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Serum albumin in continuous peritoneal dialysis: its predictors and relationship to urea clearance.

We investigated the predictors of serum albumin and the relationship between serum albumin and urea kinetic indices in continuous peritoneal dialysis (CPD). In a training set (TS) of 143 urea kinetic studies performed in 92 CPD patients, stepwise logistic regression identified high/high-average peritoneal solute transport, diabetes, advanced age and high daily drain volume normalized by body water as predictors of low serum albumin (< 35 g/liter). This analysis was then substantiated in a validation set (VS) of 187 kinetic studies performed in another 102 CPD patients. The calculated area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve by this logistic regression model was 0.782 (95% CI, 0.745 to 0.819). Logistic regression was repeated in the TS using only the first kinetic study from each patient, and it identified high/high-average peritoneal solute transport, diabetes, and advanced age as predictors of low albumin. Using only the first kinetic study from each patient in the VS, the second logistic regression model calculated an area under the ROC curve equal to 0.850 (95% CI, 0.810 to 0.890). The relative risk (RR) of serum albumin < 35 g/liter was computed for all kinetic studies after combining the TS and the VS and using non-diabetic CPD subjects aged < or = 61 years with low/low average peritoneal solute transport as the reference group. The RR with only one risk factor present ranged from 1.076 (age > 61 years) to 6.792 (high/high-average transport). The RR with two risk factors present ranged from 5.200 to 9.729. The RR with all three risk factors present was 9.100 (95% CI, range 3.923 to 21.111). A subset of 37 CPD patients had a second urea kinetic study 8 +/- 5 months after an increase in the amount of dialysis due to low urea clearance and/or uremic symptoms. The weekly KT/V urea increased from 1.40 +/- 0.24 to 2.10 +/- 0.31 after the increase in the CPD dose. With the increase in dialysis, the protein catabolic rate increased substantially; however, the mean serum albumin remained stable (from 33.9 +/- 4.6 to 33.3 +/- 6.2 g/liter; decrease 18; increase 15; same 4). In comparison to the subjects who had a decrease in serum albumin after the increase in KT/V, those with the increase in serum albumin were younger (44.2 +/- 11.2 vs. 54.3 +/- 16.2 years, P = 0.044) and had a higher serum urea after the increase in the dose of CPD (22.4 +/- 7.8 vs. 17.0 +/- 6.0 mmol/liter, P = 0.037). We conclude that the major predictors of low serum albumin in CPD are advanced age, diabetes, and high/high-average peritoneal solute transport, but not urea kinetic studies. An increase in the dose of dialysis does not cause a consistent rise in serum albumin in underdialyzed CPD subjects. However, a subset of younger patients may be able to increase their serum albumin in response to the increase in KT/V.

Adult↗

Arterial phase enhancement and body mass index are predictors of response to chemoembolisation for liver metastases of endocrine tumours.

Transcatheter arterial chemoembolisation (TACE) has been reported to be an efficient treatment of liver metastases of endocrine tumours in short series of patients. However, several factors seem to affect its results. The aim of this work is to identify predictors of response to TACE for liver metastases of endocrine tumours. A total of 163 TACE procedures were performed in 67 patients between 1994 and 2004. Forty-four patients were treated with streptozotocin and 23 with doxorubicin. Primary tumour was located in the pancreas for 19 patients, and had been removed in 43. Thirty-eight tumours were functioning. Response rate was 37% (confidence interval [CI] 95%: 28-49%). Median time to progression (TTP) was 14.5 months (CI 95%: 9-41). In multivariate analysis (n=43), predictors of tumour response were body mass index (BMI) (odds ratio [OR]: 1.3; CI 95%: 1.04-1.63; P=0.022), functioning type of tumour (OR: 7.31; CI 95%: 1.26-42.5; P=0.027), arterial phase enhancement on abdominal computed tomography (CT) (OR: 8.11; CI 95%:1.06-62; P=0.044) and use of streptozotocin for cytotoxic agent (OR: 21.3; CI 95%: 1.48-306; P=0.025). Analysis of TTP predictors showed that BMI (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.85; CI 95%: 0.76-0.86; P=0.01) and arterial phase enhancement (HR: 0.3; CI 95%: 0.12-0.73; P=0.008) were associated with delayed progression. This large study confirms the previously reported results of TACE regarding its efficacy for the treatment of liver metastases of endocrine tumours. Arterial phase enhancement on abdominal CT and BMI are predictors of treatment's efficacy. Streptozotocin should be the preferred cytotoxic agent in order to save anthracycline for systemic chemotherapy.

Adult↗

Exercise blood pressure in young adults as a predictor of future blood pressure: a 12-year follow-up of medical school graduates.

It has not been fully clarified whether exercise blood pressure (BP) in young adult men and women is useful to predict future BP, especially in Asian people. A long-term prospective study was conducted in graduates of a medical school in Japan; 138 men and 76 women whose mean age was 19.8 and 19.2, respectively, at baseline. A 5-min exercise tolerance test was performed at baseline, and BP immediately after exercise was measured. BP at 50% intensity exercise was also calculated. Multiple regression analysis was carried out to clarify the relationship of exercise BP at baseline to follow-up BP after an average of 12 years. In multivariate-adjusted models, the relationship of systolic blood pressure (SBP) at follow-up was stronger to SBP immediately after exercise (F=7.7, P=0.006) than to resting SBP (F=3.7, P=0.055) in men. The models in men showed that SBP immediately after exercise was a stronger predictor of follow-up SBP than SBP at 50% intensity exercise, and the results were similar for diastolic blood pressure (DBP) in men. For SBP in women, resting SBP was the strongest predictor of follow-up SBP (F=14.3, P<0.001), and exercise SBP was not significant predictor. For DBP in women, any DBP at rest or after exercise was not significantly related to DBP at follow-up. In young adult men, SBP and DBP immediately after exercise would be a stronger predictor of future SBP and DBP rather than BP at rest. However, in young adult women, resting SBP rather than exercise SBP would be better to predict future SBP.

Adult↗

Predictors of phonological change following intervention.

To date, predictor variables strongly associated with phonological change as a result of intervention have not been identified. The purpose of this study was to determine the best predictor or combination of predictors of change in percentage of consonants correct (PCC; L. D. Shriberg and J. Kwiatkowski, 1982) as a result of speech-language intervention for a group of 20 participants and to replicate this procedure with a second group of 20. Participants were preschool children, ages 3;0 (years;months) to 5;11, with impairments in phonology and morphosyntax who received intervention focused on both phonology and morphosyntax in different goal attack configurations. The relationship of predictor variables chronological age, inventory size, error consistency, and expressive language to the criterion variable, change in PCC, was investigated. In both the initial study and the replication, the mean change in PCC following a 24-week intervention period was 13.1%. In the initial study, error consistency and a finite morpheme composite (FMC; L. M. Bedore and L. B. Leonard, 1998) accounted for 52% of the variance for the criterion variable. Error consistency at the first step in the regression accounted for 31.6% of the variance. In the replication, error consistency was the only variable related to PCC change, again accounting for 31% of the variance. Further research examining overall error consistency is warranted.

Articulation Disorders↗

Predictors of job satisfaction and absenteeism in two samples of Hong Kong nurses.

BACKGROUND: Stress-related outcomes of job satisfaction and absenteeism among nurses should receive more attention in Hong Kong because absenteeism is costly. Many nurses' complaints are due to organizational change in privatization since the establishment of the Hong Kong Hospital Authority in 1991. Organizational climate is found to be an antecedent of job dissatisfaction and absenteeism in many studies in western societies. AIM: To investigate the role of organizational climate and psychological distress on job satisfaction; and the role of climate, distress and job satisfaction on absenteeism in Hong Kong nurses, while controlling for demographic variables. METHODS: A self-administered questionnaire survey method was used to collect data from two samples of nurses within a 8-month period. They are, respectively, 144 (74 general nurses, 70 psychiatric nurses; 47 males, 97 females) and 114 (85 general nurses, 29 psychiatric nurses; 17 males, 97 females) nurses. RESULTS: Multiple regression analyses revealed that occupational type (psychiatric/general), environment (the physical conditions in the work area) and psychological distress were significant predictors of job satisfaction for sample 1; and well-being (social relations, welfare and health issues) was the only significant predictor of job satisfaction for sample 2. However, age, involvement (the degree of commitment displayed towards employees by the organization), psychological distress and job satisfaction were significant predictors of absenteeism for sample 1; and occupational type, organization (the interaction between the worker and the organization), and involvement were significant predictors of absenteeism for sample 2. CONCLUSIONS: The empirical findings provide support for the climate-job satisfaction and climate-absenteeism relationships. Psychological distress could be an antecedent of job satisfaction; and job satisfaction could be an antecedent of absenteeism. Certain climate dimensions should be improved to enhance job satisfaction and reduce distress, which in turn will reduce absenteeism.

Absenteeism↗

Predictors of 1-year outcome in depression.

OBJECTIVE: We compared several different methods for assessing depression 'recovery' over a 1-year review interval, to determine the utility of the contrasting approaches. Second, we assessed baseline predictors of 1-year outcome and recovery status. Third, we examined the extent to which predictors showed consistency across the variable definitions of outcome and recovery. METHODS: Twelve-month outcome was assessed in a sample of 182 subjects who at baseline assessment met DSM criteria for a major depressive episode. The contrasting methods involved a defined percentage reduction in Beck Depression Inventory self-rating scores, formalised change point definitions, no longer meeting DSM-IV major depression criteria, and clinical global improvement (CGI) ratings. RESULTS: Sixty-one per cent reached formalised change point criteria for full remission or recovery when trajectories across the 12-month interval were examined. Other measures quantified recovery rates ranging from 43% to 70%. Those with a psychotic or melancholic depression were more likely to have achieved recovery status in some analyses. Non-recovery at 12 months was predicted most consistently by higher baseline levels of anxiety and depression; high trait anxiety and a lifetime anxiety disorder; disordered personality function; and having reported exposure to acute and enduring stressors at baseline assessment. CONCLUSIONS: While the CGI was the superior system in terms of number of significant discriminating predictors of outcome, the change point definitional approach provides much greater information across the follow-up interval, arguing for their complementary utility. As several currently identified baseline predictors of outcome (i.e. anxiety, disordered personality function) also predicted onset of depression, their relevance as both depression-inducing and depression-propagating variables is suggested.

Adult↗

Predictors of outcome following brief psychodynamic-interpersonal therapy for deliberate self-poisoning.

BACKGROUND: We found that brief psychodynamic-interpersonal therapy was more helpful than usual care in deliberate self-poisoning patients, and resulted in reduced suicidal ideation and repetition of self-harm in the 6 months post-treatment. Here, we explore which baseline factors predicted outcome following treatment. METHOD: Patients presenting to an emergency department with deliberate self-poisoning were randomly assigned to brief psychodynamic-interpersonal therapy (PIT) or usual care. Severity of suicidal ideation 6 months post-treatment was used as the main outcome measure. Sociodemographic features and baseline psychological measures were used as predictor variables. Univariate and regression analyses were used to identify predictors of outcome for the whole group and for those who received psychotherapy. RESULTS: Principal predictors for the psychotherapy group were baseline severity of depression and a prior history of self-harm. For the group as a whole predictors were severity of suicidal ideation, anxiety and prior history of self-harm. CONCLUSIONS: Four session PIT for deliberate self-poisoning is effective in reducing suicidal ideation in patients with less severe depression, no prior history of self-harm, and who have not consumed alcohol with the overdose. Extended therapy may be indicated for those with more severe depression.

Adult↗

Predictors of length of stay for transurethral prostatectomy in Victoria.

BACKGROUND: Transurethral resection of prostate (TURP) is among the top 10 surgical conditions that account for hospital admission in Victoria. Bed utilization for TURP is an increasing concern in current times. This paper describes trends in length of stay (LOS) and identifies predictors of LOS for TURP in Victoria. METHODS: Trends in TURP were studied using ICD-9-CM coded Victorian hospital morbidity data from public hospitals from 1987/88 to 1994/95. Detailed morbidity data from the same source for the financial year 1995/96 were used to study predictors of LOS by logistic regression. RESULTS: Length of stay decreased significantly between 1987 and 1995 from 10.6 to 6.1 days. The strongest predictor of increased LOS was admission through the emergency room (odds ratio (OR) 14.7; 95% confidence interval (CI) 11.8-18.3). Other significant predictors were older age, lower socio-economic status, presence of comorbid conditions, occurrence of procedural morbidity, and hospital type and location. CONCLUSIONS: The trend in decreasing LOS may be explained by increasingly efficient bed management in hospitals who are faced with an increasing need for cost control. Advances in surgical techniques and peri-operative care have also contributed to the decrease in LOS. Other factors that influence LOS can be divided into three categories: intrinsic patient factors, such as co-morbid conditions; procedure-specific factors such as peri-operative morbidity; and intrinsic hospital factors relating to capacity and resources. Such determinants of LOS may be of value to policy makers when considering the effective application of newer methods for treatment of benign prostatic hyperplasia.

Adult↗

Motivation as a crucial predictor of good compliance in adolescents with rheumatoid arthritis.

The purpose of this study was to identify the predictors of compliance shown by adolescents with juvenile rheumatoid arthritis (JRA). Three hundred individuals aged 13-17 years were randomly selected from the Finnish Social Insurance Institution's register. The questionnaires were sent to the adolescents selected from the register to be returned directly to the researcher in a self-addressed envelope. Ninety-one per cent (n = 274) returned the questionnaire. Logistic regression was used to find the factors that predicted compliance with health regimens. The compliance of adolescents with JRA was predicted on the basis of motivation, fear of acute problems, support from nurses, energy and willpower, and threat to social well-being. The most powerful predictor was motivation. The likelihood of the adolescents who had good motivation to comply with health regimens was 29.13-fold compared to the adolescents who did not have good motivation. The next powerful predictor was fear of acute problems. The adolescents who felt fear of acute problems complied with health regimens with a 20.35-fold likelihood compared to the adolescents who did not have fears. The third powerful predictor was support from nurses. The likelihood of adolescents supported by nurse to comply with health regimens was 17.03-fold compared to the adolescents who did not receive support from nurses. The likelihood of adolescents who had energy and willpower to comply with health regimens was 7.56-fold compared to the adolescents who did not have energy and willpower. Also, the threat to social well-being predicted good compliance.

Adolescent↗

Incidence and predictors of drug-treated diabetes in elderly French subjects. The PAQUID Epidemiological Survey.

AIMS: To estimate the incidence and predictors of drug-treated diabetes in elderly subjects. METHODS: The PAQUID epidemiological survey, a population-based study, has followed up 3,777 subjects older than 65 years since 1988. At each visit (baseline, 1, 3, 5 and 8 years), treatment regimen was used to identify new drug-treated diabetic subjects. Potential predictors of drug-treated diabetes were collected during the baseline visit (body mass index (BMI), educational level, cigarette smoking and wine consumption, physical activity, depressive symptomatology, subjective health, treatment, and hypertension) and analysed by using a multivariate backward stepwise regression Cox model with delayed entry. RESULTS: The prevalence rate of drug-treated diabetes was 7.5% at baseline and 7.1% after 8 years' follow-up. The incidence rate of drug-treated diabetes was 3.8/1,000 person-years, 5.9/1,000 person-years in men and 2.4/1,000 person-years in women, with no significant variation according to age group. Male sex (relative risk (RR) 2.4, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.4-4.0, P < 0.001, attributable risk (AR) 0.36), elevated BMI (for one point increase, RR 1.1, 95% CI 1.1-1.1, P < 0.001, > or = 25 vs. < 25, RR 2.1, 95% CI 1.2-3.5, AR 0.33), thiazide diuretics used alone (RR 5.9, 95% CI 1.8-19.6, P = 0.02), and poorer subjective health ('the same' vs. 'better' RR 1.8, 95% CI 1.0-3.1, P = 0.04; 'worse' vs. 'better' RR 2.3, 95% CI 0.9-5.7, P = 0.06) were independent predictors of drug-treated diabetes in this population. CONCLUSIONS: In older French individuals, men seem to be particularly exposed to drug-treated diabetes although being overweight was found to be a strong predictor as in younger populations.

Aged↗

Predictors of mortality and end-stage diabetic complications in patients with Type 1 diabetes mellitus on intensified insulin therapy.

AIMS: To assess predictors of mortality and end-stage diabetic complications in patients with Type 1 diabetes mellitus on intensified insulin therapy. METHODS: A cohort of 3,674 patients (insulin treatment before age 31) who had participated in a 5-day in-patient group treatment and teaching programme for intensification of insulin therapy between 9/1978 and 12/1994 were reassessed after 10 +/- 3 (mean +/- SD) years. RESULTS: Vital status and data on blindness, amputations, and renal replacement therapy were documented for 97% patients; 7% patients had died, 1.3% had become blind, 2% had amputations and 4.6% started renal replacement therapy. Using the Cox proportional hazards model, the following risk factors of mortality as assessed at baseline were identified: nephropathy (at least macroproteinuria), hazard ratio 3.8 (95% confidence interval 2.6-5.6); smoking, 1.9 (1.4-2.6); diabetes duration, 1.5 (1.2-1.8) for a difference of 10 years; serum cholesterol, 1.1 (1.0-1.2) for a difference of 1 mmol/l; lower social status, 1.4 (1.1-1.8) for a difference of 1 out of 3 levels; age, 1.3 (1.1-1.6) for a difference of 10 years; male sex, 1.4 (1.1-1.9); systolic blood pressure, 1.1 (1-1.2) for a difference of 10 mmHg. For the combined endpoint - blindness or amputations or renal replacement therapy - predictors were: nephropathy, foot complications, HbA1c, smoking, cholesterol, systolic blood pressure, retinopathy, hypertension, and social status. CONCLUSION: In Type 1 diabetic patients who start intensified insulin therapy, nephropathy remains the strongest predictor of mortality and end-stage complications. Glycosylated haemoglobin is a risk factor of end-stage complications but not of mortality. Conventional risk factors comparable to the general population, particularly smoking become operative as predictors of both mortality and end-stage complications.

Adult↗

Incidence and predictors for post-stroke epilepsy. A prospective controlled trial. The Akershus stroke study.

The aim of the study was to assess the incidence and identify predictors for post-stroke epilepsy (PSE), in particular the possible influence of treatment in a stroke unit (SU). Patients with PSE were identified between 4 weeks and 1 year after the stroke. Different parameters were studied as possible predictors. Twelve patients (2.5%) developed PSE during 12 months. Four of the patients (33%) were treated in an SU and eight of the patients (67%) were treated in general medical wards (GMWs) (P=0.50). Mean age in those with PSE was 75 and 76 in those without (P=0.57). Four out of 363 patients (1.1%) with minor stroke [Scandinavian Stroke Scale (SSS)-score >30] developed PSE. Seven out of 104 patients (6.3%) with severe stroke developed PSE (P=0.004). In the multivariate analysis SSS-score scores below 30 was a significant predictor for incidence of PSE (odds ratio=6.1, P=0.003). At 12 months the incidence of PSE was 2.5%. SSS-score below 30 was a significant predictor for PSE, whilst age and treatment in SU versus GMW were not.

Aged↗

Factors of early life as predictors of headache in children at school entry.

To study the main predictors of childhood preschool headache, 1443 families expecting their first child were followed from the onset of pregnancy to the child's sixth year of life. Subject selection was based on stratified randomized cluster sampling. Of the children, 14.9% (144) suffered from headache disturbing daily activities at the age of 6 years. The mother's assessment of the infant's poor health (OR 2.5, 95% CI 1.1 to 5.8) and feeding problems (OR 1.9, 95% CI 1.1 to 3.2) at the age of 9 months predicted later occurrence of headache. At 3 years, depression and sleeping difficulties (according to Achenbach's psychological test) and recurrent difficulties in falling asleep (OR 3.2, 95% CI 1.5 to 7.2) were strong predictors. Headache in other family members (OR 3.5, 95% CI 2.0 to 5.9), especially in the mother (OR 1.7, 95% CI 1.2 to 2.4), predicted preschool headache in a child. At the age of 5 years, travel sickness (OR 2.8, 95% CI 1.5 to 5.1), nocturnal enuresis (OR 1.8, 95% CI 1.1 to 3.0), and the presence of long-term disease (OR 1.8, 95% CI 1.1 to 3.0) were strong predictors of later headache. At the same age, concentration difficulties (OR 2.3, 95% CI 1.3 to 4.2), behavioral problems (OR 2.7, 95% CI 1.1 to 6.4), unusual tiredness (OR 3.8, 95% CI 1.0 to 13.5), and, conversely, high sociability (OR 1.5, 95% CI 1.0 to 2.2) predicted headache. The three last-mentioned psychological factors seemed to be associated with concentration difficulties at the age of 5, which was found to be the strongest predictor. The parents of child headache sufferers often became aware of the child's problems long before the emergence of headache.

Adult↗

Subcortical vascular disease and functional decline: a 6-year predictor study.

OBJECTIVES: To identify predictors of activity of daily living (ADL) and instrumental activity of daily living (IADL) decline in a population with subcortical vascular dementia (SVD) and to evaluate potential mechanism of decline. DESIGN: Longitudinal. SETTING: Hospital-based. PARTICIPANTS: Computed tomographic (CT) scanning identified 77 participants as having subcortical infarction. MEASUREMENTS: Participants were neurologically, neuropsychologically, behaviorally, and functionally assessed four times over 5.82 years. Baseline data were grouped into four modules: basic demographic and risk factor, CT scan, neurological and other clinical, and neuropsychological and behavioral. Multivariate analysis determined predictors of decline in ADLs and IADLs. RESULTS: Predictors of ADL decline were age, alcohol consumption, coordination, snout reflex, and performance on a neuropsychological test (Block Design). Predictors of IADL decline were predominantly cognitive and included the presence of paratonia and performance on the two neuropsychological tests (attention and memory tasks). CONCLUSION: These findings suggest that cognitive impairments are most likely to have an effect on IADL function, because the skills involved are complex and involve integrative activity, whereas physical and cognitive impairments combined are likely to compromise ADL function, given the more basic and physical nature of the functions involved. These findings indicate that in people with SVD, both ADL and IADL status should be monitored, because, for many, decline in function over time is likely, and thus the provision of appropriate support required.

Activities of Daily Living↗

Early neutrophil engraftment following autologous BMT provides a functional predictor of long-term hematopoietic reconstitution.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies have demonstrated that the number of CD34+ progenitor cells in the stem cell graft is highly predictive of the rapidity of short-term hematopoietic engraftment. The aim of this study was to identify factors that predict long-term hematopoietic reconstitution (LHR) following autologous BMT. STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: To identify predictors of LHR, peripheral blood counts and marrow biopsies were evaluated at 1 year after transplant in 81 patients with B-cell non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (NHL) or chronic lymphocytic leukemia who underwent autologous BMT. Results were correlated with CD34+ cell dose, granulocyte-monocyte colony-forming units (CFU-GM) infused, and time to neutrophil engraftment (TNE). RESULTS: Total MNC dose, CD34+ cell dose, and CFU-GM infused were significantly associated with TNE (p = 0.011, p < 0.0001, and p = 0.078, respectively). Patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia were more likely to have received a low CD34+ cell dose than patients with B-cell non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (p = 0.01). Among the four principal predictors, only TNE showed consistent significant correlation with WBC, absolute neutrophil, and platelet count at 1 year after transplant. Logistic regression model showed that TNE was a more sensitive predictor of LHR than either CD34+ cell dose or CFU-GM infused. CONCLUSION: TNE is an in vivo functional measure of LHR and is a more sensitive predictor of LHR at 1 year after BMT than either CD34+ cell dose or CFU-GM infused.

Adult↗

Increased levels of tissue plasminogen activator antigen and factor VIII activity in nonvalvular atrial fibrillation: relation to predictors of thromboembolism.

INTRODUCTION: Given that nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (AF)-associated stroke can be either cardioembolic or atherothrombotic, we investigated the relationships between nonvalvular AF and hemostatic factors reflecting intrinsic thrombogenic and atherogenic potentials (tissue plasminogen activator [t-PA] antigen, plasminogen activator inhibitor-1, and factor VIII activity). We also evaluated the clinical applicability of these hemostatic factors by examining whether AF subjects with established clinical or echocardiographic predictors of thromboembolism had higher levels of these factors. METHODS AND RESULTS: Of the 3,212 participants of a Chinese population-based study, 53 subjects (1.7%) with AF were identified. Among the hemostatic factors measured, t-PA antigen (median 12.8 vs 8.1 ng/mL; P < 0.01) and factor VIII activity (median 155% vs 133%; P < 0.05) were significantly higher in AF subjects after adjustment for age and sex. In multivariate analysis, features independently associated with t-PA antigen levels were AF, sex, body mass index, systolic blood pressure, total cholesterol, triglycerides, and left ventricular systolic dysfunction. Features independently associated with factor VIII activity levels included AF, age, and total cholesterol. Levels of both t-PA antigen and factor VIII activity were primarily elevated in AF subjects with predictors of thromboembolism (age > 75 years, hypertension, diabetes, and left ventricular systolic dysfunction), whereas in AF subjects with no thromboembolic predictors, plasma levels of hemostatic factors examined were similar to those without AF. CONCLUSION: We demonstrated that nonvalvular AF was independently associated with increased peripheral levels of t-PA antigen and factor VIII activity. Levels of both hemostatic factors were primarily elevated in AF subjects with predictors of thromboembolism. Whether these hemostatic factors are independently predictive of future thromboembolic events in AF patients requires further investigation.

Adult↗

Prevalence, predictors, and mortality significance of the causative arrhythmia in patients with electrical storm.

INTRODUCTION: Electrical storm (ES) is characterized by either refractory ventricular tachycardia (VT) or ventricular fibrillation (VF). However, little is known about the prevalence, predictors, and mortality implications of the causative arrhythmia in ES. We sought to assess the prevalence, predictors, and survival significance of VT and VF as the causative arrhythmia of ES in implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) patients. METHODS AND RESULTS: Consecutive patients from January 2000 to December 2002 who presented to the ICD clinic with > or = 2 separate ventricular arrhythmic episodes requiring shock within 24 hours were included in the study. ICD interrogation confirmed the number of shocks and provided electrograms for interpretation of the causative arrhythmia. Patients were grouped as VF or VT according to the causative arrhythmia. Their prevalence, predictors, and mortality rates were compared. Of 2,028 patients assessed in the ICD clinic, 208 (10%) presented with ES. VF was the cause of ES in 99 of 208 patients, for an overall prevalence of 48%. Original ICD indication, coronary artery disease, and amiodarone therapy were predictive for the causative arrhythmia. There was no mortality difference between the VT and VF groups; however, both groups had significantly increased mortality compared to a control ICD population without ES. CONCLUSION: VF is the causative arrhythmia for a sizable proportion of patients with ES. The initial ICD indication, coronary artery disease, and amiodarone therapy are predictors of the causative arrhythmias in ES. There does not appear to be any mortality difference between ES patients with VT and VF, but mortality is increased in patients with ES versus control ICD patients without ES.

Aged↗

Predictors of seizure outcome after temporal lobectomy for intractable epilepsy.

OBJECTIVES: To assess predictors of outcome of temporal lobectomy for intractable epilepsy. MATERIAL AND METHODS: In 63 adult patients operated with anterior temporal lobectomy during 198892, we used logistic regression analysis to assess predictors of being seizure-free (Engel's class I) 2 years after surgery. As potential predictors, we included the following variables: gender, age at operation, age at onset of seizures, epilepsy duration, etiology, generalized vs not generalized seizures, seizure frequency, intelligence quotient, ictal electroencephalography, magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), single-photon emission computed tomography (SPECT), side of resection, and extent of the resection. RESULTS: About 44% of the surgery patients were seizure-free (Engel's class I) 2 years after surgery. In multivariate analysis (n = 55), MRI pathology defined as atrophy in the temporal lobe, angioma, tumor or mesial temporal sclerosis (odds ratio, OR 7.4, 95%CI: 1.7-32.9) and extent of the hippocampal resection (increase of 1 cm) (OR 2.2, 95%CI: 1.1-4.6) predicted being seizure-free. CONCLUSION: Focal pathology in preoperative MRI and the extent of the hippocampal resection were the only significant predictors of being seizure-free after 2 years.

Adolescent↗