cancers across diverse health care settings.

Humans

Association of time-averaged systemic immune-inflammation indices with in-hospital mortality after intracerebral hemorrhage: a retrospective study.

BACKGROUND: Systemic inflammation plays a central role in secondary brain injury following intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). Although inflammatory indices such as the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), systemic immune-inflammation index (SII), and systemic inflammation response index (SIRI) are linked to poor outcomes, their associations with mortality are commonly assumed to be linear, potentially overlooking nonlinear patterns where mortality risk rises steeply at higher levels. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective study using the MIMIC-IV database, including 440 patients with non-traumatic ICH who were alive and remained in the ICU for at least 72&#xa0;h after admission. Mean NLR, SII, and SIRI were calculated from measurements obtained during this period. Multivariable logistic regression and restricted cubic spline (RCS) analyses were applied to assess their independent and nonlinear associations with in-hospital mortality. Model discrimination and calibration were internally validated using 1,000 bootstrap resamples. RESULTS: The in-hospital mortality rate was 26.1%. After multivariable adjustment, NLR and SIRI remained independently associated with mortality. Patients in the highest SIRI quartile had the highest risk of death (aOR&#xa0;=&#xa0;5.12; 95% CI: 2.57-12.24; p&#xa0;<&#xa0;0.001). RCS analysis revealed a significant nonlinear association between SIRI and mortality (p-nonlinearity&#xa0;<&#xa0;0.05), showing a steep risk increase at higher SIRI levels. Adding SIRI to the base model provided a modest improvement in discrimination (AUC 0.762 to 0.785, p&#xa0;=&#xa0;0.045) and significantly improved risk reclassification (cNRI&#xa0;=&#xa0;0.4778, p&#xa0;<&#xa0;0.001; IDI&#xa0;=&#xa0;0.0240, p&#xa0;=&#xa0;0.0151). CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with ICH who met the 72-hour eligibility criterion, higher 72-hour average SIRI was independently associated with in-hospital mortality. As a time-averaged measure, SIRI should be interpreted as a dynamic marker integrating the initial inflammatory state and the early clinical course rather than as a purely baseline prognostic factor. Although adding SIRI to the base model modestly improved discrimination and risk reclassification, it should be considered a candidate prognostic marker requiring external validation before clinical application.

Humans

Exploring precision risk in pediatric vesicoureteral reflux: Innate immune gene variations and reflux outcomes in the RIVUR cohort.

INTRODUCTION: Children with vesicoureteral reflux (VUR) are at increased risk for morbidity from recurrent urinary tract infections (UTIs), yet the factors influencing spontaneous VUR resolution remain poorly defined. This study evaluates whether genetic variations in key urinary innate immune effectors (DEFA1A3, DMBT1, and RNASE7) influences VUR resolution and interacts with prophylaxis to alter clinical response. METHODS: We conducted a secondary analysis of 303 RIVUR participants with available DEFA1A3 and DMBT1 copy number variation (CNV) data and RNASE7 rs1263872 genotype. Primary outcomes were (1) VUR improvement (decrease in grade) and (2) VUR resolution at study exit. Multivariable logistic regression models included genotype, treatment, and their interactions, adjusting for age, sex, baseline grade (high vs low), laterality, bowel/bladder dysfunction, and any UTI. Internal validation used 2000-sample bootstrap with bias-corrected and accelerated confidence intervals and influence diagnostics. RESULTS: Clinical covariates did not significantly predict VUR improvement. Children with DEFA1A3 CNV >5 had higher odds of improvement (OR 2.36, 95% CI 1.12-4.96, p = 0.023), an effect that remained significant in bootstrap analyses. High-grade VUR was associated with lower odds of resolution (OR 0.34, 95% CI 0.12-0.94, p = 0.038). A significant interaction was observed between prophylaxis and high DMBT1 copy number for VUR resolution (interaction OR 2.99, 95% CI 1.11-8.04, p = 0.031); no interaction was seen for improvement. RNASE7 rs1263872 was not associated with either outcome. CONCLUSION: Innate immune gene variation may contribute to heterogeneity in VUR outcomes. High DEFA1A3 copy number was associated with reflux improvement and a DMBT1-prophylaxis interaction was associated with reflux resolution. The results of this study is hypothesis-generating and prompt further evaluation to assess whether a subset of children may experience structural benefit from prophylaxis or have a more favorable natural history based on their innate immune genotype.

Humans

Factors associated with additional intervention requirement following ESWL in pediatric patients with urolithiasis.

OBJECTIVE: To identify predictors of additional intervention following extracorporeal shock wave lithotripsy (ESWL) in pediatric patients and to develop a clinically applicable predictive model. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included 647 pediatric patients who underwent ESWL between 2015 and 2025. Demographic, clinical, and radiological variables were analyzed. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed to identify independent predictors of additional intervention. Model performance was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. RESULTS: Additional intervention was required in 65 patients (10.0%). On multivariable analysis, stone size 10-20 mm (OR: 3.04, p = 0.003), moderate (OR: 2.16, p = 0.049) and severe hydronephrosis (OR: 6.05, p < 0.001), and multiple stones (OR: 3.52, p = 0.030) were identified as independent risk factors. Increasing age (OR: 0.84, p = 0.026), history of urolithiasis (OR: 0.41, p = 0.006), and lower calyx location (OR: 0.14, p = 0.034) were associated with a reduced risk. The model demonstrated good discriminative performance (AUC: 0.794), with a sensitivity of 72% and specificity of 75%. Internal validation using bootstrap resampling demonstrated stable model performance, yielding a corrected AUC of 0.732. CONCLUSION: Stone burden, hydronephrosis severity, and stone multiplicity are key determinants of additional intervention after ESWL in pediatric patients. The proposed model shows good predictive performance and may support individualized risk stratification and clinical decision-making.

Humans

Automated CEAP Classification of Venous Duplex Reports Using Multimodal Artificial Intelligence.

OBJECTIVE: To develop and internally validate a prototype multimodal artificial intelligence system for automated CEAP (Clinical, Etiological, Anatomical and Pathophysiological) classification of venous duplex ultrasound (VDUS) reports, integrating natural language processing of free-text components with computer vision analysis of hand-drawn anatomical diagrams. METHODS: Single centre retrospective observational study using routinely collected clinical data. One thousand consecutive venous duplex ultrasound reports from Cambridge University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, UK (July 2024 - May 2025) were labelled according to the CEAP classification, excluding the Etiological component, which could not be reliably determined from duplex reports alone. Transfer learning was applied using ClinicalBERT for text and MobileNetV3 for diagrammatic data. Clinical classes were predicted from request line text. Text- and image-based pathophysiological models were developed for four anatomical territories (Great Saphenous Vein, Small Saphenous Vein, Deep system, Perforators), combined using late fusion with probability averaging. RESULTS: The clinical CEAP model achieved accuracy of 0.91, macro-F1 of 0.82, and macro-AUC of 0.98. Pathophysiological prediction varied, with text models broadly outperforming image models. Fusion yielded heterogeneous benefits, improving SSV performance but reducing Deep system accuracy. The performance of the final pathophysiological CEAP fusion models varied across anatomical territories: accuracy ranged from 0.70-0.92 and macro-AUC from 0.80-0.92. CONCLUSION: This study demonstrates the feasibility of automated CEAP classification from VDUS reports. Despite class imbalance affecting minority class predictions, the strong discriminatory performance validates this multimodal ML model for extracting clinically meaningful information from real-world data. This approach offers potential, pending external validation, to streamline vascular services through automated triage and guideline-compliant decision making.

Artificial intelligence

Bias due to misclassification in the estimation of relative risk.

Lack of bias in the estimation of relative effect in epidemiologic studies depends on the internal validity of the study. This paper conveys in graphic and tabular form the direction and magnitude of bias due to misclassification of study subjects. A series of computer-generated graphs shows that the departure of the estimate of effect (relative risk or odds ratio) from its true value is a function of sensitivity and specificity (measures of classification validity), disease frequency, and exposure frequency. The discussion of bias emphasizes misclassification of the "outcome" variable; i.e., disease occurrence in a cohort study and exposure rate in a case-control study. Examples are used to illustrate that the magnitude of the bias can be large under circumstances which occur readily in epidemiologic research. When misclassification is equal for the two compared groups, the estimate is biased toward the null value, and in some instances beyond; when differential misclassification occurs (as in selective recall in case-control studies) the bias can be in either direction, and may be great. Formulas are derived to estimate the underlying true value of the relative risk or odds ratio using the investigator's observations together with the estimated sensitivity and specificity of the classification procedure.

Classification

Integrative metabolomic and proteomic analysis of diabetic kidney disease progression with younger-onset type 2 diabetes.

AIM: Younger-onset type 2 diabetes (YT2D) confers a disproportionately high risk of diabetic kidney disease (DKD), yet early biomarkers and underlying mechanisms remain poorly defined. We aimed to identify metabolites associated with DKD progression and integrate metabolomic and proteomic data to elucidate pathways involved in a multi-ethnic Asian cohort. MATERIALS AND METHODS: In this prospective study, 787 YT2D patients (diagnosed at &#x2264; age 40) were followed for a median of 5.7&#x2009;years. DKD progression was defined as an annual decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) of &#x2265;3&#x2009;mL/min/1.73&#x2009;m2 or&#x2009;&#x2265;&#x2009;40% reduction in eGFR from baseline. Plasma metabolites were measured by nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy. Multivariable regression analysis was performed in a discovery (N&#x2009;=&#x2009;550) and internal validation cohort (N&#x2009;=&#x2009;237). Integrative metabolomic-proteomic analysis (N&#x2009;=&#x2009;428) was performed using sparse partial least squares discriminant analysis (sPLS-DA). RESULTS: Ninety-eight metabolites were differentially expressed between DKD progressors and non-progressors, of which total branched-chain amino acids (BCAAs) (OR&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.60, 95% CI 0.46-0.79), valine (OR&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.62, 95% CI 0.48-0.81), and leucine (OR&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.56, 95% CI 0.43-0.74) associated with DKD progression, independent of metabolic risk factors. Integrative analysis identified three components comprising 23 proteins and 30 metabolites, involved in the citrate cycle and apoptosis, which improved prediction of DKD progression beyond clinical risk factors (AUC 0.69-0.83). CONCLUSION: Lower plasma BCAA levels are independently associated with DKD progression in YT2D. Integrative multi-omics analysis highlights disruptions in metabolic and apoptotic pathways, providing insights into DKD pathophysiology and potential biomarkers for early risk stratification.

Humans

Large-Scale Plasma Proteomics Enhances Prediction of Liver-Related Events Among Individuals With Prediabetes and Type 2 Diabetes: A Prospective Cohort Study in the UK Biobank.

OBJECTIVE: To develop a protein risk score (ProRS) for predicting liver-related events (LREs) in patients with diabetes and compare its predictive performance with the Fibrosis-4 Index (FIB-4) and an established polygenic risk score. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: This prospective cohort study included 13&#x2009;516 individuals with prediabetes and type 2 diabetes (T2D) from the UK Biobank. Cox proportional hazards models and LASSO regression were applied to identify proteins associated with incident LREs and construct the ProRS. Predictive performance was assessed using Harrell's C-index, time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, net reclassification improvement and integrated discrimination improvement. RESULTS: Over a median follow-up of 13.5&#x2009;years, 171 (1.3%) incident LREs occurred. We identified 877 proteins associated with LRE risk, primarily enriched in inflammatory signalling, extracellular matrix remodelling and complement/coagulation cascades. In the training set, we developed a 24-protein ProRS (C-index, 0.842; 95% CI 0.797-0.884) that stratified individuals into low-, medium- and high-risk groups, with 10-year cumulative incidences of LREs of 0.2%, 1.2% and 14.2%, respectively. Compared with the low-risk group, the hazard ratio for LREs was 57.1 (95% CI 31.9-102) in the high-risk group. In the internal validation set, the ProRS model (C-index, 0.876; 95% CI 0.827-0.920) accurately predicted both short- and long-term LREs and outperformed FIB-4 index (C-index, 0.733; 95% CI 0.657-0.807) and polygenic risk score (C-index, 0.636; 95% CI 0.564-0.706). CONCLUSIONS: The protein risk score demonstrated superior performance compared with the FIB-4 index and the polygenic risk score in predicting incident LREs among individuals with prediabetes and T2D. The score allows stratification of individuals according to liver-related risk, though external validation in multi-ethnic cohorts is warranted.

Humans

Predictive Models for Hypoglycemia Risk in Haemodialysis Patients With Diabetic Kidney Disease: Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

AIM: To provide evidence for selecting and developing reliable clinical assessment tools for hypoglycemia in diabetic kidney disease patients during haemodialysis. DESIGN: Review. METHODS: Systematic searches were performed in 9 Chinese and English databases to collect literature regarding the development of hypoglycemia risk prediction models in haemodialysis patients with diabetic kidney disease. Two reviewers independently performed literature screening, data extraction, risk-of-bias assessment, and applicability evaluation. The Prediction Model Risk of Bias Assessment Tool was used to assess the risk of bias and applicability of the included studies. Meta-analysis was conducted using R software. DATA SOURCES: CNKI, Wanfang, VIP, CBM, PubMed, Cochrane Library, EMbase, Web of Science, and CINAHL. The search period covered from the establishment date of each database to December 2025. RESULTS: Six studies, comprising six prediction models, were included. Two studies performed internal validation, and three conducted external validation. All models reported the area under the curve, ranging from 0.813 to 0.866, and calibration measures. Four studies were rated as having a high risk of bias, while all six demonstrated good overall applicability. The meta-analysis showed that the pooled AUC value of the six studies was 0.846 (95% CI: 0.823-0.867). CONCLUSION: Research on hypoglycemia risk prediction models in haemodialysis patients with diabetic kidney disease remains in the developmental stage. Although the included prediction models exhibited satisfactory apparent discriminatory ability and clinical applicability, most of the original studies suffered from a high risk of bias and lacked adequate validation. The true predictive performance and clinical application value of these models remain to be further verified. Accordingly, routine and unconditional clinical application is not recommended at this stage. Future studies should include more high-quality, multicenter external validation and develop models with high generalizability, favourable clinical applicability, and robust predictive performance to facilitate early identification of hypoglycemia risk in this population. IMPACT: This study systematically evaluated the hypoglycemia risk prediction models for diabetic kidney disease patients during haemodialysis, and the research on hypoglycemia risk prediction models for maintenance haemodialysis patients during dialysis is still in the development stage. This study provides a reference for clinical medical staff to select or develop hypoglycemia risk prediction and assessment tools for diabetic kidney disease patients during haemodialysis. REPORTING METHOD: This study was conducted in accordance with the relevant guidelines of the EQUATOR Network and followed the TRIPOD-SRMA Checklist. PATIENT OR PUBLIC CONTRIBUTION: No patient or public contribution. TRIAL REGISTRATION: PROSPERO: CRD420251243352.

Humans

Proteomic and machine learning analysis predicts treatment response signatures in Myasthenia Gravis.

BACKGROUND: Myasthenia gravis (MG) is a prototypical antibody-mediated autoimmune disease with variable treatment responses with a need for biomarkers to guide therapeutic decision making. Proteomic profiling, coupled with machine learning, offers a hypothesis-free approach to identify multi-protein signatures associated with treatment response. METHODS: We analyzed sera collected at entry (baseline) from participants in a phase 3 trial randomized trial comparing thymectomy plus prednisone versus prednisone alone, along with matched controls using liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry. We derived disease-specific proteomic signatures and evaluated associations between baseline proteins and 6-month clinical outcomes using multiple machine-learning approaches with internal validation. RESULTS: Baseline serum proteomes distinguished MG from controls, with pathway enrichment implicating complement activation, immunoglobulin production, and T-cell receptor signaling. Distinct protein panels predicted 6-month clinical improvement within each treatment arm. In the thymectomy-plus-prednisone group, models captured non-linear relationships of predictive proteins in contrast with the predominant additive patterns observed in the prednisone-alone group. Predictive proteins were enriched for T-cell signaling and leukocyte trafficking functions, providing insight into treatment-specific biology. CONCLUSIONS: Baseline serum proteomics captures core disease characteristics of MG and predicts short-term clinical response in a treatment-specific manner. While our results require validation in independent cohorts, these findings could enable biomarker-guided selection of thymectomy, refine risk stratification, and furnish mechanistic readouts for future MG trials and clinical care. We aim to conduct future studies using -omic approaches to validate these baseline predictive biomarkers and pathways of treatment response in patients with MG.

Adult

Integrative analysis identifies a glycosylation-related lncRNA signature associated with prognosis in kidney renal clear cell carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Glycosylation and long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs) play critical roles in tumor progression. However, the prognostic significance of glycosylation-related lncRNAs (GRLncs) in kidney renal clear cell carcinoma (KIRC) remains largely unclear. This study aimed to identify prognostic GRLncs and construct a predictive model for KIRC prognosis. METHODS: Transcriptomic and clinical data of KIRC patients were analyzed to identify GRLncs associated with overall survival (OS). A prognostic model was constructed based on selected GRLncs, and its predictive performance was evaluated using Kaplan-Meier (KM) survival analysis, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, and univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses. Patients were stratified into high- and low-risk groups according to the median risk score, and internal validation was performed using training and testing cohorts to assess the stability of the model. Tumor microenvironment characteristics, immune checkpoint expression, immunotherapy response, and drug sensitivity were further analyzed. In addition, the expression of three signature lncRNAs was validated by real-time quantitative polymerase chain reaction (RT-qPCR) in 10 paired KIRC tumor and adjacent normal tissues. Functional roles of selected lncRNAs were investigated using antisense oligonucleotides (ASOs)-mediated knockdown in KIRC cell lines, followed by Cell Counting Kit 8 (CCK-8), 5-ethynyl-2'-deoxyuridine (EdU) incorporation, colony formation, and migration assays. RESULTS: Five GRLncs (AC093278.2, EPB41L4A-DT, DLGAP1-AS2, AC084876.1, and AC005261.3) were identified and used to construct a prognostic model. AC093278.2 and EPB41L4A-DT were protective factors, whereas DLGAP1-AS2, AC084876.1, and AC005261.3 were risk factors. KM analysis on GRLncs-based risk score stratification revealed patients in the high-risk group had significantly poorer OS than those in the low-risk group. ROC analysis and Cox regression demonstrated that the GRLnc-based risk score served as an independent predictor of KIRC prognosis and exhibited favorable predictive performance compared with conventional clinical variables. High- and low-risk groups also exhibited distinct immune microenvironment characteristics, immune checkpoint expression patterns, and predicted drug sensitivities. RT-qPCR detected significant downregulation of protective factor-EPB41L4A-DT in KIRC tissues, while risk factors-DLGAP1-AS2 and AC084876.1 showed expression trends consistent with their predicted risk attributes. Functional experiments further revealed that knockdown of DLGAP1-AS2 and AC084876.1 suppressed proliferation and migration of KIRC cells, whereas knockdown of EPB41L4A-DT promoted these processes, supporting the biological relevance of these three signature lncRNAs. CONCLUSIONS: This study establishes a novel prognostic model based on five GRLncs that showed promising performance in The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA)-based analyses of KIRC. The combined clinical expression analysis and functional validation of three constituent GRLncs (DLGAP1-AS2, EPB41L4A-DT, and AC084876.1) supports the biological plausibility of the model and suggest that GRLncs may serve as potential prognostic biomarkers and therapeutic targets for KIRC.

Kidney renal clear cell carcinoma (KIRC)

SERPINE1-centric inflammatory signature associates with treatment resistance and survival in laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma (LSCC) prognosis remains poor despite treatment advances. More accurate prognostic assessment models can help guide individualized treatment and improve prognosis. Chronic inflammation contributes to tumorigenesis, yet inflammatory response-related genes (IRGs) in LSCC prognosis are underexplored. This study aimed to construct an IRG prognostic signature for LSCC and further dissect core IRG-mediated mechanisms of immune escape and chemoresistance. METHODS: Transcriptional profiles and clinical data from LSCC patients were retrieved from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA). IRGs were sourced from Gene Set Enrichment Analysis (GSEA) hallmark gene set. We identified differentially expressed IRGs linked to survival outcomes in LSCC. Key IRGs were subsequently selected using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox regression analysis to establish an inflammatory risk score model. This model underwent internal validation within the TCGA cohort and external validation using independent Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) datasets. We further assessed the model's association with the tumor immune microenvironment and the impact of IRGs on chemotherapy response. Finally, the functional roles of interested signature IRG were experimentally validated in LSCC cell lines. RESULTS: Four significant IRGs (AQP9, ITGA5, LCK, SERPINE1) were identified to build the risk score model. The model stratified LSCC patients into distinct prognostic groups: TCGA cohort: 5-year area under the curve (AUC) =0.836, P<0.001; GSE25727 cohort: 5-year AUC =0.706, P=0.02; GSE27020 cohort: 5-year AUC =0.798, P<0.01. Multivariate analysis confirmed the risk score as an independent prognostic factor (P<0.05). High-risk patients showed reduced immune cell infiltration (CD8+ T cells, dendritic cells) and suppressed immune pathways. Multi-algorithm immune analysis further revealed defective antigen presentation and reduced anti-tumor immune infiltration in high-risk LSCC, promoting tumor immune escape. GSEA/Gene Ontology (GO) enrichment combined with drug sensitivity prediction further revealed that high-risk tumors activate invasive signaling and acquire broad chemoresistance alongside impaired anti-tumor immunity. SERPINE1 might be associated with chemotherapy resistance and exhibited the highest alteration frequency (predominantly amplification) and overexpression in LSCC tissues. Its knockdown significantly suppressed proliferation, migration, invasion and chemoresistance in LSCC cells. Immunohistochemistry (IHC) confirmed tumor SERPINE1 overexpression (P=0.002 vs. normal tissues), correlating with poor survival (P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The 4-IRG risk signature is a reliable prognostic indicator reflecting immune dysfunction in LSCC. SERPINE1 is validated as a therapeutic target and biomarker, enriching our understanding of gene regulation dynamics in LSCC.

Laryngeal cancer